Parent Section Magnitude-Probability Distributions
Only fault sections with at least one triggered aftershock are plotted. Sections are sorted by total supraseismogenic trigger rate (decreasing)
Table Of Contents
Brawley (Seismic Zone) alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.2521618E-4 | 2.3842683E-4 | 0.038363334 | 160.90192 | 0.038134 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0010214627 | 0.046514947 | 45.537582 | 0.04554 | 0.011683988 | 0.012351831 | 0.069388516 | 5.61767 | 0.05775 |
| 6.1 | 2.2521618E-4 | 2.3842683E-4 | 0.038363334 | 160.90192 | 0.038134 | 9.6485513E-4 | 0.0010214627 | 0.046514947 | 45.537582 | 0.04554 | 0.011683988 | 0.012351831 | 0.069388516 | 5.61767 | 0.05775 |
| 6.2 | 2.198148E-4 | 2.28969E-4 | 0.03829225 | 167.23772 | 0.038072 | 9.417233E-4 | 9.809599E-4 | 0.046404358 | 47.30505 | 0.045468 | 0.011405343 | 0.011864724 | 0.06884653 | 5.802624 | 0.057666 |
| 6.3 | 2.1704129E-4 | 2.2365066E-4 | 0.038113173 | 170.41386 | 0.037898 | 9.298453E-4 | 9.581839E-4 | 0.046174817 | 48.189934 | 0.04526 | 0.011262234 | 0.011590933 | 0.06833155 | 5.895258 | 0.057406 |
| 6.4 | 1.876142E-4 | 1.6337796E-4 | 0.024959326 | 152.77046 | 0.0248 | 8.038131E-4 | 7.000145E-4 | 0.030331258 | 43.329468 | 0.029652 | 0.00974259 | 0.008478897 | 0.045706548 | 5.3906245 | 0.037546 |
| 6.5 | 1.7390939E-4 | 1.376662E-4 | 0.0209508 | 152.18552 | 0.020816 | 7.45113E-4 | 5.898736E-4 | 0.025323275 | 42.930004 | 0.024748 | 0.009034078 | 0.0071497317 | 0.0383153 | 5.3589845 | 0.03139 |
| 6.6 | 1.591791E-4 | 1.1161095E-4 | 0.017271696 | 154.74911 | 0.017162 | 6.8201777E-4 | 4.7825187E-4 | 0.020850504 | 43.59733 | 0.020382 | 0.008271996 | 0.00580975 | 0.03149764 | 5.4215136 | 0.025838 |
| 6.7 | 1.4268003E-4 | 8.299559E-5 | 0.013699865 | 165.0674 | 0.013618 | 6.1134255E-4 | 3.5565192E-4 | 0.01657988 | 46.618275 | 0.01623 | 0.007417723 | 0.004323394 | 0.024798488 | 5.735884 | 0.020564 |
| 6.8 | 1.239713E-4 | 5.189442E-5 | 0.008379462 | 161.47134 | 0.008328 | 5.3119735E-4 | 2.2238854E-4 | 0.010146181 | 45.62367 | 0.009926 | 0.0064481674 | 0.0027047195 | 0.0153105315 | 5.6606727 | 0.01264 |
| 6.9 | 1.0180238E-4 | 2.3480728E-5 | 0.004019387 | 171.17812 | 0.003996 | 4.3622297E-4 | 1.00628444E-4 | 0.0048641493 | 48.337715 | 0.004764 | 0.005298089 | 0.001224575 | 0.007295132 | 5.957277 | 0.006078 |
| 7.0 | 7.6619996E-5 | 2.2995528E-6 | 7.6229783E-4 | 331.4983 | 7.6E-4 | 3.283301E-4 | 9.85519E-6 | 9.318461E-4 | 94.55384 | 9.22E-4 | 0.0039900932 | 1.19980585E-4 | 0.0013118376 | 10.933748 | 0.001192 |
| 7.1 | 7.5127435E-5 | 1.7034303E-6 | 6.497023E-4 | 381.40823 | 6.48E-4 | 3.2193496E-4 | 7.300396E-6 | 7.972946E-4 | 109.21252 | 7.9E-4 | 0.0039125155 | 8.887886E-5 | 0.0011287865 | 12.700279 | 0.00104 |
| 7.2 | 6.788582E-5 | 5.158349E-7 | 4.3051562E-4 | 834.59955 | 4.3E-4 | 2.9090676E-4 | 2.2107195E-6 | 5.3020957E-4 | 239.83575 | 5.28E-4 | 0.0035360386 | 2.6915186E-5 | 7.1889657E-4 | 26.7097 | 6.92E-4 |
| 7.3 | 6.399602E-5 | 5.120621E-7 | 4.3051183E-4 | 840.7415 | 4.3E-4 | 2.7423984E-4 | 2.19455E-6 | 5.301934E-4 | 241.59549 | 5.28E-4 | 0.0033337586 | 2.671833E-5 | 7.186998E-4 | 26.899132 | 6.92E-4 |
| 7.4 | 4.506759E-5 | 5.0954446E-7 | 4.2850932E-4 | 840.9655 | 4.28E-4 | 1.9313251E-4 | 2.1837602E-6 | 5.281826E-4 | 241.86841 | 5.26E-4 | 0.0023488526 | 2.6586968E-5 | 7.165686E-4 | 26.951874 | 6.9E-4 |
| 7.5 | 3.43289E-5 | 5.081655E-7 | 4.2850795E-4 | 843.2449 | 4.28E-4 | 1.4711556E-4 | 2.1778505E-6 | 5.281767E-4 | 242.52203 | 5.26E-4 | 0.0017896603 | 2.6515017E-5 | 7.164967E-4 | 27.022299 | 6.9E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.5980507E-5 | 4.9784745E-7 | 4.1649764E-4 | 836.59686 | 4.16E-4 | 1.1134028E-4 | 2.1336305E-6 | 5.1413255E-4 | 240.96608 | 5.12E-4 | 0.001354725 | 2.5976651E-5 | 6.999591E-4 | 26.945704 | 6.74E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.7292105E-5 | 3.4814127E-7 | 2.6834806E-4 | 770.8022 | 2.68E-4 | 7.4106916E-5 | 1.4920332E-6 | 3.2749155E-4 | 219.49347 | 3.26E-4 | 9.018782E-4 | 1.8165363E-5 | 4.4215767E-4 | 24.3407 | 4.24E-4 |
| 7.8 | 1.2927471E-5 | 3.9114617E-8 | 2.4039115E-5 | 614.58136 | 2.4E-5 | 5.5402274E-5 | 1.6763407E-7 | 3.4167628E-5 | 203.82271 | 3.4E-5 | 6.743139E-4 | 2.0409427E-6 | 4.6040852E-5 | 22.55862 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.0200774E-5 | 3.464861E-8 | 1.8034649E-5 | 520.5013 | 1.8E-5 | 4.371687E-5 | 1.4849405E-7 | 2.6148491E-5 | 176.09117 | 2.6E-5 | 5.321229E-4 | 1.8079135E-6 | 3.7807848E-5 | 20.912422 | 3.6E-5 |
| 8.0 | 8.650396E-6 | 3.4412956E-8 | 1.8034412E-5 | 524.0588 | 1.8E-5 | 3.70726E-5 | 1.4748409E-7 | 2.614748E-5 | 177.29018 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5126543E-4 | 1.7956172E-6 | 3.5795558E-5 | 19.93496 | 3.4E-5 |
| 8.1 | 3.9368224E-6 | 2.6380954E-8 | 1.202638E-5 | 455.8736 | 1.2E-5 | 1.6871985E-5 | 1.13061226E-7 | 2.0113059E-5 | 177.8953 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0539707E-4 | 1.3765195E-6 | 2.5376487E-5 | 18.435253 | 2.4E-5 |
| 8.2 | 1.7101195E-6 | 5.0935482E-9 | 2.0050936E-6 | 393.6536 | 2.0E-6 | 7.329063E-6 | 2.1829484E-8 | 4.021829E-6 | 184.2384 | 4.0E-6 | 8.922769E-5 | 2.6577393E-7 | 6.2657723E-6 | 23.575571 | 6.0E-6 |
| 8.3 | 3.0346666E-8 | 2.4203095E-10 | 2.4203095E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3005713E-7 | 1.0372754E-9 | 1.0372754E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5834444E-6 | 1.2628829E-8 | 1.2628829E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Imperial
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.6875173E-4 | 2.7154913E-4 | 0.038023297 | 140.02364 | 0.037762 | 0.0011512847 | 0.0011632984 | 0.046202842 | 39.717102 | 0.045092 | 0.013927074 | 0.014027431 | 0.07044675 | 5.022071 | 0.057222 |
| 6.1 | 2.5356023E-4 | 2.7154913E-4 | 0.038023297 | 140.02364 | 0.037762 | 0.001086234 | 0.0011632984 | 0.046202842 | 39.717102 | 0.045092 | 0.013144928 | 0.014027431 | 0.07044675 | 5.022071 | 0.057222 |
| 6.2 | 2.4820742E-4 | 2.6209553E-4 | 0.03796821 | 144.864 | 0.037716 | 0.0010633124 | 0.0011228181 | 0.04611025 | 41.066532 | 0.045038 | 0.01286919 | 0.013541352 | 0.06992535 | 5.1638384 | 0.057158 |
| 6.3 | 2.3205351E-4 | 2.4050675E-4 | 0.037869453 | 157.45692 | 0.037638 | 9.94136E-4 | 0.0010303697 | 0.045924064 | 44.570473 | 0.04494 | 0.012036599 | 0.012455828 | 0.06876757 | 5.5209155 | 0.057022 |
| 6.4 | 2.0304754E-4 | 1.8052486E-4 | 0.024810078 | 137.43303 | 0.024634 | 8.6991355E-4 | 7.734602E-4 | 0.030200683 | 39.0462 | 0.02945 | 0.010539869 | 0.009361495 | 0.046316274 | 4.9475293 | 0.037304 |
| 6.5 | 1.854992E-4 | 1.5039138E-4 | 0.020855278 | 138.67334 | 0.020708 | 7.9475436E-4 | 6.4438465E-4 | 0.025244523 | 39.17617 | 0.024616 | 0.009633281 | 0.0078077703 | 0.038785994 | 4.967615 | 0.031222 |
| 6.6 | 1.6586106E-4 | 1.1908141E-4 | 0.017193047 | 144.38063 | 0.017076 | 7.106394E-4 | 5.1025616E-4 | 0.02077791 | 40.720547 | 0.020278 | 0.008617763 | 0.006195053 | 0.03173584 | 5.1227717 | 0.0257 |
| 6.7 | 1.4224656E-4 | 8.4129155E-5 | 0.013604991 | 161.71555 | 0.013522 | 6.094856E-4 | 3.6050874E-4 | 0.0164687 | 45.68183 | 0.016114 | 0.0073952693 | 0.0043822904 | 0.024698865 | 5.636063 | 0.020406 |
| 6.8 | 1.2317259E-4 | 5.2844676E-5 | 0.0082804095 | 156.69336 | 0.008228 | 5.2777573E-4 | 2.2646035E-4 | 0.010032239 | 44.3002 | 0.009808 | 0.0064067547 | 0.0027541707 | 0.015199798 | 5.51883 | 0.01248 |
| 6.9 | 9.859898E-5 | 2.3523124E-5 | 0.0039194315 | 166.62036 | 0.003896 | 4.2249862E-4 | 1.00810124E-4 | 0.0047463416 | 47.081993 | 0.004646 | 0.0051317946 | 0.0012267844 | 0.0071355267 | 5.816447 | 0.005916 |
| 7.0 | 7.3191884E-5 | 2.2232307E-6 | 6.6422176E-4 | 298.7642 | 6.62E-4 | 3.136418E-4 | 9.528098E-6 | 8.155204E-4 | 85.5911 | 8.06E-4 | 0.003811904 | 1.1599867E-4 | 0.0011478789 | 9.895621 | 0.001032 |
| 7.1 | 7.1760296E-5 | 1.627187E-6 | 5.516263E-4 | 339.00607 | 5.5E-4 | 3.0750787E-4 | 6.973641E-6 | 6.809689E-4 | 97.64898 | 6.74E-4 | 0.003737482 | 8.490094E-5 | 9.648262E-4 | 11.364141 | 8.8E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.46614E-5 | 4.395986E-7 | 3.3243946E-4 | 756.2341 | 3.32E-4 | 2.7709085E-4 | 1.8839928E-6 | 4.1388322E-4 | 219.68408 | 4.12E-4 | 0.0033683628 | 2.293738E-5 | 5.549252E-4 | 24.193048 | 5.32E-4 |
| 7.3 | 6.088115E-5 | 4.3587116E-7 | 3.3243574E-4 | 762.6926 | 3.32E-4 | 2.6089314E-4 | 1.8680179E-6 | 4.1386724E-4 | 221.55421 | 4.12E-4 | 0.0031717476 | 2.2742892E-5 | 5.5473077E-4 | 24.391394 | 5.32E-4 |
| 7.4 | 4.199346E-5 | 4.3340503E-7 | 3.3043325E-4 | 762.4122 | 3.3E-4 | 1.7995955E-4 | 1.8574489E-6 | 4.118567E-4 | 221.73245 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0021888057 | 2.2614215E-5 | 5.526022E-4 | 24.436056 | 5.3E-4 |
| 7.5 | 3.130448E-5 | 4.3221294E-7 | 3.3043206E-4 | 764.5122 | 3.3E-4 | 1.3415517E-4 | 1.8523399E-6 | 4.118516E-4 | 222.34126 | 4.1E-4 | 0.0016321153 | 2.2552014E-5 | 5.5254006E-4 | 24.500696 | 5.3E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.3074248E-5 | 4.2313562E-7 | 3.24423E-4 | 766.7116 | 3.24E-4 | 9.888588E-5 | 1.8134372E-6 | 4.038127E-4 | 222.67809 | 4.02E-4 | 0.0012032706 | 2.2078384E-5 | 5.420669E-4 | 24.55193 | 5.2E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.45864815E-5 | 3.371027E-7 | 2.54337E-4 | 754.4793 | 2.54E-4 | 6.2511994E-5 | 1.4447252E-6 | 3.1144428E-4 | 215.57338 | 3.1E-4 | 7.608177E-4 | 1.7589397E-5 | 4.2158228E-4 | 23.96798 | 4.04E-4 |
| 7.8 | 1.0352979E-5 | 2.8460054E-8 | 1.002846E-5 | 352.36966 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4369157E-5 | 1.2197165E-7 | 1.812197E-5 | 148.57526 | 1.8E-5 | 5.400606E-4 | 1.4850038E-6 | 2.5484967E-5 | 17.16155 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 8.137906E-6 | 2.6616501E-8 | 1.0026616E-5 | 376.7068 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4876273E-5 | 1.1407071E-7 | 1.811407E-5 | 158.79684 | 1.8E-5 | 4.2453592E-4 | 1.3888099E-6 | 2.5388777E-5 | 18.280958 | 2.4E-5 |
| 8.0 | 6.93792E-6 | 2.6453815E-8 | 1.0026453E-5 | 379.0173 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9733603E-5 | 1.1337349E-7 | 1.8113371E-5 | 159.76726 | 1.8E-5 | 3.6194647E-4 | 1.3803212E-6 | 2.5380288E-5 | 18.387232 | 2.4E-5 |
| 8.1 | 3.4286315E-6 | 2.2303755E-8 | 6.0223038E-6 | 270.01297 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4694053E-5 | 9.5587524E-8 | 1.4095586E-5 | 147.46262 | 1.4E-5 | 1.7888541E-4 | 1.1637774E-6 | 1.7163758E-5 | 14.748318 | 1.6E-5 |
| 8.2 | 1.4906886E-6 | 4.2069406E-9 | 4.2069406E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3886496E-6 | 1.8029738E-8 | 2.0180296E-6 | 111.92784 | 2.0E-6 | 7.7779034E-5 | 2.1951203E-7 | 2.2195115E-6 | 10.111115 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.3 | 2.5758007E-8 | 1.9505775E-10 | 1.9505775E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10391454E-7 | 8.359614E-10 | 8.359614E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3440151E-6 | 1.0177831E-8 | 1.0177831E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blue Cut
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2800408E-5 | 0.022524288 | 987.88965 | 0.022502 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7712706E-5 | 0.028092977 | 287.50586 | 0.027998 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011890614 | 0.03875434 | 32.592377 | 0.03761 |
| 6.1 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2800408E-5 | 0.022524288 | 987.88965 | 0.022502 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7712706E-5 | 0.028092977 | 287.50586 | 0.027998 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011890614 | 0.03875434 | 32.592377 | 0.03761 |
| 6.2 | 2.1227985E-5 | 2.2800408E-5 | 0.022524288 | 987.88965 | 0.022502 | 9.097391E-5 | 9.7712706E-5 | 0.028092977 | 287.50586 | 0.027998 | 0.0011070445 | 0.0011890614 | 0.03875434 | 32.592377 | 0.03761 |
| 6.3 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2393319E-5 | 0.011804247 | 952.4686 | 0.011792 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.3113214E-5 | 0.014824329 | 279.10812 | 0.014772 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.46474E-4 | 0.020829419 | 32.22004 | 0.020196 |
| 6.4 | 1.1613981E-5 | 1.2393319E-5 | 0.011804247 | 952.4686 | 0.011792 | 4.9773254E-5 | 5.3113214E-5 | 0.014824329 | 279.10812 | 0.014772 | 6.0582085E-4 | 6.46474E-4 | 0.020829419 | 32.22004 | 0.020196 |
| 6.5 | 8.931326E-6 | 9.511124E-6 | 0.009111425 | 957.9756 | 0.009102 | 3.8276554E-5 | 4.0761373E-5 | 0.011442296 | 280.7142 | 0.011402 | 4.6591737E-4 | 4.9616594E-4 | 0.016130405 | 32.5101 | 0.015642 |
| 6.6 | 7.345353E-6 | 7.814123E-6 | 0.0076457546 | 978.4533 | 0.007638 | 3.1479703E-5 | 3.348871E-5 | 0.009611168 | 286.99722 | 0.009578 | 3.83198E-4 | 4.0765686E-4 | 0.0134883225 | 33.08744 | 0.013086 |
| 6.7 | 6.2775666E-6 | 6.675374E-6 | 0.0067546302 | 1011.8729 | 0.006748 | 2.690358E-5 | 2.8608474E-5 | 0.008502366 | 297.19745 | 0.008474 | 3.2750185E-4 | 3.4826007E-4 | 0.0118882395 | 34.136097 | 0.011544 |
| 6.8 | 5.5234095E-6 | 5.8728765E-6 | 0.0059998375 | 1021.6182 | 0.005994 | 2.367154E-5 | 2.5169269E-5 | 0.0075349803 | 299.37222 | 0.00751 | 2.8816288E-4 | 3.064001E-4 | 0.010573253 | 34.507996 | 0.01027 |
| 6.9 | 4.7780054E-6 | 5.0808153E-6 | 0.0053810533 | 1059.0925 | 0.005376 | 2.0477004E-5 | 2.1774782E-5 | 0.006751628 | 310.0664 | 0.00673 | 2.4927902E-4 | 2.650828E-4 | 0.009462644 | 35.696938 | 0.0092 |
| 7.0 | 3.883171E-6 | 4.131097E-6 | 0.004634112 | 1121.7631 | 0.00463 | 1.6642054E-5 | 1.7704619E-5 | 0.0058296015 | 329.2701 | 0.005812 | 2.0259817E-4 | 2.1553934E-4 | 0.008111837 | 37.635063 | 0.007898 |
| 7.1 | 2.8358215E-6 | 3.0190406E-6 | 0.003671008 | 1215.9518 | 0.003668 | 1.2153464E-5 | 1.2938718E-5 | 0.0045868796 | 354.50803 | 0.004574 | 1.4795837E-4 | 1.5752413E-4 | 0.00640454 | 40.657516 | 0.006248 |
Pinto Mtn
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.4334607E-5 | 0.015863633 | 357.81604 | 0.01582 | 1.893932E-4 | 1.8999253E-4 | 0.02003622 | 105.45794 | 0.01985 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0023108693 | 0.029254463 | 12.659506 | 0.027006 |
| 6.1 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.4334607E-5 | 0.015863633 | 357.81604 | 0.01582 | 1.893932E-4 | 1.8999253E-4 | 0.02003622 | 105.45794 | 0.01985 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0023108693 | 0.029254463 | 12.659506 | 0.027006 |
| 6.2 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.4334607E-5 | 0.015863633 | 357.81604 | 0.01582 | 1.893932E-4 | 1.8999253E-4 | 0.02003622 | 105.45794 | 0.01985 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0023108693 | 0.029254463 | 12.659506 | 0.027006 |
| 6.3 | 4.4194956E-5 | 4.4334607E-5 | 0.015863633 | 357.81604 | 0.01582 | 1.893932E-4 | 1.8999253E-4 | 0.02003622 | 105.45794 | 0.01985 | 0.0023034236 | 0.0023108693 | 0.029254463 | 12.659506 | 0.027006 |
| 6.4 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.600181E-5 | 0.013781507 | 382.8004 | 0.013746 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.5428485E-4 | 0.01736763 | 112.568596 | 0.017216 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0018768928 | 0.02513316 | 13.390835 | 0.0233 |
| 6.5 | 3.729929E-5 | 3.600181E-5 | 0.013781507 | 382.8004 | 0.013746 | 1.5984432E-4 | 1.5428485E-4 | 0.01736763 | 112.568596 | 0.017216 | 0.0019443673 | 0.0018768928 | 0.02513316 | 13.390835 | 0.0233 |
| 6.6 | 3.0204548E-5 | 2.7525444E-5 | 0.010969224 | 398.51215 | 0.010942 | 1.2944164E-4 | 1.1796105E-4 | 0.013780349 | 116.82118 | 0.013664 | 0.0015748127 | 0.0014352633 | 0.019792877 | 13.790415 | 0.018384 |
| 6.7 | 2.9857754E-5 | 2.7132324E-5 | 0.010940836 | 403.2399 | 0.010914 | 1.2795553E-4 | 1.162764E-4 | 0.013742692 | 118.189865 | 0.013628 | 0.0015567453 | 0.0014147795 | 0.019718846 | 13.937753 | 0.01833 |
| 6.8 | 2.4819734E-5 | 2.1281872E-5 | 0.00762312 | 358.1978 | 0.007602 | 1.0636595E-4 | 9.120495E-5 | 0.009640334 | 105.69968 | 0.00955 | 0.0012942362 | 0.0011098752 | 0.013965591 | 12.583029 | 0.01287 |
| 6.9 | 2.331124E-5 | 1.9600935E-5 | 0.0059754844 | 304.8571 | 0.005956 | 9.990149E-5 | 8.400141E-5 | 0.0075813713 | 90.25291 | 0.007498 | 0.001215622 | 0.0010222566 | 0.011129913 | 10.887593 | 0.010118 |
| 7.0 | 2.1818534E-5 | 1.8015899E-5 | 0.0052079223 | 289.0737 | 0.00519 | 9.3504656E-5 | 7.720881E-5 | 0.006638702 | 85.98374 | 0.006562 | 0.0011378246 | 9.3963055E-4 | 0.009789308 | 10.418251 | 0.008858 |
| 7.1 | 2.066081E-5 | 1.6786533E-5 | 0.0046627084 | 277.76483 | 0.004646 | 8.854332E-5 | 7.1940405E-5 | 0.005931519 | 82.45045 | 0.00586 | 0.0010774818 | 8.755409E-4 | 0.0087966 | 10.047046 | 0.007928 |
| 7.2 | 1.8990233E-5 | 1.5290565E-5 | 0.0041872268 | 273.8438 | 0.004172 | 8.138417E-5 | 6.552945E-5 | 0.0052931868 | 80.775696 | 0.005228 | 9.904018E-4 | 7.975472E-4 | 0.007867903 | 9.865127 | 0.007076 |
| 7.3 | 1.3335872E-5 | 1.1107101E-5 | 0.0026170781 | 235.62206 | 0.002606 | 5.7152483E-5 | 4.760106E-5 | 0.003287447 | 69.06247 | 0.00324 | 6.956093E-4 | 5.794003E-4 | 0.0049528647 | 8.548261 | 0.004376 |
| 7.4 | 9.414066E-6 | 8.039996E-6 | 0.0013200295 | 164.18286 | 0.001312 | 4.0345374E-5 | 3.4456716E-5 | 0.0016684004 | 48.42018 | 0.001634 | 4.910942E-4 | 4.1943789E-4 | 0.0026884857 | 6.409735 | 0.00227 |
| 7.5 | 7.2101157E-6 | 5.3280164E-6 | 0.0011573219 | 217.2144 | 0.001152 | 3.090013E-5 | 2.2834192E-5 | 0.0014788009 | 64.762566 | 0.001456 | 3.7614413E-4 | 2.7797732E-4 | 0.0022894181 | 8.235989 | 0.002012 |
| 7.6 | 3.296375E-6 | 7.8188134E-7 | 4.5278153E-4 | 579.0924 | 4.52E-4 | 1.4127245E-5 | 3.350916E-6 | 5.453491E-4 | 162.74628 | 5.42E-4 | 1.7198564E-4 | 4.079668E-5 | 7.68767E-4 | 18.84386 | 7.28E-4 |
| 7.7 | 2.5741092E-6 | 3.051841E-7 | 2.3630512E-4 | 774.30347 | 2.36E-4 | 1.103185E-5 | 1.3079313E-6 | 2.8530756E-4 | 218.1365 | 2.84E-4 | 1.3430449E-4 | 1.5923957E-5 | 3.8591807E-4 | 24.235062 | 3.7E-4 |
Elsinore (Glen Ivy) rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.985468E-4 | 0.011435221 | 38.30294 | 0.01114 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012790187 | 0.015716529 | 12.287959 | 0.014456 | 0.008420097 | 0.01548273 | 0.035905555 | 2.3190713 | 0.020744 |
| 6.1 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.985468E-4 | 0.011435221 | 38.30294 | 0.01114 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012790187 | 0.015716529 | 12.287959 | 0.014456 | 0.008420097 | 0.01548273 | 0.035905555 | 2.3190713 | 0.020744 |
| 6.2 | 1.6204086E-4 | 2.985468E-4 | 0.011435221 | 38.30294 | 0.01114 | 6.94276E-4 | 0.0012790187 | 0.015716529 | 12.287959 | 0.014456 | 0.008420097 | 0.01548273 | 0.035905555 | 2.3190713 | 0.020744 |
| 6.3 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7966349E-4 | 0.0070964205 | 39.4984 | 0.006918 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.698794E-4 | 0.009910837 | 12.873233 | 0.009148 | 0.005262531 | 0.009354309 | 0.022561599 | 2.4118934 | 0.013332 |
| 6.4 | 1.0111737E-4 | 1.7966349E-4 | 0.0070964205 | 39.4984 | 0.006918 | 4.332882E-4 | 7.698794E-4 | 0.009910837 | 12.873233 | 0.009148 | 0.005262531 | 0.009354309 | 0.022561599 | 2.4118934 | 0.013332 |
| 6.5 | 3.6624708E-5 | 4.7037593E-5 | 0.0018549525 | 39.43553 | 0.001808 | 1.569536E-4 | 2.0157623E-4 | 0.0026690788 | 13.241039 | 0.002468 | 0.001909235 | 0.0024518005 | 0.0060469643 | 2.466336 | 0.003604 |
| 6.6 | 2.5051324E-5 | 2.641884E-5 | 0.0010463919 | 39.60779 | 0.00102 | 1.073584E-4 | 1.1321894E-4 | 0.0014770646 | 13.04609 | 0.001364 | 0.0013063047 | 0.0013776143 | 0.0034148039 | 2.4787807 | 0.00204 |
| 6.7 | 2.2189772E-5 | 2.2268809E-5 | 8.7824976E-4 | 39.43856 | 8.56E-4 | 9.509556E-5 | 9.543447E-5 | 0.0012253267 | 12.839456 | 0.00113 | 0.0011571734 | 0.0011613321 | 0.0028673485 | 2.4690168 | 0.001708 |
| 6.8 | 1.6654378E-5 | 1.46173625E-5 | 5.686093E-4 | 38.899582 | 5.54E-4 | 7.137396E-5 | 6.2644365E-5 | 7.9059874E-4 | 12.620429 | 7.28E-4 | 8.686314E-4 | 7.6243334E-4 | 0.0018815794 | 2.467861 | 0.00112 |
| 6.9 | 1.5042909E-5 | 1.25913475E-5 | 4.685856E-4 | 37.21489 | 4.56E-4 | 6.446802E-5 | 5.396182E-5 | 6.579292E-4 | 12.192495 | 6.04E-4 | 7.8461546E-4 | 6.567904E-4 | 0.001590177 | 2.421133 | 9.34E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.4361385E-5 | 1.1698893E-5 | 4.136942E-4 | 35.361824 | 4.02E-4 | 6.154734E-5 | 5.013717E-5 | 5.841104E-4 | 11.650248 | 5.34E-4 | 7.490812E-4 | 6.102521E-4 | 0.0014417444 | 2.362539 | 8.32E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.3265571E-5 | 1.0459443E-5 | 3.6245576E-4 | 34.653446 | 3.52E-4 | 5.6851208E-5 | 4.482543E-5 | 5.168043E-4 | 11.529265 | 4.72E-4 | 6.919436E-4 | 5.456156E-4 | 0.0012652228 | 2.3188903 | 7.2E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.1596403E-5 | 8.669843E-6 | 2.786675E-4 | 32.142162 | 2.7E-4 | 4.9697923E-5 | 3.715595E-5 | 4.0314236E-4 | 10.850007 | 3.66E-4 | 6.049042E-4 | 4.5228156E-4 | 0.0010200246 | 2.255287 | 5.68E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.0150827E-5 | 7.372941E-6 | 2.1937137E-4 | 29.753578 | 2.12E-4 | 4.3502816E-5 | 3.1597945E-5 | 3.2158877E-4 | 10.177522 | 2.9E-4 | 5.2951806E-4 | 3.8463855E-4 | 8.3846395E-4 | 2.179875 | 4.54E-4 |
| 7.4 | 9.080705E-6 | 6.463305E-6 | 2.06462E-4 | 31.943722 | 2.0E-4 | 3.8916725E-5 | 2.7699592E-5 | 2.9369222E-4 | 10.602763 | 2.66E-4 | 4.7370812E-4 | 3.3719174E-4 | 7.370569E-4 | 2.1858687 | 4.0E-4 |
| 7.5 | 7.671649E-6 | 5.3077333E-6 | 1.3730703E-4 | 25.869242 | 1.32E-4 | 3.287808E-5 | 2.2747237E-5 | 2.1074296E-4 | 9.264552 | 1.88E-4 | 4.0021708E-4 | 2.769137E-4 | 5.668334E-4 | 2.0469677 | 2.9E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.990086E-6 | 4.75655E-6 | 1.2675597E-4 | 26.648722 | 1.22E-4 | 2.9957167E-5 | 2.0385061E-5 | 1.9438152E-4 | 9.535488 | 1.74E-4 | 3.6466747E-4 | 2.4816106E-4 | 5.1609456E-4 | 2.079676 | 2.68E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.163505E-6 | 2.3658915E-6 | 5.836576E-5 | 24.669668 | 5.6E-5 | 1.7843471E-5 | 1.01395E-5 | 9.013869E-5 | 8.889855 | 8.0E-5 | 2.172226E-4 | 1.2344218E-4 | 2.4942664E-4 | 2.0205948 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.517343E-8 | 9.517343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0788606E-7 | 4.0788606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9660052E-6 | 6.965995E-6 | 1.4027362 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 7.9267165E-6 | 7.178724E-6 | 0.012433089 | 1731.9359 | 0.012426 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.0765656E-5 | 0.015096302 | 490.68683 | 0.015066 | 4.1352084E-4 | 3.7451804E-4 | 0.020045148 | 53.52252 | 0.019678 |
| 6.1 | 7.9267165E-6 | 7.178724E-6 | 0.012433089 | 1731.9359 | 0.012426 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.0765656E-5 | 0.015096302 | 490.68683 | 0.015066 | 4.1352084E-4 | 3.7451804E-4 | 0.020045148 | 53.52252 | 0.019678 |
| 6.2 | 7.9267165E-6 | 7.178724E-6 | 0.012433089 | 1731.9359 | 0.012426 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.0765656E-5 | 0.015096302 | 490.68683 | 0.015066 | 4.1352084E-4 | 3.7451804E-4 | 0.020045148 | 53.52252 | 0.019678 |
| 6.3 | 7.9267165E-6 | 7.178724E-6 | 0.012433089 | 1731.9359 | 0.012426 | 3.39712E-5 | 3.0765656E-5 | 0.015096302 | 490.68683 | 0.015066 | 4.1352084E-4 | 3.7451804E-4 | 0.020045148 | 53.52252 | 0.019678 |
| 6.4 | 4.3445207E-6 | 3.430245E-6 | 0.005005413 | 1459.1998 | 0.005002 | 1.8619241E-5 | 1.4700972E-5 | 0.006072612 | 413.07553 | 0.006058 | 2.2666567E-4 | 1.7897054E-4 | 0.00811355 | 45.334557 | 0.007936 |
| 6.5 | 4.3445207E-6 | 3.430245E-6 | 0.005005413 | 1459.1998 | 0.005002 | 1.8619241E-5 | 1.4700972E-5 | 0.006072612 | 413.07553 | 0.006058 | 2.2666567E-4 | 1.7897054E-4 | 0.00811355 | 45.334557 | 0.007936 |
| 6.6 | 4.040109E-6 | 3.1119578E-6 | 0.0042810985 | 1375.6931 | 0.004278 | 1.7314638E-5 | 1.33368985E-5 | 0.005181268 | 388.49124 | 0.005168 | 2.1078532E-4 | 1.6236545E-4 | 0.0069672605 | 42.910976 | 0.006806 |
| 6.7 | 3.3632055E-6 | 2.406454E-6 | 0.0027204 | 1130.46 | 0.002718 | 1.4413658E-5 | 1.0313335E-5 | 0.0032962793 | 319.61334 | 0.003286 | 1.7547216E-4 | 1.2555782E-4 | 0.0044450155 | 35.402138 | 0.00432 |
| 6.8 | 3.2902772E-6 | 2.3304442E-6 | 0.0025423246 | 1090.9183 | 0.00254 | 1.4101111E-5 | 9.9875815E-6 | 0.003071957 | 307.57767 | 0.003062 | 1.716675E-4 | 1.2159222E-4 | 0.0041671004 | 34.27111 | 0.004046 |
| 6.9 | 3.031547E-6 | 2.0829052E-6 | 0.0021440785 | 1029.3693 | 0.002142 | 1.299228E-5 | 8.926707E-6 | 0.0025989036 | 291.138 | 0.00259 | 1.5816953E-4 | 1.0867739E-4 | 0.0035323054 | 32.50267 | 0.003424 |
| 7.0 | 2.8259715E-6 | 1.93776E-6 | 0.001943934 | 1003.1861 | 0.001942 | 1.211125E-5 | 8.304661E-6 | 0.0023482852 | 282.76715 | 0.00234 | 1.4744449E-4 | 1.011047E-4 | 0.0031667948 | 31.321934 | 0.003066 |
| 7.1 | 2.5962665E-6 | 1.7426801E-6 | 0.0016597398 | 952.4065 | 0.001658 | 1.1126809E-5 | 7.468608E-6 | 0.0020174535 | 270.12445 | 0.00201 | 1.3546048E-4 | 9.0926645E-5 | 0.0027086886 | 29.789822 | 0.002618 |
| 7.2 | 2.3247253E-6 | 1.5336603E-6 | 0.0013815316 | 900.80676 | 0.00138 | 9.96307E-6 | 6.572814E-6 | 0.0016985617 | 258.4223 | 0.001692 | 1.21293626E-4 | 8.00212E-5 | 0.002269846 | 28.365559 | 0.00219 |
| 7.3 | 2.056928E-6 | 1.3327112E-6 | 0.0010873312 | 815.8791 | 0.001086 | 8.815376E-6 | 5.711608E-6 | 0.001343704 | 235.25844 | 0.001338 | 1.0732192E-4 | 6.953673E-5 | 0.001791417 | 25.76217 | 0.001722 |
| 7.4 | 1.8055999E-6 | 1.1477089E-6 | 8.611467E-4 | 750.31805 | 8.6E-4 | 7.738263E-6 | 4.918744E-6 | 0.0010649136 | 216.50111 | 0.00106 | 9.4209274E-5 | 5.9884173E-5 | 0.0014458012 | 24.143293 | 0.001386 |
| 7.5 | 1.4683443E-6 | 8.278171E-7 | 6.388273E-4 | 771.70105 | 6.38E-4 | 6.292889E-6 | 3.547783E-6 | 7.87545E-4 | 221.9823 | 7.84E-4 | 7.661323E-5 | 4.319347E-5 | 0.0010771488 | 24.937769 | 0.001034 |
| 7.6 | 9.804088E-7 | 3.400627E-7 | 2.1433999E-4 | 630.2955 | 2.14E-4 | 4.201745E-6 | 1.4574109E-6 | 2.7945702E-4 | 191.74895 | 2.78E-4 | 5.1155046E-5 | 1.7743854E-5 | 3.8973725E-4 | 21.964632 | 3.72E-4 |
| 7.7 | 7.3434086E-7 | 1.099843E-7 | 2.6109981E-5 | 237.39735 | 2.6E-5 | 3.1471714E-6 | 4.713612E-7 | 3.8471342E-5 | 81.61754 | 3.8E-5 | 3.831614E-5 | 5.738808E-6 | 6.5738466E-5 | 11.455073 | 6.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 6.434184E-7 | 6.4351454E-8 | 1.2064351E-5 | 187.47597 | 1.2E-5 | 2.7575045E-6 | 2.757919E-7 | 1.2275788E-5 | 44.511055 | 1.2E-5 | 3.35721E-5 | 3.3577614E-6 | 2.5357687E-5 | 7.5519624 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 3.4943926E-7 | 3.333394E-8 | 2.0333339E-6 | 60.998905 | 2.0E-6 | 1.497596E-6 | 1.4285975E-7 | 2.1428596E-6 | 14.999743 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8233079E-5 | 1.739316E-6 | 7.739305E-6 | 4.449626 | 6.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 6.717524E-8 | 3.4761607E-9 | 3.4761607E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8789387E-7 | 1.4897836E-8 | 1.4897836E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.505102E-6 | 1.8138114E-7 | 1.8138114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 3.1984914E-8 | 6.8745665E-10 | 6.8745665E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.370782E-7 | 2.9462481E-9 | 2.9462481E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6689258E-6 | 3.5870567E-8 | 3.5870567E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.2 | 1.21887656E-8 | 2.8630276E-10 | 2.8630276E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2237567E-8 | 1.2270145E-9 | 1.2270145E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.359922E-7 | 1.49389E-8 | 1.49389E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission Creek
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1549387E-5 | 8.812857E-6 | 0.009014733 | 1022.90704 | 0.009006 | 4.9496433E-5 | 3.776891E-5 | 0.01114135 | 294.9873 | 0.011104 | 6.0245243E-4 | 4.597518E-4 | 0.014941091 | 32.498165 | 0.014488 |
| 6.1 | 1.1549387E-5 | 8.812857E-6 | 0.009014733 | 1022.90704 | 0.009006 | 4.9496433E-5 | 3.776891E-5 | 0.01114135 | 294.9873 | 0.011104 | 6.0245243E-4 | 4.597518E-4 | 0.014941091 | 32.498165 | 0.014488 |
| 6.2 | 1.1549387E-5 | 8.812857E-6 | 0.009014733 | 1022.90704 | 0.009006 | 4.9496433E-5 | 3.776891E-5 | 0.01114135 | 294.9873 | 0.011104 | 6.0245243E-4 | 4.597518E-4 | 0.014941091 | 32.498165 | 0.014488 |
| 6.3 | 1.1549387E-5 | 8.812857E-6 | 0.009014733 | 1022.90704 | 0.009006 | 4.9496433E-5 | 3.776891E-5 | 0.01114135 | 294.9873 | 0.011104 | 6.0245243E-4 | 4.597518E-4 | 0.014941091 | 32.498165 | 0.014488 |
| 6.4 | 1.1549387E-5 | 8.812857E-6 | 0.009014733 | 1022.90704 | 0.009006 | 4.9496433E-5 | 3.776891E-5 | 0.01114135 | 294.9873 | 0.011104 | 6.0245243E-4 | 4.597518E-4 | 0.014941091 | 32.498165 | 0.014488 |
| 6.5 | 1.1549387E-5 | 8.812857E-6 | 0.009014733 | 1022.90704 | 0.009006 | 4.9496433E-5 | 3.776891E-5 | 0.01114135 | 294.9873 | 0.011104 | 6.0245243E-4 | 4.597518E-4 | 0.014941091 | 32.498165 | 0.014488 |
| 6.6 | 9.202681E-6 | 6.3291827E-6 | 0.006304289 | 996.0669 | 0.006298 | 3.9439463E-5 | 2.7124823E-5 | 0.0078129135 | 288.03555 | 0.007786 | 4.800697E-4 | 3.30201E-4 | 0.010582815 | 32.049614 | 0.010256 |
| 6.7 | 9.019164E-6 | 6.134272E-6 | 0.006116097 | 997.03705 | 0.00611 | 3.8652986E-5 | 2.6289508E-5 | 0.007580091 | 288.3314 | 0.007554 | 4.7049852E-4 | 3.2003407E-4 | 0.010248856 | 32.024265 | 0.009932 |
| 6.8 | 8.673558E-6 | 5.7645084E-6 | 0.005481733 | 950.94543 | 0.005476 | 3.717186E-5 | 2.4704837E-5 | 0.0068045375 | 275.4334 | 0.00678 | 4.524734E-4 | 3.0074603E-4 | 0.00922806 | 30.683899 | 0.00893 |
| 6.9 | 7.002255E-6 | 3.9673832E-6 | 0.0030799552 | 776.31903 | 0.003076 | 3.000932E-5 | 1.7002983E-5 | 0.0038309381 | 225.30975 | 0.003814 | 3.653022E-4 | 2.069958E-4 | 0.005229956 | 25.266 | 0.005024 |
| 7.0 | 5.84644E-6 | 3.3506185E-6 | 0.0024473425 | 730.4151 | 0.002444 | 2.5055931E-5 | 1.4359736E-5 | 0.0030503161 | 212.42146 | 0.003036 | 3.0501327E-4 | 1.7481955E-4 | 0.0041521243 | 23.750914 | 0.003978 |
| 7.1 | 5.54703E-6 | 3.0437002E-6 | 0.002179037 | 715.9171 | 0.002176 | 2.377277E-5 | 1.3044385E-5 | 0.0027030094 | 207.21631 | 0.00269 | 2.8939504E-4 | 1.5880751E-4 | 0.0036802483 | 23.17427 | 0.003522 |
| 7.2 | 4.384709E-6 | 2.2615661E-6 | 0.0015002582 | 663.37134 | 0.001498 | 1.8791474E-5 | 9.69241E-6 | 0.0018636745 | 192.28185 | 0.001854 | 2.2876218E-4 | 1.1800217E-4 | 0.0025477153 | 21.59041 | 0.00243 |
| 7.3 | 3.7888456E-6 | 1.706659E-6 | 0.0011237047 | 658.4237 | 0.001122 | 1.623781E-5 | 7.31425E-6 | 0.0014053041 | 192.13235 | 0.001398 | 1.9767738E-4 | 8.905053E-5 | 0.0019008892 | 21.346186 | 0.001812 |
| 7.4 | 2.1982462E-6 | 3.0142107E-8 | 1.8030141E-5 | 598.1712 | 1.8E-5 | 9.421021E-6 | 1.2918046E-7 | 2.2129178E-5 | 171.30437 | 2.2E-5 | 1.1469489E-4 | 1.5727709E-6 | 2.757273E-5 | 17.531307 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 2.051923E-6 | 2.746936E-8 | 1.4027469E-5 | 510.65875 | 1.4E-5 | 8.793926E-6 | 1.17725826E-7 | 1.8117724E-5 | 153.89761 | 1.8E-5 | 1.0706078E-4 | 1.4333109E-6 | 2.343328E-5 | 16.349054 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.8733427E-6 | 2.0973287E-8 | 6.020973E-6 | 287.0782 | 6.0E-6 | 8.028587E-6 | 8.988551E-8 | 6.089885E-6 | 67.75158 | 6.0E-6 | 9.774366E-5 | 1.0943555E-6 | 9.094347E-6 | 8.310231 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 1.8411953E-6 | 1.9020106E-8 | 6.01902E-6 | 316.45563 | 6.0E-6 | 7.890813E-6 | 8.151474E-8 | 6.081514E-6 | 74.606316 | 6.0E-6 | 9.606641E-5 | 9.924415E-7 | 8.992433E-6 | 9.060921 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.7194251E-6 | 1.8677587E-8 | 6.0186776E-6 | 322.24063 | 6.0E-6 | 7.368944E-6 | 8.0046796E-8 | 6.080046E-6 | 75.95615 | 6.0E-6 | 8.97132E-5 | 9.745693E-7 | 6.9745633E-6 | 7.15656 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 1.4035052E-6 | 1.8522654E-8 | 6.0185225E-6 | 324.92767 | 6.0E-6 | 6.0150082E-6 | 7.9382794E-8 | 6.0793823E-6 | 76.58312 | 6.0E-6 | 7.3230265E-5 | 9.664851E-7 | 6.9664793E-6 | 7.208057 | 6.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 3.9318823E-7 | 6.5308456E-9 | 2.0065308E-6 | 307.23904 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6850913E-6 | 2.798934E-8 | 2.0279892E-6 | 72.45577 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0515794E-5 | 3.4077016E-7 | 2.3407695E-6 | 6.8690567 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 1.596793E-7 | 1.0542662E-9 | 1.0542662E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8433974E-7 | 4.518281E-9 | 4.518281E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.331805E-6 | 5.5010066E-8 | 5.5010066E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.2 | 4.9003038E-8 | 2.9940195E-10 | 2.9940195E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.10013E-7 | 1.2831507E-9 | 1.2831507E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5569052E-6 | 1.5622362E-8 | 1.5622362E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Burnt Mtn
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1820352E-5 | 0.0068697394 | 581.1789 | 0.006858 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.06584E-5 | 0.008780216 | 173.322 | 0.00873 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1672175E-4 | 0.012683275 | 20.565638 | 0.012074 |
| 6.1 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1820352E-5 | 0.0068697394 | 581.1789 | 0.006858 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.06584E-5 | 0.008780216 | 173.322 | 0.00873 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1672175E-4 | 0.012683275 | 20.565638 | 0.012074 |
| 6.2 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1820352E-5 | 0.0068697394 | 581.1789 | 0.006858 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.06584E-5 | 0.008780216 | 173.322 | 0.00873 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1672175E-4 | 0.012683275 | 20.565638 | 0.012074 |
| 6.3 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1820352E-5 | 0.0068697394 | 581.1789 | 0.006858 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.06584E-5 | 0.008780216 | 173.322 | 0.00873 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1672175E-4 | 0.012683275 | 20.565638 | 0.012074 |
| 6.4 | 1.5673151E-5 | 1.1820352E-5 | 0.0068697394 | 581.1789 | 0.006858 | 6.716892E-5 | 5.06584E-5 | 0.008780216 | 173.322 | 0.00873 | 8.1747473E-4 | 6.1672175E-4 | 0.012683275 | 20.565638 | 0.012074 |
| 6.5 | 1.36191375E-5 | 1.0129884E-5 | 0.006082068 | 600.4085 | 0.006072 | 5.8366426E-5 | 4.341379E-5 | 0.0078090765 | 179.87549 | 0.007766 | 7.103795E-4 | 5.285629E-4 | 0.011282875 | 21.346325 | 0.01076 |
Cucamonga
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1848348E-5 | 8.066149E-6 | 0.0051760245 | 641.6971 | 0.005168 | 5.0777642E-5 | 3.456876E-5 | 0.0065243444 | 188.73529 | 0.00649 | 6.180424E-4 | 4.207939E-4 | 0.009051161 | 21.509724 | 0.008634 |
| 6.1 | 1.1848348E-5 | 8.066149E-6 | 0.0051760245 | 641.6971 | 0.005168 | 5.0777642E-5 | 3.456876E-5 | 0.0065243444 | 188.73529 | 0.00649 | 6.180424E-4 | 4.207939E-4 | 0.009051161 | 21.509724 | 0.008634 |
| 6.2 | 1.1848348E-5 | 8.066149E-6 | 0.0051760245 | 641.6971 | 0.005168 | 5.0777642E-5 | 3.456876E-5 | 0.0065243444 | 188.73529 | 0.00649 | 6.180424E-4 | 4.207939E-4 | 0.009051161 | 21.509724 | 0.008634 |
| 6.3 | 1.1848348E-5 | 8.066149E-6 | 0.0051760245 | 641.6971 | 0.005168 | 5.0777642E-5 | 3.456876E-5 | 0.0065243444 | 188.73529 | 0.00649 | 6.180424E-4 | 4.207939E-4 | 0.009051161 | 21.509724 | 0.008634 |
| 6.4 | 1.1848348E-5 | 8.066149E-6 | 0.0051760245 | 641.6971 | 0.005168 | 5.0777642E-5 | 3.456876E-5 | 0.0065243444 | 188.73529 | 0.00649 | 6.180424E-4 | 4.207939E-4 | 0.009051161 | 21.509724 | 0.008634 |
| 6.5 | 1.16988695E-5 | 7.904554E-6 | 0.0051038642 | 645.6866 | 0.005096 | 5.013705E-5 | 3.3876222E-5 | 0.0064356592 | 189.97571 | 0.006402 | 6.102476E-4 | 4.123655E-4 | 0.008922854 | 21.638218 | 0.008514 |
| 6.6 | 1.16988695E-5 | 7.904554E-6 | 0.0051038642 | 645.6866 | 0.005096 | 5.013705E-5 | 3.3876222E-5 | 0.0064356592 | 189.97571 | 0.006402 | 6.102476E-4 | 4.123655E-4 | 0.008922854 | 21.638218 | 0.008514 |
| 6.7 | 1.1397107E-5 | 7.682362E-6 | 0.004837645 | 629.70807 | 0.00483 | 4.884383E-5 | 3.2923996E-5 | 0.006070725 | 184.38605 | 0.006038 | 5.9451134E-4 | 4.0077642E-4 | 0.008417563 | 21.003136 | 0.00802 |
| 6.8 | 1.058387E-5 | 7.2221096E-6 | 0.004333191 | 599.9896 | 0.004326 | 4.5358654E-5 | 3.0951534E-5 | 0.0054487837 | 176.04245 | 0.005418 | 5.521017E-4 | 3.7677021E-4 | 0.007596049 | 20.160961 | 0.007222 |
| 6.9 | 9.690046E-6 | 6.4903356E-6 | 0.0037904659 | 584.0169 | 0.003784 | 4.1528107E-5 | 2.781543E-5 | 0.0047376845 | 170.32578 | 0.00471 | 5.054874E-4 | 3.3860042E-4 | 0.006584485 | 19.44618 | 0.006248 |
| 7.0 | 9.381461E-6 | 6.2183435E-6 | 0.0035581964 | 572.20966 | 0.003552 | 4.020564E-5 | 2.6649772E-5 | 0.0044505317 | 167.00075 | 0.004424 | 4.893937E-4 | 3.2441286E-4 | 0.006206504 | 19.131498 | 0.005884 |
| 7.1 | 8.946492E-6 | 5.8931996E-6 | 0.0033518735 | 568.7697 | 0.003346 | 3.8341543E-5 | 2.5256326E-5 | 0.0041811513 | 165.54868 | 0.004156 | 4.667083E-4 | 3.0745254E-4 | 0.005817758 | 18.922457 | 0.005512 |
| 7.2 | 8.251016E-6 | 5.402462E-6 | 0.0029313867 | 542.602 | 0.002926 | 3.5361016E-5 | 2.3153205E-5 | 0.003665069 | 158.29639 | 0.003642 | 4.3043532E-4 | 2.8185395E-4 | 0.005070504 | 17.989826 | 0.00479 |
| 7.3 | 7.717881E-6 | 5.0051817E-6 | 0.002624992 | 524.4549 | 0.00262 | 3.3076216E-5 | 2.1450602E-5 | 0.0032773807 | 152.78735 | 0.003256 | 4.026285E-4 | 2.611299E-4 | 0.004546011 | 17.409 | 0.004286 |
| 7.4 | 7.275623E-6 | 4.6741616E-6 | 0.0023266634 | 497.77124 | 0.002322 | 3.118087E-5 | 2.0031968E-5 | 0.002911974 | 145.36635 | 0.002892 | 3.7956095E-4 | 2.4386204E-4 | 0.0040509333 | 16.611578 | 0.003808 |
| 7.5 | 6.5109502E-6 | 4.1094645E-6 | 0.0019061016 | 463.8321 | 0.001902 | 2.7903774E-5 | 1.7611874E-5 | 0.0023815702 | 135.22527 | 0.002364 | 3.3967546E-4 | 2.1440357E-4 | 0.0033237368 | 15.502246 | 0.00311 |
| 7.6 | 5.4495326E-6 | 3.2087053E-6 | 0.0012872046 | 401.16013 | 0.001284 | 2.335493E-5 | 1.3751522E-5 | 0.0016277293 | 118.36722 | 0.001614 | 2.8430918E-4 | 1.6741196E-4 | 0.0022910563 | 13.685142 | 0.002124 |
| 7.7 | 4.7997164E-6 | 2.7326196E-6 | 9.987298E-4 | 365.4844 | 9.96E-4 | 2.057005E-5 | 1.1711175E-5 | 0.0012516966 | 106.88054 | 0.00124 | 2.504116E-4 | 1.4257425E-4 | 0.0017603436 | 12.346855 | 0.001618 |
| 7.8 | 3.3941733E-6 | 1.990994E-6 | 7.059896E-4 | 354.59152 | 7.04E-4 | 1.4546376E-5 | 8.532803E-6 | 8.8252535E-4 | 103.42736 | 8.74E-4 | 1.7708774E-4 | 1.0388195E-4 | 0.0012457633 | 11.992106 | 0.001142 |
| 7.9 | 9.750552E-7 | 5.356144E-7 | 1.5853553E-4 | 295.9882 | 1.58E-4 | 4.178801E-6 | 2.2954882E-6 | 2.0429502E-4 | 88.998505 | 2.02E-4 | 5.0875715E-5 | 2.7947215E-5 | 2.9993962E-4 | 10.732361 | 2.72E-4 |
| 8.0 | 1.133857E-7 | 6.24966E-8 | 2.2062495E-5 | 353.0191 | 2.2E-5 | 4.8593864E-7 | 2.6784255E-7 | 2.4267836E-5 | 90.60486 | 2.4E-5 | 5.9162867E-6 | 3.2609785E-6 | 3.7260867E-5 | 11.426285 | 3.4E-5 |
San Jacinto (San Bernardino)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.399087E-5 | 9.393763E-6 | 0.004587351 | 488.34003 | 0.004578 | 1.4566703E-4 | 4.0258372E-5 | 0.00571603 | 141.98364 | 0.005676 | 0.0017720532 | 4.9003604E-4 | 0.008102304 | 16.534098 | 0.007616 |
| 6.1 | 3.399087E-5 | 9.393763E-6 | 0.004587351 | 488.34003 | 0.004578 | 1.4566703E-4 | 4.0258372E-5 | 0.00571603 | 141.98364 | 0.005676 | 0.0017720532 | 4.9003604E-4 | 0.008102304 | 16.534098 | 0.007616 |
| 6.2 | 3.399087E-5 | 9.393763E-6 | 0.004587351 | 488.34003 | 0.004578 | 1.4566703E-4 | 4.0258372E-5 | 0.00571603 | 141.98364 | 0.005676 | 0.0017720532 | 4.9003604E-4 | 0.008102304 | 16.534098 | 0.007616 |
| 6.3 | 3.399087E-5 | 9.393763E-6 | 0.004587351 | 488.34003 | 0.004578 | 1.4566703E-4 | 4.0258372E-5 | 0.00571603 | 141.98364 | 0.005676 | 0.0017720532 | 4.9003604E-4 | 0.008102304 | 16.534098 | 0.007616 |
| 6.4 | 3.399087E-5 | 9.393763E-6 | 0.004587351 | 488.34003 | 0.004578 | 1.4566703E-4 | 4.0258372E-5 | 0.00571603 | 141.98364 | 0.005676 | 0.0017720532 | 4.9003604E-4 | 0.008102304 | 16.534098 | 0.007616 |
| 6.5 | 3.341482E-5 | 8.668324E-6 | 0.0028526436 | 329.08826 | 0.002844 | 1.4319851E-4 | 3.7149435E-5 | 0.003551019 | 95.587425 | 0.003514 | 0.0017420477 | 4.5220094E-4 | 0.0051300847 | 11.344701 | 0.00468 |
| 6.6 | 3.3364955E-5 | 8.60475E-6 | 0.002746581 | 319.1936 | 0.002738 | 1.4298483E-4 | 3.687698E-5 | 0.003422752 | 92.81541 | 0.003386 | 0.0017394501 | 4.4888526E-4 | 0.0049508633 | 11.029241 | 0.004504 |
| 6.7 | 3.335922E-5 | 8.600778E-6 | 0.0027305773 | 317.4803 | 0.002722 | 1.4296026E-4 | 3.6859958E-5 | 0.003400736 | 92.26098 | 0.003364 | 0.0017391514 | 4.486781E-4 | 0.0049206708 | 10.96704 | 0.004474 |
| 6.8 | 3.327683E-5 | 8.49782E-6 | 0.002574476 | 302.9572 | 0.002566 | 1.4260718E-4 | 3.641872E-5 | 0.0031943037 | 87.71048 | 0.003158 | 0.0017348597 | 4.4330826E-4 | 0.0046254536 | 10.433944 | 0.004184 |
| 6.9 | 3.3235785E-5 | 8.45263E-6 | 0.0025204313 | 298.1831 | 0.002512 | 1.4243131E-4 | 3.6225058E-5 | 0.003130113 | 86.4074 | 0.003094 | 0.0017327217 | 4.4095135E-4 | 0.0045391433 | 10.293978 | 0.0041 |
| 7.0 | 3.3197095E-5 | 8.411572E-6 | 0.0024803907 | 294.8784 | 0.002472 | 1.422655E-4 | 3.60491E-5 | 0.0030799394 | 85.43735 | 0.003044 | 0.0017307063 | 4.3880992E-4 | 0.004475038 | 10.198124 | 0.004038 |
| 7.1 | 3.3129716E-5 | 8.354911E-6 | 0.0024103348 | 288.49316 | 0.002402 | 1.4197677E-4 | 3.580627E-5 | 0.0029917005 | 83.55241 | 0.002956 | 0.0017271966 | 4.3585472E-4 | 0.0043621426 | 10.008249 | 0.003928 |
| 7.2 | 3.3034008E-5 | 8.2539145E-6 | 0.0023142349 | 280.38028 | 0.002306 | 1.4156665E-4 | 3.5373443E-5 | 0.002879273 | 81.396454 | 0.002844 | 0.0017222111 | 4.3058713E-4 | 0.004204961 | 9.765646 | 0.003776 |
| 7.3 | 3.2956614E-5 | 8.180805E-6 | 0.0022681623 | 277.25418 | 0.00226 | 1.4123498E-4 | 3.5060122E-5 | 0.0028309622 | 80.745926 | 0.002796 | 0.0017181796 | 4.2677394E-4 | 0.0041351905 | 9.689417 | 0.00371 |
| 7.4 | 3.2915937E-5 | 8.15463E-6 | 0.0022441363 | 275.19778 | 0.002236 | 1.4106068E-4 | 3.4947952E-5 | 0.0028068512 | 80.31518 | 0.002772 | 0.0017160608 | 4.2540883E-4 | 0.004109841 | 9.66092 | 0.003686 |
| 7.5 | 3.281791E-5 | 8.077076E-6 | 0.0022120592 | 273.86884 | 0.002204 | 1.406406E-4 | 3.4615583E-5 | 0.0027625212 | 79.80571 | 0.002728 | 0.0017109542 | 4.2136377E-4 | 0.0040558316 | 9.625487 | 0.003636 |
| 7.6 | 3.2521442E-5 | 7.854204E-6 | 0.0021198376 | 269.89844 | 0.002112 | 1.3937015E-4 | 3.3660446E-5 | 0.0026455724 | 78.59589 | 0.002612 | 0.0016955109 | 4.097394E-4 | 0.0039023077 | 9.523877 | 0.003494 |
| 7.7 | 3.0287873E-5 | 6.368895E-6 | 0.001712358 | 268.86267 | 0.001706 | 1.297987E-4 | 2.729498E-5 | 0.0021192378 | 77.64204 | 0.002092 | 0.0015791537 | 3.3226595E-4 | 0.0031233383 | 9.400116 | 0.002792 |
| 7.8 | 2.6316151E-5 | 4.6273058E-6 | 0.0012146217 | 262.49005 | 0.00121 | 1.1277862E-4 | 1.983116E-5 | 0.001493802 | 75.326 | 0.001474 | 0.0013722149 | 2.4141766E-4 | 0.0022089425 | 9.149879 | 0.001968 |
| 7.9 | 2.0761147E-5 | 3.0205456E-6 | 6.4301863E-4 | 212.8816 | 6.4E-4 | 8.897331E-5 | 1.2945131E-5 | 7.889351E-4 | 60.944542 | 7.76E-4 | 0.0010827117 | 1.5759558E-4 | 0.0011874333 | 7.534686 | 0.00103 |
| 8.0 | 1.5738568E-5 | 2.160606E-6 | 3.801598E-4 | 175.95053 | 3.78E-4 | 6.744926E-5 | 9.259707E-6 | 4.552556E-4 | 49.165222 | 4.46E-4 | 8.2088535E-4 | 1.1273112E-4 | 7.0866395E-4 | 6.28632 | 5.96E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.0105832E-5 | 1.3049221E-6 | 2.0130466E-4 | 154.26566 | 2.0E-4 | 4.3309992E-5 | 5.592511E-6 | 2.4559116E-4 | 43.914295 | 2.4E-4 | 5.2717153E-4 | 6.808671E-5 | 3.8806492E-4 | 5.6995697 | 3.2E-4 |
| 8.2 | 4.189207E-6 | 2.2914492E-7 | 2.222914E-5 | 97.009094 | 2.2E-5 | 1.7953622E-5 | 9.820492E-7 | 2.2982027E-5 | 23.402113 | 2.2E-5 | 2.1856341E-4 | 1.1956385E-5 | 5.1955907E-5 | 4.345453 | 4.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.1420727E-8 | 6.0514203E-6 | 117.68446 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2037452E-7 | 6.220373E-6 | 28.226372 | 6.0E-6 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.6830564E-6 | 1.668302E-5 | 6.2179155 | 1.4E-5 |
San Gorgonio Pass
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 7.644328E-6 | 2.4235449E-6 | 0.0047264122 | 1950.2062 | 0.004724 | 3.2760996E-5 | 1.03866E-5 | 0.0057823267 | 556.71027 | 0.005772 | 3.987921E-4 | 1.2645304E-4 | 0.0076894965 | 60.809105 | 0.007564 |
| 6.1 | 7.644328E-6 | 2.4235449E-6 | 0.0047264122 | 1950.2062 | 0.004724 | 3.2760996E-5 | 1.03866E-5 | 0.0057823267 | 556.71027 | 0.005772 | 3.987921E-4 | 1.2645304E-4 | 0.0076894965 | 60.809105 | 0.007564 |
| 6.2 | 7.644328E-6 | 2.4235449E-6 | 0.0047264122 | 1950.2062 | 0.004724 | 3.2760996E-5 | 1.03866E-5 | 0.0057823267 | 556.71027 | 0.005772 | 3.987921E-4 | 1.2645304E-4 | 0.0076894965 | 60.809105 | 0.007564 |
| 6.3 | 7.644328E-6 | 2.4235449E-6 | 0.0047264122 | 1950.2062 | 0.004724 | 3.2760996E-5 | 1.03866E-5 | 0.0057823267 | 556.71027 | 0.005772 | 3.987921E-4 | 1.2645304E-4 | 0.0076894965 | 60.809105 | 0.007564 |
| 6.4 | 7.644328E-6 | 2.4235449E-6 | 0.0047264122 | 1950.2062 | 0.004724 | 3.2760996E-5 | 1.03866E-5 | 0.0057823267 | 556.71027 | 0.005772 | 3.987921E-4 | 1.2645304E-4 | 0.0076894965 | 60.809105 | 0.007564 |
| 6.5 | 7.644328E-6 | 2.4235449E-6 | 0.0047264122 | 1950.2062 | 0.004724 | 3.2760996E-5 | 1.03866E-5 | 0.0057823267 | 556.71027 | 0.005772 | 3.987921E-4 | 1.2645304E-4 | 0.0076894965 | 60.809105 | 0.007564 |
| 6.6 | 7.644328E-6 | 2.4235449E-6 | 0.0047264122 | 1950.2062 | 0.004724 | 3.2760996E-5 | 1.03866E-5 | 0.0057823267 | 556.71027 | 0.005772 | 3.987921E-4 | 1.2645304E-4 | 0.0076894965 | 60.809105 | 0.007564 |
| 6.7 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.7257247E-6 | 0.0035837195 | 2076.646 | 0.003582 | 2.9946454E-5 | 7.3959595E-6 | 0.0044053635 | 595.6446 | 0.004398 | 3.645371E-4 | 9.004516E-5 | 0.005841527 | 64.87331 | 0.005752 |
| 6.8 | 6.987586E-6 | 1.7257247E-6 | 0.0035837195 | 2076.646 | 0.003582 | 2.9946454E-5 | 7.3959595E-6 | 0.0044053635 | 595.6446 | 0.004398 | 3.645371E-4 | 9.004516E-5 | 0.005841527 | 64.87331 | 0.005752 |
| 6.9 | 5.504702E-6 | 1.5476552E-7 | 2.0215474E-4 | 1306.2001 | 2.02E-4 | 2.3591367E-5 | 6.632806E-7 | 2.666631E-4 | 402.03662 | 2.66E-4 | 2.8718702E-4 | 8.075413E-6 | 3.440727E-4 | 42.607445 | 3.36E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.4825764E-6 | 1.3576363E-7 | 1.7213574E-4 | 1267.9076 | 1.72E-4 | 2.3496545E-5 | 5.81844E-7 | 2.2858172E-4 | 392.8574 | 2.28E-4 | 2.8603288E-4 | 7.083928E-6 | 2.930819E-4 | 41.372795 | 2.86E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.4692787E-6 | 1.2550069E-7 | 1.6612548E-4 | 1323.7018 | 1.66E-4 | 2.3439556E-5 | 5.3786E-7 | 2.1453775E-4 | 398.87286 | 2.14E-4 | 2.8533922E-4 | 6.5484255E-6 | 2.705467E-4 | 41.31477 | 2.64E-4 |
| 7.2 | 5.453661E-6 | 1.1693479E-7 | 1.5411692E-4 | 1317.9731 | 1.54E-4 | 2.3372622E-5 | 5.0114903E-7 | 1.9450106E-4 | 388.11023 | 1.94E-4 | 2.8452452E-4 | 6.101472E-6 | 2.4410003E-4 | 40.00674 | 2.38E-4 |
| 7.3 | 5.4422303E-6 | 1.123925E-7 | 1.4011237E-4 | 1246.6346 | 1.4E-4 | 2.3323635E-5 | 4.8168204E-7 | 1.764816E-4 | 366.38608 | 1.76E-4 | 2.8392827E-4 | 5.864463E-6 | 2.2586317E-4 | 38.51387 | 2.2E-4 |
| 7.4 | 5.398595E-6 | 1.013739E-7 | 1.1010136E-4 | 1086.0918 | 1.1E-4 | 2.313663E-5 | 4.3445948E-7 | 1.444344E-4 | 332.44617 | 1.44E-4 | 2.8165206E-4 | 5.2895316E-6 | 1.8528858E-4 | 35.029297 | 1.8E-4 |
| 7.5 | 5.3578788E-6 | 9.478446E-8 | 9.809477E-5 | 1034.9247 | 9.8E-5 | 2.2962136E-5 | 4.0621904E-7 | 1.2840617E-4 | 316.1008 | 1.28E-4 | 2.7952815E-4 | 4.9457058E-6 | 1.6294493E-4 | 32.946747 | 1.58E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.8091474E-6 | 8.431534E-8 | 7.608431E-5 | 902.37805 | 7.6E-5 | 2.0610469E-5 | 3.613514E-7 | 1.06361316E-4 | 294.34317 | 1.06E-4 | 2.5090357E-4 | 4.3994446E-6 | 1.3639887E-4 | 31.003656 | 1.32E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.5991155E-6 | 3.1233828E-8 | 3.0031233E-5 | 961.497 | 3.0E-5 | 6.853334E-6 | 1.3385926E-7 | 3.6133853E-5 | 269.93915 | 3.6E-5 | 8.343615E-5 | 1.6297353E-6 | 4.162967E-5 | 25.543825 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 9.258398E-7 | 2.9440429E-8 | 2.402944E-5 | 816.2055 | 2.4E-5 | 3.967879E-6 | 1.2617326E-7 | 3.012617E-5 | 238.76826 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8307855E-5 | 1.5361583E-6 | 3.3536107E-5 | 21.831154 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 5.975575E-7 | 2.8816626E-8 | 2.2028817E-5 | 764.4482 | 2.2E-5 | 2.5609581E-6 | 1.2349982E-7 | 2.8123497E-5 | 227.72096 | 2.8E-5 | 3.117922E-5 | 1.5036092E-6 | 3.1503565E-5 | 20.951963 | 3.0E-5 |
| 8.0 | 3.4413725E-7 | 1.8980371E-8 | 1.801898E-5 | 949.3481 | 1.8E-5 | 1.4748731E-6 | 8.1344446E-8 | 2.4081342E-5 | 296.04163 | 2.4E-5 | 1.7956432E-5 | 9.903681E-7 | 2.4990344E-5 | 25.233389 | 2.4E-5 |
| 8.1 | 1.1787731E-8 | 3.9964687E-10 | 3.9964687E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0518846E-8 | 1.7127714E-9 | 1.7127714E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1506677E-7 | 2.085299E-8 | 2.085299E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino N)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4273766E-4 | 5.8002915E-6 | 0.0036197794 | 624.06854 | 0.003614 | 6.115894E-4 | 2.4858155E-5 | 0.004576745 | 184.11443 | 0.004552 | 0.0074207084 | 3.0260626E-4 | 0.006356774 | 21.006748 | 0.006056 |
| 6.1 | 1.4273766E-4 | 5.8002915E-6 | 0.0036197794 | 624.06854 | 0.003614 | 6.115894E-4 | 2.4858155E-5 | 0.004576745 | 184.11443 | 0.004552 | 0.0074207084 | 3.0260626E-4 | 0.006356774 | 21.006748 | 0.006056 |
| 6.2 | 1.4273766E-4 | 5.8002915E-6 | 0.0036197794 | 624.06854 | 0.003614 | 6.115894E-4 | 2.4858155E-5 | 0.004576745 | 184.11443 | 0.004552 | 0.0074207084 | 3.0260626E-4 | 0.006356774 | 21.006748 | 0.006056 |
| 6.3 | 1.3730655E-4 | 5.8002915E-6 | 0.0036197794 | 624.06854 | 0.003614 | 5.883239E-4 | 2.4858155E-5 | 0.004576745 | 184.11443 | 0.004552 | 0.0071393442 | 3.0260626E-4 | 0.006356774 | 21.006748 | 0.006056 |
| 6.4 | 1.3730655E-4 | 5.8002915E-6 | 0.0036197794 | 624.06854 | 0.003614 | 5.883239E-4 | 2.4858155E-5 | 0.004576745 | 184.11443 | 0.004552 | 0.0071393442 | 3.0260626E-4 | 0.006356774 | 21.006748 | 0.006056 |
| 6.5 | 1.2942807E-4 | 5.8002915E-6 | 0.0036197794 | 624.06854 | 0.003614 | 5.545738E-4 | 2.4858155E-5 | 0.004576745 | 184.11443 | 0.004552 | 0.0067310524 | 3.0260626E-4 | 0.006356774 | 21.006748 | 0.006056 |
| 6.6 | 1.1125901E-4 | 5.8002915E-6 | 0.0036197794 | 624.06854 | 0.003614 | 4.767372E-4 | 2.4858155E-5 | 0.004576745 | 184.11443 | 0.004552 | 0.005788839 | 3.0260626E-4 | 0.006356774 | 21.006748 | 0.006056 |
| 6.7 | 1.02209575E-4 | 5.6527574E-6 | 0.0033976336 | 601.05774 | 0.003392 | 4.3796748E-4 | 2.422588E-5 | 0.004272123 | 176.34543 | 0.004248 | 0.0053192247 | 2.9491037E-4 | 0.005933247 | 20.118814 | 0.00564 |
| 6.8 | 9.610582E-5 | 5.479127E-6 | 0.003121462 | 569.7006 | 0.003116 | 4.1181705E-4 | 2.3481763E-5 | 0.0039353897 | 167.59346 | 0.003912 | 0.0050023515 | 2.8585314E-4 | 0.0054863663 | 19.192953 | 0.005202 |
| 6.9 | 9.3877505E-5 | 5.177125E-6 | 0.0027751627 | 536.0433 | 0.00277 | 4.0227012E-4 | 2.2187489E-5 | 0.0034801108 | 156.85014 | 0.003458 | 0.0048866454 | 2.700993E-4 | 0.004846863 | 17.944744 | 0.004578 |
| 7.0 | 9.1019785E-5 | 4.9539312E-6 | 0.0023269425 | 469.71634 | 0.002322 | 3.900265E-4 | 2.123096E-5 | 0.0029111695 | 137.11906 | 0.00289 | 0.0047382377 | 2.5845636E-4 | 0.004097464 | 15.8536 | 0.00384 |
| 7.1 | 8.771155E-5 | 4.820323E-6 | 0.00214281 | 444.53662 | 0.002138 | 3.758525E-4 | 2.0658363E-5 | 0.0026846032 | 129.95238 | 0.002664 | 0.0045664064 | 2.514866E-4 | 0.0038045929 | 15.128411 | 0.003554 |
| 7.2 | 8.0830236E-5 | 4.325188E-6 | 0.0012943196 | 299.25165 | 0.00129 | 3.4636928E-4 | 1.8536388E-5 | 0.0015945071 | 86.020386 | 0.001576 | 0.0042088944 | 2.2565718E-4 | 0.002335181 | 10.348357 | 0.00211 |
| 7.3 | 7.7668235E-5 | 4.2645834E-6 | 0.0012322593 | 288.95187 | 0.001228 | 3.328214E-4 | 1.8276658E-5 | 0.0015082494 | 82.52326 | 0.00149 | 0.0040445733 | 2.2249561E-4 | 0.0022240502 | 9.995929 | 0.002002 |
| 7.4 | 7.520177E-5 | 4.1728636E-6 | 0.0011601681 | 278.02686 | 0.001156 | 3.2225347E-4 | 1.7883576E-5 | 0.0014138586 | 79.05905 | 0.001396 | 0.0039163795 | 2.1771083E-4 | 0.0020913028 | 9.605875 | 0.001874 |
| 7.5 | 7.274697E-5 | 3.952158E-6 | 9.599484E-4 | 242.89221 | 9.56E-4 | 3.1173544E-4 | 1.6937709E-5 | 0.0011649183 | 68.77661 | 0.001148 | 0.003788775 | 2.061971E-4 | 0.0017278832 | 8.379765 | 0.001522 |
| 7.6 | 7.1185845E-5 | 3.836485E-6 | 8.4983325E-4 | 221.51349 | 8.46E-4 | 3.0504653E-4 | 1.6441976E-5 | 0.0010304253 | 62.670406 | 0.001014 | 0.0037076178 | 2.0016269E-4 | 0.001551892 | 7.753154 | 0.001352 |
| 7.7 | 6.709961E-5 | 3.7660675E-6 | 7.897631E-4 | 209.70497 | 7.86E-4 | 2.8753807E-4 | 1.614019E-5 | 9.5212506E-4 | 58.99095 | 9.36E-4 | 0.003495157 | 1.964891E-4 | 0.0014442438 | 7.3502493 | 0.001248 |
| 7.8 | 6.300812E-5 | 3.5693938E-6 | 7.2756683E-4 | 203.83484 | 7.24E-4 | 2.7000686E-4 | 1.5297312E-5 | 8.7728415E-4 | 57.348907 | 8.62E-4 | 0.0032823787 | 1.8622888E-4 | 0.0013400139 | 7.1955223 | 0.001154 |
| 7.9 | 4.983037E-5 | 3.0888416E-6 | 5.99087E-4 | 193.95201 | 5.96E-4 | 2.1354125E-4 | 1.32378245E-5 | 7.252284E-4 | 54.78456 | 7.12E-4 | 0.0025967648 | 1.611586E-4 | 0.0011010071 | 6.8318233 | 9.4E-4 |
| 8.0 | 3.2211527E-5 | 2.3148752E-6 | 4.203139E-4 | 181.57086 | 4.18E-4 | 1.380421E-4 | 9.920856E-6 | 5.099159E-4 | 51.398376 | 5.0E-4 | 0.0016793669 | 1.2077974E-4 | 7.886991E-4 | 6.530061 | 6.68E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.743376E-5 | 1.3985565E-6 | 2.1539826E-4 | 154.0147 | 2.14E-4 | 7.471398E-5 | 5.9937997E-6 | 2.6799223E-4 | 44.711575 | 2.62E-4 | 9.0926304E-4 | 7.297208E-5 | 4.2294653E-4 | 5.796005 | 3.5E-4 |
| 8.2 | 7.831616E-6 | 2.7690496E-7 | 2.4276898E-5 | 87.67232 | 2.4E-5 | 3.3563636E-5 | 1.186735E-6 | 2.7186705E-5 | 22.908827 | 2.6E-5 | 4.0856065E-4 | 1.4448402E-5 | 6.444768E-5 | 4.4605403 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
Cleghorn Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.686735E-5 | 0.002634823 | 156.20848 | 0.002618 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.228696E-5 | 0.0035540352 | 49.16565 | 0.003482 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.797937E-4 | 0.006283036 | 7.1414876 | 0.005408 |
| 6.1 | 1.5467183E-5 | 1.686735E-5 | 0.002634823 | 156.20848 | 0.002618 | 6.6286244E-5 | 7.228696E-5 | 0.0035540352 | 49.16565 | 0.003482 | 8.067362E-4 | 8.797937E-4 | 0.006283036 | 7.1414876 | 0.005408 |
| 6.2 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3739719E-5 | 0.0021517104 | 156.60512 | 0.002138 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.888346E-5 | 0.0028787174 | 48.88839 | 0.00282 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.167194E-4 | 0.0051275557 | 7.154202 | 0.004414 |
| 6.3 | 1.2624631E-5 | 1.3739719E-5 | 0.0021517104 | 156.60512 | 0.002138 | 5.410444E-5 | 5.888346E-5 | 0.0028787174 | 48.88839 | 0.00282 | 6.585225E-4 | 7.167194E-4 | 0.0051275557 | 7.154202 | 0.004414 |
| 6.4 | 9.417684E-6 | 1.0211417E-5 | 0.0015021962 | 147.10947 | 0.001492 | 4.036088E-5 | 4.3762717E-5 | 0.0020316758 | 46.42481 | 0.001988 | 4.912829E-4 | 5.327223E-4 | 0.003751007 | 7.041205 | 0.00322 |
| 6.5 | 9.368219E-6 | 1.0158677E-5 | 0.0014981435 | 147.47429 | 0.001488 | 4.014889E-5 | 4.3536693E-5 | 0.0020254503 | 46.522835 | 0.001982 | 4.8870314E-4 | 5.299718E-4 | 0.0037322738 | 7.042401 | 0.003204 |
| 6.6 | 7.803798E-6 | 8.476877E-6 | 0.0011884669 | 140.20102 | 0.00118 | 3.3444423E-5 | 3.6329195E-5 | 0.0016182717 | 44.544662 | 0.001582 | 4.0710976E-4 | 4.422585E-4 | 0.002977137 | 6.731667 | 0.002536 |
| 6.7 | 2.3108669E-6 | 2.4509447E-6 | 2.224504E-4 | 90.761086 | 2.2E-4 | 9.903678E-6 | 1.0504007E-5 | 3.0450092E-4 | 28.989023 | 2.94E-4 | 1.205706E-4 | 1.2787897E-4 | 5.978189E-4 | 4.67488 | 4.7E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.0882828E-6 | 2.2125835E-6 | 1.9221216E-4 | 86.87228 | 1.9E-4 | 8.949753E-6 | 9.482467E-6 | 2.7147998E-4 | 28.629679 | 2.62E-4 | 1.08957785E-4 | 1.1544309E-4 | 5.1739666E-4 | 4.4818335 | 4.02E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.876935E-6 | 1.9866036E-6 | 1.6598628E-4 | 83.552795 | 1.64E-4 | 8.043982E-6 | 8.513988E-6 | 2.3651205E-4 | 27.779232 | 2.28E-4 | 9.7931086E-5 | 1.0365304E-4 | 4.5161697E-4 | 4.3570065 | 3.48E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.5357559E-6 | 1.6247863E-6 | 1.21624595E-4 | 74.85575 | 1.2E-4 | 6.5817944E-6 | 6.9633516E-6 | 1.7096222E-4 | 24.551712 | 1.64E-4 | 8.01304E-5 | 8.477563E-5 | 3.4875327E-4 | 4.113838 | 2.64E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1529162E-6 | 9.7152806E-5 | 84.26701 | 9.6E-5 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9410605E-6 | 1.3094043E-4 | 26.500473 | 1.26E-4 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.015585E-5 | 2.5814393E-4 | 4.2912526 | 1.98E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.4043263E-7 | 6.0640396E-5 | 94.686615 | 6.0E-5 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7447086E-6 | 8.274449E-5 | 30.146912 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3416385E-5 | 1.5741224E-4 | 4.7106304 | 1.24E-4 |
Eureka Peak
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.1949054E-5 | 9.680076E-6 | 0.0026636543 | 275.16876 | 0.002654 | 1.3691733E-4 | 4.1485877E-5 | 0.0034953426 | 84.2538 | 0.003454 | 0.0016656938 | 5.0506176E-4 | 0.005404586 | 10.700842 | 0.004902 |
| 6.1 | 3.1949054E-5 | 9.680076E-6 | 0.0026636543 | 275.16876 | 0.002654 | 1.3691733E-4 | 4.1485877E-5 | 0.0034953426 | 84.2538 | 0.003454 | 0.0016656938 | 5.0506176E-4 | 0.005404586 | 10.700842 | 0.004902 |
| 6.2 | 3.1949054E-5 | 9.680076E-6 | 0.0026636543 | 275.16876 | 0.002654 | 1.3691733E-4 | 4.1485877E-5 | 0.0034953426 | 84.2538 | 0.003454 | 0.0016656938 | 5.0506176E-4 | 0.005404586 | 10.700842 | 0.004902 |
| 6.3 | 2.7339745E-5 | 8.300649E-6 | 0.0022942817 | 276.39786 | 0.002286 | 1.1716507E-4 | 3.557421E-5 | 0.003021468 | 84.93423 | 0.002986 | 0.0014255513 | 4.331158E-4 | 0.004661284 | 10.762211 | 0.00423 |
| 6.4 | 2.7339745E-5 | 8.300649E-6 | 0.0022942817 | 276.39786 | 0.002286 | 1.1716507E-4 | 3.557421E-5 | 0.003021468 | 84.93423 | 0.002986 | 0.0014255513 | 4.331158E-4 | 0.004661284 | 10.762211 | 0.00423 |
| 6.5 | 9.738388E-8 | 9.023033E-9 | 4.009023E-6 | 444.3099 | 4.0E-6 | 4.1735944E-7 | 3.8670144E-8 | 4.03867E-6 | 104.43897 | 4.0E-6 | 5.081339E-6 | 4.708089E-7 | 6.470806E-6 | 13.744018 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 9.3495956E-8 | 6.0870273E-9 | 6.0870273E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0069688E-7 | 2.6087262E-8 | 2.6087262E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8784736E-6 | 3.1761238E-7 | 2.3176117E-6 | 7.296982 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.3495956E-8 | 6.0870273E-9 | 6.0870273E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0069688E-7 | 2.6087262E-8 | 2.6087262E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8784736E-6 | 3.1761238E-7 | 2.3176117E-6 | 7.296982 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 8.591428E-8 | 2.9490492E-9 | 2.9490492E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.68204E-7 | 1.2638784E-8 | 1.2638784E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4828744E-6 | 1.5387718E-7 | 1.5387718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 7.749723E-8 | 1.5139763E-9 | 1.5139763E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3213098E-7 | 6.488471E-9 | 6.488471E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.043687E-6 | 7.899713E-8 | 7.899713E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 6.897872E-8 | 7.489459E-10 | 7.489459E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9562307E-7 | 3.2097693E-9 | 3.2097693E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5992048E-6 | 3.9078937E-8 | 3.9078937E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 5.859318E-8 | 2.270455E-10 | 2.270455E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5111362E-7 | 9.730533E-10 | 9.730533E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.057304E-6 | 1.184692E-8 | 1.184692E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 5.1375338E-8 | 5.1164295E-11 | 5.1164295E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2018E-7 | 2.1927637E-10 | 2.1927637E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.680688E-6 | 2.6696871E-9 | 2.6696871E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 4.5441396E-8 | 4.9196758E-11 | 4.9196758E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9474882E-7 | 2.1084379E-10 | 2.1084379E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3710643E-6 | 2.5670213E-9 | 2.5670213E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.981918E-8 | 3.7099324E-11 | 3.7099324E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2779647E-7 | 1.5899748E-10 | 1.5899748E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5559209E-6 | 1.9357942E-9 | 1.9357942E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 4.24214E-9 | 3.1245007E-12 | 3.1245007E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.81806E-8 | 1.3390844E-11 | 1.3390844E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.213488E-7 | 1.6303392E-10 | 1.6303392E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Branch Mill Creek)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.6532108E-6 | 0.0027176486 | 1643.861 | 0.002716 | 5.6052355E-5 | 7.08517E-6 | 0.0033430615 | 471.83926 | 0.003336 | 6.822237E-4 | 8.625863E-5 | 0.0043998864 | 51.008076 | 0.004314 |
| 6.1 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.6532108E-6 | 0.0027176486 | 1643.861 | 0.002716 | 5.6052355E-5 | 7.08517E-6 | 0.0033430615 | 471.83926 | 0.003336 | 6.822237E-4 | 8.625863E-5 | 0.0043998864 | 51.008076 | 0.004314 |
| 6.2 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.6532108E-6 | 0.0027176486 | 1643.861 | 0.002716 | 5.6052355E-5 | 7.08517E-6 | 0.0033430615 | 471.83926 | 0.003336 | 6.822237E-4 | 8.625863E-5 | 0.0043998864 | 51.008076 | 0.004314 |
| 6.3 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.6532108E-6 | 0.0027176486 | 1643.861 | 0.002716 | 5.6052355E-5 | 7.08517E-6 | 0.0033430615 | 471.83926 | 0.003336 | 6.822237E-4 | 8.625863E-5 | 0.0043998864 | 51.008076 | 0.004314 |
| 6.4 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.6532108E-6 | 0.0027176486 | 1643.861 | 0.002716 | 5.6052355E-5 | 7.08517E-6 | 0.0033430615 | 471.83926 | 0.003336 | 6.822237E-4 | 8.625863E-5 | 0.0043998864 | 51.008076 | 0.004314 |
| 6.5 | 1.3079164E-5 | 1.6532108E-6 | 0.0027176486 | 1643.861 | 0.002716 | 5.6052355E-5 | 7.08517E-6 | 0.0033430615 | 471.83926 | 0.003336 | 6.822237E-4 | 8.625863E-5 | 0.0043998864 | 51.008076 | 0.004314 |
| 6.6 | 1.3074523E-5 | 1.6482719E-6 | 0.0026976438 | 1636.6498 | 0.002696 | 5.6032466E-5 | 7.0640035E-6 | 0.0033210407 | 470.13574 | 0.003314 | 6.8198174E-4 | 8.6000946E-5 | 0.004377632 | 50.902134 | 0.004292 |
| 6.7 | 1.3050216E-5 | 1.6265291E-6 | 0.0026276223 | 1615.4783 | 0.002626 | 5.59283E-5 | 6.970821E-6 | 0.0032349483 | 464.06995 | 0.003228 | 6.8071426E-4 | 8.486653E-5 | 0.004262512 | 50.226067 | 0.004178 |
| 6.8 | 1.29049395E-5 | 1.478149E-6 | 0.0023174747 | 1567.8221 | 0.002316 | 5.530571E-5 | 6.3349094E-6 | 0.0028723169 | 453.4109 | 0.002866 | 6.73139E-4 | 7.712487E-5 | 0.003810837 | 49.411263 | 0.003734 |
| 6.9 | 1.2867369E-5 | 1.4460668E-6 | 0.0022354429 | 1545.878 | 0.002234 | 5.51447E-5 | 6.1974147E-6 | 0.0027761802 | 447.9578 | 0.00277 | 6.711799E-4 | 7.545098E-5 | 0.003693178 | 48.948044 | 0.003618 |
| 7.0 | 1.2495996E-5 | 1.3091341E-6 | 0.0018913067 | 1444.7006 | 0.00189 | 5.3553173E-5 | 5.6105628E-6 | 0.0023455974 | 418.0681 | 0.00234 | 6.518148E-4 | 6.8306515E-5 | 0.0031260976 | 45.765728 | 0.003058 |
| 7.1 | 1.2452067E-5 | 1.276419E-6 | 0.0018012741 | 1411.1935 | 0.0018 | 5.3364907E-5 | 5.470356E-6 | 0.0022354582 | 408.6495 | 0.00223 | 6.4952404E-4 | 6.6599605E-5 | 0.0029844053 | 44.811153 | 0.002918 |
| 7.2 | 1.2002777E-5 | 1.0014919E-6 | 0.0011190004 | 1117.3334 | 0.001118 | 5.143946E-5 | 4.2921015E-6 | 0.0013622863 | 317.39377 | 0.001358 | 6.2609545E-4 | 5.2255105E-5 | 0.0018241626 | 34.90879 | 0.001772 |
| 7.3 | 1.1923425E-5 | 9.53595E-7 | 0.0010489526 | 1099.998 | 0.001048 | 5.109939E-5 | 4.0868294E-6 | 0.0012780817 | 312.73184 | 0.001274 | 6.219575E-4 | 4.9756036E-5 | 0.0017156731 | 34.48171 | 0.001666 |
| 7.4 | 1.16105175E-5 | 8.084677E-7 | 8.9480774E-4 | 1106.7947 | 8.94E-4 | 4.975841E-5 | 3.464857E-6 | 0.001091461 | 315.009 | 0.001088 | 6.0564023E-4 | 4.2183827E-5 | 0.0014661237 | 34.75559 | 0.001424 |
| 7.5 | 1.1037265E-5 | 7.6515585E-7 | 8.1076456E-4 | 1059.607 | 8.1E-4 | 4.7301706E-5 | 3.2792352E-6 | 9.852761E-4 | 300.45908 | 9.82E-4 | 5.757461E-4 | 3.992397E-5 | 0.0013098733 | 32.809196 | 0.00127 |
| 7.6 | 1.0720915E-5 | 7.097506E-7 | 6.9270923E-4 | 975.9896 | 6.92E-4 | 4.5945973E-5 | 3.041785E-6 | 8.4103923E-4 | 276.4953 | 8.38E-4 | 5.592486E-4 | 3.7033114E-5 | 0.001118993 | 30.216013 | 0.001082 |
| 7.7 | 9.276279E-6 | 5.0661646E-7 | 3.945064E-4 | 778.7083 | 3.94E-4 | 3.9754876E-5 | 2.1712115E-6 | 4.741702E-4 | 218.38968 | 4.72E-4 | 4.839081E-4 | 2.6434189E-5 | 6.3041825E-4 | 23.848593 | 6.04E-4 |
| 7.8 | 5.8346777E-6 | 1.916779E-7 | 1.3219165E-4 | 689.6552 | 1.32E-4 | 2.5005522E-5 | 8.214764E-7 | 1.6282135E-4 | 198.20573 | 1.62E-4 | 3.043997E-4 | 1.0001429E-5 | 2.119994E-4 | 21.196913 | 2.02E-4 |
| 7.9 | 4.690204E-6 | 1.7594218E-7 | 9.617593E-5 | 546.63367 | 9.6E-5 | 2.0100719E-5 | 7.540377E-7 | 1.18753946E-4 | 157.49072 | 1.18E-4 | 2.4469878E-4 | 9.1803695E-6 | 1.6317895E-4 | 17.774769 | 1.54E-4 |
| 8.0 | 2.9570454E-6 | 1.0326524E-7 | 5.810326E-5 | 562.6604 | 5.8E-5 | 1.267299E-5 | 4.4256527E-7 | 7.4442534E-5 | 168.20691 | 7.4E-5 | 1.5428272E-4 | 5.388218E-6 | 1.0738767E-4 | 19.930088 | 1.02E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.6376824E-6 | 3.9905128E-8 | 1.4039904E-5 | 351.8321 | 1.4E-5 | 7.01862E-6 | 1.7102197E-7 | 2.2171018E-5 | 129.63843 | 2.2E-5 | 8.544835E-5 | 2.0821903E-6 | 3.2082127E-5 | 15.407875 | 3.0E-5 |
| 8.2 | 6.9631557E-7 | 1.12113865E-8 | 2.0112113E-6 | 179.39006 | 2.0E-6 | 2.984206E-6 | 4.8048793E-8 | 4.0480486E-6 | 84.2487 | 4.0E-6 | 3.63321E-5 | 5.8499387E-7 | 1.0584988E-5 | 18.094187 | 1.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.7876137E-7 | 5.2882454E-9 | 5.2882454E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.661199E-7 | 2.266391E-8 | 2.266391E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.32747E-6 | 2.7593308E-7 | 4.275932E-6 | 15.496265 | 4.0E-6 |
San Jacinto (Anza) rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.4847732E-5 | 0.0025407851 | 102.25421 | 0.002516 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0648601E-4 | 0.003224154 | 30.277723 | 0.003118 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0012957095 | 0.0055781533 | 4.3050957 | 0.004288 |
| 6.1 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.4847732E-5 | 0.0025407851 | 102.25421 | 0.002516 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0648601E-4 | 0.003224154 | 30.277723 | 0.003118 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0012957095 | 0.0055781533 | 4.3050957 | 0.004288 |
| 6.2 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.4847732E-5 | 0.0025407851 | 102.25421 | 0.002516 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0648601E-4 | 0.003224154 | 30.277723 | 0.003118 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0012957095 | 0.0055781533 | 4.3050957 | 0.004288 |
| 6.3 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.4847732E-5 | 0.0025407851 | 102.25421 | 0.002516 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0648601E-4 | 0.003224154 | 30.277723 | 0.003118 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0012957095 | 0.0055781533 | 4.3050957 | 0.004288 |
| 6.4 | 6.28807E-5 | 2.4847732E-5 | 0.0025407851 | 102.25421 | 0.002516 | 2.6946087E-4 | 1.0648601E-4 | 0.003224154 | 30.277723 | 0.003118 | 0.0032757511 | 0.0012957095 | 0.0055781533 | 4.3050957 | 0.004288 |
| 6.5 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.1459146E-5 | 0.002451407 | 114.23601 | 0.00243 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.196455E-5 | 0.0030956883 | 33.661755 | 0.003004 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011190994 | 0.0052304934 | 4.6738415 | 0.004116 |
| 6.6 | 5.811017E-5 | 2.1459146E-5 | 0.002451407 | 114.23601 | 0.00243 | 2.4901982E-4 | 9.196455E-5 | 0.0030956883 | 33.661755 | 0.003004 | 0.0030276014 | 0.0011190994 | 0.0052304934 | 4.6738415 | 0.004116 |
| 6.7 | 5.712442E-5 | 2.0817648E-5 | 0.0024327675 | 116.860825 | 0.002412 | 2.4479596E-4 | 8.921547E-5 | 0.0030689496 | 34.3993 | 0.00298 | 0.0029763177 | 0.001085663 | 0.005165229 | 4.757673 | 0.004084 |
| 6.8 | 5.6967532E-5 | 2.0661777E-5 | 0.002428612 | 117.5413 | 0.002408 | 2.4412372E-4 | 8.85475E-5 | 0.0030642839 | 34.606102 | 0.002976 | 0.0029681553 | 0.0010775385 | 0.005151144 | 4.7804737 | 0.004078 |
| 6.9 | 5.6211324E-5 | 2.0324409E-5 | 0.0024202757 | 119.082214 | 0.0024 | 2.4088343E-4 | 8.710173E-5 | 0.0030548433 | 35.07213 | 0.002968 | 0.0029288116 | 0.0010599535 | 0.0051116543 | 4.822527 | 0.004056 |
| 7.0 | 5.4383527E-5 | 1.9040224E-5 | 0.002392995 | 125.68103 | 0.002374 | 2.3305144E-4 | 8.159844E-5 | 0.0030193587 | 37.002655 | 0.002938 | 0.0028337094 | 9.930133E-4 | 0.0049990313 | 5.034204 | 0.00401 |
| 7.1 | 5.1393665E-5 | 1.7283417E-5 | 0.002351243 | 136.0404 | 0.002334 | 2.2023996E-4 | 7.406971E-5 | 0.0029598558 | 39.96041 | 0.002886 | 0.0026781242 | 9.0142974E-4 | 0.00483588 | 5.3646774 | 0.003938 |
| 7.2 | 4.785222E-5 | 1.5399219E-5 | 0.0023093638 | 149.9663 | 0.002294 | 2.0506482E-4 | 6.5995E-5 | 0.0029038077 | 44.000416 | 0.002838 | 0.0024938055 | 8.031963E-4 | 0.0046560992 | 5.796963 | 0.003856 |
| 7.3 | 4.2143256E-5 | 1.4316319E-5 | 0.0022822837 | 159.41833 | 0.002268 | 1.8060145E-4 | 6.135423E-5 | 0.002869182 | 46.76421 | 0.002808 | 0.002196605 | 7.4673485E-4 | 0.004545896 | 6.087697 | 0.003802 |
| 7.4 | 4.0264713E-5 | 1.3894371E-5 | 0.002273863 | 163.65355 | 0.00226 | 1.7255165E-4 | 5.954596E-5 | 0.0028593792 | 48.019703 | 0.0028 | 0.002098792 | 7.2473404E-4 | 0.0045099887 | 6.2229567 | 0.003788 |
| 7.5 | 3.694492E-5 | 1.2457092E-5 | 0.0022084296 | 177.28291 | 0.002196 | 1.5832575E-4 | 5.3386462E-5 | 0.0027732411 | 51.946526 | 0.00272 | 0.0019259118 | 6.4978906E-4 | 0.004331395 | 6.6658483 | 0.003684 |
| 7.6 | 3.200565E-5 | 9.541652E-6 | 0.0020475222 | 214.58783 | 0.002038 | 1.3715986E-4 | 4.089216E-5 | 0.0025587892 | 62.574078 | 0.002518 | 0.001668642 | 4.9774995E-4 | 0.0038860627 | 7.8072586 | 0.00339 |
| 7.7 | 2.731642E-5 | 5.963901E-6 | 0.0015579546 | 261.2308 | 0.001552 | 1.1706512E-4 | 2.5559326E-5 | 0.0019395105 | 75.88269 | 0.001914 | 0.001424336 | 3.111406E-4 | 0.002870344 | 9.225231 | 0.00256 |
| 7.8 | 2.3466424E-5 | 4.2662805E-6 | 0.0010862617 | 254.61562 | 0.001082 | 1.0056651E-4 | 1.8283932E-5 | 0.0013442597 | 73.52137 | 0.001326 | 0.0012237094 | 2.2258416E-4 | 0.0019941898 | 8.959262 | 0.001772 |
| 7.9 | 1.8611925E-5 | 2.7255453E-6 | 5.5272406E-4 | 202.79395 | 5.5E-4 | 7.9762955E-5 | 1.1680855E-5 | 6.776731E-4 | 58.015705 | 6.66E-4 | 9.7068126E-4 | 1.4220516E-4 | 0.00102208 | 7.1873627 | 8.8E-4 |
| 8.0 | 1.5460775E-5 | 2.1320627E-6 | 3.7613127E-4 | 176.4166 | 3.74E-4 | 6.6258784E-5 | 9.1373795E-6 | 4.5113335E-4 | 49.372288 | 4.42E-4 | 8.0640207E-4 | 1.11241934E-4 | 7.011763E-4 | 6.3031654 | 5.9E-4 |
| 8.1 | 9.983884E-6 | 1.299667E-6 | 2.0129941E-4 | 154.88538 | 2.0E-4 | 4.2787375E-5 | 5.5699893E-6 | 2.4556866E-4 | 44.087814 | 2.4E-4 | 5.2081177E-4 | 6.781252E-5 | 3.8779082E-4 | 5.7185726 | 3.2E-4 |
| 8.2 | 4.1226E-6 | 2.2625247E-7 | 2.2226248E-5 | 98.23649 | 2.2E-5 | 1.7668166E-5 | 9.69653E-7 | 2.2969632E-5 | 23.688505 | 2.2E-5 | 2.1508869E-4 | 1.1805462E-5 | 5.180499E-5 | 4.388222 | 4.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.1362562E-8 | 6.051362E-6 | 117.8166 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2012524E-7 | 6.220124E-6 | 28.257204 | 6.0E-6 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.6800215E-6 | 1.6679984E-5 | 6.2238245 | 1.4E-5 |
San Andreas (Coachella) rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1925945E-4 | 1.0569924E-5 | 0.0027825406 | 263.2508 | 0.002772 | 5.110118E-4 | 4.5298937E-5 | 0.0033971472 | 74.993965 | 0.003352 | 0.0062038354 | 5.5138406E-4 | 0.0048010396 | 8.707252 | 0.004252 |
| 6.1 | 1.1925945E-4 | 1.0569924E-5 | 0.0027825406 | 263.2508 | 0.002772 | 5.110118E-4 | 4.5298937E-5 | 0.0033971472 | 74.993965 | 0.003352 | 0.0062038354 | 5.5138406E-4 | 0.0048010396 | 8.707252 | 0.004252 |
| 6.2 | 1.07432395E-4 | 1.056599E-5 | 0.0027665368 | 261.83414 | 0.002756 | 4.603433E-4 | 4.5282082E-5 | 0.0033791312 | 74.62402 | 0.003334 | 0.005590286 | 5.5117893E-4 | 0.0047788476 | 8.670229 | 0.00423 |
| 6.3 | 1.0718766E-4 | 1.03554385E-5 | 0.0026403281 | 254.9702 | 0.00263 | 4.592948E-4 | 4.4379747E-5 | 0.0032282386 | 72.74126 | 0.003184 | 0.005577586 | 5.401985E-4 | 0.0045880107 | 8.493194 | 0.00405 |
| 6.4 | 1.0355944E-4 | 1.0065601E-5 | 0.0025360403 | 251.9512 | 0.002526 | 4.4375064E-4 | 4.3137625E-5 | 0.003099006 | 71.83997 | 0.003056 | 0.0053892885 | 5.2508304E-4 | 0.004421036 | 8.419689 | 0.003898 |
| 6.5 | 1.0227914E-4 | 9.878644E-6 | 0.0024738542 | 250.42448 | 0.002464 | 4.382655E-4 | 4.233641E-5 | 0.0030182104 | 71.29113 | 0.002976 | 0.0053228354 | 5.153329E-4 | 0.0043233694 | 8.389469 | 0.00381 |
| 6.6 | 1.0116757E-4 | 9.749108E-6 | 0.0024397254 | 250.25114 | 0.00243 | 4.3350324E-4 | 4.1781273E-5 | 0.0029736587 | 71.17205 | 0.002932 | 0.0052651367 | 5.085773E-4 | 0.004262667 | 8.381552 | 0.003756 |
| 6.7 | 1.0050676E-4 | 9.640465E-6 | 0.0024036174 | 249.32588 | 0.002394 | 4.3067214E-4 | 4.1315674E-5 | 0.0029331963 | 70.99475 | 0.002892 | 0.005230834 | 5.029113E-4 | 0.0042070476 | 8.365387 | 0.003706 |
| 6.8 | 9.976819E-5 | 9.501104E-6 | 0.0023694786 | 249.38983 | 0.00236 | 4.2750788E-4 | 4.0718434E-5 | 0.0028886024 | 70.9409 | 0.002848 | 0.0051924936 | 4.956432E-4 | 0.004153829 | 8.380685 | 0.00366 |
| 6.9 | 9.77719E-5 | 8.642242E-6 | 0.0022106231 | 255.79277 | 0.002202 | 4.1895514E-4 | 3.7037706E-5 | 0.0026969393 | 72.81604 | 0.00266 | 0.0050888555 | 4.5084945E-4 | 0.0038453185 | 8.529052 | 0.003396 |
| 7.0 | 8.500761E-5 | 2.425551E-6 | 0.001032423 | 425.64478 | 0.00103 | 3.6426744E-4 | 1.0395178E-5 | 0.0012583822 | 121.05441 | 0.001248 | 0.0044259406 | 1.265542E-4 | 0.0017403499 | 13.751816 | 0.001614 |
| 7.1 | 8.319876E-5 | 1.8289012E-6 | 9.0382725E-4 | 494.1914 | 9.02E-4 | 3.5651738E-4 | 7.838125E-6 | 0.0011058295 | 141.08342 | 0.001098 | 0.004331963 | 9.542517E-5 | 0.0015392874 | 16.130833 | 0.001444 |
| 7.2 | 7.563917E-5 | 6.3938154E-7 | 6.7663897E-4 | 1058.271 | 6.76E-4 | 3.2412758E-4 | 2.7402039E-6 | 8.3073793E-4 | 303.16647 | 8.28E-4 | 0.0039391145 | 3.3361484E-5 | 0.0011193253 | 33.551422 | 0.001086 |
| 7.3 | 7.082985E-5 | 6.3497345E-7 | 6.726346E-4 | 1059.3113 | 6.72E-4 | 3.0352117E-4 | 2.721312E-6 | 8.2671904E-4 | 303.79428 | 8.24E-4 | 0.0036891096 | 3.3131484E-5 | 0.0011150957 | 33.656677 | 0.001082 |
| 7.4 | 5.146215E-5 | 6.302956E-7 | 6.666299E-4 | 1057.6464 | 6.66E-4 | 2.2053342E-4 | 2.701264E-6 | 8.2069903E-4 | 303.82037 | 8.18E-4 | 0.0026816884 | 3.2887405E-5 | 0.001108852 | 33.716614 | 0.001076 |
| 7.5 | 4.0285166E-5 | 6.234525E-7 | 6.5862306E-4 | 1056.4126 | 6.58E-4 | 1.7263928E-4 | 2.6719365E-6 | 8.0666976E-4 | 301.90454 | 8.04E-4 | 0.002099857 | 3.253035E-5 | 0.001086496 | 33.399456 | 0.001054 |
| 7.6 | 3.1168736E-5 | 5.8516554E-7 | 5.805848E-4 | 992.17194 | 5.8E-4 | 1.3357346E-4 | 2.50785E-6 | 7.1050605E-4 | 283.31284 | 7.08E-4 | 0.0016250437 | 3.0532658E-5 | 9.605043E-4 | 31.45826 | 9.3E-4 |
| 7.7 | 2.2100989E-5 | 3.7127197E-7 | 3.0037115E-4 | 809.0327 | 3.0E-4 | 9.4715084E-5 | 1.5911646E-6 | 3.6359057E-4 | 228.50595 | 3.62E-4 | 0.001152546 | 1.9372266E-5 | 4.873632E-4 | 25.15778 | 4.68E-4 |
| 7.8 | 1.7484861E-5 | 6.056806E-8 | 4.8060567E-5 | 793.4969 | 4.8E-5 | 7.493296E-5 | 2.5957738E-7 | 6.225956E-5 | 239.84972 | 6.2E-5 | 9.1192697E-4 | 3.1603497E-6 | 8.1160106E-5 | 25.680735 | 7.8E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.3967285E-5 | 5.254976E-8 | 2.6052548E-5 | 495.76913 | 2.6E-5 | 5.985842E-5 | 2.2521323E-7 | 3.6225207E-5 | 160.84848 | 3.6E-5 | 7.2853256E-4 | 2.7419674E-6 | 5.274183E-5 | 19.235031 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.1887396E-5 | 5.204082E-8 | 2.605204E-5 | 500.60776 | 2.6E-5 | 5.094499E-5 | 2.2303209E-7 | 3.6223024E-5 | 162.41171 | 3.6E-5 | 6.200787E-4 | 2.715412E-6 | 5.071528E-5 | 18.676826 | 4.8E-5 |
| 8.1 | 5.100864E-6 | 3.460378E-8 | 1.2034603E-5 | 347.78293 | 1.2E-5 | 2.1860664E-5 | 1.483019E-7 | 2.0148298E-5 | 135.86002 | 2.0E-5 | 2.6612106E-4 | 1.805574E-6 | 2.5805532E-5 | 14.292148 | 2.4E-5 |
| 8.2 | 2.3004484E-6 | 7.5763795E-9 | 2.0075763E-6 | 264.97833 | 2.0E-6 | 9.859027E-6 | 3.2470187E-8 | 4.03247E-6 | 124.189926 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2002704E-4 | 3.9532443E-7 | 6.395322E-6 | 16.177402 | 6.0E-6 |
| 8.3 | 1.0424446E-7 | 1.0151603E-9 | 1.0151603E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4676187E-7 | 4.350687E-9 | 4.350687E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.439312E-6 | 5.296961E-8 | 5.296961E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cleghorn Pass
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1068073E-5 | 0.0017130492 | 154.77394 | 0.001702 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7434034E-5 | 0.0023973226 | 50.540134 | 0.00235 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.774092E-4 | 0.004465163 | 7.7330995 | 0.00389 |
| 6.1 | 1.0522846E-5 | 1.1068073E-5 | 0.0017130492 | 154.77394 | 0.001702 | 4.509713E-5 | 4.7434034E-5 | 0.0023973226 | 50.540134 | 0.00235 | 5.4891926E-4 | 5.774092E-4 | 0.004465163 | 7.7330995 | 0.00389 |
| 6.2 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2136921E-6 | 3.2021297E-4 | 144.6511 | 3.18E-4 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.487241E-6 | 4.654829E-4 | 49.0641 | 4.56E-4 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1550525E-4 | 9.494089E-4 | 8.219617 | 8.34E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.1045846E-6 | 2.2136921E-6 | 3.2021297E-4 | 144.6511 | 3.18E-4 | 9.019617E-6 | 9.487241E-6 | 4.654829E-4 | 49.0641 | 4.56E-4 | 1.098083E-4 | 1.1550525E-4 | 9.494089E-4 | 8.219617 | 8.34E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.7259927E-6 | 1.8153739E-6 | 2.578149E-4 | 142.01752 | 2.56E-4 | 7.3970905E-6 | 7.780174E-6 | 3.757773E-4 | 48.299343 | 3.68E-4 | 9.005586E-5 | 9.472362E-5 | 7.8465824E-4 | 8.28366 | 6.9E-4 |
Sierra Madre
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0396577E-5 | 0.0024123716 | 232.03519 | 0.002402 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.4556007E-5 | 0.0031124193 | 69.854095 | 0.003068 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.423358E-4 | 0.004712073 | 8.688478 | 0.004172 |
| 6.1 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0396577E-5 | 0.0024123716 | 232.03519 | 0.002402 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.4556007E-5 | 0.0031124193 | 69.854095 | 0.003068 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.423358E-4 | 0.004712073 | 8.688478 | 0.004172 |
| 6.2 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0396577E-5 | 0.0024123716 | 232.03519 | 0.002402 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.4556007E-5 | 0.0031124193 | 69.854095 | 0.003068 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.423358E-4 | 0.004712073 | 8.688478 | 0.004172 |
| 6.3 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0396577E-5 | 0.0024123716 | 232.03519 | 0.002402 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.4556007E-5 | 0.0031124193 | 69.854095 | 0.003068 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.423358E-4 | 0.004712073 | 8.688478 | 0.004172 |
| 6.4 | 1.3379373E-5 | 1.0396577E-5 | 0.0024123716 | 232.03519 | 0.002402 | 5.7338908E-5 | 4.4556007E-5 | 0.0031124193 | 69.854095 | 0.003068 | 6.978776E-4 | 5.423358E-4 | 0.004712073 | 8.688478 | 0.004172 |
| 6.5 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.623474E-6 | 0.0022576018 | 234.59322 | 0.002248 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.1242816E-5 | 0.0029071246 | 70.48802 | 0.002866 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.020167E-4 | 0.0043680747 | 8.701056 | 0.003868 |
| 6.6 | 1.26563245E-5 | 9.623474E-6 | 0.0022576018 | 234.59322 | 0.002248 | 5.4240263E-5 | 4.1242816E-5 | 0.0029071246 | 70.48802 | 0.002866 | 6.601751E-4 | 5.020167E-4 | 0.0043680747 | 8.701056 | 0.003868 |
| 6.7 | 1.2502474E-5 | 9.45908E-6 | 0.002231438 | 235.90434 | 0.002222 | 5.3580934E-5 | 4.053829E-5 | 0.0028704235 | 70.80771 | 0.00283 | 6.521526E-4 | 4.93443E-4 | 0.004309559 | 8.733652 | 0.003818 |
| 6.8 | 1.2454966E-5 | 9.411167E-6 | 0.0022213904 | 236.0377 | 0.002212 | 5.3377335E-5 | 4.0332958E-5 | 0.0028602192 | 70.915184 | 0.00282 | 6.4967526E-4 | 4.909442E-4 | 0.0042910776 | 8.740459 | 0.003802 |
| 6.9 | 1.2225574E-5 | 9.1842485E-6 | 0.0021771644 | 237.05417 | 0.002168 | 5.2394265E-5 | 3.9360475E-5 | 0.0028112514 | 71.42321 | 0.002772 | 6.3771347E-4 | 4.7910947E-4 | 0.004199326 | 8.764857 | 0.003722 |
| 7.0 | 1.182946E-5 | 8.789464E-6 | 0.002110771 | 240.14784 | 0.002102 | 5.06967E-5 | 3.7668597E-5 | 0.0027235674 | 72.3034 | 0.002686 | 6.1705755E-4 | 4.5851964E-4 | 0.0040408764 | 8.812875 | 0.003584 |
| 7.1 | 1.14369095E-5 | 8.426255E-6 | 0.0019984094 | 237.16461 | 0.00199 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.6112026E-5 | 0.0025680205 | 71.11262 | 0.002532 | 5.9658696E-4 | 4.395762E-4 | 0.0038060958 | 8.658557 | 0.003368 |
| 7.2 | 1.0836419E-5 | 7.873867E-6 | 0.0018478594 | 234.68259 | 0.00184 | 4.644097E-5 | 3.3744713E-5 | 0.0023636662 | 70.045525 | 0.00233 | 5.652721E-4 | 4.1076532E-4 | 0.0034934985 | 8.504852 | 0.003084 |
| 7.3 | 1.0403439E-5 | 7.5053395E-6 | 0.001783492 | 237.62975 | 0.001776 | 4.4585406E-5 | 3.216535E-5 | 0.0022760932 | 70.76227 | 0.002244 | 5.426921E-4 | 3.9154367E-4 | 0.0033483854 | 8.551755 | 0.002958 |
| 7.4 | 9.768864E-6 | 6.9242255E-6 | 0.0016629128 | 240.15866 | 0.001656 | 4.186589E-5 | 2.967492E-5 | 0.002121613 | 71.49515 | 0.002092 | 5.09598E-4 | 3.6123316E-4 | 0.0031102397 | 8.610062 | 0.00275 |
| 7.5 | 8.687089E-6 | 6.0115544E-6 | 0.0014100032 | 234.54883 | 0.001404 | 3.722985E-5 | 2.5763555E-5 | 0.001793718 | 69.6223 | 0.001768 | 4.5317915E-4 | 3.13627E-4 | 0.0026468951 | 8.439627 | 0.002334 |
| 7.6 | 6.3506063E-6 | 4.100106E-6 | 0.0010840957 | 264.40677 | 0.00108 | 2.72166E-5 | 1.7571765E-5 | 0.0013895476 | 79.07844 | 0.001372 | 3.3131172E-4 | 2.139155E-4 | 0.0020155301 | 9.422085 | 0.001802 |
| 7.7 | 4.62223E-6 | 2.6530272E-6 | 8.046509E-4 | 303.29538 | 8.02E-4 | 1.9809406E-5 | 1.1370067E-5 | 0.0010133587 | 89.12513 | 0.001002 | 2.4115283E-4 | 1.3842179E-4 | 0.0014462407 | 10.4480715 | 0.001308 |
| 7.8 | 3.2145008E-6 | 1.8721937E-6 | 6.0387107E-4 | 322.54733 | 6.02E-4 | 1.3776359E-5 | 8.023662E-6 | 7.5801765E-4 | 94.47277 | 7.5E-4 | 1.6771426E-4 | 9.768373E-5 | 0.0010755882 | 11.010924 | 9.78E-4 |
| 7.9 | 1.0391769E-6 | 5.8059004E-7 | 1.585805E-4 | 273.13678 | 1.58E-4 | 4.4536077E-6 | 2.4882406E-6 | 2.0448773E-4 | 82.181656 | 2.02E-4 | 5.4221324E-5 | 3.0293913E-5 | 3.0228568E-4 | 9.978429 | 2.72E-4 |
| 8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.813136E-8 | 2.206813E-5 | 323.90564 | 2.2E-5 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.9199148E-7 | 2.4291985E-5 | 83.19415 | 2.4E-5 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.5549908E-6 | 3.755487E-5 | 10.563985 | 3.4E-5 |
Whittier alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.77625E-5 | 0.0019476718 | 40.778263 | 0.0019 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0468222E-4 | 0.0027721566 | 13.543711 | 0.002568 | 0.002218027 | 0.002489485 | 0.0064116963 | 2.575511 | 0.003932 |
| 6.1 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.77625E-5 | 0.0019476718 | 40.778263 | 0.0019 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0468222E-4 | 0.0027721566 | 13.543711 | 0.002568 | 0.002218027 | 0.002489485 | 0.0064116963 | 2.575511 | 0.003932 |
| 6.2 | 4.2554693E-5 | 4.77625E-5 | 0.0019476718 | 40.778263 | 0.0019 | 1.8236451E-4 | 2.0468222E-4 | 0.0027721566 | 13.543711 | 0.002568 | 0.002218027 | 0.002489485 | 0.0064116963 | 2.575511 | 0.003932 |
| 6.3 | 1.9617712E-5 | 1.8547387E-5 | 7.685335E-4 | 41.43621 | 7.5E-4 | 8.40732E-5 | 7.948649E-5 | 0.0010974056 | 13.80619 | 0.001018 | 0.0010231105 | 9.673377E-4 | 0.0025418133 | 2.6276379 | 0.001576 |
| 6.4 | 1.5611336E-5 | 1.3844817E-5 | 5.8183697E-4 | 42.025616 | 5.68E-4 | 6.690401E-5 | 5.9333615E-5 | 8.332877E-4 | 14.044108 | 7.74E-4 | 8.142519E-4 | 7.221535E-4 | 0.0018913086 | 2.6189842 | 0.00117 |
| 6.5 | 1.5150166E-5 | 1.3341411E-5 | 5.6533405E-4 | 42.37438 | 5.52E-4 | 6.492767E-5 | 5.717626E-5 | 8.051335E-4 | 14.081605 | 7.48E-4 | 7.9020765E-4 | 6.959047E-4 | 0.0018151253 | 2.6082957 | 0.00112 |
| 6.6 | 1.295588E-5 | 1.0575206E-5 | 4.0257105E-4 | 38.067444 | 3.92E-4 | 5.552402E-5 | 4.5321536E-5 | 5.792973E-4 | 12.781944 | 5.34E-4 | 6.7579525E-4 | 5.51652E-4 | 0.0013771964 | 2.4964948 | 8.26E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.2542085E-5 | 1.0089888E-5 | 3.8008616E-4 | 37.67001 | 3.7E-4 | 5.3750682E-5 | 4.324167E-5 | 5.472199E-4 | 12.65492 | 5.04E-4 | 6.542181E-4 | 5.2634213E-4 | 0.0013079306 | 2.4849436 | 7.82E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.2195878E-5 | 9.679595E-6 | 3.6767614E-4 | 37.98466 | 3.58E-4 | 5.2267E-5 | 4.1483327E-5 | 5.2546326E-4 | 12.666854 | 4.84E-4 | 6.36165E-4 | 5.049444E-4 | 0.0012525667 | 2.4806032 | 7.48E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.1580298E-5 | 8.951667E-6 | 3.1694892E-4 | 35.40669 | 3.08E-4 | 4.9628903E-5 | 3.8363734E-5 | 4.5434778E-4 | 11.843158 | 4.16E-4 | 6.040644E-4 | 4.6698007E-4 | 0.0011186756 | 2.395553 | 6.52E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.0964795E-5 | 8.251304E-6 | 2.8024905E-4 | 33.964214 | 2.72E-4 | 4.6991136E-5 | 3.5362264E-5 | 4.0334926E-4 | 11.406206 | 3.68E-4 | 5.7196687E-4 | 4.3045208E-4 | 0.0010122015 | 2.3514848 | 5.82E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.0230601E-5 | 7.474322E-6 | 2.514725E-4 | 33.644855 | 2.44E-4 | 4.3844695E-5 | 3.203242E-5 | 3.6602173E-4 | 11.426601 | 3.34E-4 | 5.336784E-4 | 3.899263E-4 | 8.9972746E-4 | 2.3074296 | 5.1E-4 |
| 7.2 | 9.40865E-6 | 6.6734483E-6 | 2.1867204E-4 | 32.76747 | 2.12E-4 | 4.032216E-5 | 2.8600187E-5 | 3.14592E-4 | 10.999649 | 2.86E-4 | 4.908117E-4 | 3.481529E-4 | 7.879997E-4 | 2.2633724 | 4.4E-4 |
| 7.3 | 8.237384E-6 | 5.703089E-6 | 1.7570212E-4 | 30.808239 | 1.7E-4 | 3.5302593E-5 | 2.4441586E-5 | 2.5643592E-4 | 10.491787 | 2.32E-4 | 4.2972428E-4 | 2.9753675E-4 | 6.6342787E-4 | 2.2297342 | 3.66E-4 |
| 7.4 | 7.5316966E-6 | 5.1205593E-6 | 1.6511974E-4 | 32.246426 | 1.6E-4 | 3.2278298E-5 | 2.1945076E-5 | 2.3794033E-4 | 10.842539 | 2.16E-4 | 3.9291743E-4 | 2.671496E-4 | 5.970614E-4 | 2.234933 | 3.3E-4 |
| 7.5 | 6.149649E-6 | 3.9985266E-6 | 1.0399813E-4 | 26.009113 | 1.0E-4 | 2.6355372E-5 | 1.7136435E-5 | 1.6313394E-4 | 9.519712 | 1.46E-4 | 3.208294E-4 | 2.0861704E-4 | 4.3656948E-4 | 2.0926836 | 2.28E-4 |
| 7.6 | 5.457711E-6 | 3.4472741E-6 | 9.144697E-5 | 26.527328 | 8.8E-5 | 2.338998E-5 | 1.4773953E-5 | 1.4477203E-4 | 9.79914 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8473578E-4 | 1.7985886E-4 | 3.838222E-4 | 2.1340187 | 2.04E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.1676276E-6 | 2.3695568E-6 | 5.8369424E-5 | 24.633057 | 5.6E-5 | 1.7861139E-5 | 1.0155208E-5 | 9.01544E-5 | 8.877651 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1743766E-4 | 1.236334E-4 | 2.4961782E-4 | 2.019016 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.517343E-8 | 9.517343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0788606E-7 | 4.0788606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9660052E-6 | 6.965995E-6 | 1.4027362 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jacinto (San Jacinto Valley) rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.151392E-5 | 0.0024814855 | 215.52048 | 0.00247 | 1.5653463E-4 | 4.934445E-5 | 0.0031131932 | 63.091053 | 0.003064 | 0.0019041431 | 6.0060405E-4 | 0.004694144 | 7.815705 | 0.004096 |
| 6.1 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.151392E-5 | 0.0024814855 | 215.52048 | 0.00247 | 1.5653463E-4 | 4.934445E-5 | 0.0031131932 | 63.091053 | 0.003064 | 0.0019041431 | 6.0060405E-4 | 0.004694144 | 7.815705 | 0.004096 |
| 6.2 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.151392E-5 | 0.0024814855 | 215.52048 | 0.00247 | 1.5653463E-4 | 4.934445E-5 | 0.0031131932 | 63.091053 | 0.003064 | 0.0019041431 | 6.0060405E-4 | 0.004694144 | 7.815705 | 0.004096 |
| 6.3 | 3.652694E-5 | 1.151392E-5 | 0.0024814855 | 215.52048 | 0.00247 | 1.5653463E-4 | 4.934445E-5 | 0.0031131932 | 63.091053 | 0.003064 | 0.0019041431 | 6.0060405E-4 | 0.004694144 | 7.815705 | 0.004096 |
| 6.4 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.1434151E-5 | 0.002471406 | 216.1425 | 0.00246 | 1.5628811E-4 | 4.9002596E-5 | 0.0030988532 | 63.238552 | 0.00305 | 0.0019011468 | 5.9644476E-4 | 0.0046720123 | 7.8331017 | 0.004078 |
| 6.5 | 3.646941E-5 | 1.1434151E-5 | 0.002471406 | 216.1425 | 0.00246 | 1.5628811E-4 | 4.9002596E-5 | 0.0030988532 | 63.238552 | 0.00305 | 0.0019011468 | 5.9644476E-4 | 0.0046720123 | 7.8331017 | 0.004078 |
| 6.6 | 3.6442503E-5 | 1.13969145E-5 | 0.002469369 | 216.66995 | 0.002458 | 1.561728E-4 | 4.8843016E-5 | 0.0030946943 | 63.360016 | 0.003046 | 0.0018997455 | 5.9450313E-4 | 0.0046640825 | 7.845345 | 0.004072 |
| 6.7 | 3.6432113E-5 | 1.1382231E-5 | 0.0024693543 | 216.94818 | 0.002458 | 1.5612828E-4 | 4.878009E-5 | 0.0030946315 | 63.440464 | 0.003046 | 0.0018992044 | 5.937376E-4 | 0.00466332 | 7.8541765 | 0.004072 |
| 6.8 | 3.6409598E-5 | 1.13506985E-5 | 0.0024653228 | 217.19568 | 0.002454 | 1.560318E-4 | 4.8644957E-5 | 0.0030904969 | 63.531704 | 0.003042 | 0.0018980318 | 5.920933E-4 | 0.004651688 | 7.8563433 | 0.004062 |
| 6.9 | 3.638078E-5 | 1.1310369E-5 | 0.0024572827 | 217.2593 | 0.002446 | 1.5590832E-4 | 4.847212E-5 | 0.0030783252 | 63.50713 | 0.00303 | 0.0018965311 | 5.899902E-4 | 0.004635602 | 7.857083 | 0.004048 |
| 7.0 | 3.6294874E-5 | 1.1190143E-5 | 0.0024191632 | 216.187 | 0.002408 | 1.5554018E-4 | 4.795688E-5 | 0.0030318138 | 63.219578 | 0.002984 | 0.0018920569 | 5.837207E-4 | 0.004577388 | 7.8417435 | 0.003996 |
| 7.1 | 3.6260717E-5 | 1.114575E-5 | 0.0023831194 | 213.81416 | 0.002372 | 1.5539382E-4 | 4.776664E-5 | 0.0029836264 | 62.46256 | 0.002936 | 0.001890278 | 5.814057E-4 | 0.0045151175 | 7.765863 | 0.003936 |
| 7.2 | 3.6210204E-5 | 1.108081E-5 | 0.002351055 | 212.17355 | 0.00234 | 1.5517735E-4 | 4.748833E-5 | 0.002941351 | 61.938393 | 0.002894 | 0.001887647 | 5.780192E-4 | 0.004459774 | 7.715616 | 0.003884 |
| 7.3 | 3.6119454E-5 | 1.0990969E-5 | 0.0023249655 | 211.53418 | 0.002314 | 1.5478847E-4 | 4.7103313E-5 | 0.0029149682 | 61.88457 | 0.002868 | 0.0018829206 | 5.7333405E-4 | 0.004419128 | 7.707772 | 0.003848 |
| 7.4 | 3.607848E-5 | 1.0959329E-5 | 0.002316934 | 211.41203 | 0.002306 | 1.5461289E-4 | 4.6967718E-5 | 0.0029068333 | 61.890026 | 0.00286 | 0.0018807866 | 5.7168404E-4 | 0.0044094888 | 7.7131567 | 0.00384 |
| 7.5 | 3.5856774E-5 | 1.0797944E-5 | 0.0022907734 | 212.14903 | 0.00228 | 1.5366284E-4 | 4.6276095E-5 | 0.0028661457 | 61.935772 | 0.00282 | 0.0018692396 | 5.632679E-4 | 0.0043551307 | 7.7318997 | 0.003794 |
| 7.6 | 3.286655E-5 | 9.243036E-6 | 0.0021512231 | 232.73987 | 0.002142 | 1.4084904E-4 | 3.961242E-5 | 0.0026855075 | 67.794586 | 0.002646 | 0.001713488 | 4.8217588E-4 | 0.0040324633 | 8.363055 | 0.003552 |
| 7.7 | 2.8882527E-5 | 6.2322274E-6 | 0.001660222 | 266.39304 | 0.001654 | 1.237764E-4 | 2.6709273E-5 | 0.002060655 | 77.15129 | 0.002034 | 0.0015059357 | 3.251371E-4 | 0.0030482514 | 9.37528 | 0.002724 |
| 7.8 | 2.4950225E-5 | 4.4970207E-6 | 0.0011684918 | 259.83688 | 0.001164 | 1.0692515E-4 | 1.9272802E-5 | 0.0014412454 | 74.78131 | 0.001422 | 0.0013010362 | 2.3462114E-4 | 0.002140174 | 9.121829 | 0.001906 |
| 7.9 | 1.9881603E-5 | 2.9269559E-6 | 6.149252E-4 | 210.09035 | 6.12E-4 | 8.520408E-5 | 1.25440365E-5 | 7.5453473E-4 | 60.15087 | 7.42E-4 | 0.001036866 | 1.5271296E-4 | 0.0011385623 | 7.4555717 | 9.86E-4 |
| 8.0 | 1.563292E-5 | 2.152925E-6 | 3.801521E-4 | 176.57472 | 3.78E-4 | 6.6996516E-5 | 9.226788E-6 | 4.5522267E-4 | 49.337067 | 4.46E-4 | 8.153773E-4 | 1.12330374E-4 | 7.082634E-4 | 6.305182 | 5.96E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.0045313E-5 | 1.3027252E-6 | 2.0130246E-4 | 154.52412 | 2.0E-4 | 4.305063E-5 | 5.583096E-6 | 2.4558176E-4 | 43.986664 | 2.4E-4 | 5.2401534E-4 | 6.797208E-5 | 3.8795033E-4 | 5.707495 | 3.2E-4 |
| 8.2 | 4.1554413E-6 | 2.2767892E-7 | 2.2227674E-5 | 97.62727 | 2.2E-5 | 1.7808914E-5 | 9.757665E-7 | 2.2975744E-5 | 23.546356 | 2.2E-5 | 2.1680194E-4 | 1.1879893E-5 | 5.187942E-5 | 4.366994 | 4.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.2758221E-6 | 5.1420727E-8 | 6.0514203E-6 | 117.68446 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4677976E-6 | 2.2037452E-7 | 6.220373E-6 | 28.226372 | 6.0E-6 | 6.65684E-5 | 2.6830564E-6 | 1.668302E-5 | 6.2179155 | 1.4E-5 |
San Jacinto (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.0667746E-5 | 1.39558515E-5 | 0.002445922 | 175.26138 | 0.002432 | 1.742787E-4 | 5.980943E-5 | 0.00305963 | 51.156315 | 0.003 | 0.0021197782 | 7.2793674E-4 | 0.0047829826 | 6.5706024 | 0.004058 |
| 6.1 | 4.0667746E-5 | 1.39558515E-5 | 0.002445922 | 175.26138 | 0.002432 | 1.742787E-4 | 5.980943E-5 | 0.00305963 | 51.156315 | 0.003 | 0.0021197782 | 7.2793674E-4 | 0.0047829826 | 6.5706024 | 0.004058 |
| 6.2 | 4.0667746E-5 | 1.39558515E-5 | 0.002445922 | 175.26138 | 0.002432 | 1.742787E-4 | 5.980943E-5 | 0.00305963 | 51.156315 | 0.003 | 0.0021197782 | 7.2793674E-4 | 0.0047829826 | 6.5706024 | 0.004058 |
| 6.3 | 4.0667746E-5 | 1.39558515E-5 | 0.002445922 | 175.26138 | 0.002432 | 1.742787E-4 | 5.980943E-5 | 0.00305963 | 51.156315 | 0.003 | 0.0021197782 | 7.2793674E-4 | 0.0047829826 | 6.5706024 | 0.004058 |
| 6.4 | 4.0577226E-5 | 1.3825381E-5 | 0.002431792 | 175.89331 | 0.002418 | 1.738908E-4 | 5.9250302E-5 | 0.0030430735 | 51.35963 | 0.002984 | 0.0021150648 | 7.211353E-4 | 0.0047502276 | 6.5871515 | 0.004032 |
| 6.5 | 4.0577226E-5 | 1.3825381E-5 | 0.002431792 | 175.89331 | 0.002418 | 1.738908E-4 | 5.9250302E-5 | 0.0030430735 | 51.35963 | 0.002984 | 0.0021150648 | 7.211353E-4 | 0.0047502276 | 6.5871515 | 0.004032 |
| 6.6 | 4.053861E-5 | 1.3769705E-5 | 0.0024277365 | 176.30998 | 0.002414 | 1.7372532E-4 | 5.90117E-5 | 0.003038836 | 51.49548 | 0.00298 | 0.0021130538 | 7.1823294E-4 | 0.00474334 | 6.6041803 | 0.004028 |
| 6.7 | 4.0516545E-5 | 1.3738214E-5 | 0.002423705 | 176.42068 | 0.00241 | 1.7363077E-4 | 5.8876747E-5 | 0.0030347016 | 51.543297 | 0.002976 | 0.002111905 | 7.165913E-4 | 0.004737708 | 6.61145 | 0.004024 |
| 6.8 | 4.049434E-5 | 1.3709053E-5 | 0.002423676 | 176.79384 | 0.00241 | 1.7353562E-4 | 5.8751775E-5 | 0.003034577 | 51.650814 | 0.002976 | 0.0021107488 | 7.150708E-4 | 0.004734195 | 6.620596 | 0.004022 |
| 6.9 | 4.046386E-5 | 1.3670571E-5 | 0.0024196377 | 176.9961 | 0.002406 | 1.73405E-4 | 5.8586866E-5 | 0.0030284128 | 51.690987 | 0.00297 | 0.0021091616 | 7.130644E-4 | 0.004724202 | 6.6252112 | 0.004014 |
| 7.0 | 4.036382E-5 | 1.35477585E-5 | 0.0024055154 | 177.55818 | 0.002392 | 1.7297632E-4 | 5.806055E-5 | 0.003009889 | 51.840523 | 0.002952 | 0.0021039525 | 7.066608E-4 | 0.0046978383 | 6.6479397 | 0.003994 |
| 7.1 | 4.0343282E-5 | 1.3525459E-5 | 0.002405493 | 177.84929 | 0.002392 | 1.7288832E-4 | 5.796498E-5 | 0.003007794 | 51.88985 | 0.00295 | 0.002102883 | 7.05498E-4 | 0.0046946816 | 6.6544223 | 0.003992 |
| 7.2 | 4.0257353E-5 | 1.3426848E-5 | 0.002379395 | 177.21173 | 0.002366 | 1.725201E-4 | 5.7542384E-5 | 0.0029753745 | 51.70753 | 0.002918 | 0.0020984085 | 7.003562E-4 | 0.004645591 | 6.6331835 | 0.003948 |
| 7.3 | 3.9940667E-5 | 1.3239518E-5 | 0.0023552086 | 177.89232 | 0.002342 | 1.7116306E-4 | 5.6739573E-5 | 0.0029505754 | 52.00207 | 0.002894 | 0.0020819185 | 6.9058826E-4 | 0.0045998865 | 6.660824 | 0.003912 |
| 7.4 | 3.9721202E-5 | 1.312222E-5 | 0.0023470917 | 178.86392 | 0.002334 | 1.7022261E-4 | 5.6236888E-5 | 0.0029420746 | 52.315742 | 0.002886 | 0.0020704903 | 6.844719E-4 | 0.0045857998 | 6.6997633 | 0.003904 |
| 7.5 | 3.7036873E-5 | 1.2102385E-5 | 0.002282075 | 188.56406 | 0.00227 | 1.5871979E-4 | 5.1866347E-5 | 0.002855721 | 55.059223 | 0.002804 | 0.0019307006 | 6.3129235E-4 | 0.0044288933 | 7.0155983 | 0.0038 |
| 7.6 | 3.2940967E-5 | 9.726013E-6 | 0.0021277054 | 218.76442 | 0.002118 | 1.4116794E-4 | 4.168225E-5 | 0.0026495736 | 63.565987 | 0.002608 | 0.0017173645 | 5.073649E-4 | 0.004019582 | 7.9224677 | 0.003514 |
| 7.7 | 2.8236149E-5 | 6.1366286E-6 | 0.0016241267 | 264.66107 | 0.001618 | 1.2100645E-4 | 2.6299573E-5 | 0.0020102474 | 76.43651 | 0.001984 | 0.0014722579 | 3.201505E-4 | 0.0029792988 | 9.305933 | 0.00266 |
| 7.8 | 2.4329287E-5 | 4.416013E-6 | 0.001138411 | 257.7916 | 0.001134 | 1.042642E-4 | 1.8925632E-5 | 0.0014008995 | 74.02128 | 0.001382 | 0.0012686774 | 2.3039524E-4 | 0.0020859677 | 9.053866 | 0.001856 |
| 7.9 | 1.9370926E-5 | 2.8586996E-6 | 5.9485703E-4 | 208.08658 | 5.92E-4 | 8.301561E-5 | 1.2251512E-5 | 7.2424277E-4 | 59.114563 | 7.12E-4 | 0.0010102465 | 1.4915197E-4 | 0.0010990102 | 7.3683925 | 9.5E-4 |
| 8.0 | 1.5583017E-5 | 2.1483374E-6 | 3.8014754E-4 | 176.94965 | 3.78E-4 | 6.6782646E-5 | 9.207128E-6 | 4.5520303E-4 | 49.44029 | 4.46E-4 | 8.127754E-4 | 1.12091024E-4 | 7.080242E-4 | 6.316511 | 5.96E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.0024873E-5 | 1.3018634E-6 | 2.013016E-4 | 154.62575 | 2.0E-4 | 4.2963035E-5 | 5.5794026E-6 | 2.4557806E-4 | 44.015118 | 2.4E-4 | 5.229494E-4 | 6.7927125E-5 | 3.879054E-4 | 5.7106113 | 3.2E-4 |
| 8.2 | 4.142796E-6 | 2.2713685E-7 | 2.2227132E-5 | 97.85789 | 2.2E-5 | 1.775472E-5 | 9.734433E-7 | 2.2973421E-5 | 23.600164 | 2.2E-5 | 2.1614227E-4 | 1.1851608E-5 | 5.1851133E-5 | 4.3750296 | 4.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.2750878E-6 | 5.1362562E-8 | 6.051362E-6 | 117.8166 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4646503E-6 | 2.2012524E-7 | 6.220124E-6 | 28.257204 | 6.0E-6 | 6.653009E-5 | 2.6800215E-6 | 1.6679984E-5 | 6.2238245 | 1.4E-5 |
Elysian Park (Upper)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.741409E-5 | 0.0018373467 | 49.108418 | 0.0018 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.6033904E-4 | 0.0026119458 | 16.290142 | 0.002452 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019508608 | 0.005669592 | 2.9062002 | 0.003726 |
| 6.1 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.741409E-5 | 0.0018373467 | 49.108418 | 0.0018 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.6033904E-4 | 0.0026119458 | 16.290142 | 0.002452 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019508608 | 0.005669592 | 2.9062002 | 0.003726 |
| 6.2 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.741409E-5 | 0.0018373467 | 49.108418 | 0.0018 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.6033904E-4 | 0.0026119458 | 16.290142 | 0.002452 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019508608 | 0.005669592 | 2.9062002 | 0.003726 |
| 6.3 | 3.1876025E-5 | 3.741409E-5 | 0.0018373467 | 49.108418 | 0.0018 | 1.3660437E-4 | 1.6033904E-4 | 0.0026119458 | 16.290142 | 0.002452 | 0.0016618895 | 0.0019508608 | 0.005669592 | 2.9062002 | 0.003726 |
| 6.4 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1377504E-5 | 0.0010633552 | 49.741783 | 0.001042 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.161566E-5 | 0.0015114855 | 16.498114 | 0.00142 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011150241 | 0.0032406515 | 2.9063509 | 0.002128 |
| 6.5 | 1.9273462E-5 | 2.1377504E-5 | 0.0010633552 | 49.741783 | 0.001042 | 8.259794E-5 | 9.161566E-5 | 0.0015114855 | 16.498114 | 0.00142 | 0.001005166 | 0.0011150241 | 0.0032406515 | 2.9063509 | 0.002128 |
| 6.6 | 9.813258E-6 | 9.712411E-6 | 5.4170727E-4 | 55.774742 | 5.32E-4 | 4.205614E-5 | 4.1624E-5 | 7.595941E-4 | 18.248947 | 7.18E-4 | 5.119132E-4 | 5.0666166E-4 | 0.0015721216 | 3.1029022 | 0.001066 |
| 6.7 | 9.801478E-6 | 9.699945E-6 | 5.416948E-4 | 55.845142 | 5.32E-4 | 4.2005657E-5 | 4.157057E-5 | 7.595407E-4 | 18.271116 | 7.18E-4 | 5.112989E-4 | 5.060115E-4 | 0.001571472 | 3.1056056 | 0.001066 |
| 6.8 | 8.102489E-6 | 7.809576E-6 | 4.4380617E-4 | 56.828457 | 4.36E-4 | 3.4724493E-5 | 3.3469212E-5 | 6.334491E-4 | 18.926323 | 6.0E-4 | 4.2268867E-4 | 4.0741652E-4 | 0.0012830596 | 3.1492577 | 8.76E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.08275E-6 | 5.5023766E-6 | 2.915008E-4 | 52.977257 | 2.86E-4 | 2.6068668E-5 | 2.3581404E-5 | 4.0557238E-4 | 17.198822 | 3.82E-4 | 3.173398E-4 | 2.8706653E-4 | 8.3290983E-4 | 2.901452 | 5.46E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.5995934E-6 | 5.001444E-6 | 2.710001E-4 | 54.184376 | 2.66E-4 | 2.3998036E-5 | 2.1434587E-5 | 3.6742716E-4 | 17.141788 | 3.46E-4 | 2.9213692E-4 | 2.609355E-4 | 7.588056E-4 | 2.9080195 | 4.98E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.709881E-6 | 4.102129E-6 | 2.2810121E-4 | 55.60557 | 2.24E-4 | 2.0185047E-5 | 1.7580436E-5 | 3.1357523E-4 | 17.836601 | 2.96E-4 | 2.4572524E-4 | 2.140212E-4 | 6.2993215E-4 | 2.9433167 | 4.16E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.6063436E-6 | 2.9876771E-6 | 1.7498716E-4 | 58.569637 | 1.72E-4 | 1.5455667E-5 | 1.2804268E-5 | 2.2680152E-4 | 17.712963 | 2.14E-4 | 1.881565E-4 | 1.5588093E-4 | 4.5983354E-4 | 2.9499025 | 3.04E-4 |
| 7.3 | 2.471135E-6 | 2.1025485E-6 | 1.3010229E-4 | 61.878372 | 1.28E-4 | 1.0590536E-5 | 9.0108915E-6 | 1.6700946E-4 | 18.534178 | 1.58E-4 | 1.2893214E-4 | 1.0970215E-4 | 3.29678E-4 | 3.0052102 | 2.2E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.163943E-6 | 1.0309955E-6 | 7.903091E-5 | 76.65496 | 7.8E-5 | 4.988318E-6 | 4.4185444E-6 | 9.4418145E-5 | 21.368608 | 9.0E-5 | 6.0731076E-5 | 5.3794483E-5 | 1.8578739E-4 | 3.4536512 | 1.32E-4 |
| 7.5 | 4.99459E-7 | 4.933075E-7 | 3.649329E-5 | 73.97676 | 3.6E-5 | 2.140537E-6 | 2.1141734E-6 | 5.011407E-5 | 23.703861 | 4.8E-5 | 2.6060725E-5 | 2.5739773E-5 | 1.03737766E-4 | 4.030252 | 7.8E-5 |
| 7.6 | 2.4667852E-7 | 2.4879097E-7 | 6.2487893E-6 | 25.116625 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0571932E-6 | 1.0662467E-6 | 9.066238E-6 | 8.502947 | 8.0E-6 | 1.2871251E-5 | 1.2981479E-5 | 2.6981297E-5 | 2.0784454 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 8.2312795E-8 | 7.468735E-8 | 6.074687E-6 | 81.334885 | 6.0E-6 | 3.527691E-7 | 3.2008862E-7 | 8.320086E-6 | 25.99307 | 8.0E-6 | 4.294955E-6 | 3.897073E-6 | 1.7897019E-5 | 4.592426 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.8 | 2.7819295E-8 | 1.8214E-8 | 6.0182138E-6 | 330.41696 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1922555E-7 | 7.805999E-8 | 8.078059E-6 | 103.48527 | 8.0E-6 | 1.45157E-6 | 9.503802E-7 | 1.4950367E-5 | 15.730933 | 1.4E-5 |
North Frontal (West)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.860008E-6 | 0.0023308487 | 479.5977 | 0.002326 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.082845E-5 | 0.0028847689 | 138.50137 | 0.002864 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5355833E-4 | 0.004202557 | 16.57432 | 0.00395 |
| 6.1 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.860008E-6 | 0.0023308487 | 479.5977 | 0.002326 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.082845E-5 | 0.0028847689 | 138.50137 | 0.002864 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5355833E-4 | 0.004202557 | 16.57432 | 0.00395 |
| 6.2 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.860008E-6 | 0.0023308487 | 479.5977 | 0.002326 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.082845E-5 | 0.0028847689 | 138.50137 | 0.002864 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5355833E-4 | 0.004202557 | 16.57432 | 0.00395 |
| 6.3 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.860008E-6 | 0.0023308487 | 479.5977 | 0.002326 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.082845E-5 | 0.0028847689 | 138.50137 | 0.002864 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5355833E-4 | 0.004202557 | 16.57432 | 0.00395 |
| 6.4 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.860008E-6 | 0.0023308487 | 479.5977 | 0.002326 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.082845E-5 | 0.0028847689 | 138.50137 | 0.002864 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5355833E-4 | 0.004202557 | 16.57432 | 0.00395 |
| 6.5 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.860008E-6 | 0.0023308487 | 479.5977 | 0.002326 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.082845E-5 | 0.0028847689 | 138.50137 | 0.002864 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5355833E-4 | 0.004202557 | 16.57432 | 0.00395 |
| 6.6 | 4.7316266E-6 | 4.860008E-6 | 0.0023308487 | 479.5977 | 0.002326 | 2.0278241E-5 | 2.082845E-5 | 0.0028847689 | 138.50137 | 0.002864 | 2.4685962E-4 | 2.5355833E-4 | 0.004202557 | 16.57432 | 0.00395 |
| 6.7 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6367533E-6 | 0.0020696293 | 569.08704 | 0.002066 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5585996E-5 | 0.0025495465 | 163.5793 | 0.002534 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8974376E-4 | 0.0036070952 | 19.01035 | 0.003418 |
| 6.8 | 3.5382777E-6 | 3.6367533E-6 | 0.0020696293 | 569.08704 | 0.002066 | 1.516396E-5 | 1.5585996E-5 | 0.0025495465 | 163.5793 | 0.002534 | 1.8460557E-4 | 1.8974376E-4 | 0.0036070952 | 19.01035 | 0.003418 |
| 6.9 | 3.0428037E-6 | 3.1279735E-6 | 0.0017511225 | 559.82654 | 0.001748 | 1.30405215E-5 | 1.3405535E-5 | 0.0021673767 | 161.67773 | 0.002154 | 1.5875678E-4 | 1.6320085E-4 | 0.003034732 | 18.595076 | 0.002872 |
| 7.0 | 2.538778E-6 | 2.6106495E-6 | 0.0015586066 | 597.01874 | 0.001556 | 1.0880432E-5 | 1.1188452E-5 | 0.0019151672 | 171.17355 | 0.001904 | 1.324612E-4 | 1.3621137E-4 | 0.0026478693 | 19.439415 | 0.002512 |
| 7.1 | 2.2418935E-6 | 2.305352E-6 | 0.0013263023 | 575.31445 | 0.001324 | 9.60808E-6 | 9.880045E-6 | 0.001639864 | 165.97737 | 0.00163 | 1.1697209E-4 | 1.2028335E-4 | 0.0022620256 | 18.805809 | 0.002142 |
| 7.2 | 1.6526745E-6 | 1.6956127E-6 | 0.0011136937 | 656.809 | 0.001112 | 7.082872E-6 | 7.266893E-6 | 0.0013752569 | 189.24965 | 0.001368 | 8.623055E-5 | 8.847108E-5 | 0.0018683136 | 21.117788 | 0.00178 |
| 7.3 | 1.0246019E-6 | 1.0463023E-6 | 8.490454E-4 | 811.4724 | 8.48E-4 | 4.391144E-6 | 4.484146E-6 | 0.0010544794 | 235.15727 | 0.00105 | 5.3460866E-5 | 5.4593223E-5 | 0.0013985198 | 25.617096 | 0.001344 |
| 7.4 | 8.9045164E-7 | 9.0750166E-7 | 6.8690686E-4 | 756.92084 | 6.86E-4 | 3.8162157E-6 | 3.8892877E-6 | 8.49886E-4 | 218.51971 | 8.46E-4 | 4.646144E-5 | 4.7351157E-5 | 0.0011512989 | 24.31406 | 0.001104 |
| 7.5 | 6.3357E-7 | 6.416724E-7 | 5.1464135E-4 | 802.03125 | 5.14E-4 | 2.7152971E-6 | 2.750022E-6 | 6.4274826E-4 | 233.72476 | 6.4E-4 | 3.305824E-5 | 3.3481072E-5 | 8.7745284E-4 | 26.20743 | 8.44E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.5087024E-7 | 2.4428317E-7 | 1.8824423E-4 | 770.59845 | 1.88E-4 | 1.0751578E-6 | 1.0469275E-6 | 2.4304667E-4 | 232.15233 | 2.42E-4 | 1.3089967E-5 | 1.274629E-5 | 3.347422E-4 | 26.261932 | 3.22E-4 |
| 7.7 | 3.282987E-8 | 2.3054424E-8 | 6.023054E-6 | 261.25372 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4069944E-7 | 9.8804676E-8 | 8.098804E-6 | 81.96782 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7130144E-6 | 1.2029464E-6 | 1.7202927E-5 | 14.30066 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 8.77499E-9 | 5.743419E-9 | 5.743419E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7607098E-8 | 2.4614653E-8 | 2.4614653E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.578663E-7 | 2.996834E-7 | 2.996834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lenwood-Lockhart-Old Woman Springs
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.417326E-5 | 0.0017620974 | 39.89059 | 0.001718 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8930121E-4 | 0.0024868662 | 13.137085 | 0.002298 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0023024804 | 0.0058343294 | 2.5339324 | 0.00354 |
| 6.1 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.417326E-5 | 0.0017620974 | 39.89059 | 0.001718 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8930121E-4 | 0.0024868662 | 13.137085 | 0.002298 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0023024804 | 0.0058343294 | 2.5339324 | 0.00354 |
| 6.2 | 3.744542E-5 | 4.417326E-5 | 0.0017620974 | 39.89059 | 0.001718 | 1.604705E-4 | 1.8930121E-4 | 0.0024868662 | 13.137085 | 0.002298 | 0.0019519776 | 0.0023024804 | 0.0058343294 | 2.5339324 | 0.00354 |
| 6.3 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.545566E-5 | 9.414323E-4 | 36.983223 | 9.16E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0909124E-4 | 0.0013289582 | 12.182079 | 0.00122 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013273967 | 0.0032688163 | 2.4625766 | 0.001944 |
| 6.4 | 2.1079984E-5 | 2.545566E-5 | 9.414323E-4 | 36.983223 | 9.16E-4 | 9.0339665E-5 | 1.0909124E-4 | 0.0013289582 | 12.182079 | 0.00122 | 0.0010993304 | 0.0013273967 | 0.0032688163 | 2.4625766 | 0.001944 |
| 6.5 | 1.7397282E-5 | 2.073591E-5 | 7.727203E-4 | 37.26484 | 7.52E-4 | 7.455765E-5 | 8.886522E-5 | 0.0011007753 | 12.38702 | 0.001012 | 9.073613E-4 | 0.0010814089 | 0.002649711 | 2.4502397 | 0.00157 |
| 6.6 | 1.52050325E-5 | 1.7739228E-5 | 6.697277E-4 | 37.754047 | 6.52E-4 | 6.51628E-5 | 7.602309E-5 | 9.479568E-4 | 12.469327 | 8.72E-4 | 7.9306826E-4 | 9.2519604E-4 | 0.002273947 | 2.4578001 | 0.00135 |
| 6.7 | 1.332523E-5 | 1.5316866E-5 | 5.9530797E-4 | 38.866177 | 5.8E-4 | 5.7106878E-5 | 6.564209E-5 | 8.375914E-4 | 12.7599745 | 7.72E-4 | 6.950544E-4 | 7.9890527E-4 | 0.0019939498 | 2.4958525 | 0.001196 |
| 6.8 | 1.1525329E-5 | 1.3075537E-5 | 5.1706895E-4 | 39.544758 | 5.04E-4 | 4.9393333E-5 | 5.6036835E-5 | 7.1599986E-4 | 12.7773075 | 6.6E-4 | 6.011979E-4 | 6.820392E-4 | 0.0017013435 | 2.4944954 | 0.00102 |
| 6.9 | 1.0253909E-5 | 1.1554185E-5 | 4.7154888E-4 | 40.811954 | 4.6E-4 | 4.3944583E-5 | 4.9517017E-5 | 6.55487E-4 | 13.237611 | 6.06E-4 | 5.3489394E-4 | 6.0270657E-4 | 0.0015101593 | 2.5056295 | 9.08E-4 |
| 7.0 | 8.104563E-6 | 9.021071E-6 | 3.7701774E-4 | 41.79302 | 3.68E-4 | 3.4733377E-5 | 3.8661172E-5 | 5.3264207E-4 | 13.777184 | 4.94E-4 | 4.2279682E-4 | 4.7060053E-4 | 0.0011962588 | 2.5419836 | 7.26E-4 |
| 7.1 | 6.7986157E-6 | 7.5413286E-6 | 3.2553892E-4 | 43.167316 | 3.18E-4 | 2.91366E-5 | 3.2319593E-5 | 4.5430596E-4 | 14.056674 | 4.22E-4 | 3.5468035E-4 | 3.9342215E-4 | 9.991837E-4 | 2.539724 | 6.06E-4 |
| 7.2 | 5.6893327E-6 | 6.302171E-6 | 2.8430042E-4 | 45.111504 | 2.78E-4 | 2.4382627E-5 | 2.7009037E-5 | 3.9299915E-4 | 14.550654 | 3.66E-4 | 2.9681803E-4 | 3.287874E-4 | 8.586131E-4 | 2.611454 | 5.3E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.253348E-6 | 4.720962E-6 | 2.3671986E-4 | 50.142296 | 2.32E-4 | 1.8228506E-5 | 2.0232546E-5 | 3.1822652E-4 | 15.728446 | 2.98E-4 | 2.2190946E-4 | 2.4630525E-4 | 6.702008E-4 | 2.7210171 | 4.24E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.5448119E-6 | 2.855294E-6 | 1.0285501E-4 | 36.02256 | 1.0E-4 | 1.0906291E-5 | 1.22369265E-5 | 1.6023511E-4 | 13.094392 | 1.48E-4 | 1.3277601E-4 | 1.4897605E-4 | 3.5494537E-4 | 2.3825665 | 2.06E-4 |
| 7.5 | 4.3706837E-8 | 4.57304E-8 | 4.57304E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8731501E-7 | 1.9598741E-7 | 1.9598741E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2805577E-6 | 2.3861446E-6 | 4.38614E-6 | 1.8381702 | 2.0E-6 |
San Gabriel (Extension)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.1613933E-6 | 0.0018971516 | 367.5658 | 0.001892 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2120077E-5 | 0.0024320667 | 109.94839 | 0.00241 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.6927984E-4 | 0.003702355 | 13.749099 | 0.003434 |
| 6.1 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.1613933E-6 | 0.0018971516 | 367.5658 | 0.001892 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2120077E-5 | 0.0024320667 | 109.94839 | 0.00241 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.6927984E-4 | 0.003702355 | 13.749099 | 0.003434 |
| 6.2 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.1613933E-6 | 0.0018971516 | 367.5658 | 0.001892 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2120077E-5 | 0.0024320667 | 109.94839 | 0.00241 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.6927984E-4 | 0.003702355 | 13.749099 | 0.003434 |
| 6.3 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.1613933E-6 | 0.0018971516 | 367.5658 | 0.001892 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2120077E-5 | 0.0024320667 | 109.94839 | 0.00241 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.6927984E-4 | 0.003702355 | 13.749099 | 0.003434 |
| 6.4 | 5.6486106E-6 | 5.1613933E-6 | 0.0018971516 | 367.5658 | 0.001892 | 2.4208108E-5 | 2.2120077E-5 | 0.0024320667 | 109.94839 | 0.00241 | 2.9469383E-4 | 2.6927984E-4 | 0.003702355 | 13.749099 | 0.003434 |
| 6.5 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.197393E-6 | 0.0014961911 | 356.45724 | 0.001492 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.7988708E-5 | 0.0019219544 | 106.84227 | 0.001904 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.1899128E-4 | 0.0028984044 | 13.23525 | 0.00268 |
| 6.6 | 4.7134554E-6 | 4.197393E-6 | 0.0014961911 | 356.45724 | 0.001492 | 2.0200367E-5 | 1.7988708E-5 | 0.0019219544 | 106.84227 | 0.001904 | 2.459117E-4 | 2.1899128E-4 | 0.0028984044 | 13.23525 | 0.00268 |
| 6.7 | 4.2468837E-6 | 3.7165034E-6 | 0.0012757118 | 343.2559 | 0.001272 | 1.8200803E-5 | 1.5927779E-5 | 0.0016319021 | 102.456345 | 0.001616 | 2.2157225E-4 | 1.939041E-4 | 0.0024294704 | 12.529238 | 0.002236 |
| 6.8 | 4.1180615E-6 | 3.5836963E-6 | 0.0012175794 | 339.75516 | 0.001214 | 1.7648716E-5 | 1.5358612E-5 | 0.0015653349 | 101.91903 | 0.00155 | 2.1485193E-4 | 1.869757E-4 | 0.0023205767 | 12.411115 | 0.002134 |
| 6.9 | 3.863861E-6 | 3.3216227E-6 | 0.0010773181 | 324.33487 | 0.001074 | 1.65593E-5 | 1.4235452E-5 | 0.0013842159 | 97.237236 | 0.00137 | 2.0159081E-4 | 1.7330344E-4 | 0.002074974 | 11.973067 | 0.001902 |
| 7.0 | 3.6947372E-6 | 3.1472634E-6 | 0.0010111441 | 321.27725 | 0.001008 | 1.5834492E-5 | 1.3488205E-5 | 0.0012894709 | 95.59989 | 0.001276 | 1.9276788E-4 | 1.6420711E-4 | 0.0019379158 | 11.801656 | 0.001774 |
| 7.1 | 3.5686835E-6 | 3.0194105E-6 | 9.690165E-4 | 320.92905 | 9.66E-4 | 1.5294268E-5 | 1.294027E-5 | 0.0012349244 | 95.43267 | 0.001222 | 1.861918E-4 | 1.5753698E-4 | 0.0018312733 | 11.624402 | 0.001674 |
| 7.2 | 2.8023446E-6 | 2.2353488E-6 | 6.0823397E-4 | 272.09802 | 6.06E-4 | 1.2009994E-5 | 9.5800315E-6 | 7.6557277E-4 | 79.91339 | 7.56E-4 | 1.4621185E-4 | 1.16630676E-4 | 0.001160509 | 9.950289 | 0.001044 |
| 7.3 | 2.5843012E-6 | 2.0195591E-6 | 5.0201855E-4 | 248.5783 | 5.0E-4 | 1.1075529E-5 | 8.6552245E-6 | 6.2464987E-4 | 72.170265 | 6.16E-4 | 1.3483623E-4 | 1.0537229E-4 | 9.632819E-4 | 9.141701 | 8.58E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.4464468E-6 | 1.9020906E-6 | 4.199013E-4 | 220.75777 | 4.18E-4 | 1.04847295E-5 | 8.151792E-6 | 5.2814756E-4 | 64.78914 | 5.2E-4 | 1.276441E-4 | 9.924356E-5 | 8.291711E-4 | 8.354911 | 7.3E-4 |
| 7.5 | 2.0420266E-6 | 1.664594E-6 | 2.8766412E-4 | 172.81339 | 2.86E-4 | 8.751514E-6 | 7.1339546E-6 | 3.5913143E-4 | 50.341145 | 3.52E-4 | 1.0654447E-4 | 8.685245E-5 | 5.6081126E-4 | 6.4570575 | 4.74E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.8326596E-6 | 1.5311153E-6 | 2.2353078E-4 | 145.99213 | 2.22E-4 | 7.854232E-6 | 6.5619065E-6 | 2.7056018E-4 | 41.231945 | 2.64E-4 | 9.562107E-5 | 7.98883E-5 | 4.4385923E-4 | 5.5559983 | 3.64E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.4786998E-6 | 1.2809595E-6 | 1.6928074E-4 | 132.15152 | 1.68E-4 | 6.3372695E-6 | 5.489815E-6 | 2.0548872E-4 | 37.4309 | 2.0E-4 | 7.715353E-5 | 6.683646E-5 | 3.3681843E-4 | 5.039441 | 2.7E-4 |
| 7.8 | 7.6975533E-7 | 6.58644E-7 | 8.665859E-5 | 131.57121 | 8.6E-5 | 3.2989474E-6 | 2.8227569E-6 | 1.0682247E-4 | 37.843307 | 1.04E-4 | 4.0163945E-5 | 3.4366527E-5 | 1.6436206E-4 | 4.7826204 | 1.3E-4 |
| 7.9 | 1.7645915E-7 | 1.0620135E-7 | 2.1062012E-6 | 19.832151 | 2.0E-6 | 7.562533E-7 | 4.5514855E-7 | 2.4551475E-6 | 5.394168 | 2.0E-6 | 9.207345E-6 | 5.5414193E-6 | 7.541408E-6 | 1.3609164 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 1.0463461E-7 | 3.1793903E-8 | 2.0317939E-6 | 63.905144 | 2.0E-6 | 4.4843398E-7 | 1.3625957E-7 | 2.1362594E-6 | 15.677866 | 2.0E-6 | 5.45967E-6 | 1.658959E-6 | 3.6589556E-6 | 2.2055733 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 7.875717E-8 | 1.8592885E-8 | 2.0185928E-6 | 108.56802 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3753068E-7 | 7.9683794E-8 | 2.0796836E-6 | 26.099203 | 2.0E-6 | 4.109428E-6 | 9.701498E-7 | 2.9701478E-6 | 3.0615354 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.2 | 1.33163E-8 | 2.522921E-9 | 2.522921E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7069855E-8 | 1.081252E-8 | 1.081252E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9482525E-7 | 1.3164242E-7 | 1.3164242E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Raymond
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5722353E-5 | 0.0017456951 | 111.032684 | 0.00173 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7379915E-5 | 0.0023592254 | 35.01378 | 0.002292 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2006707E-4 | 0.004117361 | 5.020761 | 0.0033 |
| 6.1 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5722353E-5 | 0.0017456951 | 111.032684 | 0.00173 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7379915E-5 | 0.0023592254 | 35.01378 | 0.002292 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2006707E-4 | 0.004117361 | 5.020761 | 0.0033 |
| 6.2 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5722353E-5 | 0.0017456951 | 111.032684 | 0.00173 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7379915E-5 | 0.0023592254 | 35.01378 | 0.002292 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2006707E-4 | 0.004117361 | 5.020761 | 0.0033 |
| 6.3 | 1.5157413E-5 | 1.5722353E-5 | 0.0017456951 | 111.032684 | 0.00173 | 6.4958724E-5 | 6.7379915E-5 | 0.0023592254 | 35.01378 | 0.002292 | 7.905855E-4 | 8.2006707E-4 | 0.004117361 | 5.020761 | 0.0033 |
| 6.4 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4359008E-5 | 0.0016683353 | 116.18736 | 0.001654 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.1537285E-5 | 0.0022394033 | 36.391 | 0.002178 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.4898254E-4 | 0.0038626487 | 5.1571946 | 0.003116 |
| 6.5 | 1.3941944E-5 | 1.4359008E-5 | 0.0016683353 | 116.18736 | 0.001654 | 5.9749822E-5 | 6.1537285E-5 | 0.0022394033 | 36.391 | 0.002178 | 7.2721124E-4 | 7.4898254E-4 | 0.0038626487 | 5.1571946 | 0.003116 |
| 6.6 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0553765E-5 | 0.00131054 | 124.17749 | 0.0013 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.522967E-5 | 0.0017371532 | 38.407383 | 0.001692 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.505376E-4 | 0.002955213 | 5.3678675 | 0.002406 |
| 6.7 | 1.0542609E-5 | 1.0553765E-5 | 0.00131054 | 124.17749 | 0.0013 | 4.5181827E-5 | 4.522967E-5 | 0.0017371532 | 38.407383 | 0.001692 | 5.499499E-4 | 5.505376E-4 | 0.002955213 | 5.3678675 | 0.002406 |
| 6.8 | 1.0079132E-5 | 1.0057587E-5 | 0.0012580451 | 125.084175 | 0.001248 | 4.3195567E-5 | 4.3103264E-5 | 0.0016690332 | 38.721737 | 0.001626 | 5.257791E-4 | 5.2466133E-4 | 0.0028314504 | 5.3967204 | 0.002308 |
| 6.9 | 7.721598E-6 | 7.414419E-6 | 0.0010274069 | 138.56876 | 0.00102 | 3.3092143E-5 | 3.17757E-5 | 0.001345734 | 42.35104 | 0.001314 | 4.0282236E-4 | 3.8680172E-4 | 0.002218093 | 5.734445 | 0.001832 |
| 7.0 | 7.137566E-6 | 6.7738365E-6 | 9.7476726E-4 | 143.90181 | 9.68E-4 | 3.058921E-5 | 2.903041E-5 | 0.0012669945 | 43.6437 | 0.001238 | 3.7236E-4 | 3.53389E-4 | 0.0020687827 | 5.8541226 | 0.001716 |
| 7.1 | 5.654976E-6 | 5.154957E-6 | 8.691505E-4 | 168.6048 | 8.64E-4 | 2.4235387E-5 | 2.2092487E-5 | 0.001130068 | 51.151688 | 0.001108 | 2.9502588E-4 | 2.6894303E-4 | 0.0017945326 | 6.672538 | 0.001526 |
| 7.2 | 4.9358455E-6 | 4.3789405E-6 | 8.0237543E-4 | 183.23506 | 7.98E-4 | 2.1153453E-5 | 1.8766754E-5 | 0.0010267479 | 54.711 | 0.001008 | 2.5751285E-4 | 2.284614E-4 | 0.0016121452 | 7.0565324 | 0.001384 |
| 7.3 | 4.2368597E-6 | 3.655784E-6 | 7.436531E-4 | 203.41823 | 7.4E-4 | 1.8157843E-5 | 1.5667552E-5 | 9.496529E-4 | 60.612717 | 9.34E-4 | 2.2104931E-4 | 1.9073585E-4 | 0.0014524951 | 7.615218 | 0.001262 |
| 7.4 | 3.4999923E-6 | 2.9038258E-6 | 6.5290194E-4 | 224.84198 | 6.5E-4 | 1.49998805E-5 | 1.2444909E-5 | 8.304347E-4 | 66.728874 | 8.18E-4 | 1.8260824E-4 | 1.515063E-4 | 0.0012613381 | 8.325317 | 0.00111 |
| 7.5 | 2.738017E-6 | 2.201838E-6 | 4.8620076E-4 | 220.81587 | 4.84E-4 | 1.1734306E-5 | 9.436414E-6 | 6.134307E-4 | 65.00676 | 6.04E-4 | 1.428558E-4 | 1.1488236E-4 | 9.367879E-4 | 8.154324 | 8.22E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.8186392E-6 | 1.4360662E-6 | 2.9743565E-4 | 207.11833 | 2.96E-4 | 7.794145E-6 | 6.154555E-6 | 3.881522E-4 | 63.067467 | 3.82E-4 | 9.488958E-5 | 7.492917E-5 | 5.8889063E-4 | 7.8592973 | 5.14E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.0660348E-6 | 7.809423E-7 | 2.4278075E-4 | 310.8818 | 2.42E-4 | 4.5687125E-6 | 3.3468912E-6 | 3.0934587E-4 | 92.42782 | 3.06E-4 | 5.5622655E-5 | 4.074766E-5 | 4.347316E-4 | 10.668874 | 3.94E-4 |
| 7.8 | 6.913602E-7 | 4.4646092E-7 | 1.9044637E-4 | 426.569 | 1.9E-4 | 2.962969E-6 | 1.9134025E-6 | 2.3991294E-4 | 125.385506 | 2.38E-4 | 3.607355E-5 | 2.3295433E-5 | 3.252884E-4 | 13.963613 | 3.02E-4 |
| 7.9 | 7.425201E-8 | 5.605273E-8 | 2.0056052E-5 | 357.80685 | 2.0E-5 | 3.1822285E-7 | 2.4022597E-7 | 2.824022E-5 | 117.55689 | 2.8E-5 | 3.874356E-6 | 2.9247487E-6 | 3.4924655E-5 | 11.941079 | 3.2E-5 |
San Jacinto (Superstition Mtn)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.921579E-5 | 8.010489E-5 | 0.0017819685 | 22.245441 | 0.001702 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.4326923E-4 | 0.0025345169 | 7.3834662 | 0.002192 | 0.0030851178 | 0.004172846 | 0.007289785 | 1.7469575 | 0.00313 |
| 6.1 | 5.921579E-5 | 8.010489E-5 | 0.0017819685 | 22.245441 | 0.001702 | 2.5375726E-4 | 3.4326923E-4 | 0.0025345169 | 7.3834662 | 0.002192 | 0.0030851178 | 0.004172846 | 0.007289785 | 1.7469575 | 0.00313 |
| 6.2 | 5.6963574E-5 | 7.6579505E-5 | 0.001754451 | 22.910189 | 0.001678 | 2.4410675E-4 | 3.281653E-4 | 0.0024874564 | 7.579889 | 0.00216 | 0.0029679495 | 0.0039897244 | 0.007063412 | 1.770401 | 0.003086 |
| 6.3 | 5.6940098E-5 | 7.65337E-5 | 0.0017544053 | 22.923302 | 0.001678 | 2.4400617E-4 | 3.2796906E-4 | 0.0024872606 | 7.583827 | 0.00216 | 0.002966728 | 0.003987344 | 0.007061039 | 1.7708628 | 0.003086 |
| 6.4 | 5.4171585E-5 | 7.10415E-5 | 0.001696926 | 23.886404 | 0.001626 | 2.3214328E-4 | 3.0443727E-4 | 0.0023738071 | 7.7973604 | 0.00207 | 0.0028226813 | 0.0037018606 | 0.006656881 | 1.7982527 | 0.002966 |
| 6.5 | 4.375144E-5 | 5.007358E-5 | 0.0013980061 | 27.919035 | 0.001348 | 1.874927E-4 | 2.1459E-4 | 0.0019462183 | 9.069473 | 0.001732 | 0.0022803338 | 0.0026106727 | 0.0050822035 | 1.9467026 | 0.002478 |
| 6.6 | 2.772192E-5 | 1.9230214E-5 | 0.0010572103 | 54.97652 | 0.001038 | 1.1880282E-4 | 8.241272E-5 | 0.0013883051 | 16.845762 | 0.001306 | 0.0014454646 | 0.0010029349 | 0.0028231076 | 2.8148463 | 0.001822 |
| 6.7 | 2.7124124E-5 | 1.8414605E-5 | 0.0010483956 | 56.93283 | 0.00103 | 1.1624106E-4 | 7.8917474E-5 | 0.0013728153 | 17.395582 | 0.001294 | 0.0014143161 | 9.6041843E-4 | 0.0027566915 | 2.8703027 | 0.001798 |
| 6.8 | 2.5475807E-5 | 1.586075E-5 | 0.0010158449 | 64.047714 | 0.001 | 1.0917746E-4 | 6.797296E-5 | 0.0013158881 | 19.358995 | 0.001248 | 0.001328425 | 8.27271E-4 | 0.0025678298 | 3.1039767 | 0.001742 |
| 6.9 | 2.1162023E-5 | 1.0743657E-5 | 9.587335E-4 | 89.23716 | 9.48E-4 | 9.069123E-5 | 4.6043457E-5 | 0.0012199894 | 26.496479 | 0.001174 | 0.0011036064 | 5.604389E-4 | 0.0021835288 | 3.8961048 | 0.001624 |
| 7.0 | 1.8754288E-5 | 9.03901E-6 | 9.3103066E-4 | 103.001396 | 9.22E-4 | 8.037304E-5 | 3.8738053E-5 | 0.0011786938 | 30.427288 | 0.00114 | 9.781026E-4 | 4.7153595E-4 | 0.0020407957 | 4.327975 | 0.00157 |
| 7.1 | 1.8678527E-5 | 8.957411E-6 | 9.2894916E-4 | 103.70732 | 9.2E-4 | 8.0048376E-5 | 3.8388356E-5 | 0.0011763447 | 30.643269 | 0.001138 | 9.7415317E-4 | 4.6728022E-4 | 0.0020345475 | 4.35402 | 0.001568 |
| 7.2 | 1.7804578E-5 | 8.188574E-6 | 9.241811E-4 | 112.86228 | 9.16E-4 | 7.6303106E-5 | 3.5093424E-5 | 0.0011650538 | 33.198635 | 0.00113 | 9.285943E-4 | 4.2718067E-4 | 0.001982516 | 4.640931 | 0.001556 |
| 7.3 | 1.6583685E-5 | 7.2504104E-6 | 9.032439E-4 | 124.57832 | 8.96E-4 | 7.1070994E-5 | 3.1072825E-5 | 0.0011410384 | 36.72142 | 0.00111 | 8.649459E-4 | 3.7824767E-4 | 0.0019056697 | 5.038153 | 0.001528 |
| 7.4 | 1.6387552E-5 | 7.1023637E-6 | 9.0109603E-4 | 126.87269 | 8.94E-4 | 7.023047E-5 | 3.0438356E-5 | 0.0011384046 | 37.400333 | 0.001108 | 8.5472054E-4 | 3.7052564E-4 | 0.0018959602 | 5.1169477 | 0.001526 |
| 7.5 | 1.5790754E-5 | 6.701568E-6 | 8.9469564E-4 | 133.50542 | 8.88E-4 | 6.767291E-5 | 2.8720699E-5 | 0.001130689 | 39.36844 | 0.001102 | 8.236062E-4 | 3.4962004E-4 | 0.0018670893 | 5.3403387 | 0.001518 |
| 7.6 | 1.4248672E-5 | 5.619711E-6 | 8.696148E-4 | 154.7437 | 8.64E-4 | 6.106431E-5 | 2.408426E-5 | 0.0010980584 | 45.592365 | 0.001074 | 7.432043E-4 | 2.9318774E-4 | 0.0017667556 | 6.0260215 | 0.001474 |
| 7.7 | 1.15449975E-5 | 3.3092538E-6 | 7.393068E-4 | 223.4059 | 7.36E-4 | 4.947762E-5 | 1.418244E-5 | 9.3216944E-4 | 65.72701 | 9.18E-4 | 6.022235E-4 | 1.7265776E-4 | 0.0014224419 | 8.238505 | 0.00125 |
| 7.8 | 9.1391985E-6 | 1.9989843E-6 | 4.459981E-4 | 223.11235 | 4.44E-4 | 3.9167408E-5 | 8.567048E-6 | 5.5856234E-4 | 65.19893 | 5.5E-4 | 4.767588E-4 | 1.0429884E-4 | 8.442217E-4 | 8.094257 | 7.4E-4 |
| 7.9 | 6.973017E-6 | 1.3138173E-6 | 2.6531346E-4 | 201.94093 | 2.64E-4 | 2.9884017E-5 | 5.630633E-6 | 3.2762883E-4 | 58.18685 | 3.22E-4 | 3.6377716E-4 | 6.855082E-5 | 4.8652216E-4 | 7.097248 | 4.18E-4 |
| 8.0 | 5.7638235E-6 | 1.0290536E-6 | 1.8502887E-4 | 179.80489 | 1.84E-4 | 2.4701867E-5 | 4.410222E-6 | 2.2240926E-4 | 50.430397 | 2.18E-4 | 3.0070372E-4 | 5.3693147E-5 | 3.436776E-4 | 6.4007716 | 2.9E-4 |
| 8.1 | 5.1124434E-6 | 9.0820987E-7 | 1.5690806E-4 | 172.76631 | 1.56E-4 | 2.1910288E-5 | 3.892322E-6 | 1.8789161E-4 | 48.272366 | 1.84E-4 | 2.6672508E-4 | 4.7388006E-5 | 2.8937653E-4 | 6.1065354 | 2.42E-4 |
| 8.2 | 1.1075938E-6 | 9.0355826E-8 | 1.0090355E-5 | 111.67354 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7468216E-6 | 3.872392E-7 | 1.0387235E-5 | 26.823822 | 1.0E-5 | 5.779102E-5 | 4.7146277E-6 | 2.2714543E-5 | 4.817887 | 1.8E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.3584393E-8 | 7.96868E-10 | 7.96868E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8218827E-8 | 3.4151488E-9 | 3.4151488E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0881396E-7 | 4.1579437E-8 | 4.1579437E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Helendale-So Lockhart
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.814651E-5 | 0.0015461188 | 85.201996 | 0.001528 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.776856E-5 | 0.0020616143 | 26.509613 | 0.001984 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.464417E-4 | 0.0039895587 | 4.2153244 | 0.003046 |
| 6.1 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.814651E-5 | 0.0015461188 | 85.201996 | 0.001528 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.776856E-5 | 0.0020616143 | 26.509613 | 0.001984 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.464417E-4 | 0.0039895587 | 4.2153244 | 0.003046 |
| 6.2 | 1.7296055E-5 | 1.814651E-5 | 0.0015461188 | 85.201996 | 0.001528 | 7.412385E-5 | 7.776856E-5 | 0.0020616143 | 26.509613 | 0.001984 | 9.0208417E-4 | 9.464417E-4 | 0.0039895587 | 4.2153244 | 0.003046 |
| 6.3 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1160034E-5 | 0.0010531484 | 94.36785 | 0.001042 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7827853E-5 | 0.0014017631 | 29.30851 | 0.001354 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8215135E-4 | 0.0026149673 | 4.491903 | 0.002034 |
| 6.4 | 1.0669118E-5 | 1.1160034E-5 | 0.0010531484 | 94.36785 | 0.001042 | 4.5723988E-5 | 4.7827853E-5 | 0.0014017631 | 29.30851 | 0.001354 | 5.5654737E-4 | 5.8215135E-4 | 0.0026149673 | 4.491903 | 0.002034 |
| 6.5 | 8.790038E-6 | 9.190249E-6 | 8.7918225E-4 | 95.66467 | 8.7E-4 | 3.767105E-5 | 3.93862E-5 | 0.0011753414 | 29.841454 | 0.001136 | 4.585485E-4 | 4.79423E-4 | 0.0021746098 | 4.5358896 | 0.001696 |
| 6.6 | 7.396949E-6 | 7.732339E-6 | 7.377267E-4 | 95.40795 | 7.3E-4 | 3.1700827E-5 | 3.313818E-5 | 9.811068E-4 | 29.606535 | 9.48E-4 | 3.858892E-4 | 4.033837E-4 | 0.0018308077 | 4.5386257 | 0.001428 |
| 6.7 | 6.4600285E-6 | 6.7526926E-6 | 6.447484E-4 | 95.48019 | 6.38E-4 | 2.7685543E-5 | 2.8939796E-5 | 8.4891607E-4 | 29.333866 | 8.2E-4 | 3.3701936E-4 | 3.5228583E-4 | 0.0015878504 | 4.507279 | 0.001236 |
| 6.8 | 5.600104E-6 | 5.848432E-6 | 5.6984514E-4 | 97.43554 | 5.64E-4 | 2.4000226E-5 | 2.5064472E-5 | 7.3704665E-4 | 29.40603 | 7.12E-4 | 2.9216358E-4 | 3.051178E-4 | 0.0013947852 | 4.5713005 | 0.00109 |
| 6.9 | 4.839122E-6 | 5.050051E-6 | 5.010475E-4 | 99.21633 | 4.96E-4 | 2.0738931E-5 | 2.16429E-5 | 6.576291E-4 | 30.385445 | 6.36E-4 | 2.5246723E-4 | 2.634709E-4 | 0.0012352148 | 4.68824 | 9.72E-4 |
| 7.0 | 3.6937633E-6 | 3.85317E-6 | 3.818517E-4 | 99.10067 | 3.78E-4 | 1.5830317E-5 | 1.6513482E-5 | 4.965056E-4 | 30.066677 | 4.8E-4 | 1.9271708E-4 | 2.0103341E-4 | 9.348859E-4 | 4.6504 | 7.34E-4 |
| 7.1 | 2.7858857E-6 | 2.903734E-6 | 3.0490285E-4 | 105.003716 | 3.02E-4 | 1.1939455E-5 | 1.2444516E-5 | 3.9043982E-4 | 31.374449 | 3.78E-4 | 1.4535317E-4 | 1.5150166E-4 | 7.274144E-4 | 4.8013625 | 5.76E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.1672065E-6 | 2.2585702E-6 | 2.3625804E-4 | 104.60513 | 2.34E-4 | 9.2879945E-6 | 9.679552E-6 | 2.956768E-4 | 30.546535 | 2.86E-4 | 1.1307546E-4 | 1.17842355E-4 | 5.6179E-4 | 4.7673016 | 4.44E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.4823496E-6 | 1.5453538E-6 | 1.595451E-4 | 103.2418 | 1.58E-4 | 6.3529114E-6 | 6.622929E-6 | 1.926217E-4 | 29.084066 | 1.86E-4 | 7.734395E-5 | 8.0631326E-5 | 3.7260778E-4 | 4.621129 | 2.92E-4 |
| 7.4 | 4.2321457E-7 | 4.4202795E-7 | 3.0442015E-5 | 68.86898 | 3.0E-5 | 1.8137755E-6 | 1.8944044E-6 | 4.1894327E-5 | 22.114777 | 4.0E-5 | 2.2082493E-5 | 2.3064174E-5 | 8.9062654E-5 | 3.8615148 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 5.6942316E-8 | 5.9545926E-8 | 5.9545926E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.440385E-7 | 2.551968E-7 | 2.551968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9711643E-6 | 3.1070174E-6 | 9.106999E-6 | 2.9311063 | 6.0E-6 |
Chino alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.7059663E-5 | 2.603947E-5 | 0.0015160007 | 58.219337 | 0.00149 | 1.1596483E-4 | 1.1159352E-4 | 0.002069375 | 18.543863 | 0.001958 | 0.0014109573 | 0.0013579051 | 0.0042719427 | 3.1459804 | 0.002918 |
| 6.1 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.603947E-5 | 0.0015160007 | 58.219337 | 0.00149 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1159352E-4 | 0.002069375 | 18.543863 | 0.001958 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0013579051 | 0.0042719427 | 3.1459804 | 0.002918 |
| 6.2 | 2.1505624E-5 | 2.603947E-5 | 0.0015160007 | 58.219337 | 0.00149 | 9.2163704E-5 | 1.1159352E-4 | 0.002069375 | 18.543863 | 0.001958 | 0.0011215154 | 0.0013579051 | 0.0042719427 | 3.1459804 | 0.002918 |
| 6.3 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.7949236E-5 | 8.499343E-4 | 47.35211 | 8.32E-4 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.692329E-5 | 0.0011908376 | 15.480846 | 0.001114 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.361838E-4 | 0.0025866372 | 2.7629588 | 0.001652 |
| 6.4 | 1.4290785E-5 | 1.7949236E-5 | 8.499343E-4 | 47.35211 | 8.32E-4 | 6.1244784E-5 | 7.692329E-5 | 0.0011908376 | 15.480846 | 0.001114 | 7.454001E-4 | 9.361838E-4 | 0.0025866372 | 2.7629588 | 0.001652 |
| 6.5 | 1.3017944E-5 | 1.6513826E-5 | 7.545016E-4 | 45.689087 | 7.38E-4 | 5.5789995E-5 | 7.077187E-5 | 0.0010647015 | 15.044135 | 9.94E-4 | 6.790315E-4 | 8.613506E-4 | 0.0023300843 | 2.705152 | 0.00147 |
| 6.6 | 9.470016E-6 | 1.1951715E-5 | 4.999459E-4 | 41.83047 | 4.88E-4 | 4.058515E-5 | 5.122082E-5 | 7.051873E-4 | 13.7675905 | 6.54E-4 | 4.940122E-4 | 6.234692E-4 | 0.0016048569 | 2.5740757 | 9.82E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.314155E-6 | 1.032862E-5 | 4.383242E-4 | 42.437828 | 4.28E-4 | 3.5631605E-5 | 4.4264947E-5 | 6.0224027E-4 | 13.605353 | 5.58E-4 | 4.3372845E-4 | 5.388249E-4 | 0.0013783723 | 2.558108 | 8.4E-4 |
| 6.8 | 3.4856364E-6 | 3.7505097E-6 | 1.7374987E-4 | 46.327003 | 1.7E-4 | 1.4938357E-5 | 1.6073524E-5 | 2.2807012E-4 | 14.189179 | 2.12E-4 | 1.8185932E-4 | 1.9567946E-4 | 5.256149E-4 | 2.6861014 | 3.3E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.2645952E-6 | 2.17769E-6 | 1.0017748E-4 | 46.001717 | 9.8E-5 | 9.705372E-6 | 9.332925E-6 | 1.3133179E-4 | 14.071878 | 1.22E-4 | 1.18156495E-4 | 1.1362266E-4 | 3.0360106E-4 | 2.6720116 | 1.9E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.7864003E-6 | 1.5645398E-6 | 6.356445E-5 | 40.628204 | 6.2E-5 | 7.655979E-6 | 6.7051537E-6 | 8.470463E-5 | 12.632765 | 7.8E-5 | 9.3207556E-5 | 8.163225E-5 | 2.1362148E-4 | 2.616876 | 1.32E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.7315456E-6 | 1.49474E-6 | 5.7494657E-5 | 38.464653 | 5.6E-5 | 7.420889E-6 | 6.406013E-6 | 7.840555E-5 | 12.2393675 | 7.2E-5 | 9.034557E-5 | 7.799048E-5 | 1.9998096E-4 | 2.5641716 | 1.22E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.6008337E-6 | 1.3772067E-6 | 5.1377137E-5 | 37.30532 | 5.0E-5 | 6.860698E-6 | 5.9023014E-6 | 6.990192E-5 | 11.843164 | 6.4E-5 | 8.352579E-5 | 7.185821E-5 | 1.8385016E-4 | 2.5585132 | 1.12E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.3320939E-6 | 1.1399036E-6 | 4.3139855E-5 | 37.845177 | 4.2E-5 | 5.7089615E-6 | 4.8852926E-6 | 5.8885027E-5 | 12.053532 | 5.4E-5 | 6.9504385E-5 | 5.947686E-5 | 1.514714E-4 | 2.5467281 | 9.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.114294E-6 | 9.3798246E-7 | 4.0937946E-5 | 43.64468 | 4.0E-5 | 4.775537E-6 | 4.019919E-6 | 5.4019718E-5 | 13.438012 | 5.0E-5 | 5.8140613E-5 | 4.8941452E-5 | 1.3293733E-4 | 2.7162526 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 9.354081E-7 | 7.732826E-7 | 2.0773266E-5 | 26.863745 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0088858E-6 | 3.3140643E-6 | 3.131397E-5 | 9.4488125 | 2.8E-5 | 4.8807087E-5 | 4.0348023E-5 | 9.0346E-5 | 2.2391682 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 8.521771E-7 | 6.970843E-7 | 2.069707E-5 | 29.690912 | 2.0E-5 | 3.6521824E-6 | 2.9875011E-6 | 3.0987416E-5 | 10.372354 | 2.8E-5 | 4.4464414E-5 | 3.637225E-5 | 8.4370506E-5 | 2.3196394 | 4.8E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.1803626E-7 | 1.4415038E-7 | 6.1441497E-6 | 42.623196 | 6.0E-6 | 9.344408E-7 | 6.1778724E-7 | 8.617782E-6 | 13.949434 | 8.0E-6 | 1.1376757E-5 | 7.5215435E-6 | 1.9521454E-5 | 2.595405 | 1.2E-5 |
Pisgah-Bullion Mtn-Mesquite Lk
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4289673E-5 | 0.0013742569 | 56.577824 | 0.00135 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0409502E-4 | 0.0019779 | 19.000908 | 0.001874 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012667223 | 0.0041290917 | 3.2596662 | 0.002866 |
| 6.1 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4289673E-5 | 0.0013742569 | 56.577824 | 0.00135 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0409502E-4 | 0.0019779 | 19.000908 | 0.001874 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012667223 | 0.0041290917 | 3.2596662 | 0.002866 |
| 6.2 | 3.0240792E-5 | 2.4289673E-5 | 0.0013742569 | 56.577824 | 0.00135 | 1.2959696E-4 | 1.0409502E-4 | 0.0019779 | 19.000908 | 0.001874 | 0.0015767008 | 0.0012667223 | 0.0041290917 | 3.2596662 | 0.002866 |
| 6.3 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.37581765E-5 | 8.117472E-4 | 59.001076 | 7.98E-4 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8962374E-5 | 0.0011728967 | 19.89229 | 0.001114 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1764697E-4 | 0.0024424084 | 3.4033563 | 0.001726 |
| 6.4 | 2.0498217E-5 | 1.37581765E-5 | 8.117472E-4 | 59.001076 | 7.98E-4 | 8.784654E-5 | 5.8962374E-5 | 0.0011728967 | 19.89229 | 0.001114 | 0.0010690069 | 7.1764697E-4 | 0.0024424084 | 3.4033563 | 0.001726 |
| 6.5 | 1.7316182E-5 | 1.0573766E-5 | 6.5656693E-4 | 62.093952 | 6.46E-4 | 7.42101E-5 | 4.531541E-5 | 9.3127525E-4 | 20.55096 | 8.86E-4 | 9.0313336E-4 | 5.5158563E-4 | 0.0019288255 | 3.496874 | 0.001378 |
| 6.6 | 1.5251077E-5 | 8.498859E-6 | 5.704941E-4 | 67.12597 | 5.62E-4 | 6.536012E-5 | 3.642321E-5 | 7.983955E-4 | 21.919964 | 7.62E-4 | 7.9546886E-4 | 4.4336976E-4 | 0.0016208475 | 3.6557465 | 0.001178 |
| 6.7 | 1.2997425E-5 | 6.48517E-6 | 4.8448207E-4 | 74.70615 | 4.78E-4 | 5.570206E-5 | 2.7793318E-5 | 6.5977575E-4 | 23.738647 | 6.32E-4 | 6.7796157E-4 | 3.3833587E-4 | 0.0013140057 | 3.8837314 | 9.76E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.035386E-5 | 4.3824216E-6 | 4.1638062E-4 | 95.01154 | 4.12E-4 | 4.437293E-5 | 1.8781677E-5 | 5.567716E-4 | 29.644403 | 5.38E-4 | 5.401065E-4 | 2.286438E-4 | 0.0010524554 | 4.603035 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.9 | 8.816252E-6 | 3.62126E-6 | 3.6161995E-4 | 99.86026 | 3.58E-4 | 3.778339E-5 | 1.5519596E-5 | 4.855123E-4 | 31.283823 | 4.7E-4 | 4.5991567E-4 | 1.889353E-4 | 8.8680343E-4 | 4.6936884 | 6.98E-4 |
| 7.0 | 6.8232207E-6 | 2.598207E-6 | 2.365976E-4 | 91.061874 | 2.34E-4 | 2.9242048E-5 | 1.1135127E-5 | 3.2513164E-4 | 29.198734 | 3.14E-4 | 3.5596377E-4 | 1.3556206E-4 | 6.0749805E-4 | 4.481328 | 4.72E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.837013E-6 | 2.253199E-6 | 1.8425279E-4 | 81.773865 | 1.82E-4 | 2.501553E-5 | 9.656533E-6 | 2.5765414E-4 | 26.681847 | 2.48E-4 | 3.045215E-4 | 1.17562246E-4 | 5.075164E-4 | 4.3170013 | 3.9E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.278052E-6 | 1.6469734E-6 | 1.4564674E-4 | 88.43296 | 1.44E-4 | 1.833438E-5 | 7.0584397E-6 | 1.9305713E-4 | 27.351248 | 1.86E-4 | 2.231982E-4 | 8.593335E-5 | 3.7590842E-4 | 4.3744183 | 2.9E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.8803692E-6 | 8.423329E-7 | 7.884227E-5 | 93.59989 | 7.8E-5 | 8.0587E-6 | 3.6099939E-6 | 9.960965E-5 | 27.592747 | 9.6E-5 | 9.811026E-5 | 4.395094E-5 | 1.8994452E-4 | 4.3217397 | 1.46E-4 |
Ludlow
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3723936E-5 | 0.0013216932 | 55.711376 | 0.001298 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.016703E-4 | 0.0018174958 | 17.87637 | 0.001716 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012371774 | 0.0038219756 | 3.0892704 | 0.002588 |
| 6.1 | 2.2407607E-5 | 2.3723936E-5 | 0.0013216932 | 55.711376 | 0.001298 | 9.602906E-5 | 1.016703E-4 | 0.0018174958 | 17.87637 | 0.001716 | 0.0011685267 | 0.0012371774 | 0.0038219756 | 3.0892704 | 0.002588 |
| 6.2 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1396799E-5 | 6.693893E-4 | 58.73485 | 6.58E-4 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8842532E-5 | 9.088005E-4 | 18.606745 | 8.6E-4 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9449964E-4 | 0.0018857316 | 3.1719642 | 0.001292 |
| 6.3 | 1.0781252E-5 | 1.1396799E-5 | 6.693893E-4 | 58.73485 | 6.58E-4 | 4.620455E-5 | 4.8842532E-5 | 9.088005E-4 | 18.606745 | 8.6E-4 | 5.623952E-4 | 5.9449964E-4 | 0.0018857316 | 3.1719642 | 0.001292 |
| 6.4 | 7.814439E-6 | 8.260282E-6 | 4.7625642E-4 | 57.656193 | 4.68E-4 | 3.3490025E-5 | 3.5400735E-5 | 6.5937865E-4 | 18.626127 | 6.24E-4 | 4.0766477E-4 | 4.3092013E-4 | 0.0013965039 | 3.2407486 | 9.66E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.4986366E-6 | 6.869692E-6 | 4.2086685E-4 | 61.264297 | 4.14E-4 | 2.7851002E-5 | 2.944121E-5 | 5.79425E-4 | 19.680748 | 5.5E-4 | 3.390332E-4 | 3.583887E-4 | 0.001208084 | 3.3708766 | 8.5E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.582177E-6 | 5.9022004E-6 | 3.759E-4 | 63.688114 | 3.7E-4 | 2.3923398E-5 | 2.5294903E-5 | 5.112826E-4 | 20.212872 | 4.86E-4 | 2.9122844E-4 | 3.0792266E-4 | 0.0010616905 | 3.447913 | 7.54E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.6858763E-6 | 4.9539926E-6 | 3.3895235E-4 | 68.42004 | 3.34E-4 | 2.0082172E-5 | 2.1231228E-5 | 4.4922213E-4 | 21.158558 | 4.28E-4 | 2.4447302E-4 | 2.584601E-4 | 9.0429315E-4 | 3.4987729 | 6.46E-4 |
| 6.8 | 3.5584908E-6 | 3.7623297E-6 | 2.5976138E-4 | 69.042694 | 2.56E-4 | 1.5250586E-5 | 1.6124173E-5 | 3.6411858E-4 | 22.582155 | 3.48E-4 | 1.8566006E-4 | 1.9629452E-4 | 7.1019365E-4 | 3.618 | 5.14E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.532834E-6 | 2.678365E-6 | 1.9267785E-4 | 71.938614 | 1.9E-4 | 1.0854958E-5 | 1.1478658E-5 | 2.7347566E-4 | 23.824705 | 2.62E-4 | 1.3215111E-4 | 1.3974398E-4 | 5.2768976E-4 | 3.776118 | 3.88E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.7083285E-6 | 1.8069326E-6 | 1.278067E-4 | 70.73131 | 1.26E-4 | 7.3213873E-6 | 7.7439745E-6 | 1.7974264E-4 | 23.210644 | 1.72E-4 | 8.913424E-5 | 9.4278985E-5 | 3.7025296E-4 | 3.9272058 | 2.76E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.0905424E-6 | 1.1529162E-6 | 9.7152806E-5 | 84.26701 | 9.6E-5 | 4.6737446E-6 | 4.9410605E-6 | 1.3094043E-4 | 26.500473 | 1.26E-4 | 5.6901354E-5 | 6.015585E-5 | 2.5814393E-4 | 4.2912526 | 1.98E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.06668E-7 | 6.4043263E-7 | 6.0640396E-5 | 94.686615 | 6.0E-5 | 2.600003E-6 | 2.7447086E-6 | 8.274449E-5 | 30.146912 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1654577E-5 | 3.3416385E-5 | 1.5741224E-4 | 4.7106304 | 1.24E-4 |
San Andreas (Mojave N)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.877682E-5 | 4.4477838E-5 | 0.0015524108 | 34.903015 | 0.001508 | 4.2326056E-4 | 1.9060554E-4 | 0.002040253 | 10.704059 | 0.00185 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0023181804 | 0.0049021766 | 2.1146655 | 0.00259 |
| 6.1 | 9.877682E-5 | 4.4477838E-5 | 0.0015524108 | 34.903015 | 0.001508 | 4.2326056E-4 | 1.9060554E-4 | 0.002040253 | 10.704059 | 0.00185 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0023181804 | 0.0049021766 | 2.1146655 | 0.00259 |
| 6.2 | 9.877682E-5 | 4.4477838E-5 | 0.0015524108 | 34.903015 | 0.001508 | 4.2326056E-4 | 1.9060554E-4 | 0.002040253 | 10.704059 | 0.00185 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0023181804 | 0.0049021766 | 2.1146655 | 0.00259 |
| 6.3 | 9.877682E-5 | 4.4477838E-5 | 0.0015524108 | 34.903015 | 0.001508 | 4.2326056E-4 | 1.9060554E-4 | 0.002040253 | 10.704059 | 0.00185 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0023181804 | 0.0049021766 | 2.1146655 | 0.00259 |
| 6.4 | 9.877682E-5 | 4.4477838E-5 | 0.0015524108 | 34.903015 | 0.001508 | 4.2326056E-4 | 1.9060554E-4 | 0.002040253 | 10.704059 | 0.00185 | 0.0051410277 | 0.0023181804 | 0.0049021766 | 2.1146655 | 0.00259 |
| 6.5 | 9.861474E-5 | 4.4205794E-5 | 0.0015141409 | 34.25209 | 0.00147 | 4.2256617E-4 | 1.8943979E-4 | 0.0019870992 | 10.489344 | 0.001798 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0023040175 | 0.0048082345 | 2.0868914 | 0.00251 |
| 6.6 | 9.861474E-5 | 4.4205794E-5 | 0.0015141409 | 34.25209 | 0.00147 | 4.2256617E-4 | 1.8943979E-4 | 0.0019870992 | 10.489344 | 0.001798 | 0.0051326132 | 0.0023040175 | 0.0048082345 | 2.0868914 | 0.00251 |
| 6.7 | 9.8552715E-5 | 4.4101598E-5 | 0.0014840381 | 33.650436 | 0.00144 | 4.223004E-4 | 1.8899332E-4 | 0.0019566591 | 10.35306 | 0.001768 | 0.0051293927 | 0.0022985933 | 0.0047708973 | 2.0755727 | 0.002478 |
| 6.8 | 9.8464974E-5 | 4.3968976E-5 | 0.0014679064 | 33.385048 | 0.001424 | 4.219245E-4 | 1.8842501E-4 | 0.001934096 | 10.26454 | 0.001746 | 0.0051248376 | 0.0022916887 | 0.0047280923 | 2.0631478 | 0.002442 |
| 6.9 | 9.825824E-5 | 4.3681863E-5 | 0.00145962 | 33.414783 | 0.001416 | 4.2103877E-4 | 1.871947E-4 | 0.0019248694 | 10.282712 | 0.001738 | 0.0051141046 | 0.0022767412 | 0.004701209 | 2.064885 | 0.00243 |
| 7.0 | 9.781462E-5 | 4.3020857E-5 | 0.001434961 | 33.355007 | 0.001392 | 4.1913814E-4 | 1.8436222E-4 | 0.0018920474 | 10.262663 | 0.001708 | 0.005091073 | 0.002242327 | 0.0046289633 | 2.064357 | 0.002392 |
| 7.1 | 9.7121134E-5 | 4.206009E-5 | 0.0014060027 | 33.42843 | 0.001364 | 4.1616702E-4 | 1.8024523E-4 | 0.0018499442 | 10.263485 | 0.00167 | 0.005055068 | 0.0021923045 | 0.0045052227 | 2.055017 | 0.002318 |
| 7.2 | 9.663819E-5 | 4.1420688E-5 | 0.0013713656 | 33.10823 | 0.00133 | 4.1409794E-4 | 1.7750531E-4 | 0.0018052163 | 10.169929 | 0.001628 | 0.0050299936 | 0.0021590125 | 0.0044161286 | 2.0454392 | 0.002262 |
| 7.3 | 9.6277574E-5 | 4.1067142E-5 | 0.0013370139 | 32.55678 | 0.001296 | 4.125529E-4 | 1.7599031E-4 | 0.0017597115 | 9.998912 | 0.001584 | 0.0050112694 | 0.0021406037 | 0.004333899 | 2.024615 | 0.002198 |
| 7.4 | 9.593308E-5 | 4.086385E-5 | 0.0013168117 | 32.224365 | 0.001276 | 4.1107697E-4 | 1.7511919E-4 | 0.0017308467 | 9.883821 | 0.001556 | 0.0049933824 | 0.0021300185 | 0.0042874133 | 2.0128527 | 0.002162 |
| 7.5 | 9.561707E-5 | 4.0620016E-5 | 0.0013165682 | 32.411808 | 0.001276 | 4.0972308E-4 | 1.7407432E-4 | 0.0017298035 | 9.937155 | 0.001556 | 0.0049769743 | 0.002117322 | 0.0042727487 | 2.0179965 | 0.00216 |
| 7.6 | 9.418194E-5 | 4.0345956E-5 | 0.0013102947 | 32.476482 | 0.00127 | 4.0357444E-4 | 1.7289993E-4 | 0.001716633 | 9.928476 | 0.001544 | 0.004902454 | 0.0021030516 | 0.004238551 | 2.0154288 | 0.00214 |
| 7.7 | 8.202141E-5 | 1.6978429E-5 | 0.0010389611 | 61.193005 | 0.001022 | 3.51473E-4 | 7.276267E-5 | 0.001318672 | 18.12292 | 0.001246 | 0.00427079 | 8.8552636E-4 | 0.0025900158 | 2.9248319 | 0.001706 |
| 7.8 | 7.2859846E-5 | 9.276848E-6 | 7.7326974E-4 | 83.3548 | 7.64E-4 | 3.1221908E-4 | 3.9757313E-5 | 9.6372055E-4 | 24.240082 | 9.24E-4 | 0.003794643 | 4.8393788E-4 | 0.001735332 | 3.585857 | 0.001252 |
| 7.9 | 5.3874453E-5 | 4.591179E-6 | 6.105884E-4 | 132.99164 | 6.06E-4 | 2.3087008E-4 | 1.9676332E-5 | 7.4366207E-4 | 37.794754 | 7.24E-4 | 0.0028072202 | 2.3953302E-4 | 0.0012013026 | 5.015186 | 9.62E-4 |
| 8.0 | 3.468538E-5 | 2.864703E-6 | 4.248635E-4 | 148.30978 | 4.22E-4 | 1.4864317E-4 | 1.2277241E-5 | 5.1627104E-4 | 42.051067 | 5.04E-4 | 0.0018082283 | 1.4946517E-4 | 8.2536414E-4 | 5.522117 | 6.76E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.9152367E-5 | 1.7441947E-6 | 2.1974382E-4 | 125.98583 | 2.18E-4 | 8.207899E-5 | 7.4750983E-6 | 2.7347312E-4 | 36.58455 | 2.66E-4 | 9.988535E-4 | 9.100553E-5 | 4.4697314E-4 | 4.911494 | 3.56E-4 |
| 8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 3.8699196E-7 | 2.4386984E-5 | 63.01677 | 2.4E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 1.6585359E-6 | 2.7658492E-5 | 16.67645 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.0192487E-5 | 7.0191476E-5 | 3.4761183 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
Calico-Hidalgo
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.1142582E-5 | 0.0013630755 | 26.652456 | 0.001312 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1916642E-4 | 0.0019287916 | 8.80058 | 0.00171 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026654857 | 0.00517079 | 1.9399054 | 0.002512 |
| 6.1 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.1142582E-5 | 0.0013630755 | 26.652456 | 0.001312 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1916642E-4 | 0.0019287916 | 8.80058 | 0.00171 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026654857 | 0.00517079 | 1.9399054 | 0.002512 |
| 6.2 | 4.0906612E-5 | 5.1142582E-5 | 0.0013630755 | 26.652456 | 0.001312 | 1.7530227E-4 | 2.1916642E-4 | 0.0019287916 | 8.80058 | 0.00171 | 0.0021322158 | 0.0026654857 | 0.00517079 | 1.9399054 | 0.002512 |
| 6.3 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0299332E-5 | 0.0010782676 | 35.587173 | 0.001048 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.29848E-4 | 0.0014876716 | 11.457024 | 0.001358 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015797867 | 0.0035586555 | 2.2526178 | 0.001982 |
| 6.4 | 2.4242801E-5 | 3.0299332E-5 | 0.0010782676 | 35.587173 | 0.001048 | 1.0389358E-4 | 1.29848E-4 | 0.0014876716 | 11.457024 | 0.001358 | 0.0012641704 | 0.0015797867 | 0.0035586555 | 2.2526178 | 0.001982 |
| 6.5 | 2.0286952E-5 | 2.547982E-5 | 0.0010134546 | 39.774796 | 9.88E-4 | 8.694118E-5 | 1.09194756E-4 | 0.0013970541 | 12.79415 | 0.001288 | 0.0010579949 | 0.0013286526 | 0.0031881786 | 2.3995576 | 0.001862 |
| 6.6 | 2.0269223E-5 | 2.5460698E-5 | 0.0010134355 | 39.803917 | 9.88E-4 | 8.6865206E-5 | 1.0911281E-4 | 0.0013969722 | 12.803009 | 0.001288 | 0.0010570707 | 0.0013276562 | 0.003187184 | 2.4006095 | 0.001862 |
| 6.7 | 1.799852E-5 | 2.2686403E-5 | 9.5066533E-4 | 41.90463 | 9.28E-4 | 7.713423E-5 | 9.72239E-5 | 0.001309106 | 13.464858 | 0.001212 | 9.3870464E-4 | 0.0011830729 | 0.002934998 | 2.4808257 | 0.001754 |
| 6.8 | 1.7458793E-5 | 2.1984333E-5 | 9.3996414E-4 | 42.756092 | 9.18E-4 | 7.4821255E-5 | 9.421525E-5 | 0.0012861029 | 13.650688 | 0.001192 | 9.10568E-4 | 0.0011464816 | 0.0028685052 | 2.502007 | 0.001724 |
| 6.9 | 1.542884E-5 | 1.915449E-5 | 8.971377E-4 | 46.83694 | 8.78E-4 | 6.612192E-5 | 8.208816E-5 | 0.0012199947 | 14.862006 | 0.001138 | 8.04737E-4 | 9.989784E-4 | 0.0026453321 | 2.6480374 | 0.001648 |
| 7.0 | 1.468253E-5 | 1.8154162E-5 | 8.7613857E-4 | 48.261032 | 8.58E-4 | 6.292361E-5 | 7.7801305E-5 | 0.0011857151 | 15.240298 | 0.001108 | 7.658257E-4 | 9.468324E-4 | 0.0025533098 | 2.6966863 | 0.001608 |
| 7.1 | 1.3139281E-5 | 1.6314578E-5 | 8.423011E-4 | 51.628742 | 8.26E-4 | 5.6309986E-5 | 6.991781E-5 | 0.0011378431 | 16.274008 | 0.001068 | 6.853584E-4 | 8.5092965E-4 | 0.0024056055 | 2.8270323 | 0.001556 |
| 7.2 | 1.1127404E-5 | 1.3968032E-5 | 8.099569E-4 | 57.986473 | 7.96E-4 | 4.7688E-5 | 5.9861683E-5 | 0.0010917999 | 18.23871 | 0.001032 | 5.8044674E-4 | 7.285833E-4 | 0.002229489 | 3.060033 | 0.001502 |
| 7.3 | 9.808154E-6 | 1.2258929E-5 | 7.9424935E-4 | 64.78946 | 7.82E-4 | 4.2034266E-5 | 5.253727E-5 | 0.0010564845 | 20.10924 | 0.001004 | 5.11647E-4 | 6.3946436E-4 | 0.0020845397 | 3.2598217 | 0.001446 |
| 7.4 | 7.942452E-6 | 9.848331E-6 | 7.658409E-4 | 77.76353 | 7.56E-4 | 3.4038632E-5 | 4.2206502E-5 | 0.0010081658 | 23.886503 | 9.66E-4 | 4.1434157E-4 | 5.137525E-4 | 0.0019010395 | 3.700302 | 0.001388 |
| 7.5 | 4.7121216E-6 | 5.8008936E-6 | 6.437972E-4 | 110.98242 | 6.38E-4 | 2.019465E-5 | 2.4860778E-5 | 8.6083997E-4 | 34.62643 | 8.36E-4 | 2.4584212E-4 | 3.0264567E-4 | 0.0014902861 | 4.924195 | 0.001188 |
| 7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6377788E-7 | 2.6377788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1304763E-6 | 3.1304742E-6 | 2.7691638 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3763492E-5 | 2.5763327E-5 | 1.8718598 | 1.2E-5 |
Gravel Hills-Harper Lk
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1679105E-5 | 0.0012296411 | 38.81553 | 0.001198 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3576177E-4 | 0.0017475429 | 12.8721285 | 0.001612 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001651867 | 0.0040459055 | 2.449293 | 0.002398 |
| 6.1 | 3.0679566E-5 | 3.1679105E-5 | 0.0012296411 | 38.81553 | 0.001198 | 1.3147724E-4 | 1.3576177E-4 | 0.0017475429 | 12.8721285 | 0.001612 | 0.0015995599 | 0.001651867 | 0.0040459055 | 2.449293 | 0.002398 |
| 6.2 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3714595E-5 | 4.6170846E-4 | 33.66548 | 4.48E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8775582E-5 | 6.707396E-4 | 11.411875 | 6.12E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1536977E-4 | 0.0016187232 | 2.262778 | 9.04E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.514536E-5 | 1.3714595E-5 | 4.6170846E-4 | 33.66548 | 4.48E-4 | 6.490707E-5 | 5.8775582E-5 | 6.707396E-4 | 11.411875 | 6.12E-4 | 7.8995706E-4 | 7.1536977E-4 | 0.0016187232 | 2.262778 | 9.04E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.2532521E-5 | 1.07499445E-5 | 3.2874654E-4 | 30.58123 | 3.18E-4 | 5.37097E-5 | 4.607041E-5 | 4.780505E-4 | 10.376519 | 4.32E-4 | 6.537194E-4 | 5.6076876E-4 | 0.0011784222 | 2.1014404 | 6.18E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.1094058E-5 | 9.134396E-6 | 2.5313217E-4 | 27.711977 | 2.44E-4 | 4.7545094E-5 | 3.914685E-5 | 3.751337E-4 | 9.58273 | 3.36E-4 | 5.787078E-4 | 4.765127E-4 | 9.6428016E-4 | 2.023619 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.6 | 9.688328E-6 | 7.574219E-6 | 2.0557272E-4 | 27.14111 | 1.98E-4 | 4.1520743E-5 | 3.246055E-5 | 2.96452E-4 | 9.132685 | 2.64E-4 | 5.053978E-4 | 3.951381E-4 | 7.709895E-4 | 1.95119 | 3.76E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.974824E-6 | 6.7881083E-6 | 1.6278705E-4 | 23.981209 | 1.56E-4 | 3.8462964E-5 | 2.9091581E-5 | 2.350856E-4 | 8.08088 | 2.06E-4 | 4.6818596E-4 | 3.5413465E-4 | 6.4403197E-4 | 1.8186076 | 2.9E-4 |
| 6.8 | 7.4780046E-6 | 5.147343E-6 | 9.914686E-5 | 19.261755 | 9.4E-5 | 3.20482E-5 | 2.2059863E-5 | 1.4605712E-4 | 6.6209445 | 1.24E-4 | 3.9011694E-4 | 2.6854716E-4 | 4.325031E-4 | 1.6105295 | 1.64E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.3409307E-6 | 3.933666E-6 | 7.5933385E-5 | 19.303463 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7175134E-5 | 1.6858467E-5 | 1.1485681E-4 | 6.813005 | 9.8E-5 | 3.3080703E-4 | 2.0523349E-4 | 3.372064E-4 | 1.6430379 | 1.32E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.1239335E-6 | 2.6267414E-6 | 5.262661E-5 | 20.03494 | 5.0E-5 | 2.195953E-5 | 1.1257416E-5 | 7.725667E-5 | 6.8627357 | 6.6E-5 | 2.6732447E-4 | 1.3705068E-4 | 2.2103917E-4 | 1.6128279 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 4.438899E-6 | 2.1166607E-6 | 4.4116572E-5 | 20.842533 | 4.2E-5 | 1.9023713E-5 | 9.071373E-6 | 6.10709E-5 | 6.732267 | 5.2E-5 | 2.315891E-4 | 1.1043859E-4 | 1.7843109E-4 | 1.6156588 | 6.8E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.50367E-6 | 1.2755248E-6 | 3.527548E-5 | 27.65566 | 3.4E-5 | 1.5015643E-5 | 5.466524E-6 | 4.7466296E-5 | 8.683085 | 4.2E-5 | 1.8280011E-4 | 6.655298E-5 | 1.2454911E-4 | 1.8714281 | 5.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.561638E-6 | 7.2156837E-7 | 1.6721557E-5 | 23.173906 | 1.6E-5 | 1.0978401E-5 | 3.0924323E-6 | 2.309237E-5 | 7.4673815 | 2.0E-5 | 1.3365384E-4 | 3.7649734E-5 | 6.76486E-5 | 1.7967885 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.0368864E-6 | 5.37456E-7 | 1.6537448E-5 | 30.769863 | 1.6E-5 | 8.729483E-6 | 2.3033808E-6 | 2.2303335E-5 | 9.682869 | 2.0E-5 | 1.06276275E-4 | 2.8043307E-5 | 5.8042464E-5 | 2.069744 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6471184E-7 | 1.0364708E-5 | 28.418898 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5630498E-6 | 1.3563031E-5 | 8.677287 | 1.2E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.902997E-5 | 4.102955E-5 | 2.1560493 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.209073E-8 | 2.0720906E-6 | 28.742817 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.089602E-7 | 2.3089597E-6 | 7.4733233 | 2.0E-6 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.761586E-6 | 5.7615784E-6 | 1.5316887 | 2.0E-6 |
San Andreas (Big Bend)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.168226E-5 | 5.542119E-5 | 0.0013113515 | 23.661554 | 0.001256 | 3.928648E-4 | 2.3749797E-4 | 0.0017871298 | 7.5248218 | 0.00155 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0028877386 | 0.0050494783 | 1.7485925 | 0.002168 |
| 6.1 | 9.168226E-5 | 5.542119E-5 | 0.0013113515 | 23.661554 | 0.001256 | 3.928648E-4 | 2.3749797E-4 | 0.0017871298 | 7.5248218 | 0.00155 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0028877386 | 0.0050494783 | 1.7485925 | 0.002168 |
| 6.2 | 9.168226E-5 | 5.542119E-5 | 0.0013113515 | 23.661554 | 0.001256 | 3.928648E-4 | 2.3749797E-4 | 0.0017871298 | 7.5248218 | 0.00155 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0028877386 | 0.0050494783 | 1.7485925 | 0.002168 |
| 6.3 | 9.168226E-5 | 5.542119E-5 | 0.0013113515 | 23.661554 | 0.001256 | 3.928648E-4 | 2.3749797E-4 | 0.0017871298 | 7.5248218 | 0.00155 | 0.0047726436 | 0.0028877386 | 0.0050494783 | 1.7485925 | 0.002168 |
| 6.4 | 9.1639464E-5 | 5.535447E-5 | 0.001311285 | 23.688871 | 0.001256 | 3.9268145E-4 | 2.3721208E-4 | 0.0017868443 | 7.532687 | 0.00155 | 0.0047704205 | 0.0028842671 | 0.005046014 | 1.7494961 | 0.002168 |
| 6.5 | 9.1639464E-5 | 5.535447E-5 | 0.001311285 | 23.688871 | 0.001256 | 3.9268145E-4 | 2.3721208E-4 | 0.0017868443 | 7.532687 | 0.00155 | 0.0047704205 | 0.0028842671 | 0.005046014 | 1.7494961 | 0.002168 |
| 6.6 | 9.042622E-5 | 5.3445132E-5 | 0.0012933789 | 24.200125 | 0.00124 | 3.8748336E-4 | 2.2903063E-4 | 0.0017546811 | 7.6613383 | 0.001526 | 0.0047074095 | 0.0027849146 | 0.0049129715 | 1.7641373 | 0.002134 |
| 6.7 | 8.9836685E-5 | 5.261001E-5 | 0.001288545 | 24.492393 | 0.001236 | 3.8495753E-4 | 2.2545215E-4 | 0.0017431099 | 7.731618 | 0.001518 | 0.00467679 | 0.0027414563 | 0.004857639 | 1.7719191 | 0.002122 |
| 6.8 | 8.9471854E-5 | 5.2082974E-5 | 0.0012800191 | 24.576534 | 0.001228 | 3.8339442E-4 | 2.2319383E-4 | 0.0017288578 | 7.745992 | 0.001506 | 0.004657841 | 0.00271403 | 0.0048083304 | 1.7716571 | 0.0021 |
| 6.9 | 8.858234E-5 | 5.092392E-5 | 0.0012728617 | 24.995358 | 0.001222 | 3.7958333E-4 | 2.182273E-4 | 0.0017159004 | 7.8629045 | 0.001498 | 0.004611638 | 0.0026537108 | 0.004730186 | 1.7824798 | 0.002082 |
| 7.0 | 8.7433385E-5 | 4.932409E-5 | 0.0012552646 | 25.449322 | 0.001206 | 3.746607E-4 | 2.11372E-4 | 0.00168706 | 7.9814734 | 0.001476 | 0.004551957 | 0.002570447 | 0.004611188 | 1.7939245 | 0.002046 |
| 7.1 | 8.684964E-5 | 4.8429152E-5 | 0.0012423713 | 25.653378 | 0.001194 | 3.7215967E-4 | 2.0753717E-4 | 0.0016692338 | 8.043059 | 0.001462 | 0.0045216335 | 0.002523867 | 0.004526799 | 1.7935965 | 0.002008 |
| 7.2 | 8.606521E-5 | 4.7337402E-5 | 0.0012112823 | 25.58827 | 0.001164 | 3.6879873E-4 | 2.0285898E-4 | 0.0016265701 | 8.01823 | 0.001424 | 0.0044808835 | 0.0024670402 | 0.004418215 | 1.7908969 | 0.001956 |
| 7.3 | 8.568266E-5 | 4.6781697E-5 | 0.0011807287 | 25.239115 | 0.001134 | 3.6715972E-4 | 2.0047775E-4 | 0.0015842003 | 7.9021254 | 0.001384 | 0.0044610105 | 0.002438114 | 0.0043334817 | 1.7773908 | 0.0019 |
| 7.4 | 8.5432206E-5 | 4.64821E-5 | 0.0011604304 | 24.965101 | 0.001114 | 3.6608664E-4 | 1.9919395E-4 | 0.0015549238 | 7.80608 | 0.001356 | 0.004447999 | 0.0024225186 | 0.004282003 | 1.7675831 | 0.001864 |
| 7.5 | 8.4791965E-5 | 4.5191777E-5 | 0.0011551416 | 25.56088 | 0.00111 | 3.633435E-4 | 1.9366483E-4 | 0.001545403 | 7.979781 | 0.001352 | 0.0044147377 | 0.0023553488 | 0.0042089727 | 1.7869848 | 0.001858 |
| 7.6 | 8.241105E-5 | 4.182513E-5 | 0.0011377793 | 27.203245 | 0.001096 | 3.531424E-4 | 1.792384E-4 | 0.0015070004 | 8.407799 | 0.001328 | 0.0042910352 | 0.0021800713 | 0.0039980994 | 1.8339305 | 0.001822 |
| 7.7 | 7.00432E-5 | 1.6468117E-5 | 8.7645394E-4 | 53.22126 | 8.6E-4 | 3.001506E-4 | 7.057574E-5 | 0.0011185018 | 15.848248 | 0.001048 | 0.0036482112 | 8.589218E-4 | 0.0022737056 | 2.6471624 | 0.001416 |
| 7.8 | 6.415362E-5 | 9.501753E-6 | 6.9349527E-4 | 72.98603 | 6.84E-4 | 2.749151E-4 | 4.0721163E-5 | 8.666875E-4 | 21.283466 | 8.26E-4 | 0.0033419547 | 4.9566745E-4 | 0.0016031183 | 3.2342615 | 0.001108 |
| 7.9 | 4.939911E-5 | 4.6102755E-6 | 5.5260776E-4 | 119.864365 | 5.48E-4 | 2.116933E-4 | 1.9758174E-5 | 6.7374523E-4 | 34.09957 | 6.54E-4 | 0.0025743195 | 2.4052922E-4 | 0.0011023219 | 4.582902 | 8.62E-4 |
| 8.0 | 3.344983E-5 | 2.9079758E-6 | 4.049068E-4 | 139.24008 | 4.02E-4 | 1.4334853E-4 | 1.2462694E-5 | 4.864568E-4 | 39.033035 | 4.74E-4 | 0.0017438711 | 1.5172275E-4 | 7.8162714E-4 | 5.151681 | 6.3E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.9104898E-5 | 1.8191766E-6 | 2.1781879E-4 | 119.73482 | 2.16E-4 | 8.1875565E-5 | 7.796448E-6 | 2.6579443E-4 | 34.091736 | 2.58E-4 | 9.963791E-4 | 9.491763E-5 | 4.3688517E-4 | 4.602782 | 3.42E-4 |
| 8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 3.8699196E-7 | 2.4386984E-5 | 63.01677 | 2.4E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 1.6585359E-6 | 2.7658492E-5 | 16.67645 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.0192487E-5 | 7.0191476E-5 | 3.4761183 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
San Jacinto (Coyote Creek)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.2386029E-5 | 0.0012923701 | 104.340965 | 0.00128 | 1.17144904E-4 | 5.3081912E-5 | 0.001632998 | 30.763737 | 0.00158 | 0.001425306 | 6.4608303E-4 | 0.0028206771 | 4.3658123 | 0.002176 |
| 6.1 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.2386029E-5 | 0.0012923701 | 104.340965 | 0.00128 | 1.17144904E-4 | 5.3081912E-5 | 0.001632998 | 30.763737 | 0.00158 | 0.001425306 | 6.4608303E-4 | 0.0028206771 | 4.3658123 | 0.002176 |
| 6.2 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.2386029E-5 | 0.0012923701 | 104.340965 | 0.00128 | 1.17144904E-4 | 5.3081912E-5 | 0.001632998 | 30.763737 | 0.00158 | 0.001425306 | 6.4608303E-4 | 0.0028206771 | 4.3658123 | 0.002176 |
| 6.3 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.2386029E-5 | 0.0012923701 | 104.340965 | 0.00128 | 1.17144904E-4 | 5.3081912E-5 | 0.001632998 | 30.763737 | 0.00158 | 0.001425306 | 6.4608303E-4 | 0.0028206771 | 4.3658123 | 0.002176 |
| 6.4 | 2.7335038E-5 | 1.2386029E-5 | 0.0012923701 | 104.340965 | 0.00128 | 1.17144904E-4 | 5.3081912E-5 | 0.001632998 | 30.763737 | 0.00158 | 0.001425306 | 6.4608303E-4 | 0.0028206771 | 4.3658123 | 0.002176 |
| 6.5 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.2320156E-5 | 0.0012923044 | 104.8935 | 0.00128 | 1.16919524E-4 | 5.2799616E-5 | 0.0016327162 | 30.92288 | 0.00158 | 0.0014225657 | 6.426481E-4 | 0.0028172496 | 4.383814 | 0.002176 |
| 6.6 | 2.7282445E-5 | 1.2320156E-5 | 0.0012923044 | 104.8935 | 0.00128 | 1.16919524E-4 | 5.2799616E-5 | 0.0016327162 | 30.92288 | 0.00158 | 0.0014225657 | 6.426481E-4 | 0.0028172496 | 4.383814 | 0.002176 |
| 6.7 | 2.7216198E-5 | 1.2244171E-5 | 0.0012902286 | 105.374916 | 0.001278 | 1.1663563E-4 | 5.2473977E-5 | 0.0016283913 | 31.03236 | 0.001576 | 0.0014191137 | 6.386858E-4 | 0.0028092985 | 4.398561 | 0.002172 |
| 6.8 | 2.7078617E-5 | 1.21565145E-5 | 0.001290141 | 106.12754 | 0.001278 | 1.1604605E-4 | 5.209832E-5 | 0.0016260163 | 31.210533 | 0.001574 | 0.001411945 | 6.3411484E-4 | 0.00280074 | 4.416771 | 0.002168 |
| 6.9 | 2.6982952E-5 | 1.2072528E-5 | 0.0012820571 | 106.19625 | 0.00127 | 1.15636096E-4 | 5.1738392E-5 | 0.0016176574 | 31.266092 | 0.001566 | 0.0014069602 | 6.297353E-4 | 0.0027883751 | 4.4278526 | 0.00216 |
| 7.0 | 2.6449972E-5 | 1.1626084E-5 | 0.0012756113 | 109.71978 | 0.001264 | 1.1335209E-4 | 4.9825136E-5 | 0.0016097474 | 32.307938 | 0.00156 | 0.001379188 | 6.0645456E-4 | 0.0027511532 | 4.5364537 | 0.002146 |
| 7.1 | 2.6257849E-5 | 1.144122E-5 | 0.0012714268 | 111.12686 | 0.00126 | 1.1252879E-4 | 4.903289E-5 | 0.0016049566 | 32.732246 | 0.001556 | 0.0013691769 | 5.9681427E-4 | 0.002735537 | 4.583565 | 0.00214 |
| 7.2 | 2.5270041E-5 | 1.0567386E-5 | 0.0012665541 | 119.855 | 0.001256 | 1.0829568E-4 | 4.5288023E-5 | 0.001593218 | 35.179676 | 0.001548 | 0.0013177024 | 5.5124424E-4 | 0.0026780711 | 4.8582296 | 0.002128 |
| 7.3 | 2.339701E-5 | 9.181869E-6 | 0.0012391706 | 134.95842 | 0.00123 | 1.0026905E-4 | 3.9350285E-5 | 0.0015552907 | 39.524254 | 0.001516 | 0.001220092 | 4.7898613E-4 | 0.00255799 | 5.3404255 | 0.00208 |
| 7.4 | 2.296333E-5 | 8.888251E-6 | 0.0012348774 | 138.93367 | 0.001226 | 9.841056E-5 | 3.8091956E-5 | 0.0015500344 | 40.691906 | 0.001512 | 0.0011974899 | 4.636726E-4 | 0.002534712 | 5.4665985 | 0.002072 |
| 7.5 | 2.2188895E-5 | 8.361426E-6 | 0.0012223513 | 146.18933 | 0.001214 | 9.50918E-5 | 3.58342E-5 | 0.0015357805 | 42.857952 | 0.0015 | 0.0011571277 | 4.361957E-4 | 0.0024912988 | 5.711425 | 0.002056 |
| 7.6 | 2.0013189E-5 | 6.817791E-6 | 0.0011828098 | 173.48871 | 0.001176 | 8.5767984E-5 | 2.9218783E-5 | 0.0014771764 | 50.555714 | 0.001448 | 0.001043725 | 3.5568196E-4 | 0.0023269805 | 6.542307 | 0.001972 |
| 7.7 | 1.7230794E-5 | 4.4424582E-6 | 0.0010404378 | 234.20319 | 0.001036 | 7.384417E-5 | 1.903897E-5 | 0.0012950146 | 68.01916 | 0.001276 | 8.986819E-4 | 2.3177502E-4 | 0.0019553755 | 8.436523 | 0.001724 |
| 7.8 | 1.4478809E-5 | 3.0129013E-6 | 6.950108E-4 | 230.67827 | 6.92E-4 | 6.205057E-5 | 1.291237E-5 | 8.629014E-4 | 66.8275 | 8.5E-4 | 7.552038E-4 | 1.5719679E-4 | 0.001301017 | 8.276359 | 0.001144 |
| 7.9 | 1.1114467E-5 | 1.940971E-6 | 3.8394023E-4 | 197.80832 | 3.82E-4 | 4.7632562E-5 | 8.318421E-6 | 4.683146E-4 | 56.298496 | 4.6E-4 | 5.797721E-4 | 1.0127209E-4 | 7.112103E-4 | 7.0227675 | 6.1E-4 |
| 8.0 | 9.327402E-6 | 1.550388E-6 | 2.7954995E-4 | 180.30968 | 2.78E-4 | 3.9973966E-5 | 6.644503E-6 | 3.3464233E-4 | 50.363785 | 3.28E-4 | 4.8657437E-4 | 8.0893835E-5 | 5.1485875E-4 | 6.3646226 | 4.34E-4 |
| 8.1 | 7.0235833E-6 | 1.1234719E-6 | 1.8312327E-4 | 162.99763 | 1.82E-4 | 3.0100724E-5 | 4.814871E-6 | 2.2281382E-4 | 46.27618 | 2.18E-4 | 3.664147E-4 | 5.8619487E-5 | 3.4860248E-4 | 5.9468703 | 2.9E-4 |
| 8.2 | 2.0358202E-6 | 1.4680737E-7 | 1.6146805E-5 | 109.98634 | 1.6E-5 | 8.724915E-6 | 6.291743E-7 | 1.6629165E-5 | 26.43014 | 1.6E-5 | 1.06220665E-4 | 7.66017E-6 | 3.365997E-5 | 4.3941545 | 2.6E-5 |
| 8.3 | 2.0051264E-7 | 1.1237373E-8 | 2.0112373E-6 | 178.97754 | 2.0E-6 | 8.5933965E-7 | 4.8160167E-8 | 2.04816E-6 | 42.52809 | 2.0E-6 | 1.046241E-5 | 5.8634987E-7 | 2.5863487E-6 | 4.4109306 | 2.0E-6 |
San Andreas (Mojave S)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.1064058E-4 | 1.1349562E-5 | 0.0013333346 | 117.47895 | 0.001322 | 0.0013306376 | 4.864007E-5 | 0.001654562 | 34.016438 | 0.001606 | 0.016080605 | 5.9203233E-4 | 0.002746756 | 4.639537 | 0.002156 |
| 6.1 | 3.1064058E-4 | 1.1349562E-5 | 0.0013333346 | 117.47895 | 0.001322 | 0.0013306376 | 4.864007E-5 | 0.001654562 | 34.016438 | 0.001606 | 0.016080605 | 5.9203233E-4 | 0.002746756 | 4.639537 | 0.002156 |
| 6.2 | 3.1064058E-4 | 1.1349562E-5 | 0.0013333346 | 117.47895 | 0.001322 | 0.0013306376 | 4.864007E-5 | 0.001654562 | 34.016438 | 0.001606 | 0.016080605 | 5.9203233E-4 | 0.002746756 | 4.639537 | 0.002156 |
| 6.3 | 3.1064058E-4 | 1.1349562E-5 | 0.0013333346 | 117.47895 | 0.001322 | 0.0013306376 | 4.864007E-5 | 0.001654562 | 34.016438 | 0.001606 | 0.016080605 | 5.9203233E-4 | 0.002746756 | 4.639537 | 0.002156 |
| 6.4 | 1.9872203E-4 | 1.1349562E-5 | 0.0013333346 | 117.47895 | 0.001322 | 8.5138786E-4 | 4.864007E-5 | 0.001654562 | 34.016438 | 0.001606 | 0.010316478 | 5.9203233E-4 | 0.002746756 | 4.639537 | 0.002156 |
| 6.5 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.1349562E-5 | 0.0013333346 | 117.47895 | 0.001322 | 5.5321335E-4 | 4.864007E-5 | 0.001654562 | 34.016438 | 0.001606 | 0.006714592 | 5.9203233E-4 | 0.002746756 | 4.639537 | 0.002156 |
| 6.6 | 1.291105E-4 | 1.1349562E-5 | 0.0013333346 | 117.47895 | 0.001322 | 5.5321335E-4 | 4.864007E-5 | 0.001654562 | 34.016438 | 0.001606 | 0.006714592 | 5.9203233E-4 | 0.002746756 | 4.639537 | 0.002156 |
| 6.7 | 1.08001186E-4 | 1.1349562E-5 | 0.0013333346 | 117.47895 | 0.001322 | 4.6278012E-4 | 4.864007E-5 | 0.001654562 | 34.016438 | 0.001606 | 0.0056198016 | 5.9203233E-4 | 0.002746756 | 4.639537 | 0.002156 |
| 6.8 | 1.0624356E-4 | 1.1344348E-5 | 0.0013293294 | 117.179886 | 0.001318 | 4.5525006E-4 | 4.861773E-5 | 0.00164654 | 33.86707 | 0.001598 | 0.0055285925 | 5.9176044E-4 | 0.0027364905 | 4.6243215 | 0.002146 |
| 6.9 | 1.0393785E-4 | 1.1333365E-5 | 0.0013133186 | 115.88073 | 0.001302 | 4.4537184E-4 | 4.8570662E-5 | 0.0016284939 | 33.528347 | 0.00158 | 0.0054089287 | 5.9118774E-4 | 0.002713932 | 4.5906434 | 0.002124 |
| 7.0 | 1.0155622E-4 | 1.1292659E-5 | 0.0012452787 | 110.2733 | 0.001234 | 4.3516833E-4 | 4.839621E-5 | 0.001538324 | 31.786043 | 0.00149 | 0.005285311 | 5.8906496E-4 | 0.0025898856 | 4.3966045 | 0.002002 |
| 7.1 | 9.885595E-5 | 1.1257428E-5 | 0.0011752443 | 104.39723 | 0.001164 | 4.2359953E-4 | 4.8245227E-5 | 0.0014541774 | 30.141373 | 0.001406 | 0.0051451353 | 5.872277E-4 | 0.0024941072 | 4.2472577 | 0.001908 |
| 7.2 | 9.6411415E-5 | 1.1194091E-5 | 0.0011351815 | 101.409 | 0.001124 | 4.1312634E-4 | 4.7973794E-5 | 0.0014079085 | 29.34745 | 0.00136 | 0.005018219 | 5.8392476E-4 | 0.0024348432 | 4.1697893 | 0.001852 |
| 7.3 | 9.1180635E-5 | 1.1107017E-5 | 0.0011210947 | 100.93572 | 0.00111 | 3.907156E-4 | 4.760063E-5 | 0.0013895368 | 29.19156 | 0.001342 | 0.004746591 | 5.793839E-4 | 0.0024043259 | 4.1497974 | 0.001826 |
| 7.4 | 8.887388E-5 | 1.1039883E-5 | 0.0010950279 | 99.18836 | 0.001084 | 3.8083247E-4 | 4.7312926E-5 | 0.001357251 | 28.686684 | 0.00131 | 0.0046267817 | 5.7588296E-4 | 0.0023648522 | 4.10648 | 0.00179 |
| 7.5 | 8.6750515E-5 | 1.09979E-5 | 0.0010849861 | 98.65393 | 0.001074 | 3.7173493E-4 | 4.713301E-5 | 0.0013430719 | 28.495358 | 0.001296 | 0.004516484 | 5.7369366E-4 | 0.0023426781 | 4.0835004 | 0.00177 |
| 7.6 | 8.453092E-5 | 1.0926224E-5 | 0.0010729146 | 98.19629 | 0.001062 | 3.6222505E-4 | 4.6825833E-5 | 0.0013287658 | 28.376768 | 0.001282 | 0.0044011753 | 5.6995574E-4 | 0.0023149606 | 4.06165 | 0.001746 |
| 7.7 | 8.259102E-5 | 1.0723552E-5 | 0.0010227127 | 95.370705 | 0.001012 | 3.539135E-4 | 4.595727E-5 | 0.001271901 | 27.67573 | 0.001226 | 0.004300386 | 5.5938645E-4 | 0.0022384466 | 4.0016103 | 0.00168 |
| 7.8 | 7.444844E-5 | 7.3461847E-6 | 8.173402E-4 | 111.260506 | 8.1E-4 | 3.1902574E-4 | 3.148327E-5 | 0.0010114524 | 32.126667 | 9.8E-4 | 0.0038772223 | 3.8324145E-4 | 0.0017207287 | 4.4899335 | 0.001338 |
| 7.9 | 5.2586525E-5 | 3.962445E-6 | 6.0796004E-4 | 153.43053 | 6.04E-4 | 2.2535135E-4 | 1.6981798E-5 | 7.3896954E-4 | 43.515392 | 7.22E-4 | 0.0027402006 | 2.0673378E-4 | 0.0011665353 | 5.6426935 | 9.6E-4 |
| 8.0 | 3.379877E-5 | 2.6060732E-6 | 4.2260496E-4 | 162.16159 | 4.2E-4 | 1.4484383E-4 | 1.1168837E-5 | 5.131632E-4 | 45.945988 | 5.02E-4 | 0.0017620471 | 1.359721E-4 | 8.0988044E-4 | 5.956225 | 6.74E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.8668277E-5 | 1.6125608E-6 | 2.176122E-4 | 134.94823 | 2.16E-4 | 8.000444E-5 | 6.9109565E-6 | 2.7090913E-4 | 39.199947 | 2.64E-4 | 9.736188E-4 | 8.413765E-5 | 4.3810788E-4 | 5.207037 | 3.54E-4 |
| 8.2 | 8.541571E-6 | 3.6676428E-7 | 2.4366755E-5 | 66.4371 | 2.4E-5 | 3.660622E-5 | 1.5718459E-6 | 2.7571805E-5 | 17.541037 | 2.6E-5 | 4.455896E-4 | 1.9137056E-5 | 6.91361E-5 | 3.612682 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
San Jacinto (Borrego)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.228442E-5 | 1.8982804E-5 | 0.0012089602 | 63.687126 | 0.00119 | 1.3835446E-4 | 8.135242E-5 | 0.0015752309 | 19.363049 | 0.001494 | 0.0016831639 | 9.900304E-4 | 0.0030819573 | 3.1129928 | 0.002094 |
| 6.1 | 3.226985E-5 | 1.8982804E-5 | 0.0012089602 | 63.687126 | 0.00119 | 1.3829203E-4 | 8.135242E-5 | 0.0015752309 | 19.363049 | 0.001494 | 0.001682405 | 9.900304E-4 | 0.0030819573 | 3.1129928 | 0.002094 |
| 6.2 | 3.2120504E-5 | 1.8982804E-5 | 0.0012089602 | 63.687126 | 0.00119 | 1.3765205E-4 | 8.135242E-5 | 0.0015752309 | 19.363049 | 0.001494 | 0.0016746253 | 9.900304E-4 | 0.003081957 | 3.1129928 | 0.002094 |
| 6.3 | 3.206246E-5 | 1.8937E-5 | 0.0012089144 | 63.838753 | 0.00119 | 1.374033E-4 | 8.115613E-5 | 0.0015750349 | 19.407467 | 0.001494 | 0.0016716016 | 9.876427E-4 | 0.0030795746 | 3.118106 | 0.002094 |
| 6.4 | 3.1828724E-5 | 1.8900859E-5 | 0.0012088784 | 63.95891 | 0.00119 | 1.364017E-4 | 8.100125E-5 | 0.0015748802 | 19.442665 | 0.001494 | 0.0016594254 | 9.857587E-4 | 0.0030776944 | 3.122158 | 0.002094 |
| 6.5 | 3.1563577E-5 | 1.8619754E-5 | 0.0012045976 | 64.6946 | 0.001186 | 1.3526545E-4 | 7.979659E-5 | 0.0015696777 | 19.670988 | 0.00149 | 0.0016456128 | 9.711051E-4 | 0.0030550794 | 3.1459823 | 0.002086 |
| 6.6 | 3.1467625E-5 | 1.8454895E-5 | 0.001204433 | 65.26361 | 0.001186 | 1.3485427E-4 | 7.909009E-5 | 0.0015689722 | 19.837786 | 0.00149 | 0.0016406142 | 9.625111E-4 | 0.0030465033 | 3.1651616 | 0.002086 |
| 6.7 | 3.1223695E-5 | 1.80546E-5 | 0.0012000332 | 66.466896 | 0.001182 | 1.3380898E-4 | 7.737464E-5 | 0.00155926 | 20.152079 | 0.001482 | 0.0016279068 | 9.416438E-4 | 0.0030136907 | 3.2004573 | 0.002074 |
| 6.8 | 3.1015585E-5 | 1.7855478E-5 | 0.0011978344 | 67.08498 | 0.00118 | 1.3291716E-4 | 7.652132E-5 | 0.0015544082 | 20.3134 | 0.001478 | 0.001617065 | 9.312634E-4 | 0.0029973376 | 3.2185712 | 0.002068 |
| 6.9 | 2.6641965E-5 | 1.2697088E-5 | 0.0011366828 | 89.52311 | 0.001124 | 1.1417485E-4 | 5.441498E-5 | 0.0014563387 | 26.763561 | 0.001402 | 0.0013891924 | 6.6230516E-4 | 0.002609015 | 3.9392943 | 0.001948 |
| 7.0 | 2.3854353E-5 | 1.0732302E-5 | 0.0011027206 | 102.74781 | 0.001092 | 1.02228936E-4 | 4.5994784E-5 | 0.0014079321 | 30.610691 | 0.001362 | 0.0012439266 | 5.5984495E-4 | 0.0024407913 | 4.359763 | 0.001882 |
| 7.1 | 2.3672901E-5 | 1.0558434E-5 | 0.0010985469 | 104.044495 | 0.001088 | 1.0145135E-4 | 4.524966E-5 | 0.0014031882 | 31.009916 | 0.001358 | 0.0012344702 | 5.5077765E-4 | 0.0024257444 | 4.4042172 | 0.001876 |
| 7.2 | 2.2717244E-5 | 9.718705E-6 | 0.0010937082 | 112.53641 | 0.001084 | 9.735599E-5 | 4.165094E-5 | 0.0013915948 | 33.410885 | 0.00135 | 0.0011846646 | 5.0698424E-4 | 0.0023700392 | 4.674779 | 0.001864 |
| 7.3 | 2.1016205E-5 | 8.450492E-6 | 0.0010704416 | 126.6721 | 0.001062 | 9.006634E-5 | 3.62159E-5 | 0.001358168 | 37.50198 | 0.001322 | 0.001096006 | 4.408411E-4 | 0.002264037 | 5.135721 | 0.001824 |
| 7.4 | 2.0683625E-5 | 8.233086E-6 | 0.0010682243 | 129.74774 | 0.00106 | 8.86411E-5 | 3.528419E-5 | 0.0013552376 | 38.409206 | 0.00132 | 0.001078671 | 4.2950202E-4 | 0.0022487203 | 5.235646 | 0.00182 |
| 7.5 | 1.9993966E-5 | 7.782082E-6 | 0.0010597738 | 136.18127 | 0.001052 | 8.568561E-5 | 3.3351364E-5 | 0.0013453076 | 40.33741 | 0.001312 | 0.001042723 | 4.0597885E-4 | 0.002215244 | 5.45655 | 0.00181 |
| 7.6 | 1.788966E-5 | 6.3076945E-6 | 0.0010203012 | 161.75502 | 0.001014 | 7.666772E-5 | 2.7032704E-5 | 0.0012889986 | 47.68293 | 0.001262 | 9.3302975E-4 | 3.290748E-4 | 0.0020565062 | 6.2493577 | 0.001728 |
| 7.7 | 1.5125781E-5 | 3.947921E-6 | 8.7794446E-4 | 222.38147 | 8.74E-4 | 6.4823165E-5 | 1.6919552E-5 | 0.0011089011 | 65.53962 | 0.001092 | 7.889362E-4 | 2.059763E-4 | 0.0016896706 | 8.203228 | 0.001484 |
| 7.8 | 1.250089E-5 | 2.5753461E-6 | 5.685739E-4 | 220.77573 | 5.66E-4 | 5.3574146E-5 | 1.103715E-5 | 7.1502937E-4 | 64.783875 | 7.04E-4 | 6.5207E-4 | 1.3436904E-4 | 0.0010882409 | 8.098895 | 9.54E-4 |
| 7.9 | 9.561E-6 | 1.6638993E-6 | 3.2166336E-4 | 193.31902 | 3.2E-4 | 4.0975072E-5 | 7.130978E-6 | 4.0112817E-4 | 56.2515 | 3.94E-4 | 4.987573E-4 | 8.681621E-5 | 6.087709E-4 | 7.01218 | 5.22E-4 |
| 8.0 | 8.01699E-6 | 1.3284852E-6 | 2.2732819E-4 | 171.11835 | 2.26E-4 | 3.4358076E-5 | 5.6934955E-6 | 2.8169193E-4 | 49.476097 | 2.76E-4 | 4.1822926E-4 | 6.931611E-5 | 4.4129032E-4 | 6.3663454 | 3.72E-4 |
| 8.1 | 6.541947E-6 | 1.0633316E-6 | 1.7506315E-4 | 164.63644 | 1.74E-4 | 2.8036617E-5 | 4.557128E-6 | 2.1455617E-4 | 47.081448 | 2.1E-4 | 3.4129233E-4 | 5.548163E-5 | 3.354661E-4 | 6.0464354 | 2.8E-4 |
| 8.2 | 1.7968189E-6 | 1.3129382E-7 | 1.6131291E-5 | 122.86406 | 1.6E-5 | 7.70063E-6 | 5.6268766E-7 | 1.6562679E-5 | 29.434942 | 1.6E-5 | 9.3751136E-5 | 6.8507015E-6 | 3.2850523E-5 | 4.7952056 | 2.6E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.5167889E-7 | 8.228711E-9 | 2.0082286E-6 | 244.05142 | 2.0E-6 | 6.500522E-7 | 3.5265906E-8 | 2.0352659E-6 | 57.711998 | 2.0E-6 | 7.9143565E-6 | 4.2936233E-7 | 2.4293615E-6 | 5.6580687 | 2.0E-6 |
San Andreas (Carrizo) rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.3426051E-4 | 0.0013141021 | 9.7877035 | 0.00118 | 5.002454E-4 | 5.752771E-4 | 0.0020444314 | 3.5538204 | 0.00147 | 0.006073493 | 0.006981846 | 0.009013561 | 1.2909998 | 0.002046 |
| 6.1 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.3426051E-4 | 0.0013141021 | 9.7877035 | 0.00118 | 5.002454E-4 | 5.752771E-4 | 0.0020444314 | 3.5538204 | 0.00147 | 0.006073493 | 0.006981846 | 0.009013561 | 1.2909998 | 0.002046 |
| 6.2 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.3426051E-4 | 0.0013141021 | 9.7877035 | 0.00118 | 5.002454E-4 | 5.752771E-4 | 0.0020444314 | 3.5538204 | 0.00147 | 0.006073493 | 0.006981846 | 0.009013561 | 1.2909998 | 0.002046 |
| 6.3 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.3426051E-4 | 0.0013141021 | 9.7877035 | 0.00118 | 5.002454E-4 | 5.752771E-4 | 0.0020444314 | 3.5538204 | 0.00147 | 0.006073493 | 0.006981846 | 0.009013561 | 1.2909998 | 0.002046 |
| 6.4 | 1.1674632E-4 | 1.3426051E-4 | 0.0013141021 | 9.7877035 | 0.00118 | 5.002454E-4 | 5.752771E-4 | 0.0020444314 | 3.5538204 | 0.00147 | 0.006073493 | 0.006981846 | 0.009013561 | 1.2909998 | 0.002046 |
| 6.5 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.2730563E-4 | 0.0012991565 | 10.20502 | 0.001172 | 4.847792E-4 | 5.4548314E-4 | 0.0020006888 | 3.6677375 | 0.001456 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0066213505 | 0.008625989 | 1.3027537 | 0.002018 |
| 6.6 | 1.13136164E-4 | 1.2730563E-4 | 0.0012991565 | 10.20502 | 0.001172 | 4.847792E-4 | 5.4548314E-4 | 0.0020006888 | 3.6677375 | 0.001456 | 0.0058862255 | 0.0066213505 | 0.008625989 | 1.3027537 | 0.002018 |
| 6.7 | 1.1149675E-4 | 1.2414726E-4 | 0.001286003 | 10.358689 | 0.001162 | 4.777557E-4 | 5.319529E-4 | 0.0019771836 | 3.71684 | 0.001446 | 0.0058011734 | 0.0064576045 | 0.008444689 | 1.3077124 | 0.002 |
| 6.8 | 1.1103589E-4 | 1.2312685E-4 | 0.001282984 | 10.420017 | 0.00116 | 4.7578133E-4 | 5.2758143E-4 | 0.0019708197 | 3.735574 | 0.001444 | 0.005777263 | 0.0064046965 | 0.0083898995 | 1.3099606 | 0.001998 |
| 6.9 | 1.1053259E-4 | 1.2200429E-4 | 0.0012798631 | 10.490312 | 0.001158 | 4.7362508E-4 | 5.227724E-4 | 0.0019640184 | 3.7569287 | 0.001442 | 0.0057511497 | 0.0063464884 | 0.008327833 | 1.3121955 | 0.001994 |
| 7.0 | 1.1005377E-4 | 1.20969475E-4 | 0.0012788294 | 10.571505 | 0.001158 | 4.7157376E-4 | 5.183393E-4 | 0.0019595919 | 3.7805197 | 0.001442 | 0.0057263062 | 0.006292828 | 0.0082742805 | 1.3148746 | 0.001994 |
| 7.1 | 1.0308142E-4 | 1.0541796E-4 | 0.0012452978 | 11.812957 | 0.00114 | 4.417027E-4 | 4.5171418E-4 | 0.0018630764 | 4.1244583 | 0.001412 | 0.0053644776 | 0.005485965 | 0.0074193003 | 1.3524148 | 0.001944 |
| 7.2 | 1.0027479E-4 | 9.923812E-5 | 0.0012211268 | 12.305017 | 0.001122 | 4.296783E-4 | 4.2523802E-4 | 0.0018126478 | 4.262666 | 0.001388 | 0.0052187922 | 0.005165188 | 0.007061343 | 1.3671029 | 0.001906 |
| 7.3 | 9.816942E-5 | 9.3579976E-5 | 0.0012114753 | 12.945883 | 0.001118 | 4.2065824E-4 | 4.0099648E-4 | 0.0017784439 | 4.435061 | 0.001378 | 0.005109493 | 0.004871404 | 0.0067581674 | 1.3873142 | 0.001896 |
| 7.4 | 9.5634205E-5 | 8.683019E-5 | 0.001194734 | 13.759432 | 0.001108 | 4.0979648E-4 | 3.720773E-4 | 0.0017375691 | 4.6699142 | 0.001366 | 0.0049778637 | 0.004520817 | 0.006392318 | 1.413974 | 0.00188 |
| 7.5 | 8.052417E-5 | 4.7446978E-5 | 0.0011173962 | 23.550419 | 0.00107 | 3.4505792E-4 | 2.0332851E-4 | 0.0015110625 | 7.4316316 | 0.001308 | 0.0041929903 | 0.0024727434 | 0.0042702877 | 1.7269433 | 0.001802 |
| 7.6 | 7.897024E-5 | 4.375314E-5 | 0.0011037068 | 25.225773 | 0.00106 | 3.384E-4 | 1.8750013E-4 | 0.0014752586 | 7.86804 | 0.001288 | 0.0041122385 | 0.002280452 | 0.004052402 | 1.7770169 | 0.001776 |
| 7.7 | 6.707427E-5 | 1.7169828E-5 | 8.591554E-4 | 50.038666 | 8.42E-4 | 2.8742946E-4 | 7.358291E-5 | 0.0010995074 | 14.942429 | 0.001026 | 0.003493839 | 8.955046E-4 | 0.0022842598 | 2.5508075 | 0.00139 |
| 7.8 | 6.147705E-5 | 9.674465E-6 | 6.75668E-4 | 69.84035 | 6.66E-4 | 2.6344648E-4 | 4.1461335E-5 | 8.45428E-4 | 20.390757 | 8.04E-4 | 0.0032027436 | 5.046749E-4 | 0.0015861288 | 3.1428723 | 0.001082 |
| 7.9 | 4.7636717E-5 | 4.652705E-6 | 5.3665024E-4 | 115.34156 | 5.32E-4 | 2.0414138E-4 | 1.994001E-5 | 6.5592735E-4 | 32.895035 | 6.36E-4 | 0.0024825884 | 2.427426E-4 | 0.0010845382 | 4.467853 | 8.42E-4 |
| 8.0 | 3.3554235E-5 | 2.9552914E-6 | 4.0295412E-4 | 136.35004 | 4.0E-4 | 1.4379594E-4 | 1.2665472E-5 | 4.8465948E-4 | 38.266197 | 4.72E-4 | 0.0017493097 | 1.5419124E-4 | 7.820944E-4 | 5.0722365 | 6.28E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.9175432E-5 | 1.8371688E-6 | 2.1783677E-4 | 118.57199 | 2.16E-4 | 8.217783E-5 | 7.873557E-6 | 2.6587152E-4 | 33.76765 | 2.58E-4 | 0.0010000558 | 9.5856354E-5 | 4.3782356E-4 | 4.567497 | 3.42E-4 |
| 8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 3.8699196E-7 | 2.4386984E-5 | 63.01677 | 2.4E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 1.6585359E-6 | 2.7658492E-5 | 16.67645 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.0192487E-5 | 7.0191476E-5 | 3.4761183 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
San Jacinto (Clark) rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.662949E-5 | 0.0011686103 | 70.27337 | 0.001152 | 1.9209793E-4 | 7.1267365E-5 | 0.0015111647 | 21.204163 | 0.00144 | 0.0023362834 | 8.673459E-4 | 0.0028356372 | 3.269327 | 0.00197 |
| 6.1 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.662949E-5 | 0.0011686103 | 70.27337 | 0.001152 | 1.9209793E-4 | 7.1267365E-5 | 0.0015111647 | 21.204163 | 0.00144 | 0.0023362834 | 8.673459E-4 | 0.0028356372 | 3.269327 | 0.00197 |
| 6.2 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.662949E-5 | 0.0011686103 | 70.27337 | 0.001152 | 1.9209793E-4 | 7.1267365E-5 | 0.0015111647 | 21.204163 | 0.00144 | 0.0023362834 | 8.673459E-4 | 0.0028356372 | 3.269327 | 0.00197 |
| 6.3 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.662949E-5 | 0.0011686103 | 70.27337 | 0.001152 | 1.9209793E-4 | 7.1267365E-5 | 0.0015111647 | 21.204163 | 0.00144 | 0.0023362834 | 8.673459E-4 | 0.0028356372 | 3.269327 | 0.00197 |
| 6.4 | 4.482615E-5 | 1.662949E-5 | 0.0011686103 | 70.27337 | 0.001152 | 1.9209793E-4 | 7.1267365E-5 | 0.0015111647 | 21.204163 | 0.00144 | 0.0023362834 | 8.673459E-4 | 0.0028356372 | 3.269327 | 0.00197 |
| 6.5 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.2479379E-5 | 0.001084466 | 86.90064 | 0.001072 | 1.5982533E-4 | 5.3481985E-5 | 0.0013794111 | 25.792068 | 0.001326 | 0.0019441366 | 6.509542E-4 | 0.0024697694 | 3.7940757 | 0.00182 |
| 6.6 | 3.7294863E-5 | 1.2479379E-5 | 0.001084466 | 86.90064 | 0.001072 | 1.5982533E-4 | 5.3481985E-5 | 0.0013794111 | 25.792068 | 0.001326 | 0.0019441366 | 6.509542E-4 | 0.0024697694 | 3.7940757 | 0.00182 |
| 6.7 | 3.6039248E-5 | 1.1662731E-5 | 0.0010596506 | 90.85784 | 0.001048 | 1.5444479E-4 | 4.99822E-5 | 0.0013499173 | 27.00796 | 0.0013 | 0.0018787434 | 6.0836854E-4 | 0.002393282 | 3.9339345 | 0.001786 |
| 6.8 | 3.5031844E-5 | 1.1239826E-5 | 0.0010552281 | 93.88296 | 0.001044 | 1.5012783E-4 | 4.816982E-5 | 0.0013401076 | 27.82048 | 0.001292 | 0.0018262739 | 5.863148E-4 | 0.002355277 | 4.017086 | 0.00177 |
| 6.9 | 3.435112E-5 | 1.1042135E-5 | 0.0010550306 | 95.54589 | 0.001044 | 1.4721078E-4 | 4.7322606E-5 | 0.0013372615 | 28.25841 | 0.00129 | 0.0017908178 | 5.760055E-4 | 0.0023389894 | 4.060707 | 0.001764 |
| 7.0 | 2.8959772E-5 | 9.04852E-6 | 0.0010070394 | 111.293274 | 9.98E-4 | 1.241074E-4 | 3.8778817E-5 | 0.0012767308 | 32.92341 | 0.001238 | 0.0015099603 | 4.720331E-4 | 0.0021592362 | 4.574332 | 0.001688 |
| 7.1 | 2.6002877E-5 | 7.3227106E-6 | 9.653157E-4 | 131.8249 | 9.58E-4 | 1.11436144E-4 | 3.1382682E-5 | 0.0012193454 | 38.854084 | 0.001188 | 0.0013558907 | 3.820196E-4 | 0.0019994015 | 5.2337666 | 0.001618 |
| 7.2 | 2.2544838E-5 | 5.5240066E-6 | 9.255189E-4 | 167.54486 | 9.2E-4 | 9.661716E-5 | 2.3674109E-5 | 0.0011656471 | 49.23721 | 0.001142 | 0.001175679 | 2.881957E-4 | 0.0018297513 | 6.348989 | 0.001542 |
| 7.3 | 1.75334E-5 | 4.9277396E-6 | 9.089233E-4 | 184.45035 | 9.04E-4 | 7.514098E-5 | 2.1118722E-5 | 0.001147095 | 54.316498 | 0.001126 | 9.144575E-4 | 2.5709154E-4 | 0.0017687029 | 6.8796616 | 0.001512 |
| 7.4 | 1.5924552E-5 | 4.6806394E-6 | 9.0267643E-4 | 192.85324 | 8.98E-4 | 6.82463E-5 | 2.0059737E-5 | 0.0011400373 | 56.832115 | 0.00112 | 8.305819E-4 | 2.4420136E-4 | 0.001747834 | 7.157348 | 0.001504 |
| 7.5 | 1.3428931E-5 | 3.8179555E-6 | 8.6381467E-4 | 226.25058 | 8.6E-4 | 5.7551293E-5 | 1.636257E-5 | 0.001092345 | 66.758766 | 0.001076 | 7.004617E-4 | 1.9919714E-4 | 0.0016389103 | 8.227579 | 0.00144 |
| 7.6 | 1.0688787E-5 | 2.461582E-6 | 7.484598E-4 | 304.0564 | 7.46E-4 | 4.5808283E-5 | 1.0549596E-5 | 9.425398E-4 | 89.34368 | 9.32E-4 | 5.5757316E-4 | 1.2843407E-4 | 0.001366275 | 10.637949 | 0.001238 |
| 7.7 | 8.81236E-6 | 1.2756803E-6 | 4.1327515E-4 | 323.9645 | 4.12E-4 | 3.776671E-5 | 5.46719E-6 | 5.174644E-4 | 94.649055 | 5.12E-4 | 4.597127E-4 | 6.656101E-5 | 7.385163E-4 | 11.095327 | 6.72E-4 |
| 7.8 | 7.780431E-6 | 1.0467318E-6 | 3.190464E-4 | 304.80243 | 3.18E-4 | 3.3344273E-5 | 4.4859858E-6 | 3.9448423E-4 | 87.93703 | 3.9E-4 | 4.0589093E-4 | 5.4615513E-5 | 5.6858745E-4 | 10.410731 | 5.14E-4 |
| 7.9 | 6.5437994E-6 | 6.3669245E-7 | 1.306366E-4 | 205.18008 | 1.3E-4 | 2.8044553E-5 | 2.7286792E-6 | 1.6272825E-4 | 59.63627 | 1.6E-4 | 3.4138895E-4 | 3.3221164E-5 | 2.4521412E-4 | 7.3812623 | 2.12E-4 |
| 8.0 | 5.4488164E-6 | 4.802909E-7 | 8.248025E-5 | 171.72978 | 8.2E-5 | 2.3351862E-5 | 2.058388E-6 | 9.60582E-5 | 46.66671 | 9.4E-5 | 2.8427184E-4 | 2.5060586E-5 | 1.5305738E-4 | 6.107494 | 1.28E-4 |
| 8.1 | 2.8397242E-6 | 1.6703413E-7 | 1.8167031E-5 | 108.76239 | 1.8E-5 | 1.217019E-5 | 7.158604E-7 | 2.0715846E-5 | 28.938389 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4816198E-4 | 8.715565E-6 | 3.6715322E-5 | 4.212615 | 2.8E-5 |
| 8.2 | 2.030244E-6 | 7.692693E-8 | 6.0769266E-6 | 78.996086 | 6.0E-6 | 8.701017E-6 | 3.296868E-7 | 6.3296848E-6 | 19.199085 | 6.0E-6 | 1.05929736E-4 | 4.0139294E-6 | 1.8013874E-5 | 4.4878397 | 1.4E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.0659804E-6 | 3.973634E-8 | 4.0397363E-6 | 101.66353 | 4.0E-6 | 4.568479E-6 | 1.7029858E-7 | 4.170298E-6 | 24.488155 | 4.0E-6 | 5.5619817E-5 | 2.0733833E-6 | 1.4073358E-5 | 6.78763 | 1.2E-5 |
Bullion Mountains
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4800955E-5 | 9.1878755E-4 | 62.076237 | 9.04E-4 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.343134E-5 | 0.0012673549 | 19.97995 | 0.001204 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.720418E-4 | 0.0027265316 | 3.5315857 | 0.001956 |
| 6.1 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4800955E-5 | 9.1878755E-4 | 62.076237 | 9.04E-4 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.343134E-5 | 0.0012673549 | 19.97995 | 0.001204 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.720418E-4 | 0.0027265316 | 3.5315857 | 0.001956 |
| 6.2 | 1.6420427E-5 | 1.4800955E-5 | 9.1878755E-4 | 62.076237 | 9.04E-4 | 7.037136E-5 | 6.343134E-5 | 0.0012673549 | 19.97995 | 0.001204 | 8.5643446E-4 | 7.720418E-4 | 0.0027265316 | 3.5315857 | 0.001956 |
| 6.3 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.945679E-6 | 5.079407E-4 | 51.071495 | 4.98E-4 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.262378E-5 | 7.205949E-4 | 16.905937 | 6.78E-4 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1884446E-4 | 0.001608279 | 3.0997324 | 0.00109 |
| 6.4 | 1.2046778E-5 | 9.945679E-6 | 5.079407E-4 | 51.071495 | 4.98E-4 | 5.1628023E-5 | 4.262378E-5 | 7.205949E-4 | 16.905937 | 6.78E-4 | 6.283899E-4 | 5.1884446E-4 | 0.001608279 | 3.0997324 | 0.00109 |
| 6.5 | 1.0244343E-5 | 7.952749E-6 | 3.779498E-4 | 47.52442 | 3.7E-4 | 4.390359E-5 | 3.4082885E-5 | 5.340658E-4 | 15.6696205 | 5.0E-4 | 5.343951E-4 | 4.149011E-4 | 0.0012345609 | 2.9755547 | 8.2E-4 |
| 6.6 | 9.605408E-6 | 7.2472812E-6 | 3.21245E-4 | 44.32628 | 3.14E-4 | 4.1165385E-5 | 3.1059524E-5 | 4.67046E-4 | 15.037127 | 4.36E-4 | 5.010733E-4 | 3.7810474E-4 | 0.0010878363 | 2.8770764 | 7.1E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.60418E-6 | 6.188311E-6 | 2.7618665E-4 | 44.630375 | 2.7E-4 | 3.687454E-5 | 2.6521175E-5 | 3.985113E-4 | 15.026155 | 3.72E-4 | 4.48855E-4 | 3.2286727E-4 | 9.326703E-4 | 2.8887112 | 6.1E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.187994E-6 | 2.6095588E-6 | 9.6609314E-5 | 37.02132 | 9.4E-5 | 2.223407E-5 | 1.1183799E-5 | 1.4918226E-4 | 13.33914 | 1.38E-4 | 2.7066618E-4 | 1.3615839E-4 | 3.681268E-4 | 2.703666 | 2.32E-4 |
| 6.9 | 4.5302368E-6 | 2.3877872E-6 | 9.238757E-5 | 38.69171 | 9.0E-5 | 1.9415156E-5 | 1.0233356E-5 | 1.4423199E-4 | 14.094299 | 1.34E-4 | 2.3635388E-4 | 1.2458811E-4 | 3.445607E-4 | 2.7655985 | 2.2E-4 |
| 7.0 | 3.431668E-6 | 1.7205457E-6 | 5.9720445E-5 | 34.71018 | 5.8E-5 | 1.4707065E-5 | 7.3737674E-6 | 9.537312E-5 | 12.93411 | 8.8E-5 | 1.7904381E-4 | 8.977562E-5 | 2.4176197E-4 | 2.692958 | 1.52E-4 |
San Andreas (Cholame) rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.504833E-4 | 0.0012703148 | 8.441566 | 0.00112 | 5.2226405E-4 | 6.447708E-4 | 0.0020318758 | 3.151315 | 0.001388 | 0.0063400427 | 0.007822181 | 0.009752959 | 1.2468337 | 0.001946 |
| 6.1 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.504833E-4 | 0.0012703148 | 8.441566 | 0.00112 | 5.2226405E-4 | 6.447708E-4 | 0.0020318758 | 3.151315 | 0.001388 | 0.0063400427 | 0.007822181 | 0.009752959 | 1.2468337 | 0.001946 |
| 6.2 | 1.2188602E-4 | 1.504833E-4 | 0.0012703148 | 8.441566 | 0.00112 | 5.2226405E-4 | 6.447708E-4 | 0.0020318758 | 3.151315 | 0.001388 | 0.0063400427 | 0.007822181 | 0.009752959 | 1.2468337 | 0.001946 |
| 6.3 | 1.2142645E-4 | 1.4960203E-4 | 0.0012694345 | 8.48541 | 0.00112 | 5.202953E-4 | 6.409958E-4 | 0.002028106 | 3.163993 | 0.001388 | 0.006316212 | 0.0077765496 | 0.009705432 | 1.2480383 | 0.001944 |
| 6.4 | 1.1865206E-4 | 1.444949E-4 | 0.0012603337 | 8.722341 | 0.001116 | 5.0840975E-4 | 6.191186E-4 | 0.0020022618 | 3.234052 | 0.001384 | 0.006172335 | 0.007512057 | 0.009437484 | 1.2563115 | 0.00194 |
| 6.5 | 1.17443946E-4 | 1.4235103E-4 | 0.0012581921 | 8.838659 | 0.001116 | 5.032341E-4 | 6.099349E-4 | 0.0019930908 | 3.2677107 | 0.001384 | 0.006109677 | 0.0074010068 | 0.009324663 | 1.2599182 | 0.001938 |
| 6.6 | 1.13579066E-4 | 1.3539084E-4 | 0.0012472403 | 9.212147 | 0.001112 | 4.866766E-4 | 5.8011914E-4 | 0.0019593185 | 3.377442 | 0.00138 | 0.0059092017 | 0.007040398 | 0.008952838 | 1.271638 | 0.001926 |
| 6.7 | 1.1271412E-4 | 1.3380981E-4 | 0.001245661 | 9.309191 | 0.001112 | 4.829711E-4 | 5.733462E-4 | 0.001952555 | 3.4055426 | 0.00138 | 0.005864331 | 0.006958468 | 0.008871065 | 1.2748591 | 0.001926 |
| 6.8 | 1.1217975E-4 | 1.3265923E-4 | 0.001242512 | 9.366194 | 0.00111 | 4.8068175E-4 | 5.684173E-4 | 0.0019436352 | 3.4193807 | 0.001376 | 0.005836608 | 0.0068988404 | 0.008807581 | 1.2766756 | 0.001922 |
| 6.9 | 1.1146753E-4 | 1.3109499E-4 | 0.0012409495 | 9.466033 | 0.00111 | 4.7763053E-4 | 5.617164E-4 | 0.0019349445 | 3.4447005 | 0.001374 | 0.0057996577 | 0.0068177693 | 0.008722693 | 1.2794057 | 0.001918 |
| 7.0 | 1.0965793E-4 | 1.2721593E-4 | 0.0012310755 | 9.677054 | 0.001104 | 4.698779E-4 | 5.4509885E-4 | 0.0019123531 | 3.5082686 | 0.001368 | 0.005705768 | 0.006616697 | 0.008512072 | 1.2864534 | 0.001908 |
| 7.1 | 9.927982E-5 | 1.04496605E-4 | 0.0011963825 | 11.449008 | 0.001092 | 4.2541555E-4 | 4.4776686E-4 | 0.0017991614 | 4.0180764 | 0.001352 | 0.0051671406 | 0.0054381453 | 0.007299965 | 1.342363 | 0.001872 |
| 7.2 | 9.696786E-5 | 9.934666E-5 | 0.0011832389 | 11.910204 | 0.001084 | 4.1551032E-4 | 4.2570304E-4 | 0.0017671317 | 4.15109 | 0.001342 | 0.00504711 | 0.0051708226 | 0.007015236 | 1.3566962 | 0.001854 |
| 7.3 | 9.4727984E-5 | 9.328228E-5 | 0.0011731816 | 12.576681 | 0.00108 | 4.0591392E-4 | 3.9972106E-4 | 0.0017331878 | 4.3359933 | 0.001334 | 0.0049308087 | 0.004855945 | 0.0066929804 | 1.3783066 | 0.001846 |
| 7.4 | 9.220358E-5 | 8.655113E-5 | 0.0011584583 | 13.38467 | 0.001072 | 3.9509835E-4 | 3.7088172E-4 | 0.0016943907 | 4.5685472 | 0.001324 | 0.004799717 | 0.0045063207 | 0.006332056 | 1.4051499 | 0.001834 |
| 7.5 | 7.71631E-5 | 4.732231E-5 | 0.0010812734 | 22.849125 | 0.001034 | 3.306571E-4 | 2.027943E-4 | 0.0014685376 | 7.2415133 | 0.001266 | 0.0040183207 | 0.0024662542 | 0.0042179236 | 1.7102549 | 0.001756 |
| 7.6 | 7.5634416E-5 | 4.367703E-5 | 0.0010716321 | 24.53537 | 0.001028 | 3.241072E-4 | 1.8717401E-4 | 0.0014409393 | 7.6983943 | 0.001254 | 0.0039388672 | 0.0022764897 | 0.004012529 | 1.7625947 | 0.00174 |
| 7.7 | 6.3783E-5 | 1.713156E-5 | 8.331176E-4 | 48.630573 | 8.16E-4 | 2.7332708E-4 | 7.341891E-5 | 0.0010733455 | 14.619469 | 0.001 | 0.0033226798 | 8.9350954E-4 | 0.0022562908 | 2.5252006 | 0.001364 |
| 7.8 | 5.863422E-5 | 9.6353815E-6 | 6.516292E-4 | 67.628784 | 6.42E-4 | 2.512653E-4 | 4.129384E-5 | 8.212616E-4 | 19.888235 | 7.8E-4 | 0.003054864 | 5.026366E-4 | 0.0015581058 | 3.0998654 | 0.001056 |
| 7.9 | 4.595283E-5 | 4.616434E-6 | 5.186141E-4 | 112.340836 | 5.14E-4 | 1.9692584E-4 | 1.9784567E-5 | 6.377723E-4 | 32.23585 | 6.18E-4 | 0.0023949358 | 2.408505E-4 | 0.0010626526 | 4.4120836 | 8.22E-4 |
| 8.0 | 3.2950178E-5 | 2.9307723E-6 | 3.9292962E-4 | 134.07033 | 3.9E-4 | 1.412074E-4 | 1.2560392E-5 | 4.745546E-4 | 37.78183 | 4.62E-4 | 0.0017178444 | 1.5291206E-4 | 7.6881784E-4 | 5.0278435 | 6.16E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.9177472E-5 | 1.8374279E-6 | 2.1783703E-4 | 118.55541 | 2.16E-4 | 8.218658E-5 | 7.874667E-6 | 2.6587263E-4 | 33.76303 | 2.58E-4 | 0.0010001622 | 9.586987E-5 | 4.378371E-4 | 4.5669937 | 3.42E-4 |
| 8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 3.8699196E-7 | 2.4386984E-5 | 63.01677 | 2.4E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 1.6585359E-6 | 2.7658492E-5 | 16.67645 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.0192487E-5 | 7.0191476E-5 | 3.4761183 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
Sheephole
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7509047E-6 | 8.16747E-4 | 171.914 | 8.12E-4 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0360892E-5 | 0.0011383381 | 55.908066 | 0.001118 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4787124E-4 | 0.0020414265 | 8.235835 | 0.001794 |
| 6.1 | 4.5579695E-6 | 4.7509047E-6 | 8.16747E-4 | 171.914 | 8.12E-4 | 1.9534009E-5 | 2.0360892E-5 | 0.0011383381 | 55.908066 | 0.001118 | 2.3780059E-4 | 2.4787124E-4 | 0.0020414265 | 8.235835 | 0.001794 |
| 6.2 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7937158E-6 | 4.047926E-4 | 144.89398 | 4.02E-4 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1973019E-5 | 5.579665E-4 | 46.60199 | 5.46E-4 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4576284E-4 | 0.0010536305 | 7.2283893 | 9.08E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.6677674E-6 | 2.7937158E-6 | 4.047926E-4 | 144.89398 | 4.02E-4 | 1.1433239E-5 | 1.1973019E-5 | 5.579665E-4 | 46.60199 | 5.46E-4 | 1.3919079E-4 | 1.4576284E-4 | 0.0010536305 | 7.2283893 | 9.08E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.2159759E-6 | 2.3285404E-6 | 3.0432784E-4 | 130.69467 | 3.02E-4 | 9.497005E-6 | 9.979425E-6 | 4.2597527E-4 | 42.685352 | 4.16E-4 | 1.156199E-4 | 1.2149354E-4 | 8.2340825E-4 | 6.777383 | 7.02E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.1986082E-6 | 2.3103812E-6 | 3.0030968E-4 | 129.98274 | 2.98E-4 | 9.4225725E-6 | 9.901601E-6 | 4.218975E-4 | 42.609024 | 4.12E-4 | 1.1471378E-4 | 1.2054613E-4 | 8.084632E-4 | 6.7066708 | 6.88E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.5232331E-6 | 1.6060699E-6 | 1.5960581E-4 | 99.37663 | 1.58E-4 | 6.5281256E-6 | 6.8831396E-6 | 2.2288166E-4 | 32.380814 | 2.16E-4 | 7.947703E-5 | 8.379919E-5 | 4.5376818E-4 | 5.414947 | 3.7E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.3137362E-6 | 1.3864915E-6 | 1.2938632E-4 | 93.31922 | 1.28E-4 | 5.6302856E-6 | 5.9420936E-6 | 1.8594103E-4 | 31.292173 | 1.8E-4 | 6.854657E-5 | 7.234273E-5 | 3.7032118E-4 | 5.1189823 | 2.98E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.2275751E-6 | 1.295725E-6 | 1.2129557E-4 | 93.61212 | 1.2E-4 | 5.2610258E-6 | 5.5530963E-6 | 1.7555215E-4 | 31.613382 | 1.7E-4 | 6.4051106E-5 | 6.760698E-5 | 3.395886E-4 | 5.0229807 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.1837088E-6 | 1.2494193E-6 | 1.13249276E-4 | 90.64154 | 1.12E-4 | 5.0730278E-6 | 5.3546437E-6 | 1.6535379E-4 | 30.880447 | 1.6E-4 | 6.176237E-5 | 6.519097E-5 | 3.2117427E-4 | 4.926668 | 2.56E-4 |
| 7.0 | 9.849371E-7 | 1.0393765E-6 | 8.303929E-5 | 79.89338 | 8.2E-5 | 4.2211523E-6 | 4.4544636E-6 | 1.20453944E-4 | 27.04118 | 1.16E-4 | 5.1391315E-5 | 5.4231845E-5 | 2.4622143E-4 | 4.5401635 | 1.92E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.1643645E-7 | 8.6143785E-7 | 7.086138E-5 | 82.25942 | 7.0E-5 | 3.4990085E-6 | 3.6918718E-6 | 9.7691525E-5 | 26.461245 | 9.4E-5 | 4.2599597E-5 | 4.49477E-5 | 1.9494096E-4 | 4.337062 | 1.5E-4 |
| 7.2 | 5.7295756E-7 | 6.045442E-7 | 5.260451E-5 | 87.01517 | 5.2E-5 | 2.45553E-6 | 2.5909014E-6 | 7.059072E-5 | 27.245623 | 6.8E-5 | 2.9895667E-5 | 3.1543837E-5 | 1.4154037E-4 | 4.4871006 | 1.1E-4 |
North Frontal (East)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4952636E-6 | 9.834879E-4 | 131.21458 | 9.76E-4 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2122276E-5 | 0.0012920818 | 40.223854 | 0.00126 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9103857E-4 | 0.002182338 | 5.580876 | 0.001792 |
| 6.1 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4952636E-6 | 9.834879E-4 | 131.21458 | 9.76E-4 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2122276E-5 | 0.0012920818 | 40.223854 | 0.00126 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9103857E-4 | 0.002182338 | 5.580876 | 0.001792 |
| 6.2 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4952636E-6 | 9.834879E-4 | 131.21458 | 9.76E-4 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2122276E-5 | 0.0012920818 | 40.223854 | 0.00126 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9103857E-4 | 0.002182338 | 5.580876 | 0.001792 |
| 6.3 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4952636E-6 | 9.834879E-4 | 131.21458 | 9.76E-4 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2122276E-5 | 0.0012920818 | 40.223854 | 0.00126 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9103857E-4 | 0.002182338 | 5.580876 | 0.001792 |
| 6.4 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4952636E-6 | 9.834879E-4 | 131.21458 | 9.76E-4 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2122276E-5 | 0.0012920818 | 40.223854 | 0.00126 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9103857E-4 | 0.002182338 | 5.580876 | 0.001792 |
| 6.5 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4952636E-6 | 9.834879E-4 | 131.21458 | 9.76E-4 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2122276E-5 | 0.0012920818 | 40.223854 | 0.00126 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9103857E-4 | 0.002182338 | 5.580876 | 0.001792 |
| 6.6 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4952636E-6 | 9.834879E-4 | 131.21458 | 9.76E-4 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2122276E-5 | 0.0012920818 | 40.223854 | 0.00126 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9103857E-4 | 0.002182338 | 5.580876 | 0.001792 |
| 6.7 | 7.135738E-6 | 7.4952636E-6 | 9.834879E-4 | 131.21458 | 9.76E-4 | 3.0581377E-5 | 3.2122276E-5 | 0.0012920818 | 40.223854 | 0.00126 | 3.7226462E-4 | 3.9103857E-4 | 0.002182338 | 5.580876 | 0.001792 |
| 6.8 | 5.959142E-6 | 6.2513673E-6 | 8.762459E-4 | 140.16869 | 8.7E-4 | 2.553893E-5 | 2.6791402E-5 | 0.0011467614 | 42.803337 | 0.00112 | 3.108921E-4 | 3.2615467E-4 | 0.0018876452 | 5.787577 | 0.001562 |
| 6.9 | 2.2946929E-6 | 2.3870655E-6 | 5.5038574E-4 | 230.57004 | 5.48E-4 | 9.834361E-6 | 1.0230243E-5 | 6.9622323E-4 | 68.0554 | 6.86E-4 | 1.1972676E-4 | 1.2454657E-4 | 0.0010404325 | 8.353763 | 9.16E-4 |
| 7.0 | 2.2468673E-6 | 2.336627E-6 | 5.483354E-4 | 234.66962 | 5.46E-4 | 9.629396E-6 | 1.001408E-5 | 6.9200725E-4 | 69.10343 | 6.82E-4 | 1.1723159E-4 | 1.21915065E-4 | 0.0010298043 | 8.446899 | 9.08E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.9921076E-6 | 2.0683974E-6 | 5.280673E-4 | 255.30263 | 5.26E-4 | 8.537577E-6 | 8.864533E-6 | 6.688587E-4 | 75.45335 | 6.6E-4 | 1.0394004E-4 | 1.0792078E-4 | 9.878258E-4 | 9.15325 | 8.8E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.4524545E-6 | 1.5072376E-6 | 5.015065E-4 | 332.7322 | 5.0E-4 | 6.2247905E-6 | 6.459575E-6 | 6.1845564E-4 | 95.74246 | 6.12E-4 | 7.5784184E-5 | 7.864273E-5 | 8.8057964E-4 | 11.197215 | 8.02E-4 |
| 7.3 | 8.9802575E-7 | 9.325918E-7 | 4.6893215E-4 | 502.8268 | 4.68E-4 | 3.848676E-6 | 3.9968163E-6 | 5.7599455E-4 | 144.11333 | 5.72E-4 | 4.685662E-5 | 4.866027E-5 | 7.906242E-4 | 16.247839 | 7.42E-4 |
| 7.4 | 7.776139E-7 | 8.075353E-7 | 4.228072E-4 | 523.57733 | 4.22E-4 | 3.3326266E-6 | 3.4608615E-6 | 5.154591E-4 | 148.93953 | 5.12E-4 | 4.0573974E-5 | 4.2135285E-5 | 7.201067E-4 | 17.09035 | 6.78E-4 |
| 7.5 | 5.244417E-7 | 5.4515255E-7 | 3.7454494E-4 | 687.04614 | 3.74E-4 | 2.2476054E-6 | 2.3363662E-6 | 4.603353E-4 | 197.03046 | 4.58E-4 | 2.7364253E-5 | 2.8444954E-5 | 6.24428E-4 | 21.952154 | 5.96E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.5489647E-7 | 1.612095E-7 | 1.1816119E-4 | 732.9667 | 1.18E-4 | 6.6384183E-7 | 6.9089776E-7 | 1.506908E-4 | 218.10866 | 1.5E-4 | 8.082245E-6 | 8.411668E-6 | 1.9441011E-4 | 23.111956 | 1.86E-4 |
Santa Ynez (East)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.7083024E-5 | 8.210539E-4 | 22.140966 | 7.84E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5892096E-4 | 0.0012127535 | 7.6311736 | 0.001054 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019337421 | 0.0035685746 | 1.8454243 | 0.001638 |
| 6.1 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.7083024E-5 | 8.210539E-4 | 22.140966 | 7.84E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5892096E-4 | 0.0012127535 | 7.6311736 | 0.001054 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019337421 | 0.0035685746 | 1.8454243 | 0.001638 |
| 6.2 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.7083024E-5 | 8.210539E-4 | 22.140966 | 7.84E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5892096E-4 | 0.0012127535 | 7.6311736 | 0.001054 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019337421 | 0.0035685746 | 1.8454243 | 0.001638 |
| 6.3 | 3.2269712E-5 | 3.7083024E-5 | 8.210539E-4 | 22.140966 | 7.84E-4 | 1.3829143E-4 | 1.5892096E-4 | 0.0012127535 | 7.6311736 | 0.001054 | 0.0016823979 | 0.0019337421 | 0.0035685746 | 1.8454243 | 0.001638 |
| 6.4 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4931068E-5 | 2.2292796E-4 | 14.930476 | 2.08E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.398875E-5 | 3.5796993E-4 | 5.5942636 | 2.94E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7878975E-4 | 0.0012604144 | 1.618427 | 4.82E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.4404779E-5 | 1.4931068E-5 | 2.2292796E-4 | 14.930476 | 2.08E-4 | 6.1733306E-5 | 6.398875E-5 | 3.5796993E-4 | 5.5942636 | 2.94E-4 | 7.513438E-4 | 7.7878975E-4 | 0.0012604144 | 1.618427 | 4.82E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.280208E-5 | 1.3080023E-5 | 1.8707775E-4 | 14.302555 | 1.74E-4 | 5.4864904E-5 | 5.6056047E-5 | 3.0004236E-4 | 5.3525424 | 2.44E-4 | 6.6777546E-4 | 6.8227045E-4 | 0.001074003 | 1.5741602 | 3.92E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.2457027E-5 | 1.2694408E-5 | 1.7669232E-4 | 13.91891 | 1.64E-4 | 5.3386164E-5 | 5.440348E-5 | 2.8639086E-4 | 5.264201 | 2.32E-4 | 6.497827E-4 | 6.621628E-4 | 0.0010399125 | 1.5704787 | 3.78E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.2095134E-5 | 1.2295033E-5 | 1.7429305E-4 | 14.17589 | 1.62E-4 | 5.1835254E-5 | 5.2691947E-5 | 2.8267983E-4 | 5.3647637 | 2.3E-4 | 6.309115E-4 | 6.4133725E-4 | 0.0010170961 | 1.585899 | 3.76E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.1104036E-5 | 1.1218246E-5 | 1.4321676E-4 | 12.766414 | 1.32E-4 | 4.758786E-5 | 4.8077316E-5 | 2.460678E-4 | 5.1181684 | 1.98E-4 | 5.7922816E-4 | 5.851854E-4 | 9.149923E-4 | 1.5635939 | 3.3E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.0577444E-5 | 1.0640721E-5 | 1.346394E-4 | 12.653222 | 1.24E-4 | 4.5331115E-5 | 4.5602297E-5 | 2.3559363E-4 | 5.166267 | 1.9E-4 | 5.5176654E-4 | 5.550678E-4 | 8.7089237E-4 | 1.5689839 | 3.16E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.0021775E-5 | 1.0038257E-5 | 1.3003705E-4 | 12.954146 | 1.2E-4 | 4.294976E-5 | 4.3020398E-5 | 2.2101274E-4 | 5.137394 | 1.78E-4 | 5.2278786E-4 | 5.236487E-4 | 8.174947E-4 | 1.5611511 | 2.94E-4 |
| 7.2 | 8.874109E-6 | 8.802674E-6 | 1.08801796E-4 | 12.360085 | 1.0E-4 | 3.8031343E-5 | 3.7725204E-5 | 1.8971947E-4 | 5.0289845 | 1.52E-4 | 4.629332E-4 | 4.5920868E-4 | 7.090939E-4 | 1.5441648 | 2.5E-4 |
| 7.3 | 7.5504267E-6 | 7.5516664E-6 | 9.155103E-5 | 12.123289 | 8.4E-5 | 3.235857E-5 | 3.236389E-5 | 1.6235968E-4 | 5.0166926 | 1.3E-4 | 3.9389438E-4 | 3.9396013E-4 | 6.078758E-4 | 1.5429882 | 2.14E-4 |
| 7.4 | 6.309394E-6 | 6.224411E-6 | 7.4223986E-5 | 11.924661 | 6.8E-5 | 2.703998E-5 | 2.667578E-5 | 1.4067274E-4 | 5.2734256 | 1.14E-4 | 3.2916202E-4 | 3.2473018E-4 | 5.1466847E-4 | 1.5849111 | 1.9E-4 |
| 7.5 | 4.6103073E-6 | 4.4727785E-6 | 6.64725E-5 | 14.8615675 | 6.2E-5 | 1.975831E-5 | 1.9168914E-5 | 1.19166994E-4 | 6.2166796 | 1.0E-4 | 2.4053088E-4 | 2.3335725E-4 | 3.9132038E-4 | 1.6769155 | 1.58E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.2858658E-6 | 1.3048501E-6 | 1.3304834E-5 | 10.196446 | 1.2E-5 | 5.5108417E-6 | 5.5922033E-6 | 2.7592081E-5 | 4.9340267 | 2.2E-5 | 6.7092435E-5 | 6.808302E-5 | 1.04080566E-4 | 1.5287303 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 5.3302307E-7 | 5.626701E-7 | 4.562668E-6 | 8.108957 | 4.0E-6 | 2.2843826E-6 | 2.4114413E-6 | 1.2411417E-5 | 5.146888 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7812002E-5 | 2.9358938E-5 | 4.535847E-5 | 1.5449629 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 4.613933E-8 | 4.8127742E-8 | 4.8127742E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9773998E-7 | 2.0626175E-7 | 2.2062613E-6 | 10.696416 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4074816E-6 | 2.5112338E-6 | 4.511229E-6 | 1.7964193 | 2.0E-6 |
Owl Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6190674E-5 | 7.961423E-4 | 12.028014 | 7.3E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8364226E-4 | 0.0012793598 | 4.5104694 | 9.96E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034487501 | 0.0050332667 | 1.4594465 | 0.00159 |
| 6.1 | 5.0320643E-5 | 6.6190674E-5 | 7.961423E-4 | 12.028014 | 7.3E-4 | 2.1564208E-4 | 2.8364226E-4 | 0.0012793598 | 4.5104694 | 9.96E-4 | 0.0026222812 | 0.0034487501 | 0.0050332667 | 1.4594465 | 0.00159 |
| 6.2 | 2.4125871E-5 | 3.022798E-5 | 4.3621572E-4 | 14.430859 | 4.06E-4 | 1.0339249E-4 | 1.2954303E-4 | 6.994692E-4 | 5.3995123 | 5.7E-4 | 0.0012580766 | 0.0015762151 | 0.0024847807 | 1.5764223 | 9.1E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.1479731E-5 | 2.9147393E-4 | 13.569719 | 2.7E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.2053655E-5 | 4.940166E-4 | 5.3666162 | 4.02E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011203196 | 0.0017556071 | 1.5670592 | 6.36E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.7433485E-5 | 2.1479731E-5 | 2.9147393E-4 | 13.569719 | 2.7E-4 | 7.471279E-5 | 9.2053655E-5 | 4.940166E-4 | 5.3666162 | 4.02E-4 | 9.0924866E-4 | 0.0011203196 | 0.0017556071 | 1.5670592 | 6.36E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.5182742E-5 | 1.8510878E-5 | 2.5850645E-4 | 13.965109 | 2.4E-4 | 6.506727E-5 | 7.93308E-5 | 4.3330272E-4 | 5.461973 | 3.54E-4 | 7.919061E-4 | 9.6556515E-4 | 0.0015070419 | 1.5607873 | 5.42E-4 |
| 6.6 | 6.7271576E-6 | 7.4752093E-6 | 1.07474465E-4 | 14.377452 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8830356E-5 | 3.203625E-5 | 1.8003151E-4 | 5.619619 | 1.48E-4 | 3.5095305E-4 | 3.8997683E-4 | 6.078918E-4 | 1.5587895 | 2.18E-4 |
| 6.7 | 6.682835E-6 | 7.4070954E-6 | 1.07406355E-4 | 14.500469 | 1.0E-4 | 2.8640408E-5 | 3.1744337E-5 | 1.7973964E-4 | 5.662101 | 1.48E-4 | 3.4864116E-4 | 3.864241E-4 | 6.023406E-4 | 1.5587554 | 2.16E-4 |
| 6.8 | 6.5774975E-6 | 7.2513244E-6 | 1.0525061E-4 | 14.514675 | 9.8E-5 | 2.8188972E-5 | 3.1076765E-5 | 1.7507229E-4 | 5.633543 | 1.44E-4 | 3.4314668E-4 | 3.782992E-4 | 5.90219E-4 | 1.5601909 | 2.12E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.363419E-6 | 6.9217635E-6 | 1.04921084E-4 | 15.158143 | 9.8E-5 | 2.727151E-5 | 2.9664394E-5 | 1.7166018E-4 | 5.7867417 | 1.42E-4 | 3.3198006E-4 | 3.611094E-4 | 5.690343E-4 | 1.5757947 | 2.08E-4 |
| 7.0 | 6.1342453E-6 | 6.5548707E-6 | 1.0455423E-4 | 15.950617 | 9.8E-5 | 2.6289357E-5 | 2.809203E-5 | 1.680881E-4 | 5.98348 | 1.4E-4 | 3.2002592E-4 | 3.4197196E-4 | 5.479015E-4 | 1.6021826 | 2.06E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.842926E-6 | 6.0729108E-6 | 1.0007234E-4 | 16.47848 | 9.4E-5 | 2.504087E-5 | 2.602653E-5 | 1.6002305E-4 | 6.1484585 | 1.34E-4 | 3.0482994E-4 | 3.16832E-4 | 5.1676866E-4 | 1.6310493 | 2.0E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.77173E-6 | 4.3236882E-6 | 8.432334E-5 | 19.502642 | 8.0E-5 | 2.045011E-5 | 1.8529981E-5 | 1.2852794E-4 | 6.9362154 | 1.1E-4 | 2.4895166E-4 | 2.2558295E-4 | 3.875464E-4 | 1.7179774 | 1.62E-4 |
| 7.3 | 3.0494948E-6 | 1.7606882E-6 | 7.1760565E-5 | 40.75711 | 7.0E-5 | 1.3069198E-5 | 7.545785E-6 | 9.7545104E-5 | 12.927098 | 9.0E-5 | 1.5910587E-4 | 9.186619E-5 | 2.1785461E-4 | 2.3714342 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.7263884E-6 | 1.3788672E-6 | 7.1378774E-5 | 51.76624 | 7.0E-5 | 1.1684469E-5 | 5.9094177E-6 | 9.39089E-5 | 15.891396 | 8.8E-5 | 1.4224913E-4 | 7.194486E-5 | 1.9593594E-4 | 2.7234182 | 1.24E-4 |
| 7.5 | 2.6090431E-6 | 1.2450522E-6 | 6.724497E-5 | 54.00976 | 6.6E-5 | 1.1181565E-5 | 5.335927E-6 | 8.933548E-5 | 16.74226 | 8.4E-5 | 1.3612706E-4 | 6.4963046E-5 | 1.8495525E-4 | 2.847084 | 1.2E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.3008756E-6 | 9.567801E-7 | 6.095672E-5 | 63.71027 | 6.0E-5 | 9.860858E-6 | 4.10048E-6 | 7.610019E-5 | 18.558847 | 7.2E-5 | 1.20049335E-4 | 4.9922255E-5 | 1.5391706E-4 | 3.0831351 | 1.04E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.7184348E-6 | 4.267774E-7 | 4.042676E-5 | 94.72564 | 4.0E-5 | 7.3646997E-6 | 1.8290448E-6 | 4.7828962E-5 | 26.149694 | 4.6E-5 | 8.966153E-5 | 2.2268405E-5 | 8.8266934E-5 | 3.9637747 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 8.4612907E-7 | 6.560506E-8 | 1.2065604E-5 | 183.9127 | 1.2E-5 | 3.6262625E-6 | 2.8116452E-7 | 1.42811605E-5 | 50.7929 | 1.4E-5 | 4.4148852E-5 | 3.423173E-6 | 2.3423105E-5 | 6.8425126 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.716738E-7 | 6.8840533E-9 | 8.006884E-6 | 1163.106 | 8.0E-6 | 1.1643157E-6 | 2.9503086E-8 | 8.029503E-6 | 272.15808 | 8.0E-6 | 1.4175452E-5 | 3.5920002E-7 | 8.359197E-6 | 23.271706 | 8.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 2.1995428E-8 | 1.3988477E-11 | 1.3988477E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.426611E-8 | 5.995038E-11 | 5.995038E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1476893E-6 | 7.298979E-10 | 7.298979E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (East)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.9658447E-5 | 7.656163E-4 | 12.833326 | 7.06E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.5565657E-4 | 0.0012034142 | 4.7071514 | 9.48E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0031086302 | 0.0046478305 | 1.4951378 | 0.001544 |
| 6.1 | 4.5092507E-5 | 5.9658447E-5 | 7.656163E-4 | 12.833326 | 7.06E-4 | 1.9323928E-4 | 2.5565657E-4 | 0.0012034142 | 4.7071514 | 9.48E-4 | 0.0023501497 | 0.0031086302 | 0.0046478305 | 1.4951378 | 0.001544 |
| 6.2 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0976895E-5 | 4.4296414E-4 | 14.299823 | 4.12E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.3275156E-4 | 6.8867777E-4 | 5.187719 | 5.56E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0016150858 | 0.0025535675 | 1.5810724 | 9.4E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.6674514E-5 | 3.0976895E-5 | 4.4296414E-4 | 14.299823 | 4.12E-4 | 1.1431433E-4 | 1.3275156E-4 | 6.8867777E-4 | 5.187719 | 5.56E-4 | 0.0013908884 | 0.0016150858 | 0.0025535675 | 1.5810724 | 9.4E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.8782268E-5 | 4.2877076E-4 | 14.897045 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2334692E-4 | 6.6128053E-4 | 5.3611436 | 5.38E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0015007443 | 0.0024033876 | 1.6014638 | 9.04E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.5312667E-5 | 2.8782268E-5 | 4.2877076E-4 | 14.897045 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0847834E-4 | 1.2334692E-4 | 6.6128053E-4 | 5.3611436 | 5.38E-4 | 0.0013199237 | 0.0015007443 | 0.0024033876 | 1.6014638 | 9.04E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.246556E-5 | 2.4529441E-5 | 3.6652104E-4 | 14.942087 | 3.42E-4 | 9.627742E-5 | 1.05122075E-4 | 5.690733E-4 | 5.4134517 | 4.64E-4 | 0.0011715472 | 0.0012791338 | 0.0020861004 | 1.6308694 | 8.08E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.2241198E-5 | 2.4194998E-5 | 3.6618672E-4 | 15.13481 | 3.42E-4 | 9.531594E-5 | 1.03688864E-4 | 5.65641E-4 | 5.4551754 | 4.62E-4 | 0.0011598538 | 0.0012617048 | 0.002062693 | 1.6348459 | 8.02E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.9528685E-5 | 2.020936E-5 | 3.3220305E-4 | 16.438078 | 3.12E-4 | 8.369167E-5 | 8.660878E-5 | 5.1457173E-4 | 5.9413342 | 4.28E-4 | 0.0010184698 | 0.0010539718 | 0.001789196 | 1.6975749 | 7.36E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.3318621E-5 | 1.134311E-5 | 2.3734054E-4 | 20.923763 | 2.26E-4 | 5.7078556E-5 | 4.861245E-5 | 3.5259768E-4 | 7.2532377 | 3.04E-4 | 6.9470983E-4 | 5.9170136E-4 | 0.0011253854 | 1.9019483 | 5.34E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.1760853E-5 | 9.219512E-6 | 2.1521762E-4 | 23.343708 | 2.06E-4 | 5.0402683E-5 | 3.9511626E-5 | 3.155007E-4 | 7.98501 | 2.76E-4 | 6.134799E-4 | 4.809526E-4 | 9.567237E-4 | 1.9892265 | 4.76E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.0064758E-5 | 6.9699818E-6 | 2.0096863E-4 | 28.833452 | 1.94E-4 | 4.3133965E-5 | 2.9871026E-5 | 2.818635E-4 | 9.436017 | 2.52E-4 | 5.2502943E-4 | 3.6362224E-4 | 7.6747534E-4 | 2.110639 | 4.04E-4 |
| 7.2 | 9.768808E-6 | 6.5616987E-6 | 1.885605E-4 | 28.736538 | 1.82E-4 | 4.186565E-5 | 2.8121282E-5 | 2.6411464E-4 | 9.391985 | 2.36E-4 | 5.095951E-4 | 3.4232598E-4 | 7.3019316E-4 | 2.1330347 | 3.88E-4 |
| 7.3 | 9.344516E-6 | 6.0109624E-6 | 1.820099E-4 | 30.279661 | 1.76E-4 | 4.004731E-5 | 2.576103E-5 | 2.5375516E-4 | 9.850349 | 2.28E-4 | 4.8746695E-4 | 3.1359855E-4 | 6.9148E-4 | 2.2049847 | 3.78E-4 |
| 7.4 | 9.023491E-6 | 5.5687437E-6 | 1.7156782E-4 | 30.80907 | 1.66E-4 | 3.867153E-5 | 2.3865843E-5 | 2.3986069E-4 | 10.050376 | 2.16E-4 | 4.7072413E-4 | 2.9053094E-4 | 6.464275E-4 | 2.2249868 | 3.56E-4 |
| 7.5 | 7.081253E-6 | 3.2686514E-6 | 1.392682E-4 | 42.60724 | 1.36E-4 | 3.0347876E-5 | 1.4008434E-5 | 1.9000597E-4 | 13.5636835 | 1.76E-4 | 3.6942272E-4 | 1.7053998E-4 | 4.5849086E-4 | 2.6884656 | 2.88E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.116396E-6 | 2.1755018E-6 | 1.1617525E-4 | 53.401592 | 1.14E-4 | 2.6212863E-5 | 9.323547E-6 | 1.5932215E-4 | 17.088148 | 1.5E-4 | 3.1909486E-4 | 1.1350845E-4 | 3.5148143E-4 | 3.096522 | 2.38E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.797145E-6 | 9.780474E-7 | 9.497796E-5 | 97.109764 | 9.4E-5 | 2.055903E-5 | 4.1916255E-6 | 1.2419112E-4 | 29.628393 | 1.2E-4 | 2.5027743E-4 | 5.10319E-5 | 2.2902281E-4 | 4.4878364 | 1.78E-4 |
| 7.8 | 3.4028885E-6 | 2.5454253E-7 | 4.6254532E-5 | 181.71631 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4583726E-5 | 1.0908961E-6 | 5.7090834E-5 | 52.33389 | 5.6E-5 | 1.775424E-4 | 1.3281582E-5 | 9.728047E-5 | 7.324464 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.5928412E-6 | 1.3038103E-7 | 3.4130375E-5 | 261.7741 | 3.4E-5 | 1.1112129E-5 | 5.587757E-7 | 4.2558753E-5 | 76.16429 | 4.2E-5 | 1.3528178E-4 | 6.803073E-6 | 7.0802635E-5 | 10.40745 | 6.4E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.3743648E-6 | 9.920217E-8 | 1.8099201E-5 | 182.44763 | 1.8E-5 | 5.8901214E-6 | 4.2515208E-7 | 2.4425142E-5 | 57.450363 | 2.4E-5 | 7.1709874E-5 | 5.176215E-6 | 4.1176027E-5 | 7.954853 | 3.6E-5 |
| 8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 4.5545573E-8 | 2.0455454E-6 | 44.91206 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.951953E-7 | 8.195194E-6 | 41.984585 | 8.0E-6 | 1.9166706E-5 | 2.3765006E-6 | 1.6376467E-5 | 6.8910007 | 1.4E-5 |
Coyote Canyon
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0672505E-5 | 7.66643E-4 | 18.84917 | 7.26E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7430057E-4 | 0.001124135 | 6.449405 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002120305 | 0.0036191205 | 1.7068866 | 0.001502 |
| 6.1 | 3.5090034E-5 | 4.0672505E-5 | 7.66643E-4 | 18.84917 | 7.26E-4 | 1.503772E-4 | 1.7430057E-4 | 0.001124135 | 6.449405 | 9.5E-4 | 0.0018293047 | 0.002120305 | 0.0036191205 | 1.7068866 | 0.001502 |
| 6.2 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.121306E-5 | 4.1920462E-4 | 19.76163 | 3.98E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.091053E-5 | 6.048638E-4 | 6.6533966 | 5.14E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0011063772 | 0.0019314634 | 1.7457548 | 8.26E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.841879E-5 | 2.121306E-5 | 4.1920462E-4 | 19.76163 | 3.98E-4 | 7.8935285E-5 | 9.091053E-5 | 6.048638E-4 | 6.6533966 | 5.14E-4 | 9.606133E-4 | 0.0011063772 | 0.0019314634 | 1.7457548 | 8.26E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.712201E-5 | 1.9706908E-5 | 3.9369953E-4 | 19.977743 | 3.74E-4 | 7.337798E-5 | 8.445601E-5 | 5.6841515E-4 | 6.73031 | 4.84E-4 | 8.930107E-4 | 0.001027869 | 0.0018050693 | 1.7561278 | 7.78E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.4744935E-5 | 1.6958216E-5 | 3.4495266E-4 | 20.34133 | 3.28E-4 | 6.3191044E-5 | 7.267658E-5 | 5.0264533E-4 | 6.916194 | 4.3E-4 | 7.6907943E-4 | 8.8457303E-4 | 0.0015639715 | 1.7680525 | 6.8E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.2017839E-5 | 1.382299E-5 | 2.7781934E-4 | 20.098354 | 2.64E-4 | 5.150401E-5 | 5.9240545E-5 | 4.0921982E-4 | 6.907766 | 3.5E-4 | 6.268809E-4 | 7.2110485E-4 | 0.0012727068 | 1.76494 | 5.52E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.00956095E-5 | 1.1616897E-5 | 2.3961425E-4 | 20.626356 | 2.28E-4 | 4.326618E-5 | 4.978625E-5 | 3.4577152E-4 | 6.945121 | 2.96E-4 | 5.266384E-4 | 6.0606725E-4 | 0.0010877751 | 1.7948092 | 4.82E-4 |
Fontana (Seismicity)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.5718203E-6 | 8.535654E-4 | 112.729225 | 8.46E-4 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2450487E-5 | 0.001154414 | 35.57463 | 0.001122 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9505403E-4 | 0.0020663936 | 5.2306604 | 0.001672 |
| 6.1 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.5718203E-6 | 8.535654E-4 | 112.729225 | 8.46E-4 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2450487E-5 | 0.001154414 | 35.57463 | 0.001122 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9505403E-4 | 0.0020663936 | 5.2306604 | 0.001672 |
| 6.2 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.5718203E-6 | 8.535654E-4 | 112.729225 | 8.46E-4 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2450487E-5 | 0.001154414 | 35.57463 | 0.001122 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9505403E-4 | 0.0020663936 | 5.2306604 | 0.001672 |
| 6.3 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.5718203E-6 | 8.535654E-4 | 112.729225 | 8.46E-4 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2450487E-5 | 0.001154414 | 35.57463 | 0.001122 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9505403E-4 | 0.0020663936 | 5.2306604 | 0.001672 |
| 6.4 | 7.1789214E-6 | 7.5718203E-6 | 8.535654E-4 | 112.729225 | 8.46E-4 | 3.076644E-5 | 3.2450487E-5 | 0.001154414 | 35.57463 | 0.001122 | 3.7451705E-4 | 3.9505403E-4 | 0.0020663936 | 5.2306604 | 0.001672 |
| 6.5 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.5471487E-6 | 6.3954364E-4 | 115.29232 | 6.34E-4 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3773495E-5 | 8.41754E-4 | 35.40725 | 8.18E-4 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.8944228E-4 | 0.0015250845 | 5.2690454 | 0.001236 |
| 6.6 | 5.2611317E-6 | 5.5471487E-6 | 6.3954364E-4 | 115.29232 | 6.34E-4 | 2.2547512E-5 | 2.3773495E-5 | 8.41754E-4 | 35.40725 | 8.18E-4 | 2.744814E-4 | 2.8944228E-4 | 0.0015250845 | 5.2690454 | 0.001236 |
Palos Verdes
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.7166485E-5 | 9.2510105E-4 | 11.988379 | 8.48E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.3067394E-4 | 0.0014543022 | 4.3979945 | 0.001124 | 0.0031914865 | 0.004019053 | 0.0055747754 | 1.3870867 | 0.001562 |
| 6.1 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.7166485E-5 | 9.2510105E-4 | 11.988379 | 8.48E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.3067394E-4 | 0.0014543022 | 4.3979945 | 0.001124 | 0.0031914865 | 0.004019053 | 0.0055747754 | 1.3870867 | 0.001562 |
| 6.2 | 6.126063E-5 | 7.7166485E-5 | 9.2510105E-4 | 11.988379 | 8.48E-4 | 2.6251914E-4 | 3.3067394E-4 | 0.0014543022 | 4.3979945 | 0.001124 | 0.0031914865 | 0.004019053 | 0.0055747754 | 1.3870867 | 0.001562 |
| 6.3 | 4.0838047E-5 | 5.0302446E-5 | 5.922752E-4 | 11.774282 | 5.42E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1556525E-4 | 9.4340835E-4 | 4.3764396 | 7.28E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002621554 | 0.0036428696 | 1.389584 | 0.001024 |
| 6.4 | 4.0838047E-5 | 5.0302446E-5 | 5.922752E-4 | 11.774282 | 5.42E-4 | 1.7500846E-4 | 2.1556525E-4 | 9.4340835E-4 | 4.3764396 | 7.28E-4 | 0.0021286458 | 0.002621554 | 0.0036428696 | 1.389584 | 0.001024 |
| 6.5 | 3.0512005E-5 | 3.6932914E-5 | 4.3891807E-4 | 11.884198 | 4.02E-4 | 1.3075917E-4 | 1.5827487E-4 | 6.821919E-4 | 4.310172 | 5.24E-4 | 0.0015908304 | 0.0019254097 | 0.002679954 | 1.3918878 | 7.56E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.9255087E-5 | 3.5517187E-5 | 4.2950318E-4 | 12.092827 | 3.94E-4 | 1.2537291E-4 | 1.5220816E-4 | 6.6213054E-4 | 4.3501644 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0015253464 | 0.0018516731 | 0.0025863103 | 1.3967423 | 7.36E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.287198E-5 | 2.7515784E-5 | 3.1150796E-4 | 11.321065 | 2.84E-4 | 9.801909E-5 | 1.1791998E-4 | 5.0387444E-4 | 4.2730203 | 3.86E-4 | 0.001192729 | 0.0014348238 | 0.0020139916 | 1.4036508 | 5.8E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.1325764E-5 | 2.5683034E-5 | 2.8167645E-4 | 10.967414 | 2.56E-4 | 9.139293E-5 | 1.1006602E-4 | 4.6402705E-4 | 4.2158976 | 3.54E-4 | 0.001112141 | 0.0013393221 | 0.0018766016 | 1.4011577 | 5.38E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.9009392E-5 | 2.2833587E-5 | 2.4882844E-4 | 10.897475 | 2.26E-4 | 8.1466285E-5 | 9.785506E-5 | 4.1582395E-4 | 4.2493863 | 3.18E-4 | 9.914007E-4 | 0.0011908233 | 0.0016762445 | 1.407635 | 4.86E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.7098473E-5 | 2.0515969E-5 | 2.14512E-4 | 10.455854 | 1.94E-4 | 7.3277115E-5 | 8.792311E-5 | 3.6389884E-4 | 4.1388307 | 2.76E-4 | 8.917837E-4 | 0.0010700251 | 0.0014935714 | 1.3958284 | 4.24E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.5982785E-5 | 1.9178653E-5 | 1.9717524E-4 | 10.280974 | 1.78E-4 | 6.849585E-5 | 8.219213E-5 | 3.3817108E-4 | 4.1143975 | 2.56E-4 | 8.336179E-4 | 0.0010003162 | 0.0013859301 | 1.385492 | 3.86E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.4468002E-5 | 1.736398E-5 | 1.7336127E-4 | 9.983959 | 1.56E-4 | 6.200425E-5 | 7.441542E-5 | 3.0639814E-4 | 4.1174016 | 2.32E-4 | 7.546402E-4 | 9.0571685E-4 | 0.001257398 | 1.3882904 | 3.52E-4 |
| 7.3 | 5.288233E-6 | 6.259722E-6 | 7.42593E-5 | 11.863034 | 6.8E-5 | 2.2663658E-5 | 2.6827305E-5 | 1.1682489E-4 | 4.354701 | 9.0E-5 | 2.7589512E-4 | 3.2660912E-4 | 4.665634E-4 | 1.428507 | 1.4E-4 |
| 7.4 | 8.279556E-7 | 8.414933E-7 | 8.841486E-6 | 10.506901 | 8.0E-6 | 3.5483763E-6 | 3.6063955E-6 | 1.1606367E-5 | 3.2182734 | 8.0E-6 | 4.3200624E-5 | 4.3907054E-5 | 6.590609E-5 | 1.5010364 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 6.559831E-7 | 6.6727256E-7 | 8.667267E-6 | 12.989097 | 8.0E-6 | 2.8113532E-6 | 2.8597367E-6 | 1.0859714E-5 | 3.7974524 | 8.0E-6 | 3.4227687E-5 | 3.4816807E-5 | 5.4816108E-5 | 1.5744152 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 3.5018968E-7 | 3.5650788E-7 | 6.3565058E-6 | 17.829916 | 6.0E-6 | 1.500812E-6 | 1.5278903E-6 | 7.5278813E-6 | 4.9269776 | 6.0E-6 | 1.8272232E-5 | 1.8601953E-5 | 2.8601768E-5 | 1.537568 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 1.1986104E-7 | 1.220921E-7 | 1.220921E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1369005E-7 | 5.232518E-7 | 5.232518E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2541585E-6 | 6.370572E-6 | 1.0370547E-5 | 1.6278831 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 3.0445005E-8 | 3.1057475E-8 | 3.1057475E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3047858E-7 | 1.3310347E-7 | 1.3310347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5885756E-6 | 1.6205337E-6 | 1.6205337E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elmore Ranch
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.6540124E-5 | 3.5828638E-5 | 7.758021E-4 | 21.65313 | 7.4E-4 | 2.4229231E-4 | 1.5354525E-4 | 0.0011893861 | 7.746161 | 0.001036 | 0.0029459186 | 0.0018683096 | 0.0034573353 | 1.8505151 | 0.001592 |
| 6.1 | 3.8306698E-5 | 3.5828638E-5 | 7.758021E-4 | 21.65313 | 7.4E-4 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.5354525E-4 | 0.0011893861 | 7.746161 | 0.001036 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0018683096 | 0.0034573353 | 1.8505151 | 0.001592 |
| 6.2 | 3.8306698E-5 | 3.5828638E-5 | 7.758021E-4 | 21.65313 | 7.4E-4 | 1.6416123E-4 | 1.5354525E-4 | 0.0011893861 | 7.746161 | 0.001036 | 0.0019968306 | 0.0018683096 | 0.0034573353 | 1.8505151 | 0.001592 |
| 6.3 | 3.3197924E-5 | 3.1569536E-5 | 6.975485E-4 | 22.095621 | 6.66E-4 | 1.4226905E-4 | 1.3529391E-4 | 0.0010691675 | 7.902555 | 9.34E-4 | 0.0017307495 | 0.0016464549 | 0.0030621202 | 1.8598263 | 0.001418 |
| 6.4 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.3490706E-5 | 5.134792E-4 | 21.858824 | 4.9E-4 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.00673235E-4 | 7.78605E-4 | 7.733982 | 6.78E-4 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0012254805 | 0.0022642058 | 1.8476068 | 0.00104 |
| 6.5 | 2.5148964E-5 | 2.3490706E-5 | 5.134792E-4 | 21.858824 | 4.9E-4 | 1.0777682E-4 | 1.00673235E-4 | 7.78605E-4 | 7.733982 | 6.78E-4 | 0.0013113929 | 0.0012254805 | 0.0022642058 | 1.8476068 | 0.00104 |
San Jacinto (Lytle Creek connector)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.693995E-6 | 1.9965507E-6 | 9.879946E-4 | 494.8507 | 9.86E-4 | 2.8688235E-5 | 8.556618E-6 | 0.0011985464 | 140.07245 | 0.00119 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.0417188E-4 | 0.0016520106 | 15.858508 | 0.001548 |
| 6.1 | 6.693995E-6 | 1.9965507E-6 | 9.879946E-4 | 494.8507 | 9.86E-4 | 2.8688235E-5 | 8.556618E-6 | 0.0011985464 | 140.07245 | 0.00119 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.0417188E-4 | 0.0016520106 | 15.858508 | 0.001548 |
| 6.2 | 6.693995E-6 | 1.9965507E-6 | 9.879946E-4 | 494.8507 | 9.86E-4 | 2.8688235E-5 | 8.556618E-6 | 0.0011985464 | 140.07245 | 0.00119 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.0417188E-4 | 0.0016520106 | 15.858508 | 0.001548 |
| 6.3 | 6.693995E-6 | 1.9965507E-6 | 9.879946E-4 | 494.8507 | 9.86E-4 | 2.8688235E-5 | 8.556618E-6 | 0.0011985464 | 140.07245 | 0.00119 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.0417188E-4 | 0.0016520106 | 15.858508 | 0.001548 |
| 6.4 | 6.693995E-6 | 1.9965507E-6 | 9.879946E-4 | 494.8507 | 9.86E-4 | 2.8688235E-5 | 8.556618E-6 | 0.0011985464 | 140.07245 | 0.00119 | 3.492233E-4 | 1.0417188E-4 | 0.0016520106 | 15.858508 | 0.001548 |
| 6.5 | 6.6561875E-6 | 1.9566637E-6 | 9.079549E-4 | 464.03214 | 9.06E-4 | 2.8526205E-5 | 8.385675E-6 | 0.0011023765 | 131.45947 | 0.001094 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.02090846E-4 | 0.0015179462 | 14.868584 | 0.001416 |
| 6.6 | 6.6561875E-6 | 1.9566637E-6 | 9.079549E-4 | 464.03214 | 9.06E-4 | 2.8526205E-5 | 8.385675E-6 | 0.0011023765 | 131.45947 | 0.001094 | 3.472512E-4 | 1.02090846E-4 | 0.0015179462 | 14.868584 | 0.001416 |
| 6.7 | 6.5802237E-6 | 1.8772463E-6 | 6.9987593E-4 | 372.82053 | 6.98E-4 | 2.8200653E-5 | 8.0453165E-6 | 8.6603843E-4 | 107.64504 | 8.58E-4 | 3.4328885E-4 | 9.794735E-5 | 0.0012198375 | 12.454012 | 0.001122 |
| 6.8 | 6.575632E-6 | 1.8727728E-6 | 6.958715E-4 | 371.5728 | 6.94E-4 | 2.8180975E-5 | 8.026144E-6 | 8.5801934E-4 | 106.90305 | 8.5E-4 | 3.4304935E-4 | 9.771395E-5 | 0.0012116052 | 12.39951 | 0.001114 |
| 6.9 | 6.570433E-6 | 1.8692758E-6 | 6.87868E-4 | 367.98636 | 6.86E-4 | 2.8158694E-5 | 8.011158E-6 | 8.5000444E-4 | 106.10257 | 8.42E-4 | 3.4277816E-4 | 9.75315E-5 | 0.0011974243 | 12.2773075 | 0.0011 |
| 7.0 | 6.5643826E-6 | 1.8650748E-6 | 6.818638E-4 | 365.59598 | 6.8E-4 | 2.8132765E-5 | 7.993152E-6 | 8.419865E-4 | 105.33847 | 8.34E-4 | 3.424626E-4 | 9.731232E-5 | 0.001189206 | 12.22051 | 0.001092 |
| 7.1 | 6.557402E-6 | 1.8599558E-6 | 6.758587E-4 | 363.37354 | 6.74E-4 | 2.8102848E-5 | 7.9712145E-6 | 8.339646E-4 | 104.622025 | 8.26E-4 | 3.4209844E-4 | 9.704524E-5 | 0.0011789403 | 12.148357 | 0.001082 |
| 7.2 | 6.546394E-6 | 1.8521778E-6 | 6.55851E-4 | 354.0972 | 6.54E-4 | 2.8055672E-5 | 7.937881E-6 | 8.0793153E-4 | 101.78177 | 8.0E-4 | 3.4152428E-4 | 9.663944E-5 | 0.0011505376 | 11.905466 | 0.001054 |
| 7.3 | 6.5364216E-6 | 1.8458986E-6 | 6.438447E-4 | 348.79742 | 6.42E-4 | 2.8012933E-5 | 7.91097E-6 | 7.959047E-4 | 100.60773 | 7.88E-4 | 3.4100408E-4 | 9.631183E-5 | 0.0011382115 | 11.817982 | 0.001042 |
| 7.4 | 6.5269523E-6 | 1.8407736E-6 | 6.398396E-4 | 347.59277 | 6.38E-4 | 2.7972354E-5 | 7.889006E-6 | 7.918828E-4 | 100.37802 | 7.84E-4 | 3.4051016E-4 | 9.604444E-5 | 0.0011339447 | 11.806459 | 0.001038 |
| 7.5 | 6.5111835E-6 | 1.8296311E-6 | 6.298285E-4 | 344.23798 | 6.28E-4 | 2.7904773E-5 | 7.841252E-6 | 7.798352E-4 | 99.45289 | 7.72E-4 | 3.3968766E-4 | 9.546309E-5 | 0.0011213651 | 11.746583 | 0.001026 |
| 7.6 | 6.4768806E-6 | 1.80333E-6 | 6.1580224E-4 | 341.48062 | 6.14E-4 | 2.7757764E-5 | 7.728534E-6 | 7.597227E-4 | 98.30101 | 7.52E-4 | 3.3789838E-4 | 9.4090865E-5 | 0.0010999962 | 11.690786 | 0.001006 |
| 7.7 | 6.1655364E-6 | 1.609377E-6 | 5.1760854E-4 | 321.62045 | 5.16E-4 | 2.642346E-5 | 6.897312E-6 | 6.4089295E-4 | 92.919235 | 6.34E-4 | 3.2165812E-4 | 8.397155E-5 | 9.4589917E-4 | 11.26452 | 8.62E-4 |
| 7.8 | 5.5043524E-6 | 1.2999647E-6 | 3.9529946E-4 | 304.08478 | 3.94E-4 | 2.3589868E-5 | 5.5712653E-6 | 4.8756858E-4 | 87.51488 | 4.82E-4 | 2.871688E-4 | 6.782805E-5 | 7.277833E-4 | 10.729828 | 6.6E-4 |
| 7.9 | 3.889249E-6 | 7.007592E-7 | 1.7070064E-4 | 243.59386 | 1.7E-4 | 1.6668104E-5 | 3.0032502E-6 | 2.1500261E-4 | 71.58998 | 2.12E-4 | 2.0291525E-4 | 3.656396E-5 | 3.225535E-4 | 8.821624 | 2.86E-4 |
| 8.0 | 2.668535E-6 | 3.7734412E-7 | 7.437732E-5 | 197.10739 | 7.4E-5 | 1.1436528E-5 | 1.617188E-6 | 9.161704E-5 | 56.652065 | 9.0E-5 | 1.3923083E-4 | 1.9689087E-5 | 1.4168669E-4 | 7.196204 | 1.22E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.5911459E-6 | 1.8964407E-7 | 3.0189638E-5 | 159.19106 | 3.0E-5 | 6.8191785E-6 | 8.1276005E-7 | 4.0812727E-5 | 50.214977 | 4.0E-5 | 8.3020335E-5 | 9.895309E-6 | 5.9894814E-5 | 6.0528493 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.2 | 6.1294963E-7 | 3.156784E-8 | 2.0315679E-6 | 64.35561 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6269242E-6 | 1.3529073E-7 | 2.1352905E-6 | 15.782976 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1982334E-5 | 1.6471633E-6 | 5.6471567E-6 | 3.4284132 | 4.0E-6 |
| 8.3 | 1.762871E-7 | 7.153573E-9 | 7.153573E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5551594E-7 | 3.0658168E-8 | 3.0658168E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1983675E-6 | 3.7326313E-7 | 2.3732623E-6 | 6.358148 | 2.0E-6 |
Elsinore (Stepovers Combined)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.144392E-5 | 2.01526E-5 | 7.601377E-4 | 37.71909 | 7.4E-4 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.636555E-5 | 0.0010682808 | 12.369292 | 9.82E-4 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010510123 | 0.0025734105 | 2.4485066 | 0.001524 |
| 6.1 | 2.144392E-5 | 2.01526E-5 | 7.601377E-4 | 37.71909 | 7.4E-4 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.636555E-5 | 0.0010682808 | 12.369292 | 9.82E-4 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010510123 | 0.0025734105 | 2.4485066 | 0.001524 |
| 6.2 | 2.144392E-5 | 2.01526E-5 | 7.601377E-4 | 37.71909 | 7.4E-4 | 9.189928E-5 | 8.636555E-5 | 0.0010682808 | 12.369292 | 9.82E-4 | 0.0011182994 | 0.0010510123 | 0.0025734105 | 2.4485066 | 0.001524 |
| 6.3 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.8114095E-5 | 6.5610255E-4 | 36.220554 | 6.38E-4 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.762962E-5 | 9.2356396E-4 | 11.897056 | 8.46E-4 | 0.0010300872 | 9.447448E-4 | 0.002251509 | 2.383193 | 0.001308 |
| 6.4 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.8114095E-5 | 6.5610255E-4 | 36.220554 | 6.38E-4 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.762962E-5 | 9.2356396E-4 | 11.897056 | 8.46E-4 | 0.0010300872 | 9.447448E-4 | 0.002251509 | 2.383193 | 0.001308 |
| 6.5 | 1.9751555E-5 | 1.8114095E-5 | 6.5610255E-4 | 36.220554 | 6.38E-4 | 8.4646774E-5 | 7.762962E-5 | 9.2356396E-4 | 11.897056 | 8.46E-4 | 0.0010300872 | 9.447448E-4 | 0.002251509 | 2.383193 | 0.001308 |
| 6.6 | 1.9188685E-5 | 1.7364831E-5 | 6.233543E-4 | 35.897514 | 6.06E-4 | 8.2234634E-5 | 7.441868E-5 | 8.7835884E-4 | 11.802936 | 8.04E-4 | 0.0010007467 | 9.0568775E-4 | 0.0021505593 | 2.374504 | 0.001246 |
| 6.7 | 1.7608272E-5 | 1.5015337E-5 | 5.270076E-4 | 35.097958 | 5.12E-4 | 7.546184E-5 | 6.4349915E-5 | 7.403064E-4 | 11.504389 | 6.76E-4 | 9.183606E-4 | 7.831887E-4 | 0.00184036 | 2.3498297 | 0.001058 |
| 6.8 | 1.697165E-5 | 1.4037228E-5 | 4.7603075E-4 | 33.91202 | 4.62E-4 | 7.273361E-5 | 6.015821E-5 | 6.7812105E-4 | 11.272294 | 6.18E-4 | 8.8517193E-4 | 7.32189E-4 | 0.0016914861 | 2.3101768 | 9.6E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.600365E-5 | 1.3092213E-5 | 4.5308645E-4 | 34.607327 | 4.4E-4 | 6.858527E-5 | 5.610832E-5 | 6.3807564E-4 | 11.372211 | 5.82E-4 | 8.347058E-4 | 6.829127E-4 | 0.0015842967 | 2.319911 | 9.02E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.3314581E-5 | 1.0667392E-5 | 3.5266374E-4 | 33.05998 | 3.42E-4 | 5.7061243E-5 | 4.571661E-5 | 4.9769593E-4 | 10.886545 | 4.52E-4 | 6.944992E-4 | 5.564604E-4 | 0.0012580698 | 2.2608433 | 7.02E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.2865345E-5 | 1.0143175E-5 | 3.3013994E-4 | 32.547985 | 3.2E-4 | 5.5136024E-5 | 4.347004E-5 | 4.674516E-4 | 10.75342 | 4.24E-4 | 6.710743E-4 | 5.291219E-4 | 0.0011847748 | 2.2391338 | 6.56E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.1650051E-5 | 8.800826E-6 | 2.6879853E-4 | 30.542421 | 2.6E-4 | 4.9927836E-5 | 3.771729E-5 | 3.8970402E-4 | 10.332237 | 3.52E-4 | 6.0770183E-4 | 4.591131E-4 | 0.0010088607 | 2.1974118 | 5.5E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.0008533E-5 | 7.332658E-6 | 2.053312E-4 | 28.002289 | 1.98E-4 | 4.2893007E-5 | 3.142531E-5 | 3.054167E-4 | 9.718814 | 2.74E-4 | 5.220972E-4 | 3.8253743E-4 | 8.1237295E-4 | 2.123643 | 4.3E-4 |
| 7.4 | 9.116759E-6 | 6.520395E-6 | 1.9651916E-4 | 30.139149 | 1.9E-4 | 3.907124E-5 | 2.7944257E-5 | 2.8193716E-4 | 10.08927 | 2.54E-4 | 4.7558855E-4 | 3.4016964E-4 | 7.30037E-4 | 2.1460967 | 3.9E-4 |
| 7.5 | 7.870524E-6 | 5.4657885E-6 | 1.3546507E-4 | 24.78418 | 1.3E-4 | 3.3730383E-5 | 2.3424604E-5 | 2.0942025E-4 | 8.940183 | 1.86E-4 | 4.1059E-4 | 2.8515855E-4 | 5.7507586E-4 | 2.016688 | 2.9E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.9774537E-6 | 4.7465364E-6 | 1.2474597E-4 | 26.281471 | 1.2E-4 | 2.990303E-5 | 2.0342148E-5 | 1.9233864E-4 | 9.455179 | 1.72E-4 | 3.640086E-4 | 2.476387E-4 | 5.135728E-4 | 2.0738795 | 2.66E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.1616954E-6 | 2.3646858E-6 | 5.8364552E-5 | 24.681738 | 5.6E-5 | 1.7835715E-5 | 1.0134332E-5 | 9.013352E-5 | 8.893879 | 8.0E-5 | 2.171282E-4 | 1.2337927E-4 | 2.4936371E-4 | 2.0211153 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.517343E-8 | 9.517343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0788606E-7 | 4.0788606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9660052E-6 | 6.965995E-6 | 1.4027362 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Blackwater
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3226177E-5 | 7.412027E-4 | 22.307793 | 7.08E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.423909E-4 | 0.0010882562 | 7.642737 | 9.46E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017323686 | 0.0031878427 | 1.8401643 | 0.001458 |
| 6.1 | 3.0708583E-5 | 3.3226177E-5 | 7.412027E-4 | 22.307793 | 7.08E-4 | 1.3160157E-4 | 1.423909E-4 | 0.0010882562 | 7.642737 | 9.46E-4 | 0.0016010714 | 0.0017323686 | 0.0031878427 | 1.8401643 | 0.001458 |
| 6.2 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2590507E-5 | 3.385864E-4 | 26.892197 | 3.26E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3958258E-5 | 4.759355E-4 | 8.820438 | 4.22E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5675343E-4 | 0.0012983318 | 1.9768938 | 6.42E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.1707779E-5 | 1.2590507E-5 | 3.385864E-4 | 26.892197 | 3.26E-4 | 5.017523E-5 | 5.3958258E-5 | 4.759355E-4 | 8.820438 | 4.22E-4 | 6.107122E-4 | 6.5675343E-4 | 0.0012983318 | 1.9768938 | 6.42E-4 |
| 6.4 | 7.929244E-6 | 8.509885E-6 | 2.5850776E-4 | 30.37735 | 2.5E-4 | 3.3982033E-5 | 3.647045E-5 | 3.6245855E-4 | 9.938417 | 3.26E-4 | 4.136527E-4 | 4.4394133E-4 | 9.237282E-4 | 2.080744 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.5 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.3077455E-6 | 1.9230657E-4 | 30.48737 | 1.86E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.703293E-5 | 2.7502622E-4 | 10.173748 | 2.48E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.290788E-4 | 7.04955E-4 | 2.1422076 | 3.76E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.8832115E-6 | 6.3077455E-6 | 1.9230657E-4 | 30.48737 | 1.86E-4 | 2.521352E-5 | 2.703293E-5 | 2.7502622E-4 | 10.173748 | 2.48E-4 | 3.0693135E-4 | 3.290788E-4 | 7.04955E-4 | 2.1422076 | 3.76E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.0715053E-6 | 3.2928042E-6 | 1.01292484E-4 | 30.761768 | 9.8E-5 | 1.3163528E-5 | 1.4111948E-5 | 1.4411012E-4 | 10.211922 | 1.3E-4 | 1.6025416E-4 | 1.718006E-4 | 3.6976658E-4 | 2.1523008 | 1.98E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.2722281E-6 | 2.4372105E-6 | 7.843703E-5 | 32.183117 | 7.6E-5 | 9.738084E-6 | 1.0445151E-5 | 1.08444125E-4 | 10.382246 | 9.8E-5 | 1.1855473E-4 | 1.2716322E-4 | 2.6314592E-4 | 2.0693557 | 1.36E-4 |
| 6.9 | 9.952399E-7 | 1.0691424E-6 | 3.5069104E-5 | 32.801155 | 3.4E-5 | 4.265307E-6 | 4.582034E-6 | 4.458185E-5 | 9.729708 | 4.0E-5 | 5.1928873E-5 | 5.5785353E-5 | 1.0978234E-4 | 1.967942 | 5.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 4.7385504E-7 | 5.093807E-7 | 1.4509374E-5 | 28.48434 | 1.4E-5 | 2.0308057E-6 | 2.1830601E-6 | 1.8183026E-5 | 8.329145 | 1.6E-5 | 2.4724779E-5 | 2.6578757E-5 | 5.2578067E-5 | 1.9781989 | 2.6E-5 |
San Andreas (Parkfield)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.5600464E-4 | 5.047718E-4 | 0.0013363519 | 2.6474376 | 8.32E-4 | 0.0019528421 | 0.0021618211 | 0.003197577 | 1.4791127 | 0.001038 | 0.023518132 | 0.026303252 | 0.027730692 | 1.0542686 | 0.001466 |
| 6.1 | 1.9252734E-4 | 2.1378094E-4 | 9.5162314E-4 | 4.451394 | 7.38E-4 | 8.248562E-4 | 9.159537E-4 | 0.0018271183 | 1.9947715 | 9.12E-4 | 0.009996468 | 0.011198577 | 0.012462265 | 1.1128436 | 0.001278 |
| 6.2 | 9.4269315E-5 | 1.0898936E-4 | 8.1491243E-4 | 7.47699 | 7.06E-4 | 4.039488E-4 | 4.6701502E-4 | 0.0013346097 | 2.8577447 | 8.68E-4 | 0.0049069915 | 0.005671336 | 0.0068704966 | 1.2114424 | 0.001206 |
| 6.3 | 9.283051E-5 | 1.0620109E-4 | 8.121261E-4 | 7.64706 | 7.06E-4 | 3.9778434E-4 | 4.5506947E-4 | 0.0013226744 | 2.906533 | 8.68E-4 | 0.0048322747 | 0.005526638 | 0.006725973 | 1.2170098 | 0.001206 |
| 6.4 | 9.138826E-5 | 1.0376566E-4 | 8.096924E-4 | 7.8030863 | 7.06E-4 | 3.916052E-4 | 4.446355E-4 | 0.0013122496 | 2.9512928 | 8.68E-4 | 0.0047573745 | 0.005400238 | 0.006597736 | 1.2217492 | 0.001204 |
| 6.5 | 9.000255E-5 | 1.0128706E-4 | 8.0521574E-4 | 7.949838 | 7.04E-4 | 3.8566816E-4 | 4.340165E-4 | 0.0012996406 | 2.9944499 | 8.66E-4 | 0.0046854047 | 0.0052715805 | 0.006465255 | 1.2264357 | 0.0012 |
| 6.6 | 8.8109264E-5 | 9.8156066E-5 | 8.0208696E-4 | 8.171548 | 7.04E-4 | 3.7755648E-4 | 4.2060233E-4 | 0.0012862381 | 3.0580862 | 8.66E-4 | 0.0045870654 | 0.005109039 | 0.0063029085 | 1.2336779 | 0.0012 |
| 6.7 | 8.738073E-5 | 9.6828095E-5 | 8.0075994E-4 | 8.269913 | 7.04E-4 | 3.7443507E-4 | 4.1491282E-4 | 0.0012805535 | 3.0863194 | 8.66E-4 | 0.0045492216 | 0.0050400947 | 0.006234047 | 1.2368908 | 0.0012 |
| 6.8 | 8.710195E-5 | 9.628017E-5 | 8.002124E-4 | 8.31129 | 7.04E-4 | 3.7324068E-4 | 4.1256534E-4 | 0.0012782081 | 3.0981956 | 8.66E-4 | 0.0045347405 | 0.0050116475 | 0.0062056337 | 1.2382423 | 0.0012 |
| 6.9 | 8.6801556E-5 | 9.568478E-5 | 7.9961744E-4 | 8.356789 | 7.04E-4 | 3.7195362E-4 | 4.1001444E-4 | 0.0012756594 | 3.1112547 | 8.66E-4 | 0.0045191357 | 0.0049807327 | 0.0061747557 | 1.2397285 | 0.0012 |
| 7.0 | 8.5571606E-5 | 9.316884E-5 | 7.9510343E-4 | 8.534006 | 7.02E-4 | 3.6668387E-4 | 3.992352E-4 | 0.0012628903 | 3.1632738 | 8.64E-4 | 0.004455241 | 0.0048500863 | 0.006042276 | 1.2458079 | 0.001198 |
| 7.1 | 7.82589E-5 | 7.749825E-5 | 7.734443E-4 | 9.980152 | 6.96E-4 | 3.3535215E-4 | 3.3209388E-4 | 0.0011878096 | 3.5767283 | 8.56E-4 | 0.0040752706 | 0.004035896 | 0.005211134 | 1.2911962 | 0.00118 |
| 7.2 | 7.690929E-5 | 7.4936484E-5 | 7.688845E-4 | 10.260482 | 6.94E-4 | 3.2956956E-4 | 3.2111767E-4 | 0.0011728441 | 3.6523812 | 8.52E-4 | 0.004005129 | 0.0039027464 | 0.005074157 | 1.3001503 | 0.001176 |
| 7.3 | 7.5543794E-5 | 7.177953E-5 | 7.6372985E-4 | 10.63994 | 6.92E-4 | 3.2371894E-4 | 3.0759108E-4 | 0.0011573297 | 3.7625592 | 8.5E-4 | 0.003934157 | 0.0037386362 | 0.004908247 | 1.3128443 | 0.001174 |
| 7.4 | 7.4214564E-5 | 6.8629655E-5 | 7.6058216E-4 | 11.082413 | 6.92E-4 | 3.1802364E-4 | 2.9409473E-4 | 0.0011438448 | 3.889375 | 8.5E-4 | 0.003865065 | 0.0035748682 | 0.0047446713 | 1.3272297 | 0.001174 |
| 7.5 | 6.149578E-5 | 3.5820336E-5 | 7.037964E-4 | 19.647957 | 6.68E-4 | 2.6352672E-4 | 1.535068E-4 | 9.6138276E-4 | 6.2628026 | 8.08E-4 | 0.0032037178 | 0.001867361 | 0.0029852695 | 1.5986569 | 0.00112 |
| 7.6 | 6.0643448E-5 | 3.401273E-5 | 6.999901E-4 | 20.580238 | 6.66E-4 | 2.598746E-4 | 1.457608E-4 | 9.476439E-4 | 6.5013633 | 8.02E-4 | 0.0031593828 | 0.0017732109 | 0.0028812427 | 1.624873 | 0.00111 |
| 7.7 | 5.1652263E-5 | 1.4308385E-5 | 6.062999E-4 | 42.37375 | 5.92E-4 | 2.2134806E-4 | 6.1320214E-5 | 7.852758E-4 | 12.8061495 | 7.24E-4 | 0.002691582 | 7.463185E-4 | 0.0017115975 | 2.2933877 | 9.66E-4 |
| 7.8 | 4.8090482E-5 | 8.51614E-6 | 4.8651206E-4 | 57.12824 | 4.78E-4 | 2.060858E-4 | 3.6497233E-5 | 6.0847634E-4 | 16.67185 | 5.72E-4 | 0.0025062072 | 4.4426322E-4 | 0.0012059247 | 2.7144372 | 7.62E-4 |
| 7.9 | 3.970278E-5 | 4.228143E-6 | 4.0822645E-4 | 96.54981 | 4.04E-4 | 1.7014367E-4 | 1.8120487E-5 | 4.9411185E-4 | 27.268133 | 4.76E-4 | 0.002069531 | 2.2059461E-4 | 8.324596E-4 | 3.7737079 | 6.12E-4 |
| 8.0 | 2.8982335E-5 | 2.6406458E-6 | 3.2463978E-4 | 122.939545 | 3.22E-4 | 1.2420409E-4 | 1.13170045E-5 | 3.893127E-4 | 34.40069 | 3.78E-4 | 0.0015111357 | 1.3777583E-4 | 6.1571E-4 | 4.468926 | 4.78E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.8836186E-5 | 1.777482E-6 | 2.0577712E-4 | 115.76889 | 2.04E-4 | 8.0724014E-5 | 7.617758E-6 | 2.4561596E-4 | 32.24255 | 2.38E-4 | 9.823717E-4 | 9.2742266E-5 | 3.987139E-4 | 4.2991605 | 3.06E-4 |
| 8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 3.8699196E-7 | 2.4386984E-5 | 63.01677 | 2.4E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 1.6585359E-6 | 2.7658492E-5 | 16.67645 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.0192487E-5 | 7.0191476E-5 | 3.4761183 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
Elsinore (Temecula) rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.3051505E-5 | 7.3703506E-4 | 31.973402 | 7.14E-4 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.878855E-5 | 0.0010706926 | 10.838224 | 9.72E-4 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0012021096 | 0.0026843257 | 2.2330124 | 0.001484 |
| 6.1 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.3051505E-5 | 7.3703506E-4 | 31.973402 | 7.14E-4 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.878855E-5 | 0.0010706926 | 10.838224 | 9.72E-4 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0012021096 | 0.0026843257 | 2.2330124 | 0.001484 |
| 6.2 | 2.9514995E-5 | 2.3051505E-5 | 7.3703506E-4 | 31.973402 | 7.14E-4 | 1.264867E-4 | 9.878855E-5 | 0.0010706926 | 10.838224 | 9.72E-4 | 0.0015388876 | 0.0012021096 | 0.0026843257 | 2.2330124 | 0.001484 |
| 6.3 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8789793E-5 | 6.107787E-4 | 32.505875 | 5.92E-4 | 9.952613E-5 | 8.05253E-5 | 8.864604E-4 | 11.008471 | 8.06E-4 | 0.001211057 | 9.799722E-4 | 0.0022327432 | 2.2783742 | 0.001254 |
| 6.4 | 2.3223649E-5 | 1.8789793E-5 | 6.107787E-4 | 32.505875 | 5.92E-4 | 9.952613E-5 | 8.05253E-5 | 8.864604E-4 | 11.008471 | 8.06E-4 | 0.001211057 | 9.799722E-4 | 0.0022327432 | 2.2783742 | 0.001254 |
| 6.5 | 1.8338875E-5 | 1.50305905E-5 | 4.790236E-4 | 31.869913 | 4.64E-4 | 7.8592806E-5 | 6.4415275E-5 | 7.003743E-4 | 10.872798 | 6.36E-4 | 9.5644733E-4 | 7.8398286E-4 | 0.0017812004 | 2.271989 | 9.98E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.8223333E-5 | 1.4891824E-5 | 4.7488496E-4 | 31.888973 | 4.6E-4 | 7.809766E-5 | 6.38206E-5 | 6.9178053E-4 | 10.839456 | 6.28E-4 | 9.504242E-4 | 7.7674777E-4 | 0.0017639804 | 2.2709823 | 9.88E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.7512752E-5 | 1.4289635E-5 | 4.642832E-4 | 32.490906 | 4.5E-4 | 7.505249E-5 | 6.12399E-5 | 6.652029E-4 | 10.862246 | 6.04E-4 | 9.13381E-4 | 7.453496E-4 | 0.0016906445 | 2.2682571 | 9.46E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.7417142E-5 | 1.4211973E-5 | 4.6020563E-4 | 32.381542 | 4.46E-4 | 7.4642754E-5 | 6.090709E-5 | 6.608705E-4 | 10.850471 | 6.0E-4 | 9.083966E-4 | 7.4130035E-4 | 0.0016806035 | 2.267102 | 9.4E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.6402591E-5 | 1.3240472E-5 | 4.3723485E-4 | 33.022602 | 4.24E-4 | 7.0294926E-5 | 5.674369E-5 | 6.207117E-4 | 10.938867 | 5.64E-4 | 8.5550465E-4 | 6.906434E-4 | 0.0015700356 | 2.2732942 | 8.8E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.3912486E-5 | 1.1104066E-5 | 3.5710022E-4 | 32.159412 | 3.46E-4 | 5.9623577E-5 | 4.7588004E-5 | 5.075661E-4 | 10.665842 | 4.6E-4 | 7.2567526E-4 | 5.7923276E-4 | 0.0012928192 | 2.231951 | 7.14E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.3405147E-5 | 1.0537025E-5 | 3.3853357E-4 | 32.128002 | 3.28E-4 | 5.7449364E-5 | 4.5157914E-5 | 4.811382E-4 | 10.654572 | 4.36E-4 | 6.9922156E-4 | 5.496616E-4 | 0.0012232912 | 2.2255352 | 6.74E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.21402E-5 | 9.166819E-6 | 2.7916435E-4 | 30.453785 | 2.7E-4 | 5.202839E-5 | 3.9285787E-5 | 4.0527142E-4 | 10.31598 | 3.66E-4 | 6.332616E-4 | 4.7820134E-4 | 0.0010479288 | 2.1913965 | 5.7E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.05047775E-5 | 7.7065815E-6 | 2.1570497E-4 | 27.989708 | 2.08E-4 | 4.5019697E-5 | 3.3027798E-5 | 3.2101828E-4 | 9.71964 | 2.88E-4 | 5.4797693E-4 | 4.0204075E-4 | 8.518598E-4 | 2.1188395 | 4.5E-4 |
| 7.4 | 9.624483E-6 | 6.900607E-6 | 2.0489925E-4 | 29.692932 | 1.98E-4 | 4.124713E-5 | 2.95737E-5 | 2.9556584E-4 | 9.994212 | 2.66E-4 | 5.0206814E-4 | 3.6000175E-4 | 7.698542E-4 | 2.1384733 | 4.1E-4 |
| 7.5 | 8.215151E-6 | 5.720782E-6 | 1.3972001E-4 | 24.423237 | 1.34E-4 | 3.5207315E-5 | 2.4517414E-5 | 2.1651271E-4 | 8.8309765 | 1.92E-4 | 4.2856473E-4 | 2.9845996E-4 | 5.983704E-4 | 2.00486 | 3.0E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.975058E-6 | 4.744959E-6 | 1.2474439E-4 | 26.289879 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9892764E-5 | 2.0335387E-5 | 1.9233189E-4 | 9.457991 | 1.72E-4 | 3.6388362E-4 | 2.475564E-4 | 5.134905E-4 | 2.0742366 | 2.66E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.159604E-6 | 2.3633238E-6 | 5.836319E-5 | 24.695385 | 5.6E-5 | 1.7826753E-5 | 1.0128496E-5 | 9.012769E-5 | 8.898428 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1701909E-4 | 1.2330821E-4 | 2.4929267E-4 | 2.0217037 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.2692414E-7 | 9.517343E-8 | 9.517343E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.725317E-7 | 4.0788606E-7 | 4.0788606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1840509E-5 | 4.9660052E-6 | 6.965995E-6 | 1.4027362 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (Central)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.1560004E-5 | 7.435308E-4 | 17.890537 | 7.02E-4 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.7810232E-4 | 0.0011159353 | 6.265698 | 9.38E-4 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0021662686 | 0.0036131276 | 1.6679038 | 0.00145 |
| 6.1 | 4.2243486E-5 | 4.1560004E-5 | 7.435308E-4 | 17.890537 | 7.02E-4 | 1.8103095E-4 | 1.7810232E-4 | 0.0011159353 | 6.265698 | 9.38E-4 | 0.0022018238 | 0.0021662686 | 0.0036131276 | 1.6679038 | 0.00145 |
| 6.2 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.1426654E-5 | 7.413977E-4 | 17.896633 | 7.0E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.7753089E-4 | 0.0011133647 | 6.2713857 | 9.36E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021593254 | 0.0036041988 | 1.6691318 | 0.001448 |
| 6.3 | 4.216245E-5 | 4.1426654E-5 | 7.413977E-4 | 17.896633 | 7.0E-4 | 1.806837E-4 | 1.7753089E-4 | 0.0011133647 | 6.2713857 | 9.36E-4 | 0.0021976046 | 0.0021593254 | 0.0036041988 | 1.6691318 | 0.001448 |
| 6.4 | 3.6858168E-5 | 3.417739E-5 | 5.821587E-4 | 17.033443 | 5.48E-4 | 1.5795401E-4 | 1.4646644E-4 | 8.9435687E-4 | 6.106224 | 7.48E-4 | 0.0019213937 | 0.0017817941 | 0.0029537024 | 1.6577125 | 0.001174 |
| 6.5 | 3.39199E-5 | 3.027642E-5 | 5.2226154E-4 | 17.249779 | 4.92E-4 | 1.453629E-4 | 1.2974975E-4 | 7.936636E-4 | 6.1168795 | 6.64E-4 | 0.0017683565 | 0.0015785793 | 0.0026089502 | 1.6527203 | 0.001032 |
| 6.6 | 3.3571985E-5 | 2.9728868E-5 | 5.137145E-4 | 17.27999 | 4.84E-4 | 1.4387199E-4 | 1.2740333E-4 | 7.7932025E-4 | 6.116954 | 6.52E-4 | 0.0017502342 | 0.0015500525 | 0.0025664745 | 1.655734 | 0.001018 |
| 6.7 | 3.2580007E-5 | 2.8396556E-5 | 4.923834E-4 | 17.339546 | 4.64E-4 | 1.3962112E-4 | 1.2169397E-4 | 7.476178E-4 | 6.143425 | 6.26E-4 | 0.0016985617 | 0.0014806376 | 0.0024531954 | 1.6568507 | 9.74E-4 |
| 6.8 | 3.2185937E-5 | 2.7832071E-5 | 4.798195E-4 | 17.239805 | 4.52E-4 | 1.3793244E-4 | 1.1927496E-4 | 7.2920223E-4 | 6.113623 | 6.1E-4 | 0.0016780337 | 0.0014512258 | 0.0024018441 | 1.6550452 | 9.52E-4 |
| 6.9 | 3.165394E-5 | 2.7046848E-5 | 4.7503473E-4 | 17.563404 | 4.48E-4 | 1.3565269E-4 | 1.1591003E-4 | 7.1984E-4 | 6.2103343 | 6.04E-4 | 0.0016503202 | 0.0014103114 | 0.0023489858 | 1.6655794 | 9.4E-4 |
| 7.0 | 3.0903822E-5 | 2.5974245E-5 | 4.6396288E-4 | 17.86242 | 4.38E-4 | 1.3243823E-4 | 1.1131356E-4 | 7.012479E-4 | 6.2997527 | 5.9E-4 | 0.0016112428 | 0.0013544202 | 0.002271177 | 1.6768627 | 9.18E-4 |
| 7.1 | 3.0069863E-5 | 2.4764511E-5 | 4.527539E-4 | 18.28237 | 4.28E-4 | 1.2886449E-4 | 1.0612941E-4 | 6.800685E-4 | 6.4079175 | 5.74E-4 | 0.0015677959 | 0.0012913798 | 0.0021822278 | 1.6898421 | 8.92E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.7957109E-5 | 2.1701817E-5 | 4.0769344E-4 | 18.786142 | 3.86E-4 | 1.1981068E-4 | 9.300458E-5 | 6.069568E-4 | 6.526096 | 5.14E-4 | 0.0014577188 | 0.0011317611 | 0.0019308557 | 1.7060629 | 8.0E-4 |
| 7.3 | 2.4519275E-5 | 1.7260596E-5 | 3.6125467E-4 | 20.929443 | 3.44E-4 | 1.0507837E-4 | 7.397196E-5 | 5.19939E-4 | 7.0288653 | 4.46E-4 | 0.0012785783 | 9.0025057E-4 | 0.001605615 | 1.7835201 | 7.06E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.3225532E-5 | 1.5784757E-5 | 3.4377957E-4 | 21.779213 | 3.28E-4 | 9.95342E-5 | 6.7647285E-5 | 4.916186E-4 | 7.267381 | 4.24E-4 | 0.0012111551 | 8.2330825E-4 | 0.0014867616 | 1.8058383 | 6.64E-4 |
| 7.5 | 2.097765E-5 | 1.3179107E-5 | 3.0317527E-4 | 23.004236 | 2.9E-4 | 8.9901114E-5 | 5.6480727E-5 | 4.304596E-4 | 7.6213536 | 3.74E-4 | 0.0010939965 | 6.874473E-4 | 0.0012730445 | 1.851843 | 5.86E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.511254E-5 | 6.76397E-6 | 2.3076245E-4 | 34.11642 | 2.24E-4 | 6.476642E-5 | 2.8988163E-5 | 3.1098E-4 | 10.727827 | 2.82E-4 | 7.882459E-4 | 3.528812E-4 | 7.967245E-4 | 2.2577698 | 4.44E-4 |
| 7.7 | 9.934069E-6 | 1.495136E-6 | 1.5349491E-4 | 102.66284 | 1.52E-4 | 4.2573887E-5 | 6.40771E-6 | 1.944065E-4 | 30.339466 | 1.88E-4 | 5.182138E-4 | 7.8011144E-5 | 3.5198976E-4 | 4.512045 | 2.74E-4 |
| 7.8 | 6.7562896E-6 | 3.6202366E-7 | 6.8362E-5 | 188.83296 | 6.8E-5 | 2.8955206E-5 | 1.551529E-6 | 8.55514E-5 | 55.140057 | 8.4E-5 | 3.5247262E-4 | 1.8889705E-5 | 1.408874E-4 | 7.4584227 | 1.22E-4 |
| 7.9 | 3.975453E-6 | 1.640135E-7 | 5.0164006E-5 | 305.8529 | 5.0E-5 | 1.7037546E-5 | 7.0291475E-7 | 6.0702874E-5 | 86.358795 | 6.0E-5 | 2.0741238E-4 | 8.557954E-6 | 9.455722E-5 | 11.049045 | 8.6E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.1513755E-7 | 2.0115136E-5 | 174.70525 | 2.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 4.934466E-7 | 2.8493432E-5 | 57.743706 | 2.8E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.007696E-6 | 4.8007445E-5 | 7.990991 | 4.2E-5 |
| 8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 4.5545573E-8 | 2.0455454E-6 | 44.91206 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.951953E-7 | 8.195194E-6 | 41.984585 | 8.0E-6 | 1.9166706E-5 | 2.3765006E-6 | 1.6376467E-5 | 6.8910007 | 1.4E-5 |
Rose Canyon
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.7741058E-5 | 7.497142E-4 | 19.864683 | 7.12E-4 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.6173781E-4 | 0.0010995861 | 6.7985716 | 9.38E-4 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0019674618 | 0.0033587192 | 1.707133 | 0.001394 |
| 6.1 | 3.86988E-5 | 3.7741058E-5 | 7.497142E-4 | 19.864683 | 7.12E-4 | 1.6584145E-4 | 1.6173781E-4 | 0.0010995861 | 6.7985716 | 9.38E-4 | 0.0020172498 | 0.0019674618 | 0.0033587192 | 1.707133 | 0.001394 |
| 6.2 | 2.8844734E-5 | 2.7272361E-5 | 5.292587E-4 | 19.406412 | 5.02E-4 | 1.2361443E-4 | 1.16876465E-4 | 7.947972E-4 | 6.8003187 | 6.78E-4 | 0.0015039665 | 0.0014220711 | 0.0024246434 | 1.7050085 | 0.001004 |
| 6.3 | 2.3171577E-5 | 2.1358583E-5 | 4.2135004E-4 | 19.727434 | 4.0E-4 | 9.9302975E-5 | 9.153363E-5 | 6.194853E-4 | 6.7678437 | 5.28E-4 | 0.0012083431 | 0.001113863 | 0.0019069785 | 1.7120405 | 7.94E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.0066604E-5 | 1.8218898E-5 | 3.3221318E-4 | 18.234537 | 3.14E-4 | 8.599689E-5 | 7.80787E-5 | 5.120448E-4 | 6.55806 | 4.34E-4 | 0.0010465092 | 9.5020165E-4 | 0.0016035802 | 1.687621 | 6.54E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.776989E-5 | 1.5927539E-5 | 2.879232E-4 | 18.077068 | 2.72E-4 | 7.615444E-5 | 6.825913E-5 | 4.3423416E-4 | 6.3615546 | 3.66E-4 | 9.267859E-4 | 8.3074364E-4 | 0.0013922767 | 1.6759403 | 5.62E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.5227364E-5 | 1.3448176E-5 | 2.4144512E-4 | 17.953745 | 2.28E-4 | 6.52585E-5 | 5.763379E-5 | 3.6561603E-4 | 6.343779 | 3.08E-4 | 7.942326E-4 | 7.014698E-4 | 0.0011631458 | 1.6581551 | 4.62E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.2703898E-5 | 1.10703495E-5 | 2.0906815E-4 | 18.885416 | 1.98E-4 | 5.4444143E-5 | 4.744351E-5 | 3.1343088E-4 | 6.6064014 | 2.66E-4 | 6.626558E-4 | 5.7747524E-4 | 9.652512E-4 | 1.6715024 | 3.88E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.1554917E-5 | 1.0113118E-5 | 1.9411126E-4 | 19.194008 | 1.84E-4 | 4.9520135E-5 | 4.3341235E-5 | 2.8933058E-4 | 6.6756425 | 2.46E-4 | 6.0274085E-4 | 5.275552E-4 | 8.813684E-4 | 1.6706659 | 3.54E-4 |
| 6.9 | 8.732078E-6 | 7.6148776E-6 | 1.2961395E-4 | 17.021147 | 1.22E-4 | 3.7422655E-5 | 3.2634794E-5 | 2.0862905E-4 | 6.392841 | 1.76E-4 | 4.5552556E-4 | 3.972587E-4 | 6.53157E-4 | 1.6441604 | 2.56E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.9337494E-6 | 5.02004E-6 | 7.901967E-5 | 15.740844 | 7.4E-5 | 2.5430107E-5 | 2.151428E-5 | 1.3551183E-4 | 6.2986917 | 1.14E-4 | 3.0956755E-4 | 2.6190502E-4 | 4.2586206E-4 | 1.6260172 | 1.64E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.013409E-6 | 4.113895E-6 | 6.211366E-5 | 15.098503 | 5.8E-5 | 2.1485863E-5 | 1.763086E-5 | 1.1362917E-4 | 6.444902 | 9.6E-5 | 2.6155898E-4 | 2.1463468E-4 | 3.4660634E-4 | 1.6148665 | 1.32E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.120763E-6 | 3.237999E-6 | 3.9237882E-5 | 12.117942 | 3.6E-5 | 1.7660293E-5 | 1.3877066E-5 | 7.387623E-5 | 5.323621 | 6.0E-5 | 2.1499286E-4 | 1.6894026E-4 | 2.5492572E-4 | 1.5089697 | 8.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 3.2081239E-6 | 2.413387E-6 | 3.2413314E-5 | 13.430633 | 3.0E-5 | 1.374903E-5 | 1.0343047E-5 | 5.634257E-5 | 5.4473863 | 4.6E-5 | 1.6738157E-4 | 1.2591938E-4 | 1.9391082E-4 | 1.53996 | 6.8E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.4194755E-6 | 1.750968E-6 | 2.375093E-5 | 13.564457 | 2.2E-5 | 1.0369139E-5 | 7.504127E-6 | 4.150387E-5 | 5.530806 | 3.4E-5 | 1.2623696E-4 | 9.135897E-5 | 1.4335422E-4 | 1.5691314 | 5.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.3842889E-6 | 9.29684E-7 | 1.6929669E-5 | 18.210133 | 1.6E-5 | 5.9326535E-6 | 3.984354E-6 | 2.998425E-5 | 7.5254984 | 2.6E-5 | 7.222766E-5 | 4.8508467E-5 | 8.0506914E-5 | 1.6596466 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.0021575E-6 | 6.3712366E-7 | 6.63712E-6 | 10.417318 | 6.0E-6 | 4.2949537E-6 | 2.7305273E-6 | 1.47304945E-5 | 5.3947434 | 1.2E-5 | 5.2289808E-5 | 3.3243683E-5 | 4.924315E-5 | 1.4812784 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 8.7620116E-8 | 6.379281E-8 | 6.379281E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7551473E-7 | 2.7339775E-7 | 2.7339775E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5718825E-6 | 3.3286128E-6 | 3.3286128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Jose
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.0851277E-6 | 3.817909E-6 | 7.69815E-4 | 201.6326 | 7.66E-4 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.636238E-5 | 0.0010263459 | 62.72595 | 0.00101 | 2.653002E-4 | 1.9919638E-4 | 0.0016249124 | 8.157339 | 0.001426 |
| 6.1 | 5.0851277E-6 | 3.817909E-6 | 7.69815E-4 | 201.6326 | 7.66E-4 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.636238E-5 | 0.0010263459 | 62.72595 | 0.00101 | 2.653002E-4 | 1.9919638E-4 | 0.0016249124 | 8.157339 | 0.001426 |
| 6.2 | 5.0851277E-6 | 3.817909E-6 | 7.69815E-4 | 201.6326 | 7.66E-4 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.636238E-5 | 0.0010263459 | 62.72595 | 0.00101 | 2.653002E-4 | 1.9919638E-4 | 0.0016249124 | 8.157339 | 0.001426 |
| 6.3 | 5.0851277E-6 | 3.817909E-6 | 7.69815E-4 | 201.6326 | 7.66E-4 | 2.1793223E-5 | 1.636238E-5 | 0.0010263459 | 62.72595 | 0.00101 | 2.653002E-4 | 1.9919638E-4 | 0.0016249124 | 8.157339 | 0.001426 |
| 6.4 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.0145407E-6 | 6.870125E-4 | 227.89957 | 6.84E-4 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.2919408E-5 | 9.0690784E-4 | 70.19733 | 8.94E-4 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.5728462E-4 | 0.001407088 | 8.946125 | 0.00125 |
| 6.5 | 4.3115124E-6 | 3.0145407E-6 | 6.870125E-4 | 227.89957 | 6.84E-4 | 1.8477778E-5 | 1.2919408E-5 | 9.0690784E-4 | 70.19733 | 8.94E-4 | 2.2494372E-4 | 1.5728462E-4 | 0.001407088 | 8.946125 | 0.00125 |
| 6.6 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.7685137E-6 | 5.2576757E-4 | 297.2935 | 5.24E-4 | 1.33302E-5 | 7.5793237E-6 | 7.0357404E-4 | 92.82808 | 6.96E-4 | 1.622831E-4 | 9.2274604E-5 | 0.0010621852 | 11.511131 | 9.7E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.110396E-6 | 1.7685137E-6 | 5.2576757E-4 | 297.2935 | 5.24E-4 | 1.33302E-5 | 7.5793237E-6 | 7.0357404E-4 | 92.82808 | 6.96E-4 | 1.622831E-4 | 9.2274604E-5 | 0.0010621852 | 11.511131 | 9.7E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.856651E-6 | 1.5903107E-6 | 4.9158954E-4 | 309.1154 | 4.9E-4 | 1.2242733E-5 | 6.815601E-6 | 6.568112E-4 | 96.36879 | 6.5E-4 | 1.4904508E-4 | 8.2977E-5 | 9.829024E-4 | 11.845479 | 9.0E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.1618725E-6 | 1.1048202E-6 | 4.1310437E-4 | 373.91095 | 4.12E-4 | 9.265135E-6 | 4.7349354E-6 | 5.407324E-4 | 114.20059 | 5.36E-4 | 1.12797185E-4 | 5.7646368E-5 | 8.016035E-4 | 13.905533 | 7.44E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.9684312E-6 | 1.0113412E-6 | 3.8501096E-4 | 380.69342 | 3.84E-4 | 8.436106E-6 | 4.3343125E-6 | 5.0633214E-4 | 116.81948 | 5.02E-4 | 1.02704755E-4 | 5.2769028E-5 | 7.54732E-4 | 14.302556 | 7.02E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.6070337E-6 | 8.1061614E-7 | 3.2281035E-4 | 398.2284 | 3.22E-4 | 6.887269E-6 | 3.4740647E-6 | 4.2147262E-4 | 121.31973 | 4.18E-4 | 8.384928E-5 | 4.229595E-5 | 6.2627124E-4 | 14.806885 | 5.84E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.0631658E-6 | 4.5767004E-7 | 1.0845762E-4 | 236.97775 | 1.08E-4 | 4.556417E-6 | 1.9614417E-6 | 1.5596114E-4 | 79.51353 | 1.54E-4 | 5.5472963E-5 | 2.38803E-5 | 2.498749E-4 | 10.463641 | 2.26E-4 |
| 7.3 | 7.060711E-7 | 3.2652343E-7 | 7.63265E-5 | 233.75504 | 7.6E-5 | 3.0260155E-6 | 1.3993855E-6 | 1.0739924E-4 | 76.74743 | 1.06E-4 | 3.6841117E-5 | 1.7037391E-5 | 1.8303456E-4 | 10.74311 | 1.66E-4 |
| 7.4 | 3.3677085E-7 | 1.573015E-7 | 5.415729E-5 | 344.28976 | 5.4E-5 | 1.4433028E-6 | 6.7414913E-7 | 7.66741E-5 | 113.73463 | 7.6E-5 | 1.757207E-5 | 8.207737E-6 | 1.102069E-4 | 13.427197 | 1.02E-4 |
| 7.5 | 3.129161E-7 | 1.5271279E-7 | 5.2152704E-5 | 341.50845 | 5.2E-5 | 1.3410682E-6 | 6.544832E-7 | 7.265444E-5 | 111.01039 | 7.2E-5 | 1.6327383E-5 | 7.968306E-6 | 1.0396754E-4 | 13.047634 | 9.6E-5 |
| 7.6 | 2.8008668E-7 | 1.4775719E-7 | 4.2147753E-5 | 285.2501 | 4.2E-5 | 1.2003709E-6 | 6.3324495E-7 | 5.663321E-5 | 89.433334 | 5.6E-5 | 1.46144175E-5 | 7.709732E-6 | 8.7709115E-5 | 11.376415 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.7852005E-7 | 1.4737414E-7 | 4.2147367E-5 | 285.98892 | 4.2E-5 | 1.1936568E-6 | 6.3160326E-7 | 5.663157E-5 | 89.66319 | 5.6E-5 | 1.4532674E-5 | 7.689745E-6 | 8.768913E-5 | 11.403386 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 1.1810797E-7 | 7.972207E-8 | 2.2079721E-5 | 276.9587 | 2.2E-5 | 5.0617695E-7 | 3.4166598E-7 | 3.0341656E-5 | 88.80503 | 3.0E-5 | 6.1626865E-6 | 4.159776E-6 | 5.0159586E-5 | 12.058242 | 4.6E-5 |
Hollywood
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2545068E-5 | 7.4853585E-4 | 59.667736 | 7.36E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3763495E-5 | 0.0010357107 | 19.264198 | 9.82E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.543786E-4 | 0.00205746 | 3.1441429 | 0.001404 |
| 6.1 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2545068E-5 | 7.4853585E-4 | 59.667736 | 7.36E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3763495E-5 | 0.0010357107 | 19.264198 | 9.82E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.543786E-4 | 0.00205746 | 3.1441429 | 0.001404 |
| 6.2 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2545068E-5 | 7.4853585E-4 | 59.667736 | 7.36E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3763495E-5 | 0.0010357107 | 19.264198 | 9.82E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.543786E-4 | 0.00205746 | 3.1441429 | 0.001404 |
| 6.3 | 1.24487615E-5 | 1.2545068E-5 | 7.4853585E-4 | 59.667736 | 7.36E-4 | 5.3350745E-5 | 5.3763495E-5 | 0.0010357107 | 19.264198 | 9.82E-4 | 6.4935174E-4 | 6.543786E-4 | 0.00205746 | 3.1441429 | 0.001404 |
| 6.4 | 1.2431024E-5 | 1.252559E-5 | 7.4851635E-4 | 59.75897 | 7.36E-4 | 5.327473E-5 | 5.368002E-5 | 0.0010356273 | 19.292603 | 9.82E-4 | 6.4842677E-4 | 6.5336295E-4 | 0.0020564457 | 3.1474783 | 0.001404 |
| 6.5 | 1.1242222E-5 | 1.1284581E-5 | 7.232765E-4 | 64.09423 | 7.12E-4 | 4.8180063E-5 | 4.836161E-5 | 0.0010003155 | 20.684084 | 9.52E-4 | 5.864344E-4 | 5.886462E-4 | 0.0019458468 | 3.3056304 | 0.001358 |
| 6.6 | 1.1234066E-5 | 1.1275655E-5 | 7.232676E-4 | 64.14418 | 7.12E-4 | 4.8145106E-5 | 4.8323356E-5 | 0.0010002773 | 20.699667 | 9.52E-4 | 5.86009E-4 | 5.8818073E-4 | 0.001945382 | 3.3074563 | 0.001358 |
| 6.7 | 1.12294E-5 | 1.1270365E-5 | 7.232623E-4 | 64.17382 | 7.12E-4 | 4.812511E-5 | 4.8300684E-5 | 0.0010002546 | 20.708914 | 9.52E-4 | 5.857657E-4 | 5.879048E-4 | 0.0019451064 | 3.3085396 | 0.001358 |
| 6.8 | 1.0252819E-5 | 1.0180388E-5 | 6.901735E-4 | 67.79442 | 6.8E-4 | 4.3939912E-5 | 4.362952E-5 | 9.5558976E-4 | 21.902367 | 9.12E-4 | 5.3483713E-4 | 5.310621E-4 | 0.0018223759 | 3.4315686 | 0.001292 |
| 6.9 | 9.252289E-6 | 9.067626E-6 | 6.630617E-4 | 73.12407 | 6.54E-4 | 3.9652066E-5 | 3.8860682E-5 | 9.068269E-4 | 23.335333 | 8.68E-4 | 4.8265693E-4 | 4.7302776E-4 | 0.0016884526 | 3.5694578 | 0.001216 |
| 7.0 | 8.474604E-6 | 8.212924E-6 | 6.282078E-4 | 76.49016 | 6.2E-4 | 3.6319227E-5 | 3.519778E-5 | 8.411694E-4 | 23.898367 | 8.06E-4 | 4.4209688E-4 | 4.2845015E-4 | 0.0015559668 | 3.631617 | 0.001128 |
| 7.1 | 6.643643E-6 | 6.215833E-6 | 5.4821244E-4 | 88.196144 | 5.42E-4 | 2.8472443E-5 | 2.6639013E-5 | 7.446199E-4 | 27.952232 | 7.18E-4 | 3.4659685E-4 | 3.2428215E-4 | 0.0013159604 | 4.0580726 | 9.92E-4 |
| 7.2 | 5.549002E-6 | 5.0522485E-6 | 4.990497E-4 | 98.77775 | 4.94E-4 | 2.378122E-5 | 2.1652315E-5 | 6.636384E-4 | 30.649767 | 6.42E-4 | 2.8949787E-4 | 2.6358519E-4 | 0.0011493517 | 4.360456 | 8.86E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.3059727E-6 | 3.9007264E-6 | 4.4989897E-4 | 115.337234 | 4.46E-4 | 1.8454039E-5 | 1.6717293E-5 | 5.947076E-4 | 35.574398 | 5.78E-4 | 2.2465475E-4 | 2.0351412E-4 | 9.85355E-4 | 4.8417034 | 7.82E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.8550733E-6 | 2.6387345E-6 | 3.926377E-4 | 148.79773 | 3.9E-4 | 1.2235971E-5 | 1.1308813E-5 | 5.093032E-4 | 45.035954 | 4.98E-4 | 1.4896276E-4 | 1.3767615E-4 | 8.1758254E-4 | 5.9384475 | 6.8E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.9927045E-6 | 1.8583876E-6 | 2.9785783E-4 | 160.27757 | 2.96E-4 | 8.540134E-6 | 7.964494E-6 | 3.8796148E-4 | 48.711376 | 3.8E-4 | 1.0397117E-4 | 9.6963435E-5 | 6.06914E-4 | 6.259205 | 5.1E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.345084E-6 | 1.2215352E-6 | 1.6122134E-4 | 131.98256 | 1.6E-4 | 5.764633E-6 | 5.2351406E-6 | 2.21234E-4 | 42.259422 | 2.16E-4 | 7.018215E-5 | 6.373599E-5 | 3.3771852E-4 | 5.29871 | 2.74E-4 |
| 7.7 | 7.6835164E-7 | 6.352632E-7 | 1.3463518E-4 | 211.93607 | 1.34E-4 | 3.2929315E-6 | 2.7225537E-6 | 1.7672208E-4 | 64.91041 | 1.74E-4 | 4.00907E-5 | 3.3146604E-5 | 2.4313964E-4 | 7.335281 | 2.1E-4 |
| 7.8 | 3.6562128E-7 | 2.5205622E-7 | 1.10252025E-4 | 437.41043 | 1.1E-4 | 1.5669474E-6 | 1.0802406E-6 | 1.4508009E-4 | 134.3035 | 1.44E-4 | 1.9077417E-5 | 1.3151854E-5 | 1.7914968E-4 | 13.621629 | 1.66E-4 |
| 7.9 | 7.5024424E-8 | 5.665284E-8 | 2.0056652E-5 | 354.02728 | 2.0E-5 | 3.215332E-7 | 2.4279788E-7 | 2.8242792E-5 | 116.322235 | 2.8E-5 | 3.91466E-6 | 2.9560615E-6 | 3.4955967E-5 | 11.825182 | 3.2E-5 |
Coronado Bank alt1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.753342E-5 | 8.227369E-5 | 7.202212E-4 | 8.753967 | 6.38E-4 | 2.8939685E-4 | 3.5255615E-4 | 0.0012402431 | 3.5178597 | 8.88E-4 | 0.003517715 | 0.0042843134 | 0.0056285295 | 1.313753 | 0.00135 |
| 6.1 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0079427E-5 | 4.360601E-4 | 8.70737 | 3.86E-4 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.146089E-4 | 7.724892E-4 | 3.5995207 | 5.58E-4 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026098222 | 0.0034595986 | 1.3256071 | 8.52E-4 |
| 6.2 | 4.1807285E-5 | 5.0079427E-5 | 4.360601E-4 | 8.70737 | 3.86E-4 | 1.7916178E-4 | 2.146089E-4 | 7.724892E-4 | 3.5995207 | 5.58E-4 | 0.0021791123 | 0.0026098222 | 0.0034595986 | 1.3256071 | 8.52E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.1793104E-5 | 3.7595866E-5 | 2.815867E-4 | 7.4898314 | 2.44E-4 | 1.3624904E-4 | 1.6111539E-4 | 5.350551E-4 | 3.3209438 | 3.74E-4 | 0.0016575698 | 0.0019598487 | 0.0025486925 | 1.3004537 | 5.9E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.9878007E-5 | 3.525298E-5 | 2.6524486E-4 | 7.524041 | 2.3E-4 | 1.2804232E-4 | 1.5107564E-4 | 4.910243E-4 | 3.2501884 | 3.4E-4 | 0.0015578003 | 0.0018378271 | 0.0023688495 | 1.2889403 | 5.32E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.4512565E-5 | 2.873908E-5 | 2.0273408E-4 | 7.0543 | 1.74E-4 | 1.0504962E-4 | 1.2316181E-4 | 3.8912904E-4 | 3.1594944 | 2.66E-4 | 0.0012782287 | 0.0014984906 | 0.0019138672 | 1.2771966 | 4.16E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.1317413E-5 | 2.490283E-5 | 1.8889875E-4 | 7.585433 | 1.64E-4 | 9.135714E-5 | 1.0672217E-4 | 3.5469572E-4 | 3.3235428 | 2.48E-4 | 0.0011117056 | 0.0012985902 | 0.0016741019 | 1.2891687 | 3.76E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.8585655E-5 | 2.1643478E-5 | 1.5764053E-4 | 7.283512 | 1.36E-4 | 7.9650374E-5 | 9.2754584E-5 | 3.0673473E-4 | 3.3069496 | 2.14E-4 | 9.6931186E-4 | 0.0011287224 | 0.0014563523 | 1.290266 | 3.28E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.5862879E-5 | 1.8431905E-5 | 1.4042966E-4 | 7.6188354 | 1.22E-4 | 6.798199E-5 | 7.89916E-5 | 2.6297706E-4 | 3.3291776 | 1.84E-4 | 8.273665E-4 | 9.613177E-4 | 0.0012490408 | 1.2993008 | 2.88E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.3021509E-5 | 1.5106634E-5 | 1.05105275E-4 | 6.9575577 | 9.0E-5 | 5.5805274E-5 | 6.474121E-5 | 2.0873189E-4 | 3.224096 | 1.44E-4 | 6.792174E-4 | 7.8795734E-4 | 0.0010177761 | 1.291664 | 2.3E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.0974371E-5 | 1.2728464E-5 | 9.2727445E-5 | 7.285046 | 8.0E-5 | 4.7032172E-5 | 5.4549517E-5 | 1.8054264E-4 | 3.309702 | 1.26E-4 | 5.7246623E-4 | 6.639556E-4 | 8.6582144E-4 | 1.3040352 | 2.02E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.766221E-6 | 1.0167835E-5 | 7.0167225E-5 | 6.900901 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7568978E-5 | 4.3575805E-5 | 1.3757171E-4 | 3.1570663 | 9.4E-5 | 4.573063E-4 | 5.304235E-4 | 6.78345E-4 | 1.2788743 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.2 | 8.026024E-7 | 8.328273E-7 | 4.832824E-6 | 5.802912 | 4.0E-6 | 3.43972E-6 | 3.5692551E-6 | 7.569241E-6 | 2.120678 | 4.0E-6 | 4.1877785E-5 | 4.3454827E-5 | 4.9454564E-5 | 1.1380684 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.7293114E-7 | 3.6980714E-7 | 2.3698065E-6 | 6.4082227 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5982754E-6 | 1.5848867E-6 | 3.5848836E-6 | 2.2619178 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9458828E-5 | 1.9295825E-5 | 2.3295748E-5 | 1.2072947 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.0557036E-7 | 1.9669606E-7 | 2.1966957E-6 | 11.16797 | 2.0E-6 | 8.810155E-7 | 8.4298284E-7 | 2.842981E-6 | 3.3725255 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0726311E-5 | 1.0263268E-5 | 1.4263227E-5 | 1.3897353 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 6.845446E-8 | 6.2792815E-8 | 2.0627926E-6 | 32.850773 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9337625E-7 | 2.6911204E-7 | 2.2691115E-6 | 8.431847 | 2.0E-6 | 3.5718497E-6 | 3.2764342E-6 | 5.2764276E-6 | 1.6104177 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 6.0975145E-9 | 5.536063E-9 | 5.536063E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6132206E-8 | 2.3725985E-8 | 2.3725985E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1815955E-7 | 2.8886382E-7 | 2.8886382E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goldstone Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0586427E-5 | 6.1256863E-4 | 20.027468 | 5.82E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3107921E-4 | 9.0897724E-4 | 6.934564 | 7.78E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015949203 | 0.002860898 | 1.793756 | 0.001268 |
| 6.1 | 2.671352E-5 | 3.0586427E-5 | 6.1256863E-4 | 20.027468 | 5.82E-4 | 1.1448149E-4 | 1.3107921E-4 | 9.0897724E-4 | 6.934564 | 7.78E-4 | 0.001392921 | 0.0015949203 | 0.002860898 | 1.793756 | 0.001268 |
| 6.2 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6204449E-5 | 3.0619974E-4 | 18.896029 | 2.9E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.944635E-5 | 4.6341898E-4 | 6.67305 | 3.94E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4528135E-4 | 0.0015346981 | 1.8156062 | 6.9E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.4197047E-5 | 1.6204449E-5 | 3.0619974E-4 | 18.896029 | 2.9E-4 | 6.0843064E-5 | 6.944635E-5 | 4.6341898E-4 | 6.67305 | 3.94E-4 | 7.4051257E-4 | 8.4528135E-4 | 0.0015346981 | 1.8156062 | 6.9E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5109197E-5 | 2.851051E-4 | 18.86964 | 2.7E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4752654E-5 | 4.3672856E-4 | 6.744566 | 3.72E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.881778E-4 | 0.0014196796 | 1.8012176 | 6.32E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.3238931E-5 | 1.5109197E-5 | 2.851051E-4 | 18.86964 | 2.7E-4 | 5.6737044E-5 | 6.4752654E-5 | 4.3672856E-4 | 6.744566 | 3.72E-4 | 6.9055456E-4 | 7.881778E-4 | 0.0014196796 | 1.8012176 | 6.32E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.1328278E-5 | 1.2942032E-5 | 2.4093909E-4 | 18.616789 | 2.28E-4 | 4.8548856E-5 | 5.546522E-5 | 3.5944837E-4 | 6.480608 | 3.04E-4 | 5.90922E-4 | 6.7517685E-4 | 0.0012128135 | 1.7962903 | 5.38E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.651175E-6 | 9.891131E-6 | 1.7188954E-4 | 17.378145 | 1.62E-4 | 3.707594E-5 | 4.239039E-5 | 2.6238107E-4 | 6.1896353 | 2.2E-4 | 4.5130608E-4 | 5.1607256E-4 | 9.0587133E-4 | 1.7553177 | 3.9E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.0215377E-6 | 1.183422E-6 | 9.183413E-6 | 7.760049 | 8.0E-6 | 4.378012E-6 | 5.071799E-6 | 1.7071738E-5 | 3.3660123 | 1.2E-5 | 5.3300988E-5 | 6.174752E-5 | 9.5745425E-5 | 1.5505954 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 7.9360774E-7 | 9.352383E-7 | 6.9352327E-6 | 7.4154716 | 6.0E-6 | 3.4011714E-6 | 4.008158E-6 | 1.2008126E-5 | 2.9959211 | 8.0E-6 | 4.1408475E-5 | 4.8798305E-5 | 7.479704E-5 | 1.5327793 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.0 | 7.4382757E-7 | 8.814231E-7 | 6.881418E-6 | 7.8071675 | 6.0E-6 | 3.1878285E-6 | 3.7775226E-6 | 1.1777493E-5 | 3.117782 | 8.0E-6 | 3.8811122E-5 | 4.5990433E-5 | 7.198924E-5 | 1.5653089 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 6.4709513E-7 | 7.7744824E-7 | 6.7774436E-6 | 8.717549 | 6.0E-6 | 2.773262E-6 | 3.3319172E-6 | 1.133189E-5 | 3.401012 | 8.0E-6 | 3.376394E-5 | 4.05654E-5 | 6.6564346E-5 | 1.6409143 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 6.356704E-7 | 7.651069E-7 | 6.765102E-6 | 8.842035 | 6.0E-6 | 2.7242988E-6 | 3.2790258E-6 | 1.1278999E-5 | 3.439741 | 8.0E-6 | 3.3167835E-5 | 3.992147E-5 | 6.592043E-5 | 1.6512526 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 5.7695723E-7 | 6.9578886E-7 | 4.695786E-6 | 6.748866 | 4.0E-6 | 2.4726714E-6 | 2.9819494E-6 | 8.981931E-6 | 3.0121007 | 6.0E-6 | 3.0104358E-5 | 3.6304686E-5 | 5.830389E-5 | 1.6059604 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 5.209647E-7 | 6.2523065E-7 | 4.625228E-6 | 7.397635 | 4.0E-6 | 2.232704E-6 | 2.6795574E-6 | 8.679542E-6 | 3.2391696 | 6.0E-6 | 2.718283E-5 | 3.2623182E-5 | 5.4622466E-5 | 1.6743451 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 4.512955E-7 | 5.399838E-7 | 4.5399815E-6 | 8.407626 | 4.0E-6 | 1.934122E-6 | 2.3142145E-6 | 8.3142E-6 | 3.5926664 | 6.0E-6 | 2.3547682E-5 | 2.8175251E-5 | 5.0174633E-5 | 1.7808051 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6377788E-7 | 2.6377788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1304763E-6 | 3.1304742E-6 | 2.7691638 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3763492E-5 | 2.5763327E-5 | 1.8718598 | 1.2E-5 |
San Pedro Basin
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.397425E-5 | 6.7793496E-4 | 10.596997 | 6.14E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7415008E-4 | 0.001083928 | 3.953776 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003333281 | 0.004565161 | 1.3695698 | 0.001236 |
| 6.1 | 5.3449043E-5 | 6.397425E-5 | 6.7793496E-4 | 10.596997 | 6.14E-4 | 2.2904722E-4 | 2.7415008E-4 | 0.001083928 | 3.953776 | 8.1E-4 | 0.0027850836 | 0.003333281 | 0.004565161 | 1.3695698 | 0.001236 |
| 6.2 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.684787E-5 | 3.088403E-4 | 11.503345 | 2.82E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.150575E-4 | 4.93014E-4 | 4.284936 | 3.78E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013999724 | 0.00196518 | 1.4037278 | 5.66E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.3189454E-5 | 2.684787E-5 | 3.088403E-4 | 11.503345 | 2.82E-4 | 9.9379584E-5 | 1.150575E-4 | 4.93014E-4 | 4.284936 | 3.78E-4 | 0.0012092749 | 0.0013999724 | 0.00196518 | 1.4037278 | 5.66E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.966056E-5 | 2.262923E-5 | 2.4662417E-4 | 10.898478 | 2.24E-4 | 8.425682E-5 | 9.697904E-5 | 3.9894975E-4 | 4.113773 | 3.02E-4 | 0.001025344 | 0.001180121 | 0.0016395781 | 1.3893305 | 4.6E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.7342953E-5 | 1.9887058E-5 | 2.2188303E-4 | 11.157157 | 2.02E-4 | 7.4324824E-5 | 8.522768E-5 | 3.5520465E-4 | 4.167715 | 2.7E-4 | 9.04529E-4 | 0.0010371906 | 0.001452759 | 1.4006675 | 4.16E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.439804E-5 | 1.6436417E-5 | 1.7243385E-4 | 10.490964 | 1.56E-4 | 6.170443E-5 | 7.0440066E-5 | 2.8242514E-4 | 4.0094385 | 2.12E-4 | 7.509924E-4 | 8.5730304E-4 | 0.0011950133 | 1.3939216 | 3.38E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.2634884E-5 | 1.4382901E-5 | 1.4438103E-4 | 10.038381 | 1.3E-4 | 5.414838E-5 | 6.163972E-5 | 2.3562899E-4 | 3.822681 | 1.74E-4 | 6.590571E-4 | 7.5023615E-4 | 0.0010360216 | 1.3809273 | 2.86E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.146091E-5 | 1.3020377E-5 | 1.270189E-4 | 9.755393 | 1.14E-4 | 4.911726E-5 | 5.5800592E-5 | 2.0979201E-4 | 3.7596734 | 1.54E-4 | 5.9783855E-4 | 6.791907E-4 | 9.3101955E-4 | 1.3707778 | 2.52E-4 |
| 6.9 | 9.109035E-6 | 1.0302007E-5 | 9.83011E-5 | 9.541937 | 8.8E-5 | 3.9038136E-5 | 4.415087E-5 | 1.6414557E-4 | 3.717833 | 1.2E-4 | 4.7518566E-4 | 5.3743273E-4 | 7.333274E-4 | 1.3645008 | 1.96E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.9351028E-6 | 6.623075E-6 | 6.462269E-5 | 9.757203 | 5.8E-5 | 2.5435906E-5 | 2.8384433E-5 | 1.0838216E-4 | 3.8183663 | 8.0E-5 | 3.0963816E-4 | 3.4554966E-4 | 4.7750407E-4 | 1.3818681 | 1.32E-4 |
| 7.1 | 2.1557585E-6 | 2.213764E-6 | 2.6213711E-5 | 11.84124 | 2.4E-5 | 9.238933E-6 | 9.487526E-6 | 3.748726E-5 | 3.9512155 | 2.8E-5 | 1.1247819E-4 | 1.1550466E-4 | 1.5749982E-4 | 1.3635796 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 2.1251979E-6 | 2.182057E-6 | 2.6182004E-5 | 11.998773 | 2.4E-5 | 9.107958E-6 | 9.35164E-6 | 3.735138E-5 | 3.9940994 | 2.8E-5 | 1.1088375E-4 | 1.1385042E-4 | 1.5384586E-4 | 1.3512982 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.7145798E-6 | 1.7471176E-6 | 2.1747082E-5 | 12.447406 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3481783E-6 | 7.487626E-6 | 3.1487445E-5 | 4.205264 | 2.4E-5 | 8.94604E-5 | 9.115812E-5 | 1.231552E-4 | 1.3510064 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.4467993E-6 | 1.4663719E-6 | 1.746635E-5 | 11.911267 | 1.6E-5 | 6.200554E-6 | 6.2844365E-6 | 2.4284323E-5 | 3.8642006 | 1.8E-5 | 7.548913E-5 | 7.6510405E-5 | 1.0250841E-4 | 1.339797 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.2803735E-6 | 1.2950225E-6 | 1.5295005E-5 | 11.810609 | 1.4E-5 | 5.487303E-6 | 5.550085E-6 | 1.9550007E-5 | 3.52247 | 1.4E-5 | 6.680587E-5 | 6.757026E-5 | 8.756891E-5 | 1.2959682 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 6.755009E-7 | 6.776287E-7 | 1.06776215E-5 | 15.757335 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8950008E-6 | 2.90412E-6 | 1.2904091E-5 | 4.443374 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5246063E-5 | 3.5357145E-5 | 4.735672E-5 | 1.3393819 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 6.211885E-8 | 4.5285258E-8 | 4.5285258E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6622362E-7 | 1.9407966E-7 | 1.9407966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2412677E-6 | 2.3629175E-6 | 2.3629175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 2.6580573E-9 | 1.5335567E-9 | 1.5335567E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1391674E-8 | 6.572386E-9 | 6.572386E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3869362E-7 | 8.00188E-8 | 8.00188E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cady
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1968173E-5 | 5.5995636E-4 | 25.489437 | 5.38E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.414643E-5 | 8.060794E-4 | 8.561975 | 7.12E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.001145722 | 0.0022484572 | 1.9624805 | 0.001104 |
| 6.1 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1968173E-5 | 5.5995636E-4 | 25.489437 | 5.38E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.414643E-5 | 8.060794E-4 | 8.561975 | 7.12E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.001145722 | 0.0022484572 | 1.9624805 | 0.001104 |
| 6.2 | 1.9892565E-5 | 2.1968173E-5 | 5.5995636E-4 | 25.489437 | 5.38E-4 | 8.525106E-5 | 9.414643E-5 | 8.060794E-4 | 8.561975 | 7.12E-4 | 0.0010374374 | 0.001145722 | 0.0022484572 | 1.9624805 | 0.001104 |
| 6.3 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2235339E-5 | 3.0423177E-4 | 24.865004 | 2.92E-4 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2436295E-5 | 4.4641562E-4 | 8.513485 | 3.94E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.382567E-4 | 0.0012558623 | 1.9676445 | 6.18E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.1117327E-5 | 1.2235339E-5 | 3.0423177E-4 | 24.865004 | 2.92E-4 | 4.764482E-5 | 5.2436295E-5 | 4.4641562E-4 | 8.513485 | 3.94E-4 | 5.7992124E-4 | 6.382567E-4 | 0.0012558623 | 1.9676445 | 6.18E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.103093E-6 | 6.7035253E-6 | 1.5270255E-4 | 22.77944 | 1.46E-4 | 2.615585E-5 | 2.872915E-5 | 2.3872312E-4 | 8.30944 | 2.1E-4 | 3.1840094E-4 | 3.4973392E-4 | 6.676227E-4 | 1.9089446 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.817237E-6 | 6.396052E-6 | 1.4639516E-4 | 22.888363 | 1.4E-4 | 2.4930776E-5 | 2.7411435E-5 | 2.294059E-4 | 8.368985 | 2.02E-4 | 3.034899E-4 | 3.3369567E-4 | 6.395936E-4 | 1.9166971 | 3.06E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.8846314E-6 | 5.3658155E-6 | 1.2736516E-4 | 23.736403 | 1.22E-4 | 2.0933967E-5 | 2.2996217E-5 | 1.9899217E-4 | 8.653256 | 1.76E-4 | 2.5484123E-4 | 2.7995487E-4 | 5.43881E-4 | 1.9427452 | 2.64E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.7788773E-6 | 1.9488011E-6 | 3.194874E-5 | 16.39405 | 3.0E-5 | 7.6237375E-6 | 8.351987E-6 | 6.035155E-5 | 7.2260113 | 5.2E-5 | 9.281505E-5 | 1.01682286E-4 | 1.7767456E-4 | 1.7473502 | 7.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 7.5455404E-7 | 8.33893E-7 | 1.2833883E-5 | 15.390324 | 1.2E-5 | 3.233799E-6 | 3.5738242E-6 | 2.3573753E-5 | 6.596226 | 2.0E-5 | 3.937079E-5 | 4.351078E-5 | 7.350947E-5 | 1.6894543 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 6.8578805E-7 | 7.579894E-7 | 1.2757981E-5 | 16.831343 | 1.2E-5 | 2.9390883E-6 | 3.248524E-6 | 1.9248471E-5 | 5.9252977 | 1.6E-5 | 3.578281E-5 | 3.9550396E-5 | 6.154953E-5 | 1.5562303 | 2.2E-5 |
Earthquake Valley (No Extension)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5400514E-5 | 5.59387E-4 | 22.022663 | 5.34E-4 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0885563E-4 | 8.267775E-4 | 7.5951743 | 7.18E-4 | 0.0011399703 | 0.001324659 | 0.0024112177 | 1.8202555 | 0.001088 |
| 6.1 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5400514E-5 | 5.59387E-4 | 22.022663 | 5.34E-4 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0885563E-4 | 8.267775E-4 | 7.5951743 | 7.18E-4 | 0.0011399703 | 0.001324659 | 0.0024112177 | 1.8202555 | 0.001088 |
| 6.2 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5400514E-5 | 5.59387E-4 | 22.022663 | 5.34E-4 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0885563E-4 | 8.267775E-4 | 7.5951743 | 7.18E-4 | 0.0011399703 | 0.001324659 | 0.0024112177 | 1.8202555 | 0.001088 |
| 6.3 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5400514E-5 | 5.59387E-4 | 22.022663 | 5.34E-4 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0885563E-4 | 8.267775E-4 | 7.5951743 | 7.18E-4 | 0.0011399703 | 0.001324659 | 0.0024112177 | 1.8202555 | 0.001088 |
| 6.4 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5400514E-5 | 5.59387E-4 | 22.022663 | 5.34E-4 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0885563E-4 | 8.267775E-4 | 7.5951743 | 7.18E-4 | 0.0011399703 | 0.001324659 | 0.0024112177 | 1.8202555 | 0.001088 |
| 6.5 | 2.1859703E-5 | 2.5400514E-5 | 5.59387E-4 | 22.022663 | 5.34E-4 | 9.3681076E-5 | 1.0885563E-4 | 8.267775E-4 | 7.5951743 | 7.18E-4 | 0.0011399703 | 0.001324659 | 0.0024112177 | 1.8202555 | 0.001088 |
| 6.6 | 1.597E-5 | 1.8502269E-5 | 3.6649583E-4 | 19.808155 | 3.48E-4 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.929353E-5 | 5.412569E-4 | 6.8259907 | 4.62E-4 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.6505985E-4 | 0.0016603882 | 1.7205029 | 6.96E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.597E-5 | 1.8502269E-5 | 3.6649583E-4 | 19.808155 | 3.48E-4 | 6.8441055E-5 | 7.929353E-5 | 5.412569E-4 | 6.8259907 | 4.62E-4 | 8.329513E-4 | 9.6505985E-4 | 0.0016603882 | 1.7205029 | 6.96E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.5315149E-5 | 1.7742279E-5 | 3.317367E-4 | 18.697525 | 3.14E-4 | 6.5634704E-5 | 7.603662E-5 | 4.940048E-4 | 6.4969335 | 4.18E-4 | 7.988095E-4 | 9.254407E-4 | 0.001558854 | 1.684445 | 6.34E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.3634728E-5 | 1.5801681E-5 | 2.737976E-4 | 17.327118 | 2.58E-4 | 5.8433237E-5 | 6.7720204E-5 | 4.1969636E-4 | 6.197506 | 3.52E-4 | 7.1119244E-4 | 8.24265E-4 | 0.0013578249 | 1.6473159 | 5.34E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.3496271E-5 | 1.5642576E-5 | 2.7163856E-4 | 17.365335 | 2.56E-4 | 5.783988E-5 | 6.703836E-5 | 4.1501503E-4 | 6.19071 | 3.48E-4 | 7.03973E-4 | 8.159698E-4 | 0.0013435389 | 1.6465548 | 5.28E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.242798E-6 | 9.551058E-6 | 1.4354978E-4 | 15.029726 | 1.34E-4 | 3.53258E-5 | 4.0932846E-5 | 2.2892516E-4 | 5.5927005 | 1.88E-4 | 4.300067E-4 | 4.983116E-4 | 7.901661E-4 | 1.5856867 | 2.92E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.6506527E-7 | 2.2927489E-7 | 6.2292734E-6 | 27.169455 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1359936E-6 | 9.826063E-7 | 1.4982593E-5 | 15.247808 | 1.4E-5 | 1.3830633E-5 | 1.196317E-5 | 3.1962933E-5 | 2.6717777 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.5810488E-7 | 2.2317934E-7 | 6.223178E-6 | 27.884203 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1061633E-6 | 9.564826E-7 | 1.4956469E-5 | 15.63695 | 1.4E-5 | 1.3467455E-5 | 1.1645117E-5 | 3.1644886E-5 | 2.717438 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.2676066E-7 | 1.9463708E-7 | 6.1946357E-6 | 31.826597 | 6.0E-6 | 9.71831E-7 | 8.341587E-7 | 1.4834147E-5 | 17.783363 | 1.4E-5 | 1.1831979E-5 | 1.0155839E-5 | 2.8155657E-5 | 2.7723615 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.5553917E-7 | 1.337667E-7 | 4.133766E-6 | 30.902802 | 4.0E-6 | 6.6659624E-7 | 5.732858E-7 | 1.2573279E-5 | 21.931957 | 1.2E-5 | 8.115779E-6 | 6.9797343E-6 | 2.2979622E-5 | 3.2923348 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.3448629E-7 | 1.1525014E-7 | 4.11525E-6 | 35.707115 | 4.0E-6 | 5.7636964E-7 | 4.9392906E-7 | 1.2493923E-5 | 25.294973 | 1.2E-5 | 7.017278E-6 | 6.013572E-6 | 2.2013475E-5 | 3.6606321 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.9719402E-8 | 1.4943074E-8 | 1.4943074E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2736886E-7 | 6.404174E-8 | 6.404174E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5507147E-6 | 7.7970805E-7 | 7.7970805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 7.4390196E-9 | 3.3123002E-9 | 3.3123002E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1881513E-8 | 1.4195573E-8 | 1.4195573E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8815733E-7 | 1.7283108E-7 | 1.7283108E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 1.5373532E-9 | 8.5502017E-10 | 8.5502017E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5886567E-9 | 3.664372E-9 | 3.664372E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021689E-8 | 4.461373E-8 | 4.461373E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (San Bernardino S)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.2336002E-4 | 7.890301E-7 | 6.5078854E-4 | 824.7956 | 6.5E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 3.3815534E-6 | 7.9937885E-4 | 236.39398 | 7.96E-4 | 0.006416472 | 4.116969E-5 | 0.0011191253 | 27.183233 | 0.001078 |
| 6.1 | 1.2336002E-4 | 7.890301E-7 | 6.5078854E-4 | 824.7956 | 6.5E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 3.3815534E-6 | 7.9937885E-4 | 236.39398 | 7.96E-4 | 0.006416472 | 4.116969E-5 | 0.0011191253 | 27.183233 | 0.001078 |
| 6.2 | 1.2336002E-4 | 7.890301E-7 | 6.5078854E-4 | 824.7956 | 6.5E-4 | 5.2857865E-4 | 3.3815534E-6 | 7.9937885E-4 | 236.39398 | 7.96E-4 | 0.006416472 | 4.116969E-5 | 0.0011191253 | 27.183233 | 0.001078 |
| 6.3 | 1.1712257E-4 | 7.890301E-7 | 6.5078854E-4 | 824.7956 | 6.5E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 3.3815534E-6 | 7.9937885E-4 | 236.39398 | 7.96E-4 | 0.006093008 | 4.116969E-5 | 0.0011191253 | 27.183233 | 0.001078 |
| 6.4 | 1.1712257E-4 | 7.890301E-7 | 6.5078854E-4 | 824.7956 | 6.5E-4 | 5.018573E-4 | 3.3815534E-6 | 7.9937885E-4 | 236.39398 | 7.96E-4 | 0.006093008 | 4.116969E-5 | 0.0011191253 | 27.183233 | 0.001078 |
| 6.5 | 1.0689076E-4 | 7.890301E-7 | 6.5078854E-4 | 824.7956 | 6.5E-4 | 4.5802278E-4 | 3.3815534E-6 | 7.9937885E-4 | 236.39398 | 7.96E-4 | 0.0055621783 | 4.116969E-5 | 0.0011191253 | 27.183233 | 0.001078 |
| 6.6 | 9.7648895E-5 | 7.890301E-7 | 6.5078854E-4 | 824.7956 | 6.5E-4 | 4.1842813E-4 | 3.3815534E-6 | 7.9937885E-4 | 236.39398 | 7.96E-4 | 0.005082469 | 4.116969E-5 | 0.0011191253 | 27.183233 | 0.001078 |
| 6.7 | 8.757013E-5 | 7.890301E-7 | 6.5078854E-4 | 824.7956 | 6.5E-4 | 3.7524657E-4 | 3.3815534E-6 | 7.9937885E-4 | 236.39398 | 7.96E-4 | 0.00455906 | 4.116969E-5 | 0.0011191253 | 27.183233 | 0.001078 |
| 6.8 | 8.562978E-5 | 7.847772E-7 | 6.487843E-4 | 826.7114 | 6.48E-4 | 3.6693315E-4 | 3.3633269E-6 | 7.9736067E-4 | 237.07498 | 7.94E-4 | 0.004458263 | 4.094779E-5 | 0.0011169037 | 27.276287 | 0.001076 |
| 6.9 | 6.124075E-5 | 7.8224423E-7 | 6.427817E-4 | 821.7149 | 6.42E-4 | 2.6243398E-4 | 3.3524711E-6 | 7.9134986E-4 | 236.0497 | 7.88E-4 | 0.0031904527 | 4.081563E-5 | 0.001108772 | 27.165379 | 0.001068 |
| 7.0 | 5.8598747E-5 | 6.7347173E-7 | 5.366731E-4 | 796.8755 | 5.36E-4 | 2.5111332E-4 | 2.8863044E-6 | 6.5488444E-4 | 226.89375 | 6.52E-4 | 0.0030530186 | 3.5140234E-5 | 9.151093E-4 | 26.04164 | 8.8E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.613814E-5 | 6.5882347E-7 | 5.266585E-4 | 799.3924 | 5.26E-4 | 2.4056983E-4 | 2.8235263E-6 | 6.408217E-4 | 226.95795 | 6.38E-4 | 0.0029250039 | 3.4375935E-5 | 8.963463E-4 | 26.07482 | 8.62E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.991222E-5 | 3.8189418E-7 | 2.0438181E-4 | 535.1792 | 2.04E-4 | 2.1389198E-4 | 1.6366884E-6 | 2.5963626E-4 | 158.63513 | 2.58E-4 | 0.002601025 | 1.9926503E-5 | 3.7391944E-4 | 18.76493 | 3.54E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.7410045E-5 | 3.753982E-7 | 2.0437532E-4 | 544.4227 | 2.04E-4 | 2.0317009E-4 | 1.6088485E-6 | 2.5960844E-4 | 161.36288 | 2.58E-4 | 0.0024707897 | 1.958756E-5 | 3.7358064E-4 | 19.072342 | 3.54E-4 |
| 7.4 | 4.5556746E-5 | 3.6028445E-7 | 1.9436021E-4 | 539.46326 | 1.94E-4 | 1.952286E-4 | 1.5440753E-6 | 2.475437E-4 | 160.3184 | 2.46E-4 | 0.002374317 | 1.879896E-5 | 3.5479263E-4 | 18.872993 | 3.36E-4 |
| 7.5 | 4.3084514E-5 | 2.6919332E-7 | 1.1026916E-4 | 409.62817 | 1.1E-4 | 1.8463485E-4 | 1.1536852E-6 | 1.4315352E-4 | 124.0837 | 1.42E-4 | 0.0022456115 | 1.4046026E-5 | 2.0204339E-4 | 14.38438 | 1.88E-4 |
| 7.6 | 3.408608E-5 | 1.8934016E-7 | 3.4189332E-5 | 180.57097 | 3.4E-5 | 1.4607502E-4 | 8.1145754E-7 | 4.4811422E-5 | 55.223373 | 4.4E-5 | 0.0017770125 | 9.879451E-6 | 7.3878815E-5 | 7.4780293 | 6.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.8315713E-5 | 1.65352E-7 | 1.616535E-5 | 97.76325 | 1.6E-5 | 1.2134742E-4 | 7.0865127E-7 | 1.670864E-5 | 23.578085 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0014764034 | 8.627794E-6 | 3.2627588E-5 | 3.7816834 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.8 | 2.6222975E-5 | 1.5116083E-7 | 1.4151159E-5 | 93.61657 | 1.4E-5 | 1.1237934E-4 | 6.47832E-7 | 1.4647823E-5 | 22.610527 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0013673597 | 7.887325E-6 | 2.5887184E-5 | 3.2821243 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.1469694E-5 | 1.416304E-7 | 1.0141629E-5 | 71.6063 | 1.0E-5 | 9.200973E-5 | 6.0698727E-7 | 1.0606981E-5 | 17.4748 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011196428 | 7.3900446E-6 | 1.9389956E-5 | 2.623794 | 1.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.2420249E-5 | 4.939753E-8 | 2.0493974E-6 | 41.48785 | 2.0E-6 | 5.322855E-5 | 2.1170369E-7 | 2.2117033E-6 | 10.447165 | 2.0E-6 | 6.478649E-4 | 2.5774893E-6 | 4.577484E-6 | 1.7759469 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 4.9197724E-6 | 2.1244523E-8 | 2.1244523E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1084568E-5 | 9.1047966E-8 | 9.1047966E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.566744E-4 | 1.1085084E-6 | 1.1085084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.2 | 2.5634774E-6 | 1.3631218E-8 | 1.3631218E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0986286E-5 | 5.8419506E-8 | 5.8419506E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3374983E-4 | 7.1125726E-7 | 7.1125726E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.3 | 5.2850464E-7 | 7.1157524E-9 | 7.1157524E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2650179E-6 | 3.0496082E-8 | 3.0496082E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7576245E-5 | 3.7128973E-7 | 3.7128973E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oak Ridge (Onshore)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9769179E-5 | 5.39754E-4 | 18.131304 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2757618E-4 | 7.894917E-4 | 6.1883945 | 6.62E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015521719 | 0.0025386384 | 1.6355394 | 9.88E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9769179E-5 | 5.39754E-4 | 18.131304 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2757618E-4 | 7.894917E-4 | 6.1883945 | 6.62E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015521719 | 0.0025386384 | 1.6355394 | 9.88E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9769179E-5 | 5.39754E-4 | 18.131304 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2757618E-4 | 7.894917E-4 | 6.1883945 | 6.62E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015521719 | 0.0025386384 | 1.6355394 | 9.88E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9769179E-5 | 5.39754E-4 | 18.131304 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2757618E-4 | 7.894917E-4 | 6.1883945 | 6.62E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015521719 | 0.0025386384 | 1.6355394 | 9.88E-4 |
| 6.4 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9769179E-5 | 5.39754E-4 | 18.131304 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2757618E-4 | 7.894917E-4 | 6.1883945 | 6.62E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015521719 | 0.0025386384 | 1.6355394 | 9.88E-4 |
| 6.5 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9769179E-5 | 5.39754E-4 | 18.131304 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2757618E-4 | 7.894917E-4 | 6.1883945 | 6.62E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015521719 | 0.0025386384 | 1.6355394 | 9.88E-4 |
| 6.6 | 3.155064E-5 | 2.9769179E-5 | 5.39754E-4 | 18.131304 | 5.1E-4 | 1.3521002E-4 | 1.2757618E-4 | 7.894917E-4 | 6.1883945 | 6.62E-4 | 0.001644939 | 0.0015521719 | 0.0025386384 | 1.6355394 | 9.88E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.098897E-5 | 2.910139E-5 | 5.3108676E-4 | 18.249535 | 5.02E-4 | 1.328031E-4 | 1.247145E-4 | 7.7263365E-4 | 6.1952195 | 6.48E-4 | 0.0016156785 | 0.0015173797 | 0.0024918986 | 1.6422381 | 9.76E-4 |
| 6.8 | 3.0449872E-5 | 2.8471542E-5 | 5.204575E-4 | 18.27992 | 4.92E-4 | 1.3049292E-4 | 1.2201541E-4 | 7.5593806E-4 | 6.195431 | 6.34E-4 | 0.0015875935 | 0.001484563 | 0.0024451348 | 1.6470401 | 9.62E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.697928E-5 | 2.4419538E-5 | 4.5440905E-4 | 18.608421 | 4.3E-4 | 1.15620365E-4 | 1.0465109E-4 | 6.605929E-4 | 6.3123364 | 5.56E-4 | 0.0014067689 | 0.0012734042 | 0.0021163295 | 1.6619463 | 8.44E-4 |
| 7.0 | 2.4893961E-5 | 2.204384E-5 | 4.2203502E-4 | 19.14526 | 4.0E-4 | 1.0668404E-4 | 9.447028E-5 | 6.104215E-4 | 6.4615192 | 5.16E-4 | 0.0012981043 | 0.0011495868 | 0.0019446717 | 1.6916267 | 7.96E-4 |
| 7.1 | 2.0945363E-5 | 1.7503105E-5 | 3.6749698E-4 | 20.996101 | 3.5E-4 | 8.976275E-5 | 7.501118E-5 | 5.3497666E-4 | 7.1319594 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0010923136 | 9.1288326E-4 | 0.0016182387 | 1.7726678 | 7.06E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.0439404E-5 | 1.695405E-5 | 3.5894825E-4 | 21.17183 | 3.42E-4 | 8.7594504E-5 | 7.265822E-5 | 5.226255E-4 | 7.1929307 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0010659413 | 8.842596E-4 | 0.0015716512 | 1.777364 | 6.88E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.8463334E-5 | 1.5513364E-5 | 3.3950835E-4 | 21.884895 | 3.24E-4 | 7.912617E-5 | 6.648417E-5 | 4.984554E-4 | 7.497355 | 4.32E-4 | 9.6293533E-4 | 8.0914865E-4 | 0.0014746097 | 1.8224213 | 6.66E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.763139E-5 | 1.4639986E-5 | 3.346353E-4 | 22.857624 | 3.2E-4 | 7.556091E-5 | 6.274131E-5 | 4.887146E-4 | 7.7893586 | 4.26E-4 | 9.1956573E-4 | 7.636118E-4 | 0.0014171124 | 1.855802 | 6.54E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.3594944E-5 | 1.124002E-5 | 2.8523695E-4 | 25.376907 | 2.74E-4 | 5.8262744E-5 | 4.8170637E-5 | 4.161529E-4 | 8.63914 | 3.68E-4 | 7.0911803E-4 | 5.863223E-4 | 0.0011359998 | 1.9375006 | 5.5E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.9889534E-6 | 5.6582235E-6 | 1.856572E-4 | 32.811928 | 1.8E-4 | 2.9952313E-5 | 2.4249306E-5 | 2.6024357E-4 | 10.732001 | 2.36E-4 | 3.646084E-4 | 2.9519573E-4 | 6.5508945E-4 | 2.2191699 | 3.6E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.0824193E-6 | 3.2931061E-6 | 1.1729273E-4 | 35.617657 | 1.14E-4 | 1.7495966E-5 | 1.4113237E-5 | 1.5611123E-4 | 11.061335 | 1.42E-4 | 2.1299256E-4 | 1.7181523E-4 | 3.757802E-4 | 2.1871178 | 2.04E-4 |
| 7.8 | 1.7023609E-6 | 1.4391077E-6 | 4.143905E-5 | 28.794962 | 4.0E-5 | 7.295812E-6 | 6.1675896E-6 | 6.2167244E-5 | 10.079666 | 5.6E-5 | 8.882289E-5 | 7.5087846E-5 | 1.4708244E-4 | 1.9588048 | 7.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.721225E-7 | 2.2728702E-7 | 1.2227284E-5 | 53.79667 | 1.2E-5 | 1.1662388E-6 | 9.740869E-7 | 1.2974076E-5 | 13.319218 | 1.2E-5 | 1.4198865E-5 | 1.1859446E-5 | 2.585928E-5 | 2.1804795 | 1.4E-5 |
| 8.0 | 9.364255E-9 | 5.22955E-9 | 5.22955E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0132523E-8 | 2.2412358E-8 | 2.2412358E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8861335E-7 | 2.7287044E-7 | 2.7287044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bicycle Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2238468E-5 | 4.342293E-4 | 19.526043 | 4.12E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.530501E-5 | 6.612511E-4 | 6.9382615 | 5.66E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011598576 | 0.0020867812 | 1.7991703 | 9.28E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.9621975E-5 | 2.2238468E-5 | 4.342293E-4 | 19.526043 | 4.12E-4 | 8.4091465E-5 | 9.530501E-5 | 6.612511E-4 | 6.9382615 | 5.66E-4 | 0.0010233327 | 0.0011598576 | 0.0020867812 | 1.7991703 | 9.28E-4 |
| 6.2 | 9.9971285E-6 | 1.1327482E-5 | 2.213251E-4 | 19.538773 | 2.1E-4 | 4.2844134E-5 | 4.8545746E-5 | 3.3853165E-4 | 6.973457 | 2.9E-4 | 5.2150246E-4 | 5.909368E-4 | 0.0010886425 | 1.8422316 | 4.98E-4 |
| 6.3 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.08673685E-5 | 2.1686513E-4 | 19.955624 | 2.06E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6573903E-5 | 3.2656087E-4 | 7.0116706 | 2.8E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6694227E-4 | 0.0010406736 | 1.83559 | 4.74E-4 |
| 6.4 | 9.589428E-6 | 1.08673685E-5 | 2.1686513E-4 | 19.955624 | 2.06E-4 | 4.10969E-5 | 4.6573903E-5 | 3.2656087E-4 | 7.0116706 | 2.8E-4 | 5.002399E-4 | 5.6694227E-4 | 0.0010406736 | 1.83559 | 4.74E-4 |
| 6.5 | 5.557707E-6 | 6.3273415E-6 | 1.3632652E-4 | 21.545624 | 1.3E-4 | 2.3818526E-5 | 2.711705E-5 | 1.9911239E-4 | 7.342701 | 1.72E-4 | 2.8995197E-4 | 3.301273E-4 | 6.1403355E-4 | 1.8599902 | 2.84E-4 |
| 6.6 | 4.8742945E-6 | 5.5499363E-6 | 1.1554932E-4 | 20.819937 | 1.1E-4 | 2.0889667E-5 | 2.3785375E-5 | 1.7378181E-4 | 7.3062463 | 1.5E-4 | 2.54302E-4 | 2.89575E-4 | 5.355038E-4 | 1.8492749 | 2.46E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.991108E-6 | 4.5460188E-6 | 9.65456E-5 | 21.237394 | 9.2E-5 | 1.7104636E-5 | 1.9482939E-5 | 1.394806E-4 | 7.1591153 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0822904E-4 | 2.3720477E-4 | 4.4715495E-4 | 1.885101 | 2.1E-4 |
Clamshell-Sawpit
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.202998E-6 | 3.020765E-6 | 4.7501933E-4 | 157.25134 | 4.72E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2946076E-5 | 6.2293815E-4 | 48.117916 | 6.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5760788E-4 | 0.0011234556 | 7.128169 | 9.66E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.202998E-6 | 3.020765E-6 | 4.7501933E-4 | 157.25134 | 4.72E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2946076E-5 | 6.2293815E-4 | 48.117916 | 6.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5760788E-4 | 0.0011234556 | 7.128169 | 9.66E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.202998E-6 | 3.020765E-6 | 4.7501933E-4 | 157.25134 | 4.72E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2946076E-5 | 6.2293815E-4 | 48.117916 | 6.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5760788E-4 | 0.0011234556 | 7.128169 | 9.66E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.202998E-6 | 3.020765E-6 | 4.7501933E-4 | 157.25134 | 4.72E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2946076E-5 | 6.2293815E-4 | 48.117916 | 6.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5760788E-4 | 0.0011234556 | 7.128169 | 9.66E-4 |
| 6.4 | 3.202998E-6 | 3.020765E-6 | 4.7501933E-4 | 157.25134 | 4.72E-4 | 1.3727062E-5 | 1.2946076E-5 | 6.2293815E-4 | 48.117916 | 6.1E-4 | 1.6711417E-4 | 1.5760788E-4 | 0.0011234556 | 7.128169 | 9.66E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3879866E-6 | 2.8038732E-4 | 117.41578 | 2.78E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.023419E-5 | 3.6623055E-4 | 35.785004 | 3.56E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2459444E-4 | 6.9852296E-4 | 5.606373 | 5.74E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3879866E-6 | 2.8038732E-4 | 117.41578 | 2.78E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.023419E-5 | 3.6623055E-4 | 35.785004 | 3.56E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2459444E-4 | 6.9852296E-4 | 5.606373 | 5.74E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.5862723E-6 | 2.3879866E-6 | 2.8038732E-4 | 117.41578 | 2.78E-4 | 1.1083977E-5 | 1.023419E-5 | 3.6623055E-4 | 35.785004 | 3.56E-4 | 1.3493907E-4 | 1.2459444E-4 | 6.9852296E-4 | 5.606373 | 5.74E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.4098806E-6 | 2.2045942E-6 | 2.4420407E-4 | 110.77053 | 2.42E-4 | 1.0328019E-5 | 9.4482275E-6 | 3.214453E-4 | 34.021755 | 3.12E-4 | 1.2573638E-4 | 1.1502637E-4 | 6.209682E-4 | 5.398485 | 5.06E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.0073985E-6 | 1.7844033E-6 | 1.8778407E-4 | 105.23634 | 1.86E-4 | 8.603109E-6 | 7.647421E-6 | 2.4364561E-4 | 31.859842 | 2.36E-4 | 1.0473781E-4 | 9.310349E-5 | 4.5906942E-4 | 4.930743 | 3.66E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.8166766E-6 | 1.586322E-6 | 1.5358608E-4 | 96.81898 | 1.52E-4 | 7.785734E-6 | 6.7985056E-6 | 2.0279718E-4 | 29.829668 | 1.96E-4 | 9.478718E-5 | 8.276877E-5 | 3.8274392E-4 | 4.6242557 | 3.0E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.5471421E-6 | 1.3102034E-6 | 1.2331005E-4 | 94.11519 | 1.22E-4 | 6.6305925E-6 | 5.6151457E-6 | 1.6361426E-4 | 29.138025 | 1.58E-4 | 8.072447E-5 | 6.836231E-5 | 3.023463E-4 | 4.4227047 | 2.34E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.3608037E-6 | 1.1197693E-6 | 9.7119664E-5 | 86.73185 | 9.6E-5 | 5.8320024E-6 | 4.799003E-6 | 1.20798446E-4 | 25.171572 | 1.16E-4 | 7.1002316E-5 | 5.842634E-5 | 2.3241618E-4 | 3.9779348 | 1.74E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.0749634E-6 | 8.4207545E-7 | 5.684203E-5 | 67.5023 | 5.6E-5 | 4.6069777E-6 | 3.6088898E-6 | 7.160864E-5 | 19.84229 | 6.8E-5 | 5.608851E-5 | 4.3937376E-5 | 1.5193263E-4 | 3.4579358 | 1.08E-4 |
| 7.4 | 8.416856E-7 | 6.2302524E-7 | 2.8623008E-5 | 45.94197 | 2.8E-5 | 3.607219E-6 | 2.6701055E-6 | 3.867001E-5 | 14.482577 | 3.6E-5 | 4.3917007E-5 | 3.250807E-5 | 9.450605E-5 | 2.9071567 | 6.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 6.2779594E-7 | 4.5224465E-7 | 1.8452236E-5 | 40.80145 | 1.8E-5 | 2.6905511E-6 | 1.93819E-6 | 2.3938148E-5 | 12.350775 | 2.2E-5 | 3.275697E-5 | 2.3597226E-5 | 5.7596422E-5 | 2.4408133 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 4.3822078E-7 | 3.0749024E-7 | 1.2307487E-5 | 40.025616 | 1.2E-5 | 1.8780877E-6 | 1.3178147E-6 | 1.7317794E-5 | 13.141296 | 1.6E-5 | 2.2865479E-5 | 1.6044292E-5 | 4.2043874E-5 | 2.620488 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 1.8704569E-7 | 1.133799E-7 | 2.1133797E-6 | 18.63981 | 2.0E-6 | 8.0162414E-7 | 4.8591374E-7 | 4.4859116E-6 | 9.23191 | 4.0E-6 | 9.75973E-6 | 5.9159843E-6 | 1.5915924E-5 | 2.6903257 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.5378733E-8 | 2.2055776E-8 | 2.2055776E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5162313E-7 | 9.4524744E-8 | 9.4524744E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.84601E-6 | 1.1508382E-6 | 1.1508382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 7.504945E-9 | 5.2513074E-9 | 5.2513074E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2164053E-8 | 2.2505604E-8 | 2.2505604E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9159727E-7 | 2.7400569E-7 | 2.7400569E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.6554036E-10 | 1.4194712E-10 | 1.4194712E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0945894E-10 | 6.0834515E-10 | 6.0834515E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.637662E-9 | 7.406602E-9 | 7.406602E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ventura-Pitas Point
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.401975E-5 | 4.4200587E-4 | 12.992624 | 4.08E-4 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4579226E-4 | 7.1970857E-4 | 4.936535 | 5.74E-4 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017738364 | 0.0026582647 | 1.4985963 | 8.86E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.401975E-5 | 4.4200587E-4 | 12.992624 | 4.08E-4 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4579226E-4 | 7.1970857E-4 | 4.936535 | 5.74E-4 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017738364 | 0.0026582647 | 1.4985963 | 8.86E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.401975E-5 | 4.4200587E-4 | 12.992624 | 4.08E-4 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4579226E-4 | 7.1970857E-4 | 4.936535 | 5.74E-4 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017738364 | 0.0026582647 | 1.4985963 | 8.86E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.3179622E-5 | 3.401975E-5 | 4.4200587E-4 | 12.992624 | 4.08E-4 | 1.4219063E-4 | 1.4579226E-4 | 7.1970857E-4 | 4.936535 | 5.74E-4 | 0.0017297962 | 0.0017738364 | 0.0026582647 | 1.4985963 | 8.86E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.716905E-5 | 2.691647E-4 | 15.677321 | 2.52E-4 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.35797E-5 | 4.2355395E-4 | 5.756397 | 3.5E-4 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.954881E-4 | 0.0014429974 | 1.6114088 | 5.48E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.8754668E-5 | 1.716905E-5 | 2.691647E-4 | 15.677321 | 2.52E-4 | 8.037467E-5 | 7.35797E-5 | 4.2355395E-4 | 5.756397 | 3.5E-4 | 9.781223E-4 | 8.954881E-4 | 0.0014429974 | 1.6114088 | 5.48E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2243225E-5 | 2.0424087E-4 | 16.681952 | 1.92E-4 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.246992E-5 | 3.1445618E-4 | 5.993075 | 2.62E-4 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.386364E-4 | 0.0010463758 | 1.6384531 | 4.08E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.4361558E-5 | 1.2243225E-5 | 2.0424087E-4 | 16.681952 | 1.92E-4 | 6.154808E-5 | 5.246992E-5 | 3.1445618E-4 | 5.993075 | 2.62E-4 | 7.490902E-4 | 6.386364E-4 | 0.0010463758 | 1.6384531 | 4.08E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.3663846E-5 | 1.146084E-5 | 1.9545874E-4 | 17.054485 | 1.84E-4 | 5.8558027E-5 | 4.911697E-5 | 2.991047E-4 | 6.08964 | 2.5E-4 | 7.127108E-4 | 5.9783703E-4 | 9.816075E-4 | 1.6419315 | 3.84E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.3644157E-5 | 1.1438816E-5 | 1.9343673E-4 | 16.910555 | 1.82E-4 | 5.8473648E-5 | 4.9022587E-5 | 2.9701044E-4 | 6.058645 | 2.48E-4 | 7.116841E-4 | 5.9668854E-4 | 9.784605E-4 | 1.639818 | 3.82E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.3568845E-5 | 1.13576025E-5 | 1.9335553E-4 | 17.024326 | 1.82E-4 | 5.8150898E-5 | 4.8674545E-5 | 2.9666247E-4 | 6.0948176 | 2.48E-4 | 7.077572E-4 | 5.924534E-4 | 9.742271E-4 | 1.6443944 | 3.82E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.306572E-5 | 1.0830155E-5 | 1.828283E-4 | 16.88141 | 1.72E-4 | 5.599474E-5 | 4.6414134E-5 | 2.8040327E-4 | 6.0413337 | 2.34E-4 | 6.815227E-4 | 5.649475E-4 | 9.287418E-4 | 1.6439437 | 3.64E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.232604E-5 | 1.0095198E-5 | 1.7009358E-4 | 16.848959 | 1.6E-4 | 5.2824813E-5 | 4.326443E-5 | 2.652548E-4 | 6.1310143 | 2.22E-4 | 6.429523E-4 | 5.266189E-4 | 8.7043777E-4 | 1.6528797 | 3.44E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.0917261E-5 | 8.926593E-6 | 1.4692536E-4 | 16.459288 | 1.38E-4 | 4.678742E-5 | 3.8256276E-5 | 2.3224886E-4 | 6.0708694 | 1.94E-4 | 5.69488E-4 | 4.656722E-4 | 7.7552785E-4 | 1.6653943 | 3.1E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.039959E-5 | 8.501015E-6 | 1.4049989E-4 | 16.527426 | 1.32E-4 | 4.456891E-5 | 3.6432422E-5 | 2.2442557E-4 | 6.160051 | 1.88E-4 | 5.424914E-4 | 4.4347602E-4 | 7.413439E-4 | 1.6716661 | 2.98E-4 |
| 7.5 | 9.015877E-6 | 7.3591623E-6 | 1.2935826E-4 | 17.577852 | 1.22E-4 | 3.86389E-5 | 3.1538893E-5 | 2.0353346E-4 | 6.453412 | 1.72E-4 | 4.7032707E-4 | 3.839198E-4 | 6.498177E-4 | 1.692587 | 2.66E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.900162E-6 | 3.895294E-6 | 8.3894985E-5 | 21.537523 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1000526E-5 | 1.669401E-5 | 1.306921E-4 | 7.828683 | 1.14E-4 | 2.556514E-4 | 2.0323074E-4 | 3.7919497E-4 | 1.8658347 | 1.76E-4 |
| 7.7 | 3.8850626E-6 | 3.1423856E-6 | 6.914218E-5 | 22.003084 | 6.6E-5 | 1.6650163E-5 | 1.3467298E-5 | 1.0546606E-4 | 7.8312707 | 9.2E-5 | 2.0269687E-4 | 1.639521E-4 | 2.9793015E-4 | 1.8171779 | 1.34E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.4654719E-6 | 2.0395503E-6 | 4.003947E-5 | 19.63152 | 3.8E-5 | 1.0566265E-5 | 8.740901E-6 | 6.6740395E-5 | 7.6354136 | 5.8E-5 | 1.2863669E-4 | 1.0641532E-4 | 1.8240724E-4 | 1.7141069 | 7.6E-5 |
| 7.9 | 4.095894E-7 | 3.2913812E-7 | 2.3291375E-6 | 7.0764747 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7553821E-6 | 1.4105912E-6 | 5.4105853E-6 | 3.8356864 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1371567E-5 | 1.7173816E-5 | 2.5173678E-5 | 1.4658175 | 8.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.7172933E-9 | 5.7172933E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4502686E-8 | 2.4502686E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9832017E-7 | 2.9832017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlock (West)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.2417285E-5 | 4.964113E-4 | 39.97744 | 4.84E-4 | 1.0400023E-4 | 5.3215863E-5 | 6.691831E-4 | 12.57488 | 6.16E-4 | 0.0012654673 | 6.47713E-4 | 0.0015931003 | 2.4595773 | 9.46E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.2417285E-5 | 4.964113E-4 | 39.97744 | 4.84E-4 | 1.0400023E-4 | 5.3215863E-5 | 6.691831E-4 | 12.57488 | 6.16E-4 | 0.0012654673 | 6.47713E-4 | 0.0015931003 | 2.4595773 | 9.46E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.4267689E-5 | 1.2417285E-5 | 4.964113E-4 | 39.97744 | 4.84E-4 | 1.0400023E-4 | 5.3215863E-5 | 6.691831E-4 | 12.57488 | 6.16E-4 | 0.0012654673 | 6.47713E-4 | 0.0015931003 | 2.4595773 | 9.46E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.4170902E-5 | 1.2417285E-5 | 4.964113E-4 | 39.97744 | 4.84E-4 | 1.03585466E-4 | 5.3215863E-5 | 6.691831E-4 | 12.57488 | 6.16E-4 | 0.0012604233 | 6.47713E-4 | 0.0015931003 | 2.4595773 | 9.46E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.2870605E-5 | 1.2124128E-5 | 4.8611837E-4 | 40.09512 | 4.74E-4 | 9.8013195E-5 | 5.195953E-5 | 6.5792806E-4 | 12.662317 | 6.06E-4 | 0.0011926574 | 6.32426E-4 | 0.0015618379 | 2.4695978 | 9.3E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.2672486E-5 | 1.2013068E-5 | 4.8200742E-4 | 40.123592 | 4.7E-4 | 9.716418E-5 | 5.1483574E-5 | 6.514527E-4 | 12.653603 | 6.0E-4 | 0.0011823318 | 6.266346E-4 | 0.0015500556 | 2.4736195 | 9.24E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.1276646E-5 | 1.0797463E-5 | 4.5679265E-4 | 42.305553 | 4.46E-4 | 9.118244E-5 | 4.627403E-5 | 6.1224785E-4 | 13.230917 | 5.66E-4 | 0.0011095807 | 5.632426E-4 | 0.001410765 | 2.50472 | 8.48E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.9706355E-5 | 9.4400975E-6 | 4.1543625E-4 | 44.007626 | 4.06E-4 | 8.445307E-5 | 4.045694E-5 | 5.504363E-4 | 13.605485 | 5.1E-4 | 0.0010277311 | 4.924532E-4 | 0.0012440829 | 2.5262966 | 7.52E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.8744462E-5 | 8.935589E-6 | 3.9293215E-4 | 43.97384 | 3.84E-4 | 8.033094E-5 | 3.8294827E-5 | 5.202764E-4 | 13.586074 | 4.82E-4 | 9.775903E-4 | 4.66141E-4 | 0.0011778091 | 2.5267227 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.7559682E-5 | 7.968877E-6 | 3.539661E-4 | 44.418568 | 3.46E-4 | 7.5253614E-5 | 3.415189E-5 | 4.70137E-4 | 13.766061 | 4.36E-4 | 9.158276E-4 | 4.1572092E-4 | 0.0010634515 | 2.55809 | 6.48E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.6794445E-5 | 7.2234143E-6 | 3.252211E-4 | 45.023186 | 3.18E-4 | 7.197421E-5 | 3.0957126E-5 | 4.349446E-4 | 14.049903 | 4.04E-4 | 8.759337E-4 | 3.7683875E-4 | 9.806112E-4 | 2.6022036 | 6.04E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.6337795E-5 | 6.7145975E-6 | 3.1071255E-4 | 46.27419 | 3.04E-4 | 7.0017246E-5 | 2.8776534E-5 | 4.1276548E-4 | 14.3438225 | 3.84E-4 | 8.521265E-4 | 3.5029885E-4 | 9.180999E-4 | 2.6209047 | 5.68E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.5780008E-5 | 6.1674687E-6 | 2.8816573E-4 | 46.723503 | 2.82E-4 | 6.762685E-5 | 2.6431744E-5 | 3.8442228E-4 | 14.543962 | 3.58E-4 | 8.2304585E-4 | 3.217598E-4 | 8.55588E-4 | 2.659089 | 5.34E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.5058865E-5 | 5.6573786E-6 | 2.6165592E-4 | 46.250385 | 2.56E-4 | 6.45364E-5 | 2.4245686E-5 | 3.502378E-4 | 14.445365 | 3.26E-4 | 7.854473E-4 | 2.95152E-4 | 7.910056E-4 | 2.679994 | 4.96E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.4887923E-5 | 5.5150927E-6 | 2.595137E-4 | 47.055183 | 2.54E-4 | 6.380382E-5 | 2.3635901E-5 | 3.456283E-4 | 14.623021 | 3.22E-4 | 7.7653467E-4 | 2.8772984E-4 | 7.7558943E-4 | 2.6955473 | 4.88E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.4509299E-5 | 5.1351935E-6 | 2.5113393E-4 | 48.904472 | 2.46E-4 | 6.218123E-5 | 2.200779E-5 | 3.340009E-4 | 15.176486 | 3.12E-4 | 7.567935E-4 | 2.6791263E-4 | 7.4578455E-4 | 2.7836857 | 4.78E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.2756717E-5 | 3.4558416E-6 | 2.0345514E-4 | 58.87282 | 2.0E-4 | 5.4670498E-5 | 1.4810667E-5 | 2.688069E-4 | 18.149548 | 2.54E-4 | 6.6541E-4 | 1.803052E-4 | 5.702349E-4 | 3.162609 | 3.9E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.0328985E-5 | 1.5011525E-6 | 1.5550092E-4 | 103.58769 | 1.54E-4 | 4.4266326E-5 | 6.4334954E-6 | 1.9643227E-4 | 30.532745 | 1.9E-4 | 5.388092E-4 | 7.832506E-5 | 3.5430343E-4 | 4.5235004 | 2.76E-4 |
| 7.8 | 7.0306583E-6 | 3.6798997E-7 | 7.036796E-5 | 191.2225 | 7.0E-5 | 3.0131043E-5 | 1.5770989E-6 | 8.757696E-5 | 55.53042 | 8.6E-5 | 3.667837E-4 | 1.9201014E-5 | 1.4319863E-4 | 7.457868 | 1.24E-4 |
| 7.9 | 4.060633E-6 | 1.6960455E-7 | 5.2169595E-5 | 307.5955 | 5.2E-5 | 1.7402595E-5 | 7.268764E-7 | 6.272683E-5 | 86.29642 | 6.2E-5 | 2.11856E-4 | 8.849685E-6 | 9.6848904E-5 | 10.9437685 | 8.8E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.6729537E-6 | 1.1513755E-7 | 2.0115136E-5 | 174.70525 | 2.0E-5 | 7.169782E-6 | 4.934466E-7 | 2.8493432E-5 | 57.743706 | 2.8E-5 | 8.7288594E-5 | 6.007696E-6 | 4.8007445E-5 | 7.990991 | 4.2E-5 |
| 8.1 | 3.6733252E-7 | 4.5545573E-8 | 2.0455454E-6 | 44.91206 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5742813E-6 | 1.951953E-7 | 8.195194E-6 | 41.984585 | 8.0E-6 | 1.9166706E-5 | 2.3765006E-6 | 1.6376467E-5 | 6.8910007 | 1.4E-5 |
San Gabriel
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2528264E-5 | 4.965222E-4 | 39.63216 | 4.84E-4 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.369152E-5 | 6.77658E-4 | 12.621323 | 6.24E-4 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.535097E-4 | 0.0015849007 | 2.4252136 | 9.32E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2528264E-5 | 4.965222E-4 | 39.63216 | 4.84E-4 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.369152E-5 | 6.77658E-4 | 12.621323 | 6.24E-4 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.535097E-4 | 0.0015849007 | 2.4252136 | 9.32E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2528264E-5 | 4.965222E-4 | 39.63216 | 4.84E-4 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.369152E-5 | 6.77658E-4 | 12.621323 | 6.24E-4 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.535097E-4 | 0.0015849007 | 2.4252136 | 9.32E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2528264E-5 | 4.965222E-4 | 39.63216 | 4.84E-4 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.369152E-5 | 6.77658E-4 | 12.621323 | 6.24E-4 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.535097E-4 | 0.0015849007 | 2.4252136 | 9.32E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.083775E-5 | 1.2528264E-5 | 4.965222E-4 | 39.63216 | 4.84E-4 | 4.6446676E-5 | 5.369152E-5 | 6.77658E-4 | 12.621323 | 6.24E-4 | 5.653415E-4 | 6.535097E-4 | 0.0015849007 | 2.4252136 | 9.32E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.7317824E-6 | 8.251501E-6 | 2.4624955E-4 | 29.843 | 2.38E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.53631E-5 | 3.5135192E-4 | 9.935552 | 3.16E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.3046186E-4 | 9.0025953E-4 | 2.0913806 | 4.7E-4 |
| 6.6 | 6.7317824E-6 | 8.251501E-6 | 2.4624955E-4 | 29.843 | 2.38E-4 | 2.8850178E-5 | 3.53631E-5 | 3.5135192E-4 | 9.935552 | 3.16E-4 | 3.511943E-4 | 4.3046186E-4 | 9.0025953E-4 | 2.0913806 | 4.7E-4 |
| 6.7 | 6.274881E-6 | 7.779683E-6 | 2.1577807E-4 | 27.736101 | 2.08E-4 | 2.6892068E-5 | 3.334108E-5 | 3.1133182E-4 | 9.337785 | 2.78E-4 | 3.2736175E-4 | 4.058531E-4 | 8.176859E-4 | 2.0147336 | 4.12E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.996209E-6 | 7.4919553E-6 | 1.9749053E-4 | 26.360346 | 1.9E-4 | 2.5697784E-5 | 3.210799E-5 | 2.8809978E-4 | 8.972837 | 2.56E-4 | 3.128256E-4 | 3.9084573E-4 | 7.7669485E-4 | 1.987216 | 3.86E-4 |
| 6.9 | 5.686331E-6 | 7.156942E-6 | 1.811557E-4 | 25.311886 | 1.74E-4 | 2.4369761E-5 | 3.0672254E-5 | 2.66665E-4 | 8.694015 | 2.36E-4 | 2.9666146E-4 | 3.7337173E-4 | 7.212418E-4 | 1.931699 | 3.48E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.2329838E-6 | 6.680049E-6 | 1.6867896E-4 | 25.251158 | 1.62E-4 | 2.242688E-5 | 2.8628472E-5 | 2.506221E-4 | 8.754296 | 2.22E-4 | 2.7301308E-4 | 3.4849677E-4 | 6.6838524E-4 | 1.9179094 | 3.2E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.135671E-6 | 6.5701665E-6 | 1.6456912E-4 | 25.04794 | 1.58E-4 | 2.2009834E-5 | 2.8157558E-5 | 2.4215154E-4 | 8.599877 | 2.14E-4 | 2.6793676E-4 | 3.427652E-4 | 6.4866035E-4 | 1.8924334 | 3.06E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.989062E-6 | 6.4037486E-6 | 1.5640279E-4 | 24.42363 | 1.5E-4 | 2.1381518E-5 | 2.7444354E-5 | 2.2943881E-4 | 8.3601465 | 2.02E-4 | 2.6028889E-4 | 3.3408465E-4 | 6.259871E-4 | 1.873738 | 2.92E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.8219395E-6 | 6.2349154E-6 | 1.4423406E-4 | 23.133282 | 1.38E-4 | 2.0665291E-5 | 2.6720798E-5 | 2.1271582E-4 | 7.960684 | 1.86E-4 | 2.5157086E-4 | 3.2527803E-4 | 5.8919215E-4 | 1.8113494 | 2.64E-4 |
| 7.4 | 4.7118383E-6 | 6.1225905E-6 | 1.3212182E-4 | 21.5794 | 1.26E-4 | 2.0193436E-5 | 2.6239415E-5 | 1.9623495E-4 | 7.478633 | 1.7E-4 | 2.4582737E-4 | 3.194189E-4 | 5.6334096E-4 | 1.7636431 | 2.44E-4 |
| 7.5 | 4.5506545E-6 | 5.9661293E-6 | 1.2396542E-4 | 20.7782 | 1.18E-4 | 1.9502659E-5 | 2.556888E-5 | 1.8356484E-4 | 7.179229 | 1.58E-4 | 2.37419E-4 | 3.1125752E-4 | 5.351878E-4 | 1.7194374 | 2.24E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.343636E-6 | 5.7546104E-6 | 1.09754015E-4 | 19.072361 | 1.04E-4 | 1.861545E-5 | 2.4662388E-5 | 1.5665914E-4 | 6.3521476 | 1.32E-4 | 2.2661954E-4 | 3.0022408E-4 | 4.9616524E-4 | 1.6526498 | 1.96E-4 |
| 7.7 | 2.936235E-6 | 3.0989404E-6 | 8.509868E-5 | 27.460577 | 8.2E-5 | 1.2583803E-5 | 1.3281106E-5 | 1.1727973E-4 | 8.830569 | 1.04E-4 | 1.5319703E-4 | 1.616855E-4 | 3.0566222E-4 | 1.8904738 | 1.44E-4 |
| 7.8 | 1.4541639E-6 | 1.0622782E-6 | 1.3062266E-5 | 12.296463 | 1.2E-5 | 6.232116E-6 | 4.552613E-6 | 2.2552531E-5 | 4.9537554 | 1.8E-5 | 7.587337E-5 | 5.542666E-5 | 8.142521E-5 | 1.4690623 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.9 | 8.098958E-7 | 3.0604147E-7 | 2.3060409E-6 | 7.5350604 | 2.0E-6 | 3.4709774E-6 | 1.3116055E-6 | 3.311603E-6 | 2.5248468 | 2.0E-6 | 4.225833E-5 | 1.596868E-5 | 1.7968649E-5 | 1.1252432 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 5.2473234E-7 | 1.1030904E-7 | 2.1103087E-6 | 19.130878 | 2.0E-6 | 2.248851E-6 | 4.7275293E-7 | 2.472752E-6 | 5.2305374 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7379416E-5 | 5.7557518E-6 | 7.755741E-6 | 1.3474765 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 3.3162388E-7 | 6.089984E-8 | 2.0608998E-6 | 33.840805 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4212444E-6 | 2.6099931E-7 | 2.2609988E-6 | 8.662853 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7303513E-5 | 3.177662E-6 | 5.1776556E-6 | 1.6293916 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.2 | 1.0235345E-7 | 2.0227695E-8 | 2.0227695E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3865757E-7 | 8.669012E-8 | 8.669012E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.340643E-6 | 1.0554517E-6 | 1.0554517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson-Copper Mtn 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.1364202E-5 | 1.0066219E-5 | 4.2806202E-4 | 42.52461 | 4.18E-4 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.3140277E-5 | 6.3111493E-4 | 14.629367 | 5.88E-4 | 0.0011141442 | 5.251152E-4 | 0.0014566258 | 2.7739167 | 9.32E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.1364202E-5 | 1.0066219E-5 | 4.2806202E-4 | 42.52461 | 4.18E-4 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.3140277E-5 | 6.3111493E-4 | 14.629367 | 5.88E-4 | 0.0011141442 | 5.251152E-4 | 0.0014566258 | 2.7739167 | 9.32E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.1364202E-5 | 1.0066219E-5 | 4.2806202E-4 | 42.52461 | 4.18E-4 | 9.1557646E-5 | 4.3140277E-5 | 6.3111493E-4 | 14.629367 | 5.88E-4 | 0.0011141442 | 5.251152E-4 | 0.0014566258 | 2.7739167 | 9.32E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.177758E-6 | 3.1217528E-4 | 38.1737 | 3.04E-4 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.50471E-5 | 4.4903258E-4 | 12.812262 | 4.14E-4 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2662132E-4 | 0.0010743449 | 2.5182633 | 6.48E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.7751237E-5 | 8.177758E-6 | 3.1217528E-4 | 38.1737 | 3.04E-4 | 7.607452E-5 | 3.50471E-5 | 4.4903258E-4 | 12.812262 | 4.14E-4 | 9.258136E-4 | 4.2662132E-4 | 0.0010743449 | 2.5182633 | 6.48E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6839602E-6 | 2.386824E-4 | 35.70973 | 2.32E-4 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8645256E-5 | 3.3863637E-4 | 11.821726 | 3.1E-4 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4870504E-4 | 8.3053694E-4 | 2.3817751 | 4.82E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.5886664E-5 | 6.6839602E-6 | 2.386824E-4 | 35.70973 | 2.32E-4 | 6.808392E-5 | 2.8645256E-5 | 3.3863637E-4 | 11.821726 | 3.1E-4 | 8.286065E-4 | 3.4870504E-4 | 8.3053694E-4 | 2.3817751 | 4.82E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.428471E-5 | 5.544392E-6 | 1.8754338E-4 | 33.82578 | 1.82E-4 | 6.121875E-5 | 2.3761488E-5 | 2.717556E-4 | 11.43681 | 2.48E-4 | 7.450834E-4 | 2.8926178E-4 | 6.7714957E-4 | 2.3409574 | 3.88E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.3490684E-5 | 5.14535E-6 | 1.6314453E-4 | 31.707182 | 1.58E-4 | 5.7815934E-5 | 2.2051336E-5 | 2.3804657E-4 | 10.79511 | 2.16E-4 | 7.0368167E-4 | 2.6844593E-4 | 6.0435577E-4 | 2.2513127 | 3.36E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.2235421E-5 | 4.354838E-6 | 1.3635427E-4 | 31.310984 | 1.32E-4 | 5.2436466E-5 | 1.8663479E-5 | 2.0266004E-4 | 10.858643 | 1.84E-4 | 6.38227E-4 | 2.2720791E-4 | 5.1514246E-4 | 2.2672734 | 2.88E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.1009851E-5 | 3.7774907E-6 | 1.2177705E-4 | 32.23755 | 1.18E-4 | 4.7184225E-5 | 1.6189166E-5 | 1.8018651E-4 | 11.130068 | 1.64E-4 | 5.743165E-4 | 1.9708886E-4 | 4.530384E-4 | 2.2986505 | 2.56E-4 |
| 7.1 | 9.726373E-6 | 3.2621717E-6 | 1.03261846E-4 | 31.654325 | 1.0E-4 | 4.168379E-5 | 1.3980681E-5 | 1.5397872E-4 | 11.013679 | 1.4E-4 | 5.07382E-4 | 1.70205E-4 | 3.8816791E-4 | 2.2805903 | 2.18E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.9335127E-6 | 1.1663939E-6 | 3.7166352E-5 | 31.864325 | 3.6E-5 | 1.6857803E-5 | 4.9988216E-6 | 5.699856E-5 | 11.4024 | 5.2E-5 | 2.0522442E-4 | 6.0859016E-5 | 1.3885427E-4 | 2.2815728 | 7.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.661632E-6 | 7.000292E-7 | 2.2700015E-5 | 32.42724 | 2.2E-5 | 1.14069435E-5 | 3.0001218E-6 | 3.1000036E-5 | 10.332927 | 2.8E-5 | 1.3887069E-4 | 3.652588E-5 | 7.652442E-5 | 2.095074 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.533401E-7 | 1.855333E-5 | 33.529705 | 1.8E-5 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3714556E-6 | 2.4371404E-5 | 10.276981 | 2.2E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8872093E-5 | 6.087117E-5 | 2.1083047 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6471184E-7 | 1.0364708E-5 | 28.418898 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5630498E-6 | 1.3563031E-5 | 8.677287 | 1.2E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.902997E-5 | 4.102955E-5 | 2.1560493 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.209073E-8 | 2.0720906E-6 | 28.742817 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.089602E-7 | 2.3089597E-6 | 7.4733233 | 2.0E-6 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.761586E-6 | 5.7615784E-6 | 1.5316887 | 2.0E-6 |
Santa Ynez (West)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.474572E-5 | 3.6472874E-4 | 6.662233 | 3.1E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3460454E-4 | 6.625041E-4 | 2.8239186 | 4.28E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028528403 | 0.0036206436 | 1.2691364 | 7.7E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.7352758E-5 | 5.474572E-5 | 3.6472874E-4 | 6.662233 | 3.1E-4 | 2.0292461E-4 | 2.3460454E-4 | 6.625041E-4 | 2.8239186 | 4.28E-4 | 0.0024678076 | 0.0028528403 | 0.0036206436 | 1.2691364 | 7.7E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3934593E-5 | 2.5392714E-4 | 7.4828396 | 2.2E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4542608E-4 | 4.5738072E-4 | 3.1451077 | 3.12E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017691603 | 0.002330166 | 1.3171028 | 5.62E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.0415853E-5 | 3.3934593E-5 | 2.5392714E-4 | 7.4828396 | 2.2E-4 | 1.3034715E-4 | 1.4542608E-4 | 4.5738072E-4 | 3.1451077 | 3.12E-4 | 0.0015858212 | 0.0017691603 | 0.002330166 | 1.3171028 | 5.62E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.5452082E-5 | 2.7959628E-5 | 2.2595409E-4 | 8.081441 | 1.98E-4 | 1.09075794E-4 | 1.1982158E-4 | 4.0378756E-4 | 3.3699067 | 2.84E-4 | 0.0013271887 | 0.0014578706 | 0.001963133 | 1.3465755 | 5.06E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.3143784E-5 | 2.5186719E-5 | 2.0718214E-4 | 8.225849 | 1.82E-4 | 9.9183875E-5 | 1.0793869E-4 | 3.7590976E-4 | 3.4826229 | 2.68E-4 | 0.0012068948 | 0.001313376 | 0.0017887508 | 1.3619487 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.9118515E-5 | 2.0418041E-5 | 1.7641486E-4 | 8.640145 | 1.56E-4 | 8.193392E-5 | 8.750301E-5 | 3.27482E-4 | 3.742523 | 2.4E-4 | 9.97089E-4 | 0.0010648364 | 0.0014803933 | 1.3902544 | 4.16E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.722807E-5 | 1.820966E-5 | 1.5820711E-4 | 8.688087 | 1.4E-4 | 7.3832496E-5 | 7.803909E-5 | 2.920224E-4 | 3.7420013 | 2.14E-4 | 8.985399E-4 | 9.497174E-4 | 0.0013273584 | 1.3976351 | 3.78E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.5317364E-5 | 1.598856E-5 | 1.4798644E-4 | 9.255771 | 1.32E-4 | 6.56442E-5 | 6.8520625E-5 | 2.7250664E-4 | 3.977002 | 2.04E-4 | 7.98925E-4 | 8.3392364E-4 | 0.001191625 | 1.4289379 | 3.58E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.3071226E-5 | 1.3389919E-5 | 1.3138834E-4 | 9.812482 | 1.18E-4 | 5.6018336E-5 | 5.738412E-5 | 2.3537391E-4 | 4.1017256 | 1.78E-4 | 6.8180985E-4 | 6.9843E-4 | 0.0010022176 | 1.434958 | 3.04E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.1836986E-5 | 1.1990253E-5 | 1.1998896E-4 | 10.007208 | 1.08E-4 | 5.0728955E-5 | 5.1385796E-5 | 2.1937717E-4 | 4.269218 | 1.68E-4 | 6.1745E-4 | 6.2544417E-4 | 9.012716E-4 | 1.4410104 | 2.76E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.0597169E-5 | 1.0596929E-5 | 1.1459583E-4 | 10.814059 | 1.04E-4 | 4.541565E-5 | 4.541463E-5 | 2.0540736E-4 | 4.522934 | 1.6E-4 | 5.5279525E-4 | 5.5278395E-4 | 8.086425E-4 | 1.4628544 | 2.56E-4 |
| 7.2 | 9.59113E-6 | 9.510792E-6 | 1.0950984E-4 | 11.514272 | 1.0E-4 | 4.11042E-5 | 4.0759904E-5 | 1.9275371E-4 | 4.729003 | 1.52E-4 | 5.0032866E-4 | 4.961399E-4 | 7.340218E-4 | 1.4794654 | 2.38E-4 |
| 7.3 | 8.586084E-6 | 8.427885E-6 | 1.024271E-4 | 12.153356 | 9.4E-5 | 3.679698E-5 | 3.6119018E-5 | 1.8211374E-4 | 5.042046 | 1.46E-4 | 4.4791115E-4 | 4.3966135E-4 | 6.6356285E-4 | 1.509259 | 2.24E-4 |
| 7.4 | 7.2622997E-6 | 6.994881E-6 | 8.499434E-5 | 12.150934 | 7.8E-5 | 3.112377E-5 | 2.9977722E-5 | 1.5797389E-4 | 5.2697096 | 1.28E-4 | 3.78866E-4 | 3.6491864E-4 | 5.648456E-4 | 1.5478674 | 2.0E-4 |
| 7.5 | 5.627296E-6 | 5.2866894E-6 | 7.92863E-5 | 14.997344 | 7.4E-5 | 2.411676E-5 | 2.2657048E-5 | 1.3865442E-4 | 6.119704 | 1.16E-4 | 2.9358198E-4 | 2.7581537E-4 | 4.4576847E-4 | 1.6161844 | 1.7E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.265244E-6 | 2.068242E-6 | 2.6068192E-5 | 12.604033 | 2.4E-5 | 9.708152E-6 | 8.863865E-6 | 4.686353E-5 | 5.2870307 | 3.8E-5 | 1.18190335E-4 | 1.079123E-4 | 1.5990669E-4 | 1.4818208 | 5.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 1.3099874E-6 | 1.1057521E-6 | 1.9105732E-5 | 17.278496 | 1.8E-5 | 5.61422E-6 | 4.738929E-6 | 3.0738807E-5 | 6.486446 | 2.6E-5 | 6.8350986E-5 | 5.7694953E-5 | 8.569334E-5 | 1.485283 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.8 | 7.903951E-7 | 6.092246E-7 | 1.4609216E-5 | 23.980017 | 1.4E-5 | 3.3874032E-6 | 2.61096E-6 | 2.2610908E-5 | 8.659998 | 2.0E-5 | 4.1240855E-5 | 3.178799E-5 | 5.378729E-5 | 1.6920633 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 7.0753297E-9 | 5.1017053E-9 | 5.1017053E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.032284E-8 | 2.186445E-8 | 2.186445E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6918053E-7 | 2.6619966E-7 | 2.6619966E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Clemente
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.092221E-5 | 5.888811E-4 | 7.277126 | 5.08E-4 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4676652E-4 | 9.7454875E-4 | 2.8103888 | 6.28E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042142216 | 0.0051164036 | 1.2140803 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.1 | 6.681379E-5 | 8.092221E-5 | 5.888811E-4 | 7.277126 | 5.08E-4 | 2.8631336E-4 | 3.4676652E-4 | 9.7454875E-4 | 2.8103888 | 6.28E-4 | 0.003480294 | 0.0042142216 | 0.0051164036 | 1.2140803 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.9400576E-5 | 4.638522E-5 | 3.2037252E-4 | 6.90678 | 2.74E-4 | 1.6884868E-4 | 1.98779E-4 | 5.30713E-4 | 2.6698644 | 3.32E-4 | 0.0020537945 | 0.0024175057 | 0.0028724032 | 1.1881682 | 4.56E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.2590255E-5 | 3.7961312E-5 | 2.5595303E-4 | 6.7424707 | 2.18E-4 | 1.3966505E-4 | 1.6268138E-4 | 4.2463877E-4 | 2.610248 | 2.62E-4 | 0.0016990956 | 0.0019788775 | 0.002330181 | 1.1775266 | 3.52E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.9454652E-5 | 3.4152345E-5 | 2.2614578E-4 | 6.6216764 | 1.92E-4 | 1.2622811E-4 | 1.4635915E-4 | 3.803249E-4 | 2.598573 | 2.34E-4 | 0.0015357438 | 0.0017804926 | 0.0020879442 | 1.1726779 | 3.08E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.790836E-5 | 3.230571E-5 | 2.1029996E-4 | 6.509684 | 1.78E-4 | 1.1960178E-4 | 1.3844584E-4 | 3.5441594E-4 | 2.5599608 | 2.16E-4 | 0.001455179 | 0.0016843006 | 0.001969819 | 1.1695174 | 2.86E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.2492153E-5 | 2.5827661E-5 | 1.4982445E-4 | 5.8009305 | 1.24E-4 | 9.639138E-5 | 1.1068536E-4 | 2.6266853E-4 | 2.37311 | 1.52E-4 | 0.0011729331 | 0.001346776 | 0.0015505012 | 1.1512688 | 2.04E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.9862755E-5 | 2.2729388E-5 | 1.20727156E-4 | 5.311501 | 9.8E-5 | 8.512331E-5 | 9.740808E-5 | 2.2139601E-4 | 2.272871 | 1.24E-4 | 0.0010358836 | 0.0011853095 | 0.0013511127 | 1.1398818 | 1.66E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.6697575E-5 | 1.9034795E-5 | 8.70335E-5 | 4.572337 | 6.8E-5 | 7.155907E-5 | 8.157519E-5 | 1.7156785E-4 | 2.1031866 | 9.0E-5 | 8.7088346E-4 | 9.927348E-4 | 0.0011126157 | 1.1207582 | 1.2E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.5218415E-5 | 1.7322596E-5 | 6.932169E-5 | 4.0018077 | 5.2E-5 | 6.522015E-5 | 7.423763E-5 | 1.4423244E-4 | 1.942848 | 7.0E-5 | 7.93766E-4 | 9.0347725E-4 | 9.953941E-4 | 1.1017368 | 9.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.2392958E-5 | 1.4077503E-5 | 4.8077025E-5 | 3.415167 | 3.4E-5 | 5.3111595E-5 | 6.0330804E-5 | 1.0632803E-4 | 1.762417 | 4.6E-5 | 6.4644177E-4 | 7.342876E-4 | 7.942436E-4 | 1.0816518 | 6.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.0934128E-5 | 1.2414722E-5 | 3.84144E-5 | 3.0942616 | 2.6E-5 | 4.6859706E-5 | 5.320491E-5 | 8.920299E-5 | 1.6765933 | 3.6E-5 | 5.7036756E-4 | 6.475846E-4 | 6.935548E-4 | 1.0709872 | 4.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 9.5798805E-6 | 1.0879756E-5 | 3.4879493E-5 | 3.2059078 | 2.4E-5 | 4.1055984E-5 | 4.6626734E-5 | 8.062515E-5 | 1.7291614 | 3.4E-5 | 4.9974193E-4 | 5.675398E-4 | 6.09516E-4 | 1.0739616 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.3 | 8.0167365E-6 | 9.112994E-6 | 3.3112774E-5 | 3.633578 | 2.4E-5 | 3.4356988E-5 | 3.9055143E-5 | 7.1053895E-5 | 1.8193223 | 3.2E-5 | 4.1821605E-4 | 4.7539975E-4 | 5.153807E-4 | 1.0840998 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.9581017E-6 | 3.3723525E-6 | 7.372339E-6 | 2.1861117 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2677518E-5 | 1.4452888E-5 | 2.4452744E-5 | 1.6918932 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5433785E-4 | 1.7595477E-4 | 1.8995232E-4 | 1.0795519 | 1.4E-5 |
Sierra Madre (San Fernando)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.167262E-6 | 5.001642E-4 | 81.09988 | 4.94E-4 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.6430862E-5 | 6.6241407E-4 | 25.062143 | 6.36E-4 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.2174936E-4 | 0.0012274579 | 3.8149505 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.167262E-6 | 5.001642E-4 | 81.09988 | 4.94E-4 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.6430862E-5 | 6.6241407E-4 | 25.062143 | 6.36E-4 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.2174936E-4 | 0.0012274579 | 3.8149505 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.167262E-6 | 5.001642E-4 | 81.09988 | 4.94E-4 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.6430862E-5 | 6.6241407E-4 | 25.062143 | 6.36E-4 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.2174936E-4 | 0.0012274579 | 3.8149505 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.0346413E-5 | 6.167262E-6 | 5.001642E-4 | 81.09988 | 4.94E-4 | 4.4341014E-5 | 2.6430862E-5 | 6.6241407E-4 | 25.062143 | 6.36E-4 | 5.3971814E-4 | 3.2174936E-4 | 0.0012274579 | 3.8149505 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.167262E-6 | 5.001642E-4 | 81.09988 | 4.94E-4 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.6430862E-5 | 6.6241407E-4 | 25.062143 | 6.36E-4 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.2174936E-4 | 0.0012274579 | 3.8149505 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.0249558E-5 | 6.167262E-6 | 5.001642E-4 | 81.09988 | 4.94E-4 | 4.392594E-5 | 2.6430862E-5 | 6.6241407E-4 | 25.062143 | 6.36E-4 | 5.3466705E-4 | 3.2174936E-4 | 0.0012274579 | 3.8149505 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.6 | 9.9035515E-6 | 6.167262E-6 | 5.001642E-4 | 81.09988 | 4.94E-4 | 4.2443102E-5 | 2.6430862E-5 | 6.6241407E-4 | 25.062143 | 6.36E-4 | 5.166222E-4 | 3.2174936E-4 | 0.0012274579 | 3.8149505 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.7 | 9.87217E-6 | 6.154378E-6 | 5.0015136E-4 | 81.26757 | 4.94E-4 | 4.2308613E-5 | 2.6375645E-5 | 6.623589E-4 | 25.112518 | 6.36E-4 | 5.149856E-4 | 3.2107727E-4 | 0.0012267864 | 3.8208447 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.8 | 9.4359175E-6 | 6.0568686E-6 | 5.0005387E-4 | 82.55981 | 4.94E-4 | 4.043902E-5 | 2.5957755E-5 | 6.6194125E-4 | 25.500711 | 6.36E-4 | 4.9223384E-4 | 3.1599097E-4 | 0.0012217046 | 3.8662646 | 9.06E-4 |
| 6.9 | 8.700447E-6 | 5.9159343E-6 | 4.9591303E-4 | 83.82666 | 4.9E-4 | 3.72871E-5 | 2.5353764E-5 | 6.573377E-4 | 25.926632 | 6.32E-4 | 4.5387587E-4 | 3.0863946E-4 | 0.0012083617 | 3.9151237 | 9.0E-4 |
| 7.0 | 8.648878E-6 | 5.8906044E-6 | 4.958877E-4 | 84.18282 | 4.9E-4 | 3.7066096E-5 | 2.5245208E-5 | 6.572293E-4 | 26.033821 | 6.32E-4 | 4.5118626E-4 | 3.0731817E-4 | 0.0012030428 | 3.9146492 | 8.96E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.505786E-6 | 5.799203E-6 | 4.957964E-4 | 85.49388 | 4.9E-4 | 3.645286E-5 | 2.4853496E-5 | 6.528379E-4 | 26.267447 | 6.28E-4 | 4.437232E-4 | 3.025504E-4 | 0.0011922811 | 3.9407685 | 8.9E-4 |
| 7.2 | 8.139752E-6 | 5.570773E-6 | 4.9556803E-4 | 88.95858 | 4.9E-4 | 3.4884186E-5 | 2.3874529E-5 | 6.5185956E-4 | 27.303556 | 6.28E-4 | 4.246322E-4 | 2.906347E-4 | 0.0011743777 | 4.0407352 | 8.84E-4 |
| 7.3 | 7.8816E-6 | 5.422942E-6 | 4.9142033E-4 | 90.61877 | 4.86E-4 | 3.3777847E-5 | 2.3240978E-5 | 6.4722646E-4 | 27.848503 | 6.24E-4 | 4.111677E-4 | 2.8292325E-4 | 0.001156676 | 4.088303 | 8.74E-4 |
| 7.4 | 7.5810603E-6 | 5.22559E-6 | 4.8922305E-4 | 93.620636 | 4.84E-4 | 3.2489854E-5 | 2.23952E-5 | 6.443813E-4 | 28.773188 | 6.22E-4 | 3.9549218E-4 | 2.726285E-4 | 0.0011343935 | 4.1609497 | 8.62E-4 |
| 7.5 | 6.349153E-6 | 4.268421E-6 | 4.7026644E-4 | 110.17339 | 4.66E-4 | 2.7210372E-5 | 1.829311E-5 | 6.142822E-4 | 33.579975 | 5.96E-4 | 3.312359E-4 | 2.2269669E-4 | 0.0010465132 | 4.699276 | 8.24E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.430576E-6 | 2.7445847E-6 | 3.9474352E-4 | 143.82631 | 3.92E-4 | 1.8988047E-5 | 1.1762454E-5 | 5.1575655E-4 | 43.8477 | 5.04E-4 | 2.3115493E-4 | 1.4319869E-4 | 8.490976E-4 | 5.9295063 | 7.06E-4 |
| 7.7 | 3.005066E-6 | 1.6112714E-6 | 3.2561074E-4 | 202.08313 | 3.24E-4 | 1.2878791E-5 | 6.9054304E-6 | 4.149026E-4 | 60.083527 | 4.08E-4 | 1.56788E-4 | 8.407038E-5 | 6.560223E-4 | 7.8032513 | 5.72E-4 |
| 7.8 | 1.8459098E-6 | 9.972093E-7 | 2.6099695E-4 | 261.72736 | 2.6E-4 | 7.911018E-6 | 4.273747E-6 | 3.2427238E-4 | 75.87543 | 3.2E-4 | 9.631238E-5 | 5.203163E-5 | 4.8600906E-4 | 9.340646 | 4.34E-4 |
| 7.9 | 9.839262E-7 | 5.4013174E-7 | 1.3054007E-4 | 241.6819 | 1.3E-4 | 4.2168194E-6 | 2.3148482E-6 | 1.6831447E-4 | 72.7108 | 1.66E-4 | 5.1338568E-5 | 2.8182916E-5 | 2.6017637E-4 | 9.231706 | 2.32E-4 |
| 8.0 | 1.210983E-7 | 6.813136E-8 | 2.206813E-5 | 323.90564 | 2.2E-5 | 5.1899264E-7 | 2.9199148E-7 | 2.4291985E-5 | 83.19415 | 2.4E-5 | 6.3187167E-6 | 3.5549908E-6 | 3.755487E-5 | 10.563985 | 3.4E-5 |
San Andreas (Creeping Section) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.151163E-4 | 9.933537E-4 | 0.001488861 | 1.4988226 | 4.96E-4 | 0.002205774 | 0.004246636 | 0.00486002 | 1.14444 | 6.16E-4 | 0.026526777 | 0.049878392 | 0.050668895 | 1.0158485 | 8.32E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.7540772E-4 | 9.162234E-4 | 0.0014077727 | 1.536495 | 4.92E-4 | 0.002035871 | 0.003917495 | 0.0045270976 | 1.1556103 | 6.12E-4 | 0.024506707 | 0.04611742 | 0.04690342 | 1.0170435 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.9647578E-4 | 7.401462E-4 | 0.001223788 | 1.6534408 | 4.84E-4 | 0.0016980754 | 0.0031657123 | 0.0037618193 | 1.1883011 | 5.98E-4 | 0.020479038 | 0.037455633 | 0.03823337 | 1.0207642 | 8.08E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.4640636E-4 | 6.2909257E-4 | 0.0011127881 | 1.7688781 | 4.84E-4 | 0.001483754 | 0.0026913937 | 0.0032778112 | 1.2178862 | 5.88E-4 | 0.017915692 | 0.031959478 | 0.03273004 | 1.0241106 | 7.96E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.935057E-4 | 5.0949765E-4 | 9.89253E-4 | 1.9416244 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0012572751 | 0.0021803905 | 0.0027631172 | 1.2672579 | 5.84E-4 | 0.015200248 | 0.02600403 | 0.02677154 | 1.029515 | 7.88E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.3409708E-4 | 3.7592815E-4 | 8.4375223E-4 | 2.2444508 | 4.68E-4 | 0.0010028875 | 0.0016094066 | 0.0021784892 | 1.3535978 | 5.7E-4 | 0.012141965 | 0.019299068 | 0.02005617 | 1.03923 | 7.72E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.5842178E-4 | 2.056558E-4 | 6.675608E-4 | 3.2460098 | 4.62E-4 | 6.7877385E-4 | 8.810747E-4 | 0.0014405813 | 1.6350274 | 5.6E-4 | 0.0082328 | 0.0106731625 | 0.011427029 | 1.070632 | 7.62E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.5616413E-4 | 2.0101594E-4 | 6.609235E-4 | 3.2879157 | 4.6E-4 | 6.691031E-4 | 8.612057E-4 | 0.0014187251 | 1.6473708 | 5.58E-4 | 0.0081159435 | 0.0104340715 | 0.0111861415 | 1.0720783 | 7.6E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.5538467E-4 | 1.9925025E-4 | 6.5915857E-4 | 3.3081946 | 4.6E-4 | 6.6576427E-4 | 8.536439E-4 | 0.0014111677 | 1.6531103 | 5.58E-4 | 0.008075596 | 0.010343006 | 0.011095146 | 1.0727196 | 7.6E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.5153569E-4 | 1.9038406E-4 | 6.502965E-4 | 3.4157085 | 4.6E-4 | 6.49277E-4 | 8.1567874E-4 | 0.0013732236 | 1.6835349 | 5.58E-4 | 0.007876333 | 0.009886135 | 0.010638622 | 1.0761154 | 7.6E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.4588932E-4 | 1.7884163E-4 | 6.3875935E-4 | 3.5716481 | 4.6E-4 | 6.250901E-4 | 7.6624117E-4 | 0.0013238136 | 1.7276722 | 5.58E-4 | 0.0075839474 | 0.009289532 | 0.010042472 | 1.0810525 | 7.6E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.1565079E-4 | 1.1572864E-4 | 5.716759E-4 | 4.939796 | 4.56E-4 | 4.955521E-4 | 4.958866E-4 | 0.0010476129 | 2.1126058 | 5.52E-4 | 0.006016669 | 0.006020892 | 0.0067703524 | 1.1244767 | 7.54E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.0393792E-4 | 9.80966E-5 | 5.5005227E-4 | 5.607251 | 4.52E-4 | 4.4537216E-4 | 4.2034712E-4 | 9.6811674E-4 | 2.3031363 | 5.48E-4 | 0.005408933 | 0.0051058773 | 0.005852048 | 1.1461395 | 7.5E-4 |
| 7.3 | 9.332884E-5 | 7.8397665E-5 | 5.2636256E-4 | 6.714008 | 4.48E-4 | 3.999194E-4 | 3.3594744E-4 | 8.797647E-4 | 2.618757 | 5.44E-4 | 0.0048581534 | 0.0040826187 | 0.0048235813 | 1.181492 | 7.44E-4 |
| 7.4 | 8.670252E-5 | 6.707452E-5 | 5.150445E-4 | 7.6786904 | 4.48E-4 | 3.715293E-4 | 2.874312E-4 | 8.3127484E-4 | 2.8920827 | 5.44E-4 | 0.004513991 | 0.0034939789 | 0.0042353794 | 1.2121937 | 7.44E-4 |
| 7.5 | 7.3036405E-5 | 3.8304417E-5 | 4.722878E-4 | 12.329852 | 4.34E-4 | 3.129756E-4 | 1.6415154E-4 | 6.840662E-4 | 4.1672845 | 5.2E-4 | 0.0038038217 | 0.0019967293 | 0.0027093035 | 1.3568708 | 7.14E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.3935775E-5 | 3.0169129E-5 | 4.6415604E-4 | 15.385133 | 4.34E-4 | 2.7398168E-4 | 1.2928994E-4 | 6.47223E-4 | 5.005981 | 5.18E-4 | 0.0033306254 | 0.0015729831 | 0.0022798695 | 1.4493922 | 7.08E-4 |
| 7.7 | 5.5050095E-5 | 1.2919258E-5 | 4.0291421E-4 | 31.187101 | 3.9E-4 | 2.3590765E-4 | 5.5367076E-5 | 5.293408E-4 | 9.560571 | 4.74E-4 | 0.0028683927 | 6.738863E-4 | 0.0013154537 | 1.952041 | 6.42E-4 |
| 7.8 | 5.027131E-5 | 8.04526E-6 | 3.260427E-4 | 40.52606 | 3.18E-4 | 2.1543067E-4 | 3.447923E-5 | 4.1446614E-4 | 12.020747 | 3.8E-4 | 0.0026197135 | 4.197038E-4 | 9.374864E-4 | 2.2336857 | 5.18E-4 |
| 7.9 | 3.7271806E-5 | 4.164549E-6 | 2.7616342E-4 | 66.31292 | 2.72E-4 | 1.5972654E-4 | 1.7847944E-5 | 3.4384214E-4 | 19.265081 | 3.26E-4 | 0.0019429359 | 2.1727708E-4 | 6.451841E-4 | 2.969407 | 4.28E-4 |
| 8.0 | 2.7310243E-5 | 2.4077228E-6 | 2.2840718E-4 | 94.8644 | 2.26E-4 | 1.17038646E-4 | 1.031877E-5 | 2.8231597E-4 | 27.359457 | 2.72E-4 | 0.0014240141 | 1.256238E-4 | 4.7757957E-4 | 3.8016648 | 3.52E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.7940547E-5 | 1.6151248E-6 | 1.7161485E-4 | 106.25485 | 1.7E-4 | 7.688579E-5 | 6.921945E-6 | 2.029206E-4 | 29.315544 | 1.96E-4 | 9.3568244E-4 | 8.4271436E-5 | 3.4024986E-4 | 4.0375466 | 2.56E-4 |
| 8.2 | 8.643924E-6 | 3.8699196E-7 | 2.4386984E-5 | 63.01677 | 2.4E-5 | 3.704486E-5 | 1.6585359E-6 | 2.7658492E-5 | 16.67645 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5092785E-4 | 2.0192487E-5 | 7.0191476E-5 | 3.4761183 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
Puente Hills
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.168746E-6 | 4.1416544E-4 | 50.701225 | 4.06E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.5008474E-5 | 6.029886E-4 | 17.224075 | 5.68E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2615048E-4 | 0.001313772 | 3.082883 | 8.88E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.168746E-6 | 4.1416544E-4 | 50.701225 | 4.06E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.5008474E-5 | 6.029886E-4 | 17.224075 | 5.68E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2615048E-4 | 0.001313772 | 3.082883 | 8.88E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.168746E-6 | 4.1416544E-4 | 50.701225 | 4.06E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.5008474E-5 | 6.029886E-4 | 17.224075 | 5.68E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2615048E-4 | 0.001313772 | 3.082883 | 8.88E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.168746E-6 | 4.1416544E-4 | 50.701225 | 4.06E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.5008474E-5 | 6.029886E-4 | 17.224075 | 5.68E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2615048E-4 | 0.001313772 | 3.082883 | 8.88E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.168746E-6 | 4.1416544E-4 | 50.701225 | 4.06E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.5008474E-5 | 6.029886E-4 | 17.224075 | 5.68E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2615048E-4 | 0.001313772 | 3.082883 | 8.88E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.2101656E-5 | 8.168746E-6 | 4.1416544E-4 | 50.701225 | 4.06E-4 | 5.1863204E-5 | 3.5008474E-5 | 6.029886E-4 | 17.224075 | 5.68E-4 | 6.312516E-4 | 4.2615048E-4 | 0.001313772 | 3.082883 | 8.88E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.4622395E-6 | 3.3246013E-4 | 51.446583 | 3.26E-4 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.7695032E-5 | 4.7968252E-4 | 17.320164 | 4.52E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3713735E-4 | 0.0010249054 | 3.0400233 | 6.88E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.0222488E-5 | 6.4622395E-6 | 3.3246013E-4 | 51.446583 | 3.26E-4 | 4.3809923E-5 | 2.7695032E-5 | 4.7968252E-4 | 17.320164 | 4.52E-4 | 5.332553E-4 | 3.3713735E-4 | 0.0010249054 | 3.0400233 | 6.88E-4 |
| 6.8 | 8.6367845E-6 | 5.0846875E-6 | 2.4708346E-4 | 48.593636 | 2.42E-4 | 3.7014266E-5 | 2.179134E-5 | 3.6578384E-4 | 16.785744 | 3.44E-4 | 4.505555E-4 | 2.6527783E-4 | 7.8913884E-4 | 2.9747636 | 5.24E-4 |
| 6.9 | 8.066481E-6 | 4.891096E-6 | 2.3488997E-4 | 48.024 | 2.3E-4 | 3.4570177E-5 | 2.0961674E-5 | 3.4095495E-4 | 16.265636 | 3.2E-4 | 4.2081063E-4 | 2.5517904E-4 | 7.41055E-4 | 2.9040592 | 4.86E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.393828E-6 | 4.4699636E-6 | 2.2646897E-4 | 50.66461 | 2.22E-4 | 3.168745E-5 | 1.9156849E-5 | 3.2315103E-4 | 16.868694 | 3.04E-4 | 3.857264E-4 | 2.3321013E-4 | 6.9110334E-4 | 2.9634361 | 4.58E-4 |
| 7.1 | 6.4660953E-6 | 3.8478156E-6 | 1.6584719E-4 | 43.101646 | 1.62E-4 | 2.7711543E-5 | 1.6490536E-5 | 2.5248664E-4 | 15.311002 | 2.36E-4 | 3.373358E-4 | 2.0075415E-4 | 5.706799E-4 | 2.8426802 | 3.7E-4 |
| 7.2 | 5.143232E-6 | 2.8182496E-6 | 9.2817994E-5 | 32.934628 | 9.0E-5 | 2.2042237E-5 | 1.2078157E-5 | 1.400766E-4 | 11.597515 | 1.28E-4 | 2.6833118E-4 | 1.4704173E-4 | 3.6300998E-4 | 2.4687548 | 2.16E-4 |
| 7.3 | 3.928255E-6 | 2.1186208E-6 | 6.01185E-5 | 28.376242 | 5.8E-5 | 1.683527E-5 | 9.079773E-6 | 8.707906E-5 | 9.5904455 | 7.8E-5 | 2.0495013E-4 | 1.1054069E-4 | 2.5852432E-4 | 2.3387256 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.7894434E-6 | 1.3776411E-6 | 3.13776E-5 | 22.776325 | 3.0E-5 | 1.1954703E-5 | 5.9041627E-6 | 4.7903915E-5 | 8.113583 | 4.2E-5 | 1.4553878E-4 | 7.188086E-5 | 1.3987596E-4 | 1.9459419 | 6.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 2.041735E-6 | 8.961832E-7 | 1.6896169E-5 | 18.853476 | 1.6E-5 | 8.750263E-6 | 3.8407798E-6 | 3.184067E-5 | 8.290158 | 2.8E-5 | 1.06529245E-4 | 4.6760528E-5 | 9.075847E-5 | 1.9409206 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.6959062E-6 | 6.8407866E-7 | 1.26840705E-5 | 18.54183 | 1.2E-5 | 7.268149E-6 | 2.9317625E-6 | 2.2931705E-5 | 7.8218145 | 2.0E-5 | 8.848612E-5 | 3.5693654E-5 | 6.769251E-5 | 1.8964859 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 1.4767965E-6 | 5.5147046E-7 | 1.0551465E-5 | 19.133327 | 1.0E-5 | 6.3291122E-6 | 2.363443E-6 | 1.636341E-5 | 6.9235477 | 1.4E-5 | 7.705422E-5 | 2.8774564E-5 | 5.2773874E-5 | 1.8340459 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.8 | 1.8432911E-7 | 7.378471E-8 | 7.378471E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8998164E-7 | 3.162202E-7 | 3.162202E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.617985E-6 | 3.8499775E-6 | 5.8499695E-6 | 1.5194815 | 2.0E-6 |
Earthquake Valley (So Extension)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.750472E-5 | 4.674886E-4 | 12.464793 | 4.3E-4 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.6072777E-4 | 7.4663357E-4 | 4.6453304 | 5.86E-4 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019556247 | 0.002817935 | 1.4409386 | 8.64E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.750472E-5 | 4.674886E-4 | 12.464793 | 4.3E-4 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.6072777E-4 | 7.4663357E-4 | 4.6453304 | 5.86E-4 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019556247 | 0.002817935 | 1.4409386 | 8.64E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.0194888E-5 | 3.750472E-5 | 4.674886E-4 | 12.464793 | 4.3E-4 | 1.2940024E-4 | 1.6072777E-4 | 7.4663357E-4 | 4.6453304 | 5.86E-4 | 0.0015743093 | 0.0019556247 | 0.002817935 | 1.4409386 | 8.64E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8608951E-5 | 2.4060482E-4 | 12.929522 | 2.22E-4 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.975085E-5 | 3.977255E-4 | 4.9871006 | 3.18E-4 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.7064645E-4 | 0.0014581728 | 1.5022697 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8608951E-5 | 2.4060482E-4 | 12.929522 | 2.22E-4 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.975085E-5 | 3.977255E-4 | 4.9871006 | 3.18E-4 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.7064645E-4 | 0.0014581728 | 1.5022697 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8608951E-5 | 2.4060482E-4 | 12.929522 | 2.22E-4 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.975085E-5 | 3.977255E-4 | 4.9871006 | 3.18E-4 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.7064645E-4 | 0.0014581728 | 1.5022697 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.5795305E-5 | 1.8608951E-5 | 2.4060482E-4 | 12.929522 | 2.22E-4 | 6.769241E-5 | 7.975085E-5 | 3.977255E-4 | 4.9871006 | 3.18E-4 | 8.238434E-4 | 9.7064645E-4 | 0.0014581728 | 1.5022697 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.1363076E-5 | 1.3247378E-5 | 1.852451E-4 | 13.98353 | 1.72E-4 | 4.8697988E-5 | 5.6773675E-5 | 3.027597E-4 | 5.332748 | 2.46E-4 | 5.927367E-4 | 6.910777E-4 | 0.0010668178 | 1.5437018 | 3.76E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1689648E-5 | 1.696878E-4 | 14.516074 | 1.58E-4 | 4.306905E-5 | 5.009795E-5 | 2.7608662E-4 | 5.5109367 | 2.26E-4 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.098462E-4 | 9.556352E-4 | 1.5670102 | 3.46E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1689648E-5 | 1.696878E-4 | 14.516074 | 1.58E-4 | 4.306905E-5 | 5.009795E-5 | 2.7608662E-4 | 5.5109367 | 2.26E-4 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.098462E-4 | 9.556352E-4 | 1.5670102 | 3.46E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.0049611E-5 | 1.1689648E-5 | 1.696878E-4 | 14.516074 | 1.58E-4 | 4.306905E-5 | 5.009795E-5 | 2.7608662E-4 | 5.5109367 | 2.26E-4 | 5.242395E-4 | 6.098462E-4 | 9.556352E-4 | 1.5670102 | 3.46E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.140254E-6 | 9.461046E-6 | 1.414598E-4 | 14.951814 | 1.32E-4 | 3.4886336E-5 | 4.0547093E-5 | 2.2653955E-4 | 5.5870724 | 1.86E-4 | 4.2465836E-4 | 4.936172E-4 | 7.8147504E-4 | 1.58316 | 2.88E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.673835E-7 | 1.4439728E-7 | 4.144397E-6 | 28.70135 | 4.0E-6 | 7.173577E-7 | 6.188454E-7 | 1.2618838E-5 | 20.39094 | 1.2E-5 | 8.733795E-6 | 7.53442E-6 | 2.35343E-5 | 3.1235714 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.6632116E-7 | 1.4336199E-7 | 4.1433614E-6 | 28.901396 | 4.0E-6 | 7.1280476E-7 | 6.1440835E-7 | 1.2614401E-5 | 20.530972 | 1.2E-5 | 8.678364E-6 | 7.4803997E-6 | 2.3480281E-5 | 3.138907 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.6569169E-7 | 1.4280442E-7 | 4.142804E-6 | 29.010334 | 4.0E-6 | 7.1010703E-7 | 6.120188E-7 | 1.2612011E-5 | 20.60723 | 1.2E-5 | 8.645519E-6 | 7.4513073E-6 | 2.3451188E-5 | 3.1472583 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.1764555E-7 | 1.0299959E-7 | 4.1029994E-6 | 39.835102 | 4.0E-6 | 5.041951E-7 | 4.4142678E-7 | 1.2441422E-5 | 28.184565 | 1.2E-5 | 6.138558E-6 | 5.37436E-6 | 2.1374273E-5 | 3.9770827 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.07927605E-7 | 9.457637E-8 | 4.094576E-6 | 43.293858 | 4.0E-6 | 4.6254678E-7 | 4.0532726E-7 | 1.2405322E-5 | 30.605694 | 1.2E-5 | 5.6314925E-6 | 4.9348505E-6 | 2.093477E-5 | 4.24223 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.1826905E-8 | 1.146611E-8 | 1.146611E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3543875E-8 | 4.914047E-8 | 4.914047E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1388961E-6 | 5.982851E-7 | 5.982851E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 2.6169649E-9 | 1.2192595E-9 | 1.2192595E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1215564E-8 | 5.225398E-9 | 5.225398E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3654947E-7 | 6.361922E-8 | 6.361922E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McLean Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.7360222E-5 | 1.8563222E-5 | 3.7255665E-4 | 20.06961 | 3.54E-4 | 7.439883E-5 | 7.955452E-5 | 5.7151535E-4 | 7.183946 | 4.92E-4 | 9.0542925E-4 | 9.6819486E-4 | 0.0017953932 | 1.8543718 | 8.28E-4 |
| 6.1 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.6205395E-6 | 1.996187E-4 | 20.749222 | 1.9E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1230283E-5 | 3.0921923E-4 | 7.499809 | 2.68E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.01872E-4 | 9.376532E-4 | 1.8683114 | 4.36E-4 |
| 6.2 | 9.062689E-6 | 9.6205395E-6 | 1.996187E-4 | 20.749222 | 1.9E-4 | 3.8839516E-5 | 4.1230283E-5 | 3.0921923E-4 | 7.499809 | 2.68E-4 | 4.727685E-4 | 5.01872E-4 | 9.376532E-4 | 1.8683114 | 4.36E-4 |
| 6.3 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.689621E-6 | 1.7168836E-4 | 22.327286 | 1.64E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.295514E-5 | 2.6294755E-4 | 7.978954 | 2.3E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0116216E-4 | 7.690145E-4 | 1.9169668 | 3.68E-4 |
| 6.4 | 7.2575485E-6 | 7.689621E-6 | 1.7168836E-4 | 22.327286 | 1.64E-4 | 3.110341E-5 | 3.295514E-5 | 2.6294755E-4 | 7.978954 | 2.3E-4 | 3.786182E-4 | 4.0116216E-4 | 7.690145E-4 | 1.9169668 | 3.68E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.06582E-6 | 6.421921E-6 | 1.4042106E-4 | 21.865896 | 1.34E-4 | 2.5996113E-5 | 2.7522265E-5 | 2.155171E-4 | 7.830645 | 1.88E-4 | 3.164567E-4 | 3.3503858E-4 | 6.5293204E-4 | 1.9488264 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.598744E-6 | 5.9268878E-6 | 1.2792616E-4 | 21.584038 | 1.22E-4 | 2.3994397E-5 | 2.5400735E-5 | 1.9539642E-4 | 7.692549 | 1.7E-4 | 2.9209262E-4 | 3.092165E-4 | 6.0112623E-4 | 1.9440302 | 2.92E-4 |
| 6.7 | 5.246996E-6 | 5.5547553E-6 | 1.1955412E-4 | 21.522842 | 1.14E-4 | 2.2486933E-5 | 2.3805913E-5 | 1.8580206E-4 | 7.80487 | 1.62E-4 | 2.73744E-4 | 2.8980483E-4 | 5.6772423E-4 | 1.9589883 | 2.78E-4 |
| 6.8 | 4.02324E-6 | 4.2588417E-6 | 9.625845E-5 | 22.602026 | 9.2E-5 | 1.7242342E-5 | 1.8252085E-5 | 1.542496E-4 | 8.451068 | 1.36E-4 | 2.099053E-4 | 2.2220246E-4 | 4.3415534E-4 | 1.9538728 | 2.12E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.155955E-7 | 1.2715587E-5 | 17.769238 | 1.2E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0668361E-6 | 1.5066799E-5 | 4.912815 | 1.2E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.733841E-5 | 6.333744E-5 | 1.6963079 | 2.6E-5 |
Newport-Inglewood alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.062274E-5 | 4.366103E-4 | 14.257715 | 4.06E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3123652E-4 | 6.8516383E-4 | 5.220832 | 5.54E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015971278 | 0.0024198117 | 1.5151021 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.062274E-5 | 4.366103E-4 | 14.257715 | 4.06E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3123652E-4 | 6.8516383E-4 | 5.220832 | 5.54E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015971278 | 0.0024198117 | 1.5151021 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.062274E-5 | 4.366103E-4 | 14.257715 | 4.06E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3123652E-4 | 6.8516383E-4 | 5.220832 | 5.54E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015971278 | 0.0024198117 | 1.5151021 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.9668912E-5 | 3.062274E-5 | 4.366103E-4 | 14.257715 | 4.06E-4 | 1.2714628E-4 | 1.3123652E-4 | 6.8516383E-4 | 5.220832 | 5.54E-4 | 0.0015469068 | 0.0015971278 | 0.0024198117 | 1.5151021 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02855665E-5 | 1.7628387E-4 | 17.138954 | 1.66E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.408028E-5 | 2.7207023E-4 | 6.172153 | 2.28E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.365494E-4 | 8.6437346E-4 | 1.6109856 | 3.28E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.275942E-5 | 1.02855665E-5 | 1.7628387E-4 | 17.138954 | 1.66E-4 | 5.4682085E-5 | 4.408028E-5 | 2.7207023E-4 | 6.172153 | 2.28E-4 | 6.65551E-4 | 5.365494E-4 | 8.6437346E-4 | 1.6109856 | 3.28E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.1255358E-5 | 8.664409E-6 | 1.5866311E-4 | 18.312054 | 1.5E-4 | 4.8236358E-5 | 3.713266E-5 | 2.4512495E-4 | 6.60133 | 2.08E-4 | 5.871194E-4 | 4.5199806E-4 | 7.4586517E-4 | 1.6501513 | 2.94E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.0504745E-5 | 7.898922E-6 | 1.4589784E-4 | 18.4706 | 1.38E-4 | 4.5019555E-5 | 3.385209E-5 | 2.2784552E-4 | 6.730619 | 1.94E-4 | 5.4797524E-4 | 4.1207252E-4 | 6.8995793E-4 | 1.6743605 | 2.78E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.0476007E-5 | 7.880449E-6 | 1.4587936E-4 | 18.511555 | 1.38E-4 | 4.4896402E-5 | 3.377292E-5 | 2.2776637E-4 | 6.744053 | 1.94E-4 | 5.464766E-4 | 4.11109E-4 | 6.889947E-4 | 1.6759417 | 2.78E-4 |
| 6.9 | 9.076797E-6 | 6.481781E-6 | 1.12481095E-4 | 17.353424 | 1.06E-4 | 3.889998E-5 | 2.7778768E-5 | 1.7977455E-4 | 6.471653 | 1.52E-4 | 4.7350433E-4 | 3.3815432E-4 | 5.4808334E-4 | 1.6208082 | 2.1E-4 |
| 7.0 | 8.73795E-6 | 6.2039494E-6 | 1.10203306E-4 | 17.763412 | 1.04E-4 | 3.7447822E-5 | 2.6588084E-5 | 1.7458414E-4 | 6.566255 | 1.48E-4 | 4.5583185E-4 | 3.2366213E-4 | 5.275961E-4 | 1.6300828 | 2.04E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.391299E-6 | 5.9474373E-6 | 9.794689E-5 | 16.468756 | 9.2E-5 | 3.5962214E-5 | 2.548877E-5 | 1.5548545E-4 | 6.1001554 | 1.3E-4 | 4.37752E-4 | 3.1028184E-4 | 4.942247E-4 | 1.5928253 | 1.84E-4 |
| 7.2 | 7.796882E-6 | 5.486928E-6 | 8.748648E-5 | 15.944529 | 8.2E-5 | 3.341478E-5 | 2.3515195E-5 | 1.3751251E-4 | 5.847815 | 1.14E-4 | 4.06749E-4 | 2.862601E-4 | 4.5221258E-4 | 1.5797262 | 1.66E-4 |
| 7.3 | 6.4738833E-6 | 4.636214E-6 | 7.663588E-5 | 16.52984 | 7.2E-5 | 2.774492E-5 | 1.9869338E-5 | 1.1786739E-4 | 5.9321246 | 9.8E-5 | 3.3774204E-4 | 2.4188249E-4 | 3.8384815E-4 | 1.5869199 | 1.42E-4 |
| 7.4 | 5.382145E-6 | 3.877537E-6 | 5.987732E-5 | 15.442101 | 5.6E-5 | 2.3066134E-5 | 1.661791E-5 | 9.461662E-5 | 5.6936526 | 7.8E-5 | 2.8079396E-4 | 2.0230442E-4 | 3.1628137E-4 | 1.5633932 | 1.14E-4 |
| 7.5 | 3.648244E-6 | 2.5727113E-6 | 4.6572597E-5 | 18.102535 | 4.4E-5 | 1.5635238E-5 | 1.102586E-5 | 7.302518E-5 | 6.623082 | 6.2E-5 | 1.9034238E-4 | 1.3423168E-4 | 2.182204E-4 | 1.6256998 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 2.2906888E-6 | 1.5479914E-6 | 1.7547967E-5 | 11.3359585 | 1.6E-5 | 9.817201E-6 | 6.6342322E-6 | 3.263406E-5 | 4.9190407 | 2.6E-5 | 1.1951787E-4 | 8.0768856E-5 | 1.2276546E-4 | 1.5199604 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 6.0479874E-7 | 3.4102368E-7 | 2.341023E-6 | 6.8646936 | 2.0E-6 | 2.5919921E-6 | 1.4615292E-6 | 3.4615264E-6 | 2.3684278 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1557047E-5 | 1.7793987E-5 | 2.1793916E-5 | 1.224791 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.789773E-9 | 9.789773E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.195617E-8 | 4.195617E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.108164E-7 | 5.108164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Monica alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1513145E-5 | 4.4750812E-4 | 38.86932 | 4.36E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9341197E-5 | 6.193131E-4 | 12.551642 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 6.0057756E-4 | 0.0014240827 | 2.3711886 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1513145E-5 | 4.4750812E-4 | 38.86932 | 4.36E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9341197E-5 | 6.193131E-4 | 12.551642 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 6.0057756E-4 | 0.0014240827 | 2.3711886 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1513145E-5 | 4.4750812E-4 | 38.86932 | 4.36E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9341197E-5 | 6.193131E-4 | 12.551642 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 6.0057756E-4 | 0.0014240827 | 2.3711886 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1513145E-5 | 4.4750812E-4 | 38.86932 | 4.36E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9341197E-5 | 6.193131E-4 | 12.551642 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 6.0057756E-4 | 0.0014240827 | 2.3711886 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.1066008E-5 | 1.1513145E-5 | 4.4750812E-4 | 38.86932 | 4.36E-4 | 4.742488E-5 | 4.9341197E-5 | 6.193131E-4 | 12.551642 | 5.7E-4 | 5.7724497E-4 | 6.0057756E-4 | 0.0014240827 | 2.3711886 | 8.24E-4 |
| 6.5 | 8.183544E-6 | 8.35378E-6 | 4.123504E-4 | 49.36094 | 4.04E-4 | 3.5071862E-5 | 3.580143E-5 | 5.657825E-4 | 15.803348 | 5.3E-4 | 4.2691626E-4 | 4.3579683E-4 | 0.0012094595 | 2.7752829 | 7.74E-4 |
| 6.6 | 8.1543285E-6 | 8.321958E-6 | 4.123186E-4 | 49.545864 | 4.04E-4 | 3.4946657E-5 | 3.5665056E-5 | 5.6564616E-4 | 15.859954 | 5.3E-4 | 4.2539247E-4 | 4.3413715E-4 | 0.0012078012 | 2.7820728 | 7.74E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.110878E-6 | 8.275356E-6 | 4.12272E-4 | 49.81925 | 4.04E-4 | 3.4760444E-5 | 3.546534E-5 | 5.6544656E-4 | 15.94364 | 5.3E-4 | 4.231262E-4 | 4.3170655E-4 | 0.0012033733 | 2.7874799 | 7.72E-4 |
| 6.8 | 7.644036E-6 | 7.768727E-6 | 4.0776562E-4 | 52.488083 | 4.0E-4 | 3.275974E-5 | 3.329413E-5 | 5.572767E-4 | 16.737986 | 5.24E-4 | 3.9877684E-4 | 4.0528207E-4 | 0.0011689725 | 2.884343 | 7.64E-4 |
| 6.9 | 7.3698293E-6 | 7.4741E-6 | 4.0547113E-4 | 54.25016 | 3.98E-4 | 3.15846E-5 | 3.2031472E-5 | 5.520148E-4 | 17.233515 | 5.2E-4 | 3.8447464E-4 | 3.8991479E-4 | 0.0011476192 | 2.9432564 | 7.58E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.209872E-6 | 7.3050355E-6 | 3.9930217E-4 | 54.66122 | 3.92E-4 | 3.0899086E-5 | 3.130693E-5 | 5.432909E-4 | 17.353695 | 5.12E-4 | 3.7613141E-4 | 3.810966E-4 | 0.0011268123 | 2.956763 | 7.46E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.603456E-6 | 5.5369824E-6 | 3.3753514E-4 | 60.960125 | 3.32E-4 | 2.4014591E-5 | 2.372971E-5 | 4.6771916E-4 | 19.710278 | 4.44E-4 | 2.923384E-4 | 2.8887132E-4 | 9.346847E-4 | 3.2356439 | 6.46E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.7483613E-6 | 4.6009286E-6 | 3.125995E-4 | 67.942696 | 3.08E-4 | 2.0349962E-5 | 1.9718118E-5 | 4.217102E-4 | 21.38694 | 4.02E-4 | 2.4773262E-4 | 2.4004176E-4 | 8.3189964E-4 | 3.4656456 | 5.92E-4 |
| 7.3 | 3.829015E-6 | 3.6422446E-6 | 2.896412E-4 | 79.52272 | 2.86E-4 | 1.6409962E-5 | 1.5609527E-5 | 3.836038E-4 | 24.57498 | 3.68E-4 | 1.9977297E-4 | 1.9002949E-4 | 7.2392804E-4 | 3.8095562 | 5.34E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.610755E-6 | 2.5050888E-6 | 2.4450448E-4 | 97.60312 | 2.42E-4 | 1.1188902E-5 | 1.0736051E-5 | 3.1873275E-4 | 29.68808 | 3.08E-4 | 1.3621636E-4 | 1.3070363E-4 | 5.8664405E-4 | 4.4883533 | 4.56E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.792146E-6 | 1.7624586E-6 | 2.017621E-4 | 114.477646 | 2.0E-4 | 7.680603E-6 | 7.553372E-6 | 2.6155147E-4 | 34.62711 | 2.54E-4 | 9.3507326E-5 | 9.1958456E-5 | 4.5392517E-4 | 4.936198 | 3.62E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.1473018E-6 | 1.1057202E-6 | 8.5105625E-5 | 76.9685 | 8.4E-5 | 4.9169985E-6 | 4.738792E-6 | 1.1473827E-4 | 24.212555 | 1.1E-4 | 5.986281E-5 | 5.7693287E-5 | 2.0968451E-4 | 3.63447 | 1.52E-4 |
| 7.7 | 5.330919E-7 | 4.764814E-7 | 5.8476453E-5 | 122.72558 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2846775E-6 | 2.0420616E-6 | 7.404191E-5 | 36.258415 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7815593E-5 | 2.4861827E-5 | 1.1685954E-4 | 4.70036 | 9.2E-5 |
| 7.8 | 1.1668574E-7 | 8.408548E-8 | 3.408408E-5 | 405.3504 | 3.4E-5 | 5.000816E-7 | 3.603663E-7 | 4.2360352E-5 | 117.54804 | 4.2E-5 | 6.0884768E-6 | 4.387451E-6 | 5.238724E-5 | 11.940245 | 4.8E-5 |
| 7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.217501E-10 | 6.217501E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6646432E-9 | 2.6646432E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.244203E-8 | 3.244203E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Diego Trough north alt1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.6490888E-5 | 5.3738542E-5 | 4.2971835E-4 | 7.9964643 | 3.76E-4 | 1.9923145E-4 | 2.302884E-4 | 7.321728E-4 | 3.1793733 | 5.02E-4 | 0.0024229444 | 0.0028002725 | 0.0035900548 | 1.2820376 | 7.92E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.7940346E-5 | 4.377659E-5 | 3.3976362E-4 | 7.761309 | 2.96E-4 | 1.6259136E-4 | 1.8760096E-4 | 5.8152707E-4 | 3.0998085 | 3.94E-4 | 0.0019777524 | 0.0022817345 | 0.0029043108 | 1.2728522 | 6.24E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.2734028E-5 | 2.4072721E-4 | 7.3540363 | 2.08E-4 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4028128E-4 | 4.1624258E-4 | 2.9671996 | 2.76E-4 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017066114 | 0.0021258947 | 1.2456818 | 4.2E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.8645263E-5 | 3.2734028E-5 | 2.4072721E-4 | 7.3540363 | 2.08E-4 | 1.2275964E-4 | 1.4028128E-4 | 4.1624258E-4 | 2.9671996 | 2.76E-4 | 0.0014935739 | 0.0017066114 | 0.0021258947 | 1.2456818 | 4.2E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.2204576E-5 | 2.5153091E-5 | 1.7314937E-4 | 6.8838205 | 1.48E-4 | 9.5159E-5 | 1.0779456E-4 | 3.0577322E-4 | 2.8366294 | 1.98E-4 | 0.001157945 | 0.0013116183 | 0.0016112247 | 1.2284251 | 3.0E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.1004838E-5 | 2.376222E-5 | 1.6575884E-4 | 6.9757304 | 1.42E-4 | 9.0017624E-5 | 1.01834165E-4 | 2.8581542E-4 | 2.8066752 | 1.84E-4 | 0.0010954136 | 0.0012391347 | 0.0015167902 | 1.2240721 | 2.78E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.820557E-5 | 2.0512462E-5 | 1.5450972E-4 | 7.5324802 | 1.34E-4 | 7.802154E-5 | 8.790762E-5 | 2.5589284E-4 | 2.9109292 | 1.68E-4 | 9.4949827E-4 | 0.0010697551 | 0.0013194876 | 1.2334484 | 2.5E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.5884485E-5 | 1.7834845E-5 | 1.2383296E-4 | 6.943315 | 1.06E-4 | 6.807459E-5 | 7.643283E-5 | 2.1242244E-4 | 2.7792041 | 1.36E-4 | 8.284929E-4 | 9.301751E-4 | 0.0011379817 | 1.2234058 | 2.08E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.4331171E-5 | 1.6073463E-5 | 1.1407189E-4 | 7.0969076 | 9.8E-5 | 6.141786E-5 | 6.888447E-5 | 1.9287593E-4 | 2.7999916 | 1.24E-4 | 7.4750587E-4 | 8.383476E-4 | 0.0010161984 | 1.2121444 | 1.78E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.2574203E-5 | 1.409732E-5 | 1.0209608E-4 | 7.2422333 | 8.8E-5 | 5.3888325E-5 | 6.0415696E-5 | 1.6640929E-4 | 2.754405 | 1.06E-4 | 6.558929E-4 | 7.353142E-4 | 8.8920095E-4 | 1.2092803 | 1.54E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.0883844E-5 | 1.2196794E-5 | 8.419592E-5 | 6.9031186 | 7.2E-5 | 4.664421E-5 | 5.227093E-5 | 1.4026633E-4 | 2.683448 | 8.8E-5 | 5.677453E-4 | 6.3621375E-4 | 7.641323E-4 | 1.2010622 | 1.28E-4 |
| 7.1 | 9.393088E-6 | 1.0526916E-5 | 6.852631E-5 | 6.5096273 | 5.8E-5 | 4.025547E-5 | 4.5114582E-5 | 1.1711133E-4 | 2.5958643 | 7.2E-5 | 4.900001E-4 | 5.4913235E-4 | 6.530752E-4 | 1.1892856 | 1.04E-4 |
| 7.2 | 8.190791E-6 | 9.18886E-6 | 5.718842E-5 | 6.223669 | 4.8E-5 | 3.510292E-5 | 3.9380237E-5 | 9.9377874E-5 | 2.523547 | 6.0E-5 | 4.2729423E-4 | 4.7934955E-4 | 5.7130546E-4 | 1.1918347 | 9.2E-5 |
| 7.3 | 6.268162E-6 | 7.0392302E-6 | 4.5038963E-5 | 6.3982797 | 3.8E-5 | 2.6863276E-5 | 3.0167783E-5 | 7.816633E-5 | 2.5910532 | 4.8E-5 | 3.2701128E-4 | 3.6723126E-4 | 4.3720554E-4 | 1.1905456 | 7.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 4.985186E-6 | 5.6027643E-6 | 3.7602586E-5 | 6.7114344 | 3.2E-5 | 2.1364907E-5 | 2.4011628E-5 | 6.401067E-5 | 2.6658196 | 4.0E-5 | 2.600867E-4 | 2.9230275E-4 | 3.4828638E-4 | 1.1915262 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9563013E-6 | 1.795627E-5 | 9.178683 | 1.6E-5 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.384123E-6 | 2.438399E-5 | 2.9083529 | 1.6E-5 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0207213E-4 | 1.22070094E-4 | 1.1959199 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7554588E-7 | 2.1755454E-6 | 12.393031 | 2.0E-6 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5233925E-7 | 2.7523377E-6 | 3.658373 | 2.0E-6 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.159694E-6 | 1.11596755E-5 | 1.2183459 | 2.0E-6 |
Red Mountain
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7958645E-5 | 3.619436E-4 | 7.5469937 | 3.14E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0552179E-4 | 6.214363E-4 | 3.0237002 | 4.16E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002499523 | 0.0031798184 | 1.2721701 | 6.82E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7958645E-5 | 3.619436E-4 | 7.5469937 | 3.14E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0552179E-4 | 6.214363E-4 | 3.0237002 | 4.16E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002499523 | 0.0031798184 | 1.2721701 | 6.82E-4 |
| 6.2 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7958645E-5 | 3.619436E-4 | 7.5469937 | 3.14E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0552179E-4 | 6.214363E-4 | 3.0237002 | 4.16E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002499523 | 0.0031798184 | 1.2721701 | 6.82E-4 |
| 6.3 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7958645E-5 | 3.619436E-4 | 7.5469937 | 3.14E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0552179E-4 | 6.214363E-4 | 3.0237002 | 4.16E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002499523 | 0.0031798184 | 1.2721701 | 6.82E-4 |
| 6.4 | 4.1810763E-5 | 4.7958645E-5 | 3.619436E-4 | 7.5469937 | 3.14E-4 | 1.7917668E-4 | 2.0552179E-4 | 6.214363E-4 | 3.0237002 | 4.16E-4 | 0.0021792934 | 0.002499523 | 0.0031798184 | 1.2721701 | 6.82E-4 |
| 6.5 | 3.154503E-5 | 3.5609515E-5 | 2.8960046E-4 | 8.13267 | 2.54E-4 | 1.3518598E-4 | 1.5260381E-4 | 4.8855256E-4 | 3.201444 | 3.36E-4 | 0.0016446467 | 0.0018564616 | 0.0024034444 | 1.2946372 | 5.48E-4 |
| 6.6 | 3.1535834E-5 | 3.5598892E-5 | 2.8958984E-4 | 8.1348 | 2.54E-4 | 1.3514658E-4 | 1.5255828E-4 | 4.8850704E-4 | 3.202101 | 3.36E-4 | 0.0016441676 | 0.0018559082 | 0.0024028912 | 1.2947252 | 5.48E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.8267326E-5 | 3.168979E-5 | 2.6968223E-4 | 8.510068 | 2.38E-4 | 1.2114006E-4 | 1.358068E-4 | 4.517639E-4 | 3.326519 | 3.16E-4 | 0.0014738824 | 0.0016522802 | 0.0021614376 | 1.3081543 | 5.1E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.8212884E-5 | 3.1627624E-5 | 2.6762017E-4 | 8.461596 | 2.36E-4 | 1.20906756E-4 | 1.3554041E-4 | 4.4949783E-4 | 3.3163383 | 3.14E-4 | 0.0014710457 | 0.0016490419 | 0.0021582008 | 1.3087605 | 5.1E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.4227871E-5 | 2.688811E-5 | 2.3488252E-4 | 8.735554 | 2.08E-4 | 1.03829596E-4 | 1.15230105E-4 | 3.9919736E-4 | 3.4643497 | 2.84E-4 | 0.0012633923 | 0.0014021008 | 0.0018674475 | 1.3318924 | 4.66E-4 |
| 7.0 | 2.348524E-5 | 2.6015066E-5 | 2.2800981E-4 | 8.764529 | 2.02E-4 | 1.0064714E-4 | 1.11488815E-4 | 3.8945783E-4 | 3.4932458 | 2.78E-4 | 0.0012246901 | 0.001356608 | 0.0018099921 | 1.3342042 | 4.54E-4 |
| 7.1 | 2.2311642E-5 | 2.4633502E-5 | 2.1862872E-4 | 8.875259 | 1.94E-4 | 9.561782E-5 | 1.0556831E-4 | 3.7553982E-4 | 3.5573156 | 2.7E-4 | 0.0011635252 | 0.0012846125 | 0.0017200523 | 1.338966 | 4.36E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.6533986E-5 | 1.779862E-5 | 1.7979574E-4 | 10.101667 | 1.62E-4 | 7.085802E-5 | 7.627794E-5 | 3.0026084E-4 | 3.936405 | 2.24E-4 | 8.623549E-4 | 9.2835276E-4 | 0.0012980093 | 1.3981854 | 3.7E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.4703092E-5 | 1.5671907E-5 | 1.6166962E-4 | 10.3158865 | 1.46E-4 | 6.301173E-5 | 6.716394E-5 | 2.6915036E-4 | 4.0073643 | 2.02E-4 | 7.668978E-4 | 8.174769E-4 | 0.0011492055 | 1.4057957 | 3.32E-4 |
| 7.4 | 6.1331984E-6 | 5.554351E-6 | 6.955399E-5 | 12.522434 | 6.4E-5 | 2.6284872E-5 | 2.3804147E-5 | 1.2380177E-4 | 5.2008486 | 1.0E-4 | 3.199713E-4 | 2.8977747E-4 | 4.5572937E-4 | 1.5726874 | 1.66E-4 |
| 7.5 | 5.954766E-6 | 5.3634562E-6 | 6.9363115E-5 | 12.93254 | 6.4E-5 | 2.5520176E-5 | 2.2986042E-5 | 1.2298374E-4 | 5.350366 | 1.0E-4 | 3.1066386E-4 | 2.7981965E-4 | 4.457732E-4 | 1.5930732 | 1.66E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.9726646E-6 | 4.3364203E-6 | 5.8336187E-5 | 13.452614 | 5.4E-5 | 2.1311245E-5 | 1.8584527E-5 | 1.0458293E-4 | 5.627419 | 8.6E-5 | 2.5943352E-4 | 2.2624347E-4 | 3.662118E-4 | 1.6186624 | 1.4E-4 |
| 7.7 | 3.3613894E-6 | 2.8675172E-6 | 3.8867413E-5 | 13.5543785 | 3.6E-5 | 1.4405875E-5 | 1.2289303E-5 | 6.828862E-5 | 5.556752 | 5.6E-5 | 1.7537741E-4 | 1.4961226E-4 | 2.475976E-4 | 1.6549286 | 9.8E-5 |
| 7.8 | 1.1828961E-6 | 1.0179306E-6 | 1.9017913E-5 | 18.682917 | 1.8E-5 | 5.069545E-6 | 4.3625523E-6 | 3.236243E-5 | 7.418233 | 2.8E-5 | 6.171996E-5 | 5.311281E-5 | 9.111079E-5 | 1.7154202 | 3.8E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.2967266E-7 | 1.8700139E-7 | 2.187001E-6 | 11.695106 | 2.0E-6 | 9.843111E-7 | 8.0143434E-7 | 4.8014313E-6 | 5.9910474 | 4.0E-6 | 1.19839215E-5 | 9.757422E-6 | 1.3757383E-5 | 1.4099404 | 4.0E-6 |
Superstition Hills
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.687118E-5 | 1.1481786E-5 | 4.7347648E-4 | 41.237183 | 4.62E-4 | 2.4371086E-4 | 4.9206825E-5 | 6.1317906E-4 | 12.461261 | 5.64E-4 | 0.0029631425 | 5.989465E-4 | 0.0013864746 | 2.3148553 | 7.88E-4 |
| 6.1 | 5.687118E-5 | 1.1481786E-5 | 4.7347648E-4 | 41.237183 | 4.62E-4 | 2.4371086E-4 | 4.9206825E-5 | 6.1317906E-4 | 12.461261 | 5.64E-4 | 0.0029631425 | 5.989465E-4 | 0.0013864746 | 2.3148553 | 7.88E-4 |
| 6.2 | 5.687118E-5 | 1.1481786E-5 | 4.7347648E-4 | 41.237183 | 4.62E-4 | 2.4371086E-4 | 4.9206825E-5 | 6.1317906E-4 | 12.461261 | 5.64E-4 | 0.0029631425 | 5.989465E-4 | 0.0013864746 | 2.3148553 | 7.88E-4 |
| 6.3 | 5.22535E-5 | 1.1481786E-5 | 4.7347648E-4 | 41.237183 | 4.62E-4 | 2.2392436E-4 | 4.9206825E-5 | 6.1317906E-4 | 12.461261 | 5.64E-4 | 0.0027228706 | 5.989465E-4 | 0.0013864746 | 2.3148553 | 7.88E-4 |
| 6.4 | 4.542238E-5 | 1.1481786E-5 | 4.7347648E-4 | 41.237183 | 4.62E-4 | 1.9465282E-4 | 4.9206825E-5 | 6.1317906E-4 | 12.461261 | 5.64E-4 | 0.0023673223 | 5.989465E-4 | 0.0013864746 | 2.3148553 | 7.88E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.9672969E-5 | 1.1481785E-5 | 4.7347648E-4 | 41.237183 | 4.62E-4 | 1.2716366E-4 | 4.9206825E-5 | 6.1317906E-4 | 12.461261 | 5.64E-4 | 0.0015471181 | 5.989465E-4 | 0.0013864746 | 2.3148553 | 7.88E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.6056105E-5 | 1.1130828E-5 | 4.731257E-4 | 42.505882 | 4.62E-4 | 1.1166424E-4 | 4.770278E-5 | 6.116759E-4 | 12.822646 | 5.64E-4 | 0.0013586642 | 5.806445E-4 | 0.0013641893 | 2.3494396 | 7.84E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.4611248E-5 | 1.07020405E-5 | 4.6869714E-4 | 43.79512 | 4.58E-4 | 6.261813E-5 | 4.586518E-5 | 6.058395E-4 | 13.209138 | 5.6E-4 | 7.6210906E-4 | 5.5828335E-4 | 0.0013298524 | 2.3820384 | 7.72E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.30607E-5 | 8.294453E-6 | 4.3829088E-4 | 52.841442 | 4.3E-4 | 5.597323E-5 | 3.5547233E-5 | 5.515289E-4 | 15.515382 | 5.16E-4 | 6.8126095E-4 | 4.327122E-4 | 0.0011524006 | 2.6632035 | 7.2E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.0443096E-5 | 5.165721E-6 | 3.9116372E-4 | 75.72297 | 3.86E-4 | 4.4755358E-5 | 2.213863E-5 | 4.8212844E-4 | 21.777699 | 4.6E-4 | 5.447602E-4 | 2.6950697E-4 | 9.033361E-4 | 3.3518097 | 6.34E-4 |
| 7.0 | 8.045912E-6 | 3.471171E-6 | 3.634699E-4 | 104.71104 | 3.6E-4 | 3.4482026E-5 | 1.4876367E-5 | 4.4087003E-4 | 29.6356 | 4.26E-4 | 4.197378E-4 | 1.8110541E-4 | 7.610004E-4 | 4.201975 | 5.8E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.045912E-6 | 3.471171E-6 | 3.634699E-4 | 104.71104 | 3.6E-4 | 3.4482026E-5 | 1.4876367E-5 | 4.4087003E-4 | 29.6356 | 4.26E-4 | 4.197378E-4 | 1.8110541E-4 | 7.610004E-4 | 4.201975 | 5.8E-4 |
| 7.2 | 7.375506E-6 | 2.9292207E-6 | 3.6092818E-4 | 123.216446 | 3.58E-4 | 3.1608928E-5 | 1.2553745E-5 | 4.3454845E-4 | 34.615044 | 4.22E-4 | 3.8477074E-4 | 1.5283162E-4 | 7.267439E-4 | 4.755193 | 5.74E-4 |
| 7.3 | 6.6063913E-6 | 2.4293915E-6 | 3.4842856E-4 | 143.42215 | 3.46E-4 | 2.8312797E-5 | 1.0411638E-5 | 4.2040736E-4 | 40.3786 | 4.1E-4 | 3.446538E-4 | 1.2675463E-4 | 6.846839E-4 | 5.401648 | 5.58E-4 |
| 7.4 | 6.4313126E-6 | 2.2996728E-6 | 3.4629888E-4 | 150.58615 | 3.44E-4 | 2.7562477E-5 | 9.855706E-6 | 4.178517E-4 | 42.396935 | 4.08E-4 | 3.355215E-4 | 1.1998689E-4 | 6.7592016E-4 | 5.6332836 | 5.56E-4 |
| 7.5 | 6.0742927E-6 | 2.0714947E-6 | 3.460708E-4 | 167.06332 | 3.44E-4 | 2.6032423E-5 | 8.877806E-6 | 4.168742E-4 | 46.956894 | 4.08E-4 | 3.1689866E-4 | 1.0808218E-4 | 6.620223E-4 | 6.125175 | 5.54E-4 |
| 7.6 | 5.6987187E-6 | 1.8678036E-6 | 3.4386717E-4 | 184.10243 | 3.42E-4 | 2.4422852E-5 | 8.004849E-6 | 4.1200162E-4 | 51.469006 | 4.04E-4 | 2.9730765E-4 | 9.745492E-5 | 6.474013E-4 | 6.643085 | 5.5E-4 |
| 7.7 | 5.1658035E-6 | 1.4685761E-6 | 3.174681E-4 | 216.1741 | 3.16E-4 | 2.2138971E-5 | 6.2938834E-6 | 3.822915E-4 | 60.740166 | 3.76E-4 | 2.6950863E-4 | 7.662551E-5 | 5.9258594E-4 | 7.733534 | 5.16E-4 |
| 7.8 | 3.6864697E-6 | 6.926379E-7 | 1.4269254E-4 | 206.01318 | 1.42E-4 | 1.579906E-5 | 2.968445E-6 | 1.6696796E-4 | 56.24762 | 1.64E-4 | 1.9233658E-4 | 3.6140227E-5 | 2.6213206E-4 | 7.2531934 | 2.26E-4 |
| 7.9 | 3.0265903E-6 | 5.502025E-7 | 1.0855014E-4 | 197.29126 | 1.08E-4 | 1.2971037E-5 | 2.3580087E-6 | 1.303577E-4 | 55.282963 | 1.28E-4 | 1.5791094E-4 | 2.8708388E-5 | 1.9670356E-4 | 6.8517804 | 1.68E-4 |
| 8.0 | 2.5271493E-6 | 4.835921E-7 | 9.448355E-5 | 195.37862 | 9.4E-5 | 1.0830595E-5 | 2.0725358E-6 | 1.1207231E-4 | 54.074966 | 1.1E-4 | 1.3185451E-4 | 2.5232843E-5 | 1.6922921E-4 | 6.706704 | 1.44E-4 |
| 8.1 | 2.3749135E-6 | 4.6678136E-7 | 9.246674E-5 | 198.09433 | 9.2E-5 | 1.0178161E-5 | 2.00049E-6 | 1.1000028E-4 | 54.986664 | 1.08E-4 | 1.2391206E-4 | 2.4355704E-5 | 1.6235234E-4 | 6.6658854 | 1.38E-4 |
| 8.2 | 1.7186406E-9 | 1.8438584E-10 | 1.8438584E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3656024E-9 | 7.902248E-10 | 7.902248E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9676206E-8 | 9.620987E-9 | 9.620987E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Manix-Afton Hills
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4761245E-5 | 3.3875645E-4 | 22.949043 | 3.24E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3261046E-5 | 5.3723104E-4 | 8.492289 | 4.74E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6994865E-4 | 0.001531362 | 1.9889144 | 7.62E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4761245E-5 | 3.3875645E-4 | 22.949043 | 3.24E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3261046E-5 | 5.3723104E-4 | 8.492289 | 4.74E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6994865E-4 | 0.001531362 | 1.9889144 | 7.62E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.3783202E-5 | 1.4761245E-5 | 3.3875645E-4 | 22.949043 | 3.24E-4 | 5.906953E-5 | 6.3261046E-5 | 5.3723104E-4 | 8.492289 | 4.74E-4 | 7.189342E-4 | 7.6994865E-4 | 0.001531362 | 1.9889144 | 7.62E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.18333455E-5 | 2.4183062E-4 | 20.436369 | 2.3E-4 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0713414E-5 | 3.8869627E-4 | 7.6645656 | 3.38E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1727135E-4 | 0.0011809232 | 1.9131347 | 5.64E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.10494875E-5 | 1.18333455E-5 | 2.4183062E-4 | 20.436369 | 2.3E-4 | 4.7354086E-5 | 5.0713414E-5 | 3.8869627E-4 | 7.6645656 | 3.38E-4 | 5.763835E-4 | 6.1727135E-4 | 0.0011809232 | 1.9131347 | 5.64E-4 |
| 6.5 | 9.788949E-6 | 1.0490327E-5 | 2.1448819E-4 | 20.446281 | 2.04E-4 | 4.1951964E-5 | 4.4957822E-5 | 3.4494433E-4 | 7.672621 | 3.0E-4 | 5.1064545E-4 | 5.472334E-4 | 0.0010469598 | 1.9131869 | 5.0E-4 |
| 6.6 | 8.810006E-6 | 9.446317E-6 | 1.914446E-4 | 20.266586 | 1.82E-4 | 3.775662E-5 | 4.0483636E-5 | 3.0847278E-4 | 7.6196904 | 2.68E-4 | 4.5958988E-4 | 4.9278577E-4 | 9.3656697E-4 | 1.9005561 | 4.44E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.80128E-6 | 9.436752E-6 | 1.9143503E-4 | 20.286114 | 1.82E-4 | 3.7719226E-5 | 4.044265E-5 | 3.084318E-4 | 7.6264 | 2.68E-4 | 4.591348E-4 | 4.922869E-4 | 9.3406934E-4 | 1.8974084 | 4.42E-4 |
| 6.8 | 6.8994877E-6 | 7.4061354E-6 | 1.2540526E-4 | 16.93262 | 1.18E-4 | 2.9568899E-5 | 3.174024E-5 | 2.0373479E-4 | 6.4188166 | 1.72E-4 | 3.5994186E-4 | 3.8637713E-4 | 6.922589E-4 | 1.7916664 | 3.06E-4 |
| 6.9 | 4.9328037E-6 | 5.28928E-6 | 8.728885E-5 | 16.502974 | 8.2E-5 | 2.1140417E-5 | 2.266818E-5 | 1.3866555E-4 | 6.1171894 | 1.16E-4 | 2.5735417E-4 | 2.7595635E-4 | 4.8789784E-4 | 1.7680254 | 2.12E-4 |
| 7.0 | 3.347973E-6 | 3.6031927E-6 | 5.5603006E-5 | 15.431594 | 5.2E-5 | 1.4348378E-5 | 1.5442187E-5 | 8.5441105E-5 | 5.532967 | 7.0E-5 | 1.746775E-4 | 1.8799653E-4 | 3.2597058E-4 | 1.7339181 | 1.38E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.2073567E-6 | 1.2981463E-6 | 1.7298125E-5 | 13.325251 | 1.6E-5 | 5.1743755E-6 | 5.563482E-6 | 2.3563382E-5 | 4.235366 | 1.8E-5 | 6.29962E-5 | 6.773493E-5 | 1.09732086E-4 | 1.6200222 | 4.2E-5 |
Mission Ridge-Arroyo Parida-Santa Ana
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.3406641E-5 | 2.3244975E-5 | 3.272379E-4 | 14.077791 | 3.04E-4 | 1.0031032E-4 | 9.96178E-5 | 5.1357655E-4 | 5.15547 | 4.14E-4 | 0.0012205938 | 0.0012122219 | 0.0018554413 | 1.5306119 | 6.44E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.73813E-5 | 1.6625969E-5 | 2.4462218E-4 | 14.713258 | 2.28E-4 | 7.4489166E-5 | 7.125227E-5 | 3.892296E-4 | 5.462698 | 3.18E-4 | 9.065282E-4 | 8.671608E-4 | 0.0013687254 | 1.5783987 | 5.02E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.4622182E-5 | 1.3615061E-5 | 2.1561231E-4 | 15.8363085 | 2.02E-4 | 6.2664985E-5 | 5.834898E-5 | 3.403325E-4 | 5.8327074 | 2.82E-4 | 7.6267915E-4 | 7.10171E-4 | 0.0011398656 | 1.605058 | 4.3E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.3552434E-5 | 1.2458375E-5 | 1.9845605E-4 | 15.92953 | 1.86E-4 | 5.8080568E-5 | 5.339196E-5 | 3.1737785E-4 | 5.9443007 | 2.64E-4 | 7.069015E-4 | 6.498563E-4 | 0.0010495964 | 1.6151206 | 4.0E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.30977305E-5 | 1.1967408E-5 | 1.9196526E-4 | 16.04067 | 1.8E-4 | 5.613192E-5 | 5.12879E-5 | 3.0727478E-4 | 5.9911747 | 2.56E-4 | 6.831918E-4 | 6.2425423E-4 | 0.001012012 | 1.6211536 | 3.88E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.225205E-5 | 1.1056017E-5 | 1.8505409E-4 | 16.737864 | 1.74E-4 | 5.2507727E-5 | 4.7382084E-5 | 2.9337042E-4 | 6.19159 | 2.46E-4 | 6.3909404E-4 | 5.7672686E-4 | 9.4651344E-4 | 1.6411816 | 3.7E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.1352241E-5 | 1.0087661E-5 | 1.7208603E-4 | 17.059061 | 1.62E-4 | 4.8651553E-5 | 4.323213E-5 | 2.7122226E-4 | 6.2736273 | 2.28E-4 | 5.921717E-4 | 5.262261E-4 | 8.6404826E-4 | 1.6419713 | 3.38E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.0864116E-5 | 9.550181E-6 | 1.7154863E-4 | 17.962868 | 1.62E-4 | 4.6559664E-5 | 4.0928717E-5 | 2.689194E-4 | 6.570433 | 2.28E-4 | 5.667165E-4 | 4.981952E-4 | 8.300298E-4 | 1.6660734 | 3.32E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.0666365E-5 | 9.33383E-6 | 1.6933234E-4 | 18.141785 | 1.6E-4 | 4.571219E-5 | 4.0001527E-5 | 2.6399255E-4 | 6.599562 | 2.24E-4 | 5.564038E-4 | 4.8691174E-4 | 8.12753E-4 | 1.6691998 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.0038665E-5 | 8.626864E-6 | 1.5462561E-4 | 17.923733 | 1.46E-4 | 4.302214E-5 | 3.697176E-5 | 2.4296415E-4 | 6.5716143 | 2.06E-4 | 5.236687E-4 | 4.5004E-4 | 7.539032E-4 | 1.6751915 | 3.04E-4 |
| 7.0 | 9.5379955E-6 | 8.0624695E-6 | 1.4606136E-4 | 18.116207 | 1.38E-4 | 4.0876483E-5 | 3.455299E-5 | 2.2854628E-4 | 6.6143703 | 1.94E-4 | 4.975576E-4 | 4.2060317E-4 | 7.044837E-4 | 1.6749368 | 2.84E-4 |
| 7.1 | 9.207389E-6 | 7.690723E-6 | 1.4368967E-4 | 18.683508 | 1.36E-4 | 3.945964E-5 | 3.2959833E-5 | 2.2295357E-4 | 6.7644024 | 1.9E-4 | 4.803152E-4 | 4.0121374E-4 | 6.791022E-4 | 1.6926194 | 2.78E-4 |
| 7.2 | 7.638091E-6 | 5.9742665E-6 | 1.19973585E-4 | 20.081726 | 1.14E-4 | 3.2734264E-5 | 2.5603751E-5 | 1.8559965E-4 | 7.2489247 | 1.6E-4 | 3.984668E-4 | 3.116814E-4 | 5.436091E-4 | 1.7441179 | 2.32E-4 |
| 7.3 | 7.2500147E-6 | 5.6373087E-6 | 1.0963672E-4 | 19.448416 | 1.04E-4 | 3.1071122E-5 | 2.4159672E-5 | 1.721561E-4 | 7.125763 | 1.48E-4 | 3.7822526E-4 | 2.9410463E-4 | 5.080417E-4 | 1.7274182 | 2.14E-4 |
| 7.4 | 6.3899715E-6 | 4.9521996E-6 | 1.06951695E-4 | 21.596807 | 1.02E-4 | 2.7385306E-5 | 2.122354E-5 | 1.6522048E-4 | 7.784775 | 1.44E-4 | 3.3336508E-4 | 2.5836617E-4 | 4.6231344E-4 | 1.789373 | 2.04E-4 |
| 7.5 | 5.379025E-6 | 4.1096637E-6 | 9.610929E-5 | 23.38617 | 9.2E-5 | 2.305276E-5 | 1.7612725E-5 | 1.496104E-4 | 8.49445 | 1.32E-4 | 2.806312E-4 | 2.1441393E-4 | 3.9837448E-4 | 1.8579692 | 1.84E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.1270696E-6 | 3.1073102E-6 | 7.710708E-5 | 24.814735 | 7.4E-5 | 1.768732E-5 | 1.3316976E-5 | 1.1931556E-4 | 8.959659 | 1.06E-4 | 2.1532185E-4 | 1.621222E-4 | 3.1609723E-4 | 1.9497467 | 1.54E-4 |
| 7.7 | 2.5406805E-6 | 1.8400334E-6 | 6.183992E-5 | 33.608044 | 6.0E-5 | 1.0888585E-5 | 7.885834E-6 | 8.988519E-5 | 11.398311 | 8.2E-5 | 1.3256045E-4 | 9.600586E-5 | 2.1399453E-4 | 2.2289736 | 1.18E-4 |
| 7.8 | 4.8608285E-7 | 3.5320014E-7 | 1.8353194E-5 | 51.96259 | 1.8E-5 | 2.0832106E-6 | 1.513714E-6 | 2.3513681E-5 | 15.533767 | 2.2E-5 | 2.5362791E-5 | 1.8429313E-5 | 4.64288E-5 | 2.5192907 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.0472514E-8 | 1.2817521E-8 | 2.0128175E-6 | 157.0364 | 2.0E-6 | 8.7739345E-8 | 5.493223E-8 | 2.054932E-6 | 37.408497 | 2.0E-6 | 1.068226E-6 | 6.687997E-7 | 4.668797E-6 | 6.9808598 | 4.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 4.443582E-9 | 2.0804136E-9 | 2.0804136E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9043922E-8 | 8.916059E-9 | 8.916059E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3185973E-7 | 1.0855302E-7 | 1.0855302E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Cayetano
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8371251E-5 | 3.6636487E-4 | 19.942291 | 3.48E-4 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.873158E-5 | 5.646933E-4 | 7.1723866 | 4.86E-4 | 0.0012242225 | 9.581392E-4 | 0.0016694571 | 1.742395 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8371251E-5 | 3.6636487E-4 | 19.942291 | 3.48E-4 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.873158E-5 | 5.646933E-4 | 7.1723866 | 4.86E-4 | 0.0012242225 | 9.581392E-4 | 0.0016694571 | 1.742395 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8371251E-5 | 3.6636487E-4 | 19.942291 | 3.48E-4 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.873158E-5 | 5.646933E-4 | 7.1723866 | 4.86E-4 | 0.0012242225 | 9.581392E-4 | 0.0016694571 | 1.742395 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8371251E-5 | 3.6636487E-4 | 19.942291 | 3.48E-4 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.873158E-5 | 5.646933E-4 | 7.1723866 | 4.86E-4 | 0.0012242225 | 9.581392E-4 | 0.0016694571 | 1.742395 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8371251E-5 | 3.6636487E-4 | 19.942291 | 3.48E-4 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.873158E-5 | 5.646933E-4 | 7.1723866 | 4.86E-4 | 0.0012242225 | 9.581392E-4 | 0.0016694571 | 1.742395 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8371251E-5 | 3.6636487E-4 | 19.942291 | 3.48E-4 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.873158E-5 | 5.646933E-4 | 7.1723866 | 4.86E-4 | 0.0012242225 | 9.581392E-4 | 0.0016694571 | 1.742395 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8371251E-5 | 3.6636487E-4 | 19.942291 | 3.48E-4 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.873158E-5 | 5.646933E-4 | 7.1723866 | 4.86E-4 | 0.0012242225 | 9.581392E-4 | 0.0016694571 | 1.742395 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.3476267E-5 | 1.8371251E-5 | 3.6636487E-4 | 19.942291 | 3.48E-4 | 1.0060869E-4 | 7.873158E-5 | 5.646933E-4 | 7.1723866 | 4.86E-4 | 0.0012242225 | 9.581392E-4 | 0.0016694571 | 1.742395 | 7.12E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.3241924E-5 | 1.8136396E-5 | 3.601302E-4 | 19.856768 | 3.42E-4 | 9.960445E-5 | 7.772512E-5 | 5.5768783E-4 | 7.17513 | 4.8E-4 | 0.0012120095 | 9.458962E-4 | 0.0016452341 | 1.7393389 | 7.0E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.2761007E-5 | 1.7629342E-5 | 3.4562356E-4 | 19.605017 | 3.28E-4 | 9.7543525E-5 | 7.5552154E-5 | 5.355174E-4 | 7.0880494 | 4.6E-4 | 0.0011869454 | 9.194628E-4 | 0.0015948412 | 1.7345358 | 6.76E-4 |
| 7.0 | 2.240283E-5 | 1.7259936E-5 | 3.372544E-4 | 19.539726 | 3.2E-4 | 9.600859E-5 | 7.396907E-5 | 5.2393577E-4 | 7.0831733 | 4.5E-4 | 0.0011682777 | 9.0020493E-4 | 0.0015596108 | 1.7325064 | 6.6E-4 |
| 7.1 | 2.1871154E-5 | 1.6772168E-5 | 3.2876694E-4 | 19.601934 | 3.12E-4 | 9.373015E-5 | 7.1878756E-5 | 5.0584757E-4 | 7.037511 | 4.34E-4 | 0.0011405671 | 8.74776E-4 | 0.0015102196 | 1.7264073 | 6.36E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.0714133E-5 | 1.573816E-5 | 3.0173367E-4 | 19.172106 | 2.86E-4 | 8.8771834E-5 | 6.744753E-5 | 4.654207E-4 | 6.9004855 | 3.98E-4 | 0.0010802611 | 8.2086766E-4 | 0.00140239 | 1.7084239 | 5.82E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.8408395E-5 | 1.4142726E-5 | 2.6213922E-4 | 18.535267 | 2.48E-4 | 7.8890735E-5 | 6.0610295E-5 | 4.0458943E-4 | 6.6752596 | 3.44E-4 | 9.600714E-4 | 7.3768356E-4 | 0.0012413118 | 1.6827158 | 5.04E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.6856795E-5 | 1.297893E-5 | 2.5097583E-4 | 19.337175 | 2.38E-4 | 7.2241404E-5 | 5.5622815E-5 | 3.8960425E-4 | 7.0043964 | 3.34E-4 | 8.7918417E-4 | 6.7700027E-4 | 0.0011566753 | 1.7085301 | 4.8E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.2822778E-5 | 9.6594395E-6 | 2.1565745E-4 | 22.326084 | 2.06E-4 | 5.495361E-5 | 4.139695E-5 | 3.2338526E-4 | 7.8118143 | 2.82E-4 | 6.688548E-4 | 5.0389295E-4 | 8.976944E-4 | 1.7815181 | 3.94E-4 |
| 7.6 | 5.6272684E-6 | 3.869753E-6 | 1.2786928E-4 | 33.043266 | 1.24E-4 | 2.4116642E-5 | 1.658455E-5 | 1.825818E-4 | 11.00915 | 1.66E-4 | 2.9358055E-4 | 2.0189829E-4 | 4.3585105E-4 | 2.1587653 | 2.34E-4 |
| 7.7 | 3.5261346E-6 | 2.343978E-6 | 1.0634374E-4 | 45.36891 | 1.04E-4 | 1.5111918E-5 | 1.0045582E-5 | 1.4204426E-4 | 14.139973 | 1.32E-4 | 1.8397206E-4 | 1.2229817E-4 | 3.0827543E-4 | 2.520687 | 1.86E-4 |
| 7.8 | 1.4826929E-6 | 1.0516153E-6 | 6.305155E-5 | 59.95686 | 6.2E-5 | 6.354383E-6 | 4.506915E-6 | 7.850658E-5 | 17.41914 | 7.4E-5 | 7.736187E-5 | 5.487033E-5 | 1.5286494E-4 | 2.785931 | 9.8E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.7568166E-7 | 1.7157956E-7 | 2.0171576E-5 | 117.56399 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1814923E-6 | 7.3534073E-7 | 2.4735324E-5 | 33.63791 | 2.4E-5 | 1.4384574E-5 | 8.952737E-6 | 4.4952416E-5 | 5.021081 | 3.6E-5 |
| 8.0 | 5.407832E-8 | 2.747897E-8 | 8.0274785E-6 | 292.1317 | 8.0E-6 | 2.3176422E-7 | 1.1776701E-7 | 8.117766E-6 | 68.93073 | 8.0E-6 | 2.8217257E-6 | 1.4338125E-6 | 1.5433792E-5 | 10.764164 | 1.4E-5 |
Santa Susana alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7504386E-5 | 3.5349542E-4 | 12.852329 | 3.26E-4 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1787127E-4 | 5.5581966E-4 | 4.7154803 | 4.38E-4 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014342542 | 0.0021392417 | 1.4915359 | 7.06E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7504386E-5 | 3.5349542E-4 | 12.852329 | 3.26E-4 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1787127E-4 | 5.5581966E-4 | 4.7154803 | 4.38E-4 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014342542 | 0.0021392417 | 1.4915359 | 7.06E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7504386E-5 | 3.5349542E-4 | 12.852329 | 3.26E-4 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1787127E-4 | 5.5581966E-4 | 4.7154803 | 4.38E-4 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014342542 | 0.0021392417 | 1.4915359 | 7.06E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7504386E-5 | 3.5349542E-4 | 12.852329 | 3.26E-4 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1787127E-4 | 5.5581966E-4 | 4.7154803 | 4.38E-4 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014342542 | 0.0021392417 | 1.4915359 | 7.06E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7504386E-5 | 3.5349542E-4 | 12.852329 | 3.26E-4 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1787127E-4 | 5.5581966E-4 | 4.7154803 | 4.38E-4 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014342542 | 0.0021392417 | 1.4915359 | 7.06E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.674877E-5 | 2.7504386E-5 | 3.5349542E-4 | 12.852329 | 3.26E-4 | 1.1463255E-4 | 1.1787127E-4 | 5.5581966E-4 | 4.7154803 | 4.38E-4 | 0.0013947578 | 0.0014342542 | 0.0021392417 | 1.4915359 | 7.06E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7379305E-5 | 3.533704E-4 | 12.906478 | 3.26E-4 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1733526E-4 | 5.5528386E-4 | 4.7324553 | 4.38E-4 | 0.0013895056 | 0.001427737 | 0.002132729 | 1.4937829 | 7.06E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.6647976E-5 | 2.7379305E-5 | 3.533704E-4 | 12.906478 | 3.26E-4 | 1.14200615E-4 | 1.1733526E-4 | 5.5528386E-4 | 4.7324553 | 4.38E-4 | 0.0013895056 | 0.001427737 | 0.002132729 | 1.4937829 | 7.06E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.9073179E-5 | 1.7823777E-5 | 2.6181943E-4 | 14.689335 | 2.44E-4 | 8.1739636E-5 | 7.6385484E-5 | 4.0436044E-4 | 5.2936816 | 3.28E-4 | 9.947256E-4 | 9.2961505E-4 | 0.001469113 | 1.5803456 | 5.4E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.9041876E-5 | 1.7805549E-5 | 2.618012E-4 | 14.70335 | 2.44E-4 | 8.160549E-5 | 7.630736E-5 | 4.0428233E-4 | 5.2980776 | 3.28E-4 | 9.930939E-4 | 9.286647E-4 | 0.0014681632 | 1.58094 | 5.4E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.5917482E-5 | 1.4008059E-5 | 2.3600495E-4 | 16.847797 | 2.22E-4 | 6.8215995E-5 | 6.0033184E-5 | 3.6001517E-4 | 5.996936 | 3.0E-4 | 8.302132E-4 | 7.306637E-4 | 0.0012163086 | 1.6646627 | 4.86E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.577788E-5 | 1.3886493E-5 | 2.3588342E-4 | 16.986534 | 2.22E-4 | 6.761774E-5 | 5.9512215E-5 | 3.5949436E-4 | 6.040682 | 3.0E-4 | 8.2293496E-4 | 7.243251E-4 | 0.0012039774 | 1.6622058 | 4.8E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.5416446E-5 | 1.3607963E-5 | 2.3360497E-4 | 17.166784 | 2.2E-4 | 6.606882E-5 | 5.8318565E-5 | 3.563012E-4 | 6.109567 | 2.98E-4 | 8.0409093E-4 | 7.0980197E-4 | 0.0011834655 | 1.6673179 | 4.74E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.4534083E-5 | 1.2845736E-5 | 2.1684311E-4 | 16.880552 | 2.04E-4 | 6.228744E-5 | 5.505202E-5 | 3.350366E-4 | 6.085819 | 2.8E-4 | 7.580857E-4 | 6.700568E-4 | 0.0011137592 | 1.6621864 | 4.44E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.2858995E-5 | 1.1338339E-5 | 2.0333617E-4 | 17.933504 | 1.92E-4 | 5.5108816E-5 | 4.8592003E-5 | 3.1657898E-4 | 6.515043 | 2.68E-4 | 6.7074323E-4 | 5.9145107E-4 | 0.0010092038 | 1.7063184 | 4.18E-4 |
| 7.5 | 8.827668E-6 | 7.865642E-6 | 1.538645E-4 | 19.561594 | 1.46E-4 | 3.7832317E-5 | 3.3709475E-5 | 2.3970252E-4 | 7.1108356 | 2.06E-4 | 4.605111E-4 | 4.1033805E-4 | 7.242092E-4 | 1.7649087 | 3.14E-4 |
| 7.6 | 3.2533426E-6 | 2.8851355E-6 | 7.088494E-5 | 24.569016 | 6.8E-5 | 1.3942822E-5 | 1.2364811E-5 | 1.0836362E-4 | 8.763873 | 9.6E-5 | 1.6974064E-4 | 1.5053154E-4 | 2.9251017E-4 | 1.9431819 | 1.42E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.2751709E-6 | 1.1544961E-6 | 1.7154478E-5 | 14.858844 | 1.6E-5 | 5.4650063E-6 | 4.9478317E-6 | 2.6947722E-5 | 5.44637 | 2.2E-5 | 6.653442E-5 | 6.0238275E-5 | 9.423623E-5 | 1.5643911 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.067544E-7 | 3.250709E-7 | 2.3250702E-6 | 7.1525016 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3146611E-6 | 1.3931603E-6 | 5.393155E-6 | 3.8711658 | 4.0E-6 | 1.600588E-5 | 1.6961607E-5 | 2.2961505E-5 | 1.3537341 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 7.622999E-8 | 8.1140364E-8 | 2.08114E-6 | 25.648643 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2669993E-7 | 3.4774436E-7 | 2.3477437E-6 | 6.751349 | 2.0E-6 | 3.977564E-6 | 4.2337815E-6 | 6.233773E-6 | 1.4723889 | 2.0E-6 |
Santa Susana East (connector)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2410815E-5 | 3.5440037E-4 | 10.934633 | 3.22E-4 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3889762E-4 | 5.96834E-4 | 4.2969346 | 4.58E-4 | 0.0014903803 | 0.001690036 | 0.0023908496 | 1.4146738 | 7.02E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2410815E-5 | 3.5440037E-4 | 10.934633 | 3.22E-4 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3889762E-4 | 5.96834E-4 | 4.2969346 | 4.58E-4 | 0.0014903803 | 0.001690036 | 0.0023908496 | 1.4146738 | 7.02E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.858397E-5 | 3.2410815E-5 | 3.5440037E-4 | 10.934633 | 3.22E-4 | 1.2249697E-4 | 1.3889762E-4 | 5.96834E-4 | 4.2969346 | 4.58E-4 | 0.0014903803 | 0.001690036 | 0.0023908496 | 1.4146738 | 7.02E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0596992E-5 | 2.825916E-4 | 13.720042 | 2.62E-4 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.827048E-5 | 4.4623888E-4 | 5.055358 | 3.58E-4 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010742779 | 0.0016296806 | 1.5170009 | 5.56E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0596992E-5 | 2.825916E-4 | 13.720042 | 2.62E-4 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.827048E-5 | 4.4623888E-4 | 5.055358 | 3.58E-4 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010742779 | 0.0016296806 | 1.5170009 | 5.56E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0596992E-5 | 2.825916E-4 | 13.720042 | 2.62E-4 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.827048E-5 | 4.4623888E-4 | 5.055358 | 3.58E-4 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010742779 | 0.0016296806 | 1.5170009 | 5.56E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.943582E-5 | 2.0596992E-5 | 2.825916E-4 | 13.720042 | 2.62E-4 | 8.329371E-5 | 8.827048E-5 | 4.4623888E-4 | 5.055358 | 3.58E-4 | 0.001013629 | 0.0010742779 | 0.0016296806 | 1.5170009 | 5.56E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.9404439E-5 | 2.0584106E-5 | 2.8257872E-4 | 13.728004 | 2.62E-4 | 8.3159226E-5 | 8.821527E-5 | 4.461837E-4 | 5.0578966 | 3.58E-4 | 0.0010119933 | 0.0010736063 | 0.0016290094 | 1.5173247 | 5.56E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1709832E-5 | 1.9770766E-4 | 16.883902 | 1.86E-4 | 5.2359774E-5 | 5.0184124E-5 | 3.0817118E-4 | 6.14081 | 2.58E-4 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.1083765E-4 | 0.0010145908 | 1.6609828 | 4.04E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.2217526E-5 | 1.1709832E-5 | 1.9770766E-4 | 16.883902 | 1.86E-4 | 5.2359774E-5 | 5.0184124E-5 | 3.0817118E-4 | 6.14081 | 2.58E-4 | 6.372938E-4 | 6.1083765E-4 | 0.0010145908 | 1.6609828 | 4.04E-4 |
| 7.0 | 9.276017E-6 | 8.137791E-6 | 1.6613651E-4 | 20.41543 | 1.58E-4 | 3.9753755E-5 | 3.48758E-5 | 2.5886798E-4 | 7.422568 | 2.24E-4 | 4.8389446E-4 | 4.2453367E-4 | 7.703868E-4 | 1.8146659 | 3.46E-4 |
| 7.1 | 9.130355E-6 | 8.019611E-6 | 1.6601835E-4 | 20.701544 | 1.58E-4 | 3.9129503E-5 | 3.4369332E-5 | 2.563617E-4 | 7.459025 | 2.22E-4 | 4.7629757E-4 | 4.1836977E-4 | 7.602267E-4 | 1.8171166 | 3.42E-4 |
| 7.2 | 8.851015E-6 | 7.816154E-6 | 1.6581491E-4 | 21.214388 | 1.58E-4 | 3.7932372E-5 | 3.3497392E-5 | 2.5548995E-4 | 7.6271596 | 2.22E-4 | 4.6172875E-4 | 4.0775794E-4 | 7.476193E-4 | 1.833488 | 3.4E-4 |
| 7.3 | 8.573006E-6 | 7.6229853E-6 | 1.5962182E-4 | 20.939543 | 1.52E-4 | 3.6740938E-5 | 3.2669548E-5 | 2.486625E-4 | 7.611446 | 2.16E-4 | 4.472291E-4 | 3.9768263E-4 | 7.275514E-4 | 1.8294774 | 3.3E-4 |
| 7.4 | 7.852282E-6 | 6.8832605E-6 | 1.5688223E-4 | 22.791847 | 1.5E-4 | 3.36522E-5 | 2.9499373E-5 | 2.4349306E-4 | 8.254178 | 2.14E-4 | 4.096385E-4 | 3.5909878E-4 | 6.7898387E-4 | 1.8907998 | 3.2E-4 |
| 7.5 | 4.8869324E-6 | 4.309146E-6 | 1.1830866E-4 | 27.455246 | 1.14E-4 | 2.0943828E-5 | 1.8467646E-5 | 1.8246462E-4 | 9.880232 | 1.64E-4 | 2.5496128E-4 | 2.2482207E-4 | 4.5876947E-4 | 2.040589 | 2.34E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.3894544E-6 | 1.1615214E-6 | 5.316146E-5 | 45.768818 | 5.2E-5 | 5.954791E-6 | 4.9779405E-6 | 7.697758E-5 | 15.46374 | 7.2E-5 | 7.249717E-5 | 6.0604965E-5 | 1.5859902E-4 | 2.6169312 | 9.8E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.9924632E-7 | 2.3875313E-7 | 1.0238751E-5 | 42.884254 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2824837E-6 | 1.0232274E-6 | 1.902321E-5 | 18.59138 | 1.8E-5 | 1.5614127E-5 | 1.2457729E-5 | 3.645743E-5 | 2.9264908 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.8 | 4.8188564E-8 | 2.6989285E-8 | 4.0269892E-6 | 149.20695 | 4.0E-6 | 2.065224E-7 | 1.1566836E-7 | 8.115668E-6 | 70.163246 | 8.0E-6 | 2.5144072E-6 | 1.4082615E-6 | 1.3408245E-5 | 9.521132 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.6127251E-9 | 2.776427E-9 | 2.776427E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1197393E-8 | 1.1898973E-8 | 1.1898973E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3632825E-7 | 1.4487E-7 | 1.4487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Cruz Island
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.172698E-5 | 2.7571924E-4 | 8.6903715 | 2.44E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3596646E-4 | 4.9791724E-4 | 3.6620593 | 3.62E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016542723 | 0.002251283 | 1.3608903 | 5.98E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.172698E-5 | 2.7571924E-4 | 8.6903715 | 2.44E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3596646E-4 | 4.9791724E-4 | 3.6620593 | 3.62E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016542723 | 0.002251283 | 1.3608903 | 5.98E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.9164563E-5 | 3.172698E-5 | 2.7571924E-4 | 8.6903715 | 2.44E-4 | 1.2498499E-4 | 1.3596646E-4 | 4.9791724E-4 | 3.6620593 | 3.62E-4 | 0.0015206301 | 0.0016542723 | 0.002251283 | 1.3608903 | 5.98E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7860859E-5 | 1.5785836E-4 | 8.838229 | 1.4E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.65444E-5 | 2.6652985E-4 | 3.4820297 | 1.9E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.3154795E-4 | 0.0012772257 | 1.3710787 | 3.46E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.6635553E-5 | 1.7860859E-5 | 1.5785836E-4 | 8.838229 | 1.4E-4 | 7.1293274E-5 | 7.65444E-5 | 2.6652985E-4 | 3.4820297 | 1.9E-4 | 8.6765E-4 | 9.3154795E-4 | 0.0012772257 | 1.3710787 | 3.46E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.2238748E-5 | 1.3079552E-5 | 1.1907817E-4 | 9.104147 | 1.06E-4 | 5.2450723E-5 | 5.605404E-5 | 1.960462E-4 | 3.4974499 | 1.4E-4 | 6.3840044E-4 | 6.82248E-4 | 9.300788E-4 | 1.3632562 | 2.48E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.0489767E-5 | 1.11857735E-5 | 1.0118476E-4 | 9.045844 | 9.0E-5 | 4.495537E-5 | 4.7938163E-5 | 1.679324E-4 | 3.503105 | 1.2E-4 | 5.4719415E-4 | 5.834931E-4 | 7.953694E-4 | 1.3631171 | 2.12E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.699222E-6 | 9.25898E-6 | 8.925824E-5 | 9.640181 | 8.0E-5 | 3.7281847E-5 | 3.968074E-5 | 1.3967678E-4 | 3.5200143 | 1.0E-4 | 4.5381195E-4 | 4.830065E-4 | 6.609205E-4 | 1.368347 | 1.78E-4 |
| 6.8 | 8.307732E-6 | 8.83768E-6 | 8.683699E-5 | 9.8257675 | 7.8E-5 | 3.560408E-5 | 3.7875227E-5 | 1.338716E-4 | 3.5345423 | 9.6E-5 | 4.3339343E-4 | 4.6103372E-4 | 6.2095997E-4 | 1.3468862 | 1.6E-4 |
| 6.9 | 8.073121E-6 | 8.585091E-6 | 8.0584476E-5 | 9.38656 | 7.2E-5 | 3.459863E-5 | 3.679273E-5 | 1.2678943E-4 | 3.4460454 | 9.0E-5 | 4.2115687E-4 | 4.4785984E-4 | 5.9979176E-4 | 1.33924 | 1.52E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.617019E-6 | 8.094225E-6 | 7.6093675E-5 | 9.400983 | 6.8E-5 | 3.264396E-5 | 3.468908E-5 | 1.206861E-4 | 3.4790804 | 8.6E-5 | 3.9736772E-4 | 4.222581E-4 | 5.6819647E-4 | 1.3456141 | 1.46E-4 |
| 7.1 | 7.1224836E-6 | 7.564161E-6 | 7.156368E-5 | 9.460887 | 6.4E-5 | 3.052457E-5 | 3.2417433E-5 | 1.14414775E-4 | 3.529421 | 8.2E-5 | 3.715733E-4 | 3.9461112E-4 | 5.26559E-4 | 1.3343745 | 1.32E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.441115E-6 | 6.8440863E-6 | 6.884366E-5 | 10.058853 | 6.2E-5 | 2.7604487E-5 | 2.933147E-5 | 1.033293E-4 | 3.5228136 | 7.4E-5 | 3.360328E-4 | 3.5705237E-4 | 4.7301096E-4 | 1.3247663 | 1.16E-4 |
| 7.3 | 5.494274E-6 | 5.8339797E-6 | 5.9833666E-5 | 10.256063 | 5.4E-5 | 2.3546674E-5 | 2.5002531E-5 | 8.500103E-5 | 3.399697 | 6.0E-5 | 2.8664304E-4 | 3.043635E-4 | 4.0233368E-4 | 1.3218855 | 9.8E-5 |
| 7.4 | 4.0802624E-6 | 4.3219957E-6 | 5.0321796E-5 | 11.643186 | 4.6E-5 | 1.7486722E-5 | 1.8522707E-5 | 6.852178E-5 | 3.6993394 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1288003E-4 | 2.254907E-4 | 3.0347312E-4 | 1.3458343 | 7.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 2.3584746E-6 | 2.4805838E-6 | 3.2480508E-5 | 13.093898 | 3.0E-5 | 1.0107709E-5 | 1.063103E-5 | 4.263069E-5 | 4.0100245 | 3.2E-5 | 1.2305441E-4 | 1.2942516E-4 | 1.7941868E-4 | 1.3862736 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 9.4981914E-7 | 9.879005E-7 | 1.4987887E-5 | 15.1714525 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0706473E-6 | 4.233853E-6 | 2.0233785E-5 | 4.779048 | 1.6E-5 | 4.9559E-5 | 5.154595E-5 | 7.954451E-5 | 1.5431767 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.6013532E-7 | 2.6457315E-7 | 4.264572E-6 | 16.118689 | 4.0E-6 | 1.1148652E-6 | 1.1338843E-6 | 7.1338777E-6 | 6.2915387 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3573399E-5 | 1.3804955E-5 | 2.3804818E-5 | 1.7243676 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 4.1522263E-8 | 3.971007E-8 | 3.971007E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7795254E-7 | 1.70186E-7 | 1.70186E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.16657E-6 | 2.0720129E-6 | 2.0720129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 7.7242046E-10 | 6.001115E-10 | 6.001115E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3103735E-9 | 2.5719067E-9 | 2.5719067E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0303796E-8 | 3.1312965E-8 | 3.1312965E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Earthquake Valley
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2777589E-5 | 3.4677022E-4 | 15.224184 | 3.24E-4 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.761527E-5 | 5.435717E-4 | 5.568511 | 4.46E-4 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011879394 | 0.001865134 | 1.5700581 | 6.78E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2777589E-5 | 3.4677022E-4 | 15.224184 | 3.24E-4 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.761527E-5 | 5.435717E-4 | 5.568511 | 4.46E-4 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011879394 | 0.001865134 | 1.5700581 | 6.78E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2777589E-5 | 3.4677022E-4 | 15.224184 | 3.24E-4 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.761527E-5 | 5.435717E-4 | 5.568511 | 4.46E-4 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011879394 | 0.001865134 | 1.5700581 | 6.78E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2777589E-5 | 3.4677022E-4 | 15.224184 | 3.24E-4 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.761527E-5 | 5.435717E-4 | 5.568511 | 4.46E-4 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011879394 | 0.001865134 | 1.5700581 | 6.78E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.9416384E-5 | 2.2777589E-5 | 3.4677022E-4 | 15.224184 | 3.24E-4 | 8.321042E-5 | 9.761527E-5 | 5.435717E-4 | 5.568511 | 4.46E-4 | 0.001012616 | 0.0011879394 | 0.001865134 | 1.5700581 | 6.78E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.2745933E-5 | 3.4673855E-4 | 15.24398 | 3.24E-4 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.747961E-5 | 5.4343615E-4 | 5.5748696 | 4.46E-4 | 0.0010111968 | 0.0011862896 | 0.0018634853 | 1.5708519 | 6.78E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.9389157E-5 | 2.2745933E-5 | 3.4673855E-4 | 15.24398 | 3.24E-4 | 8.309374E-5 | 9.747961E-5 | 5.4343615E-4 | 5.5748696 | 4.46E-4 | 0.0010111968 | 0.0011862896 | 0.0018634853 | 1.5708519 | 6.78E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.4925434E-5 | 1.7347935E-5 | 2.9134317E-4 | 16.794113 | 2.74E-4 | 6.396457E-5 | 7.434666E-5 | 4.4831884E-4 | 6.0301147 | 3.74E-4 | 7.7849044E-4 | 9.0488105E-4 | 0.0014723671 | 1.6271389 | 5.68E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5742446E-5 | 2.7373838E-4 | 17.388554 | 2.58E-4 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.746635E-5 | 4.194426E-4 | 6.2170634 | 3.52E-4 | 7.0783484E-4 | 8.211767E-4 | 0.0013527399 | 1.6473188 | 5.32E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.3570335E-5 | 1.5742446E-5 | 2.7373838E-4 | 17.388554 | 2.58E-4 | 5.8157282E-5 | 6.746635E-5 | 4.194426E-4 | 6.2170634 | 3.52E-4 | 7.0783484E-4 | 8.211767E-4 | 0.0013527399 | 1.6473188 | 5.32E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.3433392E-5 | 1.558486E-5 | 2.7158088E-4 | 17.425943 | 2.56E-4 | 5.757041E-5 | 6.679101E-5 | 4.1476777E-4 | 6.2099338 | 3.48E-4 | 7.0069433E-4 | 8.1296056E-4 | 0.001338533 | 1.6464919 | 5.26E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.181609E-6 | 9.495071E-6 | 1.434938E-4 | 15.112452 | 1.34E-4 | 3.5063567E-5 | 4.069291E-5 | 2.2868525E-4 | 5.6197815 | 1.88E-4 | 4.268153E-4 | 4.953917E-4 | 7.8524806E-4 | 1.5851053 | 2.9E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.0663983E-7 | 1.7608916E-7 | 6.176088E-6 | 35.073643 | 6.0E-6 | 8.855989E-7 | 7.546676E-7 | 1.4754657E-5 | 19.551199 | 1.4E-5 | 1.0782113E-5 | 9.188044E-6 | 2.7187878E-5 | 2.9590497 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.0462376E-7 | 1.7421479E-7 | 6.174214E-6 | 35.44024 | 6.0E-6 | 8.7695867E-7 | 7.466346E-7 | 1.4746624E-5 | 19.750792 | 1.4E-5 | 1.0676919E-5 | 9.090242E-6 | 2.7090078E-5 | 2.9801273 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.0171088E-7 | 1.7200713E-7 | 6.172006E-6 | 35.88227 | 6.0E-6 | 8.644749E-7 | 7.371732E-7 | 1.4737163E-5 | 19.991451 | 1.4E-5 | 1.0524931E-5 | 8.975051E-6 | 2.6974889E-5 | 3.0055418 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.4847944E-7 | 1.2813427E-7 | 4.1281337E-6 | 32.21725 | 4.0E-6 | 6.363403E-7 | 5.4914676E-7 | 1.2549141E-5 | 22.85207 | 1.2E-5 | 7.747416E-6 | 6.6858433E-6 | 2.2685737E-5 | 3.3931 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.3185847E-7 | 1.13570835E-7 | 4.1135704E-6 | 36.220306 | 4.0E-6 | 5.6510765E-7 | 4.8673206E-7 | 1.24867265E-5 | 25.65421 | 1.2E-5 | 6.8801637E-6 | 5.925949E-6 | 2.1925855E-5 | 3.6999736 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.8609954E-8 | 1.4523146E-8 | 1.4523146E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2261408E-7 | 6.224205E-8 | 6.224205E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4928254E-6 | 7.577968E-7 | 7.577968E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 6.527266E-9 | 2.9785485E-9 | 2.9785485E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7973995E-8 | 1.27652084E-8 | 1.27652084E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4058334E-7 | 1.554164E-7 | 1.554164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 1.2898267E-9 | 7.219496E-10 | 7.219496E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.527829E-9 | 3.0940694E-9 | 3.0940694E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7301315E-8 | 3.7670297E-8 | 3.7670297E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Simi-Santa Rosa
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2370097E-5 | 3.5636264E-4 | 15.930312 | 3.34E-4 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.586857E-5 | 5.49825E-4 | 5.735196 | 4.54E-4 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011666192 | 0.0018298447 | 1.568502 | 6.64E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.198912E-5 | 2.2370097E-5 | 3.5636264E-4 | 15.930312 | 3.34E-4 | 9.4235686E-5 | 9.586857E-5 | 5.49825E-4 | 5.735196 | 4.54E-4 | 0.0011467156 | 0.0011666192 | 0.0018298447 | 1.568502 | 6.64E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6728127E-5 | 3.007234E-4 | 17.97711 | 2.84E-4 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.169017E-5 | 4.436635E-4 | 6.188624 | 3.72E-4 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.7250787E-4 | 0.0014000472 | 1.6046242 | 5.28E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.69983E-5 | 1.6728127E-5 | 3.007234E-4 | 17.97711 | 2.84E-4 | 7.284782E-5 | 7.169017E-5 | 4.436635E-4 | 6.188624 | 3.72E-4 | 8.865613E-4 | 8.7250787E-4 | 0.0014000472 | 1.6046242 | 5.28E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4095969E-5 | 2.7209232E-4 | 19.302847 | 2.58E-4 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.041004E-5 | 3.9638975E-4 | 6.5616536 | 3.36E-4 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.352693E-4 | 0.0012109193 | 1.6469059 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.4666188E-5 | 1.4095969E-5 | 2.7209232E-4 | 19.302847 | 2.58E-4 | 6.285358E-5 | 6.041004E-5 | 3.9638975E-4 | 6.5616536 | 3.36E-4 | 7.6497364E-4 | 7.352693E-4 | 0.0012109193 | 1.6469059 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.4377586E-5 | 1.377106E-5 | 2.6776755E-4 | 19.444221 | 2.54E-4 | 6.1616774E-5 | 5.901764E-5 | 3.8899816E-4 | 6.591219 | 3.3E-4 | 7.4992597E-4 | 7.1832805E-4 | 0.0011859919 | 1.651045 | 4.68E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.3881404E-5 | 1.3245811E-5 | 2.632425E-4 | 19.873642 | 2.5E-4 | 5.9490372E-5 | 5.676667E-5 | 3.787484E-4 | 6.672021 | 3.22E-4 | 7.240546E-4 | 6.9094007E-4 | 0.0011486236 | 1.662407 | 4.58E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.0176516E-5 | 9.1663405E-6 | 2.0316456E-4 | 22.164194 | 1.94E-4 | 4.3612912E-5 | 3.9283823E-5 | 2.8527415E-4 | 7.2618737 | 2.46E-4 | 5.308578E-4 | 4.7819238E-4 | 8.200288E-4 | 1.7148514 | 3.42E-4 |
| 6.9 | 9.699797E-6 | 8.783504E-6 | 1.9478187E-4 | 22.175873 | 1.86E-4 | 4.15699E-5 | 3.7643138E-5 | 2.7163434E-4 | 7.216038 | 2.34E-4 | 5.05996E-4 | 4.5822552E-4 | 7.840761E-4 | 1.711114 | 3.26E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.4049476E-6 | 6.550727E-6 | 1.645497E-4 | 25.119303 | 1.58E-4 | 3.1735104E-5 | 2.8074315E-5 | 2.2606876E-4 | 8.052512 | 1.98E-4 | 3.8630638E-4 | 3.41764E-4 | 6.19669E-4 | 1.8131489 | 2.78E-4 |
| 7.1 | 3.873439E-6 | 2.7225885E-6 | 1.2072227E-4 | 44.340992 | 1.18E-4 | 1.6600346E-5 | 1.1668185E-5 | 1.656664E-4 | 14.198128 | 1.54E-4 | 2.0209046E-4 | 1.4205114E-4 | 3.4602216E-4 | 2.4358985 | 2.04E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.417706E-6 | 2.3281013E-6 | 1.1432784E-4 | 49.107758 | 1.12E-4 | 1.4647229E-5 | 9.977541E-6 | 1.5597609E-4 | 15.632719 | 1.46E-4 | 1.7831543E-4 | 1.2147001E-4 | 3.1344668E-4 | 2.580445 | 1.92E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.90225E-6 | 1.3618122E-6 | 1.0336167E-4 | 75.90009 | 1.02E-4 | 8.152474E-6 | 5.8363253E-6 | 1.3983554E-4 | 23.959518 | 1.34E-4 | 9.9251854E-5 | 7.1054965E-5 | 2.4904232E-4 | 3.504925 | 1.78E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.5170556E-6 | 1.0549155E-6 | 1.0105481E-4 | 95.79423 | 1.0E-4 | 6.5016507E-6 | 4.5210586E-6 | 1.3652047E-4 | 30.19657 | 1.32E-4 | 7.915472E-5 | 5.5042507E-5 | 2.2903293E-4 | 4.1610193 | 1.74E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.178732E-6 | 8.047889E-7 | 9.0804715E-5 | 112.830475 | 9.0E-5 | 5.0516987E-6 | 3.4490909E-6 | 1.21448684E-4 | 35.211796 | 1.18E-4 | 6.1502695E-5 | 4.199188E-5 | 1.9598541E-4 | 4.6672215 | 1.54E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.8722386E-7 | 4.2885796E-7 | 7.842883E-5 | 182.87833 | 7.8E-5 | 2.9452417E-6 | 1.8379615E-6 | 1.0783777E-4 | 58.672485 | 1.06E-4 | 3.5857727E-5 | 2.2376951E-5 | 1.6237382E-4 | 7.2562976 | 1.4E-4 |
| 7.7 | 5.5126515E-7 | 3.1802585E-7 | 7.4318E-5 | 233.6854 | 7.4E-5 | 2.3625628E-6 | 1.3629673E-6 | 1.0336283E-4 | 75.83662 | 1.02E-4 | 2.8763823E-5 | 1.6594002E-5 | 1.5059178E-4 | 9.075073 | 1.34E-4 |
| 7.8 | 3.3860243E-7 | 1.9751172E-7 | 5.81975E-5 | 294.65338 | 5.8E-5 | 1.4511525E-6 | 8.464786E-7 | 7.6846416E-5 | 90.78365 | 7.6E-5 | 1.7667637E-5 | 1.0305828E-5 | 1.0430486E-4 | 10.120958 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.7955386E-7 | 1.507798E-7 | 4.6150773E-5 | 306.0806 | 4.6E-5 | 1.1980875E-6 | 6.46199E-7 | 6.4646156E-5 | 100.040634 | 6.4E-5 | 1.4586617E-5 | 7.867445E-6 | 8.586683E-5 | 10.914196 | 7.8E-5 |
| 8.0 | 5.6259015E-8 | 3.4615535E-8 | 1.4034615E-5 | 405.44266 | 1.4E-5 | 2.4111003E-7 | 1.4835229E-7 | 1.614835E-5 | 108.85137 | 1.6E-5 | 2.9355108E-6 | 1.8061878E-6 | 2.1806152E-5 | 12.073026 | 2.0E-5 |
Coyote Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1738573E-5 | 3.2173205E-4 | 14.800055 | 3.0E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.316239E-5 | 4.931251E-4 | 5.293178 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.001133734 | 0.0017849947 | 1.5744388 | 6.52E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1738573E-5 | 3.2173205E-4 | 14.800055 | 3.0E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.316239E-5 | 4.931251E-4 | 5.293178 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.001133734 | 0.0017849947 | 1.5744388 | 6.52E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.980352E-5 | 2.1738573E-5 | 3.2173205E-4 | 14.800055 | 3.0E-4 | 8.486947E-5 | 9.316239E-5 | 4.931251E-4 | 5.293178 | 4.0E-4 | 0.0010327959 | 0.001133734 | 0.0017849947 | 1.5744388 | 6.52E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6828792E-5 | 2.3082519E-4 | 13.716088 | 2.14E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2121744E-5 | 3.5210155E-4 | 4.8820443 | 2.8E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.777896E-4 | 0.0013613647 | 1.5509009 | 4.84E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.5344787E-5 | 1.6828792E-5 | 2.3082519E-4 | 13.716088 | 2.14E-4 | 6.576172E-5 | 7.2121744E-5 | 3.5210155E-4 | 4.8820443 | 2.8E-4 | 8.003548E-4 | 8.777896E-4 | 0.0013613647 | 1.5509009 | 4.84E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.4189697E-5 | 1.5560156E-5 | 2.1355707E-4 | 13.72461 | 1.98E-4 | 6.081157E-5 | 6.668502E-5 | 3.2666768E-4 | 4.898667 | 2.6E-4 | 7.401293E-4 | 8.1164786E-4 | 0.0012652794 | 1.5589019 | 4.54E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.3469301E-5 | 1.477035E-5 | 2.1076745E-4 | 14.269631 | 1.96E-4 | 5.7724297E-5 | 6.33003E-5 | 3.1728423E-4 | 5.0123653 | 2.54E-4 | 7.025667E-4 | 7.7046856E-4 | 0.0012141265 | 1.5758287 | 4.44E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.3027966E-5 | 1.428685E-5 | 2.0228417E-4 | 14.158766 | 1.88E-4 | 5.5832945E-5 | 6.122826E-5 | 3.072132E-4 | 5.0175066 | 2.46E-4 | 6.7955407E-4 | 7.452587E-4 | 0.0011729398 | 1.5738692 | 4.28E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.695434E-6 | 6.2536733E-6 | 7.425325E-5 | 11.873542 | 6.8E-5 | 2.4408775E-5 | 2.6801352E-5 | 1.1479899E-4 | 4.2833285 | 8.8E-5 | 2.971363E-4 | 3.2628787E-4 | 4.7224024E-4 | 1.4473116 | 1.46E-4 |
| 6.9 | 4.385688E-6 | 4.815585E-6 | 6.0815317E-5 | 12.628854 | 5.6E-5 | 1.879567E-5 | 2.0638221E-5 | 8.8636814E-5 | 4.29479 | 6.8E-5 | 2.2881327E-4 | 2.5127034E-4 | 3.612427E-4 | 1.4376655 | 1.1E-4 |
Verdugo
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.221191E-6 | 3.362198E-4 | 79.65046 | 3.32E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8090695E-5 | 4.600827E-4 | 25.432007 | 4.42E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2023244E-4 | 8.76088E-4 | 3.9780152 | 6.56E-4 |
| 6.1 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.221191E-6 | 3.362198E-4 | 79.65046 | 3.32E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8090695E-5 | 4.600827E-4 | 25.432007 | 4.42E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2023244E-4 | 8.76088E-4 | 3.9780152 | 6.56E-4 |
| 6.2 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.221191E-6 | 3.362198E-4 | 79.65046 | 3.32E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8090695E-5 | 4.600827E-4 | 25.432007 | 4.42E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2023244E-4 | 8.76088E-4 | 3.9780152 | 6.56E-4 |
| 6.3 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.221191E-6 | 3.362198E-4 | 79.65046 | 3.32E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8090695E-5 | 4.600827E-4 | 25.432007 | 4.42E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2023244E-4 | 8.76088E-4 | 3.9780152 | 6.56E-4 |
| 6.4 | 5.392987E-6 | 4.221191E-6 | 3.362198E-4 | 79.65046 | 3.32E-4 | 2.3112598E-5 | 1.8090695E-5 | 4.600827E-4 | 25.432007 | 4.42E-4 | 2.8135953E-4 | 2.2023244E-4 | 8.76088E-4 | 3.9780152 | 6.56E-4 |
| 6.5 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.726275E-6 | 2.8572523E-4 | 76.67851 | 2.82E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5969654E-5 | 3.8196382E-4 | 23.918102 | 3.66E-4 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9441338E-4 | 7.343084E-4 | 3.7770464 | 5.4E-4 |
| 6.6 | 4.9154837E-6 | 3.726275E-6 | 2.8572523E-4 | 76.67851 | 2.82E-4 | 2.1066187E-5 | 1.5969654E-5 | 3.8196382E-4 | 23.918102 | 3.66E-4 | 2.5645064E-4 | 1.9441338E-4 | 7.343084E-4 | 3.7770464 | 5.4E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.817006E-6 | 3.6242877E-6 | 2.8162327E-4 | 77.70445 | 2.78E-4 | 2.0644147E-5 | 1.553257E-5 | 3.7152704E-4 | 23.919226 | 3.56E-4 | 2.513135E-4 | 1.8909283E-4 | 7.109941E-4 | 3.760027 | 5.22E-4 |
| 6.8 | 4.507407E-6 | 3.3099086E-6 | 2.5930908E-4 | 78.34327 | 2.56E-4 | 1.9317316E-5 | 1.4185246E-5 | 3.3818066E-4 | 23.84031 | 3.24E-4 | 2.3516294E-4 | 1.7269183E-4 | 6.526089E-4 | 3.7790377 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.9 | 4.3573054E-6 | 3.1634333E-6 | 2.4516266E-4 | 77.49892 | 2.42E-4 | 1.8674033E-5 | 1.3557502E-5 | 3.1755338E-4 | 23.422707 | 3.04E-4 | 2.2733262E-4 | 1.6505021E-4 | 6.1297626E-4 | 3.7138777 | 4.48E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.171527E-6 | 2.985636E-6 | 2.3098495E-4 | 77.36541 | 2.28E-4 | 1.787785E-5 | 1.2795521E-5 | 2.9279193E-4 | 22.882378 | 2.8E-4 | 2.1764109E-4 | 1.5577444E-4 | 5.657106E-4 | 3.6316006 | 4.1E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.0405484E-6 | 2.883813E-6 | 2.148832E-4 | 74.51357 | 2.12E-4 | 1.731652E-5 | 1.2359141E-5 | 2.743559E-4 | 22.198624 | 2.62E-4 | 2.1080824E-4 | 1.5046225E-4 | 5.2840536E-4 | 3.51188 | 3.78E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.8306007E-6 | 2.7027725E-6 | 2.0470223E-4 | 75.73787 | 2.02E-4 | 1.6416758E-5 | 1.158326E-5 | 2.5958038E-4 | 22.40996 | 2.48E-4 | 1.9985568E-4 | 1.4101717E-4 | 4.949673E-4 | 3.5099788 | 3.54E-4 |
| 7.3 | 3.5750938E-6 | 2.5123695E-6 | 1.9251188E-4 | 76.625626 | 1.9E-4 | 1.532174E-5 | 1.0767254E-5 | 2.4476473E-4 | 22.732327 | 2.34E-4 | 1.8652623E-4 | 1.3108354E-4 | 4.6503975E-4 | 3.5476596 | 3.34E-4 |
| 7.4 | 3.3510041E-6 | 2.3402877E-6 | 1.7633988E-4 | 75.34966 | 1.74E-4 | 1.4361368E-5 | 1.0029766E-5 | 2.2802758E-4 | 22.735085 | 2.18E-4 | 1.7483562E-4 | 1.2210566E-4 | 4.3006806E-4 | 3.5220976 | 3.08E-4 |
| 7.5 | 2.948287E-6 | 2.0450211E-6 | 1.2604476E-4 | 61.634945 | 1.24E-4 | 1.2635454E-5 | 8.7643475E-6 | 1.5876304E-4 | 18.114643 | 1.5E-4 | 1.538258E-4 | 1.0670081E-4 | 3.2667734E-4 | 3.06162 | 2.2E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.0134323E-6 | 1.4578577E-6 | 8.345774E-5 | 57.246834 | 8.2E-5 | 8.628967E-6 | 6.247947E-6 | 1.0824731E-4 | 17.32526 | 1.02E-4 | 1.05052604E-4 | 7.606619E-5 | 2.3005447E-4 | 3.0243986 | 1.54E-4 |
| 7.7 | 5.726436E-7 | 4.0749654E-7 | 4.240748E-5 | 104.06831 | 4.2E-5 | 2.4541846E-6 | 1.7464127E-6 | 5.374632E-5 | 30.775269 | 5.2E-5 | 2.9879287E-5 | 2.1262395E-5 | 9.726078E-5 | 4.57431 | 7.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 1.6248204E-7 | 1.08688056E-7 | 2.2108685E-5 | 203.41412 | 2.2E-5 | 6.963514E-7 | 4.6580587E-7 | 2.8465793E-5 | 61.11085 | 2.8E-5 | 8.478045E-6 | 5.671172E-6 | 4.967092E-5 | 8.758493 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 4.4475744E-8 | 3.0649893E-8 | 3.0649893E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9061031E-7 | 1.3135669E-7 | 1.3135669E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.320678E-6 | 1.5992666E-6 | 1.5992666E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Homestead Valley 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3410025E-6 | 3.2033902E-4 | 50.51867 | 3.14E-4 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.717556E-5 | 4.3716442E-4 | 16.086676 | 4.1E-4 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.308331E-4 | 9.806181E-4 | 2.9640868 | 6.5E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3410025E-6 | 3.2033902E-4 | 50.51867 | 3.14E-4 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.717556E-5 | 4.3716442E-4 | 16.086676 | 4.1E-4 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.308331E-4 | 9.806181E-4 | 2.9640868 | 6.5E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3410025E-6 | 3.2033902E-4 | 50.51867 | 3.14E-4 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.717556E-5 | 4.3716442E-4 | 16.086676 | 4.1E-4 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.308331E-4 | 9.806181E-4 | 2.9640868 | 6.5E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3410025E-6 | 3.2033902E-4 | 50.51867 | 3.14E-4 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.717556E-5 | 4.3716442E-4 | 16.086676 | 4.1E-4 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.308331E-4 | 9.806181E-4 | 2.9640868 | 6.5E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.539795E-5 | 6.3410025E-6 | 3.2033902E-4 | 50.51867 | 3.14E-4 | 6.5989545E-5 | 2.717556E-5 | 4.3716442E-4 | 16.086676 | 4.1E-4 | 8.0312655E-4 | 3.308331E-4 | 9.806181E-4 | 2.9640868 | 6.5E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.0265258E-5 | 2.9200814E-6 | 1.5691963E-4 | 53.738102 | 1.54E-4 | 4.3993223E-5 | 1.2514615E-5 | 2.1051214E-4 | 16.821304 | 1.98E-4 | 5.3548586E-4 | 1.5236193E-4 | 4.583153E-4 | 3.0080698 | 3.06E-4 |
| 6.6 | 6.664671E-6 | 5.4490494E-7 | 3.054489E-5 | 56.055447 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8562565E-5 | 2.3353055E-6 | 3.6335226E-5 | 15.55909 | 3.4E-5 | 3.476937E-4 | 2.8432096E-5 | 7.643073E-5 | 2.688185 | 4.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 6.5954046E-6 | 5.4490494E-7 | 3.054489E-5 | 56.055447 | 3.0E-5 | 2.8265715E-5 | 2.3353055E-6 | 3.6335226E-5 | 15.55909 | 3.4E-5 | 3.4408073E-4 | 2.8432096E-5 | 7.643073E-5 | 2.688185 | 4.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 4.648189E-6 | 2.3743574E-7 | 8.237434E-6 | 34.693317 | 8.0E-6 | 1.9920659E-5 | 1.0175814E-6 | 1.10175715E-5 | 10.827213 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4250703E-4 | 1.2388989E-5 | 2.838879E-5 | 2.2914534 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 4.1428534E-6 | 1.9730835E-7 | 4.1973076E-6 | 21.272833 | 4.0E-6 | 1.7754966E-5 | 8.4560696E-7 | 6.845602E-6 | 8.0954895 | 6.0E-6 | 2.1614527E-4 | 1.0295219E-5 | 2.2295095E-5 | 2.1655777 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 3.0673707E-6 | 1.565104E-7 | 2.1565102E-6 | 13.778702 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3145808E-5 | 6.7075865E-7 | 4.670756E-6 | 6.9633927 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6003846E-4 | 8.1664575E-6 | 1.6166392E-5 | 1.9796089 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.340854E-6 | 1.4945107E-7 | 2.1494507E-6 | 14.382305 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0032193E-5 | 6.405044E-7 | 4.6405016E-6 | 7.245074 | 4.0E-6 | 1.221351E-4 | 7.798114E-6 | 1.5798052E-5 | 2.025881 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.3754182E-6 | 1.4147271E-7 | 2.1414724E-6 | 15.137 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8946357E-6 | 6.0631146E-7 | 2.6063103E-6 | 4.2986326 | 2.0E-6 | 7.176483E-5 | 7.3818182E-6 | 1.3381774E-5 | 1.8128018 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.2573237E-6 | 1.4049411E-7 | 2.1404937E-6 | 15.23547 | 2.0E-6 | 5.388519E-6 | 6.021175E-7 | 2.6021162E-6 | 4.321609 | 2.0E-6 | 6.560324E-5 | 7.330757E-6 | 1.3330713E-5 | 1.8184633 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.0994207E-6 | 1.3311961E-7 | 2.1331193E-6 | 16.02408 | 2.0E-6 | 4.7117946E-6 | 5.7051255E-7 | 2.5705115E-6 | 4.5056176 | 2.0E-6 | 5.736459E-5 | 6.945969E-6 | 1.2945927E-5 | 1.8638043 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 5.5569126E-7 | 6.877722E-8 | 6.877722E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3815317E-6 | 2.9475947E-7 | 2.9475947E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8994764E-5 | 3.5886915E-6 | 7.588677E-6 | 2.1146083 | 4.0E-6 |
Nelson Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0206732E-5 | 2.3620443E-4 | 23.142021 | 2.26E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3742464E-5 | 3.5372892E-4 | 8.086625 | 3.1E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3244474E-4 | 0.0010721572 | 2.0136497 | 5.4E-4 |
| 6.1 | 9.913453E-6 | 1.0206732E-5 | 2.3620443E-4 | 23.142021 | 2.26E-4 | 4.2485535E-5 | 4.3742464E-5 | 3.5372892E-4 | 8.086625 | 3.1E-4 | 5.1713863E-4 | 5.3244474E-4 | 0.0010721572 | 2.0136497 | 5.4E-4 |
| 6.2 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.703429E-6 | 8.470305E-5 | 18.008787 | 8.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0157406E-5 | 1.4015498E-4 | 6.9530272 | 1.2E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4539005E-4 | 4.753336E-4 | 1.9370533 | 2.3E-4 |
| 6.3 | 4.5596407E-6 | 4.703429E-6 | 8.470305E-5 | 18.008787 | 8.0E-5 | 1.954117E-5 | 2.0157406E-5 | 1.4015498E-4 | 6.9530272 | 1.2E-4 | 2.3788778E-4 | 2.4539005E-4 | 4.753336E-4 | 1.9370533 | 2.3E-4 |
| 6.4 | 3.4025713E-6 | 3.5154956E-6 | 6.151529E-5 | 17.498327 | 5.8E-5 | 1.4582367E-5 | 1.5066327E-5 | 1.0106503E-4 | 6.708007 | 8.6E-5 | 1.7752586E-4 | 1.8341794E-4 | 3.433886E-4 | 1.8721647 | 1.6E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.8352947E-6 | 2.9326902E-6 | 5.2932544E-5 | 18.049143 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2151207E-5 | 1.25686165E-5 | 8.456771E-5 | 6.7284822 | 7.2E-5 | 1.479309E-4 | 1.5301291E-4 | 2.8099332E-4 | 1.8364028 | 1.28E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.251518E-6 | 2.333125E-6 | 4.633302E-5 | 19.858784 | 4.4E-5 | 9.649328E-6 | 9.999072E-6 | 6.599851E-5 | 6.600464 | 5.6E-5 | 1.1747423E-4 | 1.21732526E-4 | 2.2372011E-4 | 1.8378006 | 1.02E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.8911853E-6 | 1.9626998E-6 | 3.5962632E-5 | 18.323042 | 3.4E-5 | 8.105055E-6 | 8.411547E-6 | 5.441116E-5 | 6.468627 | 4.6E-5 | 9.867457E-5 | 1.0240636E-4 | 1.9239714E-4 | 1.8787616 | 9.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.4874814E-6 | 1.5467876E-6 | 2.5546751E-5 | 16.516005 | 2.4E-5 | 6.374905E-6 | 6.629076E-6 | 4.062885E-5 | 6.1288857 | 3.4E-5 | 7.76117E-5 | 8.070654E-5 | 1.5070089E-4 | 1.86727 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 6.835972E-7 | 7.155955E-7 | 1.2715587E-5 | 17.769238 | 1.2E-5 | 2.9296991E-6 | 3.0668361E-6 | 1.5066799E-5 | 4.912815 | 1.2E-5 | 3.56685E-5 | 3.733841E-5 | 6.333744E-5 | 1.6963079 | 2.6E-5 |
Santa Cruz Catalina Ridge alt1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.2833184E-5 | 3.677049E-5 | 3.5275886E-4 | 9.593533 | 3.16E-4 | 1.4070606E-4 | 1.5757924E-4 | 5.4951746E-4 | 3.4872453 | 3.92E-4 | 0.00171175 | 0.0019170081 | 0.0025158578 | 1.3123877 | 6.0E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1759817E-5 | 2.0375586E-4 | 9.363859 | 1.82E-4 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.325314E-5 | 3.112328E-4 | 3.3375049 | 2.18E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.001134786 | 0.0014644116 | 1.2904737 | 3.3E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.9835548E-5 | 2.1759817E-5 | 2.0375586E-4 | 9.363859 | 1.82E-4 | 8.500672E-5 | 9.325314E-5 | 3.112328E-4 | 3.3375049 | 2.18E-4 | 0.0010344655 | 0.001134786 | 0.0014644116 | 1.2904737 | 3.3E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7104472E-5 | 1.5310214E-4 | 8.951 | 1.36E-4 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.330286E-5 | 2.432904E-4 | 3.3189754 | 1.7E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.9210307E-4 | 0.0011518712 | 1.2911861 | 2.6E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.5728183E-5 | 1.7104472E-5 | 1.5310214E-4 | 8.951 | 1.36E-4 | 6.7404755E-5 | 7.330286E-5 | 2.432904E-4 | 3.3189754 | 1.7E-4 | 8.2034385E-4 | 8.9210307E-4 | 0.0011518712 | 1.2911861 | 2.6E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.3707734E-5 | 1.4852683E-5 | 1.2485105E-4 | 8.405959 | 1.1E-4 | 5.8746107E-5 | 6.365283E-5 | 2.0364391E-4 | 3.199291 | 1.4E-4 | 7.1499916E-4 | 7.747012E-4 | 9.905339E-4 | 1.2786012 | 2.16E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.2539813E-5 | 1.3561878E-5 | 9.956071E-5 | 7.3412185 | 8.6E-5 | 5.3740947E-5 | 5.812106E-5 | 1.7211444E-4 | 2.9613094 | 1.14E-4 | 6.540996E-4 | 7.0739683E-4 | 8.8926806E-4 | 1.2570994 | 1.82E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.1504083E-5 | 1.2423645E-5 | 9.64226E-5 | 7.7612166 | 8.4E-5 | 4.930228E-5 | 5.3243115E-5 | 1.6523716E-4 | 3.1034462 | 1.12E-4 | 6.0008996E-4 | 6.4804417E-4 | 8.219314E-4 | 1.2683262 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.012739E-5 | 1.0916512E-5 | 8.091575E-5 | 7.412235 | 7.0E-5 | 4.340238E-5 | 4.6784222E-5 | 1.3678001E-4 | 2.9236355 | 9.0E-5 | 5.282958E-4 | 5.6945055E-4 | 7.133685E-4 | 1.2527313 | 1.44E-4 |
| 6.9 | 8.9607865E-6 | 9.642977E-6 | 6.764242E-5 | 7.0146823 | 5.8E-5 | 3.8402806E-5 | 4.1326395E-5 | 1.1532334E-4 | 2.7905493 | 7.4E-5 | 4.6745385E-4 | 5.0303375E-4 | 6.209744E-4 | 1.2344587 | 1.18E-4 |
| 7.0 | 8.046829E-6 | 8.64947E-6 | 6.2649E-5 | 7.2431026 | 5.4E-5 | 3.4485955E-5 | 3.7068636E-5 | 1.07066044E-4 | 2.8883188 | 7.0E-5 | 4.1978562E-4 | 4.5121802E-4 | 5.651666E-4 | 1.2525355 | 1.14E-4 |
| 7.1 | 7.136131E-6 | 7.663486E-6 | 5.5663117E-5 | 7.26342 | 4.8E-5 | 3.0583058E-5 | 3.28431E-5 | 9.284113E-5 | 2.8268077 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7228514E-4 | 3.997921E-4 | 4.997521E-4 | 1.25003 | 1.0E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.362014E-6 | 6.8276245E-6 | 4.682735E-5 | 6.8585134 | 4.0E-5 | 2.726549E-5 | 2.9260922E-5 | 8.12594E-5 | 2.7770622 | 5.2E-5 | 3.3190678E-4 | 3.5619416E-4 | 4.441628E-4 | 1.2469683 | 8.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 5.004101E-6 | 5.369358E-6 | 3.7369187E-5 | 6.9597125 | 3.2E-5 | 2.1445969E-5 | 2.3011333E-5 | 6.1010458E-5 | 2.6513221 | 3.8E-5 | 2.6107338E-4 | 2.801275E-4 | 3.46109E-4 | 1.235541 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.4 | 3.4901443E-6 | 3.744219E-6 | 2.7744129E-5 | 7.4098577 | 2.4E-5 | 1.4957676E-5 | 1.6046555E-5 | 4.204614E-5 | 2.6202593 | 2.6E-5 | 1.8209449E-4 | 1.953497E-4 | 2.413407E-4 | 1.2354292 | 4.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.1215045E-6 | 1.1926293E-6 | 1.5192612E-5 | 12.738755 | 1.4E-5 | 4.806439E-6 | 5.1112584E-6 | 2.1111176E-5 | 4.1303287 | 1.6E-5 | 5.851682E-5 | 6.2227824E-5 | 8.4226456E-5 | 1.3535177 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 2.8599047E-7 | 3.0023216E-7 | 2.3002315E-6 | 7.66151 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2256729E-6 | 1.2867085E-6 | 3.286706E-6 | 2.5543516 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4922465E-5 | 1.5665566E-5 | 2.1665472E-5 | 1.3829997 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 2.0781519E-7 | 2.179499E-7 | 2.2179495E-6 | 10.176419 | 2.0E-6 | 8.906362E-7 | 9.3407067E-7 | 2.9340688E-6 | 3.1411636 | 2.0E-6 | 1.08434415E-5 | 1.1372252E-5 | 1.5372207E-5 | 1.3517293 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 3.614776E-8 | 3.771952E-8 | 3.771952E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5491896E-7 | 1.6165507E-7 | 1.6165507E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8861368E-6 | 1.9681488E-6 | 1.9681488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Santa Rosa Island
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.586062E-5 | 4.0333216E-5 | 3.203219E-4 | 7.941889 | 2.8E-4 | 1.5367931E-4 | 1.728458E-4 | 5.407822E-4 | 3.1286972 | 3.68E-4 | 0.0018694398 | 0.002102476 | 0.0026852484 | 1.2771838 | 5.84E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3583989E-5 | 1.9557994E-4 | 8.292912 | 1.72E-4 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0107048E-4 | 3.1304907E-4 | 3.0973341 | 2.12E-4 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012298664 | 0.0015654531 | 1.2728645 | 3.36E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.1061249E-5 | 2.3583989E-5 | 1.9557994E-4 | 8.292912 | 1.72E-4 | 9.0259375E-5 | 1.0107048E-4 | 3.1304907E-4 | 3.0973341 | 2.12E-4 | 0.0010983539 | 0.0012298664 | 0.0015654531 | 1.2728645 | 3.36E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.5158236E-5 | 1.6912545E-5 | 1.5491022E-4 | 9.159485 | 1.38E-4 | 6.496225E-5 | 7.248039E-5 | 2.3446865E-4 | 3.2349253 | 1.62E-4 | 7.906284E-4 | 8.8210317E-4 | 0.0011458703 | 1.2990208 | 2.64E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.2341918E-5 | 1.3737437E-5 | 1.257359E-4 | 9.152791 | 1.12E-4 | 5.2892858E-5 | 5.8873447E-5 | 1.888658E-4 | 3.2079961 | 1.3E-4 | 6.437803E-4 | 7.1655645E-4 | 9.244074E-4 | 1.2900692 | 2.08E-4 |
| 6.5 | 9.061158E-6 | 1.0046675E-5 | 9.604581E-5 | 9.559959 | 8.6E-5 | 3.883296E-5 | 4.3056498E-5 | 1.4105228E-4 | 3.2759812 | 9.8E-5 | 4.726887E-4 | 5.24092E-4 | 6.8800605E-4 | 1.3127582 | 1.64E-4 |
| 6.6 | 7.5461685E-6 | 8.347E-6 | 7.6346434E-5 | 9.146571 | 6.8E-5 | 3.2340322E-5 | 3.577239E-5 | 1.1576953E-4 | 3.2362814 | 8.0E-5 | 3.936723E-4 | 4.3544604E-4 | 5.653894E-4 | 1.2984145 | 1.3E-4 |
| 6.7 | 5.5023775E-6 | 6.0549123E-6 | 5.0054645E-5 | 8.266783 | 4.4E-5 | 2.3581404E-5 | 2.5949385E-5 | 7.394814E-5 | 2.849707 | 4.8E-5 | 2.8706578E-4 | 3.1589114E-4 | 4.0386332E-4 | 1.278489 | 8.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.7351679E-6 | 4.0701702E-6 | 3.0070065E-5 | 7.387913 | 2.6E-5 | 1.6007763E-5 | 1.7443484E-5 | 4.344303E-5 | 2.4905019 | 2.6E-5 | 1.948771E-4 | 2.1235614E-4 | 2.7034382E-4 | 1.2730681 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.456366E-6 | 2.6331968E-6 | 2.2633145E-5 | 8.59531 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0527241E-5 | 1.128508E-5 | 3.1284853E-5 | 2.7722313 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2816161E-4 | 1.3738722E-4 | 1.7938144E-4 | 1.3056632 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.3245157E-6 | 2.4871624E-6 | 2.2487113E-5 | 9.041272 | 2.0E-5 | 9.962172E-6 | 1.0659224E-5 | 3.0659012E-5 | 2.8762891 | 2.0E-5 | 1.2128269E-4 | 1.2976835E-4 | 1.7176289E-4 | 1.3236116 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.2248344E-6 | 2.377754E-6 | 2.2377706E-5 | 9.411279 | 2.0E-5 | 9.53497E-6 | 1.0190335E-5 | 3.0190131E-5 | 2.962624 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1608207E-4 | 1.2406029E-4 | 1.6405532E-4 | 1.3223839 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 2.1350402E-6 | 2.2805054E-6 | 2.228046E-5 | 9.769965 | 2.0E-5 | 9.150141E-6 | 9.773558E-6 | 2.9773362E-5 | 3.0463176 | 2.0E-5 | 1.1139726E-4 | 1.18986594E-4 | 1.5698207E-4 | 1.3193257 | 3.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.9793572E-6 | 2.1127503E-6 | 2.0112711E-5 | 9.519683 | 1.8E-5 | 8.482932E-6 | 9.054613E-6 | 2.705445E-5 | 2.987919 | 1.8E-5 | 1.032748E-4 | 1.10234345E-4 | 1.4623038E-4 | 1.326541 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.6951194E-6 | 1.8080273E-6 | 1.9807994E-5 | 10.955585 | 1.8E-5 | 7.264777E-6 | 7.748665E-6 | 2.5748526E-5 | 3.3229628 | 1.8E-5 | 8.844508E-5 | 9.433593E-5 | 1.2633292E-4 | 1.3391813 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 8.987207E-7 | 9.531862E-7 | 1.29531745E-5 | 13.589343 | 1.2E-5 | 3.8516546E-6 | 4.0850773E-6 | 1.6085029E-5 | 3.9375088 | 1.2E-5 | 4.6892885E-5 | 4.9734695E-5 | 7.17336E-5 | 1.4423251 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 3.8783037E-7 | 4.0607037E-7 | 4.406069E-6 | 10.850505 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6621291E-6 | 1.7403005E-6 | 5.7402935E-6 | 3.2984495 | 4.0E-6 | 2.0236233E-5 | 2.118796E-5 | 3.3187705E-5 | 1.5663474 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 6.181804E-8 | 6.348865E-8 | 6.348865E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6493444E-7 | 2.7209418E-7 | 2.7209418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.225572E-6 | 3.3127417E-6 | 3.3127417E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.3704449E-9 | 1.3977073E-9 | 1.3977073E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.873335E-9 | 5.990174E-9 | 5.990174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1507856E-8 | 7.293037E-8 | 7.293037E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Paradise
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.678773E-5 | 2.98783E-4 | 17.797703 | 2.82E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.194556E-5 | 4.2392022E-4 | 5.892236 | 3.52E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7560905E-4 | 0.0014551012 | 1.6618161 | 5.8E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.678773E-5 | 2.98783E-4 | 17.797703 | 2.82E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.194556E-5 | 4.2392022E-4 | 5.892236 | 3.52E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7560905E-4 | 0.0014551012 | 1.6618161 | 5.8E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.4851273E-5 | 1.678773E-5 | 2.98783E-4 | 17.797703 | 2.82E-4 | 6.364676E-5 | 7.194556E-5 | 4.2392022E-4 | 5.892236 | 3.52E-4 | 7.7462377E-4 | 8.7560905E-4 | 0.0014551012 | 1.6618161 | 5.8E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1960652E-5 | 1.7195875E-4 | 14.377037 | 1.6E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.1258965E-5 | 2.532486E-4 | 4.9405723 | 2.02E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.239052E-4 | 9.676906E-4 | 1.5510218 | 3.44E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.0426831E-5 | 1.1960652E-5 | 1.7195875E-4 | 14.377037 | 1.6E-4 | 4.4685654E-5 | 5.1258965E-5 | 2.532486E-4 | 4.9405723 | 2.02E-4 | 5.43912E-4 | 6.239052E-4 | 9.676906E-4 | 1.5510218 | 3.44E-4 |
| 6.5 | 9.25027E-6 | 1.0686962E-5 | 1.3468563E-4 | 12.602799 | 1.24E-4 | 3.964341E-5 | 4.580049E-5 | 2.0979298E-4 | 4.5805836 | 1.64E-4 | 4.8255164E-4 | 5.5748323E-4 | 8.473216E-4 | 1.519905 | 2.9E-4 |
| 6.6 | 7.904275E-6 | 9.220226E-6 | 9.9219396E-5 | 10.761059 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3875025E-5 | 3.9514678E-5 | 1.6150986E-4 | 4.0873384 | 1.22E-4 | 4.1235037E-4 | 4.80989E-4 | 7.1087835E-4 | 1.4779514 | 2.3E-4 |
| 6.7 | 7.2061953E-6 | 8.46499E-6 | 8.8464316E-5 | 10.45061 | 8.0E-5 | 3.088333E-5 | 3.6278045E-5 | 1.4427413E-4 | 3.9768991 | 1.08E-4 | 3.7593965E-4 | 4.4159943E-4 | 6.415111E-4 | 1.4526992 | 2.0E-4 |
| 6.8 | 6.6948724E-6 | 7.897189E-6 | 7.589665E-5 | 9.610591 | 6.8E-5 | 2.8691995E-5 | 3.3844677E-5 | 1.2584156E-4 | 3.7182086 | 9.2E-5 | 3.4926904E-4 | 4.1198463E-4 | 5.8591296E-4 | 1.4221718 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.0421025E-6 | 7.182885E-6 | 6.918244E-5 | 9.631567 | 6.2E-5 | 2.5894467E-5 | 3.078345E-5 | 1.1078099E-4 | 3.5987191 | 8.0E-5 | 3.1521954E-4 | 3.7472747E-4 | 5.30669E-4 | 1.4161465 | 1.56E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.134091E-6 | 5.1258435E-6 | 5.3125597E-5 | 10.3642645 | 4.8E-5 | 1.7717413E-5 | 2.1967726E-5 | 8.596632E-5 | 3.913301 | 6.4E-5 | 2.1568815E-4 | 2.674258E-4 | 3.833948E-4 | 1.4336492 | 1.16E-4 |
| 7.1 | 3.7674888E-6 | 4.675648E-6 | 4.667545E-5 | 9.98267 | 4.2E-5 | 1.6146281E-5 | 2.0038346E-5 | 7.8037185E-5 | 3.8943925 | 5.8E-5 | 1.9656324E-4 | 2.4394112E-4 | 3.5191476E-4 | 1.4426218 | 1.08E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.4065345E-6 | 4.198341E-6 | 4.019819E-5 | 9.5747795 | 3.6E-5 | 1.4599351E-5 | 1.7992774E-5 | 6.7991874E-5 | 3.7788434 | 5.0E-5 | 1.777326E-4 | 2.1904154E-4 | 3.1901963E-4 | 1.4564344 | 1.0E-4 |
| 7.3 | 2.9934936E-6 | 3.6664999E-6 | 3.5666384E-5 | 9.727637 | 3.2E-5 | 1.2829195E-5 | 1.5713485E-5 | 5.9712795E-5 | 3.8000987 | 4.4E-5 | 1.5618425E-4 | 1.912964E-4 | 2.832788E-4 | 1.4808371 | 9.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.4049796E-6 | 2.9209077E-6 | 3.0920826E-5 | 10.586033 | 2.8E-5 | 1.0307015E-5 | 1.2518124E-5 | 5.2517622E-5 | 4.195327 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2548068E-4 | 1.5239898E-4 | 2.3638619E-4 | 1.5511007 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.2710091E-6 | 1.531703E-6 | 1.5531681E-5 | 10.14014 | 1.4E-5 | 5.44717E-6 | 6.5644317E-6 | 2.8564287E-5 | 4.3513722 | 2.2E-5 | 6.631728E-5 | 7.992031E-5 | 1.2791647E-4 | 1.6005503 | 4.8E-5 |
| 7.6 | 2.21172E-7 | 2.6377788E-7 | 2.6377788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.478797E-7 | 1.1304763E-6 | 3.1304742E-6 | 2.7691638 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1540374E-5 | 1.3763492E-5 | 2.5763327E-5 | 1.8718598 | 1.2E-5 |
Red Pass
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.258278E-6 | 8.566573E-6 | 2.865642E-4 | 33.451435 | 2.78E-4 | 3.539214E-5 | 3.671347E-5 | 4.166995E-4 | 11.350044 | 3.8E-4 | 4.308141E-4 | 4.4691277E-4 | 0.0010206562 | 2.283793 | 5.74E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7818568E-6 | 1.257814E-4 | 33.259163 | 1.22E-4 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6207883E-5 | 1.8620513E-4 | 11.488553 | 1.7E-4 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.973179E-4 | 4.572666E-4 | 2.3174107 | 2.6E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.649988E-6 | 3.7818568E-6 | 1.257814E-4 | 33.259163 | 1.22E-4 | 1.5642712E-5 | 1.6207883E-5 | 1.8620513E-4 | 11.488553 | 1.7E-4 | 1.9043336E-4 | 1.973179E-4 | 4.572666E-4 | 2.3174107 | 2.6E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4436557E-6 | 5.3443582E-5 | 37.019615 | 5.2E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.187089E-6 | 6.81867E-5 | 11.020805 | 6.2E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.532663E-5 | 1.7531909E-4 | 2.3274517 | 1.0E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.3924937E-6 | 1.4436557E-6 | 5.3443582E-5 | 37.019615 | 5.2E-5 | 5.9678164E-6 | 6.187089E-6 | 6.81867E-5 | 11.020805 | 6.2E-5 | 7.265574E-5 | 7.532663E-5 | 1.7531909E-4 | 2.3274517 | 1.0E-4 |
| 6.5 | 9.876812E-7 | 1.0239934E-6 | 3.1023963E-5 | 30.297035 | 3.0E-5 | 4.2329125E-6 | 4.388543E-6 | 4.2388376E-5 | 9.658873 | 3.8E-5 | 5.153449E-5 | 5.343051E-5 | 1.2142688E-4 | 2.272613 | 6.8E-5 |
Elsinore (Coyote Mountains)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.3806086E-5 | 2.8179993E-4 | 11.837307 | 2.58E-4 | 1.473871E-4 | 1.0202257E-4 | 4.7598442E-4 | 4.6654816 | 3.74E-4 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0012415012 | 0.0018207812 | 1.4665964 | 5.8E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.4392266E-5 | 2.3806086E-5 | 2.8179993E-4 | 11.837307 | 2.58E-4 | 1.473871E-4 | 1.0202257E-4 | 4.7598442E-4 | 4.6654816 | 3.74E-4 | 0.0017929609 | 0.0012415012 | 0.0018207812 | 1.4665964 | 5.8E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.3806086E-5 | 2.8179993E-4 | 11.837307 | 2.58E-4 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0202257E-4 | 4.7598442E-4 | 4.6654816 | 3.74E-4 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0012415012 | 0.0018207812 | 1.4665964 | 5.8E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.3413893E-5 | 2.3806086E-5 | 2.8179993E-4 | 11.837307 | 2.58E-4 | 1.0034139E-4 | 1.0202257E-4 | 4.7598442E-4 | 4.6654816 | 3.74E-4 | 0.0012209718 | 0.0012415012 | 0.0018207812 | 1.4665964 | 5.8E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6209677E-5 | 2.2220633E-4 | 13.708253 | 2.06E-4 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.946839E-5 | 3.5344868E-4 | 5.0879064 | 2.84E-4 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.45485E-4 | 0.0012971029 | 1.5341524 | 4.52E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.6894814E-5 | 1.6209677E-5 | 2.2220633E-4 | 13.708253 | 2.06E-4 | 7.240433E-5 | 6.946839E-5 | 3.5344868E-4 | 5.0879064 | 2.84E-4 | 8.811662E-4 | 8.45485E-4 | 0.0012971029 | 1.5341524 | 4.52E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.1910969E-5 | 1.0418733E-5 | 1.6441713E-4 | 15.780914 | 1.54E-4 | 5.1046012E-5 | 4.465102E-5 | 2.5864146E-4 | 5.79251 | 2.14E-4 | 6.21308E-4 | 5.435032E-4 | 8.8931515E-4 | 1.6362648 | 3.46E-4 |
| 6.7 | 9.1486E-6 | 7.2184507E-6 | 1.4121749E-4 | 19.563406 | 1.34E-4 | 3.9207694E-5 | 3.093587E-5 | 2.1693012E-4 | 7.012252 | 1.86E-4 | 4.7724912E-4 | 3.7658282E-4 | 6.764698E-4 | 1.7963375 | 3.0E-4 |
| 6.8 | 7.90441E-6 | 5.792912E-6 | 1.3579216E-4 | 23.441088 | 1.3E-4 | 3.3875604E-5 | 2.4826537E-5 | 1.9882222E-4 | 8.008455 | 1.74E-4 | 4.1235742E-4 | 3.0222247E-4 | 5.7613966E-4 | 1.9063429 | 2.74E-4 |
| 6.9 | 7.77015E-6 | 5.646792E-6 | 1.3364607E-4 | 23.66761 | 1.28E-4 | 3.3300217E-5 | 2.420032E-5 | 1.9619615E-4 | 8.107172 | 1.72E-4 | 4.0535472E-4 | 2.9460035E-4 | 5.665202E-4 | 1.9230126 | 2.72E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.675798E-6 | 5.5438745E-6 | 1.3154317E-4 | 23.727661 | 1.26E-4 | 3.289586E-5 | 2.3759252E-5 | 1.9375522E-4 | 8.154937 | 1.7E-4 | 4.004335E-4 | 2.892318E-4 | 5.571543E-4 | 1.9263245 | 2.68E-4 |
| 7.1 | 7.447814E-6 | 5.302841E-6 | 1.2730219E-4 | 24.006414 | 1.22E-4 | 3.191881E-5 | 2.272627E-5 | 1.887225E-4 | 8.304156 | 1.66E-4 | 3.8854225E-4 | 2.7665848E-4 | 5.38586E-4 | 1.946754 | 2.62E-4 |
| 7.2 | 7.128185E-6 | 4.9693435E-6 | 1.2296876E-4 | 24.745472 | 1.18E-4 | 3.0549007E-5 | 2.129702E-5 | 1.8329357E-4 | 8.606536 | 1.62E-4 | 3.7187067E-4 | 2.5926158E-4 | 5.1319576E-4 | 1.9794514 | 2.54E-4 |
| 7.3 | 7.0913875E-6 | 4.937988E-6 | 1.229374E-4 | 24.896255 | 1.18E-4 | 3.0391306E-5 | 2.1162641E-5 | 1.8315921E-4 | 8.654838 | 1.62E-4 | 3.6995133E-4 | 2.576259E-4 | 5.115605E-4 | 1.9856716 | 2.54E-4 |
| 7.4 | 7.051521E-6 | 4.901769E-6 | 1.2290118E-4 | 25.072824 | 1.18E-4 | 3.0220453E-5 | 2.1007418E-5 | 1.8100406E-4 | 8.616198 | 1.6E-4 | 3.6787192E-4 | 2.5573652E-4 | 5.056726E-4 | 1.9773186 | 2.5E-4 |
| 7.5 | 6.910666E-6 | 4.796544E-6 | 1.2079599E-4 | 25.183964 | 1.16E-4 | 2.9616802E-5 | 2.0556463E-5 | 1.7855321E-4 | 8.685989 | 1.58E-4 | 3.605249E-4 | 2.502474E-4 | 4.9818534E-4 | 1.9907713 | 2.48E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.341753E-6 | 4.3662944E-6 | 1.14365816E-4 | 26.192877 | 1.1E-4 | 2.7178658E-5 | 1.8712562E-5 | 1.6870975E-4 | 9.015855 | 1.5E-4 | 3.3084993E-4 | 2.2780283E-4 | 4.6174953E-4 | 2.0269701 | 2.34E-4 |
| 7.7 | 3.9205916E-6 | 2.2779204E-6 | 5.8277794E-5 | 25.583769 | 5.6E-5 | 1.6802427E-5 | 9.762484E-6 | 8.976171E-5 | 9.194555 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0455034E-4 | 1.1885253E-4 | 2.4483755E-4 | 2.0600114 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.0846227E-7 | 8.603558E-8 | 8.603558E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9340944E-7 | 3.6872387E-7 | 3.6872387E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0877206E-5 | 4.4892076E-6 | 6.4891983E-6 | 1.445511 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 4.4969806E-9 | 2.3047522E-9 | 2.3047522E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9272775E-8 | 9.8775095E-9 | 9.8775095E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3464601E-7 | 1.2025868E-7 | 1.2025868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Thrust
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4188377E-5 | 2.4618302E-4 | 10.17774 | 2.22E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0366096E-4 | 4.1362882E-4 | 3.9902084 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012614491 | 0.0017947755 | 1.4227886 | 5.34E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4188377E-5 | 2.4618302E-4 | 10.17774 | 2.22E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0366096E-4 | 4.1362882E-4 | 3.9902084 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012614491 | 0.0017947755 | 1.4227886 | 5.34E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4188377E-5 | 2.4618302E-4 | 10.17774 | 2.22E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0366096E-4 | 4.1362882E-4 | 3.9902084 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012614491 | 0.0017947755 | 1.4227886 | 5.34E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4188377E-5 | 2.4618302E-4 | 10.17774 | 2.22E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0366096E-4 | 4.1362882E-4 | 3.9902084 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012614491 | 0.0017947755 | 1.4227886 | 5.34E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4188377E-5 | 2.4618302E-4 | 10.17774 | 2.22E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0366096E-4 | 4.1362882E-4 | 3.9902084 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012614491 | 0.0017947755 | 1.4227886 | 5.34E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4188377E-5 | 2.4618302E-4 | 10.17774 | 2.22E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0366096E-4 | 4.1362882E-4 | 3.9902084 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012614491 | 0.0017947755 | 1.4227886 | 5.34E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.2156251E-5 | 2.4188377E-5 | 2.4618302E-4 | 10.17774 | 2.22E-4 | 9.495191E-5 | 1.0366096E-4 | 4.1362882E-4 | 3.9902084 | 3.1E-4 | 0.0011554264 | 0.0012614491 | 0.0017947755 | 1.4227886 | 5.34E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.0601296E-5 | 1.1411418E-5 | 1.0541035E-4 | 9.237269 | 9.4E-5 | 4.5433335E-5 | 4.890519E-5 | 1.8889834E-4 | 3.862542 | 1.4E-4 | 5.5301044E-4 | 5.952629E-4 | 8.3312124E-4 | 1.3995854 | 2.38E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.0246747E-5 | 1.1027774E-5 | 1.0102678E-4 | 9.161121 | 9.0E-5 | 4.391389E-5 | 4.7261063E-5 | 1.8125473E-4 | 3.835181 | 1.34E-4 | 5.345204E-4 | 5.7525636E-4 | 8.05124E-4 | 1.3995918 | 2.3E-4 |
| 6.9 | 9.049551E-6 | 9.726666E-6 | 8.772591E-5 | 9.0191145 | 7.8E-5 | 3.878322E-5 | 4.1685067E-5 | 1.6168006E-4 | 3.8786087 | 1.2E-4 | 4.7208337E-4 | 5.0740165E-4 | 7.033022E-4 | 1.3860857 | 1.96E-4 |
| 7.0 | 8.6542195E-6 | 9.300665E-6 | 8.529996E-5 | 9.171383 | 7.6E-5 | 3.7088983E-5 | 3.9859406E-5 | 1.5585478E-4 | 3.910113 | 1.16E-4 | 4.5146482E-4 | 4.851843E-4 | 6.750921E-4 | 1.3914138 | 1.9E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.391028E-6 | 9.018624E-6 | 8.101798E-5 | 8.983408 | 7.2E-5 | 3.5961057E-5 | 3.8650694E-5 | 1.5064636E-4 | 3.8976367 | 1.12E-4 | 4.3773788E-4 | 4.704747E-4 | 6.563872E-4 | 1.3951594 | 1.86E-4 |
| 7.2 | 5.965188E-6 | 6.3874936E-6 | 4.638724E-5 | 7.262197 | 4.0E-5 | 2.556484E-5 | 2.737469E-5 | 8.137321E-5 | 2.9725711 | 5.4E-5 | 3.1120746E-4 | 3.332364E-4 | 4.3520244E-4 | 1.305987 | 1.02E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.877518E-6 | 5.2189557E-6 | 4.121877E-5 | 7.897896 | 3.6E-5 | 2.0903482E-5 | 2.2366763E-5 | 6.436582E-5 | 2.8777442 | 4.2E-5 | 2.5447016E-4 | 2.7228176E-4 | 3.5226E-4 | 1.2937332 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 3.8829853E-6 | 4.152135E-6 | 4.0151986E-5 | 9.670202 | 3.6E-5 | 1.664126E-5 | 1.7794746E-5 | 5.7794034E-5 | 3.2478147 | 4.0E-5 | 2.0258849E-4 | 2.1662991E-4 | 2.826156E-4 | 1.3046011 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.3489616E-6 | 1.4300842E-6 | 1.943006E-5 | 13.586654 | 1.8E-5 | 5.7812517E-6 | 6.128918E-6 | 2.6128795E-5 | 4.263199 | 2.0E-5 | 7.038446E-5 | 7.461706E-5 | 1.04614825E-4 | 1.4020228 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 6.058192E-7 | 6.361752E-7 | 1.2636167E-5 | 19.862717 | 1.2E-5 | 2.5963652E-6 | 2.7264623E-6 | 1.472643E-5 | 5.4012957 | 1.2E-5 | 3.161029E-5 | 3.319419E-5 | 5.3193526E-5 | 1.6024951 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.2170494E-7 | 2.2643435E-7 | 8.226432E-6 | 36.33032 | 8.0E-6 | 9.5016367E-7 | 9.704327E-7 | 8.9704245E-6 | 9.243737 | 8.0E-6 | 1.1568181E-5 | 1.1814965E-5 | 2.3814824E-5 | 2.015649 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.8 | 2.1613102E-8 | 1.5512052E-8 | 1.5512052E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.262757E-8 | 6.648022E-8 | 6.648022E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277401E-6 | 8.0939645E-7 | 8.0939645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Malibu Coast alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.745573E-5 | 2.7745118E-4 | 15.894563 | 2.6E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.480823E-5 | 4.38781E-4 | 5.865411 | 3.64E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 9.1042795E-4 | 0.0014599272 | 1.6035615 | 5.5E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.6572556E-5 | 1.745573E-5 | 2.7745118E-4 | 15.894563 | 2.6E-4 | 7.102331E-5 | 7.480823E-5 | 4.38781E-4 | 5.865411 | 3.64E-4 | 8.6436566E-4 | 9.1042795E-4 | 0.0014599272 | 1.6035615 | 5.5E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.1085717E-5 | 1.1495538E-5 | 2.1549319E-4 | 18.745811 | 2.04E-4 | 4.750935E-5 | 4.926568E-5 | 3.452511E-4 | 7.007943 | 2.96E-4 | 5.782728E-4 | 5.9964805E-4 | 0.0010453806 | 1.7433237 | 4.46E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.0208568E-5 | 1.054394E-5 | 2.1054182E-4 | 19.96804 | 2.0E-4 | 4.375027E-5 | 4.518755E-5 | 3.3317454E-4 | 7.373149 | 2.88E-4 | 5.325294E-4 | 5.500224E-4 | 9.837837E-4 | 1.7886248 | 4.34E-4 |
| 6.4 | 9.0682315E-6 | 9.309212E-6 | 2.0330741E-4 | 21.839378 | 1.94E-4 | 3.8863272E-5 | 3.9896026E-5 | 3.15885E-4 | 7.9177065 | 2.76E-4 | 4.730576E-4 | 4.8562785E-4 | 8.974278E-4 | 1.8479743 | 4.12E-4 |
| 6.5 | 7.605796E-6 | 7.730722E-6 | 1.8972931E-4 | 24.542248 | 1.82E-4 | 3.259586E-5 | 3.3131255E-5 | 2.8712285E-4 | 8.666223 | 2.54E-4 | 3.9678233E-4 | 4.0329967E-4 | 7.831464E-4 | 1.9418474 | 3.8E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.889873E-6 | 5.88E-6 | 1.7787899E-4 | 30.251528 | 1.72E-4 | 2.5242069E-5 | 2.5199759E-5 | 2.6319377E-4 | 10.444297 | 2.38E-4 | 3.0727885E-4 | 3.0676395E-4 | 6.606554E-4 | 2.1536276 | 3.54E-4 |
| 6.7 | 5.66586E-6 | 5.643126E-6 | 1.7764216E-4 | 31.47939 | 1.72E-4 | 2.428203E-5 | 2.4184601E-5 | 2.601789E-4 | 10.758039 | 2.36E-4 | 2.955936E-4 | 2.9440783E-4 | 6.443048E-4 | 2.188477 | 3.5E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.521556E-6 | 5.4915386E-6 | 1.774906E-4 | 32.32074 | 1.72E-4 | 2.3663597E-5 | 2.3534953E-5 | 2.595294E-4 | 11.027403 | 2.36E-4 | 2.880662E-4 | 2.8650046E-4 | 6.364002E-4 | 2.2212884 | 3.5E-4 |
| 6.9 | 5.29752E-6 | 5.253321E-6 | 1.7525243E-4 | 33.360313 | 1.7E-4 | 2.270346E-5 | 2.251404E-5 | 2.545088E-4 | 11.30445 | 2.32E-4 | 2.7637955E-4 | 2.7407403E-4 | 6.1997917E-4 | 2.2620866 | 3.46E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.106743E-6 | 5.0521107E-6 | 1.6905129E-4 | 33.461514 | 1.64E-4 | 2.1885859E-5 | 2.1651724E-5 | 2.4564686E-4 | 11.345372 | 2.24E-4 | 2.6642776E-4 | 2.6357794E-4 | 5.974899E-4 | 2.2668433 | 3.34E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.8469647E-6 | 4.776345E-6 | 1.6877556E-4 | 35.335712 | 1.64E-4 | 2.0772539E-5 | 2.046989E-5 | 2.444653E-4 | 11.9426775 | 2.24E-4 | 2.528763E-4 | 2.4919247E-4 | 5.831093E-4 | 2.3399954 | 3.34E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.545514E-6 | 4.4543917E-6 | 1.6445368E-4 | 36.91945 | 1.6E-4 | 1.9480629E-5 | 1.909011E-5 | 2.3708594E-4 | 12.419308 | 2.18E-4 | 2.3715083E-4 | 2.3239736E-4 | 5.583216E-4 | 2.402444 | 3.26E-4 |
| 7.3 | 3.794097E-6 | 3.6571003E-6 | 1.4565658E-4 | 39.828434 | 1.42E-4 | 1.6260314E-5 | 1.5673193E-5 | 2.0567022E-4 | 13.122419 | 1.9E-4 | 1.9795135E-4 | 1.9080445E-4 | 4.7674988E-4 | 2.4986308 | 2.86E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.808217E-6 | 2.7231702E-6 | 1.2472284E-4 | 45.800602 | 1.22E-4 | 1.203516E-5 | 1.1670677E-5 | 1.7566876E-4 | 15.052148 | 1.64E-4 | 1.4651821E-4 | 1.4208125E-4 | 3.90046E-4 | 2.745232 | 2.48E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.83809E-6 | 1.822183E-6 | 9.7822005E-5 | 53.683964 | 9.6E-5 | 7.877505E-6 | 7.809333E-6 | 1.398083E-4 | 17.902721 | 1.32E-4 | 9.59044E-5 | 9.5074494E-5 | 2.830566E-4 | 2.9772089 | 1.88E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.1292672E-6 | 1.1025352E-6 | 7.3102456E-5 | 66.30397 | 7.2E-5 | 4.839708E-6 | 4.725142E-6 | 1.0072469E-4 | 21.316753 | 9.6E-5 | 5.8921847E-5 | 5.7527104E-5 | 1.9351928E-4 | 3.363967 | 1.36E-4 |
| 7.7 | 5.065272E-7 | 4.6243989E-7 | 4.8462418E-5 | 104.797226 | 4.8E-5 | 2.170829E-6 | 1.9818838E-6 | 6.1981766E-5 | 31.274168 | 6.0E-5 | 2.6429525E-5 | 2.4129178E-5 | 1.0412725E-4 | 4.3154078 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 8.952991E-8 | 6.777937E-8 | 2.4067778E-5 | 355.09003 | 2.4E-5 | 3.8369956E-7 | 2.90483E-7 | 3.0290474E-5 | 104.276245 | 3.0E-5 | 4.671532E-6 | 3.5366247E-6 | 3.95365E-5 | 11.179161 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.217501E-10 | 6.217501E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6646432E-9 | 2.6646432E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.244203E-8 | 3.244203E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Panamint Valley
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3931567E-5 | 2.7792327E-4 | 8.190701 | 2.44E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4541305E-4 | 4.7736478E-4 | 3.2828193 | 3.32E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017689957 | 0.0023120332 | 1.3069751 | 5.44E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3931567E-5 | 2.7792327E-4 | 8.190701 | 2.44E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4541305E-4 | 4.7736478E-4 | 3.2828193 | 3.32E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017689957 | 0.0023120332 | 1.3069751 | 5.44E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.0211835E-5 | 3.3931567E-5 | 2.7792327E-4 | 8.190701 | 2.44E-4 | 1.2947287E-4 | 1.4541305E-4 | 4.7736478E-4 | 3.2828193 | 3.32E-4 | 0.0015751923 | 0.0017689957 | 0.0023120332 | 1.3069751 | 5.44E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.203229E-5 | 2.6202493E-4 | 8.180024 | 2.3E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3727418E-4 | 4.5123108E-4 | 3.2870789 | 3.14E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016700595 | 0.0021772112 | 1.3036728 | 5.08E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.8573924E-5 | 3.203229E-5 | 2.6202493E-4 | 8.180024 | 2.3E-4 | 1.2245393E-4 | 1.3727418E-4 | 4.5123108E-4 | 3.2870789 | 3.14E-4 | 0.001489857 | 0.0016700595 | 0.0021772112 | 1.3036728 | 5.08E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.7468774E-5 | 3.074573E-5 | 2.5273892E-4 | 8.220293 | 2.22E-4 | 1.1771801E-4 | 1.3176091E-4 | 4.337211E-4 | 3.2917283 | 3.02E-4 | 0.0014322745 | 0.0016030357 | 0.0020802696 | 1.2977062 | 4.78E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.6135967E-5 | 2.9158957E-5 | 2.371529E-4 | 8.133106 | 2.08E-4 | 1.1200648E-4 | 1.2496112E-4 | 4.0492613E-4 | 3.240417 | 2.8E-4 | 0.0013628257 | 0.0015203662 | 0.001967685 | 1.2942178 | 4.48E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.4498746E-5 | 2.7231908E-5 | 2.2122663E-4 | 8.123801 | 1.94E-4 | 1.04990395E-4 | 1.167031E-4 | 3.7667275E-4 | 3.2276156 | 2.6E-4 | 0.0012775084 | 0.001419959 | 0.0018313739 | 1.2897372 | 4.12E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.2244329E-5 | 2.4810051E-5 | 1.9680579E-4 | 7.932502 | 1.72E-4 | 9.532935E-5 | 1.0632458E-4 | 3.3630012E-4 | 3.1629574 | 2.3E-4 | 0.0011600169 | 0.0012937544 | 0.0016572835 | 1.2809877 | 3.64E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.9902658E-5 | 2.2255135E-5 | 1.6025206E-4 | 7.200678 | 1.38E-4 | 8.529431E-5 | 9.537577E-5 | 2.8135802E-4 | 2.9499948 | 1.86E-4 | 0.0010379635 | 0.0011605999 | 0.0014602517 | 1.258187 | 3.0E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.8353881E-5 | 2.0552563E-5 | 1.3655018E-4 | 6.643949 | 1.16E-4 | 7.865712E-5 | 8.807954E-5 | 2.4006615E-4 | 2.725561 | 1.52E-4 | 9.5722964E-4 | 0.0010718586 | 0.0013315799 | 1.2423093 | 2.6E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.7667631E-5 | 1.9772566E-5 | 1.2777043E-4 | 6.4620056 | 1.08E-4 | 7.571623E-5 | 8.4736916E-5 | 2.2872472E-4 | 2.6992333 | 1.44E-4 | 9.2145515E-4 | 0.0010312012 | 0.0012809435 | 1.2421857 | 2.5E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.6381597E-5 | 1.8171731E-5 | 1.081701E-4 | 5.9526577 | 9.0E-5 | 7.020495E-5 | 7.787662E-5 | 2.038668E-4 | 2.6178179 | 1.26E-4 | 8.544101E-4 | 9.477527E-4 | 0.001163548 | 1.2276915 | 2.16E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.4520491E-5 | 1.6000691E-5 | 9.999935E-5 | 6.2496896 | 8.4E-5 | 6.222919E-5 | 6.857268E-5 | 1.8256487E-4 | 2.6623557 | 1.14E-4 | 7.57377E-4 | 8.345688E-4 | 0.0010264086 | 1.2298669 | 1.92E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.2852287E-5 | 1.4169413E-5 | 9.216831E-5 | 6.5047374 | 7.8E-5 | 5.5080065E-5 | 6.072473E-5 | 1.667183E-4 | 2.745476 | 1.06E-4 | 6.7039346E-4 | 7.390887E-4 | 9.129601E-4 | 1.2352511 | 1.74E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.1637851E-5 | 1.2848513E-5 | 8.484759E-5 | 6.603689 | 7.2E-5 | 4.987555E-5 | 5.506398E-5 | 1.5305859E-4 | 2.7796497 | 9.8E-5 | 6.070656E-4 | 6.702135E-4 | 8.3210494E-4 | 1.241552 | 1.62E-4 |
| 7.6 | 3.0068115E-6 | 3.3229494E-6 | 2.9322862E-5 | 8.824348 | 2.6E-5 | 1.2886271E-5 | 1.42411745E-5 | 4.4240747E-5 | 3.1065378 | 3.0E-5 | 1.5687906E-4 | 1.7337974E-4 | 2.3336934E-4 | 1.3460011 | 6.0E-5 |
Tank Canyon
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.8397822E-5 | 1.9719977E-5 | 2.7571493E-4 | 13.9815035 | 2.56E-4 | 1.21699275E-4 | 8.4511645E-5 | 4.0048495E-4 | 4.738814 | 3.16E-4 | 0.0014806816 | 0.0010284776 | 0.0015139777 | 1.4720571 | 4.86E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.9719977E-5 | 2.7571493E-4 | 13.9815035 | 2.56E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.4511645E-5 | 4.0048495E-4 | 4.738814 | 3.16E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010284776 | 0.0015139777 | 1.4720571 | 4.86E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.7796336E-5 | 1.9719977E-5 | 2.7571493E-4 | 13.9815035 | 2.56E-4 | 7.626778E-5 | 8.4511645E-5 | 4.0048495E-4 | 4.738814 | 3.16E-4 | 9.281647E-4 | 0.0010284776 | 0.0015139777 | 1.4720571 | 4.86E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.3515912E-5 | 1.4974252E-5 | 1.9297158E-4 | 12.886893 | 1.78E-4 | 5.792405E-5 | 6.417391E-5 | 2.8815953E-4 | 4.490291 | 2.24E-4 | 7.049971E-4 | 7.810585E-4 | 0.0011187945 | 1.4324081 | 3.38E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.0870146E-5 | 1.2036924E-5 | 1.6003514E-4 | 13.295352 | 1.48E-4 | 4.658551E-5 | 5.158589E-5 | 2.375763E-4 | 4.605451 | 1.86E-4 | 5.67031E-4 | 6.2789314E-4 | 8.8972866E-4 | 1.4170065 | 2.62E-4 |
| 6.5 | 7.964826E-6 | 8.801405E-6 | 1.1280049E-4 | 12.816192 | 1.04E-4 | 3.4134522E-5 | 3.7719812E-5 | 1.6371506E-4 | 4.3402934 | 1.26E-4 | 4.1550855E-4 | 4.5915146E-4 | 6.3906884E-4 | 1.3918475 | 1.8E-4 |
| 6.6 | 6.6317E-6 | 7.307673E-6 | 8.53071E-5 | 11.673635 | 7.8E-5 | 2.8421264E-5 | 3.1318268E-5 | 1.2531533E-4 | 4.001349 | 9.4E-5 | 3.4597394E-4 | 3.8124135E-4 | 5.2118796E-4 | 1.3670814 | 1.4E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.793663E-6 | 5.2538353E-6 | 5.925355E-5 | 11.278152 | 5.4E-5 | 2.0544108E-5 | 2.2516264E-5 | 9.051473E-5 | 4.0199714 | 6.8E-5 | 2.500958E-4 | 2.74105E-4 | 3.7207815E-4 | 1.3574293 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 4.382823E-6 | 4.8087077E-6 | 5.4808468E-5 | 11.397754 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8783392E-5 | 2.0608606E-5 | 8.260733E-5 | 4.00839 | 6.2E-5 | 2.286638E-4 | 2.5088477E-4 | 3.4086217E-4 | 1.3586404 | 9.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.729601E-6 | 3.0154936E-6 | 3.101541E-5 | 10.285351 | 2.8E-5 | 1.1698237E-5 | 1.2923487E-5 | 4.4923072E-5 | 3.47608 | 3.2E-5 | 1.4241673E-4 | 1.5733326E-4 | 2.0332602E-4 | 1.292327 | 4.6E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.8987357E-6 | 2.1034434E-6 | 1.2103423E-5 | 5.7540994 | 1.0E-5 | 8.137413E-6 | 9.0147305E-6 | 2.1014623E-5 | 2.3311427 | 1.2E-5 | 9.90685E-5 | 1.09749504E-4 | 1.297473E-4 | 1.1822132 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.4928986E-6 | 1.6553498E-6 | 7.65534E-6 | 4.6246057 | 6.0E-6 | 6.398121E-6 | 7.09434E-6 | 1.5094283E-5 | 2.1276515 | 8.0E-6 | 7.789434E-5 | 8.637076E-5 | 1.0236938E-4 | 1.1852319 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.069082E-6 | 1.1813917E-6 | 3.1813893E-6 | 2.6929166 | 2.0E-6 | 4.581772E-6 | 5.0631E-6 | 9.06308E-6 | 1.7900258 | 4.0E-6 | 5.5781646E-5 | 6.164204E-5 | 7.164142E-5 | 1.1622169 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 8.776551E-7 | 9.769462E-7 | 2.9769442E-6 | 3.0471935 | 2.0E-6 | 3.7613736E-6 | 4.1869084E-6 | 8.186892E-6 | 1.9553548 | 4.0E-6 | 4.579376E-5 | 5.097494E-5 | 6.097443E-5 | 1.1961648 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 7.55721E-7 | 8.5112384E-7 | 2.8511222E-6 | 3.3498323 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2388E-6 | 3.6476713E-6 | 7.647657E-6 | 2.096586 | 4.0E-6 | 3.9431678E-5 | 4.4410015E-5 | 5.440957E-5 | 1.2251644 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 5.587665E-7 | 6.31652E-7 | 2.6316507E-6 | 4.1662984 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3947114E-6 | 2.7070798E-6 | 6.707069E-6 | 2.477603 | 4.0E-6 | 2.915522E-5 | 3.29587E-5 | 3.89585E-5 | 1.18204 | 6.0E-6 |
Pleito
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.2623851E-5 | 2.1662128E-4 | 17.159683 | 2.04E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 5.4101503E-5 | 3.4208593E-4 | 6.323039 | 2.88E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 6.585591E-4 | 0.001138243 | 1.728384 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.2623851E-5 | 2.1662128E-4 | 17.159683 | 2.04E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 5.4101503E-5 | 3.4208593E-4 | 6.323039 | 2.88E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 6.585591E-4 | 0.001138243 | 1.728384 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.2623851E-5 | 2.1662128E-4 | 17.159683 | 2.04E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 5.4101503E-5 | 3.4208593E-4 | 6.323039 | 2.88E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 6.585591E-4 | 0.001138243 | 1.728384 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.2623851E-5 | 2.1662128E-4 | 17.159683 | 2.04E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 5.4101503E-5 | 3.4208593E-4 | 6.323039 | 2.88E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 6.585591E-4 | 0.001138243 | 1.728384 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.2623851E-5 | 2.1662128E-4 | 17.159683 | 2.04E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 5.4101503E-5 | 3.4208593E-4 | 6.323039 | 2.88E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 6.585591E-4 | 0.001138243 | 1.728384 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.6763008E-5 | 1.2623851E-5 | 2.1662128E-4 | 17.159683 | 2.04E-4 | 7.183948E-5 | 5.4101503E-5 | 3.4208593E-4 | 6.323039 | 2.88E-4 | 8.742947E-4 | 6.585591E-4 | 0.001138243 | 1.728384 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.6 | 9.910213E-6 | 5.035687E-6 | 1.2703508E-4 | 25.22696 | 1.22E-4 | 4.247165E-5 | 2.1581356E-5 | 1.815779E-4 | 8.413647 | 1.6E-4 | 5.169696E-4 | 2.6272458E-4 | 4.8466626E-4 | 1.8447694 | 2.22E-4 |
| 6.7 | 9.910213E-6 | 5.035687E-6 | 1.2703508E-4 | 25.22696 | 1.22E-4 | 4.247165E-5 | 2.1581356E-5 | 1.815779E-4 | 8.413647 | 1.6E-4 | 5.169696E-4 | 2.6272458E-4 | 4.8466626E-4 | 1.8447694 | 2.22E-4 |
| 6.8 | 8.300162E-6 | 3.2881376E-6 | 1.03287806E-4 | 31.412252 | 1.0E-4 | 3.557164E-5 | 1.4091947E-5 | 1.3609022E-4 | 9.657305 | 1.22E-4 | 4.3299864E-4 | 1.7155691E-4 | 3.3952808E-4 | 1.9790989 | 1.68E-4 |
| 6.9 | 8.183114E-6 | 3.1586717E-6 | 9.9158366E-5 | 31.392426 | 9.6E-5 | 3.5070017E-5 | 1.3537099E-5 | 1.2953553E-4 | 9.568928 | 1.16E-4 | 4.2689382E-4 | 1.6480267E-4 | 3.2677597E-4 | 1.9828318 | 1.62E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.1748823E-6 | 1.9521615E-6 | 7.9952006E-5 | 40.95563 | 7.8E-5 | 3.0749135E-5 | 8.36638E-6 | 1.0036561E-4 | 11.996301 | 9.2E-5 | 3.743064E-4 | 1.0185597E-4 | 2.2984293E-4 | 2.2565484 | 1.28E-4 |
| 7.1 | 7.1671807E-6 | 1.9421736E-6 | 7.994202E-5 | 41.16111 | 7.8E-5 | 3.0716128E-5 | 8.323575E-6 | 1.0032281E-4 | 12.052852 | 9.2E-5 | 3.7390468E-4 | 1.0133487E-4 | 2.273221E-4 | 2.2432761 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.2 | 7.0649667E-6 | 1.7880451E-6 | 7.9787904E-5 | 44.622982 | 7.8E-5 | 3.0278077E-5 | 7.663029E-6 | 9.966232E-5 | 13.005606 | 9.2E-5 | 3.6857324E-4 | 9.3293405E-5 | 2.1928165E-4 | 2.3504517 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.3 | 7.02082E-6 | 1.7305512E-6 | 7.773042E-5 | 44.91657 | 7.6E-5 | 3.008888E-5 | 7.4166264E-6 | 9.341599E-5 | 12.595482 | 8.6E-5 | 3.6627054E-4 | 9.029372E-5 | 2.1028289E-4 | 2.328876 | 1.2E-4 |
| 7.4 | 6.987146E-6 | 1.6974241E-6 | 7.169731E-5 | 42.238888 | 7.0E-5 | 2.9944567E-5 | 7.2746543E-6 | 8.727407E-5 | 11.997006 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6451413E-4 | 8.856535E-5 | 2.0255525E-4 | 2.2870712 | 1.14E-4 |
| 7.5 | 6.9494554E-6 | 1.6614376E-6 | 7.166132E-5 | 43.132114 | 7.0E-5 | 2.9783041E-5 | 7.1204277E-6 | 8.711986E-5 | 12.2352 | 8.0E-5 | 3.625482E-4 | 8.668779E-5 | 2.0067791E-4 | 2.31495 | 1.14E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.92694E-6 | 1.6470177E-6 | 7.16469E-5 | 43.500988 | 7.0E-5 | 2.9686547E-5 | 7.0586284E-6 | 8.705806E-5 | 12.333567 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6137376E-4 | 8.593545E-5 | 1.9792582E-4 | 2.303192 | 1.12E-4 |
| 7.7 | 6.395867E-6 | 1.1564338E-6 | 6.115637E-5 | 52.883583 | 6.0E-5 | 2.741057E-5 | 4.9561354E-6 | 7.495579E-5 | 15.123838 | 7.0E-5 | 3.336726E-4 | 6.033928E-5 | 1.6233312E-4 | 2.690339 | 1.02E-4 |
| 7.8 | 5.8664327E-6 | 8.313365E-7 | 5.4831293E-5 | 65.9556 | 5.4E-5 | 2.5141611E-5 | 3.5628657E-6 | 6.7562636E-5 | 18.963005 | 6.4E-5 | 3.060561E-4 | 4.337703E-5 | 1.3937286E-4 | 3.213057 | 9.6E-5 |
| 7.9 | 3.7167474E-6 | 2.419513E-7 | 3.4241944E-5 | 141.5241 | 3.4E-5 | 1.592882E-5 | 1.0369338E-6 | 4.503689E-5 | 43.43275 | 4.4E-5 | 1.9391612E-4 | 1.2624596E-5 | 7.4623815E-5 | 5.9109864 | 6.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.0903841E-6 | 8.7069665E-8 | 1.4087069E-5 | 161.79077 | 1.4E-5 | 4.6730665E-6 | 3.7315567E-7 | 1.8373148E-5 | 49.237225 | 1.8E-5 | 5.68931E-5 | 4.5431607E-6 | 3.4543024E-5 | 7.6033025 | 3.0E-5 |
| 8.1 | 2.6894583E-7 | 1.3225744E-8 | 1.3225744E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1526245E-6 | 5.668176E-8 | 5.668176E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4033113E-5 | 6.901002E-7 | 6.901002E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.2 | 5.2967013E-9 | 3.2336467E-11 | 3.2336467E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2700148E-8 | 1.385847E-10 | 1.385847E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7637427E-7 | 1.6872693E-9 | 1.6872693E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cerro Prieto
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.863869E-4 | 5.2814244E-4 | 7.7201356E-4 | 1.4617525 | 2.44E-4 | 0.001226795 | 0.0022617101 | 0.0026109186 | 1.1544001 | 3.5E-4 | 0.014834271 | 0.027074846 | 0.027549634 | 1.0175362 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.863869E-4 | 5.2814244E-4 | 7.7201356E-4 | 1.4617525 | 2.44E-4 | 0.001226795 | 0.0022617101 | 0.0026109186 | 1.1544001 | 3.5E-4 | 0.014834271 | 0.027074846 | 0.027549634 | 1.0175362 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.863869E-4 | 5.2814244E-4 | 7.7201356E-4 | 1.4617525 | 2.44E-4 | 0.001226795 | 0.0022617101 | 0.0026109186 | 1.1544001 | 3.5E-4 | 0.014834271 | 0.027074846 | 0.027549634 | 1.0175362 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.863869E-4 | 5.2814244E-4 | 7.7201356E-4 | 1.4617525 | 2.44E-4 | 0.001226795 | 0.0022617101 | 0.0026109186 | 1.1544001 | 3.5E-4 | 0.014834271 | 0.027074846 | 0.027549634 | 1.0175362 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.2814244E-4 | 7.7201356E-4 | 1.4617525 | 2.44E-4 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022617101 | 0.0026109186 | 1.1544001 | 3.5E-4 | 0.013006088 | 0.027074846 | 0.027549634 | 1.0175362 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.508648E-4 | 5.2814244E-4 | 7.7201356E-4 | 1.4617525 | 2.44E-4 | 0.0010746918 | 0.0022617101 | 0.0026109186 | 1.1544001 | 3.5E-4 | 0.013006088 | 0.027074846 | 0.027549634 | 1.0175362 | 4.88E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.294914E-4 | 4.8544738E-4 | 7.1133766E-4 | 1.4653239 | 2.26E-4 | 9.831638E-4 | 0.0020790251 | 0.002396364 | 1.1526383 | 3.18E-4 | 0.011904482 | 0.024866676 | 0.025305485 | 1.0176466 | 4.5E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.9621674E-4 | 4.1827527E-4 | 6.181916E-4 | 1.477954 | 2.0E-4 | 8.4065786E-4 | 0.0017915429 | 0.0020670483 | 1.1537812 | 2.76E-4 | 0.010187071 | 0.021483101 | 0.021868637 | 1.017946 | 3.94E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.5476145E-4 | 3.1807687E-4 | 4.6403043E-4 | 1.4588625 | 1.46E-4 | 6.6309475E-4 | 0.0013625831 | 0.0015742943 | 1.1553749 | 2.12E-4 | 0.008043335 | 0.016438164 | 0.016733231 | 1.0179502 | 3.0E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.20509176E-4 | 2.3655065E-4 | 3.5652227E-4 | 1.5071709 | 1.2E-4 | 5.1636563E-4 | 0.001013463 | 0.0011812927 | 1.1656003 | 1.68E-4 | 0.006268645 | 0.012249451 | 0.012488487 | 1.019514 | 2.42E-4 |
| 7.0 | 9.3269155E-5 | 1.7597878E-4 | 2.7596118E-4 | 1.5681503 | 1.0E-4 | 3.9966372E-4 | 7.5402396E-4 | 8.9191995E-4 | 1.18288 | 1.38E-4 | 0.0048550544 | 0.009149976 | 0.009340219 | 1.0207916 | 1.92E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.029709E-5 | 8.692567E-5 | 1.429208E-4 | 1.6441725 | 5.6E-5 | 2.1554115E-4 | 3.7250697E-4 | 4.5247716E-4 | 1.214681 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0026210553 | 0.0045296657 | 0.0046312036 | 1.0224162 | 1.02E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.5445185E-8 | 7.887668E-8 | 7.887668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8047933E-7 | 3.3804292E-7 | 3.3804292E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4148304E-6 | 4.1156723E-6 | 4.1156723E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Garlic Springs
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1578536E-5 | 1.0733532E-5 | 2.2473124E-4 | 20.937305 | 2.14E-4 | 4.9621354E-5 | 4.600042E-5 | 3.2798745E-4 | 7.130097 | 2.82E-4 | 6.039725E-4 | 5.5997877E-4 | 0.0010357122 | 1.8495562 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.1 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0733532E-5 | 2.2473124E-4 | 20.937305 | 2.14E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.600042E-5 | 3.2798745E-4 | 7.130097 | 2.82E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.5997877E-4 | 0.0010357122 | 1.8495562 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.2 | 9.852767E-6 | 1.0733532E-5 | 2.2473124E-4 | 20.937305 | 2.14E-4 | 4.222546E-5 | 4.600042E-5 | 3.2798745E-4 | 7.130097 | 2.82E-4 | 5.139737E-4 | 5.5997877E-4 | 0.0010357122 | 1.8495562 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.3 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7300805E-6 | 1.0872959E-4 | 22.986835 | 1.04E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0271744E-5 | 1.4826914E-4 | 7.3140798 | 1.28E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4680313E-4 | 4.867439E-4 | 1.972195 | 2.4E-4 |
| 6.4 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7300805E-6 | 1.0872959E-4 | 22.986835 | 1.04E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0271744E-5 | 1.4826914E-4 | 7.3140798 | 1.28E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4680313E-4 | 4.867439E-4 | 1.972195 | 2.4E-4 |
| 6.5 | 4.3167724E-6 | 4.7300805E-6 | 1.0872959E-4 | 22.986835 | 1.04E-4 | 1.8500323E-5 | 2.0271744E-5 | 1.4826914E-4 | 7.3140798 | 1.28E-4 | 2.2521814E-4 | 2.4680313E-4 | 4.867439E-4 | 1.972195 | 2.4E-4 |
| 6.6 | 4.301311E-6 | 4.713106E-6 | 1.08712615E-4 | 23.066023 | 1.04E-4 | 1.8434059E-5 | 2.0198997E-5 | 1.4819641E-4 | 7.33682 | 1.28E-4 | 2.2441156E-4 | 2.4591762E-4 | 4.858586E-4 | 1.9756966 | 2.4E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.8599724E-6 | 4.2296015E-6 | 1.002292E-4 | 23.697079 | 9.6E-5 | 1.6542634E-5 | 1.8126862E-5 | 1.3812468E-4 | 7.6198893 | 1.2E-4 | 2.0138794E-4 | 2.2069455E-4 | 4.4464512E-4 | 2.0147536 | 2.24E-4 |
Elsinore (Julian)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.985564E-6 | 2.3298356E-4 | 25.92865 | 2.24E-4 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8509002E-5 | 3.444972E-4 | 8.945888 | 3.06E-4 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6874798E-4 | 9.48523E-4 | 2.0235243 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.985564E-6 | 2.3298356E-4 | 25.92865 | 2.24E-4 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8509002E-5 | 3.444972E-4 | 8.945888 | 3.06E-4 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6874798E-4 | 9.48523E-4 | 2.0235243 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.985564E-6 | 2.3298356E-4 | 25.92865 | 2.24E-4 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8509002E-5 | 3.444972E-4 | 8.945888 | 3.06E-4 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6874798E-4 | 9.48523E-4 | 2.0235243 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.985564E-6 | 2.3298356E-4 | 25.92865 | 2.24E-4 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8509002E-5 | 3.444972E-4 | 8.945888 | 3.06E-4 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6874798E-4 | 9.48523E-4 | 2.0235243 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.985564E-6 | 2.3298356E-4 | 25.92865 | 2.24E-4 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8509002E-5 | 3.444972E-4 | 8.945888 | 3.06E-4 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6874798E-4 | 9.48523E-4 | 2.0235243 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.1710231E-5 | 8.985564E-6 | 2.3298356E-4 | 25.92865 | 2.24E-4 | 5.0185736E-5 | 3.8509002E-5 | 3.444972E-4 | 8.945888 | 3.06E-4 | 6.1084004E-4 | 4.6874798E-4 | 9.48523E-4 | 2.0235243 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.917593E-6 | 2.329156E-4 | 26.118662 | 2.24E-4 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.8217706E-5 | 3.44206E-4 | 9.006454 | 3.06E-4 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.6520296E-4 | 9.4497966E-4 | 2.0313277 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.1650619E-5 | 8.917593E-6 | 2.329156E-4 | 26.118662 | 2.24E-4 | 4.993027E-5 | 3.8217706E-5 | 3.44206E-4 | 9.006454 | 3.06E-4 | 6.0773146E-4 | 4.6520296E-4 | 9.4497966E-4 | 2.0313277 | 4.8E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.1442698E-5 | 8.699572E-6 | 2.2869765E-4 | 26.28838 | 2.2E-4 | 4.9039216E-5 | 3.7283357E-5 | 3.392721E-4 | 9.099827 | 3.02E-4 | 5.968889E-4 | 4.5383206E-4 | 9.2961604E-4 | 2.0483701 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.1300589E-5 | 8.547198E-6 | 2.2654534E-4 | 26.505217 | 2.18E-4 | 4.8430196E-5 | 3.6630343E-5 | 3.3661936E-4 | 9.189631 | 3.0E-4 | 5.894781E-4 | 4.4588489E-4 | 9.1967353E-4 | 2.0625806 | 4.74E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.1117729E-5 | 8.3634295E-6 | 2.2236165E-4 | 26.587376 | 2.14E-4 | 4.764654E-5 | 3.5842786E-5 | 3.3183218E-4 | 9.257991 | 2.96E-4 | 5.799422E-4 | 4.3630027E-4 | 9.0409606E-4 | 2.072188 | 4.68E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.08053955E-5 | 8.047448E-6 | 2.1804575E-4 | 27.095018 | 2.1E-4 | 4.6308014E-5 | 3.4488618E-5 | 3.2647853E-4 | 9.4662695 | 2.92E-4 | 5.6365423E-4 | 4.1981973E-4 | 8.8162575E-4 | 2.1000104 | 4.62E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.032804E-5 | 7.5652897E-6 | 2.1356373E-4 | 28.22942 | 2.06E-4 | 4.4262277E-5 | 3.2422275E-5 | 3.2041295E-4 | 9.882494 | 2.88E-4 | 5.387599E-4 | 3.946713E-4 | 8.4649294E-4 | 2.1448047 | 4.52E-4 |
| 7.3 | 9.622426E-6 | 7.017041E-6 | 1.9501572E-4 | 27.791733 | 1.88E-4 | 4.1238312E-5 | 3.0072695E-5 | 2.9406475E-4 | 9.778464 | 2.64E-4 | 5.019608E-4 | 3.66075E-4 | 7.7592494E-4 | 2.119579 | 4.1E-4 |
| 7.4 | 9.144434E-6 | 6.6038947E-6 | 1.8860269E-4 | 28.559313 | 1.82E-4 | 3.9189843E-5 | 2.8302107E-5 | 2.7829502E-4 | 9.8330145 | 2.5E-4 | 4.7703186E-4 | 3.445251E-4 | 7.283928E-4 | 2.1141937 | 3.84E-4 |
| 7.5 | 7.988981E-6 | 5.581305E-6 | 1.3558057E-4 | 24.291914 | 1.3E-4 | 3.4238044E-5 | 2.3919667E-5 | 2.1191518E-4 | 8.859453 | 1.88E-4 | 4.1676845E-4 | 2.9118432E-4 | 5.8509875E-4 | 2.0093758 | 2.94E-4 |
| 7.6 | 6.9554876E-6 | 4.7312483E-6 | 1.2473068E-4 | 26.363165 | 1.2E-4 | 2.9808893E-5 | 2.0276628E-5 | 1.9227315E-4 | 9.482501 | 1.72E-4 | 3.6286283E-4 | 2.4684117E-4 | 5.127755E-4 | 2.0773501 | 2.66E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.1557314E-6 | 2.3609502E-6 | 5.8360816E-5 | 24.719208 | 5.6E-5 | 1.7810156E-5 | 1.0118323E-5 | 9.0117515E-5 | 8.906368 | 8.0E-5 | 2.1681708E-4 | 1.2318438E-4 | 2.4916886E-4 | 2.0227308 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.2597293E-7 | 9.464078E-8 | 9.464078E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.684551E-7 | 4.056033E-7 | 4.056033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1790877E-5 | 4.9382124E-6 | 6.9382027E-6 | 1.4050028 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 6.676829E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 3.491144E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.861498E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.4962046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4838732E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.8216289E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge Hills
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.1 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.2 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.3 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.4 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.5 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.7 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.095982E-6 | 3.5524843E-6 | 2.7155154E-4 | 76.439896 | 2.68E-4 | 2.183974E-5 | 1.5224844E-5 | 3.5521967E-4 | 23.33158 | 3.4E-4 | 2.658664E-4 | 1.8534683E-4 | 6.612586E-4 | 3.5676823 | 4.76E-4 |
| 6.9 | 5.0942654E-6 | 3.5506957E-6 | 2.7154974E-4 | 76.4779 | 2.68E-4 | 2.1832384E-5 | 1.5217179E-5 | 3.5521202E-4 | 23.342829 | 3.4E-4 | 2.6577685E-4 | 1.8525352E-4 | 6.6116534E-4 | 3.568976 | 4.76E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.851143E-6 | 3.295399E-6 | 2.6529454E-4 | 80.504524 | 2.62E-4 | 2.0790447E-5 | 1.4123062E-5 | 3.4611838E-4 | 24.507317 | 3.32E-4 | 2.5309427E-4 | 1.7193475E-4 | 6.398543E-4 | 3.7214947 | 4.68E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.7910607E-6 | 3.2335E-6 | 2.6523267E-4 | 82.02649 | 2.62E-4 | 2.0532956E-5 | 1.3857783E-5 | 3.458532E-4 | 24.957323 | 3.32E-4 | 2.4996005E-4 | 1.6870549E-4 | 6.346269E-4 | 3.7617443 | 4.66E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.580079E-6 | 3.0427163E-6 | 2.5904193E-4 | 85.13509 | 2.56E-4 | 1.9628762E-5 | 1.3040148E-5 | 3.390359E-4 | 25.999392 | 3.26E-4 | 2.3895396E-4 | 1.5875226E-4 | 6.1268016E-4 | 3.8593478 | 4.54E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.290062E-6 | 2.80338E-6 | 2.5680265E-4 | 91.60465 | 2.54E-4 | 1.838585E-5 | 1.2014431E-5 | 3.3401058E-4 | 27.80078 | 3.22E-4 | 2.2382473E-4 | 1.4626591E-4 | 5.962001E-4 | 4.0761385 | 4.5E-4 |
| 7.4 | 4.0259683E-6 | 2.607782E-6 | 2.5460712E-4 | 97.63359 | 2.52E-4 | 1.7254037E-5 | 1.1176161E-5 | 3.3117257E-4 | 29.632051 | 3.2E-4 | 2.1004764E-4 | 1.360613E-4 | 5.820006E-4 | 4.2774887 | 4.46E-4 |
| 7.5 | 3.5477108E-6 | 2.2176173E-6 | 2.4421708E-4 | 110.125885 | 2.42E-4 | 1.5204386E-5 | 9.50404E-6 | 3.1150118E-4 | 32.775658 | 3.02E-4 | 1.8509767E-4 | 1.1570555E-4 | 5.376567E-4 | 4.6467667 | 4.22E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.9990608E-6 | 1.7825972E-6 | 2.2778219E-4 | 127.78108 | 2.26E-4 | 1.2853055E-5 | 7.63968E-6 | 2.9363748E-4 | 38.435837 | 2.86E-4 | 1.564747E-4 | 9.300914E-5 | 4.989714E-4 | 5.3647566 | 4.06E-4 |
| 7.7 | 2.4542855E-6 | 1.3753906E-6 | 2.2337509E-4 | 162.40846 | 2.22E-4 | 1.05183235E-5 | 5.894518E-6 | 2.8389288E-4 | 48.162186 | 2.78E-4 | 1.2805307E-4 | 7.1763396E-5 | 4.6573512E-4 | 6.48987 | 3.94E-4 |
| 7.8 | 1.3623128E-6 | 7.8476296E-7 | 1.6678464E-4 | 212.52867 | 1.66E-4 | 5.8384703E-6 | 3.3632655E-6 | 2.0936257E-4 | 62.24979 | 2.06E-4 | 7.108106E-5 | 4.094699E-5 | 3.189356E-4 | 7.788988 | 2.78E-4 |
| 7.9 | 7.716622E-7 | 4.3225785E-7 | 9.843222E-5 | 227.71643 | 9.8E-5 | 3.3071194E-6 | 1.8525324E-6 | 1.3185228E-4 | 71.17409 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0263436E-5 | 2.2554348E-5 | 2.0455025E-4 | 9.069216 | 1.82E-4 |
| 8.0 | 1.2117711E-7 | 6.821389E-8 | 2.2068212E-5 | 323.51492 | 2.2E-5 | 5.1933034E-7 | 2.9234522E-7 | 2.4292338E-5 | 83.094696 | 2.4E-5 | 6.3228285E-6 | 3.5592975E-6 | 3.7559177E-5 | 10.552413 | 3.4E-5 |
San Diego Trough south
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.618514E-5 | 6.768486E-5 | 3.0966848E-4 | 4.5751514 | 2.42E-4 | 2.4077125E-4 | 2.9004682E-4 | 5.959581E-4 | 2.054696 | 3.06E-4 | 0.0029274495 | 0.0035257696 | 0.0039861407 | 1.1305733 | 4.62E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.6961468E-5 | 5.6264053E-5 | 2.6625223E-4 | 4.732191 | 2.1E-4 | 2.0124791E-4 | 2.4111023E-4 | 5.0504657E-4 | 2.0946708 | 2.64E-4 | 0.00244744 | 0.0029316954 | 0.0033404934 | 1.1394408 | 4.1E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.1438256E-5 | 1.9943171E-4 | 4.8127437 | 1.58E-4 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7758069E-4 | 3.8154447E-4 | 2.1485696 | 2.04E-4 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021599352 | 0.00246727 | 1.1422889 | 3.08E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.5079658E-5 | 4.1438256E-5 | 1.9943171E-4 | 4.8127437 | 1.58E-4 | 1.5033272E-4 | 1.7758069E-4 | 3.8154447E-4 | 2.1485696 | 2.04E-4 | 0.0018287642 | 0.0021599352 | 0.00246727 | 1.1422889 | 3.08E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.7196904E-5 | 3.172878E-5 | 1.6172466E-4 | 5.0970964 | 1.3E-4 | 1.16552954E-4 | 1.3597349E-4 | 3.0395066E-4 | 2.2353668 | 1.68E-4 | 0.0014181085 | 0.0016542347 | 0.0019018244 | 1.1496702 | 2.48E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.5584688E-5 | 2.9785506E-5 | 1.5378182E-4 | 5.1629744 | 1.24E-4 | 1.0964406E-4 | 1.2764601E-4 | 2.8162636E-4 | 2.2063074 | 1.54E-4 | 0.0013340989 | 0.0015529958 | 0.0017826386 | 1.1478709 | 2.3E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.2034688E-5 | 2.5511068E-5 | 1.2950841E-4 | 5.076558 | 1.04E-4 | 9.443096E-5 | 1.0932861E-4 | 2.4131418E-4 | 2.2072372 | 1.32E-4 | 0.0011490905 | 0.0013302709 | 0.0015300049 | 1.1501453 | 2.0E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.9394853E-5 | 2.2358618E-5 | 1.123566E-4 | 5.025203 | 9.0E-5 | 8.311815E-5 | 9.581916E-5 | 2.1380786E-4 | 2.2313685 | 1.18E-4 | 0.0010114936 | 0.0011659791 | 0.0013457692 | 1.1541967 | 1.8E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.7615313E-5 | 2.0246001E-5 | 1.04244304E-4 | 5.1488833 | 8.4E-5 | 7.549201E-5 | 8.6765715E-5 | 1.9075669E-4 | 2.1985261 | 1.04E-4 | 9.1872766E-4 | 0.001055865 | 0.0012176939 | 1.1532667 | 1.62E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.5621423E-5 | 1.7892848E-5 | 9.1891525E-5 | 5.135657 | 7.4E-5 | 6.6947236E-5 | 7.66814E-5 | 1.6867435E-4 | 2.1996775 | 9.2E-5 | 8.147778E-4 | 9.3319966E-4 | 0.0010750671 | 1.1520226 | 1.42E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.3444376E-5 | 1.5337358E-5 | 8.533629E-5 | 5.5639496 | 7.0E-5 | 5.7617483E-5 | 6.5729895E-5 | 1.5172423E-4 | 2.3082988 | 8.6E-5 | 7.0126704E-4 | 7.9997035E-4 | 9.2986634E-4 | 1.162376 | 1.3E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.2268361E-5 | 1.3971509E-5 | 8.197056E-5 | 5.8669796 | 6.8E-5 | 5.2577634E-5 | 5.9876536E-5 | 1.4387151E-4 | 2.4028027 | 8.4E-5 | 6.399447E-4 | 7.287556E-4 | 8.546638E-4 | 1.1727715 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.0922655E-5 | 1.24214075E-5 | 8.042056E-5 | 6.474352 | 6.8E-5 | 4.681054E-5 | 5.3233533E-5 | 1.3722906E-4 | 2.5778687 | 8.4E-5 | 5.697693E-4 | 6.4792804E-4 | 7.7184767E-4 | 1.1912553 | 1.24E-4 |
| 7.3 | 6.1106753E-6 | 6.8782815E-6 | 4.487802E-5 | 6.5245976 | 3.8E-5 | 2.6188345E-5 | 2.9478018E-5 | 7.74766E-5 | 2.628284 | 4.8E-5 | 3.1879646E-4 | 3.5883617E-4 | 4.2681175E-4 | 1.1894336 | 6.8E-5 |
| 7.4 | 4.933187E-6 | 5.5495834E-6 | 3.7549406E-5 | 6.766166 | 3.2E-5 | 2.114206E-5 | 2.3783716E-5 | 6.378276E-5 | 2.681783 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5737417E-4 | 2.8952863E-4 | 3.43513E-4 | 1.1864561 | 5.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.7489613E-6 | 1.9563013E-6 | 1.795627E-5 | 9.178683 | 1.6E-5 | 7.495527E-6 | 8.384123E-6 | 2.438399E-5 | 2.9083529 | 1.6E-5 | 9.125422E-5 | 1.0207213E-4 | 1.22070094E-4 | 1.1959199 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7554588E-7 | 2.1755454E-6 | 12.393031 | 2.0E-6 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5233925E-7 | 2.7523377E-6 | 3.658373 | 2.0E-6 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.159694E-6 | 1.11596755E-5 | 1.2183459 | 2.0E-6 |
Mission Hills 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9212519E-5 | 2.4720814E-4 | 12.867035 | 2.28E-4 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.233873E-5 | 3.8431387E-4 | 4.667474 | 3.02E-4 | 9.786983E-4 | 0.001002362 | 0.001459903 | 1.4564627 | 4.58E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9212519E-5 | 2.4720814E-4 | 12.867035 | 2.28E-4 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.233873E-5 | 3.8431387E-4 | 4.667474 | 3.02E-4 | 9.786983E-4 | 0.001002362 | 0.001459903 | 1.4564627 | 4.58E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9212519E-5 | 2.4720814E-4 | 12.867035 | 2.28E-4 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.233873E-5 | 3.8431387E-4 | 4.667474 | 3.02E-4 | 9.786983E-4 | 0.001002362 | 0.001459903 | 1.4564627 | 4.58E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.8765717E-5 | 1.9212519E-5 | 2.4720814E-4 | 12.867035 | 2.28E-4 | 8.0422025E-5 | 8.233873E-5 | 3.8431387E-4 | 4.667474 | 3.02E-4 | 9.786983E-4 | 0.001002362 | 0.001459903 | 1.4564627 | 4.58E-4 |
| 6.4 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.5343236E-6 | 9.453409E-5 | 37.30151 | 9.2E-5 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0861351E-5 | 1.1886018E-4 | 10.943406 | 1.08E-4 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3223078E-4 | 2.842107E-4 | 2.1493535 | 1.52E-4 |
| 6.5 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.5343236E-6 | 9.453409E-5 | 37.30151 | 9.2E-5 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0861351E-5 | 1.1886018E-4 | 10.943406 | 1.08E-4 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3223078E-4 | 2.842107E-4 | 2.1493535 | 1.52E-4 |
| 6.6 | 4.566357E-6 | 2.5343236E-6 | 9.453409E-5 | 37.30151 | 9.2E-5 | 1.9569954E-5 | 1.0861351E-5 | 1.1886018E-4 | 10.943406 | 1.08E-4 | 2.3823815E-4 | 1.3223078E-4 | 2.842107E-4 | 2.1493535 | 1.52E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.3266773E-6 | 1.3378451E-6 | 7.933774E-5 | 59.302635 | 7.8E-5 | 9.971435E-6 | 5.7336097E-6 | 9.7733086E-5 | 17.045647 | 9.2E-5 | 1.2139547E-4 | 6.9804526E-5 | 1.977956E-4 | 2.833564 | 1.28E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.032735E-6 | 1.1967098E-6 | 7.719662E-5 | 64.507385 | 7.6E-5 | 8.711692E-6 | 5.1287466E-6 | 9.5128285E-5 | 18.548058 | 9.0E-5 | 1.06059684E-4 | 6.244075E-5 | 1.8843288E-4 | 3.017787 | 1.26E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.3186259E-6 | 1.0615001E-6 | 7.306143E-5 | 68.82847 | 7.2E-5 | 5.6512413E-6 | 4.5492784E-6 | 9.0548885E-5 | 19.90401 | 8.6E-5 | 6.8801695E-5 | 5.538609E-5 | 1.7337955E-4 | 3.1303809 | 1.18E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.2726016E-6 | 1.0211119E-6 | 7.302104E-5 | 71.5113 | 7.2E-5 | 5.4539955E-6 | 4.3761866E-6 | 9.037581E-5 | 20.651728 | 8.6E-5 | 6.6400375E-5 | 5.32788E-5 | 1.712725E-4 | 3.2146466 | 1.18E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.2063913E-6 | 9.620337E-7 | 7.2961964E-5 | 75.84138 | 7.2E-5 | 5.170238E-6 | 4.122995E-6 | 9.012264E-5 | 21.858536 | 8.6E-5 | 6.294583E-5 | 5.0196337E-5 | 1.6619051E-4 | 3.3108096 | 1.16E-4 |
| 7.2 | 9.105806E-7 | 7.419554E-7 | 6.274191E-5 | 84.56292 | 6.2E-5 | 3.9024826E-6 | 3.179805E-6 | 7.917956E-5 | 24.900763 | 7.6E-5 | 4.7511687E-5 | 3.8713453E-5 | 1.3270981E-4 | 3.4280026 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 7.020432E-7 | 5.7473886E-7 | 6.0574705E-5 | 105.39518 | 6.0E-5 | 3.0087533E-6 | 2.4631643E-6 | 7.446299E-5 | 30.230621 | 7.2E-5 | 3.6630954E-5 | 2.9988625E-5 | 1.19985925E-4 | 4.001048 | 9.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 5.3900635E-7 | 4.4769558E-7 | 6.044767E-5 | 135.01958 | 6.0E-5 | 2.3100251E-6 | 1.9186941E-6 | 7.3918556E-5 | 38.52545 | 7.2E-5 | 2.8124194E-5 | 2.3359862E-5 | 1.11357804E-4 | 4.7670574 | 8.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 2.907075E-7 | 2.3103586E-7 | 5.4231023E-5 | 234.7299 | 5.4E-5 | 1.2458887E-6 | 9.901532E-7 | 5.8990096E-5 | 59.576733 | 5.8E-5 | 1.5168589E-5 | 1.2055051E-5 | 8.2054205E-5 | 6.8066244 | 7.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.6903675E-7 | 1.2517462E-7 | 2.4125171E-5 | 192.73212 | 2.4E-5 | 7.2444305E-7 | 5.364626E-7 | 2.8536448E-5 | 53.193733 | 2.8E-5 | 8.820059E-6 | 6.531414E-6 | 4.4531167E-5 | 6.817998 | 3.8E-5 |
| 7.7 | 7.168073E-8 | 4.013696E-8 | 1.6040136E-5 | 399.63504 | 1.6E-5 | 3.072031E-7 | 1.7201553E-7 | 2.0172012E-5 | 117.26855 | 2.0E-5 | 3.7401915E-6 | 2.0942873E-6 | 3.0094228E-5 | 14.369676 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.8 | 6.564101E-8 | 3.480372E-8 | 1.2034803E-5 | 345.79074 | 1.2E-5 | 2.813186E-7 | 1.4915878E-7 | 1.6149157E-5 | 108.26822 | 1.6E-5 | 3.4250486E-6 | 1.8160068E-6 | 2.5815963E-5 | 14.215786 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.0029074E-8 | 3.889326E-9 | 4.0038894E-6 | 1029.4557 | 4.0E-6 | 4.2981743E-8 | 1.6668542E-8 | 4.0166683E-6 | 240.97299 | 4.0E-6 | 5.2330256E-7 | 2.0293949E-7 | 4.2029387E-6 | 20.710304 | 4.0E-6 |
Death Valley (So)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5945164E-5 | 2.0394055E-4 | 7.8604455 | 1.78E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1118892E-4 | 3.6916023E-4 | 3.3201172 | 2.58E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013529019 | 0.0017903093 | 1.3233105 | 4.38E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5945164E-5 | 2.0394055E-4 | 7.8604455 | 1.78E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1118892E-4 | 3.6916023E-4 | 3.3201172 | 2.58E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013529019 | 0.0017903093 | 1.3233105 | 4.38E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.0684236E-5 | 2.5945164E-5 | 2.0394055E-4 | 7.8604455 | 1.78E-4 | 8.864371E-5 | 1.1118892E-4 | 3.6916023E-4 | 3.3201172 | 2.58E-4 | 0.0010787029 | 0.0013529019 | 0.0017903093 | 1.3233105 | 4.38E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5442047E-5 | 1.9343778E-4 | 7.603074 | 1.68E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0903289E-4 | 3.5700583E-4 | 3.274295 | 2.48E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013266843 | 0.0017481244 | 1.3176643 | 4.22E-4 |
| 6.4 | 2.0240292E-5 | 2.5442047E-5 | 1.9343778E-4 | 7.603074 | 1.68E-4 | 8.6741224E-5 | 1.0903289E-4 | 3.5700583E-4 | 3.274295 | 2.48E-4 | 0.0010555626 | 0.0013266843 | 0.0017481244 | 1.3176643 | 4.22E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.9962767E-5 | 2.5129413E-5 | 1.8912529E-4 | 7.526053 | 1.64E-4 | 8.55519E-5 | 1.0769314E-4 | 3.5166685E-4 | 3.2654529 | 2.44E-4 | 0.0010410968 | 0.0013103925 | 0.0017278448 | 1.3185704 | 4.18E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.8937297E-5 | 2.3615572E-5 | 1.6161232E-4 | 6.843464 | 1.38E-4 | 8.115732E-5 | 1.01205755E-4 | 3.1318428E-4 | 3.0945306 | 2.12E-4 | 9.876423E-4 | 0.0012314986 | 0.0016070355 | 1.3049431 | 3.76E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.8621096E-5 | 2.3212513E-5 | 1.5920936E-4 | 6.8587728 | 1.36E-4 | 7.980225E-5 | 9.947849E-5 | 3.074578E-4 | 3.090696 | 2.08E-4 | 9.711593E-4 | 0.0012104927 | 0.0015780473 | 1.3036405 | 3.68E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.7830353E-5 | 2.2085194E-5 | 1.5608224E-4 | 7.067279 | 1.34E-4 | 7.641356E-5 | 9.464748E-5 | 2.9862818E-4 | 3.1551623 | 2.04E-4 | 9.29938E-4 | 0.0011517385 | 0.0015093262 | 1.3104764 | 3.58E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.3135183E-5 | 1.5452E-5 | 8.345095E-5 | 5.4006567 | 6.8E-5 | 5.6292425E-5 | 6.622121E-5 | 1.7621393E-4 | 2.660989 | 1.1E-4 | 6.8514474E-4 | 8.0595165E-4 | 0.0010177809 | 1.2628311 | 2.12E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.1507512E-5 | 1.3269459E-5 | 6.3268795E-5 | 4.7680016 | 5.0E-5 | 4.9316975E-5 | 5.68679E-5 | 1.3886324E-4 | 2.4418561 | 8.2E-5 | 6.002687E-4 | 6.9215265E-4 | 8.46046E-4 | 1.2223402 | 1.54E-4 |
| 7.1 | 9.715903E-6 | 1.0934992E-5 | 4.6934598E-5 | 4.292147 | 3.6E-5 | 4.1638916E-5 | 4.6863435E-5 | 1.04860716E-4 | 2.2375808 | 5.8E-5 | 5.068359E-4 | 5.7041727E-4 | 6.5037166E-4 | 1.1401682 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 9.233269E-6 | 1.0349061E-5 | 3.2348835E-5 | 3.1257746 | 2.2E-5 | 3.9570554E-5 | 4.435239E-5 | 8.435061E-5 | 1.9018279 | 4.0E-5 | 4.81665E-4 | 5.3986086E-4 | 5.978295E-4 | 1.107377 | 5.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 8.8041315E-6 | 9.865129E-6 | 2.7864951E-5 | 2.8245907 | 1.8E-5 | 3.7731446E-5 | 4.227846E-5 | 7.627702E-5 | 1.804158 | 3.4E-5 | 4.592835E-4 | 5.1462295E-4 | 5.6259823E-4 | 1.0932242 | 4.8E-5 |
| 7.4 | 8.708749E-6 | 9.76383E-6 | 2.7763655E-5 | 2.8435209 | 1.8E-5 | 3.7322676E-5 | 4.184434E-5 | 7.5842916E-5 | 1.8125012 | 3.4E-5 | 4.5430884E-4 | 5.0934E-4 | 5.5731554E-4 | 1.0941916 | 4.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 8.612678E-6 | 9.661125E-6 | 2.566097E-5 | 2.656106 | 1.6E-5 | 3.6910955E-5 | 4.1404186E-5 | 7.3402865E-5 | 1.7728367 | 3.2E-5 | 4.492982E-4 | 5.0398364E-4 | 5.4796145E-4 | 1.0872604 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 8.319024E-6 | 9.338695E-6 | 2.5338546E-5 | 2.7132854 | 1.6E-5 | 3.5652476E-5 | 4.002239E-5 | 7.202111E-5 | 1.7995205 | 3.2E-5 | 4.3398244E-4 | 4.8716788E-4 | 5.2914745E-4 | 1.0861706 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 7.4718328E-6 | 8.394777E-6 | 2.4394643E-5 | 2.905931 | 1.6E-5 | 3.2021748E-5 | 3.5977144E-5 | 6.597606E-5 | 1.8338327 | 3.0E-5 | 3.8979502E-4 | 4.3793776E-4 | 4.73922E-4 | 1.0821675 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6584183E-7 | 2.365841E-6 | 6.466841 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5678927E-6 | 3.5678895E-6 | 2.2755954 | 2.0E-6 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.908893E-5 | 2.1088892E-5 | 1.1047708 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Newport-Inglewood (Offshore)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.5457945E-5 | 1.2034319E-5 | 2.1803184E-4 | 18.117504 | 2.06E-4 | 6.6246655E-5 | 5.1574643E-5 | 3.335601E-4 | 6.467521 | 2.82E-4 | 8.062545E-4 | 6.277418E-4 | 0.0010514756 | 1.675013 | 4.24E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.331886E-5 | 1.2034319E-5 | 2.1803184E-4 | 18.117504 | 2.06E-4 | 5.707958E-5 | 5.1574643E-5 | 3.335601E-4 | 6.467521 | 2.82E-4 | 6.947222E-4 | 6.277418E-4 | 0.0010514756 | 1.675013 | 4.24E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.2250852E-5 | 1.0901846E-5 | 1.9289987E-4 | 17.694239 | 1.82E-4 | 5.2502597E-5 | 4.6721365E-5 | 3.047093E-4 | 6.521841 | 2.58E-4 | 6.3903164E-4 | 5.6868506E-4 | 9.444713E-4 | 1.6607983 | 3.76E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.2106258E-5 | 1.0745273E-5 | 1.8674339E-4 | 17.379118 | 1.76E-4 | 5.1882926E-5 | 4.6050365E-5 | 2.9403894E-4 | 6.38516 | 2.48E-4 | 6.3149154E-4 | 5.6051987E-4 | 9.243158E-4 | 1.6490332 | 3.64E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.1348758E-5 | 9.940964E-6 | 1.7793929E-4 | 17.899601 | 1.68E-4 | 4.8636626E-5 | 4.260344E-5 | 2.7659346E-4 | 6.49228 | 2.34E-4 | 5.919901E-4 | 5.1857415E-4 | 8.563989E-4 | 1.6514492 | 3.38E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.100837E-5 | 9.57716E-6 | 1.7557557E-4 | 18.332739 | 1.66E-4 | 4.7177873E-5 | 4.104433E-5 | 2.710349E-4 | 6.603467 | 2.3E-4 | 5.7423924E-4 | 4.9960084E-4 | 8.29436E-4 | 1.6601973 | 3.3E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.0634696E-5 | 9.181634E-6 | 1.651802E-4 | 17.990284 | 1.56E-4 | 4.557647E-5 | 3.9349266E-5 | 2.5934062E-4 | 6.5907354 | 2.2E-4 | 5.5475225E-4 | 4.789727E-4 | 7.968204E-4 | 1.663603 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.7 | 9.9780855E-6 | 8.507629E-6 | 1.5650637E-4 | 18.396004 | 1.48E-4 | 4.276252E-5 | 3.6460762E-5 | 2.464531E-4 | 6.7594066 | 2.1E-4 | 5.205093E-4 | 4.4382E-4 | 7.516833E-4 | 1.693667 | 3.08E-4 |
| 6.8 | 9.59546E-6 | 8.115846E-6 | 1.5211468E-4 | 18.742924 | 1.44E-4 | 4.1122752E-5 | 3.4781737E-5 | 2.3877464E-4 | 6.864943 | 2.04E-4 | 5.0055445E-4 | 4.2338597E-4 | 7.1926066E-4 | 1.6988297 | 2.96E-4 |
| 6.9 | 9.000614E-6 | 7.561604E-6 | 1.4356058E-4 | 18.985466 | 1.36E-4 | 3.857349E-5 | 3.2406475E-5 | 2.2440025E-4 | 6.92455 | 1.92E-4 | 4.6953102E-4 | 3.94478E-4 | 6.7036913E-4 | 1.6993828 | 2.76E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.4070194E-6 | 6.0657194E-6 | 1.1206508E-4 | 18.475151 | 1.06E-4 | 3.1743984E-5 | 2.5995681E-5 | 1.7999168E-4 | 6.923907 | 1.54E-4 | 3.8641447E-4 | 3.164516E-4 | 5.323833E-4 | 1.6823528 | 2.16E-4 |
| 7.1 | 6.299615E-6 | 4.997023E-6 | 8.299663E-5 | 16.609215 | 7.8E-5 | 2.699807E-5 | 2.1415639E-5 | 1.3941311E-4 | 6.5098743 | 1.18E-4 | 3.2865192E-4 | 2.607043E-4 | 4.2666105E-4 | 1.6365707 | 1.66E-4 |
| 7.2 | 5.096653E-6 | 3.851712E-6 | 5.385152E-5 | 13.981192 | 5.0E-5 | 2.1842614E-5 | 1.6507232E-5 | 9.250598E-5 | 5.6039667 | 7.6E-5 | 2.6590136E-4 | 2.0095712E-4 | 3.1093502E-4 | 1.5472704 | 1.1E-4 |
| 7.3 | 3.9753018E-6 | 2.8850604E-6 | 4.0884952E-5 | 14.171263 | 3.8E-5 | 1.7036897E-5 | 1.2364487E-5 | 6.836379E-5 | 5.529044 | 5.6E-5 | 2.0740448E-4 | 1.5052731E-4 | 2.3451466E-4 | 1.5579543 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 3.0568392E-6 | 2.1300116E-6 | 3.0129951E-5 | 14.145441 | 2.8E-5 | 1.3100675E-5 | 9.128589E-6 | 5.1128205E-5 | 5.6008883 | 4.2E-5 | 1.5948903E-4 | 1.1113496E-4 | 1.7512785E-4 | 1.5758123 | 6.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.7279019E-6 | 1.1400958E-6 | 2.1140073E-5 | 18.542366 | 2.0E-5 | 7.405273E-6 | 4.8861157E-6 | 3.688596E-5 | 7.549137 | 3.2E-5 | 9.015547E-5 | 5.9486876E-5 | 9.748461E-5 | 1.6387584 | 3.8E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.1156416E-6 | 7.185158E-7 | 6.7185115E-6 | 9.350541 | 6.0E-6 | 4.7813123E-6 | 3.0793499E-6 | 1.5079313E-5 | 4.8969145 | 1.2E-5 | 5.821092E-5 | 3.7490463E-5 | 5.3489865E-5 | 1.4267592 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 9.117973E-8 | 6.664467E-8 | 6.664467E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.907702E-7 | 2.8561996E-7 | 2.8561996E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.757617E-6 | 3.4774177E-6 | 3.4774177E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanside alt1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1436888E-5 | 2.3943427E-4 | 20.935265 | 2.28E-4 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.449999E-4 | 7.038745 | 2.96E-4 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.966032E-4 | 0.0010063585 | 1.686814 | 4.1E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1436888E-5 | 2.3943427E-4 | 20.935265 | 2.28E-4 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.449999E-4 | 7.038745 | 2.96E-4 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.966032E-4 | 0.0010063585 | 1.686814 | 4.1E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1436888E-5 | 2.3943427E-4 | 20.935265 | 2.28E-4 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.449999E-4 | 7.038745 | 2.96E-4 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.966032E-4 | 0.0010063585 | 1.686814 | 4.1E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1436888E-5 | 2.3943427E-4 | 20.935265 | 2.28E-4 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.449999E-4 | 7.038745 | 2.96E-4 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.966032E-4 | 0.0010063585 | 1.686814 | 4.1E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1436888E-5 | 2.3943427E-4 | 20.935265 | 2.28E-4 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.449999E-4 | 7.038745 | 2.96E-4 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.966032E-4 | 0.0010063585 | 1.686814 | 4.1E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.1617542E-5 | 1.1436888E-5 | 2.3943427E-4 | 20.935265 | 2.28E-4 | 4.9788516E-5 | 4.9014405E-5 | 3.449999E-4 | 7.038745 | 2.96E-4 | 6.060066E-4 | 5.966032E-4 | 0.0010063585 | 1.686814 | 4.1E-4 |
| 6.6 | 7.561768E-6 | 7.1344853E-6 | 1.3713355E-4 | 19.221226 | 1.3E-4 | 3.2407173E-5 | 3.0576015E-5 | 2.0657064E-4 | 6.75597 | 1.76E-4 | 3.9448592E-4 | 3.7220045E-4 | 6.141104E-4 | 1.6499453 | 2.42E-4 |
| 6.7 | 7.1042605E-6 | 6.656697E-6 | 1.266559E-4 | 19.026838 | 1.2E-4 | 3.0446476E-5 | 2.8528395E-5 | 1.8852383E-4 | 6.6082873 | 1.6E-4 | 3.706228E-4 | 3.4727863E-4 | 5.6920154E-4 | 1.6390342 | 2.22E-4 |
| 6.8 | 6.285554E-6 | 5.798845E-6 | 1.1379822E-4 | 19.62429 | 1.08E-4 | 2.693781E-5 | 2.485196E-5 | 1.6684843E-4 | 6.713693 | 1.42E-4 | 3.2791847E-4 | 3.0253115E-4 | 5.0447E-4 | 1.6674979 | 2.02E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.148883E-6 | 5.6555727E-6 | 1.07654996E-4 | 19.035206 | 1.02E-4 | 2.635209E-5 | 2.4237946E-5 | 1.6023465E-4 | 6.6109004 | 1.36E-4 | 3.2078946E-4 | 2.950576E-4 | 4.8700094E-4 | 1.6505284 | 1.92E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.253857E-6 | 4.7199687E-6 | 8.471959E-5 | 17.949184 | 8.0E-5 | 2.2516335E-5 | 2.0228283E-5 | 1.3022606E-4 | 6.437821 | 1.1E-4 | 2.7410188E-4 | 2.4625182E-4 | 4.0821193E-4 | 1.6577011 | 1.62E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.730754E-6 | 4.176089E-6 | 7.017581E-5 | 16.804195 | 6.6E-5 | 2.0274503E-5 | 1.7897402E-5 | 1.0989576E-4 | 6.140319 | 9.2E-5 | 2.468141E-4 | 2.1787935E-4 | 3.5584928E-4 | 1.6332401 | 1.38E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.7998386E-6 | 3.2128069E-6 | 5.3212647E-5 | 16.562666 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6284921E-5 | 1.37691E-5 | 8.376814E-5 | 6.083777 | 7.0E-5 | 1.9825088E-4 | 1.6762601E-4 | 2.7360825E-4 | 1.6322541 | 1.06E-4 |
| 7.3 | 3.2656465E-6 | 2.699827E-6 | 4.2699718E-5 | 15.815724 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3995553E-5 | 1.1570636E-5 | 6.7569985E-5 | 5.8397818 | 5.6E-5 | 1.7038253E-4 | 1.408635E-4 | 2.3085083E-4 | 1.6388264 | 9.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.593703E-6 | 2.0742198E-6 | 2.607417E-5 | 12.570592 | 2.4E-5 | 1.1115822E-5 | 8.889483E-6 | 4.6889145E-5 | 5.2746763 | 3.8E-5 | 1.3532673E-4 | 1.0822417E-4 | 1.7221725E-4 | 1.5913011 | 6.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.8715585E-6 | 1.4189045E-6 | 2.1418877E-5 | 15.095362 | 2.0E-5 | 8.020941E-6 | 6.0810053E-6 | 3.4080836E-5 | 5.6044736 | 2.8E-5 | 9.7650576E-5 | 7.4033785E-5 | 1.18030526E-4 | 1.5942793 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.2246786E-6 | 8.566408E-7 | 8.856634E-6 | 10.338796 | 8.0E-6 | 5.248612E-6 | 3.6713127E-6 | 1.5671269E-5 | 4.2685738 | 1.2E-5 | 6.389998E-5 | 4.469736E-5 | 6.869629E-5 | 1.5369204 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 5.140719E-7 | 2.7542336E-7 | 2.2754227E-6 | 8.261546 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2031636E-6 | 1.1803854E-6 | 3.180383E-6 | 2.69436 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6823185E-5 | 1.4371111E-5 | 1.8371054E-5 | 1.2783321 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.789773E-9 | 9.789773E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.195617E-8 | 4.195617E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.108164E-7 | 5.108164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (East)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.0269195E-5 | 1.9226733E-4 | 18.722727 | 1.82E-4 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.4010212E-5 | 2.8999939E-4 | 6.5893655 | 2.46E-4 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.3571456E-4 | 9.195088E-4 | 1.7164156 | 3.84E-4 |
| 6.1 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.0269195E-5 | 1.9226733E-4 | 18.722727 | 1.82E-4 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.4010212E-5 | 2.8999939E-4 | 6.5893655 | 2.46E-4 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.3571456E-4 | 9.195088E-4 | 1.7164156 | 3.84E-4 |
| 6.2 | 9.916913E-6 | 1.0269195E-5 | 1.9226733E-4 | 18.722727 | 1.82E-4 | 4.250036E-5 | 4.4010212E-5 | 2.8999939E-4 | 6.5893655 | 2.46E-4 | 5.173191E-4 | 5.3571456E-4 | 9.195088E-4 | 1.7164156 | 3.84E-4 |
| 6.3 | 5.479711E-6 | 5.5508476E-6 | 1.1955021E-4 | 21.53729 | 1.14E-4 | 2.3484265E-5 | 2.3789145E-5 | 1.8778525E-4 | 7.8937364 | 1.64E-4 | 2.858834E-4 | 2.8959723E-4 | 5.4552313E-4 | 1.8837303 | 2.56E-4 |
| 6.4 | 5.465009E-6 | 5.5351525E-6 | 1.1753453E-4 | 21.2342 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3421257E-5 | 2.3721883E-5 | 1.8571805E-4 | 7.828975 | 1.62E-4 | 2.851165E-4 | 2.8877854E-4 | 5.427052E-4 | 1.8793128 | 2.54E-4 |
| 6.5 | 4.826767E-6 | 4.8583493E-6 | 1.10857836E-4 | 22.818005 | 1.06E-4 | 2.068598E-5 | 2.0821346E-5 | 1.7081822E-4 | 8.203996 | 1.5E-4 | 2.518227E-4 | 2.5347286E-4 | 4.8541406E-4 | 1.9150534 | 2.32E-4 |
| 6.6 | 4.3146847E-6 | 4.3169634E-6 | 1.0831651E-4 | 25.090904 | 1.04E-4 | 1.8491375E-5 | 1.8501152E-5 | 1.6249849E-4 | 8.7831545 | 1.44E-4 | 2.2510924E-4 | 2.252304E-4 | 4.3318354E-4 | 1.9232908 | 2.08E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.6968106E-6 | 3.451824E-6 | 9.945149E-5 | 28.811287 | 9.6E-5 | 1.5843378E-5 | 1.4793455E-5 | 1.4479153E-4 | 9.78754 | 1.3E-4 | 1.9287605E-4 | 1.800967E-4 | 3.6206393E-4 | 2.0103862 | 1.82E-4 |
| 6.8 | 3.4671132E-6 | 3.1654113E-6 | 9.316512E-5 | 29.432234 | 9.0E-5 | 1.4858972E-5 | 1.3565985E-5 | 1.3556433E-4 | 9.992959 | 1.22E-4 | 1.8089297E-4 | 1.6515453E-4 | 3.3712614E-4 | 2.041277 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.7686972E-6 | 2.3137889E-6 | 8.231361E-5 | 35.575245 | 8.0E-5 | 1.1865792E-5 | 9.916203E-6 | 1.19915116E-4 | 12.092845 | 1.1E-4 | 1.4445644E-4 | 1.2072362E-4 | 2.7270528E-4 | 2.2589223 | 1.52E-4 |
| 7.0 | 2.1472624E-6 | 1.4807038E-6 | 6.748061E-5 | 45.573334 | 6.6E-5 | 9.20252E-6 | 6.345859E-6 | 9.43453E-5 | 14.867222 | 8.8E-5 | 1.12034926E-4 | 7.7258424E-5 | 1.9724914E-4 | 2.5531087 | 1.2E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.7018335E-6 | 8.3346646E-7 | 5.6833418E-5 | 68.18921 | 5.6E-5 | 7.293552E-6 | 3.571995E-6 | 8.1571714E-5 | 22.836458 | 7.8E-5 | 8.879537E-5 | 4.348831E-5 | 1.3748422E-4 | 3.1614065 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.25603E-6 | 2.8186903E-7 | 3.8281858E-5 | 135.81435 | 3.8E-5 | 5.3829745E-6 | 1.2080096E-6 | 5.5207944E-5 | 45.701576 | 5.4E-5 | 6.553574E-5 | 1.4707427E-5 | 7.8706486E-5 | 5.351479 | 6.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.112297E-6 | 1.2015369E-7 | 2.412015E-5 | 200.74416 | 2.4E-5 | 4.7669787E-6 | 5.149443E-7 | 3.2514927E-5 | 63.142612 | 3.2E-5 | 5.803642E-5 | 6.2694303E-6 | 3.826923E-5 | 6.1040998 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.0137181E-6 | 4.7934456E-8 | 1.20479335E-5 | 251.34183 | 1.2E-5 | 4.3444993E-6 | 2.0543337E-7 | 1.42054305E-5 | 69.148605 | 1.4E-5 | 5.2892992E-5 | 2.5011486E-6 | 1.6501113E-5 | 6.5974145 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 9.598608E-7 | 2.7755055E-8 | 1.2027755E-5 | 433.35364 | 1.2E-5 | 4.1136827E-6 | 1.1895023E-7 | 1.41189485E-5 | 118.696266 | 1.4E-5 | 5.0082934E-5 | 1.4482182E-6 | 1.5448199E-5 | 10.667038 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 7.929459E-7 | 1.6001197E-8 | 1.2016001E-5 | 750.9439 | 1.2E-5 | 3.3983351E-6 | 6.8576554E-8 | 1.4068575E-5 | 205.1514 | 1.4E-5 | 4.1373947E-5 | 8.3491926E-7 | 1.4834907E-5 | 17.768074 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 4.155788E-7 | 7.495464E-10 | 7.495464E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7810507E-6 | 3.2123406E-9 | 2.0032123E-6 | 623.599 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1684076E-5 | 3.9110255E-8 | 2.03911E-6 | 52.13748 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.14666925E-7 | 7.040377E-10 | 7.040377E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.914296E-7 | 3.0173033E-9 | 2.0030172E-6 | 663.8435 | 2.0E-6 | 5.9831386E-6 | 3.6735678E-8 | 2.0367356E-6 | 55.442986 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.9231824E-8 | 5.832833E-10 | 5.832833E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527924E-7 | 2.499784E-9 | 2.499784E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5252737E-6 | 3.0434872E-8 | 3.0434872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Johnson Valley (No) 2011 rev
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2987673E-5 | 1.9098536E-4 | 14.705126 | 1.78E-4 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.5660494E-5 | 2.876476E-4 | 5.167895 | 2.32E-4 | 0.0013441239 | 6.7749596E-4 | 0.0010192642 | 1.5044581 | 3.42E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2987673E-5 | 1.9098536E-4 | 14.705126 | 1.78E-4 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.5660494E-5 | 2.876476E-4 | 5.167895 | 2.32E-4 | 0.0013441239 | 6.7749596E-4 | 0.0010192642 | 1.5044581 | 3.42E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2987673E-5 | 1.9098536E-4 | 14.705126 | 1.78E-4 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.5660494E-5 | 2.876476E-4 | 5.167895 | 2.32E-4 | 0.0013441239 | 6.7749596E-4 | 0.0010192642 | 1.5044581 | 3.42E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.577707E-5 | 1.2987673E-5 | 1.9098536E-4 | 14.705126 | 1.78E-4 | 1.1046848E-4 | 5.5660494E-5 | 2.876476E-4 | 5.167895 | 2.32E-4 | 0.0013441239 | 6.7749596E-4 | 0.0010192642 | 1.5044581 | 3.42E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.592085E-6 | 1.2959116E-4 | 17.069246 | 1.22E-4 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.2537206E-5 | 1.7853246E-4 | 5.487025 | 1.46E-4 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.9608747E-4 | 6.020059E-4 | 1.5198811 | 2.06E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.5296591E-5 | 7.592085E-6 | 1.2959116E-4 | 17.069246 | 1.22E-4 | 6.555518E-5 | 3.2537206E-5 | 1.7853246E-4 | 5.487025 | 1.46E-4 | 7.97842E-4 | 3.9608747E-4 | 6.020059E-4 | 1.5198811 | 2.06E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.3289383E-5 | 6.0360885E-6 | 8.8035595E-5 | 14.584874 | 8.2E-5 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.586879E-5 | 1.2786615E-4 | 4.942873 | 1.02E-4 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.1492423E-4 | 4.6487697E-4 | 1.476155 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.3289383E-5 | 6.0360885E-6 | 8.8035595E-5 | 14.584874 | 8.2E-5 | 5.6953253E-5 | 2.586879E-5 | 1.2786615E-4 | 4.942873 | 1.02E-4 | 6.9318525E-4 | 3.1492423E-4 | 4.6487697E-4 | 1.476155 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.8 | 8.330789E-6 | 2.9482796E-6 | 4.8948143E-5 | 16.602274 | 4.6E-5 | 3.570289E-5 | 1.2635456E-5 | 7.063472E-5 | 5.5902 | 5.8E-5 | 4.34596E-4 | 1.5383164E-4 | 2.3781872E-4 | 1.5459676 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 7.2359003E-6 | 2.32447E-6 | 3.8324386E-5 | 16.487366 | 3.6E-5 | 3.1010633E-5 | 9.9620065E-6 | 5.796153E-5 | 5.818259 | 4.8E-5 | 3.7748902E-4 | 1.2128612E-4 | 1.8927787E-4 | 1.5605898 | 6.8E-5 |
| 7.0 | 6.5149957E-6 | 2.1096942E-6 | 3.610962E-5 | 17.116045 | 3.4E-5 | 2.792111E-5 | 9.041546E-6 | 5.504113E-5 | 6.0875797 | 4.6E-5 | 3.398865E-4 | 1.1008067E-4 | 1.7207384E-4 | 1.5631614 | 6.2E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.1662233E-6 | 2.9231828E-8 | 2.9231828E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9980904E-6 | 1.2527926E-7 | 1.2527926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0850052E-5 | 1.525274E-6 | 1.525274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 5.413881E-7 | 2.9231828E-8 | 2.9231828E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3202326E-6 | 1.2527926E-7 | 1.2527926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8248465E-5 | 1.525274E-6 | 1.525274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 5.076821E-7 | 2.9231828E-8 | 2.9231828E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1757785E-6 | 1.2527926E-7 | 1.2527926E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.648978E-5 | 1.525274E-6 | 1.525274E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 4.7568687E-7 | 2.9213394E-8 | 2.9213394E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0386565E-6 | 1.2520026E-7 | 1.2520026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.482036E-5 | 1.5243122E-6 | 1.5243122E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 3.435626E-7 | 2.5729111E-8 | 2.5729111E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4724103E-6 | 1.10267614E-7 | 1.10267614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7926448E-5 | 1.3425076E-6 | 1.3425076E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Northridge
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.663821E-6 | 1.5766267E-4 | 20.572332 | 1.5E-4 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2844546E-5 | 2.2483824E-4 | 6.8455276 | 1.92E-4 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.998112E-4 | 7.2568085E-4 | 1.8150588 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.663821E-6 | 1.5766267E-4 | 20.572332 | 1.5E-4 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2844546E-5 | 2.2483824E-4 | 6.8455276 | 1.92E-4 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.998112E-4 | 7.2568085E-4 | 1.8150588 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.663821E-6 | 1.5766267E-4 | 20.572332 | 1.5E-4 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2844546E-5 | 2.2483824E-4 | 6.8455276 | 1.92E-4 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.998112E-4 | 7.2568085E-4 | 1.8150588 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.8340852E-5 | 7.663821E-6 | 1.5766267E-4 | 20.572332 | 1.5E-4 | 7.860128E-5 | 3.2844546E-5 | 2.2483824E-4 | 6.8455276 | 1.92E-4 | 9.565505E-4 | 3.998112E-4 | 7.2568085E-4 | 1.8150588 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.663821E-6 | 1.5766267E-4 | 20.572332 | 1.5E-4 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.2844546E-5 | 2.2483824E-4 | 6.8455276 | 1.92E-4 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.998112E-4 | 7.2568085E-4 | 1.8150588 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.7361892E-5 | 7.663821E-6 | 1.5766267E-4 | 20.572332 | 1.5E-4 | 7.440598E-5 | 3.2844546E-5 | 2.2483824E-4 | 6.8455276 | 1.92E-4 | 9.055163E-4 | 3.998112E-4 | 7.2568085E-4 | 1.8150588 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.5458201E-5 | 7.663821E-6 | 1.5766267E-4 | 20.572332 | 1.5E-4 | 6.624775E-5 | 3.2844546E-5 | 2.2483824E-4 | 6.8455276 | 1.92E-4 | 8.0626784E-4 | 3.998112E-4 | 7.2568085E-4 | 1.8150588 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.2538368E-5 | 6.4459473E-6 | 1.4244507E-4 | 22.09839 | 1.36E-4 | 5.3734755E-5 | 2.76252E-5 | 2.0362034E-4 | 7.3708186 | 1.76E-4 | 6.5402425E-4 | 3.3628533E-4 | 6.401831E-4 | 1.9036902 | 3.04E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.1438097E-5 | 6.4139767E-6 | 1.424131E-4 | 22.203558 | 1.36E-4 | 4.9019498E-5 | 2.7488184E-5 | 2.0348335E-4 | 7.402575 | 1.76E-4 | 5.9664896E-4 | 3.346177E-4 | 6.38516E-4 | 1.9081955 | 3.04E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.1204891E-5 | 6.3492084E-6 | 1.4034836E-4 | 22.10486 | 1.34E-4 | 4.8020076E-5 | 2.7210612E-5 | 2.0120588E-4 | 7.39439 | 1.74E-4 | 5.8448757E-4 | 3.3123928E-4 | 6.311399E-4 | 1.9053897 | 3.0E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.061046E-5 | 6.174765E-6 | 1.4017394E-4 | 22.701096 | 1.34E-4 | 4.5472607E-5 | 2.6463013E-5 | 1.9645851E-4 | 7.4238906 | 1.7E-4 | 5.534883E-4 | 3.2214E-4 | 6.1604526E-4 | 1.9123527 | 2.94E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.0266979E-5 | 6.061462E-6 | 1.3806066E-4 | 22.776793 | 1.32E-4 | 4.40006E-5 | 2.5977439E-5 | 1.9397307E-4 | 7.4669824 | 1.68E-4 | 5.355756E-4 | 3.1622985E-4 | 6.0413877E-4 | 1.910442 | 2.88E-4 |
| 7.2 | 9.91273E-6 | 5.8754486E-6 | 1.3587468E-4 | 23.125841 | 1.3E-4 | 4.248244E-5 | 2.5180252E-5 | 1.9117608E-4 | 7.592302 | 1.66E-4 | 5.171009E-4 | 3.0652687E-4 | 5.8244227E-4 | 1.9001344 | 2.76E-4 |
| 7.3 | 8.4959265E-6 | 5.243221E-6 | 1.2924257E-4 | 24.64946 | 1.24E-4 | 3.6410605E-5 | 2.2470755E-5 | 1.804672E-4 | 8.031203 | 1.58E-4 | 4.4320893E-4 | 2.7354734E-4 | 5.394746E-4 | 1.9721434 | 2.66E-4 |
| 7.4 | 8.0847185E-6 | 5.029616E-6 | 1.1902904E-4 | 23.665632 | 1.14E-4 | 3.4648332E-5 | 2.1555321E-5 | 1.6955214E-4 | 7.8659062 | 1.48E-4 | 4.2176177E-4 | 2.6240468E-4 | 5.1433855E-4 | 1.9600967 | 2.52E-4 |
| 7.5 | 6.8220684E-6 | 4.2919078E-6 | 9.6291515E-5 | 22.435596 | 9.2E-5 | 2.9237108E-5 | 1.8393761E-5 | 1.4439144E-4 | 7.8500223 | 1.26E-4 | 3.5590364E-4 | 2.2392123E-4 | 4.3587378E-4 | 1.9465494 | 2.12E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.4224143E-6 | 2.9188886E-6 | 6.69187E-5 | 22.92609 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8953066E-5 | 1.2509463E-5 | 1.0050836E-4 | 8.034586 | 8.8E-5 | 2.3072914E-4 | 1.5229218E-4 | 3.1426753E-4 | 2.0635827 | 1.62E-4 |
| 7.7 | 2.5297056E-6 | 1.6133819E-6 | 3.9613322E-5 | 24.552973 | 3.8E-5 | 1.0841551E-5 | 6.9144753E-6 | 5.691413E-5 | 8.231156 | 5.0E-5 | 1.319879E-4 | 8.418054E-5 | 1.7617279E-4 | 2.0927973 | 9.2E-5 |
| 7.8 | 1.2508156E-6 | 8.8201125E-7 | 2.0881993E-5 | 23.675428 | 2.0E-5 | 5.3606273E-6 | 3.7800428E-6 | 3.377993E-5 | 8.936388 | 3.0E-5 | 6.526368E-5 | 4.602106E-5 | 9.0019035E-5 | 1.95604 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.262199E-7 | 1.477439E-7 | 6.147743E-6 | 41.61081 | 6.0E-6 | 9.695135E-7 | 6.33188E-7 | 6.633184E-6 | 10.475853 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1803763E-5 | 7.709037E-6 | 1.9708945E-5 | 2.5566027 | 1.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 2.865362E-9 | 1.3187709E-9 | 1.3187709E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2280123E-8 | 5.651875E-9 | 5.651875E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4951048E-7 | 6.881158E-8 | 6.881158E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Del Valle
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.83389E-6 | 1.6283253E-4 | 18.432709 | 1.54E-4 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7859096E-5 | 2.4785113E-4 | 6.546674 | 2.1E-4 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.608569E-4 | 7.867067E-4 | 1.7070519 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.83389E-6 | 1.6283253E-4 | 18.432709 | 1.54E-4 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7859096E-5 | 2.4785113E-4 | 6.546674 | 2.1E-4 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.608569E-4 | 7.867067E-4 | 1.7070519 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.0716125E-5 | 8.83389E-6 | 1.6283253E-4 | 18.432709 | 1.54E-4 | 4.592544E-5 | 3.7859096E-5 | 2.4785113E-4 | 6.546674 | 2.1E-4 | 5.589988E-4 | 4.608569E-4 | 7.867067E-4 | 1.7070519 | 3.26E-4 |
| 6.3 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.9144774E-6 | 1.1691393E-4 | 23.789696 | 1.12E-4 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.106188E-5 | 1.7305868E-4 | 8.216678 | 1.52E-4 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.5639898E-4 | 4.8034155E-4 | 1.8734144 | 2.24E-4 |
| 6.4 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.9144774E-6 | 1.1691393E-4 | 23.789696 | 1.12E-4 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.106188E-5 | 1.7305868E-4 | 8.216678 | 1.52E-4 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.5639898E-4 | 4.8034155E-4 | 1.8734144 | 2.24E-4 |
| 6.5 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.9144774E-6 | 1.1691393E-4 | 23.789696 | 1.12E-4 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.106188E-5 | 1.7305868E-4 | 8.216678 | 1.52E-4 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.5639898E-4 | 4.8034155E-4 | 1.8734144 | 2.24E-4 |
| 6.6 | 7.1293784E-6 | 4.9144774E-6 | 1.1691393E-4 | 23.789696 | 1.12E-4 | 3.055412E-5 | 2.106188E-5 | 1.7305868E-4 | 8.216678 | 1.52E-4 | 3.7193293E-4 | 2.5639898E-4 | 4.8034155E-4 | 1.8734144 | 2.24E-4 |
| 6.7 | 7.12272E-6 | 4.911827E-6 | 1.1691128E-4 | 23.801992 | 1.12E-4 | 3.0525585E-5 | 2.1050522E-5 | 1.7304732E-4 | 8.2205715 | 1.52E-4 | 3.7158563E-4 | 2.5626074E-4 | 4.8020334E-4 | 1.8738858 | 2.24E-4 |
| 6.8 | 6.7558703E-6 | 4.6056734E-6 | 1.1260518E-4 | 24.44923 | 1.08E-4 | 2.895341E-5 | 1.9738456E-5 | 1.6373562E-4 | 8.295259 | 1.44E-4 | 3.5245073E-4 | 2.4028984E-4 | 4.542384E-4 | 1.8903772 | 2.14E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.6700386E-6 | 4.5477577E-6 | 1.1254727E-4 | 24.74786 | 1.08E-4 | 2.8585566E-5 | 1.9490248E-5 | 1.6148748E-4 | 8.285553 | 1.42E-4 | 3.479737E-4 | 2.3726857E-4 | 4.4721874E-4 | 1.884863 | 2.1E-4 |
| 7.0 | 6.3181424E-6 | 4.1407E-6 | 1.1214025E-4 | 27.082436 | 1.08E-4 | 2.7077473E-5 | 1.774574E-5 | 1.5774326E-4 | 8.889077 | 1.4E-4 | 3.2961834E-4 | 2.1603341E-4 | 4.1998934E-4 | 1.9440944 | 2.04E-4 |
| 7.1 | 6.248759E-6 | 4.0750383E-6 | 1.12074595E-4 | 27.502712 | 1.08E-4 | 2.678012E-5 | 1.7464336E-5 | 1.574619E-4 | 9.016197 | 1.4E-4 | 3.2599916E-4 | 2.1260796E-4 | 4.1256545E-4 | 1.9404985 | 2.0E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.0411944E-6 | 3.9080937E-6 | 1.09907676E-4 | 28.123093 | 1.06E-4 | 2.5890577E-5 | 1.6748869E-5 | 1.5474655E-4 | 9.239224 | 1.38E-4 | 3.1517216E-4 | 2.0389882E-4 | 4.0185844E-4 | 1.9708719 | 1.98E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.7691183E-6 | 3.0988963E-6 | 8.309865E-5 | 26.815563 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0438918E-5 | 1.3280918E-5 | 1.1927951E-4 | 8.98127 | 1.06E-4 | 2.488154E-4 | 1.616834E-4 | 3.1165915E-4 | 1.927589 | 1.5E-4 |
| 7.4 | 3.5524722E-6 | 2.1963112E-6 | 7.2196155E-5 | 32.87155 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5224792E-5 | 9.412729E-6 | 1.05411826E-4 | 11.198859 | 9.6E-5 | 1.8534607E-4 | 1.1459403E-4 | 2.4657891E-4 | 2.1517603 | 1.32E-4 |
| 7.5 | 2.7133442E-6 | 1.5894333E-6 | 6.758933E-5 | 42.524166 | 6.6E-5 | 1.1628566E-5 | 6.8118393E-6 | 9.481124E-5 | 13.918596 | 8.8E-5 | 1.415686E-4 | 8.293101E-5 | 2.0292106E-4 | 2.4468658 | 1.2E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.915338E-6 | 1.1652362E-6 | 6.5165164E-5 | 55.924423 | 6.4E-5 | 8.208566E-6 | 4.99386E-6 | 8.899344E-5 | 17.820572 | 8.4E-5 | 9.993471E-5 | 6.0798557E-5 | 1.7679151E-4 | 2.907824 | 1.16E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.2120448E-6 | 7.0522293E-7 | 6.270518E-5 | 88.9154 | 6.2E-5 | 5.194467E-6 | 3.0223805E-6 | 8.1022146E-5 | 26.807394 | 7.8E-5 | 6.3240805E-5 | 3.6796864E-5 | 1.447929E-4 | 3.9349246 | 1.08E-4 |
| 7.8 | 6.272381E-7 | 3.8208964E-7 | 5.038207E-5 | 131.8593 | 5.0E-5 | 2.6881603E-6 | 1.637526E-6 | 6.163743E-5 | 37.64058 | 6.0E-5 | 3.272786E-5 | 1.9936699E-5 | 9.99351E-5 | 5.0126204 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.0292627E-7 | 1.2178178E-7 | 2.0121779E-5 | 165.22816 | 2.0E-5 | 8.6968373E-7 | 5.219218E-7 | 2.252191E-5 | 43.15189 | 2.2E-5 | 1.0588348E-5 | 6.3543794E-6 | 4.235415E-5 | 6.665348 | 3.6E-5 |
| 8.0 | 4.374492E-8 | 2.237177E-8 | 8.022372E-6 | 358.59354 | 8.0E-6 | 1.8747821E-7 | 9.587901E-8 | 8.095878E-6 | 84.438484 | 8.0E-6 | 2.2825448E-6 | 1.1673263E-6 | 1.516731E-5 | 12.993205 | 1.4E-5 |
Pine Mtn
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.0253254E-6 | 1.7102418E-4 | 24.34395 | 1.64E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0108207E-5 | 2.4210183E-4 | 8.041058 | 2.12E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6650873E-4 | 6.883907E-4 | 1.8782383 | 3.22E-4 |
| 6.1 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.0253254E-6 | 1.7102418E-4 | 24.34395 | 1.64E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0108207E-5 | 2.4210183E-4 | 8.041058 | 2.12E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6650873E-4 | 6.883907E-4 | 1.8782383 | 3.22E-4 |
| 6.2 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.0253254E-6 | 1.7102418E-4 | 24.34395 | 1.64E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0108207E-5 | 2.4210183E-4 | 8.041058 | 2.12E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6650873E-4 | 6.883907E-4 | 1.8782383 | 3.22E-4 |
| 6.3 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.0253254E-6 | 1.7102418E-4 | 24.34395 | 1.64E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0108207E-5 | 2.4210183E-4 | 8.041058 | 2.12E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6650873E-4 | 6.883907E-4 | 1.8782383 | 3.22E-4 |
| 6.4 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.0253254E-6 | 1.7102418E-4 | 24.34395 | 1.64E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0108207E-5 | 2.4210183E-4 | 8.041058 | 2.12E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6650873E-4 | 6.883907E-4 | 1.8782383 | 3.22E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.0253254E-6 | 1.7102418E-4 | 24.34395 | 1.64E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0108207E-5 | 2.4210183E-4 | 8.041058 | 2.12E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6650873E-4 | 6.883907E-4 | 1.8782383 | 3.22E-4 |
| 6.6 | 6.894797E-6 | 7.0253254E-6 | 1.7102418E-4 | 24.34395 | 1.64E-4 | 2.9548795E-5 | 3.0108207E-5 | 2.4210183E-4 | 8.041058 | 2.12E-4 | 3.596972E-4 | 3.6650873E-4 | 6.883907E-4 | 1.8782383 | 3.22E-4 |
| 6.7 | 6.0867933E-6 | 6.1959254E-6 | 1.4819505E-4 | 23.918146 | 1.42E-4 | 2.6085996E-5 | 2.6553707E-5 | 2.1054882E-4 | 7.929168 | 1.84E-4 | 3.1755073E-4 | 3.232456E-4 | 6.031551E-4 | 1.8659344 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.6530425E-6 | 5.7488933E-6 | 1.4574808E-4 | 25.352373 | 1.4E-4 | 2.42271E-5 | 2.4637893E-5 | 2.0463346E-4 | 8.305639 | 1.8E-4 | 2.94925E-4 | 2.9992708E-4 | 5.6984613E-4 | 1.8999488 | 2.7E-4 |
| 6.9 | 4.6015225E-6 | 4.6611426E-6 | 1.226606E-4 | 26.315563 | 1.18E-4 | 1.9720663E-5 | 1.9976182E-5 | 1.7797302E-4 | 8.909262 | 1.58E-4 | 2.4007261E-4 | 2.4318429E-4 | 4.7112885E-4 | 1.9373325 | 2.28E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.4875965E-6 | 4.5446723E-6 | 1.20544144E-4 | 26.524275 | 1.16E-4 | 1.9232413E-5 | 1.9477031E-5 | 1.75474E-4 | 9.009278 | 1.56E-4 | 2.3412947E-4 | 2.3710847E-4 | 4.6305486E-4 | 1.9529243 | 2.26E-4 |
| 7.1 | 3.203907E-6 | 3.2248572E-6 | 8.922458E-5 | 27.667763 | 8.6E-5 | 1.3730958E-5 | 1.3820747E-5 | 1.21819256E-4 | 8.814231 | 1.08E-4 | 1.6716159E-4 | 1.6825524E-4 | 3.1023135E-4 | 1.8438139 | 1.42E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.2060601E-6 | 2.176456E-6 | 5.4176344E-5 | 24.892 | 5.2E-5 | 9.4545085E-6 | 9.327638E-6 | 7.7327E-5 | 8.290095 | 6.8E-5 | 1.15102564E-4 | 1.135585E-4 | 2.0754783E-4 | 1.8276732 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.3765207E-6 | 1.3181856E-6 | 3.5318142E-5 | 26.792997 | 3.4E-5 | 5.899361E-6 | 5.6493545E-6 | 5.5649074E-5 | 9.850518 | 5.0E-5 | 7.182235E-5 | 6.877879E-5 | 1.367741E-4 | 1.988609 | 6.8E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.1245983E-6 | 1.0542286E-6 | 3.10542E-5 | 29.456795 | 3.0E-5 | 4.819698E-6 | 4.5181155E-6 | 4.4517936E-5 | 9.853209 | 4.0E-5 | 5.8678244E-5 | 5.5006723E-5 | 1.09003755E-4 | 1.9816442 | 5.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 8.031682E-7 | 7.244991E-7 | 2.4724483E-5 | 34.12631 | 2.4E-5 | 3.4421448E-6 | 3.1049929E-6 | 3.31049E-5 | 10.661828 | 3.0E-5 | 4.1907308E-5 | 3.7802674E-5 | 7.580124E-5 | 2.0051818 | 3.8E-5 |
| 7.6 | 4.8953444E-7 | 4.08018E-7 | 1.840801E-5 | 45.115685 | 1.8E-5 | 2.098003E-6 | 1.7486475E-6 | 2.374861E-5 | 13.58113 | 2.2E-5 | 2.5542888E-5 | 2.12896E-5 | 4.3289132E-5 | 2.0333464 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 6.634529E-8 | 6.7967434E-8 | 2.0679672E-6 | 30.425856 | 2.0E-6 | 2.843369E-7 | 2.9128896E-7 | 4.291288E-6 | 14.732064 | 4.0E-6 | 3.4617963E-6 | 3.546438E-6 | 7.5464236E-6 | 2.1278882 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 9.235578E-9 | 9.50161E-9 | 9.50161E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9581046E-8 | 4.0721186E-8 | 2.040721E-6 | 50.114483 | 2.0E-6 | 4.818991E-7 | 4.9578034E-7 | 2.4957794E-6 | 5.0340424 | 2.0E-6 |
San Andreas (San Gorgonio Pass-Garnet HIll)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.8279795E-7 | 1.9418276E-4 | 1062.2809 | 1.94E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.834195E-7 | 2.4878324E-4 | 317.56067 | 2.48E-4 | 0.004329778 | 9.538092E-6 | 3.2753506E-4 | 34.339684 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.1 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.8279795E-7 | 1.9418276E-4 | 1062.2809 | 1.94E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.834195E-7 | 2.4878324E-4 | 317.56067 | 2.48E-4 | 0.004329778 | 9.538092E-6 | 3.2753506E-4 | 34.339684 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.2 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.8279795E-7 | 1.9418276E-4 | 1062.2809 | 1.94E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.834195E-7 | 2.4878324E-4 | 317.56067 | 2.48E-4 | 0.004329778 | 9.538092E-6 | 3.2753506E-4 | 34.339684 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.3 | 8.31567E-5 | 1.8279795E-7 | 1.9418276E-4 | 1062.2809 | 1.94E-4 | 3.5633717E-4 | 7.834195E-7 | 2.4878324E-4 | 317.56067 | 2.48E-4 | 0.004329778 | 9.538092E-6 | 3.2753506E-4 | 34.339684 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.4 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.8279795E-7 | 1.9418276E-4 | 1062.2809 | 1.94E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.834195E-7 | 2.4878324E-4 | 317.56067 | 2.48E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 9.538092E-6 | 3.2753506E-4 | 34.339684 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.5 | 8.059055E-5 | 1.8279795E-7 | 1.9418276E-4 | 1062.2809 | 1.94E-4 | 3.4534236E-4 | 7.834195E-7 | 2.4878324E-4 | 317.56067 | 2.48E-4 | 0.0041964394 | 9.538092E-6 | 3.2753506E-4 | 34.339684 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.6 | 7.619237E-5 | 1.8279795E-7 | 1.9418276E-4 | 1062.2809 | 1.94E-4 | 3.2649786E-4 | 7.834195E-7 | 2.4878324E-4 | 317.56067 | 2.48E-4 | 0.0039678677 | 9.538092E-6 | 3.2753506E-4 | 34.339684 | 3.18E-4 |
| 6.7 | 7.440636E-5 | 1.75097E-7 | 1.9017507E-4 | 1086.1127 | 1.9E-4 | 3.188454E-4 | 7.504155E-7 | 2.4275023E-4 | 323.48776 | 2.42E-4 | 0.0038750346 | 9.136271E-6 | 3.1913343E-4 | 34.93038 | 3.1E-4 |
| 6.8 | 7.3735864E-5 | 1.748888E-7 | 1.9017486E-4 | 1087.4044 | 1.9E-4 | 3.1597257E-4 | 7.495232E-7 | 2.4274935E-4 | 323.87167 | 2.42E-4 | 0.0038401815 | 9.125408E-6 | 3.1912257E-4 | 34.970776 | 3.1E-4 |
| 6.9 | 7.27575E-5 | 1.5883947E-7 | 1.741588E-4 | 1096.4454 | 1.74E-4 | 3.117806E-4 | 6.807404E-7 | 2.2468058E-4 | 330.05325 | 2.24E-4 | 0.003789323 | 8.287983E-6 | 2.9228564E-4 | 35.266193 | 2.84E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.102591E-5 | 1.4786026E-7 | 1.6814783E-4 | 1137.2078 | 1.68E-4 | 3.0436125E-4 | 6.336867E-7 | 2.1463355E-4 | 338.7061 | 2.14E-4 | 0.003699303 | 7.715109E-6 | 2.7771303E-4 | 35.996 | 2.7E-4 |
| 7.1 | 7.028513E-5 | 1.4289097E-7 | 1.6614287E-4 | 1162.7247 | 1.66E-4 | 3.0118722E-4 | 6.123897E-7 | 2.1261226E-4 | 347.18454 | 2.12E-4 | 0.0036607897 | 7.4558197E-6 | 2.7145384E-4 | 36.408318 | 2.64E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.8498244E-5 | 1.3529669E-7 | 1.5613527E-4 | 1154.0214 | 1.56E-4 | 2.9353087E-4 | 5.7984283E-7 | 1.9857973E-4 | 342.47162 | 1.98E-4 | 0.003567883 | 7.0595643E-6 | 2.5305783E-4 | 35.8461 | 2.46E-4 |
| 7.3 | 6.622592E-5 | 1.3310265E-7 | 1.4613308E-4 | 1097.8977 | 1.46E-4 | 2.8379448E-4 | 5.704398E-7 | 1.8657034E-4 | 327.06403 | 1.86E-4 | 0.0034497243 | 6.9450825E-6 | 2.4094345E-4 | 34.69267 | 2.34E-4 |
| 7.4 | 5.1050705E-5 | 1.252911E-7 | 1.2212528E-4 | 974.73224 | 1.22E-4 | 2.1877038E-4 | 5.3696175E-7 | 1.6053687E-4 | 298.97263 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002660276 | 6.53749E-6 | 2.1053616E-4 | 32.204433 | 2.04E-4 |
| 7.5 | 3.9302922E-5 | 1.1876304E-7 | 1.1411875E-4 | 960.8945 | 1.14E-4 | 1.6843023E-4 | 5.089844E-7 | 1.4850892E-4 | 291.775 | 1.48E-4 | 0.0020487092 | 6.196867E-6 | 1.941957E-4 | 31.33772 | 1.88E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.9851626E-5 | 1.07290646E-7 | 8.8107285E-5 | 821.2019 | 8.8E-5 | 1.2792926E-4 | 4.59817E-7 | 1.2245977E-4 | 266.32285 | 1.22E-4 | 0.0015564259 | 5.5982578E-6 | 1.6359737E-4 | 29.22291 | 1.58E-4 |
| 7.7 | 2.1135214E-5 | 3.6047854E-8 | 2.4036048E-5 | 666.7816 | 2.4E-5 | 9.0576345E-5 | 1.544908E-7 | 2.8154487E-5 | 182.24052 | 2.8E-5 | 0.0011022091 | 1.880924E-6 | 3.3880864E-5 | 18.012884 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.8 | 1.883379E-5 | 3.3819504E-8 | 1.803382E-5 | 533.23724 | 1.8E-5 | 8.0713755E-5 | 1.4494074E-7 | 2.2144937E-5 | 152.78615 | 2.2E-5 | 9.822468E-4 | 1.764652E-6 | 2.576461E-5 | 14.600391 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.5156185E-5 | 3.312086E-8 | 1.803312E-5 | 544.4641 | 1.8E-5 | 6.495346E-5 | 1.4194654E-7 | 2.2141943E-5 | 155.9879 | 2.2E-5 | 7.9052144E-4 | 1.7281977E-6 | 2.372816E-5 | 13.730003 | 2.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.1405907E-5 | 2.7799857E-8 | 1.60278E-5 | 576.54254 | 1.6E-5 | 4.8881542E-5 | 1.19142236E-7 | 2.011914E-5 | 168.86656 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9497025E-4 | 1.4505557E-6 | 2.1450527E-5 | 14.787799 | 2.0E-5 |
| 8.1 | 4.3511436E-6 | 1.1573177E-8 | 1.1573177E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8647626E-5 | 4.9599336E-8 | 4.9599336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2701119E-4 | 6.0387174E-7 | 6.0387174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.2 | 2.3042528E-6 | 8.9057925E-9 | 8.9057925E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.875332E-6 | 3.816768E-8 | 3.816768E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2022553E-4 | 4.646914E-7 | 4.646914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.3 | 5.202968E-7 | 6.8681145E-9 | 6.8681145E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2298414E-6 | 2.9434776E-8 | 2.9434776E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.714798E-5 | 3.5836834E-7 | 3.5836834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Baker
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.842082E-6 | 1.8584103E-4 | 31.810753 | 1.8E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5037276E-5 | 2.4903167E-4 | 9.946436 | 2.24E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.047902E-4 | 6.186945E-4 | 2.0299027 | 3.14E-4 |
| 6.1 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.842082E-6 | 1.8584103E-4 | 31.810753 | 1.8E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5037276E-5 | 2.4903167E-4 | 9.946436 | 2.24E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.047902E-4 | 6.186945E-4 | 2.0299027 | 3.14E-4 |
| 6.2 | 5.695525E-6 | 5.842082E-6 | 1.8584103E-4 | 31.810753 | 1.8E-4 | 2.4409164E-5 | 2.5037276E-5 | 2.4903167E-4 | 9.946436 | 2.24E-4 | 2.9714106E-4 | 3.047902E-4 | 6.186945E-4 | 2.0299027 | 3.14E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3880578E-6 | 8.9387766E-5 | 26.383186 | 8.6E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.452017E-5 | 1.20518635E-4 | 8.300084 | 1.06E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.767692E-4 | 3.3274162E-4 | 1.8823507 | 1.56E-4 |
| 6.4 | 3.2995713E-6 | 3.3880578E-6 | 8.9387766E-5 | 26.383186 | 8.6E-5 | 1.4140943E-5 | 1.452017E-5 | 1.20518635E-4 | 8.300084 | 1.06E-4 | 1.7215237E-4 | 1.767692E-4 | 3.3274162E-4 | 1.8823507 | 1.56E-4 |
| 6.5 | 2.782202E-6 | 2.8596926E-6 | 6.4859516E-5 | 22.68059 | 6.2E-5 | 1.1923668E-5 | 1.2255769E-5 | 9.225479E-5 | 7.5274577 | 8.0E-5 | 1.4516099E-4 | 1.492041E-4 | 2.651868E-4 | 1.7773424 | 1.16E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.3163404E-6 | 2.3843063E-6 | 4.8384198E-5 | 20.292778 | 4.6E-5 | 9.927136E-6 | 1.0218417E-5 | 7.02178E-5 | 6.871691 | 6.0E-5 | 1.20856166E-4 | 1.2440232E-4 | 2.0839187E-4 | 1.6751446 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.7 | 2.037056E-6 | 2.0996229E-6 | 4.209954E-5 | 20.051 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7302105E-6 | 8.998353E-6 | 5.8997903E-5 | 6.556522 | 5.0E-5 | 1.0628513E-4 | 1.0954961E-4 | 1.7954194E-4 | 1.6389099 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.8356744E-6 | 1.8944668E-6 | 3.78944E-5 | 20.002672 | 3.6E-5 | 7.867153E-6 | 8.119119E-6 | 5.211876E-5 | 6.4192634 | 4.4E-5 | 9.577837E-5 | 9.884593E-5 | 1.5884E-4 | 1.6069453 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.6310546E-6 | 1.6859551E-6 | 3.1685904E-5 | 18.794037 | 3.0E-5 | 6.9902153E-6 | 7.225503E-6 | 4.3225242E-5 | 5.9823165 | 3.6E-5 | 8.510255E-5 | 8.7967055E-5 | 1.3796266E-4 | 1.5683446 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.2058036E-6 | 1.2532511E-6 | 1.3253236E-5 | 10.575085 | 1.2E-5 | 5.1677193E-6 | 5.371065E-6 | 1.937099E-5 | 3.6065454 | 1.4E-5 | 6.291517E-5 | 6.539078E-5 | 9.1389076E-5 | 1.3975836 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.052382E-6 | 1.0974285E-6 | 9.09742E-6 | 8.289762 | 8.0E-6 | 4.5102006E-6 | 4.7032563E-6 | 1.470321E-5 | 3.1261764 | 1.0E-5 | 5.491031E-5 | 5.726065E-5 | 7.525962E-5 | 1.314334 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.0067454E-6 | 1.0509999E-6 | 7.0509936E-6 | 6.708843 | 6.0E-6 | 4.3146156E-6 | 4.5042775E-6 | 1.2504242E-5 | 2.7760813 | 8.0E-6 | 5.252918E-5 | 5.483821E-5 | 6.883744E-5 | 1.2552824 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 9.3596316E-7 | 9.789386E-7 | 6.9789326E-6 | 7.129081 | 6.0E-6 | 4.0112645E-6 | 4.1954445E-6 | 1.0195419E-5 | 2.4301167 | 6.0E-6 | 4.8836053E-5 | 5.1078347E-5 | 5.907794E-5 | 1.1566142 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 8.8117395E-7 | 9.228696E-7 | 6.922864E-6 | 7.501454 | 6.0E-6 | 3.7764542E-6 | 3.9551496E-6 | 9.955126E-6 | 2.5170035 | 6.0E-6 | 4.5977362E-5 | 4.815289E-5 | 5.6152505E-5 | 1.1661295 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 8.292386E-7 | 8.6949154E-7 | 4.8694883E-6 | 5.6003857 | 4.0E-6 | 3.5538749E-6 | 3.7263871E-6 | 7.726372E-6 | 2.0734217 | 4.0E-6 | 4.326757E-5 | 4.5367826E-5 | 5.1367555E-5 | 1.1322463 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 7.553842E-7 | 7.9336655E-7 | 4.7933636E-6 | 6.0418015 | 4.0E-6 | 3.2373566E-6 | 3.400138E-6 | 7.4001246E-6 | 2.1764188 | 4.0E-6 | 3.9414106E-5 | 4.1395902E-5 | 4.7395653E-5 | 1.1449358 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 6.5285366E-7 | 6.870085E-7 | 4.687006E-6 | 6.8223405 | 4.0E-6 | 2.797941E-6 | 2.9443188E-6 | 6.9443067E-6 | 2.3585446 | 4.0E-6 | 3.40644E-5 | 3.5846497E-5 | 3.9846353E-5 | 1.1115829 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6584183E-7 | 2.365841E-6 | 6.466841 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5678927E-6 | 3.5678895E-6 | 2.2755954 | 2.0E-6 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.908893E-5 | 2.1088892E-5 | 1.1047708 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Big Pine (Central)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.304427E-6 | 9.585784E-6 | 1.7358421E-4 | 18.108505 | 1.64E-4 | 3.9875507E-5 | 4.1081403E-5 | 2.5707253E-4 | 6.2576375 | 2.16E-4 | 4.8537613E-4 | 5.0007243E-4 | 8.0392044E-4 | 1.607608 | 3.04E-4 |
| 6.1 | 7.536929E-6 | 7.708908E-6 | 1.3570792E-4 | 17.60404 | 1.28E-4 | 3.2300723E-5 | 3.3037864E-5 | 2.0503218E-4 | 6.2059755 | 1.72E-4 | 3.9319033E-4 | 4.0218068E-4 | 6.4808177E-4 | 1.6114194 | 2.46E-4 |
| 6.2 | 6.923899E-6 | 7.0580145E-6 | 1.2105721E-4 | 17.151737 | 1.14E-4 | 2.9673516E-5 | 3.0248388E-5 | 1.8624366E-4 | 6.1571436 | 1.56E-4 | 3.6121515E-4 | 3.6823034E-4 | 5.8814936E-4 | 1.5972321 | 2.2E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.728396E-6 | 2.6076264E-6 | 4.0607527E-5 | 15.572602 | 3.8E-5 | 1.1693074E-5 | 1.1175498E-5 | 5.9174963E-5 | 5.2950625 | 4.8E-5 | 1.4235388E-4 | 1.3605402E-4 | 2.1004395E-4 | 1.5438277 | 7.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.7136944E-6 | 2.5919314E-6 | 3.859184E-5 | 14.88922 | 3.6E-5 | 1.1630066E-5 | 1.1108235E-5 | 5.7107725E-5 | 5.141026 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4158686E-4 | 1.352352E-4 | 2.0722546E-4 | 1.5323337 | 7.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.6971882E-6 | 2.5743177E-6 | 3.8574224E-5 | 14.984252 | 3.6E-5 | 1.1559327E-5 | 1.1032748E-5 | 5.703224E-5 | 5.1693597 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4072572E-4 | 1.3431624E-4 | 2.0630658E-4 | 1.5359763 | 7.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.669092E-6 | 2.5444067E-6 | 3.8544316E-5 | 15.148644 | 3.6E-5 | 1.1438916E-5 | 1.09045595E-5 | 5.6904057E-5 | 5.218373 | 4.6E-5 | 1.3925991E-4 | 1.3275574E-4 | 2.0274645E-4 | 1.5272142 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 2.6408059E-6 | 2.5144318E-6 | 3.6514346E-5 | 14.521907 | 3.4E-5 | 1.1317691E-5 | 1.0776097E-5 | 5.477562E-5 | 5.083067 | 4.4E-5 | 1.3778417E-4 | 1.311919E-4 | 1.9918298E-4 | 1.5182567 | 6.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.1786943E-6 | 2.0373818E-6 | 3.2037322E-5 | 15.724751 | 3.0E-5 | 9.337228E-6 | 8.73161E-6 | 4.673128E-5 | 5.3519654 | 3.8E-5 | 1.1367482E-4 | 1.06302854E-4 | 1.622969E-4 | 1.5267408 | 5.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.4411696E-6 | 1.2551767E-6 | 2.7255144E-5 | 21.71419 | 2.6E-5 | 6.1764263E-6 | 5.3793187E-6 | 3.7379148E-5 | 6.9486766 | 3.2E-5 | 7.51954E-5 | 6.549146E-5 | 1.0948858E-4 | 1.6717993 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.0073411E-6 | 7.518838E-7 | 2.2751867E-5 | 30.259817 | 2.2E-5 | 4.317169E-6 | 3.2223559E-6 | 2.7222279E-5 | 8.447943 | 2.4E-5 | 5.2560266E-5 | 3.923159E-5 | 6.923041E-5 | 1.7646599 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 8.947104E-7 | 6.2758403E-7 | 2.262757E-5 | 36.055046 | 2.2E-5 | 3.834468E-6 | 2.6896437E-6 | 2.6689579E-5 | 9.923091 | 2.4E-5 | 4.6683643E-5 | 3.274603E-5 | 5.8745176E-5 | 1.7939634 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 5.215166E-7 | 2.1156968E-7 | 1.6211567E-5 | 76.62518 | 1.6E-5 | 2.2350691E-6 | 9.0672694E-7 | 1.6906712E-5 | 18.64587 | 1.6E-5 | 2.7211627E-5 | 1.1039349E-5 | 2.903915E-5 | 2.6305127 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 4.4024807E-7 | 1.213782E-7 | 1.4121377E-5 | 116.341934 | 1.4E-5 | 1.8867761E-6 | 5.2019226E-7 | 1.4520185E-5 | 27.913113 | 1.4E-5 | 2.2971257E-5 | 6.3333255E-6 | 2.2333224E-5 | 3.5263028 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.4 | 3.6130905E-7 | 3.918108E-8 | 1.0039181E-5 | 256.22522 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5484665E-6 | 1.6791891E-7 | 1.0167917E-5 | 60.552544 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8852415E-5 | 2.044411E-6 | 1.204439E-5 | 5.8913746 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 3.408184E-7 | 2.39065E-8 | 1.0023906E-5 | 419.2963 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4606494E-6 | 1.0245642E-7 | 1.0102455E-5 | 98.60246 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7783263E-5 | 1.2474063E-6 | 1.1247394E-5 | 9.016624 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 3.1428627E-7 | 1.4601292E-8 | 1.0014601E-5 | 685.8709 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3469405E-6 | 6.2576966E-8 | 1.0062577E-5 | 160.8032 | 1.0E-5 | 1.6398877E-5 | 7.6187433E-7 | 1.0761867E-5 | 14.125514 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 1.7972785E-7 | 1.8666724E-10 | 1.8666724E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.70262E-7 | 8.0000206E-10 | 8.0000206E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.377899E-6 | 9.740032E-9 | 9.740032E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 4.9230927E-8 | 1.720466E-10 | 1.720466E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1098968E-7 | 7.373425E-10 | 7.373425E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5687964E-6 | 8.9771515E-9 | 8.9771515E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 3.6805972E-9 | 1.176329E-10 | 1.176329E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5773987E-8 | 5.041404E-10 | 5.041404E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9204828E-7 | 6.1379115E-9 | 6.1379115E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Peralta Hills
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.8680228E-6 | 1.5986741E-4 | 41.33053 | 1.56E-4 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6577176E-5 | 2.205738E-4 | 13.305873 | 2.04E-4 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0181587E-4 | 5.137529E-4 | 2.5456517 | 3.12E-4 |
| 6.1 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.8680228E-6 | 1.5986741E-4 | 41.33053 | 1.56E-4 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6577176E-5 | 2.205738E-4 | 13.305873 | 2.04E-4 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0181587E-4 | 5.137529E-4 | 2.5456517 | 3.12E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.8680228E-6 | 1.5986741E-4 | 41.33053 | 1.56E-4 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6577176E-5 | 2.205738E-4 | 13.305873 | 2.04E-4 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0181587E-4 | 5.137529E-4 | 2.5456517 | 3.12E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.8680228E-6 | 1.5986741E-4 | 41.33053 | 1.56E-4 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6577176E-5 | 2.205738E-4 | 13.305873 | 2.04E-4 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0181587E-4 | 5.137529E-4 | 2.5456517 | 3.12E-4 |
| 6.4 | 3.8850067E-6 | 3.8680228E-6 | 1.5986741E-4 | 41.33053 | 1.56E-4 | 1.6649923E-5 | 1.6577176E-5 | 2.205738E-4 | 13.305873 | 2.04E-4 | 2.0269395E-4 | 2.0181587E-4 | 5.137529E-4 | 2.5456517 | 3.12E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.4679421E-6 | 6.546785E-5 | 44.598385 | 6.4E-5 | 6.6804623E-6 | 6.2911668E-6 | 8.829065E-5 | 14.034066 | 8.2E-5 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.6592514E-5 | 1.9258363E-4 | 2.5143924 | 1.16E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.5587785E-6 | 1.4679421E-6 | 6.546785E-5 | 44.598385 | 6.4E-5 | 6.6804623E-6 | 6.2911668E-6 | 8.829065E-5 | 14.034066 | 8.2E-5 | 8.133159E-5 | 7.6592514E-5 | 1.9258363E-4 | 2.5143924 | 1.16E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.5018579E-6 | 1.4084353E-6 | 6.140835E-5 | 43.600403 | 6.0E-5 | 6.436518E-6 | 6.036139E-6 | 8.4035666E-5 | 13.92209 | 7.8E-5 | 7.836179E-5 | 7.348776E-5 | 1.8147983E-4 | 2.4695244 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.4584314E-6 | 1.3627629E-6 | 5.7362686E-5 | 42.092934 | 5.6E-5 | 6.250405E-6 | 5.8404007E-6 | 7.983997E-5 | 13.67029 | 7.4E-5 | 7.6096025E-5 | 7.1104805E-5 | 1.750974E-4 | 2.4625256 | 1.04E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.1382393E-6 | 1.0055262E-6 | 2.9005498E-5 | 28.84609 | 2.8E-5 | 4.8781594E-6 | 4.309391E-6 | 4.4309218E-5 | 10.282014 | 4.0E-5 | 5.9389975E-5 | 5.246566E-5 | 1.1246251E-4 | 2.1435452 | 6.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 9.970413E-7 | 8.4812274E-7 | 1.684811E-5 | 19.86518 | 1.6E-5 | 4.273027E-6 | 3.634807E-6 | 3.1634707E-5 | 8.70327 | 2.8E-5 | 5.2022864E-5 | 4.425295E-5 | 9.025091E-5 | 2.0394328 | 4.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 9.684443E-7 | 8.159446E-7 | 1.6815931E-5 | 20.609158 | 1.6E-5 | 4.150469E-6 | 3.4969012E-6 | 3.1496802E-5 | 9.007061 | 2.8E-5 | 5.053079E-5 | 4.257401E-5 | 8.657214E-5 | 2.0334504 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.2 | 9.240811E-7 | 7.658395E-7 | 1.6765827E-5 | 21.89209 | 1.6E-5 | 3.960342E-6 | 3.2821656E-6 | 3.1282074E-5 | 9.530925 | 2.8E-5 | 4.8216094E-5 | 3.9959705E-5 | 8.1958024E-5 | 2.0510168 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.3 | 8.158643E-7 | 6.484654E-7 | 1.0648459E-5 | 16.421013 | 1.0E-5 | 3.4965567E-6 | 2.779135E-6 | 2.2779079E-5 | 8.196464 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2569747E-5 | 3.383551E-5 | 6.583442E-5 | 1.9457201 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 6.3822824E-7 | 4.8894185E-7 | 1.0488937E-5 | 21.45232 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7352612E-6 | 2.0954635E-6 | 2.0095425E-5 | 9.589967 | 1.8E-5 | 3.3301294E-5 | 2.5512025E-5 | 5.351131E-5 | 2.0974936 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 4.0292628E-7 | 2.8247175E-7 | 6.28247E-6 | 22.241056 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7268258E-6 | 1.2105927E-6 | 1.1210581E-5 | 9.2604065 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1023901E-5 | 1.4738896E-5 | 3.47386E-5 | 2.3569336 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 3.672993E-7 | 2.517719E-7 | 6.25177E-6 | 24.831089 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5741389E-6 | 1.0790221E-6 | 1.10790115E-5 | 10.26764 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9164972E-5 | 1.3137043E-5 | 3.313678E-5 | 2.5223925 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.8466823E-7 | 1.8091247E-7 | 2.1809121E-6 | 12.055068 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2200061E-6 | 7.7533906E-7 | 6.7753344E-6 | 8.738544 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4853474E-5 | 9.439739E-6 | 2.3439607E-5 | 2.4830778 | 1.4E-5 |
Holser alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.8062246E-6 | 1.7180527E-4 | 29.58984 | 1.66E-4 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4883648E-5 | 2.3287848E-4 | 9.358695 | 2.08E-4 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.029279E-4 | 6.12834E-4 | 2.0230358 | 3.1E-4 |
| 6.1 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.8062246E-6 | 1.7180527E-4 | 29.58984 | 1.66E-4 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4883648E-5 | 2.3287848E-4 | 9.358695 | 2.08E-4 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.029279E-4 | 6.12834E-4 | 2.0230358 | 3.1E-4 |
| 6.2 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.8062246E-6 | 1.7180527E-4 | 29.58984 | 1.66E-4 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4883648E-5 | 2.3287848E-4 | 9.358695 | 2.08E-4 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.029279E-4 | 6.12834E-4 | 2.0230358 | 3.1E-4 |
| 6.3 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.8062246E-6 | 1.7180527E-4 | 29.58984 | 1.66E-4 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4883648E-5 | 2.3287848E-4 | 9.358695 | 2.08E-4 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.029279E-4 | 6.12834E-4 | 2.0230358 | 3.1E-4 |
| 6.4 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.8062246E-6 | 1.7180527E-4 | 29.58984 | 1.66E-4 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4883648E-5 | 2.3287848E-4 | 9.358695 | 2.08E-4 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.029279E-4 | 6.12834E-4 | 2.0230358 | 3.1E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.2746653E-6 | 5.8062246E-6 | 1.7180527E-4 | 29.58984 | 1.66E-4 | 2.6891146E-5 | 2.4883648E-5 | 2.3287848E-4 | 9.358695 | 2.08E-4 | 3.273505E-4 | 3.029279E-4 | 6.12834E-4 | 2.0230358 | 3.1E-4 |
| 6.6 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7811457E-6 | 1.3278078E-4 | 47.743195 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1919143E-5 | 1.7991714E-4 | 15.094806 | 1.68E-4 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4510607E-4 | 3.8507124E-4 | 2.6537225 | 2.4E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.375825E-6 | 2.7811457E-6 | 1.3278078E-4 | 47.743195 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4467741E-5 | 1.1919143E-5 | 1.7991714E-4 | 15.094806 | 1.68E-4 | 1.761305E-4 | 1.4510607E-4 | 3.8507124E-4 | 2.6537225 | 2.4E-4 |
| 6.8 | 3.366533E-6 | 2.7715291E-6 | 1.3277117E-4 | 47.905384 | 1.3E-4 | 1.4427919E-5 | 1.1877929E-5 | 1.7987593E-4 | 15.143712 | 1.68E-4 | 1.7564575E-4 | 1.4460436E-4 | 3.8456966E-4 | 2.659461 | 2.4E-4 |
| 6.9 | 3.253174E-6 | 2.6535195E-6 | 1.2865319E-4 | 48.48398 | 1.26E-4 | 1.39421E-5 | 1.1372178E-5 | 1.7537031E-4 | 15.420997 | 1.64E-4 | 1.6973184E-4 | 1.3844763E-4 | 3.704155E-4 | 2.6754918 | 2.32E-4 |
| 7.0 | 2.9336593E-6 | 2.320836E-6 | 1.2232056E-4 | 52.705383 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2572766E-5 | 9.946402E-6 | 1.6594485E-4 | 16.683907 | 1.56E-4 | 1.5306266E-4 | 1.2109075E-4 | 3.370646E-4 | 2.7835703 | 2.16E-4 |
| 7.1 | 2.9087812E-6 | 2.2966035E-6 | 1.2229633E-4 | 53.250957 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2466146E-5 | 9.842549E-6 | 1.6584102E-4 | 16.849398 | 1.56E-4 | 1.5176475E-4 | 1.19826465E-4 | 3.3380082E-4 | 2.785702 | 2.14E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.8674524E-6 | 2.2563238E-6 | 1.2225605E-4 | 54.18374 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2289024E-5 | 9.669923E-6 | 1.6566842E-4 | 17.132341 | 1.56E-4 | 1.4960859E-4 | 1.1772497E-4 | 3.297E-4 | 2.8005953 | 2.12E-4 |
| 7.3 | 2.8057775E-6 | 2.2038641E-6 | 1.222036E-4 | 55.4497 | 1.2E-4 | 1.2024705E-5 | 9.445097E-6 | 1.6544362E-4 | 17.51635 | 1.56E-4 | 1.4639096E-4 | 1.1498801E-4 | 3.2696364E-4 | 2.8434584 | 2.12E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.683666E-6 | 2.116761E-6 | 1.20116514E-4 | 56.74543 | 1.18E-4 | 1.1501375E-5 | 9.071801E-6 | 1.630704E-4 | 17.975527 | 1.54E-4 | 1.4002025E-4 | 1.104436E-4 | 3.204204E-4 | 2.901213 | 2.1E-4 |
| 7.5 | 2.434495E-6 | 1.9254078E-6 | 1.17925185E-4 | 61.246857 | 1.16E-4 | 1.0433508E-5 | 8.251722E-6 | 1.6025046E-4 | 19.420246 | 1.52E-4 | 1.2702055E-4 | 1.004601E-4 | 3.084392E-4 | 3.0702658 | 2.08E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.9914562E-6 | 1.5760232E-6 | 1.09575856E-4 | 69.5268 | 1.08E-4 | 8.534785E-6 | 6.754368E-6 | 1.4475343E-4 | 21.431086 | 1.38E-4 | 1.03906044E-4 | 8.2231345E-5 | 2.7421556E-4 | 3.3346841 | 1.92E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.5229501E-6 | 1.1901938E-6 | 9.719008E-5 | 81.65904 | 9.6E-5 | 6.526913E-6 | 5.10082E-6 | 1.2310022E-4 | 24.133415 | 1.18E-4 | 7.946226E-5 | 6.210073E-5 | 2.2009092E-4 | 3.5440955 | 1.58E-4 |
| 7.8 | 6.3489426E-7 | 4.678451E-7 | 3.046783E-5 | 65.12376 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7209726E-6 | 2.0050488E-6 | 3.8004975E-5 | 18.95464 | 3.6E-5 | 3.312734E-5 | 2.4411198E-5 | 6.8410125E-5 | 2.8024075 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.5459432E-7 | 1.03054646E-7 | 8.103054E-6 | 78.62871 | 8.0E-6 | 6.6254694E-7 | 4.416627E-7 | 1.0441659E-5 | 23.641703 | 1.0E-5 | 8.066479E-6 | 5.37723E-6 | 1.7377166E-5 | 3.23162 | 1.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.8307812E-8 | 9.907821E-9 | 9.907821E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.846205E-8 | 4.246209E-8 | 4.246209E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.55275E-7 | 5.1697583E-7 | 5.1697583E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hector Mine
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.8471875E-6 | 1.1884686E-4 | 41.741844 | 1.16E-4 | 8.039792E-5 | 1.2202198E-5 | 1.8020015E-4 | 14.767843 | 1.68E-4 | 9.78405E-4 | 1.4855579E-4 | 4.285142E-4 | 2.884534 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.8471875E-6 | 1.1884686E-4 | 41.741844 | 1.16E-4 | 8.039792E-5 | 1.2202198E-5 | 1.8020015E-4 | 14.767843 | 1.68E-4 | 9.78405E-4 | 1.4855579E-4 | 4.285142E-4 | 2.884534 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.8471875E-6 | 1.1884686E-4 | 41.741844 | 1.16E-4 | 8.039792E-5 | 1.2202198E-5 | 1.8020015E-4 | 14.767843 | 1.68E-4 | 9.78405E-4 | 1.4855579E-4 | 4.285142E-4 | 2.884534 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.8760093E-5 | 2.8471875E-6 | 1.1884686E-4 | 41.741844 | 1.16E-4 | 8.039792E-5 | 1.2202198E-5 | 1.8020015E-4 | 14.767843 | 1.68E-4 | 9.78405E-4 | 1.4855579E-4 | 4.285142E-4 | 2.884534 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.0888055E-5 | 2.8471875E-6 | 1.1884686E-4 | 41.741844 | 1.16E-4 | 4.666226E-5 | 1.2202198E-5 | 1.8020015E-4 | 14.767843 | 1.68E-4 | 5.679649E-4 | 1.4855579E-4 | 4.285142E-4 | 2.884534 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.0888055E-5 | 2.8471875E-6 | 1.1884686E-4 | 41.741844 | 1.16E-4 | 4.666226E-5 | 1.2202198E-5 | 1.8020015E-4 | 14.767843 | 1.68E-4 | 5.679649E-4 | 1.4855579E-4 | 4.285142E-4 | 2.884534 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.0730738E-5 | 2.8471875E-6 | 1.1884686E-4 | 41.741844 | 1.16E-4 | 4.5988065E-5 | 1.2202198E-5 | 1.8020015E-4 | 14.767843 | 1.68E-4 | 5.5976084E-4 | 1.4855579E-4 | 4.285142E-4 | 2.884534 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.7 | 7.881326E-6 | 2.8215193E-6 | 1.1882119E-4 | 42.112484 | 1.16E-4 | 3.3776672E-5 | 1.2092193E-5 | 1.8009017E-4 | 14.893093 | 1.68E-4 | 4.111534E-4 | 1.4721666E-4 | 4.2717543E-4 | 2.9016788 | 2.8E-4 |
| 6.8 | 7.5683483E-6 | 2.7825956E-6 | 1.1678228E-4 | 41.968826 | 1.14E-4 | 3.2435375E-5 | 1.1925379E-5 | 1.779234E-4 | 14.919727 | 1.66E-4 | 3.9482914E-4 | 1.4518596E-4 | 4.231456E-4 | 2.9145076 | 2.78E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.473048E-6 | 2.5607485E-6 | 1.1256047E-4 | 43.95608 | 1.1E-4 | 2.7741338E-5 | 1.0974613E-5 | 1.7297284E-4 | 15.761178 | 1.62E-4 | 3.3769844E-4 | 1.3361186E-4 | 3.995763E-4 | 2.9905753 | 2.66E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.9959954E-6 | 1.892137E-6 | 7.989199E-5 | 42.223152 | 7.8E-5 | 2.1411232E-5 | 8.109154E-6 | 1.241082E-4 | 15.304705 | 1.16E-4 | 2.6065056E-4 | 9.872818E-5 | 2.9670863E-4 | 3.0053084 | 1.98E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.2997541E-6 | 1.5907425E-7 | 1.6159072E-5 | 101.58195 | 1.6E-5 | 5.5703626E-6 | 6.817466E-7 | 2.468173E-5 | 36.20367 | 2.4E-5 | 6.7817055E-5 | 8.300238E-6 | 5.029989E-5 | 6.0600543 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 8.392699E-7 | 9.9373594E-8 | 8.099373E-6 | 81.50427 | 8.0E-6 | 3.596866E-6 | 4.2588678E-7 | 8.425884E-6 | 19.784328 | 8.0E-6 | 4.3790962E-5 | 5.185161E-6 | 2.5185058E-5 | 4.8571405 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 3.13015E-7 | 4.9271822E-8 | 6.0492716E-6 | 122.77345 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3414921E-6 | 2.1116493E-7 | 6.2111635E-6 | 29.413803 | 6.0E-6 | 1.6332544E-5 | 2.570931E-6 | 1.45709E-5 | 5.667558 | 1.2E-5 |
Ash Hill
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.328426E-5 | 1.3528165E-4 | 5.810004 | 1.12E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9786324E-5 | 2.4377195E-4 | 2.4429395 | 1.44E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001214302 | 0.0014779815 | 1.2171448 | 2.64E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.328426E-5 | 1.3528165E-4 | 5.810004 | 1.12E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9786324E-5 | 2.4377195E-4 | 2.4429395 | 1.44E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001214302 | 0.0014779815 | 1.2171448 | 2.64E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.1545662E-5 | 2.328426E-5 | 1.3528165E-4 | 5.810004 | 1.12E-4 | 9.2335285E-5 | 9.9786324E-5 | 2.4377195E-4 | 2.4429395 | 1.44E-4 | 0.0011236023 | 0.001214302 | 0.0014779815 | 1.2171448 | 2.64E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0786033E-5 | 6.0785493E-5 | 5.6355743 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6225112E-5 | 1.12222064E-4 | 2.4277294 | 6.6E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6265877E-4 | 6.845901E-4 | 1.2167057 | 1.22E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.0025529E-5 | 1.0786033E-5 | 6.0785493E-5 | 5.6355743 | 5.0E-5 | 4.2965847E-5 | 4.6225112E-5 | 1.12222064E-4 | 2.4277294 | 6.6E-5 | 5.229836E-4 | 5.6265877E-4 | 6.845901E-4 | 1.2167057 | 1.22E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.9617327E-6 | 7.483431E-6 | 4.3483164E-5 | 5.8105917 | 3.6E-5 | 2.9835655E-5 | 3.2071504E-5 | 7.807003E-5 | 2.4342492 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6318856E-4 | 3.9040932E-4 | 4.8037418E-4 | 1.2304373 | 9.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.9919777E-6 | 5.3658932E-6 | 3.1365755E-5 | 5.8453927 | 2.6E-5 | 2.1394015E-5 | 2.299652E-5 | 5.8995694E-5 | 2.5654182 | 3.6E-5 | 2.60441E-4 | 2.7995344E-4 | 3.4193607E-4 | 1.2214034 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.6630722E-6 | 3.9387896E-6 | 2.5938703E-5 | 6.58545 | 2.2E-5 | 1.5698786E-5 | 1.688045E-5 | 4.6879944E-5 | 2.7771738 | 3.0E-5 | 1.9111596E-4 | 2.0550589E-4 | 2.574952E-4 | 1.2529821 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.5599613E-6 | 2.754951E-6 | 1.8754907E-5 | 6.8077097 | 1.6E-5 | 1.0971216E-5 | 1.1806908E-5 | 3.5806625E-5 | 3.0326843 | 2.4E-5 | 1.3356637E-4 | 1.437446E-4 | 1.7973944E-4 | 1.2504082 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.7684905E-6 | 1.903832E-6 | 1.1903813E-5 | 6.2525544 | 1.0E-5 | 7.579223E-6 | 8.15928E-6 | 2.415915E-5 | 2.9609416 | 1.6E-5 | 9.2273134E-5 | 9.933923E-5 | 1.1733744E-4 | 1.1811793 | 1.8E-5 |
Santa Ynez River
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7258923E-5 | 9.725754E-5 | 5.6352034 | 8.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.396492E-5 | 2.0395531E-4 | 2.7574599 | 1.3E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 9.001866E-4 | 0.0011459652 | 1.2730306 | 2.46E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7258923E-5 | 9.725754E-5 | 5.6352034 | 8.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.396492E-5 | 2.0395531E-4 | 2.7574599 | 1.3E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 9.001866E-4 | 0.0011459652 | 1.2730306 | 2.46E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.6396456E-5 | 1.7258923E-5 | 9.725754E-5 | 5.6352034 | 8.0E-5 | 7.026863E-5 | 7.396492E-5 | 2.0395531E-4 | 2.7574599 | 1.3E-4 | 8.551848E-4 | 9.001866E-4 | 0.0011459652 | 1.2730306 | 2.46E-4 |
| 6.3 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0148732E-5 | 6.21482E-5 | 6.1237407 | 5.2E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.349387E-5 | 1.4548944E-4 | 3.345056 | 1.02E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.294142E-4 | 7.113179E-4 | 1.3435942 | 1.82E-4 |
| 6.4 | 9.736976E-6 | 1.0148732E-5 | 6.21482E-5 | 6.1237407 | 5.2E-5 | 4.172923E-5 | 4.349387E-5 | 1.4548944E-4 | 3.345056 | 1.02E-4 | 5.0793495E-4 | 5.294142E-4 | 7.113179E-4 | 1.3435942 | 1.82E-4 |
| 6.5 | 7.081964E-6 | 7.3489796E-6 | 5.334864E-5 | 7.2593265 | 4.6E-5 | 3.035092E-5 | 3.1495256E-5 | 1.19492484E-4 | 3.7939837 | 8.8E-5 | 3.694598E-4 | 3.8338886E-4 | 5.213359E-4 | 1.3598099 | 1.38E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.873247E-6 | 6.0755706E-6 | 4.607533E-5 | 7.5837035 | 4.0E-5 | 2.5170815E-5 | 2.6037906E-5 | 1.0203593E-4 | 3.9187455 | 7.6E-5 | 3.064116E-4 | 3.1696624E-4 | 4.389276E-4 | 1.3847771 | 1.22E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.973277E-6 | 5.1294273E-6 | 4.3129232E-5 | 8.408196 | 3.8E-5 | 2.1313872E-5 | 2.1983078E-5 | 8.798163E-5 | 4.0022435 | 6.6E-5 | 2.5946548E-4 | 2.6761158E-4 | 3.735832E-4 | 1.3959905 | 1.06E-4 |
| 6.8 | 4.396492E-6 | 4.5230613E-6 | 4.0522897E-5 | 8.959175 | 3.6E-5 | 1.884197E-5 | 1.9384406E-5 | 8.3383165E-5 | 4.301559 | 6.4E-5 | 2.2937685E-4 | 2.3597993E-4 | 3.3795586E-4 | 1.4321382 | 1.02E-4 |
| 6.9 | 3.5255632E-6 | 3.6114197E-6 | 3.5611305E-5 | 9.860749 | 3.2E-5 | 1.5109469E-5 | 1.5477422E-5 | 6.9476584E-5 | 4.488899 | 5.4E-5 | 1.8394225E-4 | 1.8842149E-4 | 2.8040414E-4 | 1.488175 | 9.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 3.211603E-6 | 3.2830415E-6 | 3.3282944E-5 | 10.137838 | 3.0E-5 | 1.376394E-5 | 1.4070102E-5 | 6.40694E-5 | 4.5535846 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6756308E-4 | 1.7129017E-4 | 2.5927508E-4 | 1.5136601 | 8.8E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.5094619E-6 | 2.54873E-6 | 2.6548669E-5 | 10.41643 | 2.4E-5 | 1.0754793E-5 | 1.0923083E-5 | 5.0922645E-5 | 4.6619296 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3093173E-4 | 1.3298048E-4 | 2.0697064E-4 | 1.5563986 | 7.4E-5 |
| 7.2 | 2.0515774E-6 | 2.068673E-6 | 2.4068628E-5 | 11.634815 | 2.2E-5 | 8.792445E-6 | 8.865711E-6 | 4.286541E-5 | 4.8349657 | 3.4E-5 | 1.0704277E-4 | 1.0793473E-4 | 1.6592846E-4 | 1.5373038 | 5.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.6845745E-6 | 1.6832355E-6 | 2.1683201E-5 | 12.881859 | 2.0E-5 | 7.219585E-6 | 7.2138464E-6 | 3.9213617E-5 | 5.4358816 | 3.2E-5 | 8.78949E-5 | 8.782507E-5 | 1.4182033E-4 | 1.6148046 | 5.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.3600285E-6 | 1.3381934E-6 | 2.1338166E-5 | 15.945502 | 2.0E-5 | 5.82868E-6 | 5.735102E-6 | 3.573493E-5 | 6.230914 | 3.0E-5 | 7.096187E-5 | 6.982266E-5 | 1.2181902E-4 | 1.744692 | 5.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 9.735342E-7 | 9.326725E-7 | 1.8932657E-5 | 20.29936 | 1.8E-5 | 4.172283E-6 | 3.997162E-6 | 2.9997058E-5 | 7.504589 | 2.6E-5 | 5.079636E-5 | 4.8664377E-5 | 9.266224E-5 | 1.9041082 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 5.067187E-7 | 4.7942524E-7 | 6.479422E-6 | 13.514979 | 6.0E-6 | 2.1716498E-6 | 2.054678E-6 | 1.2054657E-5 | 5.8669324 | 1.0E-5 | 2.6439517E-5 | 2.5015424E-5 | 4.5014924E-5 | 1.7994866 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.769089E-7 | 2.584301E-7 | 2.2584295E-6 | 8.739034 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1867519E-6 | 1.1075572E-6 | 7.1075506E-6 | 6.4173217 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4448608E-5 | 1.3484425E-5 | 2.7484237E-5 | 2.038221 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.8 | 1.7044663E-7 | 1.5499978E-7 | 2.1549995E-6 | 13.903242 | 2.0E-6 | 7.3048534E-7 | 6.642846E-7 | 2.6642833E-6 | 4.010756 | 2.0E-6 | 8.893623E-6 | 8.087635E-6 | 1.4087586E-5 | 1.7418673 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 4.8344287E-8 | 4.103672E-8 | 4.103672E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0718979E-7 | 1.7587163E-7 | 1.7587163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5225327E-6 | 2.1412352E-6 | 4.141231E-6 | 1.9340383 | 2.0E-6 |
Compton
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.06050875E-5 | 6.4132673E-6 | 1.3441245E-4 | 20.958498 | 1.28E-4 | 4.5449582E-5 | 2.7485157E-5 | 2.0548026E-4 | 7.4760447 | 1.78E-4 | 5.5320817E-4 | 3.3458334E-4 | 6.0649234E-4 | 1.8126794 | 2.72E-4 |
| 7.0 | 7.672486E-6 | 4.3022815E-6 | 8.430194E-5 | 19.594704 | 8.0E-5 | 3.288167E-5 | 1.8438222E-5 | 1.3243612E-4 | 7.1826944 | 1.14E-4 | 4.0026082E-4 | 2.2446287E-4 | 3.9442471E-4 | 1.7571936 | 1.7E-4 |
| 7.1 | 7.163992E-6 | 3.9121737E-6 | 7.591189E-5 | 19.40402 | 7.2E-5 | 3.0702464E-5 | 1.6766353E-5 | 1.2076461E-4 | 7.202795 | 1.04E-4 | 3.7373835E-4 | 2.0411181E-4 | 3.540812E-4 | 1.7347413 | 1.5E-4 |
| 7.2 | 6.3689185E-6 | 3.3321612E-6 | 6.7331945E-5 | 20.20669 | 6.4E-5 | 2.729508E-5 | 1.4280616E-5 | 1.0427933E-4 | 7.3021593 | 9.0E-5 | 3.322669E-4 | 1.7385306E-4 | 3.0782976E-4 | 1.7706319 | 1.34E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.4987873E-6 | 2.4582414E-6 | 5.645811E-5 | 22.96687 | 5.4E-5 | 1.9280375E-5 | 1.0535279E-5 | 8.45345E-5 | 8.023945 | 7.4E-5 | 2.3471327E-4 | 1.2825978E-4 | 2.3224644E-4 | 1.8107504 | 1.04E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.987296E-6 | 1.7432297E-6 | 4.174316E-5 | 23.945875 | 4.0E-5 | 1.2802635E-5 | 7.4709633E-6 | 6.147056E-5 | 8.227929 | 5.4E-5 | 1.5586092E-4 | 9.095524E-5 | 1.5694923E-4 | 1.7255657 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 2.4111696E-6 | 1.448947E-6 | 2.9448907E-5 | 20.32435 | 2.8E-5 | 1.0333543E-5 | 6.2097583E-6 | 4.4209522E-5 | 7.119363 | 3.8E-5 | 1.2580362E-4 | 7.560123E-5 | 1.2359761E-4 | 1.6348623 | 4.8E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.8783096E-6 | 1.1364363E-6 | 1.7136417E-5 | 15.079084 | 1.6E-5 | 8.049874E-6 | 4.870432E-6 | 2.6870324E-5 | 5.517031 | 2.2E-5 | 9.8002805E-5 | 5.9295937E-5 | 9.129404E-5 | 1.539634 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 6.6646817E-7 | 3.5877608E-7 | 4.3587747E-6 | 12.149011 | 4.0E-6 | 2.856289E-6 | 1.537611E-6 | 5.537605E-6 | 3.6014342 | 4.0E-6 | 3.4774763E-5 | 1.8720268E-5 | 2.6720118E-5 | 1.4273363 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 7.054689E-8 | 4.1712447E-8 | 4.1712447E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0234378E-7 | 1.7876762E-7 | 1.7876762E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6810293E-6 | 2.1764936E-6 | 2.1764936E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 7.420925E-9 | 4.069617E-9 | 4.069617E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1803964E-8 | 1.7441216E-8 | 1.7441216E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.872132E-7 | 2.1234679E-7 | 2.1234679E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
So Sierra Nevada
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1110323E-5 | 1.3510894E-4 | 12.160668 | 1.24E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.761487E-5 | 2.276063E-4 | 4.780152 | 1.8E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7956966E-4 | 8.454155E-4 | 1.4586952 | 2.66E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1110323E-5 | 1.3510894E-4 | 12.160668 | 1.24E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.761487E-5 | 2.276063E-4 | 4.780152 | 1.8E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7956966E-4 | 8.454155E-4 | 1.4586952 | 2.66E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1110323E-5 | 1.3510894E-4 | 12.160668 | 1.24E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.761487E-5 | 2.276063E-4 | 4.780152 | 1.8E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7956966E-4 | 8.454155E-4 | 1.4586952 | 2.66E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1110323E-5 | 1.3510894E-4 | 12.160668 | 1.24E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.761487E-5 | 2.276063E-4 | 4.780152 | 1.8E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7956966E-4 | 8.454155E-4 | 1.4586952 | 2.66E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1110323E-5 | 1.3510894E-4 | 12.160668 | 1.24E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.761487E-5 | 2.276063E-4 | 4.780152 | 1.8E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7956966E-4 | 8.454155E-4 | 1.4586952 | 2.66E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.15488665E-5 | 1.1110323E-5 | 1.3510894E-4 | 12.160668 | 1.24E-4 | 4.9494203E-5 | 4.761487E-5 | 2.276063E-4 | 4.780152 | 1.8E-4 | 6.024253E-4 | 5.7956966E-4 | 8.454155E-4 | 1.4586952 | 2.66E-4 |
| 6.6 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9566686E-6 | 5.4956334E-5 | 7.899806 | 4.8E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9813971E-5 | 9.781194E-5 | 3.280742 | 6.8E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6292756E-4 | 4.6289127E-4 | 1.2754371 | 1.0E-4 |
| 6.7 | 7.587044E-6 | 6.9566686E-6 | 5.4956334E-5 | 7.899806 | 4.8E-5 | 3.2515498E-5 | 2.9813971E-5 | 9.781194E-5 | 3.280742 | 6.8E-5 | 3.9580427E-4 | 3.6292756E-4 | 4.6289127E-4 | 1.2754371 | 1.0E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.9026956E-6 | 5.1966354E-6 | 2.7196522E-5 | 5.233486 | 2.2E-5 | 2.5297022E-5 | 2.2271111E-5 | 5.027049E-5 | 2.257206 | 2.8E-5 | 3.0794772E-4 | 2.7111822E-4 | 3.1510627E-4 | 1.1622468 | 4.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 5.0118915E-6 | 4.267767E-6 | 1.8267707E-5 | 4.28039 | 1.4E-5 | 2.1479358E-5 | 1.8290306E-5 | 3.828994E-5 | 2.0934553 | 2.0E-5 | 2.614798E-4 | 2.2266245E-4 | 2.5265577E-4 | 1.134703 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 4.4924795E-6 | 3.728237E-6 | 9.7282145E-6 | 2.6093338 | 6.0E-6 | 1.925334E-5 | 1.5978065E-5 | 2.5977904E-5 | 1.625848 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3438422E-4 | 1.9451621E-4 | 2.1051308E-4 | 1.0822394 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 3.9118436E-6 | 3.125069E-6 | 9.12505E-6 | 2.9199514 | 6.0E-6 | 1.6764936E-5 | 1.3393088E-5 | 2.1392982E-5 | 1.5973151 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0409399E-4 | 1.6304922E-4 | 1.7304758E-4 | 1.0613211 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.4200818E-6 | 2.6175578E-6 | 6.6175476E-6 | 2.528138 | 4.0E-6 | 1.4657411E-5 | 1.121806E-5 | 1.7217992E-5 | 1.5348458 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7843937E-4 | 1.3657182E-4 | 1.4457073E-4 | 1.0585692 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.6593618E-6 | 1.8390475E-6 | 1.8390475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13972155E-5 | 7.88161E-6 | 7.88161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3875226E-4 | 9.5954674E-5 | 9.5954674E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.2577992E-6 | 1.4461496E-6 | 1.4461496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.676246E-6 | 6.1977703E-6 | 6.1977703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1780193E-4 | 7.54555E-5 | 7.54555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.489319E-6 | 7.430452E-7 | 7.430452E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3827797E-6 | 3.1844754E-6 | 3.1844754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.770758E-5 | 3.8770304E-5 | 3.8770304E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.7164912E-7 | 4.7164912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 2.0213517E-6 | 2.0213517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4609684E-5 | 2.4609684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5879442E-7 | 1.5879442E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.805474E-7 | 6.805474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.285634E-6 | 8.285634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunter Mountain-Saline Valley
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.5108405E-5 | 1.7110202E-4 | 3.104826 | 1.16E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3615874E-4 | 3.9612094E-4 | 1.6773504 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028716095 | 0.0031248801 | 1.0881982 | 2.54E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.5103672E-5 | 5.5108405E-5 | 1.7110202E-4 | 3.104826 | 1.16E-4 | 1.9328714E-4 | 2.3615874E-4 | 3.9612094E-4 | 1.6773504 | 1.6E-4 | 0.002350731 | 0.0028716095 | 0.0031248801 | 1.0881982 | 2.54E-4 |
| 6.2 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.748901E-5 | 1.5548388E-4 | 3.2741022 | 1.08E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0350936E-4 | 3.5347883E-4 | 1.7369169 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024750433 | 0.0027104593 | 1.0951159 | 2.36E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.9363465E-5 | 4.748901E-5 | 1.5548388E-4 | 3.2741022 | 1.08E-4 | 1.6868966E-4 | 2.0350936E-4 | 3.5347883E-4 | 1.7369169 | 1.5E-4 | 0.002051862 | 0.0024750433 | 0.0027104593 | 1.0951159 | 2.36E-4 |
| 6.4 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8245937E-5 | 1.4024203E-4 | 3.666848 | 1.02E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6390128E-4 | 3.05878E-4 | 1.8662332 | 1.42E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019937402 | 0.0022133016 | 1.1101254 | 2.2E-4 |
| 6.5 | 3.2311684E-5 | 3.8245937E-5 | 1.4024203E-4 | 3.666848 | 1.02E-4 | 1.384713E-4 | 1.6390128E-4 | 3.05878E-4 | 1.8662332 | 1.42E-4 | 0.0016845843 | 0.0019937402 | 0.0022133016 | 1.1101254 | 2.2E-4 |
| 6.6 | 2.9305844E-5 | 3.442869E-5 | 1.3442525E-4 | 3.9044545 | 1.0E-4 | 1.2559042E-4 | 1.4754354E-4 | 2.855232E-4 | 1.9351791 | 1.38E-4 | 0.0015279909 | 0.0017949247 | 0.0020085406 | 1.119011 | 2.14E-4 |
| 6.7 | 2.7826512E-5 | 3.2568634E-5 | 1.285655E-4 | 3.9475253 | 9.6E-5 | 1.19251024E-4 | 1.3957274E-4 | 2.7355403E-4 | 1.9599389 | 1.34E-4 | 0.0014509142 | 0.0016980348 | 0.0019056817 | 1.1222866 | 2.08E-4 |
| 6.8 | 2.3389874E-5 | 2.7025526E-5 | 1.130232E-4 | 4.1820908 | 8.6E-5 | 1.0023846E-4 | 1.1581881E-4 | 2.3780468E-4 | 2.0532475 | 1.22E-4 | 0.00121972 | 0.0014092299 | 0.0016009593 | 1.1360526 | 1.92E-4 |
| 6.9 | 2.069209E-5 | 2.3691538E-5 | 1.096895E-4 | 4.629902 | 8.6E-5 | 8.867737E-5 | 1.0153142E-4 | 2.2151924E-4 | 2.18178 | 1.2E-4 | 0.0010791123 | 0.0012354807 | 0.0014232483 | 1.1519794 | 1.88E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.7462342E-5 | 1.9711166E-5 | 1.0170955E-4 | 5.1599965 | 8.2E-5 | 7.483646E-5 | 8.4473824E-5 | 1.9646436E-4 | 2.3257425 | 1.12E-4 | 9.1075303E-4 | 0.0010280063 | 0.0012058234 | 1.1729727 | 1.78E-4 |
| 7.1 | 1.4807709E-5 | 1.6486494E-5 | 9.848514E-5 | 5.9736857 | 8.2E-5 | 6.3460066E-5 | 7.065458E-5 | 1.8064682E-4 | 2.5567598 | 1.1E-4 | 7.723524E-4 | 8.5989665E-4 | 0.0010357453 | 1.2044997 | 1.76E-4 |
| 7.2 | 1.4180048E-5 | 1.5736081E-5 | 9.373485E-5 | 5.9566836 | 7.8E-5 | 6.077022E-5 | 6.743869E-5 | 1.7343154E-4 | 2.571692 | 1.06E-4 | 7.396263E-4 | 8.207731E-4 | 9.926319E-4 | 1.2093866 | 1.72E-4 |
| 7.3 | 1.3730402E-5 | 1.5205063E-5 | 9.3203875E-5 | 6.129792 | 7.8E-5 | 5.8843252E-5 | 6.516302E-5 | 1.711561E-4 | 2.6265836 | 1.06E-4 | 7.161811E-4 | 7.930871E-4 | 9.6295227E-4 | 1.2141823 | 1.7E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.2810095E-5 | 1.4133497E-5 | 9.2132395E-5 | 6.518726 | 7.8E-5 | 5.489925E-5 | 6.0570812E-5 | 1.665644E-4 | 2.7499118 | 1.06E-4 | 6.681934E-4 | 7.37216E-4 | 9.0709067E-4 | 1.2304273 | 1.7E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.1595659E-5 | 1.2812597E-5 | 8.4811676E-5 | 6.6193976 | 7.2E-5 | 4.9694736E-5 | 5.4910062E-5 | 1.5290469E-4 | 2.7846386 | 9.8E-5 | 6.0486543E-4 | 6.6834065E-4 | 8.262351E-4 | 1.2362484 | 1.58E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.997694E-6 | 3.3150764E-6 | 2.931499E-5 | 8.842931 | 2.6E-5 | 1.28471975E-5 | 1.4207434E-5 | 4.420701E-5 | 3.1115406 | 3.0E-5 | 1.564034E-4 | 1.7296901E-4 | 2.2895932E-4 | 1.3237014 | 5.6E-5 |
Pitas Point (Lower West)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.1 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.2 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.3 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.4 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.5 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.6 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.8 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 6.9 | 8.151497E-6 | 7.8845405E-6 | 9.9883815E-5 | 12.668312 | 9.2E-5 | 3.493452E-5 | 3.3790453E-5 | 1.6978585E-4 | 5.024669 | 1.36E-4 | 4.252448E-4 | 4.1132185E-4 | 6.4522563E-4 | 1.5686636 | 2.34E-4 |
| 7.0 | 8.103535E-6 | 7.833836E-6 | 9.783313E-5 | 12.488534 | 9.0E-5 | 3.4728975E-5 | 3.3573157E-5 | 1.6756867E-4 | 4.99115 | 1.34E-4 | 4.2274324E-4 | 4.0867727E-4 | 6.4058247E-4 | 1.5674531 | 2.32E-4 |
| 7.1 | 7.853298E-6 | 7.568791E-6 | 9.756811E-5 | 12.890845 | 9.0E-5 | 3.3656554E-5 | 3.2437274E-5 | 1.6443299E-4 | 5.06926 | 1.32E-4 | 4.096915E-4 | 3.9485298E-4 | 6.147661E-4 | 1.5569494 | 2.2E-4 |
| 7.2 | 7.771102E-6 | 7.480804E-6 | 9.748013E-5 | 13.030703 | 9.0E-5 | 3.33043E-5 | 3.2060198E-5 | 1.6205604E-4 | 5.054742 | 1.3E-4 | 4.0540437E-4 | 3.902637E-4 | 6.081786E-4 | 1.5583787 | 2.18E-4 |
| 7.3 | 7.3945344E-6 | 7.075514E-6 | 9.5074894E-5 | 13.437171 | 8.8E-5 | 3.1690477E-5 | 3.0323283E-5 | 1.583194E-4 | 5.2210507 | 1.28E-4 | 3.8576324E-4 | 3.6912406E-4 | 5.8304507E-4 | 1.5795369 | 2.14E-4 |
| 7.4 | 6.964645E-6 | 6.6148923E-6 | 8.4614374E-5 | 12.791497 | 7.8E-5 | 2.9848137E-5 | 2.8349234E-5 | 1.4434595E-4 | 5.0917053 | 1.16E-4 | 3.6334046E-4 | 3.4509777E-4 | 5.4103014E-4 | 1.567759 | 1.96E-4 |
| 7.5 | 6.6525035E-6 | 6.28304E-6 | 8.228256E-5 | 13.095979 | 7.6E-5 | 2.851042E-5 | 2.692704E-5 | 1.3892402E-4 | 5.159276 | 1.12E-4 | 3.4705905E-4 | 3.277879E-4 | 5.157263E-4 | 1.5733536 | 1.88E-4 |
| 7.6 | 5.613338E-6 | 5.171648E-6 | 6.9171314E-5 | 13.375102 | 6.4E-5 | 2.405694E-5 | 2.2164018E-5 | 1.1616194E-4 | 5.241014 | 9.4E-5 | 2.928539E-4 | 2.698138E-4 | 4.2777119E-4 | 1.585431 | 1.58E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.494704E-6 | 4.0137807E-6 | 5.2013587E-5 | 12.958752 | 4.8E-5 | 1.9262876E-5 | 1.7201804E-5 | 9.1200534E-5 | 5.3018003 | 7.4E-5 | 2.3450027E-4 | 2.0941209E-4 | 3.2938697E-4 | 1.5729128 | 1.2E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.6075882E-6 | 2.193745E-6 | 3.619367E-5 | 16.498577 | 3.4E-5 | 1.117533E-5 | 9.4017305E-6 | 6.3401225E-5 | 6.7435694 | 5.4E-5 | 1.3605114E-4 | 1.14460105E-4 | 1.904514E-4 | 1.6639107 | 7.6E-5 |
| 7.9 | 4.045984E-7 | 3.25694E-7 | 2.3256932E-6 | 7.1407313 | 2.0E-6 | 1.733992E-6 | 1.3958306E-6 | 5.395825E-6 | 3.865673 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1111147E-5 | 1.6994109E-5 | 2.4993973E-5 | 1.4707434 | 8.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.7172933E-9 | 5.7172933E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4502686E-8 | 2.4502686E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9832017E-7 | 2.9832017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Redondo Canyon alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.1038855E-5 | 1.2303762E-4 | 11.145868 | 1.12E-4 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7308968E-5 | 2.093013E-4 | 4.4241357 | 1.62E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.7591405E-4 | 8.077804E-4 | 1.4026059 | 2.32E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.1038855E-5 | 1.2303762E-4 | 11.145868 | 1.12E-4 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7308968E-5 | 2.093013E-4 | 4.4241357 | 1.62E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.7591405E-4 | 8.077804E-4 | 1.4026059 | 2.32E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.0346246E-5 | 1.1038855E-5 | 1.2303762E-4 | 11.145868 | 1.12E-4 | 4.43403E-5 | 4.7308968E-5 | 2.093013E-4 | 4.4241357 | 1.62E-4 | 5.3970946E-4 | 5.7591405E-4 | 8.077804E-4 | 1.4026059 | 2.32E-4 |
| 6.3 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2604762E-6 | 3.7260364E-5 | 11.427891 | 3.4E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.39734175E-5 | 5.7972804E-5 | 4.1487923 | 4.4E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.701171E-4 | 2.3210655E-4 | 1.3643929 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2604762E-6 | 3.7260364E-5 | 11.427891 | 3.4E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.39734175E-5 | 5.7972804E-5 | 4.1487923 | 4.4E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.701171E-4 | 2.3210655E-4 | 1.3643929 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 3.2052794E-6 | 3.2604762E-6 | 3.7260364E-5 | 11.427891 | 3.4E-5 | 1.373684E-5 | 1.39734175E-5 | 5.7972804E-5 | 4.1487923 | 4.4E-5 | 1.6723319E-4 | 1.701171E-4 | 2.3210655E-4 | 1.3643929 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.8447E-6 | 2.7844651E-5 | 15.094406 | 2.6E-5 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.905842E-6 | 3.7905604E-5 | 4.7946324 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.625089E-5 | 1.3824685E-4 | 1.4363176 | 4.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.948328E-6 | 1.8447E-6 | 2.7844651E-5 | 15.094406 | 2.6E-5 | 8.349951E-6 | 7.905842E-6 | 3.7905604E-5 | 4.7946324 | 3.0E-5 | 1.016559E-4 | 9.625089E-5 | 1.3824685E-4 | 1.4363176 | 4.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.131319E-7 | 1.2913121E-5 | 14.141573 | 1.2E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.913419E-6 | 1.7913364E-5 | 4.5774207 | 1.4E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.764527E-5 | 6.964422E-5 | 1.4617237 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.131319E-7 | 1.2913121E-5 | 14.141573 | 1.2E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.913419E-6 | 1.7913364E-5 | 4.5774207 | 1.4E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.764527E-5 | 6.964422E-5 | 1.4617237 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.1278219E-6 | 9.131319E-7 | 1.2913121E-5 | 14.141573 | 1.2E-5 | 4.8335132E-6 | 3.913419E-6 | 1.7913364E-5 | 4.5774207 | 1.4E-5 | 5.8846435E-5 | 4.764527E-5 | 6.964422E-5 | 1.4617237 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.657995E-7 | 1.08657905E-5 | 12.550008 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.7105665E-6 | 1.371053E-5 | 3.694996 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.5175646E-5 | 6.317483E-5 | 1.3984268 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.0545139E-6 | 8.657995E-7 | 1.08657905E-5 | 12.550008 | 1.0E-5 | 4.5193374E-6 | 3.7105665E-6 | 1.371053E-5 | 3.694996 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5021545E-5 | 4.5175646E-5 | 6.317483E-5 | 1.3984268 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 9.505161E-8 | 5.960318E-8 | 4.059603E-6 | 68.110504 | 4.0E-6 | 4.0736398E-7 | 2.554422E-7 | 4.255441E-6 | 16.659117 | 4.0E-6 | 4.959645E-6 | 3.1100055E-6 | 7.109993E-6 | 2.2861674 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 3.9520785E-8 | 2.7401477E-8 | 2.0274015E-6 | 73.98876 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6937479E-7 | 1.174349E-7 | 2.1174346E-6 | 18.03071 | 2.0E-6 | 2.062136E-6 | 1.4297692E-6 | 3.4297664E-6 | 2.3988252 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 5.6133214E-9 | 3.8071803E-9 | 3.8071803E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4057092E-8 | 1.6316488E-8 | 1.6316488E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9289507E-7 | 1.9865323E-7 | 1.9865323E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 4.1064334E-9 | 2.6459226E-9 | 2.6459226E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7599E-8 | 1.1339668E-8 | 1.1339668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.142678E-7 | 1.3806046E-7 | 1.3806046E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.361975E-9 | 6.4709094E-10 | 6.4709094E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.773247E-9 | 2.773247E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.376428E-8 | 3.376428E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.361975E-9 | 6.4709094E-10 | 6.4709094E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370353E-9 | 2.773247E-9 | 2.773247E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1065905E-8 | 3.376428E-8 | 3.376428E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lost Hills
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5264488E-5 | 1.4126155E-4 | 5.591309 | 1.16E-4 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0827284E-4 | 2.682555E-4 | 2.4775882 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001317595 | 0.0015393024 | 1.1682668 | 2.22E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5264488E-5 | 1.4126155E-4 | 5.591309 | 1.16E-4 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0827284E-4 | 2.682555E-4 | 2.4775882 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001317595 | 0.0015393024 | 1.1682668 | 2.22E-4 |
| 6.2 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5264488E-5 | 1.4126155E-4 | 5.591309 | 1.16E-4 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0827284E-4 | 2.682555E-4 | 2.4775882 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001317595 | 0.0015393024 | 1.1682668 | 2.22E-4 |
| 6.3 | 2.233523E-5 | 2.5264488E-5 | 1.4126155E-4 | 5.591309 | 1.16E-4 | 9.571891E-5 | 1.0827284E-4 | 2.682555E-4 | 2.4775882 | 1.6E-4 | 0.0011647546 | 0.001317595 | 0.0015393024 | 1.1682668 | 2.22E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3865965E-5 | 6.7865214E-5 | 4.894374 | 5.4E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9424747E-5 | 1.4341975E-4 | 2.4134686 | 8.4E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.233511E-4 | 8.3527004E-4 | 1.1547229 | 1.12E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.2288092E-5 | 1.3865965E-5 | 6.7865214E-5 | 4.894374 | 5.4E-5 | 5.2662188E-5 | 5.9424747E-5 | 1.4341975E-4 | 2.4134686 | 8.4E-5 | 6.409735E-4 | 7.233511E-4 | 8.3527004E-4 | 1.1547229 | 1.12E-4 |
| 6.6 | 8.58281E-6 | 9.693555E-6 | 5.1693147E-5 | 5.3327336 | 4.2E-5 | 3.6782953E-5 | 4.154362E-5 | 1.0754088E-4 | 2.5886257 | 6.6E-5 | 4.4774043E-4 | 5.057604E-4 | 5.9171696E-4 | 1.169955 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 7.205685E-6 | 8.138512E-6 | 4.4138218E-5 | 5.423377 | 3.6E-5 | 3.088114E-5 | 3.4879336E-5 | 9.2877315E-5 | 2.6628177 | 5.8E-5 | 3.7591302E-4 | 4.2465594E-4 | 4.986245E-4 | 1.1741847 | 7.4E-5 |
Malibu Coast (Extension) alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 7.516028E-6 | 7.8497815E-6 | 9.384911E-5 | 11.955632 | 8.6E-5 | 3.221115E-5 | 3.3641492E-5 | 1.6163719E-4 | 4.8046975 | 1.28E-4 | 3.9210016E-4 | 4.0950882E-4 | 6.014302E-4 | 1.4686624 | 1.92E-4 |
| 6.1 | 7.199952E-6 | 7.523109E-6 | 9.1522474E-5 | 12.165512 | 8.4E-5 | 3.0856572E-5 | 3.22415E-5 | 1.5823744E-4 | 4.907881 | 1.26E-4 | 3.75614E-4 | 3.9247016E-4 | 5.823956E-4 | 1.4839232 | 1.9E-4 |
| 6.2 | 6.3721413E-6 | 6.663348E-6 | 8.266284E-5 | 12.4056015 | 7.6E-5 | 2.7308892E-5 | 2.8556895E-5 | 1.4455359E-4 | 5.06195 | 1.16E-4 | 3.3243504E-4 | 3.476251E-4 | 5.275625E-4 | 1.5176193 | 1.8E-4 |
| 6.3 | 6.016345E-6 | 6.2932313E-6 | 8.2292754E-5 | 13.076391 | 7.6E-5 | 2.578408E-5 | 2.6970714E-5 | 1.4296759E-4 | 5.300845 | 1.16E-4 | 3.1387596E-4 | 3.283193E-4 | 5.0626084E-4 | 1.5419772 | 1.78E-4 |
| 6.4 | 5.8104883E-6 | 6.0784755E-6 | 8.207801E-5 | 13.503059 | 7.6E-5 | 2.4901856E-5 | 2.6050351E-5 | 1.4204733E-4 | 5.452799 | 1.16E-4 | 3.031379E-4 | 3.1711717E-4 | 4.9506075E-4 | 1.5611287 | 1.78E-4 |
| 6.5 | 5.476925E-6 | 5.728E-6 | 8.1727565E-5 | 14.268081 | 7.6E-5 | 2.3472323E-5 | 2.4548342E-5 | 1.3854554E-4 | 5.643784 | 1.14E-4 | 2.8573806E-4 | 2.9883537E-4 | 4.7278337E-4 | 1.5820864 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.222387E-6 | 5.460385E-6 | 7.9459984E-5 | 14.552084 | 7.4E-5 | 2.2381464E-5 | 2.3401442E-5 | 1.3539882E-4 | 5.7859178 | 1.12E-4 | 2.7246025E-4 | 2.848756E-4 | 4.568266E-4 | 1.6036004 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.7 | 5.0337076E-6 | 5.261927E-6 | 7.926154E-5 | 15.063215 | 7.4E-5 | 2.1572854E-5 | 2.2550921E-5 | 1.3254845E-4 | 5.8777394 | 1.1E-4 | 2.6261783E-4 | 2.7452316E-4 | 4.444765E-4 | 1.6190856 | 1.7E-4 |
| 6.8 | 4.5675624E-6 | 4.761398E-6 | 7.2761075E-5 | 15.281451 | 6.8E-5 | 1.9575122E-5 | 2.0405832E-5 | 1.2240376E-4 | 5.998469 | 1.02E-4 | 2.3830103E-4 | 2.484129E-4 | 4.0837313E-4 | 1.643929 | 1.6E-4 |
| 6.9 | 4.2802412E-6 | 4.4553017E-6 | 7.2455E-5 | 16.262646 | 6.8E-5 | 1.8343762E-5 | 1.9094012E-5 | 1.190921E-4 | 6.237144 | 1.0E-4 | 2.2331243E-4 | 2.3244496E-4 | 3.8440962E-4 | 1.6537663 | 1.52E-4 |
| 7.0 | 3.9794063E-6 | 4.1330136E-6 | 7.0132744E-5 | 16.96891 | 6.6E-5 | 1.7054486E-5 | 1.7712797E-5 | 1.1171113E-4 | 6.3068037 | 9.4E-5 | 2.0761859E-4 | 2.1563208E-4 | 3.5960102E-4 | 1.6676601 | 1.44E-4 |
| 7.1 | 3.7730424E-6 | 3.9141673E-6 | 6.791392E-5 | 17.350796 | 6.4E-5 | 1.6170083E-5 | 1.6774895E-5 | 1.08773354E-4 | 6.484294 | 9.2E-5 | 1.9685295E-4 | 2.0421532E-4 | 3.4618634E-4 | 1.6952025 | 1.42E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.424985E-6 | 3.5446394E-6 | 6.554442E-5 | 18.491138 | 6.2E-5 | 1.4678424E-5 | 1.5191224E-5 | 9.918995E-5 | 6.529424 | 8.4E-5 | 1.7869516E-4 | 1.8493757E-4 | 3.1491352E-4 | 1.7028099 | 1.3E-4 |
| 7.3 | 2.6966375E-6 | 2.7617186E-6 | 5.8761565E-5 | 21.277172 | 5.6E-5 | 1.15569665E-5 | 1.1835884E-5 | 8.383503E-5 | 7.0831237 | 7.2E-5 | 1.4069698E-4 | 1.440924E-4 | 2.5407656E-4 | 1.7632891 | 1.1E-4 |
| 7.4 | 2.215957E-6 | 2.2513402E-6 | 5.6251218E-5 | 24.985659 | 5.4E-5 | 9.496924E-6 | 9.6485655E-6 | 7.764791E-5 | 8.047612 | 6.8E-5 | 1.1561892E-4 | 1.1746499E-4 | 2.1545347E-4 | 1.8341931 | 9.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.2040218E-6 | 1.2230716E-6 | 4.1223022E-5 | 33.704502 | 4.0E-5 | 5.160083E-6 | 5.2417254E-6 | 5.7241454E-5 | 10.920346 | 5.2E-5 | 6.2822204E-5 | 6.381616E-5 | 1.4181118E-4 | 2.222183 | 7.8E-5 |
| 7.6 | 6.6157446E-7 | 6.687349E-7 | 3.2668715E-5 | 48.851513 | 3.2E-5 | 2.835316E-6 | 2.8660038E-6 | 4.4865883E-5 | 15.65451 | 4.2E-5 | 3.4519428E-5 | 3.489305E-5 | 9.489096E-5 | 2.71948 | 6.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.6012302E-7 | 2.440106E-7 | 1.4244008E-5 | 58.37454 | 1.4E-5 | 1.1148124E-6 | 1.0457594E-6 | 1.7045742E-5 | 16.29987 | 1.6E-5 | 1.3572758E-5 | 1.2732057E-5 | 3.4731776E-5 | 2.7278998 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.8 | 2.8323132E-8 | 2.0340668E-8 | 2.0340668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138484E-7 | 8.717429E-8 | 8.717429E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4778595E-6 | 1.0613466E-6 | 1.0613466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Channel Islands Western Deep Ramp
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2660774E-6 | 9.626551E-5 | 15.362963 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6854366E-5 | 1.4485119E-4 | 5.3939533 | 1.18E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2690735E-4 | 5.0085044E-4 | 1.532087 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.1 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2660774E-6 | 9.626551E-5 | 15.362963 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6854366E-5 | 1.4485119E-4 | 5.3939533 | 1.18E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2690735E-4 | 5.0085044E-4 | 1.532087 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.2 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2660774E-6 | 9.626551E-5 | 15.362963 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6854366E-5 | 1.4485119E-4 | 5.3939533 | 1.18E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2690735E-4 | 5.0085044E-4 | 1.532087 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.3 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2660774E-6 | 9.626551E-5 | 15.362963 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6854366E-5 | 1.4485119E-4 | 5.3939533 | 1.18E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2690735E-4 | 5.0085044E-4 | 1.532087 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.4 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2660774E-6 | 9.626551E-5 | 15.362963 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6854366E-5 | 1.4485119E-4 | 5.3939533 | 1.18E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2690735E-4 | 5.0085044E-4 | 1.532087 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2660774E-6 | 9.626551E-5 | 15.362963 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6854366E-5 | 1.4485119E-4 | 5.3939533 | 1.18E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2690735E-4 | 5.0085044E-4 | 1.532087 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.6 | 6.0213506E-6 | 6.2660774E-6 | 9.626551E-5 | 15.362963 | 9.0E-5 | 2.5805533E-5 | 2.6854366E-5 | 1.4485119E-4 | 5.3939533 | 1.18E-4 | 3.1413708E-4 | 3.2690735E-4 | 5.0085044E-4 | 1.532087 | 1.74E-4 |
| 6.7 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5353275E-6 | 8.753487E-5 | 15.813857 | 8.2E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.372264E-5 | 1.2972012E-4 | 5.4681997 | 1.06E-4 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8878896E-4 | 4.3874563E-4 | 1.5192604 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.313309E-6 | 5.5353275E-6 | 8.753487E-5 | 15.813857 | 8.2E-5 | 2.2771126E-5 | 2.372264E-5 | 1.2972012E-4 | 5.4681997 | 1.06E-4 | 2.772032E-4 | 2.8878896E-4 | 4.3874563E-4 | 1.5192604 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.9 | 4.744377E-6 | 4.9486407E-6 | 7.494829E-5 | 15.145228 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0332885E-5 | 2.1208309E-5 | 1.112064E-4 | 5.24353 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4752476E-4 | 2.581843E-4 | 3.8815074E-4 | 1.5033863 | 1.3E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.722209E-6 | 4.9256423E-6 | 7.4925294E-5 | 15.211275 | 7.0E-5 | 2.0237881E-5 | 2.1109745E-5 | 1.11107845E-4 | 5.263344 | 9.0E-5 | 2.4636835E-4 | 2.5698458E-4 | 3.8695117E-4 | 1.505737 | 1.3E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.611174E-6 | 4.810368E-6 | 7.081005E-5 | 14.720299 | 6.6E-5 | 1.9762025E-5 | 2.061572E-5 | 1.06613945E-4 | 5.171488 | 8.6E-5 | 2.4057609E-4 | 2.5097124E-4 | 3.749401E-4 | 1.4939566 | 1.24E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.043994E-6 | 4.2198235E-6 | 6.0219587E-5 | 14.270641 | 5.6E-5 | 1.7331287E-5 | 1.8084853E-5 | 9.008355E-5 | 4.9811606 | 7.2E-5 | 2.10988E-4 | 2.2016441E-4 | 3.2214195E-4 | 1.4631882 | 1.02E-4 |
| 7.3 | 2.1233036E-6 | 2.234388E-6 | 2.423434E-5 | 10.846075 | 2.2E-5 | 9.099841E-6 | 9.575913E-6 | 3.5575664E-5 | 3.7151196 | 2.6E-5 | 1.1078493E-4 | 1.16580566E-4 | 1.565759E-4 | 1.3430704 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.9051884E-6 | 2.00558E-6 | 2.4005536E-5 | 11.969374 | 2.2E-5 | 8.165067E-6 | 8.595314E-6 | 3.459509E-5 | 4.024878 | 2.6E-5 | 9.940516E-5 | 1.04642975E-4 | 1.4263901E-4 | 1.3631015 | 3.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.2408497E-6 | 1.3064604E-6 | 1.9306437E-5 | 14.777668 | 1.8E-5 | 5.317916E-6 | 5.5991036E-6 | 2.5598993E-5 | 4.57198 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4743705E-5 | 6.816698E-5 | 9.8164935E-5 | 1.4400657 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 6.5440025E-7 | 6.9000475E-7 | 1.4689995E-5 | 21.289701 | 1.4E-5 | 2.8045695E-6 | 2.95716E-6 | 1.695712E-5 | 5.734258 | 1.4E-5 | 3.4145098E-5 | 3.6002843E-5 | 5.800205E-5 | 1.6110408 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 3.985963E-7 | 4.2012255E-7 | 1.0420118E-5 | 24.802568 | 1.0E-5 | 1.7082689E-6 | 1.800524E-6 | 1.1800506E-5 | 6.553929 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0797976E-5 | 2.192117E-5 | 3.792082E-5 | 1.729872 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.706329E-8 | 3.867213E-8 | 3.867213E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5884267E-7 | 1.6573769E-7 | 1.6573769E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9339077E-6 | 2.0178547E-6 | 2.0178547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Joshua Tree (Seismicity)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4025588E-6 | 8.073279E-7 | 9.680725E-5 | 119.91069 | 9.6E-5 | 6.0109523E-6 | 3.4599755E-6 | 1.2945954E-4 | 37.416317 | 1.26E-4 | 7.318089E-5 | 4.2124968E-5 | 2.1811755E-4 | 5.177869 | 1.76E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.4025588E-6 | 8.073279E-7 | 9.680725E-5 | 119.91069 | 9.6E-5 | 6.0109523E-6 | 3.4599755E-6 | 1.2945954E-4 | 37.416317 | 1.26E-4 | 7.318089E-5 | 4.2124968E-5 | 2.1811755E-4 | 5.177869 | 1.76E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.4025588E-6 | 8.073279E-7 | 9.680725E-5 | 119.91069 | 9.6E-5 | 6.0109523E-6 | 3.4599755E-6 | 1.2945954E-4 | 37.416317 | 1.26E-4 | 7.318089E-5 | 4.2124968E-5 | 2.1811755E-4 | 5.177869 | 1.76E-4 |
| 6.3 | 7.3325685E-7 | 1.3101851E-7 | 3.8131013E-5 | 291.0353 | 3.8E-5 | 3.1425257E-6 | 5.615078E-7 | 5.056148E-5 | 90.0459 | 5.0E-5 | 3.825958E-5 | 6.8363483E-6 | 7.2835894E-5 | 10.654211 | 6.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.38256E-7 | 3.522918E-8 | 1.2035229E-5 | 341.6267 | 1.2E-5 | 2.7353801E-6 | 1.5098219E-7 | 1.415098E-5 | 93.72615 | 1.4E-5 | 3.3302742E-5 | 1.8382069E-6 | 2.183817E-5 | 11.880148 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 6.38256E-7 | 3.522918E-8 | 1.2035229E-5 | 341.6267 | 1.2E-5 | 2.7353801E-6 | 1.5098219E-7 | 1.415098E-5 | 93.72615 | 1.4E-5 | 3.3302742E-5 | 1.8382069E-6 | 2.183817E-5 | 11.880148 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 6.3436806E-7 | 3.2293176E-8 | 8.0322925E-6 | 248.73036 | 8.0E-6 | 2.7187175E-6 | 1.3839932E-7 | 1.0138398E-5 | 73.254684 | 1.0E-5 | 3.3099885E-5 | 1.6850106E-6 | 1.7684984E-5 | 10.495474 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 6.094856E-7 | 2.4592223E-8 | 4.0245923E-6 | 163.65305 | 4.0E-6 | 2.6120786E-6 | 1.0539524E-7 | 4.105395E-6 | 38.952374 | 4.0E-6 | 3.1801592E-5 | 1.2831864E-6 | 9.283176E-6 | 7.234472 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 5.984801E-7 | 2.124605E-8 | 4.021246E-6 | 189.2703 | 4.0E-6 | 2.564912E-6 | 9.1054495E-8 | 4.091054E-6 | 44.929733 | 4.0E-6 | 3.1227355E-5 | 1.108588E-6 | 7.1085815E-6 | 6.412284 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 4.94631E-7 | 7.9137275E-9 | 2.0079137E-6 | 253.72542 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1198455E-6 | 3.3915974E-8 | 2.033916E-6 | 59.96926 | 2.0E-6 | 2.5808813E-5 | 4.129269E-7 | 2.412926E-6 | 5.84347 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 4.250375E-7 | 3.2186889E-9 | 3.2186889E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8215881E-6 | 1.379438E-8 | 1.379438E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2177608E-5 | 1.6794657E-7 | 1.6794657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 3.6888565E-7 | 1.1921895E-9 | 1.1921895E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5809376E-6 | 5.1093823E-9 | 5.1093823E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9247746E-5 | 6.220673E-8 | 6.220673E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 3.2473773E-7 | 4.3612014E-10 | 4.3612014E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3917323E-6 | 1.8690849E-9 | 1.8690849E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.694421E-5 | 2.2756112E-8 | 2.2756112E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 2.465367E-7 | 3.868662E-10 | 3.868662E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0565853E-6 | 1.6579975E-9 | 1.6579975E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2863851E-5 | 2.0186121E-8 | 2.0186121E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.6654941E-7 | 2.36264E-10 | 2.36264E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.13783E-7 | 1.0125599E-9 | 1.0125599E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.690274E-6 | 1.2327919E-8 | 1.2327919E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 4.24214E-9 | 3.1245007E-12 | 3.1245007E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.81806E-8 | 1.3390844E-11 | 1.3390844E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.213488E-7 | 1.6303392E-10 | 1.6303392E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sisar
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.2 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.3 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.4 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.5 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.6 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.8 | 4.544193E-6 | 3.8575054E-6 | 8.585719E-5 | 22.25718 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9474966E-5 | 1.6532063E-5 | 1.2853021E-4 | 7.774602 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3708193E-4 | 2.0125962E-4 | 3.7322502E-4 | 1.8544456 | 1.72E-4 |
| 6.9 | 4.542225E-6 | 3.855464E-6 | 8.585515E-5 | 22.268436 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9466532E-5 | 1.6523314E-5 | 1.2852147E-4 | 7.7781897 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3697925E-4 | 2.011531E-4 | 3.731185E-4 | 1.8548981 | 1.72E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.5278484E-6 | 3.8404996E-6 | 8.584018E-5 | 22.351307 | 8.2E-5 | 1.940492E-5 | 1.6459182E-5 | 1.2845734E-4 | 7.8046002 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3622929E-4 | 2.0037247E-4 | 3.72338E-4 | 1.8582294 | 1.72E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.5132488E-6 | 3.8252574E-6 | 8.582494E-5 | 22.436384 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9342351E-5 | 1.6393858E-5 | 1.2839203E-4 | 7.8317146 | 1.12E-4 | 2.3546767E-4 | 1.9957729E-4 | 3.7154296E-4 | 1.8616495 | 1.72E-4 |
| 7.2 | 4.448859E-6 | 3.7575578E-6 | 8.575725E-5 | 22.822603 | 8.2E-5 | 1.9066398E-5 | 1.6103722E-5 | 1.2610195E-4 | 7.8306093 | 1.1E-4 | 2.3210866E-4 | 1.9604551E-4 | 3.660122E-4 | 1.8669757 | 1.7E-4 |
| 7.3 | 4.3424366E-6 | 3.6508677E-6 | 8.365058E-5 | 22.91252 | 8.0E-5 | 1.861031E-5 | 1.5646483E-5 | 1.236448E-4 | 7.9024014 | 1.08E-4 | 2.2655698E-4 | 1.9047962E-4 | 3.584476E-4 | 1.8818161 | 1.68E-4 |
| 7.4 | 4.218641E-6 | 3.5494088E-6 | 7.9549136E-5 | 22.411942 | 7.6E-5 | 1.8079765E-5 | 1.5211665E-5 | 1.1721011E-4 | 7.7052784 | 1.02E-4 | 2.2009891E-4 | 1.8518663E-4 | 3.4715663E-4 | 1.8746313 | 1.62E-4 |
| 7.5 | 3.983779E-6 | 3.3629242E-6 | 7.936267E-5 | 23.599304 | 7.6E-5 | 1.7073227E-5 | 1.4412454E-5 | 1.16410985E-4 | 8.07711 | 1.02E-4 | 2.0784672E-4 | 1.7545784E-4 | 3.3542977E-4 | 1.9117401 | 1.6E-4 |
| 7.6 | 2.777393E-6 | 2.3621103E-6 | 7.036195E-5 | 29.787748 | 6.8E-5 | 1.1903058E-5 | 1.0123292E-5 | 1.0212236E-4 | 10.087861 | 9.2E-5 | 1.449101E-4 | 1.2324417E-4 | 2.6522667E-4 | 2.1520422 | 1.42E-4 |
| 7.7 | 1.9028433E-6 | 1.5998091E-6 | 6.559971E-5 | 41.004707 | 6.4E-5 | 8.155017E-6 | 6.856307E-6 | 8.685576E-5 | 12.668009 | 8.0E-5 | 9.928281E-5 | 8.347239E-5 | 1.9746287E-4 | 2.365607 | 1.14E-4 |
| 7.8 | 4.9095956E-7 | 4.3717762E-7 | 1.0437173E-5 | 23.873987 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1041105E-6 | 1.8736171E-6 | 1.3873595E-5 | 7.404712 | 1.2E-5 | 2.5617246E-5 | 2.2811051E-5 | 3.6810732E-5 | 1.6137236 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.16657894E-7 | 1.036761E-7 | 1.036761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.999623E-7 | 4.4432608E-7 | 4.4432608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.087024E-6 | 5.4096568E-6 | 5.4096568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 2.5100346E-9 | 1.7291966E-9 | 1.7291966E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0757291E-8 | 7.410843E-9 | 7.410843E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3097001E-7 | 9.022701E-8 | 9.022701E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Camp Rock 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2783026E-6 | 8.427796E-5 | 19.698925 | 8.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8335457E-5 | 1.303334E-4 | 7.1082716 | 1.12E-4 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2321186E-4 | 3.811766E-4 | 1.7076898 | 1.58E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2783026E-6 | 8.427796E-5 | 19.698925 | 8.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8335457E-5 | 1.303334E-4 | 7.1082716 | 1.12E-4 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2321186E-4 | 3.811766E-4 | 1.7076898 | 1.58E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2783026E-6 | 8.427796E-5 | 19.698925 | 8.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8335457E-5 | 1.303334E-4 | 7.1082716 | 1.12E-4 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2321186E-4 | 3.811766E-4 | 1.7076898 | 1.58E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.6710783E-5 | 4.2783026E-6 | 8.427796E-5 | 19.698925 | 8.0E-5 | 7.161568E-5 | 1.8335457E-5 | 1.303334E-4 | 7.1082716 | 1.12E-4 | 8.7157206E-4 | 2.2321186E-4 | 3.811766E-4 | 1.7076898 | 1.58E-4 |
| 6.4 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.70791E-6 | 6.7707675E-5 | 18.260334 | 6.4E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5890948E-5 | 1.07889486E-4 | 6.7893677 | 9.2E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9345547E-4 | 3.2542992E-4 | 1.6821955 | 1.32E-4 |
| 6.5 | 7.982846E-6 | 3.70791E-6 | 6.7707675E-5 | 18.260334 | 6.4E-5 | 3.421175E-5 | 1.5890948E-5 | 1.07889486E-4 | 6.7893677 | 9.2E-5 | 4.1644843E-4 | 1.9345547E-4 | 3.2542992E-4 | 1.6821955 | 1.32E-4 |
| 6.6 | 7.048869E-6 | 3.449454E-6 | 5.944926E-5 | 17.234398 | 5.6E-5 | 3.0209088E-5 | 1.47832925E-5 | 9.478211E-5 | 6.411434 | 8.0E-5 | 3.677336E-4 | 1.7997205E-4 | 2.879526E-4 | 1.5999852 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.7 | 6.987307E-6 | 3.387248E-6 | 5.9387057E-5 | 17.53254 | 5.6E-5 | 2.9945259E-5 | 1.4516698E-5 | 9.451553E-5 | 6.510815 | 8.0E-5 | 3.6452254E-4 | 1.7672678E-4 | 2.847077E-4 | 1.6110048 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.8 | 6.3737602E-6 | 3.1417912E-6 | 5.9141614E-5 | 18.824171 | 5.6E-5 | 2.731583E-5 | 1.3464752E-5 | 9.14637E-5 | 6.7928247 | 7.8E-5 | 3.3251947E-4 | 1.6392132E-4 | 2.6390492E-4 | 1.6099488 | 1.0E-4 |
| 6.9 | 6.112211E-6 | 2.9563723E-6 | 5.6956214E-5 | 19.265575 | 5.4E-5 | 2.6194928E-5 | 1.2670107E-5 | 8.866914E-5 | 6.998295 | 7.6E-5 | 3.1887658E-4 | 1.5424791E-4 | 2.502331E-4 | 1.6222787 | 9.6E-5 |
| 7.0 | 5.5140117E-6 | 2.6634686E-6 | 5.466333E-5 | 20.523361 | 5.2E-5 | 2.3631264E-5 | 1.1414818E-5 | 7.941404E-5 | 6.9571013 | 6.8E-5 | 2.8767265E-4 | 1.389668E-4 | 2.2695457E-4 | 1.6331568 | 8.8E-5 |
| 7.1 | 4.8151105E-6 | 2.153111E-6 | 4.6153014E-5 | 21.435505 | 4.4E-5 | 2.0636026E-5 | 9.227587E-6 | 6.322709E-5 | 6.851964 | 5.4E-5 | 2.5121463E-4 | 1.123403E-4 | 1.8433221E-4 | 1.6408378 | 7.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.818335E-6 | 1.3082567E-6 | 3.730821E-5 | 28.517498 | 3.6E-5 | 1.6364189E-5 | 5.6068034E-6 | 4.9606555E-5 | 8.847565 | 4.4E-5 | 1.9921579E-4 | 6.826078E-5 | 1.3025655E-4 | 1.9082195 | 6.2E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.7166698E-6 | 7.484195E-7 | 1.8748406E-5 | 25.050665 | 1.8E-5 | 1.1642818E-5 | 3.2075081E-6 | 2.5207437E-5 | 7.858885 | 2.2E-5 | 1.4174209E-4 | 3.9050734E-5 | 7.304941E-5 | 1.8706282 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.0893426E-6 | 5.533401E-7 | 1.855333E-5 | 33.529705 | 1.8E-5 | 8.954295E-6 | 2.3714556E-6 | 2.4371404E-5 | 10.276981 | 2.2E-5 | 1.0901308E-4 | 2.8872093E-5 | 6.087117E-5 | 2.1083047 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.1681728E-6 | 3.6471184E-7 | 1.0364708E-5 | 28.418898 | 1.0E-5 | 5.0064455E-6 | 1.5630498E-6 | 1.3563031E-5 | 8.677287 | 1.2E-5 | 6.0951766E-5 | 1.902997E-5 | 4.102955E-5 | 2.1560493 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.3154387E-7 | 7.209073E-8 | 2.0720906E-6 | 28.742817 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6375933E-7 | 3.089602E-7 | 2.3089597E-6 | 7.4733233 | 2.0E-6 | 6.863748E-6 | 3.761586E-6 | 5.7615784E-6 | 1.5316887 | 2.0E-6 |
Calaveras (So) - Paicines extension 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1894548E-4 | 2.2177372E-4 | 2.9575732E-4 | 1.3335994 | 7.4E-5 | 5.0966674E-4 | 9.498499E-4 | 0.0010477568 | 1.1030762 | 9.8E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.0114594605 | 0.011599833 | 1.0122495 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.1894548E-4 | 2.2177372E-4 | 2.9575732E-4 | 1.3335994 | 7.4E-5 | 5.0966674E-4 | 9.498499E-4 | 0.0010477568 | 1.1030762 | 9.8E-5 | 0.006187552 | 0.0114594605 | 0.011599833 | 1.0122495 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.1656485E-4 | 2.2177372E-4 | 2.9575732E-4 | 1.3335994 | 7.4E-5 | 4.99468E-4 | 9.498499E-4 | 0.0010477568 | 1.1030762 | 9.8E-5 | 0.0060640806 | 0.0114594605 | 0.011599833 | 1.0122495 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.152476E-4 | 2.2051159E-4 | 2.9449526E-4 | 1.3355093 | 7.4E-5 | 4.938248E-4 | 9.4444514E-4 | 0.0010423526 | 1.1036667 | 9.8E-5 | 0.005995755 | 0.011394532 | 0.011534914 | 1.0123202 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.07200925E-4 | 2.029781E-4 | 2.7696308E-4 | 1.3644973 | 7.4E-5 | 4.5935164E-4 | 8.69402E-4 | 9.6731685E-4 | 1.1126231 | 9.8E-5 | 0.0055782744 | 0.010499322 | 0.0106398305 | 1.0133827 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.5 | 9.69631E-5 | 1.8212598E-4 | 2.5411288E-4 | 1.3952588 | 7.2E-5 | 4.1548995E-4 | 7.801391E-4 | 8.760642E-4 | 1.122959 | 9.6E-5 | 0.0050468626 | 0.009429974 | 0.009566672 | 1.0144962 | 1.38E-4 |
| 6.6 | 8.0552316E-5 | 1.4551276E-4 | 2.175023E-4 | 1.49473 | 7.2E-5 | 3.4517853E-4 | 6.2344444E-4 | 7.193846E-4 | 1.1538873 | 9.6E-5 | 0.0041944524 | 0.0075582056 | 0.0076951627 | 1.0181203 | 1.38E-4 |
| 6.7 | 7.815757E-5 | 1.4091149E-4 | 2.1090164E-4 | 1.4966958 | 7.0E-5 | 3.34918E-4 | 6.037371E-4 | 6.976803E-4 | 1.1556029 | 9.4E-5 | 0.004070005 | 0.007320556 | 0.0074555604 | 1.0184418 | 1.36E-4 |
| 6.8 | 6.965264E-5 | 1.221011E-4 | 1.9209256E-4 | 1.5732254 | 7.0E-5 | 2.9847719E-4 | 5.2316213E-4 | 6.1711296E-4 | 1.1795826 | 9.4E-5 | 0.0036279052 | 0.0063480786 | 0.006483215 | 1.0212878 | 1.36E-4 |
| 6.9 | 5.8000453E-5 | 9.6453754E-5 | 1.5844777E-4 | 1.6427331 | 6.2E-5 | 2.4854968E-4 | 4.1330827E-4 | 4.972735E-4 | 1.2031541 | 8.4E-5 | 0.0030218933 | 0.005020518 | 0.0051419055 | 1.0241783 | 1.22E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.9865852E-5 | 8.052693E-5 | 1.4252194E-4 | 1.7698667 | 6.2E-5 | 2.1369329E-4 | 3.4507026E-4 | 4.2704196E-4 | 1.2375507 | 8.2E-5 | 0.0025986114 | 0.004193227 | 0.004312724 | 1.0284976 | 1.2E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.283875E-5 | 6.6027445E-5 | 1.2802336E-4 | 1.9389415 | 6.2E-5 | 1.8358172E-4 | 2.8294438E-4 | 3.6292177E-4 | 1.2826611 | 8.0E-5 | 0.0022328163 | 0.0034394653 | 0.0035570594 | 1.0341897 | 1.18E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.450115E-5 | 5.0546154E-5 | 1.1054312E-4 | 2.1869738 | 6.0E-5 | 1.478537E-4 | 2.1660856E-4 | 2.925921E-4 | 1.3507873 | 7.6E-5 | 0.0017986323 | 0.002634051 | 0.0027477506 | 1.0431653 | 1.14E-4 |
| 7.3 | 2.5709045E-5 | 3.4809556E-5 | 9.480747E-5 | 2.7236044 | 6.0E-5 | 1.1017697E-4 | 1.491754E-4 | 2.2516405E-4 | 1.5093914 | 7.6E-5 | 0.0013405791 | 0.0018147157 | 0.0019265125 | 1.0616057 | 1.12E-4 |
| 7.4 | 1.8003093E-5 | 2.2265165E-5 | 8.226383E-5 | 3.6947324 | 6.0E-5 | 7.715383E-5 | 9.541866E-5 | 1.714114E-4 | 1.7964139 | 7.6E-5 | 9.3894306E-4 | 0.0011611056 | 0.0012729755 | 1.0963478 | 1.12E-4 |
| 7.5 | 1.5595824E-5 | 1.9513014E-5 | 7.951184E-5 | 4.074811 | 6.0E-5 | 6.683753E-5 | 8.362453E-5 | 1.5961818E-4 | 1.9087481 | 7.6E-5 | 8.134431E-4 | 0.0010176555 | 0.0011295415 | 1.1099449 | 1.12E-4 |
| 7.6 | 1.1110309E-5 | 1.2646616E-5 | 7.064588E-5 | 5.586149 | 5.8E-5 | 4.761474E-5 | 5.4198663E-5 | 1.2619476E-4 | 2.328374 | 7.2E-5 | 5.795553E-4 | 6.596704E-4 | 7.6759915E-4 | 1.1636101 | 1.08E-4 |
| 7.7 | 6.2140443E-6 | 3.4058298E-6 | 5.940564E-5 | 17.442339 | 5.6E-5 | 2.6631347E-5 | 1.4596332E-5 | 8.459531E-5 | 5.7956553 | 7.0E-5 | 3.241884E-4 | 1.7769587E-4 | 2.816774E-4 | 1.5851656 | 1.04E-4 |
| 7.8 | 5.305533E-6 | 2.2799395E-6 | 5.8279813E-5 | 25.561998 | 5.6E-5 | 2.27378E-5 | 9.771133E-6 | 7.977045E-5 | 8.16389 | 7.0E-5 | 2.7679754E-4 | 1.18957054E-4 | 2.1894516E-4 | 1.8405395 | 1.0E-4 |
| 7.9 | 3.363505E-6 | 7.913063E-7 | 5.2791263E-5 | 66.71407 | 5.2E-5 | 1.4414942E-5 | 3.3913082E-6 | 6.53911E-5 | 19.28197 | 6.2E-5 | 1.7548777E-4 | 4.1288396E-5 | 1.2128509E-4 | 2.9375103 | 8.0E-5 |
| 8.0 | 2.0271132E-6 | 2.696157E-7 | 4.4269604E-5 | 164.1952 | 4.4E-5 | 8.687599E-6 | 1.1554953E-6 | 5.3155436E-5 | 46.002296 | 5.2E-5 | 1.05766376E-4 | 1.4068064E-5 | 7.606719E-5 | 5.407083 | 6.2E-5 |
| 8.1 | 1.2206116E-6 | 1.847024E-7 | 3.8184695E-5 | 206.73633 | 3.8E-5 | 5.2311816E-6 | 7.9158144E-7 | 4.4791548E-5 | 56.584885 | 4.4E-5 | 6.3687774E-5 | 9.6374615E-6 | 6.163696E-5 | 6.3955593 | 5.2E-5 |
San Andreas (Santa Cruz Mts) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6520628E-4 | 1.3004341E-4 | 2.1803197E-4 | 1.6766092 | 8.8E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 5.572121E-4 | 6.5915525E-4 | 1.1829522 | 1.02E-4 | 0.008583886 | 0.006763375 | 0.0069123604 | 1.0220283 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.6520628E-4 | 1.3004341E-4 | 2.1803197E-4 | 1.6766092 | 8.8E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 5.572121E-4 | 6.5915525E-4 | 1.1829522 | 1.02E-4 | 0.008583886 | 0.006763375 | 0.0069123604 | 1.0220283 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.6520628E-4 | 1.3004341E-4 | 2.1803197E-4 | 1.6766092 | 8.8E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 5.572121E-4 | 6.5915525E-4 | 1.1829522 | 1.02E-4 | 0.008583886 | 0.006763375 | 0.0069123604 | 1.0220283 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.6520628E-4 | 1.3004341E-4 | 2.1803197E-4 | 1.6766092 | 8.8E-5 | 7.078348E-4 | 5.572121E-4 | 6.5915525E-4 | 1.1829522 | 1.02E-4 | 0.008583886 | 0.006763375 | 0.0069123604 | 1.0220283 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.6392978E-4 | 1.3001461E-4 | 2.1800317E-4 | 1.676759 | 8.8E-5 | 7.02367E-4 | 5.5708876E-4 | 6.590319E-4 | 1.1829927 | 1.02E-4 | 0.008517839 | 0.006761882 | 0.006910868 | 1.0220332 | 1.5E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.5742714E-4 | 1.2003217E-4 | 2.080216E-4 | 1.7330488 | 8.8E-5 | 6.745133E-4 | 5.1432406E-4 | 6.162716E-4 | 1.1982166 | 1.02E-4 | 0.00818132 | 0.0062442687 | 0.0063913446 | 1.0235537 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.3038084E-4 | 1.07534244E-4 | 1.9552479E-4 | 1.818256 | 8.8E-5 | 5.5865536E-4 | 4.6078104E-4 | 5.62734E-4 | 1.2212613 | 1.02E-4 | 0.006780438 | 0.005595838 | 0.00574301 | 1.0263002 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.2867592E-4 | 1.0468938E-4 | 1.9268016E-4 | 1.8404939 | 8.8E-5 | 5.5135164E-4 | 4.48593E-4 | 5.5054727E-4 | 1.2272756 | 1.02E-4 | 0.0066920654 | 0.005448199 | 0.0055953925 | 1.027017 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.8 | 1.2801298E-4 | 1.0404179E-4 | 1.9203263E-4 | 1.845726 | 8.8E-5 | 5.485117E-4 | 4.458186E-4 | 5.477731E-4 | 1.2286906 | 1.02E-4 | 0.0066577005 | 0.0054145884 | 0.005561787 | 1.0271856 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.9 | 1.269149E-4 | 1.02416336E-4 | 1.9040733E-4 | 1.8591499 | 8.8E-5 | 5.4380763E-4 | 4.388547E-4 | 5.4080994E-4 | 1.2323211 | 1.02E-4 | 0.006600777 | 0.0053302213 | 0.005477432 | 1.0276182 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.0 | 1.2030331E-4 | 9.945761E-5 | 1.8744887E-4 | 1.884711 | 8.8E-5 | 5.154837E-4 | 4.2617868E-4 | 5.281352E-4 | 1.2392342 | 1.02E-4 | 0.006257969 | 0.0051766336 | 0.0053238673 | 1.028442 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.1 | 8.049617E-5 | 4.2896478E-5 | 1.2289305E-4 | 2.864875 | 8.0E-5 | 3.4493793E-4 | 1.8382932E-4 | 2.7781204E-4 | 1.5112499 | 9.4E-5 | 0.0041915346 | 0.0022358666 | 0.002373558 | 1.061583 | 1.38E-4 |
| 7.2 | 7.093979E-5 | 3.0945346E-5 | 1.0694299E-4 | 3.4558668 | 7.6E-5 | 3.0399222E-4 | 1.3261632E-4 | 2.2260439E-4 | 1.6785595 | 9.0E-5 | 0.0036948253 | 0.0016134352 | 0.001747219 | 1.0829186 | 1.34E-4 |
| 7.3 | 6.193693E-5 | 1.5674455E-5 | 8.7673325E-5 | 5.593389 | 7.2E-5 | 2.6541698E-4 | 6.7174515E-5 | 1.5316874E-4 | 2.2801614 | 8.6E-5 | 0.0032266637 | 8.175448E-4 | 9.4544014E-4 | 1.1564384 | 1.28E-4 |
| 7.4 | 5.906492E-5 | 1.3629129E-5 | 8.562815E-5 | 6.2827306 | 7.2E-5 | 2.5311083E-4 | 5.8409256E-5 | 1.4440423E-4 | 2.4722834 | 8.6E-5 | 0.0030772698 | 7.109022E-4 | 8.388112E-4 | 1.1799248 | 1.28E-4 |
| 7.5 | 5.424296E-5 | 1.0991224E-5 | 8.299043E-5 | 7.5506086 | 7.2E-5 | 2.324491E-4 | 4.7104404E-5 | 1.3310036E-4 | 2.8256457 | 8.6E-5 | 0.002826395 | 5.733465E-4 | 7.0127315E-4 | 1.2231227 | 1.28E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.43084E-5 | 5.4189422E-6 | 7.7418554E-5 | 14.2866535 | 7.2E-5 | 1.8987931E-4 | 2.322383E-5 | 1.0722188E-4 | 4.6168904 | 8.4E-5 | 0.0023093296 | 2.827135E-4 | 4.0867788E-4 | 1.4455549 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.118098E-5 | 4.2834085E-6 | 7.62831E-5 | 17.808971 | 7.2E-5 | 1.7647797E-4 | 1.8357336E-5 | 1.0235579E-4 | 5.575743 | 8.4E-5 | 0.002146502 | 2.2347768E-4 | 3.4944952E-4 | 1.5636888 | 1.26E-4 |
| 7.8 | 3.5408906E-5 | 3.8330745E-6 | 7.383281E-5 | 19.262033 | 7.0E-5 | 1.5174363E-4 | 1.6427359E-5 | 9.842601E-5 | 5.991591 | 8.2E-5 | 0.0018459131 | 1.9998474E-4 | 3.2395995E-4 | 1.6199232 | 1.24E-4 |
| 7.9 | 2.5860836E-5 | 2.504851E-6 | 6.45047E-5 | 25.75191 | 6.2E-5 | 1.10827445E-4 | 1.07350315E-5 | 8.473424E-5 | 7.893245 | 7.4E-5 | 0.001348489 | 1.3069119E-4 | 2.3867706E-4 | 1.8262676 | 1.08E-4 |
| 8.0 | 1.9777332E-5 | 1.5206383E-6 | 5.952055E-5 | 39.14182 | 5.8E-5 | 8.4757245E-5 | 6.5170047E-6 | 7.451656E-5 | 11.434174 | 6.8E-5 | 0.0010314309 | 7.934165E-5 | 1.7933371E-4 | 2.260272 | 1.0E-4 |
| 8.1 | 1.468494E-5 | 1.0612656E-6 | 5.9061204E-5 | 55.65167 | 5.8E-5 | 6.293394E-5 | 4.5482734E-6 | 7.254796E-5 | 15.950661 | 6.8E-5 | 7.6595135E-4 | 5.5373825E-5 | 1.533684E-4 | 2.7696912 | 9.8E-5 |
| 8.2 | 8.63836E-6 | 3.8601837E-7 | 2.4386009E-5 | 63.173183 | 2.4E-5 | 3.7021015E-5 | 1.6543632E-6 | 2.765432E-5 | 16.71599 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5063766E-4 | 2.0141688E-5 | 7.014068E-5 | 3.4823637 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
Carlsbad
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.9805767E-6 | 7.498023E-5 | 15.054527 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1345157E-5 | 1.273429E-4 | 5.965892 | 1.06E-4 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5984674E-4 | 4.1180724E-4 | 1.5848082 | 1.52E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.9038536E-6 | 4.9805767E-6 | 7.498023E-5 | 15.054527 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1016345E-5 | 2.1345157E-5 | 1.273429E-4 | 5.965892 | 1.06E-4 | 2.5584397E-4 | 2.5984674E-4 | 4.1180724E-4 | 1.5848082 | 1.52E-4 |
| 6.2 | 4.3820614E-6 | 4.448363E-6 | 6.644809E-5 | 14.93765 | 6.2E-5 | 1.8780129E-5 | 1.9064275E-5 | 1.15062445E-4 | 6.0355005 | 9.6E-5 | 2.2862408E-4 | 2.3208318E-4 | 3.6405254E-4 | 1.5686296 | 1.32E-4 |
| 6.3 | 4.302872E-6 | 4.3666714E-6 | 6.63664E-5 | 15.198396 | 6.2E-5 | 1.8440749E-5 | 1.8714174E-5 | 1.1471238E-4 | 6.1297054 | 9.6E-5 | 2.24493E-4 | 2.278216E-4 | 3.5979153E-4 | 1.5792687 | 1.32E-4 |
| 6.4 | 4.0835243E-6 | 4.141504E-6 | 5.814128E-5 | 14.038688 | 5.4E-5 | 1.75007E-5 | 1.7749184E-5 | 1.0374766E-4 | 5.845207 | 8.6E-5 | 2.1305021E-4 | 2.1607522E-4 | 3.3404972E-4 | 1.5459881 | 1.18E-4 |
| 6.5 | 3.987806E-6 | 4.0428145E-6 | 5.8042595E-5 | 14.356978 | 5.4E-5 | 1.7090486E-5 | 1.7326234E-5 | 1.0132478E-4 | 5.8480554 | 8.4E-5 | 2.080568E-4 | 2.1092681E-4 | 3.2690234E-4 | 1.5498378 | 1.16E-4 |
| 6.6 | 3.8707576E-6 | 3.92156E-6 | 5.3921365E-5 | 13.749978 | 5.0E-5 | 1.6588854E-5 | 1.680658E-5 | 9.680523E-5 | 5.7599607 | 8.0E-5 | 2.0195059E-4 | 2.0460122E-4 | 3.1257913E-4 | 1.5277481 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.3093434E-6 | 3.3371618E-6 | 4.333703E-5 | 12.986194 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4182823E-5 | 1.4302044E-5 | 7.6301156E-5 | 5.334983 | 6.2E-5 | 1.7266218E-4 | 1.7411352E-4 | 2.6009855E-4 | 1.4938446 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.136983E-6 | 3.1623265E-6 | 4.1162206E-5 | 13.016432 | 3.8E-5 | 1.3444143E-5 | 1.3552758E-5 | 7.355194E-5 | 5.4270835 | 6.0E-5 | 1.6367015E-4 | 1.6499238E-4 | 2.4897853E-4 | 1.5090305 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.9056644E-6 | 2.9236323E-6 | 3.692353E-5 | 12.629335 | 3.4E-5 | 1.2452788E-5 | 1.2529793E-5 | 6.6529115E-5 | 5.3096743 | 5.4E-5 | 1.5160214E-4 | 1.525396E-4 | 2.2652831E-4 | 1.4850459 | 7.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.5071035E-6 | 2.5090199E-6 | 2.8508955E-5 | 11.362586 | 2.6E-5 | 1.0744685E-5 | 1.0752898E-5 | 5.6752404E-5 | 5.2778707 | 4.6E-5 | 1.308087E-4 | 1.309087E-4 | 1.9290058E-4 | 1.4735506 | 6.2E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.1786877E-6 | 2.166188E-6 | 2.016615E-5 | 9.309509 | 1.8E-5 | 9.3372E-6 | 9.283631E-6 | 4.3283315E-5 | 4.6623263 | 3.4E-5 | 1.13674476E-4 | 1.1302237E-4 | 1.5901717E-4 | 1.4069531 | 4.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.6628418E-6 | 1.620406E-6 | 1.9620376E-5 | 12.108309 | 1.8E-5 | 7.1264453E-6 | 6.944579E-6 | 3.2944397E-5 | 4.7439013 | 2.6E-5 | 8.676102E-5 | 8.454699E-5 | 1.2054395E-4 | 1.4257628 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.0595926E-6 | 9.813836E-7 | 1.0981374E-5 | 11.189686 | 1.0E-5 | 4.541103E-6 | 4.205923E-6 | 2.2205848E-5 | 5.279661 | 1.8E-5 | 5.5286528E-5 | 5.1205916E-5 | 7.920448E-5 | 1.5467838 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.4 | 7.956623E-7 | 7.175077E-7 | 8.717502E-6 | 12.149698 | 8.0E-6 | 3.4099767E-6 | 3.0750293E-6 | 1.907498E-5 | 6.2031865 | 1.6E-5 | 4.1515676E-5 | 3.7437847E-5 | 6.343687E-5 | 1.6944584 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 5.1043804E-7 | 4.4493888E-7 | 8.444936E-6 | 18.97999 | 8.0E-6 | 2.1875896E-6 | 1.9068794E-6 | 1.5906853E-5 | 8.341824 | 1.4E-5 | 2.663358E-5 | 2.3216016E-5 | 3.9215643E-5 | 1.6891634 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.6 | 2.3723294E-7 | 1.9934002E-7 | 4.1993394E-6 | 21.066212 | 4.0E-6 | 1.0167122E-6 | 8.543141E-7 | 6.854309E-6 | 8.023171 | 6.0E-6 | 1.2378401E-5 | 1.0401228E-5 | 1.8401144E-5 | 1.769132 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 1.9992152E-8 | 9.90891E-9 | 9.90891E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.568065E-8 | 4.2466755E-8 | 4.2466755E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0431614E-6 | 5.170328E-7 | 5.170328E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pitas Point (Lower)-Montalvo
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.2 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.3 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.4 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.5 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.7 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.8 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 6.9 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.0 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.1 | 5.2543637E-6 | 4.856973E-6 | 6.285669E-5 | 12.941536 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2518509E-5 | 2.0815436E-5 | 1.0681365E-4 | 5.1314635 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7412834E-4 | 2.5339876E-4 | 4.0136126E-4 | 1.5839117 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.2 | 5.2458695E-6 | 4.848109E-6 | 6.284783E-5 | 12.963369 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2482105E-5 | 2.0777446E-5 | 1.0677566E-4 | 5.1390176 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7368523E-4 | 2.5293636E-4 | 4.0089892E-4 | 1.5849794 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.3 | 5.22665E-6 | 4.827982E-6 | 6.2827705E-5 | 13.013243 | 5.8E-5 | 2.2399736E-5 | 2.0691188E-5 | 1.0668941E-4 | 5.1562724 | 8.6E-5 | 2.7268266E-4 | 2.518864E-4 | 3.9984914E-4 | 1.5874184 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.4 | 5.210642E-6 | 4.8111533E-6 | 6.2810876E-5 | 13.0552635 | 5.8E-5 | 2.233113E-5 | 2.0619067E-5 | 1.0661729E-4 | 5.1708107 | 8.6E-5 | 2.718476E-4 | 2.5100855E-4 | 3.9897137E-4 | 1.5894734 | 1.48E-4 |
| 7.5 | 5.1226016E-6 | 4.7188264E-6 | 6.071856E-5 | 12.867301 | 5.6E-5 | 2.1953823E-5 | 2.0223388E-5 | 1.02221726E-4 | 5.0546293 | 8.2E-5 | 2.67255E-4 | 2.4619224E-4 | 3.8615777E-4 | 1.5685214 | 1.4E-4 |
| 7.6 | 4.8796987E-6 | 4.4630638E-6 | 6.0462815E-5 | 13.547379 | 5.6E-5 | 2.0912828E-5 | 1.9127277E-5 | 1.0112571E-4 | 5.286989 | 8.2E-5 | 2.5458392E-4 | 2.3285001E-4 | 3.6881835E-4 | 1.583931 | 1.36E-4 |
| 7.7 | 4.0834398E-6 | 3.6248875E-6 | 4.962472E-5 | 13.690002 | 4.6E-5 | 1.7500339E-5 | 1.553514E-5 | 8.5534055E-5 | 5.505843 | 7.0E-5 | 2.1304579E-4 | 1.8912417E-4 | 3.01103E-4 | 1.5920916 | 1.12E-4 |
| 7.8 | 2.5445438E-6 | 2.1311594E-6 | 3.613109E-5 | 16.953724 | 3.4E-5 | 1.0905142E-5 | 9.133509E-6 | 6.313302E-5 | 6.9122415 | 5.4E-5 | 1.3276201E-4 | 1.1119484E-4 | 1.8318683E-4 | 1.6474401 | 7.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 4.1677114E-7 | 3.344531E-7 | 2.3344523E-6 | 6.97991 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7861609E-6 | 1.4333697E-6 | 5.433364E-6 | 3.790623 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1746291E-5 | 1.7451139E-5 | 2.5451E-5 | 1.4584148 | 8.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 7.791402E-9 | 5.7172933E-9 | 5.7172933E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3391725E-8 | 2.4502686E-8 | 2.4502686E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0654416E-7 | 2.9832017E-7 | 2.9832017E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Elysian Park (Lower CFM)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.105531E-6 | 6.810539E-5 | 32.345947 | 6.6E-5 | 9.328466E-6 | 9.023681E-6 | 1.0502282E-4 | 11.638578 | 9.6E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.09859226E-4 | 2.5184362E-4 | 2.2924213 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.1766498E-6 | 2.105531E-6 | 6.810539E-5 | 32.345947 | 6.6E-5 | 9.328466E-6 | 9.023681E-6 | 1.0502282E-4 | 11.638578 | 9.6E-5 | 1.1356815E-4 | 1.09859226E-4 | 2.5184362E-4 | 2.2924213 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.197704E-7 | 3.6919737E-5 | 40.140167 | 3.6E-5 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.9418674E-6 | 5.7941656E-5 | 14.699037 | 5.4E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.799128E-5 | 1.2998734E-4 | 2.7085617 | 8.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.0031182E-6 | 9.197704E-7 | 3.6919737E-5 | 40.140167 | 3.6E-5 | 4.299071E-6 | 3.9418674E-6 | 5.7941656E-5 | 14.699037 | 5.4E-5 | 5.2339932E-5 | 4.799128E-5 | 1.2998734E-4 | 2.7085617 | 8.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.9606244E-7 | 6.102228E-7 | 2.061021E-5 | 33.774895 | 2.0E-5 | 2.9831212E-6 | 2.615238E-6 | 3.4615154E-5 | 13.235949 | 3.2E-5 | 3.6318896E-5 | 3.184006E-5 | 8.1838465E-5 | 2.570299 | 5.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 6.901879E-7 | 6.042925E-7 | 1.8604282E-5 | 30.786882 | 1.8E-5 | 2.9579448E-6 | 2.5898223E-6 | 3.2589745E-5 | 12.583776 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6012385E-5 | 3.153063E-5 | 7.952912E-5 | 2.5222812 | 4.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 6.4198554E-7 | 5.5570365E-7 | 1.8555693E-5 | 33.39135 | 1.8E-5 | 2.7513638E-6 | 2.3815846E-6 | 3.0381518E-5 | 12.756849 | 2.8E-5 | 3.3497337E-5 | 2.899541E-5 | 7.4994074E-5 | 2.586412 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 6.138733E-7 | 5.273787E-7 | 1.852737E-5 | 35.131054 | 1.8E-5 | 2.6308828E-6 | 2.2601923E-6 | 3.026013E-5 | 13.388298 | 2.8E-5 | 3.203053E-5 | 2.7517495E-5 | 7.351623E-5 | 2.6716177 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.8 | 5.84778E-7 | 5.013128E-7 | 1.8501303E-5 | 36.90571 | 1.8E-5 | 2.506189E-6 | 2.1484816E-6 | 3.0148422E-5 | 14.032433 | 2.8E-5 | 3.0512423E-5 | 2.615745E-5 | 6.8156354E-5 | 2.6056192 | 4.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 5.322785E-7 | 4.5892673E-7 | 1.8458919E-5 | 40.22193 | 1.8E-5 | 2.2811914E-6 | 1.9668273E-6 | 2.9966772E-5 | 15.236097 | 2.8E-5 | 2.7773152E-5 | 2.3945859E-5 | 6.194495E-5 | 2.5868752 | 3.8E-5 |
| 7.0 | 4.8147206E-7 | 4.1211737E-7 | 1.641211E-5 | 39.823875 | 1.6E-5 | 2.06345E-6 | 1.766216E-6 | 2.776617E-5 | 15.720711 | 2.6E-5 | 2.5122214E-5 | 2.1503469E-5 | 5.7502693E-5 | 2.6741126 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 4.1932955E-7 | 3.5521344E-7 | 1.6355209E-5 | 46.043324 | 1.6E-5 | 1.7971255E-6 | 1.5223424E-6 | 2.7522303E-5 | 18.078918 | 2.6E-5 | 2.1879783E-5 | 1.8534362E-5 | 5.0533767E-5 | 2.726491 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.426051E-7 | 2.7841264E-7 | 8.278411E-6 | 29.73432 | 8.0E-6 | 1.4683067E-6 | 1.1931965E-6 | 1.519318E-5 | 12.733175 | 1.4E-5 | 1.7876488E-5 | 1.452707E-5 | 3.452678E-5 | 2.3767202 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.7771645E-7 | 2.2100751E-7 | 6.221006E-6 | 28.148392 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1902127E-6 | 9.4717467E-7 | 1.2947164E-5 | 13.669246 | 1.2E-5 | 1.4490744E-5 | 1.1531791E-5 | 2.9531582E-5 | 2.5608845 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.2756493E-7 | 1.7827837E-7 | 6.178277E-6 | 34.655228 | 6.0E-6 | 9.752779E-7 | 7.640499E-7 | 1.2764041E-5 | 16.705769 | 1.2E-5 | 1.1873944E-5 | 9.302268E-6 | 2.5302119E-5 | 2.7199948 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.7874558E-7 | 1.3557255E-7 | 6.1355718E-6 | 45.25674 | 6.0E-6 | 7.660522E-7 | 5.8102506E-7 | 1.2581018E-5 | 21.653141 | 1.2E-5 | 9.326646E-6 | 7.0739575E-6 | 2.1073858E-5 | 2.9790761 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.3124549E-7 | 9.338911E-8 | 2.093389E-6 | 22.415771 | 2.0E-6 | 5.624805E-7 | 4.00239E-7 | 6.4002365E-6 | 15.991037 | 6.0E-6 | 6.8481786E-6 | 4.872899E-6 | 1.287286E-5 | 2.6417253 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 8.439993E-8 | 5.15864E-8 | 2.0515863E-6 | 39.769905 | 2.0E-6 | 3.6171392E-7 | 2.2108456E-7 | 6.2210834E-6 | 28.13893 | 6.0E-6 | 4.403858E-6 | 2.6917014E-6 | 8.691685E-6 | 3.2290673 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.2591407E-8 | 7.351363E-9 | 7.351363E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3963173E-8 | 3.1505845E-8 | 2.0315058E-6 | 64.480286 | 2.0E-6 | 6.570014E-7 | 3.8358357E-7 | 2.3835828E-6 | 6.2139854 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.163858E-11 | 2.163858E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 9.273671E-11 | 9.273671E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.129069E-9 | 1.129069E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Yorba Linda
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6957971E-6 | 8.7695655E-5 | 51.713528 | 8.6E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.2676867E-6 | 1.0726696E-4 | 14.759437 | 1.0E-4 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.848144E-5 | 2.3046888E-4 | 2.6047142 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6957971E-6 | 8.7695655E-5 | 51.713528 | 8.6E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.2676867E-6 | 1.0726696E-4 | 14.759437 | 1.0E-4 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.848144E-5 | 2.3046888E-4 | 2.6047142 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.9346849E-6 | 1.6957971E-6 | 8.7695655E-5 | 51.713528 | 8.6E-5 | 8.29148E-6 | 7.2676867E-6 | 1.0726696E-4 | 14.759437 | 1.0E-4 | 1.009441E-4 | 8.848144E-5 | 2.3046888E-4 | 2.6047142 | 1.42E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.525156E-7 | 3.8852482E-5 | 45.573925 | 3.8E-5 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.6536335E-6 | 4.7653473E-5 | 13.042762 | 4.4E-5 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.4482145E-5 | 1.0447948E-4 | 2.3487957 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.1028608E-6 | 8.525156E-7 | 3.8852482E-5 | 45.573925 | 3.8E-5 | 4.7265376E-6 | 3.6536335E-6 | 4.7653473E-5 | 13.042762 | 4.4E-5 | 5.754407E-5 | 4.4482145E-5 | 1.0447948E-4 | 2.3487957 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 8.4451364E-7 | 5.9109095E-7 | 3.0591073E-5 | 51.75358 | 3.0E-5 | 3.619339E-6 | 2.5332447E-6 | 3.4533165E-5 | 13.631989 | 3.2E-5 | 4.406456E-5 | 3.084184E-5 | 7.284054E-5 | 2.3617444 | 4.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 8.422957E-7 | 5.8864157E-7 | 3.0588624E-5 | 51.96477 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6098338E-6 | 2.5227473E-6 | 3.4522665E-5 | 13.684552 | 3.2E-5 | 4.3948843E-5 | 3.0714036E-5 | 7.271275E-5 | 2.367411 | 4.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 8.4119705E-7 | 5.8742427E-7 | 3.0587405E-5 | 52.07038 | 3.0E-5 | 3.6051254E-6 | 2.5175302E-6 | 3.451745E-5 | 13.710837 | 3.2E-5 | 4.3891516E-5 | 3.065052E-5 | 7.2649236E-5 | 2.3702445 | 4.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 7.5919155E-7 | 5.035918E-7 | 2.6503578E-5 | 52.62909 | 2.6E-5 | 3.253674E-6 | 2.158249E-6 | 3.0158188E-5 | 13.973452 | 2.8E-5 | 3.961276E-5 | 2.6276382E-5 | 6.227544E-5 | 2.3700156 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 7.5804564E-7 | 5.022083E-7 | 2.6502195E-5 | 52.771317 | 2.6E-5 | 3.248763E-6 | 2.1523197E-6 | 3.015226E-5 | 14.0091915 | 2.8E-5 | 3.955297E-5 | 2.6204196E-5 | 6.220325E-5 | 2.3737898 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.0 | 7.539293E-7 | 4.9841697E-7 | 2.4498406E-5 | 49.15243 | 2.4E-5 | 3.2311218E-6 | 2.136071E-6 | 2.8136015E-5 | 13.171854 | 2.6E-5 | 3.9338196E-5 | 2.6006372E-5 | 6.000549E-5 | 2.307338 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 6.0900885E-7 | 3.81902E-7 | 2.2381893E-5 | 58.60638 | 2.2E-5 | 2.6100352E-6 | 1.6367218E-6 | 2.5636682E-5 | 15.663433 | 2.4E-5 | 3.1776715E-5 | 1.9926909E-5 | 4.992631E-5 | 2.505472 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 5.849925E-7 | 3.6232245E-7 | 2.2362314E-5 | 61.71937 | 2.2E-5 | 2.5071083E-6 | 1.5528096E-6 | 2.5552772E-5 | 16.455832 | 2.4E-5 | 3.0523614E-5 | 1.8905297E-5 | 4.890473E-5 | 2.5868268 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 4.89808E-7 | 3.067287E-7 | 1.8306724E-5 | 59.68376 | 1.8E-5 | 2.0991754E-6 | 1.3145509E-6 | 2.1314525E-5 | 16.214302 | 2.0E-5 | 2.5557161E-5 | 1.6004542E-5 | 4.0004157E-5 | 2.4995503 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 3.8700415E-7 | 2.4957586E-7 | 1.4249573E-5 | 57.09515 | 1.4E-5 | 1.6585881E-6 | 1.0696104E-6 | 1.7069593E-5 | 15.958701 | 1.6E-5 | 2.0193123E-5 | 1.3022431E-5 | 3.1022195E-5 | 2.3822124 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 2.900565E-7 | 1.8781289E-7 | 1.0187811E-5 | 54.244476 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2430987E-6 | 8.049121E-7 | 1.0804904E-5 | 13.423707 | 1.0E-5 | 1.5134622E-5 | 9.799762E-6 | 2.1799644E-5 | 2.2245076 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 2.2770318E-7 | 1.4919739E-7 | 6.1491965E-6 | 41.215176 | 6.0E-6 | 9.758704E-7 | 6.394172E-7 | 6.639413E-6 | 10.383539 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1881158E-5 | 7.784877E-6 | 1.5784815E-5 | 2.0276253 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 1.5017194E-7 | 8.808429E-8 | 2.088084E-6 | 23.705523 | 2.0E-6 | 6.4359386E-7 | 3.7750405E-7 | 2.3775033E-6 | 6.2979546 | 2.0E-6 | 7.835727E-6 | 4.5961024E-6 | 8.596084E-6 | 1.8702986 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 3.895753E-8 | 1.883568E-8 | 1.883568E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6696083E-7 | 8.0724334E-8 | 8.0724334E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0327461E-6 | 9.828184E-7 | 9.828184E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 6.648505E-9 | 3.4695056E-9 | 3.4695056E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8493591E-8 | 1.4869309E-8 | 1.4869309E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4690942E-7 | 1.8103383E-7 | 1.8103383E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.358289E-4 | 2.5227346E-4 | 3.1825682E-4 | 1.2615548 | 6.6E-5 | 5.8199395E-4 | 0.0010805022 | 0.0011763985 | 1.0887516 | 9.6E-5 | 0.0070627797 | 0.013052044 | 0.013188244 | 1.0104351 | 1.38E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.2634568E-4 | 2.3601022E-4 | 2.9999512E-4 | 1.2711107 | 6.4E-5 | 5.4136914E-4 | 0.0010108714 | 0.0011027784 | 1.0909185 | 9.2E-5 | 0.0065712677 | 0.0122161815 | 0.012348544 | 1.010835 | 1.34E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.1466059E-4 | 2.1392103E-4 | 2.7790733E-4 | 1.2991118 | 6.4E-5 | 4.9130997E-4 | 9.163018E-4 | 0.0010062193 | 1.098131 | 9.0E-5 | 0.005965305 | 0.011081181 | 0.01120974 | 1.0116016 | 1.3E-4 |
| 6.3 | 8.691518E-5 | 1.5731998E-4 | 2.1731055E-4 | 1.3813282 | 6.0E-5 | 3.7244044E-4 | 6.740209E-4 | 7.5796427E-4 | 1.1245412 | 8.4E-5 | 0.004525038 | 0.008169333 | 0.008290337 | 1.0148119 | 1.22E-4 |
| 6.4 | 8.50982E-5 | 1.5455698E-4 | 2.145477E-4 | 1.3881463 | 6.0E-5 | 3.646556E-4 | 6.621855E-4 | 7.461299E-4 | 1.1267687 | 8.4E-5 | 0.0044306475 | 0.008026305 | 0.008147325 | 1.0150781 | 1.22E-4 |
| 6.5 | 8.4062965E-5 | 1.5294063E-4 | 2.1293145E-4 | 1.3922491 | 6.0E-5 | 3.602201E-4 | 6.5526186E-4 | 7.3920685E-4 | 1.128109 | 8.4E-5 | 0.004376863 | 0.007942719 | 0.008061766 | 1.0149882 | 1.2E-4 |
| 6.6 | 8.194716E-5 | 1.4946373E-4 | 2.0945475E-4 | 1.4013752 | 6.0E-5 | 3.5115483E-4 | 6.4037E-4 | 7.243162E-4 | 1.1310902 | 8.4E-5 | 0.0042669317 | 0.007763074 | 0.007882142 | 1.0153378 | 1.2E-4 |
| 6.7 | 8.012326E-5 | 1.46162E-4 | 2.0415352E-4 | 1.396762 | 5.8E-5 | 3.433402E-4 | 6.2622875E-4 | 7.0817745E-4 | 1.1308606 | 8.2E-5 | 0.004172157 | 0.007592532 | 0.007709636 | 1.0154235 | 1.18E-4 |
| 6.8 | 7.119773E-5 | 1.2683542E-4 | 1.8482807E-4 | 1.4572275 | 5.8E-5 | 3.0509746E-4 | 5.434437E-4 | 6.253992E-4 | 1.1508076 | 8.2E-5 | 0.0037082357 | 0.00659353 | 0.0067107524 | 1.0177783 | 1.18E-4 |
| 6.9 | 5.7343088E-5 | 9.731742E-5 | 1.4731256E-4 | 1.5137327 | 5.0E-5 | 2.4573295E-4 | 4.1700838E-4 | 4.889784E-4 | 1.1725864 | 7.2E-5 | 0.0029876942 | 0.0050653387 | 0.005168812 | 1.0204277 | 1.04E-4 |
| 7.0 | 4.8746577E-5 | 8.079473E-5 | 1.307907E-4 | 1.6188023 | 5.0E-5 | 2.0889717E-4 | 3.4621754E-4 | 4.161933E-4 | 1.202115 | 7.0E-5 | 0.0025403565 | 0.004207121 | 0.004308692 | 1.0241426 | 1.02E-4 |
| 7.1 | 4.2998014E-5 | 7.037412E-5 | 1.203706E-4 | 1.7104385 | 5.0E-5 | 1.8426418E-4 | 3.0156886E-4 | 3.6954836E-4 | 1.2254195 | 6.8E-5 | 0.002241108 | 0.0036654829 | 0.0037651164 | 1.0271815 | 1.0E-4 |
| 7.2 | 3.221292E-5 | 5.1336592E-5 | 9.9334124E-5 | 1.9349576 | 4.8E-5 | 1.3804805E-4 | 2.1999558E-4 | 2.839815E-4 | 1.290851 | 6.4E-5 | 0.0016794393 | 0.0026751866 | 0.0027709298 | 1.0357894 | 9.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.3756531E-5 | 3.6273497E-5 | 8.4271756E-5 | 2.3232322 | 4.8E-5 | 1.0180973E-4 | 1.5544868E-4 | 2.1943873E-4 | 1.4116474 | 6.4E-5 | 0.0012388286 | 0.0018909634 | 0.0019847855 | 1.0496161 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.5997684E-5 | 2.365433E-5 | 7.1653194E-5 | 3.0291789 | 4.8E-5 | 6.8559704E-5 | 1.0137177E-4 | 1.6536529E-4 | 1.6312754 | 6.4E-5 | 8.343947E-4 | 0.0012335052 | 0.0013273893 | 1.0761116 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.3814293E-5 | 2.101955E-5 | 6.901854E-5 | 3.2835402 | 4.8E-5 | 5.9202768E-5 | 9.008069E-5 | 1.5407492E-4 | 1.7104101 | 6.4E-5 | 7.205553E-4 | 0.0010961832 | 0.0011900802 | 1.0856581 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 8.817309E-6 | 1.2272496E-5 | 5.8271933E-5 | 4.7481728 | 4.6E-5 | 3.7787922E-5 | 5.2595362E-5 | 1.12592206E-4 | 2.1407251 | 6.0E-5 | 4.5997082E-4 | 6.401618E-4 | 7.301042E-4 | 1.1404995 | 9.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 4.0352206E-6 | 3.0982299E-6 | 4.7098092E-5 | 15.201613 | 4.4E-5 | 1.7293689E-5 | 1.3278061E-5 | 7.127729E-5 | 5.3680496 | 5.8E-5 | 2.1053031E-4 | 1.6164842E-4 | 2.476345E-4 | 1.5319328 | 8.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.413169E-6 | 2.053482E-6 | 4.6053392E-5 | 22.426977 | 4.4E-5 | 1.4627784E-5 | 8.800607E-6 | 6.6800094E-5 | 7.5903964 | 5.8E-5 | 1.7807873E-4 | 1.0714213E-4 | 1.8913334E-4 | 1.7652565 | 8.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.4740732E-6 | 7.029199E-7 | 4.0702893E-5 | 57.905445 | 4.0E-5 | 1.06031275E-5 | 3.0125104E-6 | 5.3012358E-5 | 17.597403 | 5.0E-5 | 1.2908543E-4 | 3.6676698E-5 | 9.867443E-5 | 2.6903846 | 6.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.5231818E-6 | 2.144501E-7 | 3.6214442E-5 | 168.87119 | 3.6E-5 | 6.527906E-6 | 9.190715E-7 | 4.491903E-5 | 48.87436 | 4.4E-5 | 7.9474354E-5 | 1.1189638E-5 | 6.118908E-5 | 5.46837 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.1 | 1.0104524E-6 | 1.4732535E-7 | 3.214732E-5 | 218.2063 | 3.2E-5 | 4.330503E-6 | 6.313942E-7 | 3.863137E-5 | 61.184235 | 3.8E-5 | 5.2722597E-5 | 7.6871975E-6 | 4.9686874E-5 | 6.4635878 | 4.2E-5 |
Death Valley (Black Mtns Frontal)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8781748E-5 | 7.878062E-5 | 4.194531 | 6.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.049076E-5 | 1.64484E-4 | 2.043514 | 8.4E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.795422E-4 | 0.0011134109 | 1.1366646 | 1.34E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8781748E-5 | 7.878062E-5 | 4.194531 | 6.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.049076E-5 | 1.64484E-4 | 2.043514 | 8.4E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.795422E-4 | 0.0011134109 | 1.1366646 | 1.34E-4 |
| 6.2 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8781748E-5 | 7.878062E-5 | 4.194531 | 6.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.049076E-5 | 1.64484E-4 | 2.043514 | 8.4E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.795422E-4 | 0.0011134109 | 1.1366646 | 1.34E-4 |
| 6.3 | 1.6707214E-5 | 1.8781748E-5 | 7.878062E-5 | 4.194531 | 6.0E-5 | 7.160038E-5 | 8.049076E-5 | 1.64484E-4 | 2.043514 | 8.4E-5 | 8.71386E-4 | 9.795422E-4 | 0.0011134109 | 1.1366646 | 1.34E-4 |
| 6.4 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7441736E-5 | 6.7440866E-5 | 3.8666372 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.474819E-5 | 1.4674281E-4 | 1.9631621 | 7.2E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0968545E-4 | 0.0010215836 | 1.1230075 | 1.12E-4 |
| 6.5 | 1.5515609E-5 | 1.7441736E-5 | 6.7440866E-5 | 3.8666372 | 5.0E-5 | 6.649377E-5 | 7.474819E-5 | 1.4674281E-4 | 1.9631621 | 7.2E-5 | 8.0926094E-4 | 9.0968545E-4 | 0.0010215836 | 1.1230075 | 1.12E-4 |
| 6.6 | 1.5041828E-5 | 1.6909538E-5 | 5.890883E-5 | 3.4837632 | 4.2E-5 | 6.4463384E-5 | 7.2467476E-5 | 1.3646284E-4 | 1.8830909 | 6.4E-5 | 7.8455906E-4 | 8.819403E-4 | 9.838503E-4 | 1.1155521 | 1.02E-4 |
| 6.7 | 1.4634985E-5 | 1.6453798E-5 | 5.2453204E-5 | 3.1879086 | 3.6E-5 | 6.271985E-5 | 7.0514405E-5 | 1.2851032E-4 | 1.822469 | 5.8E-5 | 7.6334673E-4 | 8.581806E-4 | 9.520999E-4 | 1.1094401 | 9.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.4209158E-5 | 1.5977113E-5 | 5.1976538E-5 | 3.253187 | 3.6E-5 | 6.089497E-5 | 6.847158E-5 | 1.2646761E-4 | 1.8470087 | 5.8E-5 | 7.4114406E-4 | 8.3332835E-4 | 9.252517E-4 | 1.1103086 | 9.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.3780098E-5 | 1.5496931E-5 | 4.3496497E-5 | 2.8067813 | 2.8E-5 | 5.9056227E-5 | 6.6413755E-5 | 1.1641044E-4 | 1.7528061 | 5.0E-5 | 7.1877235E-4 | 8.0829306E-4 | 8.902268E-4 | 1.1013664 | 8.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.3585064E-5 | 1.527929E-5 | 4.3278862E-5 | 2.8325179 | 2.8E-5 | 5.8220405E-5 | 6.548106E-5 | 1.13477916E-4 | 1.7329884 | 4.8E-5 | 7.086029E-4 | 7.969458E-4 | 8.7688206E-4 | 1.1003033 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.3398601E-5 | 1.507133E-5 | 4.107094E-5 | 2.7251036 | 2.6E-5 | 5.742131E-5 | 6.458985E-5 | 1.1058688E-4 | 1.7121402 | 4.6E-5 | 6.9888023E-4 | 7.861032E-4 | 8.60045E-4 | 1.0940613 | 7.4E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.3126312E-5 | 1.4767895E-5 | 4.076751E-5 | 2.76055 | 2.6E-5 | 5.6254412E-5 | 6.328947E-5 | 1.0728669E-4 | 1.6951743 | 4.4E-5 | 6.846822E-4 | 7.702824E-4 | 8.402285E-4 | 1.0908058 | 7.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.2922429E-5 | 1.4540891E-5 | 4.054051E-5 | 2.788035 | 2.6E-5 | 5.5380664E-5 | 6.231665E-5 | 1.06313906E-4 | 1.7060274 | 4.4E-5 | 6.74051E-4 | 7.584466E-4 | 8.2239805E-4 | 1.084319 | 6.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.2768878E-5 | 1.4369943E-5 | 4.036957E-5 | 2.8093061 | 2.6E-5 | 5.4722615E-5 | 6.158405E-5 | 1.0558134E-4 | 1.7144268 | 4.4E-5 | 6.660441E-4 | 7.4953336E-4 | 8.1348536E-4 | 1.0853225 | 6.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.2521929E-5 | 1.4096785E-5 | 3.8096445E-5 | 2.702492 | 2.4E-5 | 5.366431E-5 | 6.0413422E-5 | 1.02410886E-4 | 1.6951678 | 4.2E-5 | 6.531671E-4 | 7.352907E-4 | 7.9524657E-4 | 1.0815403 | 6.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.1301089E-5 | 1.2724787E-5 | 3.2724533E-5 | 2.5717156 | 2.0E-5 | 4.8432343E-5 | 5.453369E-5 | 9.253162E-5 | 1.6967789 | 3.8E-5 | 5.895042E-4 | 6.637508E-4 | 7.157163E-4 | 1.0782907 | 5.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0345606E-5 | 3.03454E-5 | 2.9331677 | 2.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4337587E-5 | 8.0335994E-5 | 1.8119161 | 3.6E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.396815E-4 | 5.8165885E-4 | 1.0777817 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6584183E-7 | 2.365841E-6 | 6.466841 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5678927E-6 | 3.5678895E-6 | 2.2755954 | 2.0E-6 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.908893E-5 | 2.1088892E-5 | 1.1047708 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos extension
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0947953E-6 | 4.409463E-5 | 10.768458 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7549011E-5 | 8.1547885E-5 | 4.6468654 | 6.4E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1363936E-4 | 3.3761287E-4 | 1.5802934 | 1.24E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0947953E-6 | 4.409463E-5 | 10.768458 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7549011E-5 | 8.1547885E-5 | 4.6468654 | 6.4E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1363936E-4 | 3.3761287E-4 | 1.5802934 | 1.24E-4 |
| 6.2 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0947953E-6 | 4.409463E-5 | 10.768458 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7549011E-5 | 8.1547885E-5 | 4.6468654 | 6.4E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1363936E-4 | 3.3761287E-4 | 1.5802934 | 1.24E-4 |
| 6.3 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0947953E-6 | 4.409463E-5 | 10.768458 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7549011E-5 | 8.1547885E-5 | 4.6468654 | 6.4E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1363936E-4 | 3.3761287E-4 | 1.5802934 | 1.24E-4 |
| 6.4 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0947953E-6 | 4.409463E-5 | 10.768458 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7549011E-5 | 8.1547885E-5 | 4.6468654 | 6.4E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1363936E-4 | 3.3761287E-4 | 1.5802934 | 1.24E-4 |
| 6.5 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0947953E-6 | 4.409463E-5 | 10.768458 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7549011E-5 | 8.1547885E-5 | 4.6468654 | 6.4E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1363936E-4 | 3.3761287E-4 | 1.5802934 | 1.24E-4 |
| 6.6 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0947953E-6 | 4.409463E-5 | 10.768458 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7549011E-5 | 8.1547885E-5 | 4.6468654 | 6.4E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1363936E-4 | 3.3761287E-4 | 1.5802934 | 1.24E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.0146506E-6 | 4.0947953E-6 | 4.409463E-5 | 10.768458 | 4.0E-5 | 1.7205533E-5 | 1.7549011E-5 | 8.1547885E-5 | 4.6468654 | 6.4E-5 | 2.0945723E-4 | 2.1363936E-4 | 3.3761287E-4 | 1.5802934 | 1.24E-4 |
| 6.8 | 3.6584688E-6 | 3.726916E-6 | 3.9726783E-5 | 10.659425 | 3.6E-5 | 1.5679057E-5 | 1.5972404E-5 | 7.397148E-5 | 4.631205 | 5.8E-5 | 1.9087581E-4 | 1.9444761E-4 | 3.044262E-4 | 1.565595 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.9 | 3.644631E-6 | 3.7126026E-6 | 3.9712468E-5 | 10.696666 | 3.6E-5 | 1.5619753E-5 | 1.5911062E-5 | 7.391014E-5 | 4.6452045 | 5.8E-5 | 1.901539E-4 | 1.937009E-4 | 3.0367958E-4 | 1.5677758 | 1.1E-4 |
| 7.0 | 3.6318522E-6 | 3.6993397E-6 | 3.9699207E-5 | 10.73143 | 3.6E-5 | 1.5564989E-5 | 1.5854223E-5 | 7.3853305E-5 | 4.6582737 | 5.8E-5 | 1.8948725E-4 | 1.93009E-4 | 3.0098815E-4 | 1.5594515 | 1.08E-4 |
| 7.1 | 3.5001724E-6 | 3.5631892E-6 | 3.956306E-5 | 11.103272 | 3.6E-5 | 1.5000653E-5 | 1.5270727E-5 | 7.1269875E-5 | 4.667091 | 5.6E-5 | 1.8261763E-4 | 1.8590616E-4 | 2.898868E-4 | 1.5593181 | 1.04E-4 |
| 7.2 | 2.5204702E-6 | 2.549818E-6 | 3.4549736E-5 | 13.549884 | 3.2E-5 | 1.080197E-5 | 1.0927745E-5 | 5.692724E-5 | 5.2094226 | 4.6E-5 | 1.3150605E-4 | 1.3303723E-4 | 2.130266E-4 | 1.6012554 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.1399692E-6 | 2.15558E-6 | 3.015552E-5 | 13.989516 | 2.8E-5 | 9.1712645E-6 | 9.238167E-6 | 5.1237777E-5 | 5.5463142 | 4.2E-5 | 1.1165442E-4 | 1.1246891E-4 | 1.8646059E-4 | 1.6578857 | 7.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.9660122E-6 | 1.9753834E-6 | 2.9975328E-5 | 15.174437 | 2.8E-5 | 8.42574E-6 | 8.465901E-6 | 4.846556E-5 | 5.724797 | 4.0E-5 | 1.0257855E-4 | 1.030675E-4 | 1.7306028E-4 | 1.6790966 | 7.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.7204633E-6 | 1.719767E-6 | 2.9719718E-5 | 17.281246 | 2.8E-5 | 7.373393E-6 | 7.3704095E-6 | 4.3370143E-5 | 5.8843603 | 3.6E-5 | 8.976737E-5 | 8.973107E-5 | 1.5572515E-4 | 1.7354652 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.3717638E-6 | 1.3574493E-6 | 1.7357428E-5 | 12.786797 | 1.6E-5 | 5.878974E-6 | 5.8176265E-6 | 2.78175E-5 | 4.781589 | 2.2E-5 | 7.157416E-5 | 7.082733E-5 | 1.14824215E-4 | 1.6211852 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 8.272564E-7 | 7.979612E-7 | 1.2797952E-5 | 16.038313 | 1.2E-5 | 3.5453797E-6 | 3.4198292E-6 | 2.1419768E-5 | 6.263403 | 1.8E-5 | 4.3164142E-5 | 4.1635627E-5 | 7.163438E-5 | 1.7205068 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.9708277E-7 | 3.683286E-7 | 8.368325E-6 | 22.719728 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7017821E-6 | 1.5785502E-6 | 1.1578534E-5 | 7.334917 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0719E-5 | 1.921868E-5 | 3.521837E-5 | 1.8325074 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.9 | 9.292528E-8 | 7.91843E-8 | 7.91843E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9825116E-7 | 3.393612E-7 | 3.393612E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.848697E-6 | 4.131715E-6 | 8.131698E-6 | 1.968117 | 4.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.254042E-11 | 8.254042E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5374437E-10 | 3.5374437E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.3068384E-9 | 4.3068384E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Oceanic - West Huasna
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.4160125E-5 | 2.0249852E-5 | 8.2248596E-5 | 4.061689 | 6.2E-5 | 1.03539285E-4 | 8.678225E-5 | 1.6277566E-4 | 1.875679 | 7.6E-5 | 0.0012598617 | 0.0010560731 | 0.0011739485 | 1.1116167 | 1.18E-4 |
| 6.1 | 2.1156782E-5 | 1.7472643E-5 | 6.747177E-5 | 3.8615665 | 5.0E-5 | 9.066878E-5 | 7.4880656E-5 | 1.3087646E-4 | 1.7478007 | 5.6E-5 | 0.0011033333 | 9.1129966E-4 | 9.992195E-4 | 1.0964774 | 8.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.6195117E-5 | 1.3284006E-5 | 4.9283528E-5 | 3.70999 | 3.6E-5 | 6.9405796E-5 | 5.6930225E-5 | 9.492806E-5 | 1.6674458 | 3.8E-5 | 8.44688E-4 | 6.929076E-4 | 7.548646E-4 | 1.089416 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.3559345E-5 | 1.1158163E-5 | 3.915785E-5 | 3.5093458 | 2.8E-5 | 5.811018E-5 | 4.7819827E-5 | 7.781839E-5 | 1.6273248 | 3.0E-5 | 7.072618E-4 | 5.820518E-4 | 6.2802504E-4 | 1.0789847 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.2120619E-5 | 9.989502E-6 | 3.398926E-5 | 3.402498 | 2.4E-5 | 5.1944477E-5 | 4.2811454E-5 | 6.881034E-5 | 1.6072881 | 2.6E-5 | 6.322405E-4 | 5.211053E-4 | 5.630834E-4 | 1.0805559 | 4.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.13511915E-5 | 9.359463E-6 | 3.1359257E-5 | 3.3505402 | 2.2E-5 | 4.8647056E-5 | 4.011137E-5 | 6.4110405E-5 | 1.5983101 | 2.4E-5 | 5.9211696E-4 | 4.8824694E-4 | 5.2422937E-4 | 1.0736972 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 9.850605E-6 | 8.133541E-6 | 2.8133378E-5 | 3.4589336 | 2.0E-5 | 4.2216197E-5 | 3.4857567E-5 | 5.68568E-5 | 1.6311178 | 2.2E-5 | 5.1386096E-4 | 4.2430847E-4 | 4.562949E-4 | 1.0753849 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 8.8558645E-6 | 7.318612E-6 | 2.531848E-5 | 3.4594648 | 1.8E-5 | 3.7953152E-5 | 3.1365103E-5 | 5.1364477E-5 | 1.6376313 | 2.0E-5 | 4.6198163E-4 | 3.818034E-4 | 4.1179196E-4 | 1.0785445 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 7.67136E-6 | 6.3936836E-6 | 2.4393568E-5 | 3.8152604 | 1.8E-5 | 3.2876844E-5 | 2.7401215E-5 | 4.7400667E-5 | 1.7298746 | 2.0E-5 | 4.0020206E-4 | 3.3355886E-4 | 3.6354887E-4 | 1.0899092 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 6.534529E-6 | 5.4615166E-6 | 2.1461428E-5 | 3.9295733 | 1.6E-5 | 2.8004823E-5 | 2.340629E-5 | 4.140587E-5 | 1.769006 | 1.8E-5 | 3.4090536E-4 | 2.8493445E-4 | 3.1292645E-4 | 1.0982403 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.0 | 5.460525E-6 | 4.573659E-6 | 1.6573604E-5 | 3.6237078 | 1.2E-5 | 2.3402039E-5 | 1.960125E-5 | 3.3600976E-5 | 1.7142261 | 1.4E-5 | 2.8488258E-4 | 2.386192E-4 | 2.6061395E-4 | 1.0921751 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.1 | 4.4825083E-6 | 3.757179E-6 | 1.1757149E-5 | 3.129249 | 8.0E-6 | 1.9210609E-5 | 1.6102096E-5 | 2.6101936E-5 | 1.6210271 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3386406E-4 | 1.9602549E-4 | 2.1202235E-4 | 1.081606 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 2.821708E-6 | 2.43311E-6 | 6.4331E-6 | 2.6439824 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2092979E-5 | 1.0427573E-5 | 1.4427531E-5 | 1.3835944 | 4.0E-6 | 1.4722206E-4 | 1.2694832E-4 | 1.3294755E-4 | 1.0472573 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.0644757E-6 | 1.777715E-6 | 3.7777115E-6 | 2.1250377 | 2.0E-6 | 8.847723E-6 | 7.6187566E-6 | 9.618741E-6 | 1.262508 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0771569E-4 | 9.275442E-5 | 9.675405E-5 | 1.0431206 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.6980367E-6 | 1.4467786E-6 | 3.4467757E-6 | 2.3823795 | 2.0E-6 | 7.27728E-6 | 6.200465E-6 | 8.200453E-6 | 1.3225545 | 2.0E-6 | 8.8597284E-5 | 7.5488046E-5 | 7.948775E-5 | 1.0529845 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.3637683E-6 | 1.1388653E-6 | 3.138863E-6 | 2.7561321 | 2.0E-6 | 5.844708E-6 | 4.880842E-6 | 6.880832E-6 | 1.4097633 | 2.0E-6 | 7.1156996E-5 | 5.942263E-5 | 6.342239E-5 | 1.0673105 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 9.802994E-7 | 7.7586327E-7 | 2.7758617E-6 | 3.5777717 | 2.0E-6 | 4.2012766E-6 | 3.3251242E-6 | 5.3251174E-6 | 1.6014793 | 2.0E-6 | 5.1149345E-5 | 4.0482635E-5 | 4.2482556E-5 | 1.0494019 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 5.986191E-7 | 4.0786952E-7 | 2.4078688E-6 | 5.903527 | 2.0E-6 | 2.5655079E-6 | 1.7480111E-6 | 3.7480074E-6 | 2.1441555 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1234613E-5 | 2.1281827E-5 | 2.3281784E-5 | 1.093975 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 2.9189815E-7 | 1.59079E-7 | 2.1590786E-6 | 13.572368 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2509914E-6 | 6.8176695E-7 | 2.6817656E-6 | 3.9335518 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5230714E-5 | 8.300481E-6 | 1.0300464E-5 | 1.2409478 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 1.2057845E-7 | 4.965267E-8 | 4.965267E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1676466E-7 | 2.1279713E-7 | 2.1279713E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2915915E-6 | 2.590802E-6 | 2.590802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 3.3806387E-9 | 1.0346344E-9 | 1.0346344E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4488451E-8 | 4.4341473E-9 | 4.4341473E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7639688E-7 | 5.3985744E-8 | 5.3985744E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Los Alamos 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7605395E-6 | 4.476035E-5 | 9.402369 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0402163E-5 | 8.040094E-5 | 3.9408047 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.483698E-4 | 3.5834246E-4 | 1.442778 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.1 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7605395E-6 | 4.476035E-5 | 9.402369 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0402163E-5 | 8.040094E-5 | 3.9408047 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.483698E-4 | 3.5834246E-4 | 1.442778 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.2 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7605395E-6 | 4.476035E-5 | 9.402369 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0402163E-5 | 8.040094E-5 | 3.9408047 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.483698E-4 | 3.5834246E-4 | 1.442778 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.3 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7605395E-6 | 4.476035E-5 | 9.402369 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0402163E-5 | 8.040094E-5 | 3.9408047 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.483698E-4 | 3.5834246E-4 | 1.442778 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.4 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7605395E-6 | 4.476035E-5 | 9.402369 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0402163E-5 | 8.040094E-5 | 3.9408047 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.483698E-4 | 3.5834246E-4 | 1.442778 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.5 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7605395E-6 | 4.476035E-5 | 9.402369 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0402163E-5 | 8.040094E-5 | 3.9408047 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.483698E-4 | 3.5834246E-4 | 1.442778 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.6 | 4.6284417E-6 | 4.7605395E-6 | 4.476035E-5 | 9.402369 | 4.0E-5 | 1.9836029E-5 | 2.0402163E-5 | 8.040094E-5 | 3.9408047 | 6.0E-5 | 2.4147688E-4 | 2.483698E-4 | 3.5834246E-4 | 1.442778 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1741523E-6 | 4.0174004E-5 | 9.62447 | 3.6E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.788911E-5 | 7.3888106E-5 | 4.13034 | 5.6E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1777967E-4 | 3.1975744E-4 | 1.4682612 | 1.02E-4 |
| 6.8 | 4.062321E-6 | 4.1741523E-6 | 4.0174004E-5 | 9.62447 | 3.6E-5 | 1.7409831E-5 | 1.788911E-5 | 7.3888106E-5 | 4.13034 | 5.6E-5 | 2.1194408E-4 | 2.1777967E-4 | 3.1975744E-4 | 1.4682612 | 1.02E-4 |
| 6.9 | 3.2936077E-6 | 3.379476E-6 | 3.3379376E-5 | 9.877086 | 3.0E-5 | 1.4115385E-5 | 1.4483394E-5 | 5.6482786E-5 | 3.8998308 | 4.2E-5 | 1.7184127E-4 | 1.7632199E-4 | 2.603072E-4 | 1.4763172 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 3.1687898E-6 | 3.2511616E-6 | 3.3251064E-5 | 10.227441 | 3.0E-5 | 1.3580457E-5 | 1.3933481E-5 | 5.3932923E-5 | 3.870743 | 4.0E-5 | 1.6532952E-4 | 1.6962785E-4 | 2.496143E-4 | 1.4715407 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.9379228E-6 | 3.013328E-6 | 3.301324E-5 | 10.955739 | 3.0E-5 | 1.25910365E-5 | 1.29142045E-5 | 5.0913713E-5 | 3.9424584 | 3.8E-5 | 1.5328509E-4 | 1.5722E-4 | 2.2920869E-4 | 1.457885 | 7.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 2.0020686E-6 | 2.0460793E-6 | 2.8046026E-5 | 13.707204 | 2.6E-5 | 8.580266E-6 | 8.768882E-6 | 4.0768602E-5 | 4.6492357 | 3.2E-5 | 1.0445973E-4 | 1.0675595E-4 | 1.6075019E-4 | 1.5057726 | 5.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.7364243E-6 | 1.7719112E-6 | 2.3771872E-5 | 13.41595 | 2.2E-5 | 7.441797E-6 | 7.5938833E-6 | 3.559367E-5 | 4.68715 | 2.8E-5 | 9.0600115E-5 | 9.2451635E-5 | 1.4244701E-4 | 1.5407733 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.5718434E-6 | 1.602093E-6 | 2.3602057E-5 | 14.732015 | 2.2E-5 | 6.7364545E-6 | 6.8660947E-6 | 3.48659E-5 | 5.0779815 | 2.8E-5 | 8.201325E-5 | 8.359153E-5 | 1.2958769E-4 | 1.550249 | 4.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.3841119E-6 | 1.4077365E-6 | 2.3407705E-5 | 16.627903 | 2.2E-5 | 5.9318945E-6 | 6.0331427E-6 | 3.2032985E-5 | 5.3095026 | 2.6E-5 | 7.221842E-5 | 7.345106E-5 | 1.1744783E-4 | 1.5989943 | 4.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.0843726E-6 | 1.096339E-6 | 1.5096323E-5 | 13.769759 | 1.4E-5 | 4.647303E-6 | 4.6985874E-6 | 2.0698511E-5 | 4.405263 | 1.6E-5 | 5.6579443E-5 | 5.7203826E-5 | 8.520223E-5 | 1.4894497 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.7 | 5.544814E-7 | 5.5149997E-7 | 1.0551495E-5 | 19.132359 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3763469E-6 | 2.3635691E-6 | 1.4363541E-5 | 6.0770555 | 1.2E-5 | 2.8931638E-5 | 2.8776076E-5 | 4.4775614E-5 | 1.5560014 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 2.0707465E-7 | 1.9833024E-7 | 6.198329E-6 | 31.252565 | 6.0E-6 | 8.874625E-7 | 8.4998646E-7 | 8.84998E-6 | 10.411906 | 8.0E-6 | 1.08048025E-5 | 1.0348536E-5 | 2.0348432E-5 | 1.9663101 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.9 | 3.9821284E-8 | 3.447472E-8 | 3.447472E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7066264E-7 | 1.4774879E-7 | 1.4774879E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0778157E-6 | 1.7988401E-6 | 3.7988366E-6 | 2.1118255 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 7.880441E-11 | 8.254042E-11 | 8.254042E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3773329E-10 | 3.5374437E-10 | 3.5374437E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1119033E-9 | 4.3068384E-9 | 4.3068384E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Anacapa-Dume alt 1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3771587E-6 | 6.137686E-5 | 11.414366 | 5.6E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.3044768E-5 | 9.5043106E-5 | 4.1242814 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8053476E-4 | 3.905039E-4 | 1.3919983 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.1 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3771587E-6 | 6.137686E-5 | 11.414366 | 5.6E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.3044768E-5 | 9.5043106E-5 | 4.1242814 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8053476E-4 | 3.905039E-4 | 1.3919983 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.2 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3771587E-6 | 6.137686E-5 | 11.414366 | 5.6E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.3044768E-5 | 9.5043106E-5 | 4.1242814 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8053476E-4 | 3.905039E-4 | 1.3919983 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.3 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3771587E-6 | 6.137686E-5 | 11.414366 | 5.6E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.3044768E-5 | 9.5043106E-5 | 4.1242814 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8053476E-4 | 3.905039E-4 | 1.3919983 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.4 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3771587E-6 | 6.137686E-5 | 11.414366 | 5.6E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.3044768E-5 | 9.5043106E-5 | 4.1242814 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8053476E-4 | 3.905039E-4 | 1.3919983 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.5 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3771587E-6 | 6.137686E-5 | 11.414366 | 5.6E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.3044768E-5 | 9.5043106E-5 | 4.1242814 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8053476E-4 | 3.905039E-4 | 1.3919983 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.6 | 5.1871802E-6 | 5.3771587E-6 | 6.137686E-5 | 11.414366 | 5.6E-5 | 2.2230583E-5 | 2.3044768E-5 | 9.5043106E-5 | 4.1242814 | 7.2E-5 | 2.7062374E-4 | 2.8053476E-4 | 3.905039E-4 | 1.3919983 | 1.1E-4 |
| 6.7 | 4.7693475E-6 | 4.945791E-6 | 6.0945513E-5 | 12.322704 | 5.6E-5 | 2.04399E-5 | 2.1196078E-5 | 9.11946E-5 | 4.302428 | 7.0E-5 | 2.4882736E-4 | 2.5803244E-4 | 3.6600456E-4 | 1.418444 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.8 | 4.753408E-6 | 4.9293203E-6 | 5.8929054E-5 | 11.954803 | 5.4E-5 | 2.037159E-5 | 2.1125492E-5 | 8.9124056E-5 | 4.218792 | 6.8E-5 | 2.4799586E-4 | 2.5717326E-4 | 3.63146E-4 | 1.4120675 | 1.06E-4 |
| 6.9 | 3.800069E-6 | 3.9446704E-6 | 4.7944497E-5 | 12.154246 | 4.4E-5 | 1.6285909E-5 | 1.6905622E-5 | 7.290467E-5 | 4.3124514 | 5.6E-5 | 1.9826289E-4 | 2.0580673E-4 | 2.9578822E-4 | 1.4372134 | 9.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 3.6671938E-6 | 3.8072526E-6 | 4.5807094E-5 | 12.031535 | 4.2E-5 | 1.571645E-5 | 1.6316697E-5 | 7.0315815E-5 | 4.3094397 | 5.4E-5 | 1.9133097E-4 | 1.9863789E-4 | 2.866204E-4 | 1.4429291 | 8.8E-5 |
| 7.1 | 3.2394885E-6 | 3.3654517E-6 | 4.5365312E-5 | 13.47971 | 4.2E-5 | 1.3883448E-5 | 1.44232845E-5 | 6.642254E-5 | 4.6052294 | 5.2E-5 | 1.6901788E-4 | 1.7558945E-4 | 2.595747E-4 | 1.4783046 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.0935948E-6 | 3.214376E-6 | 4.521424E-5 | 14.066257 | 4.2E-5 | 1.3258196E-5 | 1.3775825E-5 | 6.577511E-5 | 4.7746763 | 5.2E-5 | 1.6140658E-4 | 1.6770787E-4 | 2.456948E-4 | 1.4650165 | 7.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.5604163E-6 | 2.6520977E-6 | 3.6652007E-5 | 13.820006 | 3.4E-5 | 1.0973167E-5 | 1.13660835E-5 | 5.5365585E-5 | 4.8711224 | 4.4E-5 | 1.3359012E-4 | 1.3837333E-4 | 2.043642E-4 | 1.4769045 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.1429005E-6 | 2.2147158E-6 | 3.4214645E-5 | 15.448774 | 3.2E-5 | 9.1838265E-6 | 9.491605E-6 | 4.9491224E-5 | 5.2142105 | 4.0E-5 | 1.11807356E-4 | 1.1555419E-4 | 1.7754703E-4 | 1.5364828 | 6.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.7237151E-6 | 1.7795539E-6 | 2.7779508E-5 | 15.610376 | 2.6E-5 | 7.3873293E-6 | 7.626638E-6 | 3.9626393E-5 | 5.1957884 | 3.2E-5 | 8.993702E-5 | 9.285038E-5 | 1.4284573E-4 | 1.5384507 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 9.541696E-7 | 9.84168E-7 | 1.4984154E-5 | 15.2252 | 1.4E-5 | 4.089292E-6 | 4.217856E-6 | 2.221778E-5 | 5.267553 | 1.8E-5 | 4.9785995E-5 | 5.13512E-5 | 8.134966E-5 | 1.5841823 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 2.7226676E-7 | 2.7216484E-7 | 2.2721642E-6 | 8.348486 | 2.0E-6 | 1.166857E-6 | 1.1664202E-6 | 5.1664156E-6 | 4.4292917 | 4.0E-6 | 1.4206392E-5 | 1.4201074E-5 | 2.220096E-5 | 1.5633297 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 4.5017995E-8 | 4.2225956E-8 | 4.2225956E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9293425E-7 | 1.8096837E-7 | 1.8096837E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.348972E-6 | 2.203288E-6 | 2.203288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 8.007447E-10 | 6.217501E-10 | 6.217501E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4317629E-9 | 2.6646432E-9 | 2.6646432E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1781714E-8 | 3.244203E-8 | 3.244203E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Thirty Mile Bank
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6662183E-6 | 5.866587E-5 | 8.800472 | 5.2E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.856922E-5 | 9.256739E-5 | 3.2401092 | 6.4E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.477791E-4 | 4.5574154E-4 | 1.310434 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.1 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6662183E-6 | 5.866587E-5 | 8.800472 | 5.2E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.856922E-5 | 9.256739E-5 | 3.2401092 | 6.4E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.477791E-4 | 4.5574154E-4 | 1.310434 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.2 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6662183E-6 | 5.866587E-5 | 8.800472 | 5.2E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.856922E-5 | 9.256739E-5 | 3.2401092 | 6.4E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.477791E-4 | 4.5574154E-4 | 1.310434 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.3 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6662183E-6 | 5.866587E-5 | 8.800472 | 5.2E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.856922E-5 | 9.256739E-5 | 3.2401092 | 6.4E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.477791E-4 | 4.5574154E-4 | 1.310434 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.4 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6662183E-6 | 5.866587E-5 | 8.800472 | 5.2E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.856922E-5 | 9.256739E-5 | 3.2401092 | 6.4E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.477791E-4 | 4.5574154E-4 | 1.310434 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.5 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6662183E-6 | 5.866587E-5 | 8.800472 | 5.2E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.856922E-5 | 9.256739E-5 | 3.2401092 | 6.4E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.477791E-4 | 4.5574154E-4 | 1.310434 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.6 | 6.5124755E-6 | 6.6662183E-6 | 5.866587E-5 | 8.800472 | 5.2E-5 | 2.791031E-5 | 2.856922E-5 | 9.256739E-5 | 3.2401092 | 6.4E-5 | 3.3975503E-4 | 3.477791E-4 | 4.5574154E-4 | 1.310434 | 1.08E-4 |
| 6.7 | 3.5261137E-6 | 3.6136091E-6 | 2.3613537E-5 | 6.534613 | 2.0E-5 | 1.5111828E-5 | 1.5486807E-5 | 4.3486372E-5 | 2.8079624 | 2.8E-5 | 1.8397097E-4 | 1.8853623E-4 | 2.4652528E-4 | 1.3075752 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.370743E-6 | 3.4544685E-6 | 2.3454399E-5 | 6.7895827 | 2.0E-5 | 1.4445961E-5 | 1.4804784E-5 | 4.08044E-5 | 2.7561631 | 2.6E-5 | 1.7586538E-4 | 1.8023397E-4 | 2.3222459E-4 | 1.2884619 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.2756835E-6 | 2.335552E-6 | 1.4335524E-5 | 6.13796 | 1.2E-5 | 9.752893E-6 | 1.0009471E-5 | 2.2009352E-5 | 2.1988525 | 1.2E-5 | 1.18735006E-4 | 1.2185875E-4 | 1.4385607E-4 | 1.1805149 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.1617404E-6 | 2.2182346E-6 | 1.2218213E-5 | 5.5080795 | 1.0E-5 | 9.264569E-6 | 9.506686E-6 | 1.9506591E-5 | 2.0518813 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1279029E-4 | 1.15738E-4 | 1.3173615E-4 | 1.1382272 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.5900777E-6 | 1.6343857E-6 | 9.634373E-6 | 5.8947973 | 8.0E-6 | 6.814601E-6 | 7.004492E-6 | 1.5004436E-5 | 2.1421163 | 8.0E-6 | 8.296461E-5 | 8.5276486E-5 | 9.7275464E-5 | 1.1407068 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.2971728E-6 | 1.3342803E-6 | 7.334272E-6 | 5.4968004 | 6.0E-6 | 5.5593005E-6 | 5.718332E-6 | 1.1718298E-5 | 2.049251 | 6.0E-6 | 6.768238E-5 | 6.9618574E-5 | 7.961788E-5 | 1.1436298 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 8.2454284E-7 | 8.4576675E-7 | 4.845763E-6 | 5.729432 | 4.0E-6 | 3.5337503E-6 | 3.62471E-6 | 7.6246956E-6 | 2.1035326 | 4.0E-6 | 4.302256E-5 | 4.413001E-5 | 5.0129747E-5 | 1.1359559 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 4.2619024E-7 | 4.391175E-7 | 4.439116E-6 | 10.109175 | 4.0E-6 | 1.8265283E-6 | 1.8819308E-6 | 5.8819232E-6 | 3.1254725 | 4.0E-6 | 2.2237757E-5 | 2.291227E-5 | 2.8912133E-5 | 1.2618624 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 2.993922E-7 | 3.089987E-7 | 4.3089976E-6 | 13.945034 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2831089E-6 | 1.3242795E-6 | 5.3242743E-6 | 4.0205064 | 4.0E-6 | 1.5621737E-5 | 1.6122985E-5 | 2.0122921E-5 | 1.248089 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 1.6988751E-7 | 1.7554588E-7 | 2.1755454E-6 | 12.393031 | 2.0E-6 | 7.2808916E-7 | 7.5233925E-7 | 2.7523377E-6 | 3.658373 | 2.0E-6 | 8.864449E-6 | 9.159694E-6 | 1.11596755E-5 | 1.2183459 | 2.0E-6 |
Richfield
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.5166896E-6 | 1.5404706E-6 | 4.5540404E-5 | 29.562656 | 4.4E-5 | 6.5000822E-6 | 6.6020066E-6 | 7.260157E-5 | 10.996895 | 6.6E-5 | 7.913562E-5 | 8.037756E-5 | 1.8636904E-4 | 2.31867 | 1.06E-4 |
| 6.1 | 1.5166896E-6 | 1.5404706E-6 | 4.5540404E-5 | 29.562656 | 4.4E-5 | 6.5000822E-6 | 6.6020066E-6 | 7.260157E-5 | 10.996895 | 6.6E-5 | 7.913562E-5 | 8.037756E-5 | 1.8636904E-4 | 2.31867 | 1.06E-4 |
| 6.2 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.6053786E-7 | 2.4660521E-5 | 37.334003 | 2.4E-5 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8308743E-6 | 4.0830768E-5 | 14.423377 | 3.8E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4465484E-5 | 9.246348E-5 | 2.682785 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.6053786E-7 | 2.4660521E-5 | 37.334003 | 2.4E-5 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8308743E-6 | 4.0830768E-5 | 14.423377 | 3.8E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4465484E-5 | 9.246348E-5 | 2.682785 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.473272E-7 | 6.6053786E-7 | 2.4660521E-5 | 37.334003 | 2.4E-5 | 2.7742565E-6 | 2.8308743E-6 | 4.0830768E-5 | 14.423377 | 3.8E-5 | 3.377605E-5 | 3.4465484E-5 | 9.246348E-5 | 2.682785 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.7954403E-7 | 2.8565898E-7 | 1.0285657E-5 | 36.006767 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1980452E-6 | 1.2242524E-6 | 1.3224238E-5 | 10.8018875 | 1.2E-5 | 1.4586103E-5 | 1.4905215E-5 | 3.6904887E-5 | 2.4759715 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.7954403E-7 | 2.8565898E-7 | 1.0285657E-5 | 36.006767 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1980452E-6 | 1.2242524E-6 | 1.3224238E-5 | 10.8018875 | 1.2E-5 | 1.4586103E-5 | 1.4905215E-5 | 3.6904887E-5 | 2.4759715 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.0777299E-7 | 1.0888451E-7 | 6.108884E-6 | 56.104256 | 6.0E-6 | 4.6188418E-7 | 4.666478E-7 | 6.466645E-6 | 13.8576565 | 6.0E-6 | 5.6234253E-6 | 5.6814265E-6 | 1.768136E-5 | 3.1121335 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.1301874E-8 | 2.06777E-8 | 2.0206776E-6 | 97.72256 | 2.0E-6 | 9.129375E-8 | 8.8618705E-8 | 2.0886184E-6 | 23.568596 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1115008E-6 | 1.0789322E-6 | 5.078928E-6 | 4.707365 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.8413502E-8 | 1.7761307E-8 | 2.0177613E-6 | 113.604324 | 2.0E-6 | 7.891501E-8 | 7.611988E-8 | 2.0761197E-6 | 27.274342 | 2.0E-6 | 9.607899E-7 | 9.267592E-7 | 4.9267555E-6 | 5.3161116 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.2290541E-8 | 1.1581789E-8 | 1.1581789E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2673748E-8 | 4.963624E-8 | 4.963624E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.413027E-7 | 6.0432103E-7 | 2.60432E-6 | 4.3094974 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 6.373573E-9 | 6.1592624E-9 | 6.1592624E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7315311E-8 | 2.639684E-8 | 2.639684E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3256384E-7 | 3.213815E-7 | 3.213815E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 3.6989944E-9 | 3.737795E-9 | 3.737795E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5852834E-8 | 1.6019122E-8 | 1.6019122E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9300822E-7 | 1.9503278E-7 | 1.9503278E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 2.097397E-9 | 2.1211117E-9 | 2.1211117E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9888434E-9 | 9.090479E-9 | 9.090479E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0943917E-7 | 1.1067657E-7 | 1.1067657E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 5.8314464E-12 | 5.894285E-12 | 5.894285E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4991786E-11 | 2.5261238E-11 | 2.5261238E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0427527E-10 | 3.0755531E-10 | 3.0755531E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (Central) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4873758E-4 | 2.4134434E-4 | 2.833342E-4 | 1.1739832 | 4.2E-5 | 6.3729106E-4 | 0.0010338447 | 0.0010977784 | 1.0618409 | 6.4E-5 | 0.0077314493 | 0.012508988 | 0.012601813 | 1.0074205 | 9.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.4409686E-4 | 2.412837E-4 | 2.8327358E-4 | 1.174027 | 4.2E-5 | 6.174118E-4 | 0.0010335849 | 0.0010975188 | 1.0618564 | 6.4E-5 | 0.0074911113 | 0.012505864 | 0.012598688 | 1.0074224 | 9.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.4297929E-4 | 2.4058076E-4 | 2.8257066E-4 | 1.1745355 | 4.2E-5 | 6.1262446E-4 | 0.001030575 | 0.001094509 | 1.0620372 | 6.4E-5 | 0.007433224 | 0.012469667 | 0.012562495 | 1.0074443 | 9.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.3536085E-4 | 2.3327406E-4 | 2.7526426E-4 | 1.1800038 | 4.2E-5 | 5.79989E-4 | 9.992905E-4 | 0.0010612286 | 1.061982 | 6.2E-5 | 0.0070385267 | 0.012093658 | 0.012184545 | 1.0075153 | 9.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.2993296E-4 | 2.2713288E-4 | 2.6912335E-4 | 1.1848718 | 4.2E-5 | 5.5673666E-4 | 9.729914E-4 | 0.001034931 | 1.0636591 | 6.2E-5 | 0.006757223 | 0.0117770275 | 0.011867944 | 1.0077199 | 9.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.0498927E-4 | 1.8106874E-4 | 2.2106149E-4 | 1.2208706 | 4.0E-5 | 4.498764E-4 | 7.757776E-4 | 8.3573104E-4 | 1.0772817 | 6.0E-5 | 0.005463498 | 0.009404165 | 0.009491337 | 1.0092696 | 8.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.0157505E-4 | 1.761445E-4 | 2.1613744E-4 | 1.2270463 | 4.0E-5 | 4.35249E-4 | 7.546862E-4 | 8.1464095E-4 | 1.0794432 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0052862884 | 0.009149583 | 0.009236778 | 1.00953 | 8.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 9.660386E-5 | 1.6864235E-4 | 2.086356E-4 | 1.2371484 | 4.0E-5 | 4.1395082E-4 | 7.225525E-4 | 7.8250916E-4 | 1.082979 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0050282106 | 0.0087616015 | 0.00884883 | 1.0099559 | 8.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 9.089927E-5 | 1.5753771E-4 | 1.9753141E-4 | 1.2538675 | 4.0E-5 | 3.8951015E-4 | 6.749866E-4 | 7.3494605E-4 | 1.0888307 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0047319788 | 0.008187007 | 0.008274287 | 1.0106608 | 8.8E-5 |
| 6.9 | 7.353187E-5 | 1.2317025E-4 | 1.6316533E-4 | 1.3247137 | 4.0E-5 | 3.150985E-4 | 5.2776636E-4 | 5.877347E-4 | 1.1136267 | 6.0E-5 | 0.0038295772 | 0.0064067515 | 0.006492201 | 1.0133374 | 8.6E-5 |
| 7.0 | 5.746064E-5 | 9.3446375E-5 | 1.3344263E-4 | 1.428013 | 4.0E-5 | 2.4623662E-4 | 4.004234E-4 | 4.5840014E-4 | 1.1447887 | 5.8E-5 | 0.0029938098 | 0.004864332 | 0.004947923 | 1.0171846 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 4.9557195E-5 | 7.973527E-5 | 1.1973208E-4 | 1.50162 | 4.0E-5 | 2.123707E-4 | 3.4167818E-4 | 3.9765905E-4 | 1.1638409 | 5.6E-5 | 0.0025825473 | 0.0041520633 | 0.004233723 | 1.0196673 | 8.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.687595E-5 | 5.841773E-5 | 9.641551E-5 | 1.6504495 | 3.8E-5 | 1.5803022E-4 | 2.5033785E-4 | 3.0232483E-4 | 1.2076674 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0019223199 | 0.003043635 | 0.0031213975 | 1.0255493 | 7.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.5846984E-5 | 4.067602E-5 | 7.667455E-5 | 1.8850064 | 3.6E-5 | 1.1076809E-4 | 1.7431425E-4 | 2.2430554E-4 | 1.2867882 | 5.0E-5 | 0.0013477671 | 0.0021202292 | 0.0021940724 | 1.0348278 | 7.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.7747854E-5 | 2.7639599E-5 | 6.36386E-5 | 2.302443 | 3.6E-5 | 7.6060016E-5 | 1.18450065E-4 | 1.6844414E-4 | 1.4220688 | 5.0E-5 | 9.2563726E-4 | 0.0014411787 | 0.0015150721 | 1.0512729 | 7.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.4883479E-5 | 2.3827426E-5 | 5.982657E-5 | 2.510828 | 3.6E-5 | 6.378478E-5 | 1.0211356E-4 | 1.5210845E-4 | 1.4896009 | 5.0E-5 | 7.76303E-4 | 0.0012425266 | 0.0013164346 | 1.0594821 | 7.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 8.166975E-6 | 1.1987402E-5 | 4.5986995E-5 | 3.836277 | 3.4E-5 | 3.5000852E-5 | 5.1373576E-5 | 9.737121E-5 | 1.8953559 | 4.6E-5 | 4.2605202E-4 | 6.252952E-4 | 6.9525145E-4 | 1.1118771 | 7.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 3.3858064E-6 | 2.827325E-6 | 3.4827233E-5 | 12.318087 | 3.2E-5 | 1.4510518E-5 | 1.2117051E-5 | 5.6116518E-5 | 4.6312027 | 4.4E-5 | 1.7665124E-4 | 1.4751514E-4 | 2.135054E-4 | 1.4473457 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 2.7721615E-6 | 1.8207056E-6 | 3.382065E-5 | 18.575571 | 3.2E-5 | 1.1880637E-5 | 7.803001E-6 | 5.1802657E-5 | 6.638812 | 4.4E-5 | 1.4463716E-4 | 9.4997406E-5 | 1.5699152E-4 | 1.6525874 | 6.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.9736292E-6 | 6.234207E-7 | 2.8623403E-5 | 45.913464 | 2.8E-5 | 8.4583835E-6 | 2.6718003E-6 | 3.8671704E-5 | 14.474026 | 3.6E-5 | 1.0297595E-4 | 3.2528682E-5 | 7.652725E-5 | 2.3526084 | 4.4E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.1767289E-6 | 1.6386481E-7 | 2.416386E-5 | 147.46217 | 2.4E-5 | 5.0431145E-6 | 7.0227753E-7 | 3.0702256E-5 | 43.718124 | 3.0E-5 | 6.139818E-5 | 8.550195E-6 | 4.2549906E-5 | 4.9764833 | 3.4E-5 |
| 8.1 | 7.5112825E-7 | 1.0322837E-7 | 2.2103226E-5 | 214.11969 | 2.2E-5 | 3.2191172E-6 | 4.424072E-7 | 2.6442396E-5 | 59.76936 | 2.6E-5 | 3.9192048E-5 | 5.3862946E-6 | 3.3386143E-5 | 6.198351 | 2.8E-5 |
San Joaquin Hills
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.822513E-6 | 4.882238E-5 | 17.297487 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.2096429E-5 | 7.6095654E-5 | 6.290754 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.472642E-4 | 2.4524977E-4 | 1.6653726 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.822513E-6 | 4.882238E-5 | 17.297487 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.2096429E-5 | 7.6095654E-5 | 6.290754 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.472642E-4 | 2.4524977E-4 | 1.6653726 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.822513E-6 | 4.882238E-5 | 17.297487 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.2096429E-5 | 7.6095654E-5 | 6.290754 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.472642E-4 | 2.4524977E-4 | 1.6653726 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.822513E-6 | 4.882238E-5 | 17.297487 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.2096429E-5 | 7.6095654E-5 | 6.290754 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.472642E-4 | 2.4524977E-4 | 1.6653726 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.822513E-6 | 4.882238E-5 | 17.297487 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.2096429E-5 | 7.6095654E-5 | 6.290754 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.472642E-4 | 2.4524977E-4 | 1.6653726 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.822513E-6 | 4.882238E-5 | 17.297487 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.2096429E-5 | 7.6095654E-5 | 6.290754 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.472642E-4 | 2.4524977E-4 | 1.6653726 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.822513E-6 | 4.882238E-5 | 17.297487 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.2096429E-5 | 7.6095654E-5 | 6.290754 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.472642E-4 | 2.4524977E-4 | 1.6653726 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.4525704E-6 | 2.822513E-6 | 4.882238E-5 | 17.297487 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4796647E-5 | 1.2096429E-5 | 7.6095654E-5 | 6.290754 | 6.4E-5 | 1.8013427E-4 | 1.472642E-4 | 2.4524977E-4 | 1.6653726 | 9.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.388654E-6 | 2.7568663E-6 | 4.8756738E-5 | 17.685566 | 4.6E-5 | 1.4522722E-5 | 1.1815088E-5 | 7.581433E-5 | 6.4167385 | 6.4E-5 | 1.767998E-4 | 1.4383934E-4 | 2.3982552E-4 | 1.6673154 | 9.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 3.2694352E-6 | 2.636626E-6 | 4.8636506E-5 | 18.446493 | 4.6E-5 | 1.401179E-5 | 1.1299778E-5 | 7.529905E-5 | 6.663764 | 6.4E-5 | 1.7058018E-4 | 1.3756623E-4 | 2.3155329E-4 | 1.6832132 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 3.246912E-6 | 2.615247E-6 | 4.8615126E-5 | 18.589115 | 4.6E-5 | 1.39152635E-5 | 1.1208154E-5 | 7.5207434E-5 | 6.7100644 | 6.4E-5 | 1.6940516E-4 | 1.3645085E-4 | 2.3043802E-4 | 1.6887988 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 3.1864927E-6 | 2.560512E-6 | 4.8560396E-5 | 18.96511 | 4.6E-5 | 1.3656326E-5 | 1.0973577E-5 | 7.497287E-5 | 6.832127 | 6.4E-5 | 1.6625308E-4 | 1.3359523E-4 | 2.2758267E-4 | 1.703524 | 9.4E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.0220644E-6 | 2.4069745E-6 | 4.4406872E-5 | 18.44925 | 4.2E-5 | 1.295164E-5 | 1.0315564E-5 | 6.6314984E-5 | 6.4286337 | 5.6E-5 | 1.576748E-4 | 1.2558486E-4 | 2.0957431E-4 | 1.6687864 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.787619E-6 | 2.224506E-6 | 4.2224416E-5 | 18.98148 | 4.0E-5 | 1.1946884E-5 | 9.533563E-6 | 6.353305E-5 | 6.664145 | 5.4E-5 | 1.454436E-4 | 1.1606505E-4 | 1.9605576E-4 | 1.6891887 | 8.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.4593792E-6 | 1.928886E-6 | 2.9928831E-5 | 15.516124 | 2.8E-5 | 1.0540153E-5 | 8.266628E-6 | 5.026628E-5 | 6.080627 | 4.2E-5 | 1.2831882E-4 | 1.0064164E-4 | 1.646352E-4 | 1.6358557 | 6.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.926764E-6 | 1.4437002E-6 | 2.5443665E-5 | 17.623926 | 2.4E-5 | 8.257534E-6 | 6.187272E-6 | 3.8187074E-5 | 6.171876 | 3.2E-5 | 1.00530844E-4 | 7.5327494E-5 | 1.2332389E-4 | 1.6371695 | 4.8E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.1609359E-6 | 8.183115E-7 | 1.0818303E-5 | 13.220275 | 1.0E-5 | 4.97543E-6 | 3.5070448E-6 | 1.7506996E-5 | 4.991951 | 1.4E-5 | 6.0574173E-5 | 4.269748E-5 | 6.869637E-5 | 1.6089092 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 5.1168536E-7 | 2.735103E-7 | 2.2735098E-6 | 8.312337 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1929354E-6 | 1.1721866E-6 | 3.1721843E-6 | 2.706211 | 2.0E-6 | 2.669866E-5 | 1.4271292E-5 | 1.8271234E-5 | 1.2802789 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.16056995E-8 | 9.789773E-9 | 9.789773E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9738713E-8 | 4.195617E-8 | 4.195617E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0556863E-7 | 5.108164E-7 | 5.108164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.973848E-6 | 5.697342E-5 | 6.3488283 | 4.8E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8458824E-5 | 1.0245636E-4 | 2.6640534 | 6.4E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.681435E-4 | 5.5810134E-4 | 1.1921587 | 9.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.973848E-6 | 5.697342E-5 | 6.3488283 | 4.8E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8458824E-5 | 1.0245636E-4 | 2.6640534 | 6.4E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.681435E-4 | 5.5810134E-4 | 1.1921587 | 9.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.973848E-6 | 5.697342E-5 | 6.3488283 | 4.8E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8458824E-5 | 1.0245636E-4 | 2.6640534 | 6.4E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.681435E-4 | 5.5810134E-4 | 1.1921587 | 9.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 8.8368415E-6 | 8.973848E-6 | 5.697342E-5 | 6.3488283 | 4.8E-5 | 3.787163E-5 | 3.8458824E-5 | 1.0245636E-4 | 2.6640534 | 6.4E-5 | 4.609895E-4 | 4.681435E-4 | 5.5810134E-4 | 1.1921587 | 9.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.944617E-6 | 1.594457E-5 | 4.0421085 | 1.2E-5 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6905393E-5 | 3.490509E-5 | 2.064731 | 1.8E-5 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0580401E-4 | 2.2779948E-4 | 1.1068758 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 3.9094193E-6 | 3.944617E-6 | 1.594457E-5 | 4.0421085 | 1.2E-5 | 1.6754546E-5 | 1.6905393E-5 | 3.490509E-5 | 2.064731 | 1.8E-5 | 2.039675E-4 | 2.0580401E-4 | 2.2779948E-4 | 1.1068758 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 3.0587726E-6 | 3.0780473E-6 | 1.3078016E-5 | 4.248803 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3108959E-5 | 1.3191565E-5 | 2.5191406E-5 | 1.9096602 | 1.2E-5 | 1.595899E-4 | 1.6059558E-4 | 1.7659302E-4 | 1.0996132 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 2.6160574E-6 | 2.62742E-6 | 1.0627399E-5 | 4.044804 | 8.0E-6 | 1.1211626E-5 | 1.1260323E-5 | 2.126021E-5 | 1.888064 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3649299E-4 | 1.3708587E-4 | 1.5108395E-4 | 1.1021118 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.5110312E-6 | 2.5203606E-6 | 1.0520341E-5 | 4.174141 | 8.0E-6 | 1.0761518E-5 | 1.0801501E-5 | 2.0801393E-5 | 1.9257873 | 1.0E-5 | 1.310136E-4 | 1.3150039E-4 | 1.4549855E-4 | 1.1064496 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.8564405E-6 | 1.8541814E-6 | 5.854174E-6 | 3.157282 | 4.0E-6 | 7.95615E-6 | 7.946468E-6 | 1.394642E-5 | 1.7550465 | 6.0E-6 | 9.686181E-5 | 9.674397E-5 | 1.06743E-4 | 1.1033556 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.546127E-6 | 1.5384278E-6 | 5.5384216E-6 | 3.600053 | 4.0E-6 | 6.626242E-6 | 6.5932454E-6 | 1.2593206E-5 | 1.9100163 | 6.0E-6 | 8.06715E-5 | 8.026981E-5 | 9.026901E-5 | 1.1245699 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.3368208E-6 | 1.324876E-6 | 3.3248734E-6 | 2.5095732 | 2.0E-6 | 5.7292195E-6 | 5.678028E-6 | 9.678005E-6 | 1.7044659 | 4.0E-6 | 6.975101E-5 | 6.9127804E-5 | 7.712725E-5 | 1.1157197 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.0623363E-6 | 1.0466252E-6 | 3.0466233E-6 | 2.9109015 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5528623E-6 | 4.485529E-6 | 6.4855203E-6 | 1.4458762 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5429686E-5 | 5.4609955E-5 | 6.0609626E-5 | 1.1098641 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 7.831679E-7 | 7.737607E-7 | 7.737607E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3564295E-6 | 3.3161132E-6 | 3.3161132E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.086376E-5 | 4.037293E-5 | 4.437277E-5 | 1.0990723 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 5.9558846E-7 | 5.919728E-7 | 5.919728E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5525194E-6 | 2.5370239E-6 | 2.5370239E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.107648E-5 | 3.0887826E-5 | 3.4887704E-5 | 1.1294968 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 4.1616502E-7 | 4.127315E-7 | 4.127315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7835631E-6 | 1.768848E-6 | 1.768848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1714664E-5 | 2.1535512E-5 | 2.353547E-5 | 1.0928679 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 2.3816014E-7 | 2.343755E-7 | 2.343755E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0206859E-6 | 1.0044661E-6 | 1.0044661E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.242678E-5 | 1.2229306E-5 | 1.2229306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 9.918777E-8 | 9.434238E-8 | 9.434238E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2509038E-7 | 4.0432442E-7 | 4.0432442E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1754632E-6 | 4.9226387E-6 | 4.9226387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 3.4982556E-8 | 3.00705E-8 | 3.00705E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4992524E-7 | 1.2887357E-7 | 1.2887357E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8253382E-6 | 1.5690345E-6 | 1.5690345E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 1.6624908E-8 | 1.1814976E-8 | 1.1814976E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.12496E-8 | 5.063561E-8 | 5.063561E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6746354E-7 | 6.1648836E-7 | 6.1648836E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 6.3352315E-9 | 3.294212E-9 | 3.294212E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.715099E-8 | 1.4118052E-8 | 1.4118052E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3056327E-7 | 1.7188727E-7 | 1.7188727E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Laguna Salada
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.3960263E-5 | 3.2042437E-5 | 7.404109E-5 | 2.3107197 | 4.2E-5 | 1.8838752E-4 | 1.37318E-4 | 2.0130922E-4 | 1.4660075 | 6.4E-5 | 0.0022912053 | 0.0016706584 | 0.0017625047 | 1.0549761 | 9.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.7353202E-5 | 3.2042437E-5 | 7.404109E-5 | 2.3107197 | 4.2E-5 | 1.6007533E-4 | 1.37318E-4 | 2.0130922E-4 | 1.4660075 | 6.4E-5 | 0.0019471749 | 0.0016706584 | 0.0017625047 | 1.0549761 | 9.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.3633605E-5 | 2.7918843E-5 | 6.7917725E-5 | 2.4326842 | 4.0E-5 | 1.4413605E-4 | 1.1964714E-4 | 1.776402E-4 | 1.4847008 | 5.8E-5 | 0.0017534439 | 0.001455815 | 0.0015317044 | 1.0521284 | 7.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 3.0459405E-5 | 2.4537607E-5 | 6.453662E-5 | 2.630111 | 4.0E-5 | 1.3053378E-4 | 1.0515737E-4 | 1.6315127E-4 | 1.5514963 | 5.8E-5 | 0.0015880901 | 0.001279617 | 0.0013555196 | 1.0593168 | 7.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.8078504E-5 | 2.2210217E-5 | 5.0209594E-5 | 2.260653 | 2.8E-5 | 1.203309E-4 | 9.51836E-5 | 1.391794E-4 | 1.4622205 | 4.4E-5 | 0.0014640441 | 0.0011583191 | 0.0012182497 | 1.0517392 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.6691412E-5 | 2.0957674E-5 | 4.6957128E-5 | 2.2405696 | 2.6E-5 | 1.1438675E-4 | 8.981593E-5 | 1.3181215E-4 | 1.467581 | 4.2E-5 | 0.0013917689 | 0.0010930347 | 0.0011509713 | 1.0530052 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.207987E-5 | 1.7112216E-5 | 3.7111873E-5 | 2.1687357 | 2.0E-5 | 9.4624585E-5 | 7.33364E-5 | 1.0133434E-4 | 1.3817742 | 2.8E-5 | 0.0011514454 | 8.9257414E-4 | 9.345367E-4 | 1.0470129 | 4.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.9458053E-5 | 1.48712015E-5 | 3.2870936E-5 | 2.210375 | 1.8E-5 | 8.338899E-5 | 6.373255E-5 | 8.7731016E-5 | 1.3765497 | 2.4E-5 | 0.001014788 | 7.7573553E-4 | 8.0970913E-4 | 1.0437953 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.0767866E-5 | 8.582377E-6 | 1.4582325E-5 | 1.6991011 | 6.0E-6 | 4.614718E-5 | 3.678142E-5 | 4.4781125E-5 | 1.2174932 | 8.0E-6 | 5.6169706E-4 | 4.4777957E-4 | 4.597742E-4 | 1.0267869 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.1384765E-6 | 1.80359E-6 | 1.80359E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.164866E-6 | 7.729651E-6 | 7.729651E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1157654E-4 | 9.410483E-5 | 9.410483E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.0952946E-6 | 1.7614096E-6 | 1.7614096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.979802E-6 | 7.548879E-6 | 7.548879E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0932361E-4 | 9.190411E-5 | 9.190411E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.7887576E-6 | 1.4614034E-6 | 1.4614034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666081E-6 | 6.2631443E-6 | 6.2631443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.333054E-5 | 7.6251425E-5 | 7.6251425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 9.723109E-7 | 7.2132633E-7 | 7.2132633E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16704E-6 | 3.0913957E-6 | 3.0913957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.073253E-5 | 3.7637263E-5 | 3.7637263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9280833E-5 | 7.927937E-5 | 2.7075517 | 5.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.254834E-4 | 1.8147638E-4 | 1.4462181 | 5.6E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015267173 | 0.001612586 | 1.056244 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9280833E-5 | 7.927937E-5 | 2.7075517 | 5.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.254834E-4 | 1.8147638E-4 | 1.4462181 | 5.6E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015267173 | 0.001612586 | 1.056244 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.883978E-5 | 2.9280833E-5 | 7.927937E-5 | 2.7075517 | 5.0E-5 | 1.235932E-4 | 1.254834E-4 | 1.8147638E-4 | 1.4462181 | 5.6E-5 | 0.0015037085 | 0.0015267173 | 0.001612586 | 1.056244 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.2914428E-5 | 2.2763184E-5 | 5.076255E-5 | 2.2300284 | 2.8E-5 | 9.8200995E-5 | 9.755288E-5 | 1.3154956E-4 | 1.3484949 | 3.4E-5 | 0.0011949413 | 0.0011870642 | 0.0012429977 | 1.0471193 | 5.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.0195741E-5 | 1.9805602E-5 | 4.380513E-5 | 2.2117543 | 2.4E-5 | 8.65503E-5 | 8.4878404E-5 | 1.1287603E-4 | 1.3298557 | 2.8E-5 | 0.0010532405 | 0.0010329067 | 0.0010788591 | 1.0444885 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.9924333E-5 | 1.9518086E-5 | 4.351762E-5 | 2.2296047 | 2.4E-5 | 8.53872E-5 | 8.364627E-5 | 1.1164393E-4 | 1.334715 | 2.8E-5 | 0.0010390934 | 0.0010179195 | 0.0010618747 | 1.0431814 | 4.4E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.809694E-5 | 1.7561655E-5 | 3.7561305E-5 | 2.138825 | 2.0E-5 | 7.7556004E-5 | 7.526207E-5 | 9.9260265E-5 | 1.3188617 | 2.4E-5 | 9.438353E-4 | 9.159318E-4 | 9.558952E-4 | 1.0436313 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.675989E-5 | 1.6143656E-5 | 3.6143334E-5 | 2.2388566 | 2.0E-5 | 7.182612E-5 | 6.918528E-5 | 9.318361E-5 | 1.3468707 | 2.4E-5 | 8.7413215E-4 | 8.420063E-4 | 8.8197266E-4 | 1.0474656 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.5401129E-5 | 1.4711768E-5 | 3.0711533E-5 | 2.0875487 | 1.6E-5 | 6.6003166E-5 | 6.3048916E-5 | 8.304766E-5 | 1.317194 | 2.0E-5 | 8.032922E-4 | 7.6735107E-4 | 8.0332346E-4 | 1.0468787 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.356559E-5 | 1.2782994E-5 | 2.6782815E-5 | 2.095191 | 1.4E-5 | 5.8136946E-5 | 5.478311E-5 | 7.078223E-5 | 1.2920448 | 1.6E-5 | 7.0758746E-4 | 6.6678075E-4 | 6.967607E-4 | 1.0449623 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.2030819E-5 | 1.1185058E-5 | 2.1184946E-5 | 1.8940399 | 1.0E-5 | 5.155963E-5 | 4.7935082E-5 | 5.9934508E-5 | 1.2503265 | 1.2E-5 | 6.275577E-4 | 5.8345345E-4 | 6.0743943E-4 | 1.0411104 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.0972698E-5 | 1.0109154E-5 | 2.0109052E-5 | 1.9891925 | 1.0E-5 | 4.7025E-5 | 4.3324224E-5 | 5.332379E-5 | 1.2308078 | 1.0E-5 | 5.72379E-4 | 5.273448E-4 | 5.473343E-4 | 1.0379058 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 9.961926E-6 | 9.119568E-6 | 1.9119476E-5 | 2.0965333 | 1.0E-5 | 4.2693267E-5 | 3.9083276E-5 | 4.9082886E-5 | 1.2558539 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1966653E-4 | 4.7573505E-4 | 4.9572554E-4 | 1.0420202 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 8.700929E-6 | 7.911378E-6 | 1.1911346E-5 | 1.505597 | 4.0E-6 | 3.7289166E-5 | 3.3905464E-5 | 3.7905327E-5 | 1.1179711 | 4.0E-6 | 4.53901E-4 | 4.1272087E-4 | 4.247159E-4 | 1.0290633 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 7.866285E-6 | 7.080524E-6 | 9.08051E-6 | 1.282463 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3712215E-5 | 3.034475E-5 | 3.2344687E-5 | 1.0659072 | 2.0E-6 | 4.103689E-4 | 3.6938474E-4 | 3.7738177E-4 | 1.0216496 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 6.8381305E-6 | 6.0394586E-6 | 8.039447E-6 | 1.3311535 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9305946E-5 | 2.5883137E-5 | 2.7883085E-5 | 1.0772684 | 2.0E-6 | 3.5674145E-4 | 3.1508165E-4 | 3.2307912E-4 | 1.0253823 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 5.503376E-6 | 4.6714454E-6 | 6.671436E-6 | 1.428131 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3585684E-5 | 2.0020325E-5 | 2.2020286E-5 | 1.0998964 | 2.0E-6 | 2.8711787E-4 | 2.4372022E-4 | 2.4771926E-4 | 1.0164082 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 3.6144982E-6 | 2.721095E-6 | 4.7210897E-6 | 1.7349962 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5490614E-5 | 1.1661783E-5 | 1.366176E-5 | 1.1714983 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8858191E-4 | 1.4197297E-4 | 1.4397269E-4 | 1.0140852 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.9853494E-6 | 1.1925868E-6 | 3.1925842E-6 | 2.6770248 | 2.0E-6 | 8.508612E-6 | 5.1110756E-6 | 7.1110653E-6 | 1.3913051 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0358743E-4 | 6.222557E-5 | 6.4225445E-5 | 1.0321392 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 1.1818757E-6 | 5.7282614E-7 | 5.7282614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0651715E-6 | 2.4549665E-6 | 2.4549665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1666724E-5 | 2.988881E-5 | 2.988881E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 6.962958E-7 | 3.0101552E-7 | 3.0101552E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9841215E-6 | 1.2900658E-6 | 1.2900658E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6331072E-5 | 1.5706439E-5 | 1.5706439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 7.182471E-8 | 7.182471E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 3.0782016E-7 | 3.0782016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.747704E-6 | 3.747704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Juan
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.741667E-6 | 4.274137E-5 | 4.8893843 | 3.4E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7463775E-5 | 8.146213E-5 | 2.174424 | 4.4E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5603086E-4 | 5.419916E-4 | 1.1884978 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.741667E-6 | 4.274137E-5 | 4.8893843 | 3.4E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7463775E-5 | 8.146213E-5 | 2.174424 | 4.4E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5603086E-4 | 5.419916E-4 | 1.1884978 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 8.682808E-6 | 8.741667E-6 | 4.274137E-5 | 4.8893843 | 3.4E-5 | 3.72115E-5 | 3.7463775E-5 | 8.146213E-5 | 2.174424 | 4.4E-5 | 4.5295584E-4 | 4.5603086E-4 | 5.419916E-4 | 1.1884978 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.3054235E-6 | 6.2704153E-6 | 3.227025E-5 | 5.1464295 | 2.6E-5 | 2.7022963E-5 | 2.687294E-5 | 6.0872026E-5 | 2.2651792 | 3.4E-5 | 3.2895492E-4 | 3.2713034E-4 | 3.8511137E-4 | 1.1772413 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.1490473E-6 | 6.1043206E-6 | 3.0104175E-5 | 4.9316173 | 2.4E-5 | 2.6352795E-5 | 2.616112E-5 | 5.6160334E-5 | 2.14671 | 3.0E-5 | 3.2079802E-4 | 3.1846645E-4 | 3.7244926E-4 | 1.1695086 | 5.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 5.204848E-6 | 5.1261686E-6 | 2.7126056E-5 | 5.2916822 | 2.2E-5 | 2.23063E-5 | 2.1969116E-5 | 4.5968587E-5 | 2.0924187 | 2.4E-5 | 2.7154534E-4 | 2.674421E-4 | 3.134298E-4 | 1.1719538 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.5179986E-6 | 4.4127237E-6 | 2.0412654E-5 | 4.6258626 | 1.6E-5 | 1.9362706E-5 | 1.891154E-5 | 3.69112E-5 | 1.9517817 | 1.8E-5 | 2.3571544E-4 | 2.3022447E-4 | 2.6421665E-4 | 1.147648 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.9442616E-6 | 3.8194257E-6 | 1.9819365E-5 | 5.1890955 | 1.6E-5 | 1.6903869E-5 | 1.636887E-5 | 3.4368575E-5 | 2.0996304 | 1.8E-5 | 2.0578515E-4 | 1.9927343E-4 | 2.3126705E-4 | 1.1605514 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.4536245E-6 | 3.316168E-6 | 1.3316135E-5 | 4.0155187 | 1.0E-5 | 1.4801163E-5 | 1.4212074E-5 | 2.6211905E-5 | 1.8443404 | 1.2E-5 | 1.8018926E-4 | 1.7301888E-4 | 1.9901438E-4 | 1.1502466 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 3.059865E-6 | 2.9121927E-6 | 8.912175E-6 | 3.0602973 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3113641E-5 | 1.2480768E-5 | 2.048067E-5 | 1.6409781 | 8.0E-6 | 1.596469E-4 | 1.5194334E-4 | 1.719403E-4 | 1.131608 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.6504351E-6 | 2.4926615E-6 | 8.492646E-6 | 3.40706 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1358958E-5 | 1.0682794E-5 | 1.668273E-5 | 1.5616448 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3828653E-4 | 1.3005579E-4 | 1.4805346E-4 | 1.1383841 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.2039317E-6 | 2.037363E-6 | 8.037351E-6 | 3.9449773 | 6.0E-6 | 9.445387E-6 | 8.731529E-6 | 1.4731477E-5 | 1.6871588 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1499152E-4 | 1.0630171E-4 | 1.2230001E-4 | 1.150499 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.0786707E-6 | 8.791126E-7 | 2.8791108E-6 | 3.2750194 | 2.0E-6 | 4.622866E-6 | 3.7676198E-6 | 5.767612E-6 | 1.5308372 | 2.0E-6 | 5.628194E-5 | 4.5869816E-5 | 4.986963E-5 | 1.0871993 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 6.846433E-7 | 4.9133877E-7 | 4.9133877E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9341822E-6 | 2.1057358E-6 | 2.1057358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5723086E-5 | 2.5637033E-5 | 2.5637033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 5.23043E-7 | 3.3282456E-7 | 3.3282456E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2416111E-6 | 1.4263902E-6 | 1.4263902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7291273E-5 | 1.7366163E-5 | 1.7366163E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 4.648444E-7 | 2.790294E-7 | 2.790294E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9921886E-6 | 1.1958398E-6 | 1.1958398E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4254627E-5 | 1.4559252E-5 | 1.4559252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 3.9906567E-7 | 2.264539E-7 | 2.264539E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7102802E-6 | 9.705163E-7 | 9.705163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0822463E-5 | 1.1815973E-5 | 1.1815973E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.8784601E-7 | 5.6348075E-8 | 5.6348075E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0505407E-7 | 2.4149173E-7 | 2.4149173E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.80149E-6 | 2.9401579E-6 | 2.9401579E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.00154914E-7 | 1.3635594E-8 | 1.3635594E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2923529E-7 | 5.8438253E-8 | 5.8438253E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.225927E-6 | 7.1148554E-7 | 7.1148554E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 6.171429E-8 | 5.063695E-9 | 5.063695E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6448978E-7 | 2.1701542E-8 | 2.1701542E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2201583E-6 | 2.6421628E-7 | 2.6421628E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.3974572E-8 | 5.1058946E-10 | 5.1058946E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.989102E-8 | 2.1882371E-9 | 2.1882371E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2917294E-7 | 2.6641786E-8 | 2.6641786E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 1.8403477E-9 | 1.5387469E-10 | 1.5387469E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.887204E-9 | 6.594624E-10 | 6.594624E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.602671E-8 | 8.028954E-9 | 8.028954E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Death Valley (No)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2638527E-5 | 5.8637714E-5 | 2.5901735 | 3.6E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.7018696E-5 | 1.5301326E-4 | 1.5771524 | 5.6E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011805701 | 0.0012664685 | 1.0727601 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2638527E-5 | 5.8637714E-5 | 2.5901735 | 3.6E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.7018696E-5 | 1.5301326E-4 | 1.5771524 | 5.6E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011805701 | 0.0012664685 | 1.0727601 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.0074807E-5 | 2.2638527E-5 | 5.8637714E-5 | 2.5901735 | 3.6E-5 | 8.603206E-5 | 9.7018696E-5 | 1.5301326E-4 | 1.5771524 | 5.6E-5 | 0.001046937 | 0.0011805701 | 0.0012664685 | 1.0727601 | 8.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.146739E-5 | 5.546666E-5 | 2.5837636 | 3.4E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1999886E-5 | 1.439951E-4 | 1.5651661 | 5.2E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.00111953 | 0.0012014381 | 1.073163 | 8.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.9050609E-5 | 2.146739E-5 | 5.546666E-5 | 2.5837636 | 3.4E-5 | 8.164292E-5 | 9.1999886E-5 | 1.439951E-4 | 1.5651661 | 5.2E-5 | 9.935491E-4 | 0.00111953 | 0.0012014381 | 1.073163 | 8.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.8367004E-5 | 2.0686135E-5 | 5.268547E-5 | 2.546898 | 3.2E-5 | 7.8713354E-5 | 8.865188E-5 | 1.3864745E-4 | 1.5639538 | 5.0E-5 | 9.5791375E-4 | 0.0010788089 | 0.0011587226 | 1.0740758 | 8.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.779439E-5 | 2.0031594E-5 | 5.203095E-5 | 2.5974445 | 3.2E-5 | 7.625944E-5 | 8.58469E-5 | 1.3584261E-4 | 1.5823822 | 5.0E-5 | 9.280632E-4 | 0.0010446913 | 0.0011246077 | 1.0764977 | 8.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.7025437E-5 | 1.9158426E-5 | 4.715789E-5 | 2.4614701 | 2.8E-5 | 7.296412E-5 | 8.210498E-5 | 1.2810121E-4 | 1.5602123 | 4.6E-5 | 8.87976E-4 | 9.991761E-4 | 0.0010731021 | 1.073987 | 7.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.6545107E-5 | 1.8624654E-5 | 4.6624133E-5 | 2.5033557 | 2.8E-5 | 7.090568E-5 | 7.981754E-5 | 1.2581387E-4 | 1.5762684 | 4.6E-5 | 8.629347E-4 | 9.7135146E-4 | 0.0010412835 | 1.0719945 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.615478E-5 | 1.8197736E-5 | 4.6197227E-5 | 2.538625 | 2.8E-5 | 6.9232934E-5 | 7.7988E-5 | 1.2398441E-4 | 1.5897883 | 4.6E-5 | 8.4258494E-4 | 9.4909646E-4 | 0.00101903 | 1.0736843 | 7.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.5894311E-5 | 1.7914475E-5 | 4.391401E-5 | 2.4513142 | 2.6E-5 | 6.81167E-5 | 7.67741E-5 | 1.2077072E-4 | 1.573066 | 4.4E-5 | 8.2900526E-4 | 9.3433E-4 | 0.0010022664 | 1.0727115 | 6.8E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.5602263E-5 | 1.759072E-5 | 4.3590262E-5 | 2.478026 | 2.6E-5 | 6.6865134E-5 | 7.538666E-5 | 1.19383345E-4 | 1.5836136 | 4.4E-5 | 8.137789E-4 | 9.174523E-4 | 9.833917E-4 | 1.0718724 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.5323829E-5 | 1.7275876E-5 | 4.3275428E-5 | 2.504963 | 2.6E-5 | 6.56719E-5 | 7.40374E-5 | 1.1803414E-4 | 1.5942502 | 4.4E-5 | 7.99262E-4 | 9.010387E-4 | 9.6697925E-4 | 1.0731828 | 6.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.4556212E-5 | 1.6401924E-5 | 4.040153E-5 | 2.4632192 | 2.4E-5 | 6.238227E-5 | 7.0292095E-5 | 1.1228914E-4 | 1.5974647 | 4.2E-5 | 7.592395E-4 | 8.554762E-4 | 9.174231E-4 | 1.0724123 | 6.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.411725E-5 | 1.5904243E-5 | 3.990386E-5 | 2.5090072 | 2.4E-5 | 6.0501097E-5 | 6.8159294E-5 | 1.1015643E-4 | 1.6161616 | 4.2E-5 | 7.363519E-4 | 8.2952937E-4 | 8.914779E-4 | 1.0746791 | 6.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.3503312E-5 | 1.5218719E-5 | 3.9218354E-5 | 2.5769813 | 2.4E-5 | 5.7870053E-5 | 6.522149E-5 | 1.07218744E-4 | 1.6439176 | 4.2E-5 | 7.043401E-4 | 7.937882E-4 | 8.5374055E-4 | 1.075527 | 6.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.1279839E-5 | 1.2702935E-5 | 3.2702683E-5 | 2.5744193 | 2.0E-5 | 4.834127E-5 | 5.4440046E-5 | 9.243798E-5 | 1.6979775 | 3.8E-5 | 5.88396E-4 | 6.626114E-4 | 7.145769E-4 | 1.0784254 | 5.2E-5 |
| 7.7 | 9.189108E-6 | 1.0345606E-5 | 3.03454E-5 | 2.9331677 | 2.0E-5 | 3.93813E-5 | 4.4337587E-5 | 8.0335994E-5 | 1.8119161 | 3.6E-5 | 4.7936183E-4 | 5.396815E-4 | 5.8165885E-4 | 1.0777817 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.4586725E-7 | 3.6584183E-7 | 2.365841E-6 | 6.466841 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4822873E-6 | 1.5678927E-6 | 3.5678895E-6 | 2.2755954 | 2.0E-6 | 1.80467E-5 | 1.908893E-5 | 2.1088892E-5 | 1.1047708 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Peninsula) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.6200685E-5 | 1.8089713E-5 | 6.408888E-5 | 3.5428357 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 7.7525045E-5 | 1.2952101E-4 | 1.670699 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 9.434607E-4 | 0.0010273814 | 1.0889499 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 8.6200685E-5 | 1.8089713E-5 | 6.408888E-5 | 3.5428357 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 7.7525045E-5 | 1.2952101E-4 | 1.670699 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 9.434607E-4 | 0.0010273814 | 1.0889499 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 8.6200685E-5 | 1.8089713E-5 | 6.408888E-5 | 3.5428357 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6937918E-4 | 7.7525045E-5 | 1.2952101E-4 | 1.670699 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0044879215 | 9.434607E-4 | 0.0010273814 | 1.0889499 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 8.551163E-5 | 1.7717774E-5 | 6.371696E-5 | 3.5962172 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6642692E-4 | 7.5931115E-5 | 1.2792717E-4 | 1.6847793 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004452125 | 9.240712E-4 | 0.0010079936 | 1.090818 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 8.551163E-5 | 1.7717774E-5 | 6.371696E-5 | 3.5962172 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6642692E-4 | 7.5931115E-5 | 1.2792717E-4 | 1.6847793 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004452125 | 9.240712E-4 | 0.0010079936 | 1.090818 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 8.511146E-5 | 1.7502383E-5 | 6.3501575E-5 | 3.6281674 | 4.6E-5 | 3.647124E-4 | 7.5008065E-5 | 1.2700417E-4 | 1.6932068 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004431336 | 9.128426E-4 | 9.967659E-4 | 1.0919362 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.6 | 8.4985084E-5 | 1.7422028E-5 | 6.342123E-5 | 3.6402898 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6417096E-4 | 7.46637E-5 | 1.2665983E-4 | 1.6964042 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0044247704 | 9.086534E-4 | 9.92577E-4 | 1.0923605 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.7 | 8.462618E-5 | 1.7218783E-5 | 6.3217994E-5 | 3.6714551 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6263323E-4 | 7.3792704E-5 | 1.2578887E-4 | 1.7046247 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004406125 | 8.980578E-4 | 9.819824E-4 | 1.0934511 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 8.42337E-5 | 1.7089405E-5 | 6.308862E-5 | 3.6916802 | 4.6E-5 | 3.6095164E-4 | 7.323827E-5 | 1.2523445E-4 | 1.7099594 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004385734 | 8.913131E-4 | 9.752382E-4 | 1.094159 | 8.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 8.365989E-5 | 1.6862252E-5 | 6.286148E-5 | 3.7279408 | 4.6E-5 | 3.5849313E-4 | 7.2264804E-5 | 1.2426105E-4 | 1.7195238 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004355922 | 8.794708E-4 | 9.633969E-4 | 1.095428 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 8.30936E-5 | 1.6592316E-5 | 6.259155E-5 | 3.7723217 | 4.6E-5 | 3.560668E-4 | 7.110799E-5 | 1.231043E-4 | 1.73123 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004326499 | 8.653979E-4 | 9.493252E-4 | 1.0969812 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 8.041264E-5 | 1.6200538E-5 | 6.219979E-5 | 3.839366 | 4.6E-5 | 3.4458007E-4 | 6.9429036E-5 | 1.2142543E-4 | 1.7489141 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0041871946 | 8.449727E-4 | 9.2890166E-4 | 1.0993274 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.2 | 7.8427016E-5 | 1.5528705E-5 | 6.152799E-5 | 3.96221 | 4.6E-5 | 3.3607247E-4 | 6.654991E-5 | 1.1854645E-4 | 1.7813164 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004084008 | 8.0994586E-4 | 8.938779E-4 | 1.1036266 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 7.721087E-5 | 1.5280913E-5 | 6.128021E-5 | 4.0102453 | 4.6E-5 | 3.3086175E-4 | 6.5488E-5 | 1.1748459E-4 | 1.7939867 | 5.2E-5 | 0.004020803 | 7.970266E-4 | 8.809597E-4 | 1.1053077 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 7.3536525E-5 | 1.3198276E-5 | 5.9197668E-5 | 4.4852576 | 4.6E-5 | 3.1511846E-4 | 5.656282E-5 | 1.0855988E-4 | 1.9192798 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0038298194 | 6.884363E-4 | 7.723785E-4 | 1.1219317 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 6.806207E-5 | 1.0675526E-5 | 5.6675035E-5 | 5.308875 | 4.6E-5 | 2.9166197E-4 | 4.5751458E-5 | 9.774908E-5 | 2.1365237 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0035452035 | 5.5688294E-4 | 6.4083614E-4 | 1.1507556 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 5.6731416E-5 | 5.215609E-6 | 5.1215367E-5 | 9.819634 | 4.6E-5 | 2.43112E-4 | 2.2352417E-5 | 7.435126E-5 | 3.3263185 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0029558712 | 2.7210673E-4 | 3.5608388E-4 | 1.3086184 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 4.946994E-5 | 3.906933E-6 | 4.9906754E-5 | 12.773895 | 4.6E-5 | 2.1199681E-4 | 1.674389E-5 | 6.874302E-5 | 4.1055584 | 5.2E-5 | 0.002578006 | 2.0383783E-4 | 2.878207E-4 | 1.4120083 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.9718198E-5 | 3.449433E-6 | 4.9449274E-5 | 14.335479 | 4.6E-5 | 1.7020974E-4 | 1.4783201E-5 | 6.6782435E-5 | 4.517454 | 5.2E-5 | 0.0020703338 | 1.7997062E-4 | 2.639555E-4 | 1.4666588 | 8.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.4115114E-5 | 2.1628446E-6 | 4.616275E-5 | 21.343534 | 4.4E-5 | 1.0334639E-4 | 9.269301E-6 | 5.9268838E-5 | 6.3940997 | 5.0E-5 | 0.001257516 | 1.12847905E-4 | 1.9483865E-4 | 1.7265598 | 8.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.7756569E-5 | 1.3179819E-6 | 4.3317927E-5 | 32.866863 | 4.2E-5 | 7.6097356E-5 | 5.648481E-6 | 5.164822E-5 | 9.143736 | 4.6E-5 | 9.260915E-4 | 6.876809E-5 | 1.4476286E-4 | 2.1050878 | 7.6E-5 |
| 8.1 | 1.3159258E-5 | 8.819758E-7 | 4.288194E-5 | 48.62031 | 4.2E-5 | 5.6395602E-5 | 3.7798907E-6 | 4.9779715E-5 | 13.169619 | 4.6E-5 | 6.864001E-4 | 4.60192E-5 | 1.2001579E-4 | 2.6079504 | 7.4E-5 |
| 8.2 | 8.635426E-6 | 3.8595184E-7 | 2.4385943E-5 | 63.1839 | 2.4E-5 | 3.700844E-5 | 1.6540782E-6 | 2.7654036E-5 | 16.718699 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5048463E-4 | 2.0138217E-5 | 7.013721E-5 | 3.4827914 | 5.0E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
Hayward (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.7309593E-4 | 3.4888886E-4 | 3.808777E-4 | 1.0916878 | 3.2E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.001494391 | 0.0015363282 | 1.028063 | 4.2E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.01804478 | 0.018111551 | 1.0037004 | 6.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.7309593E-4 | 3.4888886E-4 | 3.808777E-4 | 1.0916878 | 3.2E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.001494391 | 0.0015363282 | 1.028063 | 4.2E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.01804478 | 0.018111551 | 1.0037004 | 6.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.7309593E-4 | 3.4888886E-4 | 3.808777E-4 | 1.0916878 | 3.2E-5 | 7.4162876E-4 | 0.001494391 | 0.0015363282 | 1.028063 | 4.2E-5 | 0.008992008 | 0.01804478 | 0.018111551 | 1.0037004 | 6.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.7308246E-4 | 3.4888886E-4 | 3.808777E-4 | 1.0916878 | 3.2E-5 | 7.41571E-4 | 0.001494391 | 0.0015363282 | 1.028063 | 4.2E-5 | 0.008991311 | 0.01804478 | 0.018111551 | 1.0037004 | 6.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.6334097E-4 | 3.3008645E-4 | 3.560779E-4 | 1.0787412 | 2.6E-5 | 6.998449E-4 | 0.0014138982 | 0.0014498472 | 1.0254256 | 3.6E-5 | 0.008487372 | 0.017080422 | 0.017141365 | 1.0035679 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.5600289E-4 | 3.166377E-4 | 3.4262947E-4 | 1.0820868 | 2.6E-5 | 6.684125E-4 | 0.0013563216 | 0.0013922728 | 1.0265064 | 3.6E-5 | 0.008107598 | 0.016390145 | 0.016451128 | 1.0037208 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.4046066E-4 | 2.8648353E-4 | 3.1047664E-4 | 1.0837505 | 2.4E-5 | 6.018354E-4 | 0.0012272157 | 0.0012611741 | 1.027671 | 3.4E-5 | 0.0073027555 | 0.014840549 | 0.014897687 | 1.0038502 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.14696966E-4 | 2.3829394E-4 | 2.5828916E-4 | 1.08391 | 2.0E-5 | 4.914658E-4 | 0.0010208653 | 0.0010468387 | 1.0254426 | 2.6E-5 | 0.0059671924 | 0.012359306 | 0.012402763 | 1.0035161 | 4.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 9.3874296E-5 | 1.9327547E-4 | 2.1127198E-4 | 1.0931133 | 1.8E-5 | 4.0225635E-4 | 8.280642E-4 | 8.5004605E-4 | 1.026546 | 2.2E-5 | 0.0048864787 | 0.010035836 | 0.010071475 | 1.0035511 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 5.551852E-5 | 1.10461144E-4 | 1.2245982E-4 | 1.1086235 | 1.2E-5 | 2.3791482E-4 | 4.7331964E-4 | 4.8931205E-4 | 1.0337878 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0028927654 | 0.0057475655 | 0.0057754046 | 1.0048436 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.0 | 4.2662363E-5 | 8.484427E-5 | 9.684326E-5 | 1.1414236 | 1.2E-5 | 1.8282588E-4 | 3.6356805E-4 | 3.7956223E-4 | 1.0439923 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0022236328 | 0.0044175335 | 0.0044434187 | 1.0058596 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 3.305886E-5 | 6.502852E-5 | 7.702774E-5 | 1.1845224 | 1.2E-5 | 1.4167312E-4 | 2.78664E-4 | 2.9465952E-4 | 1.0574008 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0017235056 | 0.0033874763 | 0.0034133883 | 1.0076493 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 2.9856887E-5 | 5.889605E-5 | 7.0895345E-5 | 1.2037368 | 1.2E-5 | 1.2795182E-4 | 2.5238734E-4 | 2.683833E-4 | 1.0633786 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0015567001 | 0.0030685042 | 0.0030924305 | 1.0077974 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.4559737E-5 | 4.742979E-5 | 5.9429218E-5 | 1.2529936 | 1.2E-5 | 1.0525176E-4 | 2.0325476E-4 | 2.1925151E-4 | 1.0787029 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0012806869 | 0.0024718323 | 0.0024957731 | 1.0096854 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.9002231E-5 | 3.6097605E-5 | 4.6097244E-5 | 1.2770166 | 1.0E-5 | 8.143559E-5 | 1.546949E-4 | 1.6869274E-4 | 1.0904868 | 1.4E-5 | 9.910273E-4 | 0.0018817942 | 0.0019037528 | 1.0116689 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.2783333E-5 | 2.3927621E-5 | 3.3927383E-5 | 1.417917 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4784563E-5 | 1.0254296E-4 | 1.1654152E-4 | 1.1365142 | 1.4E-5 | 6.667979E-4 | 0.0012477519 | 0.0012677269 | 1.0160089 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 4.8149627E-6 | 8.75124E-6 | 1.675117E-5 | 1.9141481 | 8.0E-6 | 2.063539E-5 | 3.7504782E-5 | 4.7504407E-5 | 1.2666227 | 1.0E-5 | 2.5120692E-4 | 4.5652644E-4 | 4.725191E-4 | 1.0350313 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 6.0838227E-7 | 6.7517004E-7 | 6.675166E-6 | 9.886644 | 6.0E-6 | 2.6073499E-6 | 2.8935826E-6 | 1.0893559E-5 | 3.7647307 | 8.0E-6 | 3.174402E-5 | 3.52288E-5 | 4.722838E-5 | 1.3406184 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.8 | 4.5542808E-7 | 4.3140915E-7 | 6.4314067E-6 | 14.907905 | 6.0E-6 | 1.9518332E-6 | 1.8488951E-6 | 9.84888E-6 | 5.3269005 | 8.0E-6 | 2.376331E-5 | 2.2510065E-5 | 3.4509794E-5 | 1.5330828 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 3.3016747E-7 | 1.6767294E-7 | 6.167672E-6 | 36.783947 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4150027E-6 | 7.185981E-7 | 8.718593E-6 | 12.13278 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7227521E-5 | 8.748896E-6 | 2.0748792E-5 | 2.3715897 | 1.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 2.347038E-7 | 4.9316302E-8 | 6.049316E-6 | 122.66362 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0058731E-6 | 2.1135557E-7 | 8.211354E-6 | 38.8509 | 8.0E-6 | 1.2246436E-5 | 2.5732509E-6 | 1.2573225E-5 | 4.8861246 | 1.0E-5 |
| 8.1 | 1.18822804E-7 | 1.8154768E-8 | 4.018155E-6 | 221.32779 | 4.0E-6 | 5.092405E-7 | 7.780615E-8 | 4.077806E-6 | 52.409813 | 4.0E-6 | 6.1999854E-6 | 9.4728944E-7 | 4.9472856E-6 | 5.22257 | 4.0E-6 |
Anaheim
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.9952497E-6 | 1.2327554E-6 | 3.3232714E-5 | 26.958078 | 3.2E-5 | 8.551043E-6 | 5.2832293E-6 | 4.7283007E-5 | 8.949641 | 4.2E-5 | 1.04103965E-4 | 6.432183E-5 | 1.363172E-4 | 2.1192992 | 7.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2327554E-6 | 3.3232714E-5 | 26.958078 | 3.2E-5 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.2832293E-6 | 4.7283007E-5 | 8.949641 | 4.2E-5 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.432183E-5 | 1.363172E-4 | 2.1192992 | 7.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.6729715E-6 | 1.2327554E-6 | 3.3232714E-5 | 26.958078 | 3.2E-5 | 7.1698582E-6 | 5.2832293E-6 | 4.7283007E-5 | 8.949641 | 4.2E-5 | 8.7289525E-5 | 6.432183E-5 | 1.363172E-4 | 2.1192992 | 7.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.9768817E-7 | 1.6697677E-5 | 23.932865 | 1.6E-5 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.9900891E-6 | 2.4990024E-5 | 8.357618 | 2.2E-5 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.640378E-5 | 7.44024E-5 | 2.0438097 | 3.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.1444064E-6 | 6.9768817E-7 | 1.6697677E-5 | 23.932865 | 1.6E-5 | 4.9045893E-6 | 2.9900891E-6 | 2.4990024E-5 | 8.357618 | 2.2E-5 | 5.971174E-5 | 3.640378E-5 | 7.44024E-5 | 2.0438097 | 3.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.1385318E-6 | 6.917578E-7 | 1.4691748E-5 | 21.238283 | 1.4E-5 | 4.879413E-6 | 2.9646733E-6 | 2.2964614E-5 | 7.7460856 | 2.0E-5 | 5.9405233E-5 | 3.6094356E-5 | 7.2093055E-5 | 1.9973499 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.1165511E-6 | 6.695663E-7 | 1.4669557E-5 | 21.909042 | 1.4E-5 | 4.78521E-6 | 2.869567E-6 | 2.0869515E-5 | 7.2727056 | 1.8E-5 | 5.8258374E-5 | 3.4936475E-5 | 6.893529E-5 | 1.973161 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.1098243E-6 | 6.6278784E-7 | 1.4662779E-5 | 22.122883 | 1.4E-5 | 4.7563813E-6 | 2.8405166E-6 | 2.0840465E-5 | 7.3368573 | 1.8E-5 | 5.7907404E-5 | 3.4582798E-5 | 6.858162E-5 | 1.9831138 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.1077587E-6 | 6.6070834E-7 | 1.4660699E-5 | 22.189365 | 1.4E-5 | 4.7475287E-6 | 2.8316044E-6 | 2.0831554E-5 | 7.356802 | 1.8E-5 | 5.779963E-5 | 3.4474295E-5 | 6.847312E-5 | 1.9862081 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.1024468E-6 | 6.553658E-7 | 1.4655357E-5 | 22.3621 | 1.4E-5 | 4.7247636E-6 | 2.808708E-6 | 2.0808657E-5 | 7.4086227 | 1.8E-5 | 5.752248E-5 | 3.419554E-5 | 6.819438E-5 | 1.9942478 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.0993066E-6 | 6.527738E-7 | 1.4652765E-5 | 22.446926 | 1.4E-5 | 4.7113053E-6 | 2.7975993E-6 | 2.0797548E-5 | 7.43407 | 1.8E-5 | 5.7358633E-5 | 3.4060293E-5 | 6.805913E-5 | 1.9981958 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 8.334877E-7 | 4.4207295E-7 | 1.0442069E-5 | 23.620691 | 1.0E-5 | 3.5720855E-6 | 1.8945971E-6 | 1.5894571E-5 | 8.38942 | 1.4E-5 | 4.348927E-5 | 2.3066497E-5 | 4.7065943E-5 | 2.040446 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.2 | 7.794411E-7 | 4.0144303E-7 | 6.4014407E-6 | 15.9460745 | 6.0E-6 | 3.3404576E-6 | 1.7204691E-6 | 9.720456E-6 | 5.6498866 | 8.0E-6 | 4.0669314E-5 | 2.094653E-5 | 3.8946153E-5 | 1.8593129 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 5.01704E-7 | 2.5664332E-7 | 6.256642E-6 | 24.378744 | 6.0E-6 | 2.150158E-6 | 1.0998996E-6 | 9.099891E-6 | 8.273383 | 8.0E-6 | 2.617786E-5 | 1.3391208E-5 | 2.9390994E-5 | 2.1947978 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.4 | 2.4008182E-7 | 1.2395367E-7 | 4.123953E-6 | 33.27012 | 4.0E-6 | 1.0289217E-6 | 5.3122994E-7 | 6.531227E-6 | 12.2945385 | 6.0E-6 | 1.252705E-5 | 6.4677133E-6 | 1.44676615E-5 | 2.2369053 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 2.0263876E-8 | 1.6162065E-8 | 1.6162065E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.684518E-8 | 6.9265994E-8 | 6.9265994E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0573395E-6 | 8.433133E-7 | 8.433133E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.4871431E-9 | 1.5089779E-9 | 1.5089779E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.37347E-9 | 6.46705E-9 | 6.46705E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7596994E-8 | 7.8736335E-8 | 7.8736335E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.5093293E-10 | 1.534124E-10 | 1.534124E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4685546E-10 | 6.574823E-10 | 6.574823E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.875465E-9 | 8.004845E-9 | 8.004845E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (North Coast) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.5333705E-4 | 7.70355E-5 | 1.1503258E-4 | 1.4932411 | 3.8E-5 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.3011063E-4 | 3.740961E-4 | 1.1332446 | 4.4E-5 | 0.007969595 | 0.004011735 | 0.0040834458 | 1.0178753 | 7.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.5333705E-4 | 7.70355E-5 | 1.1503258E-4 | 1.4932411 | 3.8E-5 | 6.5699324E-4 | 3.3011063E-4 | 3.740961E-4 | 1.1332446 | 4.4E-5 | 0.007969595 | 0.004011735 | 0.0040834458 | 1.0178753 | 7.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.488751E-5 | 1.0088517E-4 | 1.5547704 | 3.6E-5 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.7805986E-4 | 3.200482E-4 | 1.1510046 | 4.2E-5 | 0.007233787 | 0.003380159 | 0.0034499222 | 1.0206391 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.3912938E-4 | 6.488751E-5 | 1.0088517E-4 | 1.5547704 | 3.6E-5 | 5.961325E-4 | 2.7805986E-4 | 3.200482E-4 | 1.1510046 | 4.2E-5 | 0.007233787 | 0.003380159 | 0.0034499222 | 1.0206391 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.2623647E-4 | 5.3409804E-5 | 8.540809E-5 | 1.5991089 | 3.2E-5 | 5.4090127E-4 | 2.2887922E-4 | 2.6487096E-4 | 1.1572522 | 3.6E-5 | 0.0065656058 | 0.0027830694 | 0.0028468913 | 1.0229322 | 6.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.1736096E-4 | 4.5512916E-5 | 7.551155E-5 | 1.6591235 | 3.0E-5 | 5.028786E-4 | 1.9504089E-4 | 2.2703464E-4 | 1.1640362 | 3.2E-5 | 0.006105373 | 0.0023720579 | 0.0024299202 | 1.0243933 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.1586959E-4 | 4.4253025E-5 | 7.425169E-5 | 1.6778898 | 3.0E-5 | 4.964894E-4 | 1.8964215E-4 | 2.2163607E-4 | 1.1687069 | 3.2E-5 | 0.006028018 | 0.0023064693 | 0.0023643353 | 1.0250887 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.13693764E-4 | 4.2334268E-5 | 7.2333E-5 | 1.7086158 | 3.0E-5 | 4.87168E-4 | 1.8142008E-4 | 2.1341427E-4 | 1.1763542 | 3.2E-5 | 0.005915152 | 0.0022065726 | 0.0022644447 | 1.0262271 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.1204889E-4 | 4.13761E-5 | 7.137486E-5 | 1.7250262 | 3.0E-5 | 4.8012115E-4 | 1.773142E-4 | 2.0930853E-4 | 1.1804386 | 3.2E-5 | 0.005829819 | 0.0021566837 | 0.0022145587 | 1.0268351 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.1005794E-4 | 4.020912E-5 | 7.020791E-5 | 1.7460693 | 3.0E-5 | 4.7159163E-4 | 1.7231354E-4 | 2.0430803E-4 | 1.185676 | 3.2E-5 | 0.0057265228 | 0.0020959193 | 0.0021537978 | 1.0276148 | 5.8E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.0647948E-4 | 3.7942056E-5 | 6.794092E-5 | 1.7906493 | 3.0E-5 | 4.562608E-4 | 1.625988E-4 | 1.945936E-4 | 1.1967714 | 3.2E-5 | 0.0055408357 | 0.001977863 | 0.0020337524 | 1.0282574 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.04795035E-4 | 3.678502E-5 | 6.678391E-5 | 1.8155195 | 3.0E-5 | 4.4904428E-4 | 1.5764066E-4 | 1.8963563E-4 | 1.2029613 | 3.2E-5 | 0.0054534175 | 0.0019176055 | 0.0019734981 | 1.029147 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.02724036E-4 | 3.5456633E-5 | 6.545557E-5 | 1.846074 | 3.0E-5 | 4.401716E-4 | 1.5194826E-4 | 1.839434E-4 | 1.210566 | 3.2E-5 | 0.0053459285 | 0.0018484201 | 0.0019043166 | 1.0302402 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.00650694E-4 | 3.4716188E-5 | 6.471515E-5 | 1.8641202 | 3.0E-5 | 4.312888E-4 | 1.4877529E-4 | 1.8077053E-4 | 1.2150575 | 3.2E-5 | 0.005238306 | 0.001809854 | 0.0018657526 | 1.0308857 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.4 | 9.672919E-5 | 3.306164E-5 | 6.3060645E-5 | 1.907366 | 3.0E-5 | 4.144878E-4 | 1.4168514E-4 | 1.7368062E-4 | 1.2258209 | 3.2E-5 | 0.005034718 | 0.0017236712 | 0.0017795748 | 1.0324328 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.5 | 8.7600405E-5 | 2.0767753E-5 | 5.0767132E-5 | 2.4445171 | 3.0E-5 | 3.753763E-4 | 8.900163E-5 | 1.2099878E-4 | 1.359512 | 3.2E-5 | 0.0045606326 | 0.0010830584 | 0.0011389978 | 1.0516495 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.6 | 7.9562284E-5 | 1.6710314E-5 | 4.670981E-5 | 2.7952685 | 3.0E-5 | 3.4093665E-4 | 7.161367E-5 | 1.0361138E-4 | 1.44681 | 3.2E-5 | 0.0041430052 | 8.7154954E-4 | 9.275007E-4 | 1.0641974 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.7 | 6.3866544E-5 | 8.25697E-6 | 3.8256723E-5 | 4.633264 | 3.0E-5 | 2.7368503E-4 | 3.5386536E-5 | 6.73854E-5 | 1.9042667 | 3.2E-5 | 0.0033270244 | 4.307462E-4 | 4.8672207E-4 | 1.129951 | 5.6E-5 |
| 7.8 | 4.2543215E-5 | 4.4343788E-6 | 3.2434255E-5 | 7.3142724 | 2.8E-5 | 1.8231533E-4 | 1.9004343E-5 | 4.900377E-5 | 2.5785565 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0022174292 | 2.3135333E-4 | 2.8534082E-4 | 1.2333552 | 5.4E-5 |
| 7.9 | 2.2636612E-5 | 2.561989E-6 | 2.8561923E-5 | 11.148339 | 2.6E-5 | 9.7010445E-5 | 1.0979907E-5 | 3.89796E-5 | 3.5500848 | 2.8E-5 | 0.0011804621 | 1.3367218E-4 | 1.8566522E-4 | 1.3889594 | 5.2E-5 |
| 8.0 | 1.5167874E-5 | 1.5165494E-6 | 2.751651E-5 | 18.144156 | 2.6E-5 | 6.500356E-5 | 6.4994815E-6 | 3.44993E-5 | 5.308008 | 2.8E-5 | 7.9113094E-4 | 7.912832E-5 | 1.311242E-4 | 1.6571084 | 5.2E-5 |
| 8.1 | 1.0681047E-5 | 8.2215354E-7 | 2.6822132E-5 | 32.624237 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5775112E-5 | 3.5235103E-6 | 3.152341E-5 | 8.946592 | 2.8E-5 | 5.5716943E-4 | 4.2897896E-5 | 9.4895666E-5 | 2.2121286 | 5.2E-5 |
| 8.2 | 8.226114E-6 | 3.5796398E-7 | 2.2357955E-5 | 62.458675 | 2.2E-5 | 3.52543E-5 | 1.5341304E-6 | 2.5534093E-5 | 16.644018 | 2.4E-5 | 4.2913653E-4 | 1.8677878E-5 | 6.467702E-5 | 3.4627604 | 4.6E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.983087E-6 | 6.382472E-8 | 6.0638245E-6 | 95.007454 | 6.0E-6 | 8.498917E-6 | 2.7353448E-7 | 6.273533E-6 | 22.93507 | 6.0E-6 | 1.034694E-4 | 3.3302774E-6 | 2.1330217E-5 | 6.4049373 | 1.8E-5 |
Great Valley 09 (Laguna Seca)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.0995786E-5 | 6.4533015E-5 | 9.6530945E-5 | 1.4958383 | 3.2E-5 | 2.1853506E-4 | 2.7654204E-4 | 3.2252932E-4 | 1.166294 | 4.6E-5 | 0.002657418 | 0.0033618147 | 0.0034315793 | 1.0207521 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.2256117E-5 | 5.273406E-5 | 7.47329E-5 | 1.4171656 | 2.2E-5 | 1.8108507E-4 | 2.2598424E-4 | 2.5797702E-4 | 1.1415708 | 3.2E-5 | 0.0022024813 | 0.0027479427 | 0.0027978055 | 1.0181454 | 5.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.8536782E-5 | 3.435134E-5 | 5.2350722E-5 | 1.5239791 | 1.8E-5 | 1.2229476E-4 | 1.4721177E-4 | 1.7120824E-4 | 1.1630064 | 2.4E-5 | 0.0014879217 | 0.0017908448 | 0.0018247839 | 1.0189514 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.3698774E-5 | 2.795134E-5 | 3.9951006E-5 | 1.4293056 | 1.2E-5 | 1.01562226E-4 | 1.1978614E-4 | 1.3778398E-4 | 1.1502498 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0012358186 | 0.0014574351 | 0.0014853943 | 1.0191839 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.9191197E-5 | 2.1971917E-5 | 3.3971653E-5 | 1.5461397 | 1.2E-5 | 8.2245395E-5 | 9.416206E-5 | 1.12160364E-4 | 1.1911418 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0010008777 | 0.0011458389 | 0.001171809 | 1.0226648 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.5203241E-5 | 1.6739774E-5 | 2.473964E-5 | 1.4778957 | 8.0E-6 | 6.5155116E-5 | 7.174009E-5 | 8.373923E-5 | 1.1672585 | 1.2E-5 | 7.9297484E-4 | 8.731042E-4 | 8.8909024E-4 | 1.0183095 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.0984925E-5 | 1.1265128E-5 | 1.9265039E-5 | 1.7101481 | 8.0E-6 | 4.70774E-5 | 4.8278253E-5 | 6.027767E-5 | 1.2485471 | 1.2E-5 | 5.730166E-4 | 5.87633E-4 | 6.016248E-4 | 1.0238104 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.7 | 9.134616E-6 | 9.043207E-6 | 1.7043134E-5 | 1.8846339 | 8.0E-6 | 3.9147766E-5 | 3.875604E-5 | 5.0755574E-5 | 1.3096172 | 1.2E-5 | 4.7651984E-4 | 4.7175502E-4 | 4.857484E-4 | 1.0296624 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 7.785589E-6 | 7.471279E-6 | 1.34712345E-5 | 1.8030694 | 6.0E-6 | 3.3366385E-5 | 3.2019387E-5 | 4.2019066E-5 | 1.3123008 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0616E-4 | 3.897683E-4 | 3.997644E-4 | 1.0256462 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 5.579095E-6 | 4.9113755E-6 | 1.0911346E-5 | 2.2216477 | 6.0E-6 | 2.3910188E-5 | 2.104859E-5 | 2.9048422E-5 | 1.380065 | 8.0E-6 | 2.9106764E-4 | 2.5623784E-4 | 2.642358E-4 | 1.031213 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.6816688E-6 | 1.5289545E-6 | 3.5289515E-6 | 2.3080814 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1492816E-5 | 6.5526465E-6 | 8.5526335E-6 | 1.3052182 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3991605E-4 | 7.977564E-5 | 8.177548E-5 | 1.0250683 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.512525E-7 | 2.751251E-6 | 3.6622188 | 2.0E-6 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.21965E-6 | 5.2196433E-6 | 1.6211835 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.9198574E-5 | 4.1198495E-5 | 1.0510203 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.9951021E-6 | 7.512525E-7 | 2.751251E-6 | 3.6622188 | 2.0E-6 | 8.55041E-6 | 3.21965E-6 | 5.2196433E-6 | 1.6211835 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0409627E-4 | 3.9198574E-5 | 4.1198495E-5 | 1.0510203 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.7087556E-6 | 6.6262453E-7 | 6.6262453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3232177E-6 | 2.8398165E-6 | 2.8398165E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.915652E-5 | 3.457426E-5 | 3.457426E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.112016E-7 | 6.112016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.619433E-6 | 2.619433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.189117E-5 | 3.189117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.3804846E-6 | 6.112016E-7 | 6.112016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.916349E-6 | 2.619433E-6 | 2.619433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2029165E-5 | 3.189117E-5 | 3.189117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Casmalia 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.26998E-6 | 4.0269824E-5 | 9.430918 | 3.6E-5 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.8299785E-5 | 6.429895E-5 | 3.5136447 | 4.6E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2277731E-4 | 2.9276172E-4 | 1.3141451 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.1704893E-6 | 4.26998E-6 | 4.0269824E-5 | 9.430918 | 3.6E-5 | 1.7873403E-5 | 1.8299785E-5 | 6.429895E-5 | 3.5136447 | 4.6E-5 | 2.1758694E-4 | 2.2277731E-4 | 2.9276172E-4 | 1.3141451 | 7.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5438886E-6 | 3.154379E-5 | 8.900898 | 2.8E-5 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5188006E-5 | 5.318743E-5 | 3.5019362 | 3.8E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8489837E-4 | 2.4288765E-4 | 1.3136278 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 3.457312E-6 | 3.5438886E-6 | 3.154379E-5 | 8.900898 | 2.8E-5 | 1.4816967E-5 | 1.5188006E-5 | 5.318743E-5 | 3.5019362 | 3.8E-5 | 1.8038164E-4 | 1.8489837E-4 | 2.4288765E-4 | 1.3136278 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1757738E-6 | 2.7175698E-5 | 8.55719 | 2.4E-5 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3610388E-5 | 4.7609927E-5 | 3.4980578 | 3.4E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6569393E-4 | 2.1968498E-4 | 1.3258481 | 5.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 3.0957337E-6 | 3.1757738E-6 | 2.7175698E-5 | 8.55719 | 2.4E-5 | 1.3267363E-5 | 1.3610388E-5 | 4.7609927E-5 | 3.4980578 | 3.4E-5 | 1.6151817E-4 | 1.6569393E-4 | 2.1968498E-4 | 1.3258481 | 5.4E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.9459152E-6 | 3.0229776E-6 | 2.7022905E-5 | 8.939168 | 2.4E-5 | 1.262529E-5 | 1.2955554E-5 | 4.495514E-5 | 3.4699512 | 3.2E-5 | 1.5370206E-4 | 1.577225E-4 | 2.097143E-4 | 1.329641 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 2.8634809E-6 | 2.938789E-6 | 2.6938718E-5 | 9.166605 | 2.4E-5 | 1.2272003E-5 | 1.259475E-5 | 4.4594348E-5 | 3.5407093 | 3.2E-5 | 1.4940138E-4 | 1.5333034E-4 | 2.0532236E-4 | 1.3390851 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.7999822E-6 | 2.873842E-6 | 2.6873773E-5 | 9.351166 | 2.4E-5 | 1.1999869E-5 | 1.2316408E-5 | 4.4316013E-5 | 3.598128 | 3.2E-5 | 1.460886E-4 | 1.49942E-4 | 2.019342E-4 | 1.3467487 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.551052E-6 | 2.6178627E-6 | 2.261781E-5 | 8.6398 | 2.0E-5 | 1.0933034E-5 | 1.1219363E-5 | 3.721907E-5 | 3.3173962 | 2.6E-5 | 1.3310155E-4 | 1.3658722E-4 | 1.8258094E-4 | 1.3367351 | 4.6E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.3081875E-6 | 2.3679593E-6 | 2.2367913E-5 | 9.446072 | 2.0E-5 | 9.892195E-6 | 1.0148357E-5 | 3.4148114E-5 | 3.3648908 | 2.4E-5 | 1.20430814E-4 | 1.2354927E-4 | 1.6554409E-4 | 1.3399034 | 4.2E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.093245E-6 | 2.1469768E-6 | 2.2146934E-5 | 10.315405 | 2.0E-5 | 8.971019E-6 | 9.201297E-6 | 3.3201075E-5 | 3.608304 | 2.4E-5 | 1.09216686E-4 | 1.1202005E-4 | 1.5201556E-4 | 1.357039 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.9714576E-6 | 2.0215832E-6 | 2.2021542E-5 | 10.893216 | 2.0E-5 | 8.449076E-6 | 8.663899E-6 | 3.266369E-5 | 3.7700913 | 2.4E-5 | 1.0286264E-4 | 1.0547789E-4 | 1.4547366E-4 | 1.3791864 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.6689512E-6 | 1.7093033E-6 | 1.570928E-5 | 9.190457 | 1.4E-5 | 7.1526288E-6 | 7.325565E-6 | 2.5325433E-5 | 3.4571302 | 1.8E-5 | 8.7079774E-5 | 8.9185116E-5 | 1.2318208E-4 | 1.3811955 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.4490954E-6 | 1.482119E-6 | 1.3482101E-5 | 9.096503 | 1.2E-5 | 6.210394E-6 | 6.3519233E-6 | 2.2351822E-5 | 3.518906 | 1.6E-5 | 7.560892E-5 | 7.7331926E-5 | 1.0532976E-4 | 1.3620476 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.226873E-6 | 1.2520096E-6 | 1.32519945E-5 | 10.584579 | 1.2E-5 | 5.2580162E-6 | 5.3657445E-6 | 1.9365669E-5 | 3.6091301 | 1.4E-5 | 6.401447E-5 | 6.5325985E-5 | 9.1324284E-5 | 1.397978 | 2.6E-5 |
| 7.6 | 9.2561345E-7 | 9.394835E-7 | 8.939476E-6 | 9.515309 | 8.0E-6 | 3.966909E-6 | 4.0263517E-6 | 1.2026319E-5 | 2.9869022 | 8.0E-6 | 4.8296046E-5 | 4.9019734E-5 | 6.301905E-5 | 1.2855853 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 5.4367933E-7 | 5.418091E-7 | 4.541807E-6 | 8.38267 | 4.0E-6 | 2.3300522E-6 | 2.3220366E-6 | 6.3220273E-6 | 2.7226217 | 4.0E-6 | 2.8368017E-5 | 2.8270431E-5 | 3.4270262E-5 | 1.2122298 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.8825742E-7 | 1.7513905E-7 | 4.175138E-6 | 23.838991 | 4.0E-6 | 8.068173E-7 | 7.505957E-7 | 4.750593E-6 | 6.3290963 | 4.0E-6 | 9.822956E-6 | 9.1384645E-6 | 1.513841E-5 | 1.6565595 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 6.342771E-8 | 4.8064624E-8 | 4.8064624E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7183304E-7 | 2.0599123E-7 | 2.0599123E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3095623E-6 | 2.5079403E-6 | 4.507935E-6 | 1.7974652 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 1.2574819E-8 | 6.876226E-9 | 6.876226E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3892084E-8 | 2.946954E-8 | 2.946954E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.561359E-7 | 3.5879157E-7 | 3.5879157E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
North Salt Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9354932E-6 | 3.7935424E-5 | 19.599874 | 3.6E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.2949555E-6 | 5.2294592E-5 | 6.3043847 | 4.4E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0098837E-4 | 1.669817E-4 | 1.6534746 | 6.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9354932E-6 | 3.7935424E-5 | 19.599874 | 3.6E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.2949555E-6 | 5.2294592E-5 | 6.3043847 | 4.4E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0098837E-4 | 1.669817E-4 | 1.6534746 | 6.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9354932E-6 | 3.7935424E-5 | 19.599874 | 3.6E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.2949555E-6 | 5.2294592E-5 | 6.3043847 | 4.4E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0098837E-4 | 1.669817E-4 | 1.6534746 | 6.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.849599E-6 | 1.9354932E-6 | 3.7935424E-5 | 19.599874 | 3.6E-5 | 7.926829E-6 | 8.2949555E-6 | 5.2294592E-5 | 6.3043847 | 4.4E-5 | 9.650487E-5 | 1.0098837E-4 | 1.669817E-4 | 1.6534746 | 6.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.7803909E-6 | 1.8659891E-6 | 3.386593E-5 | 18.14905 | 3.2E-5 | 7.630225E-6 | 7.997082E-6 | 4.5996778E-5 | 5.7516947 | 3.8E-5 | 9.289402E-5 | 9.736209E-5 | 1.5735625E-4 | 1.6161963 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.2496656E-7 | 8.624962E-6 | 13.800676 | 8.0E-6 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6784255E-6 | 1.0678405E-5 | 3.9868212 | 8.0E-6 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2609383E-5 | 4.2609056E-5 | 1.3066502 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.2496656E-7 | 8.624962E-6 | 13.800676 | 8.0E-6 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6784255E-6 | 1.0678405E-5 | 3.9868212 | 8.0E-6 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2609383E-5 | 4.2609056E-5 | 1.3066502 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 5.9157696E-7 | 6.2496656E-7 | 8.624962E-6 | 13.800676 | 8.0E-6 | 2.5353274E-6 | 2.6784255E-6 | 1.0678405E-5 | 3.9868212 | 8.0E-6 | 3.0867173E-5 | 3.2609383E-5 | 4.2609056E-5 | 1.3066502 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 4.7536267E-7 | 5.0255807E-7 | 8.502554E-6 | 16.91855 | 8.0E-6 | 2.037267E-6 | 2.1538187E-6 | 1.0153802E-5 | 4.714325 | 8.0E-6 | 2.4803443E-5 | 2.6222451E-5 | 3.6222187E-5 | 1.3813426 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 3.6345344E-7 | 3.8444372E-7 | 6.3844413E-6 | 16.60696 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5576567E-6 | 1.647615E-6 | 7.647605E-6 | 4.6416216 | 6.0E-6 | 1.8964305E-5 | 2.0059544E-5 | 2.8059385E-5 | 1.3988047 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.4087325E-7 | 2.550551E-7 | 2.550551E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0323135E-6 | 1.0930929E-6 | 1.0930929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.25683455E-5 | 1.3308338E-5 | 1.3308338E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 8.551555E-8 | 8.993668E-8 | 8.993668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6649516E-7 | 3.8544283E-7 | 3.8544283E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4620692E-6 | 4.6927576E-6 | 4.6927576E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.475279E-8 | 2.5825106E-8 | 2.5825106E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0608338E-7 | 1.1067902E-7 | 1.1067902E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2915643E-6 | 1.3475162E-6 | 1.3475162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.5212393E-8 | 1.5826336E-8 | 1.5826336E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.519597E-8 | 6.782715E-8 | 6.782715E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9376065E-7 | 8.2579527E-7 | 8.2579527E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 8.182E-9 | 8.451138E-9 | 8.451138E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5065714E-8 | 3.621916E-8 | 3.621916E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26925E-7 | 4.409682E-7 | 4.409682E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 5.479913E-9 | 5.67072E-9 | 5.67072E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3485342E-8 | 2.4303086E-8 | 2.4303086E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.85934E-7 | 2.9589003E-7 | 2.9589003E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.6813562E-10 | 2.775179E-10 | 2.775179E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491527E-9 | 1.1893623E-9 | 1.1893623E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990933E-8 | 1.4480486E-8 | 1.4480486E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Towne Pass
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8977646E-6 | 2.1897695E-5 | 5.618014 | 1.8E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6704624E-5 | 4.670412E-5 | 2.79588 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0336418E-4 | 2.6335198E-4 | 1.2949772 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8977646E-6 | 2.1897695E-5 | 5.618014 | 1.8E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6704624E-5 | 4.670412E-5 | 2.79588 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0336418E-4 | 2.6335198E-4 | 1.2949772 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8977646E-6 | 2.1897695E-5 | 5.618014 | 1.8E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6704624E-5 | 4.670412E-5 | 2.79588 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0336418E-4 | 2.6335198E-4 | 1.2949772 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8977646E-6 | 2.1897695E-5 | 5.618014 | 1.8E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6704624E-5 | 4.670412E-5 | 2.79588 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0336418E-4 | 2.6335198E-4 | 1.2949772 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 3.849728E-6 | 3.8977646E-6 | 2.1897695E-5 | 5.618014 | 1.8E-5 | 1.649873E-5 | 1.6704624E-5 | 4.670412E-5 | 2.79588 | 3.0E-5 | 2.0085352E-4 | 2.0336418E-4 | 2.6335198E-4 | 1.2949772 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2043779E-6 | 5.204373E-6 | 4.321213 | 4.0E-6 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1616103E-6 | 1.3161569E-5 | 2.549896 | 8.0E-6 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.284091E-5 | 7.284028E-5 | 1.159122 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.1953545E-6 | 1.2043779E-6 | 5.204373E-6 | 4.321213 | 4.0E-6 | 5.1229376E-6 | 5.1616103E-6 | 1.3161569E-5 | 2.549896 | 8.0E-6 | 6.236998E-5 | 6.284091E-5 | 7.284028E-5 | 1.159122 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 8.375951E-7 | 8.421774E-7 | 4.842174E-6 | 5.749589 | 4.0E-6 | 3.5896885E-6 | 3.6093272E-6 | 9.609305E-6 | 2.6623538 | 6.0E-6 | 4.370358E-5 | 4.394273E-5 | 5.1942377E-5 | 1.1820471 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 6.38041E-7 | 6.402089E-7 | 6.402089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7344586E-6 | 2.7437497E-6 | 4.7437443E-6 | 1.7289275 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3291526E-5 | 3.3404678E-5 | 3.7404545E-5 | 1.1197397 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 5.3460053E-7 | 5.354632E-7 | 5.354632E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2911431E-6 | 2.2948404E-6 | 4.294836E-6 | 1.8715183 | 2.0E-6 | 2.789431E-5 | 2.7939357E-5 | 3.1939246E-5 | 1.1431632 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 3.557783E-7 | 3.5404582E-7 | 3.5404582E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5247632E-6 | 1.5173384E-6 | 1.5173384E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8563835E-5 | 1.8473447E-5 | 2.047341E-5 | 1.1082615 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.037942E-7 | 3.007619E-7 | 3.007619E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3019744E-6 | 1.288979E-6 | 1.288979E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5851423E-5 | 1.5693215E-5 | 1.7693183E-5 | 1.1274416 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.0808248E-7 | 2.028014E-7 | 2.028014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.917818E-7 | 8.691486E-7 | 8.691486E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0857389E-5 | 1.0581837E-5 | 1.2581816E-5 | 1.1890011 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.1162073E-7 | 1.0679765E-7 | 1.0679765E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7837443E-7 | 4.5770415E-7 | 4.5770415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8241935E-6 | 5.572536E-6 | 7.5725247E-6 | 1.358901 | 2.0E-6 |
Death Valley (Fish Lake Valley)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7797264E-5 | 7.379602E-5 | 1.5439382 | 2.6E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0483078E-4 | 2.4882177E-4 | 1.2147675 | 4.4E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024912036 | 0.0025530492 | 1.0248256 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7797264E-5 | 7.379602E-5 | 1.5439382 | 2.6E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0483078E-4 | 2.4882177E-4 | 1.2147675 | 4.4E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024912036 | 0.0025530492 | 1.0248256 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.872328E-5 | 4.7797264E-5 | 7.379602E-5 | 1.5439382 | 2.6E-5 | 1.6594635E-4 | 2.0483078E-4 | 2.4882177E-4 | 1.2147675 | 4.4E-5 | 0.0020185246 | 0.0024912036 | 0.0025530492 | 1.0248256 | 6.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.39298E-5 | 5.7928984E-5 | 1.7073188 | 2.4E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4540549E-4 | 1.8739938E-4 | 1.2888055 | 4.2E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017689412 | 0.001828835 | 1.0338585 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.8356371E-5 | 3.39298E-5 | 5.7928984E-5 | 1.7073188 | 2.4E-5 | 1.2152165E-4 | 1.4540549E-4 | 1.8739938E-4 | 1.2888055 | 4.2E-5 | 0.0014785219 | 0.0017689412 | 0.001828835 | 1.0338585 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.4448687E-5 | 2.8857801E-5 | 5.2857107E-5 | 1.8316402 | 2.4E-5 | 1.0477588E-4 | 1.2367059E-4 | 1.656654E-4 | 1.3395698 | 4.2E-5 | 0.0012748998 | 0.0015046964 | 0.0015646061 | 1.0398152 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.1298161E-5 | 2.486003E-5 | 4.8859434E-5 | 1.9653811 | 2.4E-5 | 9.127464E-5 | 1.06538835E-4 | 1.4853435E-4 | 1.3941804 | 4.2E-5 | 0.0011107022 | 0.0012963717 | 0.0013562939 | 1.046223 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.8959729E-5 | 2.1947311E-5 | 4.5946785E-5 | 2.093504 | 2.4E-5 | 8.125345E-5 | 9.405666E-5 | 1.3605271E-4 | 1.4464973 | 4.2E-5 | 9.888117E-4 | 0.0011445642 | 0.0012005002 | 1.0488709 | 5.6E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.6691629E-5 | 1.9153933E-5 | 4.115351E-5 | 2.1485672 | 2.2E-5 | 7.153359E-5 | 8.20858E-5 | 1.220825E-4 | 1.487255 | 4.0E-5 | 8.7057345E-4 | 9.989535E-4 | 0.0010528996 | 1.0540025 | 5.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.450505E-5 | 1.6498052E-5 | 3.4497756E-5 | 2.0910199 | 1.8E-5 | 6.216302E-5 | 7.0704074E-5 | 1.0670153E-4 | 1.5091285 | 3.6E-5 | 7.5657194E-4 | 8.6049107E-4 | 9.10448E-4 | 1.0580564 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.2940855E-5 | 1.4629181E-5 | 3.262892E-5 | 2.2303994 | 1.8E-5 | 5.545963E-5 | 6.269501E-5 | 9.869276E-5 | 1.5741723 | 3.6E-5 | 6.750118E-4 | 7.630504E-4 | 8.1301224E-4 | 1.0654764 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.2544658E-5 | 1.4165669E-5 | 3.2165415E-5 | 2.2706597 | 1.8E-5 | 5.3761712E-5 | 6.070863E-5 | 9.670644E-5 | 1.5929605 | 3.6E-5 | 6.5435225E-4 | 7.388826E-4 | 7.8884565E-4 | 1.0676198 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.2489416E-5 | 1.4102716E-5 | 3.210246E-5 | 2.276332 | 1.8E-5 | 5.3524967E-5 | 6.043884E-5 | 9.643666E-5 | 1.5956074 | 3.6E-5 | 6.514716E-4 | 7.3560013E-4 | 7.855634E-4 | 1.0679218 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.2368307E-5 | 1.3966005E-5 | 3.1965752E-5 | 2.288826 | 1.8E-5 | 5.3005948E-5 | 5.9852966E-5 | 9.585081E-5 | 1.6014379 | 3.6E-5 | 6.451563E-4 | 7.284719E-4 | 7.7843544E-4 | 1.0685868 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.2161707E-5 | 1.3732605E-5 | 3.1732357E-5 | 2.3107312 | 1.8E-5 | 5.212056E-5 | 5.8852725E-5 | 9.4850606E-5 | 1.6116604 | 3.6E-5 | 6.3438306E-4 | 7.16302E-4 | 7.662662E-4 | 1.0697529 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.1707948E-5 | 1.3227485E-5 | 3.1227246E-5 | 2.3607848 | 1.8E-5 | 5.0175953E-5 | 5.6688026E-5 | 9.268599E-5 | 1.6350187 | 3.6E-5 | 6.10721E-4 | 6.899638E-4 | 7.399293E-4 | 1.0724176 | 5.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.0319538E-5 | 1.1651388E-5 | 2.9651179E-5 | 2.5448623 | 1.8E-5 | 4.4225842E-5 | 4.9933595E-5 | 8.5931795E-5 | 1.7209215 | 3.6E-5 | 5.383166E-4 | 6.0777715E-4 | 6.55748E-4 | 1.0789284 | 4.8E-5 |
| 7.7 | 8.937764E-6 | 1.0084544E-5 | 2.8084361E-5 | 2.7848916 | 1.8E-5 | 3.830414E-5 | 4.3218784E-5 | 7.7217315E-5 | 1.7866609 | 3.4E-5 | 4.6625308E-4 | 5.260668E-4 | 5.6604575E-4 | 1.0759959 | 4.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 3.108007E-7 | 3.2941338E-7 | 2.3294126E-6 | 7.071397 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3320023E-6 | 1.4117709E-6 | 3.411768E-6 | 2.4166584 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6217007E-5 | 1.7188178E-5 | 1.9188145E-5 | 1.1163571 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.5591178E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 2.6754936E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0967647E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.1466401E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.335311E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.3960343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Berryessa 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.0533147E-4 | 1.8010968E-4 | 2.161032E-4 | 1.1998422 | 3.6E-5 | 4.5134246E-4 | 7.716597E-4 | 8.1362727E-4 | 1.0543861 | 4.2E-5 | 0.005481258 | 0.009350145 | 0.009409584 | 1.006357 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.0510782E-4 | 1.7998302E-4 | 2.1597654E-4 | 1.1999829 | 3.6E-5 | 4.503843E-4 | 7.7111716E-4 | 8.130848E-4 | 1.0544244 | 4.2E-5 | 0.005469651 | 0.009343602 | 0.009403042 | 1.0063615 | 6.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 7.595682E-5 | 1.2877247E-4 | 1.4876989E-4 | 1.1552927 | 2.0E-5 | 3.254886E-4 | 5.517375E-4 | 5.757243E-4 | 1.0434749 | 2.4E-5 | 0.0039556245 | 0.006693018 | 0.0067307637 | 1.0056396 | 3.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.787612E-5 | 1.1483995E-4 | 1.3283789E-4 | 1.1567218 | 1.8E-5 | 2.9086522E-4 | 4.920552E-4 | 5.1404437E-4 | 1.0446885 | 2.2E-5 | 0.0035355345 | 0.005971383 | 0.006007168 | 1.0059928 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.2165134E-5 | 1.0469846E-4 | 1.18697E-4 | 1.1337034 | 1.4E-5 | 2.6639478E-4 | 4.486094E-4 | 4.6460226E-4 | 1.0356498 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0032385332 | 0.0054457397 | 0.005471598 | 1.0047483 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 5.4368087E-5 | 9.0867754E-5 | 1.04866485E-4 | 1.1540561 | 1.4E-5 | 2.3298527E-4 | 3.8935666E-4 | 4.053504E-4 | 1.0410774 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0028329059 | 0.0047284127 | 0.0047542895 | 1.0054727 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.729947E-5 | 7.8528785E-5 | 9.252769E-5 | 1.1782646 | 1.4E-5 | 2.0269625E-4 | 3.36499E-4 | 3.5249363E-4 | 1.0475324 | 1.6E-5 | 0.002465034 | 0.0040879976 | 0.004107916 | 1.0048723 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.6875328E-5 | 6.0446804E-5 | 7.444596E-5 | 1.2315946 | 1.4E-5 | 1.5802756E-4 | 2.5902197E-4 | 2.7301835E-4 | 1.0540354 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0019222875 | 0.0031485334 | 0.0031644832 | 1.0050657 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.0292036E-5 | 2.9175124E-5 | 3.517495E-5 | 1.2056487 | 6.0E-6 | 8.6962966E-5 | 1.2503011E-4 | 1.3102937E-4 | 1.0479825 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0010582599 | 0.0015211663 | 0.0015271571 | 1.0039383 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.7871042E-5 | 2.4640922E-5 | 3.0640775E-5 | 1.2434914 | 6.0E-6 | 7.658793E-5 | 1.0559966E-4 | 1.1159903E-4 | 1.0568124 | 6.0E-6 | 9.320591E-4 | 0.001284917 | 0.0012909092 | 1.0046636 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.6415532E-5 | 2.2051214E-5 | 2.405117E-5 | 1.090696 | 2.0E-6 | 7.035038E-5 | 9.45018E-5 | 9.65016E-5 | 1.0211617 | 2.0E-6 | 8.561793E-4 | 0.0011499532 | 0.001151951 | 1.0017372 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.5409885E-5 | 2.0472646E-5 | 2.2472606E-5 | 1.0976893 | 2.0E-6 | 6.6040695E-5 | 8.7736975E-5 | 8.973679E-5 | 1.0227934 | 2.0E-6 | 8.0374884E-4 | 0.0010676768 | 0.0010696747 | 1.0018712 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.4497423E-5 | 1.9164963E-5 | 2.1164924E-5 | 1.1043551 | 2.0E-6 | 6.213033E-5 | 8.213299E-5 | 8.413282E-5 | 1.0243487 | 2.0E-6 | 7.5617427E-4 | 9.995134E-4 | 0.0010015115 | 1.001999 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.3615175E-5 | 1.7917413E-5 | 1.9917377E-5 | 1.1116213 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8349444E-5 | 7.678667E-5 | 7.878652E-5 | 1.0260441 | 2.0E-6 | 7.101729E-4 | 9.344797E-4 | 9.3647785E-4 | 1.0021383 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.2252825E-5 | 1.6099913E-5 | 1.8099881E-5 | 1.1242223 | 2.0E-6 | 5.251105E-5 | 6.899782E-5 | 7.099768E-5 | 1.0289844 | 2.0E-6 | 6.391345E-4 | 8.397275E-4 | 8.4172585E-4 | 1.0023798 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.0913301E-5 | 1.4301815E-5 | 1.6301787E-5 | 1.1398404 | 2.0E-6 | 4.6770452E-5 | 6.129207E-5 | 6.329195E-5 | 1.0326287 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6928146E-4 | 7.459782E-4 | 7.479767E-4 | 1.002679 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 8.623192E-6 | 1.1278709E-5 | 1.3278687E-5 | 1.1773232 | 2.0E-6 | 3.6956015E-5 | 4.8336446E-5 | 5.0336348E-5 | 1.0413747 | 2.0E-6 | 4.4984656E-4 | 5.8833987E-4 | 5.903387E-4 | 1.0033973 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 2.0993634E-6 | 2.6786797E-6 | 4.6786745E-6 | 1.7466345 | 2.0E-6 | 8.997241E-6 | 1.1480006E-5 | 1.3479983E-5 | 1.1742139 | 2.0E-6 | 1.09535904E-4 | 1.3976019E-4 | 1.417599E-4 | 1.0143082 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.8428308E-7 | 2.1828014E-7 | 2.1828014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.897844E-7 | 9.3548596E-7 | 9.3548596E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.615583E-6 | 1.1389486E-5 | 1.1389486E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Deep Springs
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.330808E-5 | 5.5307333E-5 | 2.3728824 | 3.2E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.989086E-5 | 1.4388646E-4 | 1.4404367 | 4.4E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012160086 | 0.001273938 | 1.047639 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.330808E-5 | 5.5307333E-5 | 2.3728824 | 3.2E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.989086E-5 | 1.4388646E-4 | 1.4404367 | 4.4E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012160086 | 0.001273938 | 1.047639 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.330808E-5 | 5.5307333E-5 | 2.3728824 | 3.2E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.989086E-5 | 1.4388646E-4 | 1.4404367 | 4.4E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012160086 | 0.001273938 | 1.047639 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.330808E-5 | 5.5307333E-5 | 2.3728824 | 3.2E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.989086E-5 | 1.4388646E-4 | 1.4404367 | 4.4E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012160086 | 0.001273938 | 1.047639 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.9810619E-5 | 2.330808E-5 | 5.5307333E-5 | 2.3728824 | 3.2E-5 | 8.489989E-5 | 9.989086E-5 | 1.4388646E-4 | 1.4404367 | 4.4E-5 | 0.001033166 | 0.0012160086 | 0.001273938 | 1.047639 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.021991E-5 | 4.6219382E-5 | 2.2858353 | 2.6E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.665676E-5 | 1.2465347E-4 | 1.4384737 | 3.8E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010550454 | 0.0011029948 | 1.0454477 | 4.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.7190405E-5 | 2.021991E-5 | 4.6219382E-5 | 2.2858353 | 2.6E-5 | 7.367108E-5 | 8.665676E-5 | 1.2465347E-4 | 1.4384737 | 3.8E-5 | 8.9657627E-4 | 0.0010550454 | 0.0011029948 | 1.0454477 | 4.8E-5 |
Ortigalita (North)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.620697E-5 | 5.7471072E-5 | 7.547004E-5 | 1.3131831 | 1.8E-5 | 2.4086477E-4 | 2.462834E-4 | 2.7227702E-4 | 1.1055434 | 2.6E-5 | 0.002928585 | 0.002994764 | 0.003050596 | 1.0186433 | 5.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.7471072E-5 | 7.547004E-5 | 1.3131831 | 1.8E-5 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.462834E-4 | 2.7227702E-4 | 1.1055434 | 2.6E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.002994764 | 0.003050596 | 1.0186433 | 5.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.607858E-5 | 5.7471072E-5 | 7.547004E-5 | 1.3131831 | 1.8E-5 | 1.9746469E-4 | 2.462834E-4 | 2.7227702E-4 | 1.1055434 | 2.6E-5 | 0.0024014818 | 0.002994764 | 0.003050596 | 1.0186433 | 5.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 3.327423E-5 | 4.109194E-5 | 5.509136E-5 | 1.3406855 | 1.4E-5 | 1.4259605E-4 | 1.760976E-4 | 1.9809372E-4 | 1.1249087 | 2.2E-5 | 0.0017347244 | 0.0021421385 | 0.0021900358 | 1.0223595 | 4.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.7732503E-5 | 3.3891738E-5 | 4.3891396E-5 | 1.2950472 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1884817E-4 | 1.4524355E-4 | 1.6124123E-4 | 1.1101438 | 1.6E-5 | 0.001446016 | 0.001767137 | 0.0018050699 | 1.0214657 | 3.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.7689714E-5 | 3.3841567E-5 | 4.3841228E-5 | 1.2954845 | 1.0E-5 | 1.186648E-4 | 1.4502858E-4 | 1.6102626E-4 | 1.1103071 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0014437864 | 0.0017645237 | 0.0018024567 | 1.0214976 | 3.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.2976905E-5 | 2.7823728E-5 | 3.782345E-5 | 1.3593955 | 1.0E-5 | 9.846873E-5 | 1.1924038E-4 | 1.3523847E-4 | 1.1341667 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0011981975 | 0.0014510087 | 0.0014809652 | 1.0206453 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.9871539E-5 | 2.410854E-5 | 3.41083E-5 | 1.4147807 | 1.0E-5 | 8.516096E-5 | 1.0331947E-4 | 1.1931782E-4 | 1.1548434 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0010363415 | 0.00125741 | 0.0012873723 | 1.0238285 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 6.5640475E-6 | 7.597231E-6 | 1.3597186E-5 | 1.7897555 | 6.0E-6 | 2.813133E-5 | 3.255917E-5 | 4.2558848E-5 | 1.3071231 | 1.0E-5 | 3.424451E-4 | 3.9633867E-4 | 4.083339E-4 | 1.0302651 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 5.6219683E-6 | 6.4934334E-6 | 1.2493394E-5 | 1.9240044 | 6.0E-6 | 2.4093928E-5 | 2.7828719E-5 | 3.782844E-5 | 1.359331 | 1.0E-5 | 2.933041E-4 | 3.3876454E-4 | 3.5076047E-4 | 1.0354109 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 3.875591E-6 | 4.4734547E-6 | 8.4734365E-6 | 1.8941594 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6609569E-5 | 1.917182E-5 | 2.7171667E-5 | 1.4172711 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0220275E-4 | 2.33394E-4 | 2.4339168E-4 | 1.042836 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8487041E-6 | 3.8487005E-6 | 2.081837 | 2.0E-6 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.922999E-6 | 1.3922951E-5 | 1.757283 | 6.0E-6 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.6459305E-5 | 1.0445853E-4 | 1.0829285 | 8.0E-6 |
Little Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1373555E-5 | 5.9372676E-5 | 1.8924434 | 2.8E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3445193E-4 | 1.7644628E-4 | 1.3123373 | 4.2E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016358577 | 0.0016937628 | 1.0353974 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1373555E-5 | 5.9372676E-5 | 1.8924434 | 2.8E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3445193E-4 | 1.7644628E-4 | 1.3123373 | 4.2E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016358577 | 0.0016937628 | 1.0353974 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.8424427E-5 | 3.1373555E-5 | 5.9372676E-5 | 1.8924434 | 2.8E-5 | 1.2181328E-4 | 1.3445193E-4 | 1.7644628E-4 | 1.3123373 | 4.2E-5 | 0.0014820677 | 0.0016358577 | 0.0016937628 | 1.0353974 | 5.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.615941E-5 | 2.6159249E-5 | 1.6188245 | 1.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.925294E-5 | 8.72517E-5 | 1.2598988 | 1.8E-5 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.428569E-4 | 8.6883496E-4 | 1.0308214 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.48860645E-5 | 1.615941E-5 | 2.6159249E-5 | 1.6188245 | 1.0E-5 | 6.379586E-5 | 6.925294E-5 | 8.72517E-5 | 1.2598988 | 1.8E-5 | 7.7643775E-4 | 8.428569E-4 | 8.6883496E-4 | 1.0308214 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.2797581E-5 | 1.3830816E-5 | 2.3830677E-5 | 1.7230132 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4845623E-5 | 5.9273723E-5 | 7.7272656E-5 | 1.3036579 | 1.8E-5 | 6.675408E-4 | 7.214446E-4 | 7.4742583E-4 | 1.0360128 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 9.661896E-6 | 1.0335149E-5 | 1.6335087E-5 | 1.5805371 | 6.0E-6 | 4.1407468E-5 | 4.429284E-5 | 5.829222E-5 | 1.3160642 | 1.4E-5 | 5.040193E-4 | 5.391483E-4 | 5.551397E-4 | 1.0296605 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 7.767871E-6 | 8.234877E-6 | 1.023486E-5 | 1.2428675 | 2.0E-6 | 3.329045E-5 | 3.529193E-5 | 4.5291577E-5 | 1.2833409 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0523586E-4 | 4.2960842E-4 | 4.4160328E-4 | 1.0279204 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 6.4235196E-6 | 6.7643086E-6 | 8.764295E-6 | 1.2956675 | 2.0E-6 | 2.752908E-5 | 2.8989645E-5 | 3.698941E-5 | 1.2759526 | 8.0E-6 | 3.35115E-4 | 3.5290472E-4 | 3.629012E-4 | 1.0283263 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 3.1283696E-6 | 3.1223851E-6 | 3.1223851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3407229E-5 | 1.338159E-5 | 1.5381564E-5 | 1.1494571 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6322079E-4 | 1.629102E-4 | 1.6690955E-4 | 1.0245494 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.290603E-6 | 2.2364486E-6 | 2.2364486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.816834E-6 | 9.58475E-6 | 9.58475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.19513395E-4 | 1.1668913E-4 | 1.186889E-4 | 1.0171375 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.293693E-6 | 1.1825672E-6 | 1.1825672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5443866E-6 | 5.068139E-6 | 5.068139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.750081E-5 | 6.1703555E-5 | 6.1703555E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 4.715842E-7 | 3.1158524E-7 | 3.1158524E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0210737E-6 | 1.3353647E-6 | 1.3353647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606294E-5 | 1.6257949E-5 | 1.6257949E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 3.9430947E-7 | 2.332006E-7 | 2.332006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6898966E-6 | 9.994308E-7 | 9.994308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0574296E-5 | 1.2168001E-5 | 1.2168001E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 3.547123E-7 | 1.988518E-7 | 1.988518E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5201948E-6 | 8.522217E-7 | 8.522217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8508214E-5 | 1.037575E-5 | 1.037575E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 2.6354266E-7 | 1.456536E-7 | 1.456536E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129468E-6 | 6.242296E-7 | 6.242296E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3751187E-5 | 7.599969E-6 | 7.599969E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.269913E-7 | 7.632342E-8 | 7.632342E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4424834E-7 | 3.2710034E-7 | 3.2710034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6262032E-6 | 3.9824395E-6 | 3.9824395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Andreas (Offshore) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.7072787E-4 | 2.0896533E-4 | 2.2896114E-4 | 1.0956897 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.952611E-4 | 9.192396E-4 | 1.0267838 | 2.4E-5 | 0.008869528 | 0.010845941 | 0.010897377 | 1.0047424 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.7072787E-4 | 2.0896533E-4 | 2.2896114E-4 | 1.0956897 | 2.0E-5 | 7.3148566E-4 | 8.952611E-4 | 9.192396E-4 | 1.0267838 | 2.4E-5 | 0.008869528 | 0.010845941 | 0.010897377 | 1.0047424 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.6312556E-4 | 1.9996475E-4 | 2.1996076E-4 | 1.0999976 | 2.0E-5 | 6.989222E-4 | 8.567131E-4 | 8.8069256E-4 | 1.0279901 | 2.4E-5 | 0.008476226 | 0.010381188 | 0.0104326485 | 1.0049571 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.5103363E-4 | 1.8346123E-4 | 2.0345756E-4 | 1.1089948 | 2.0E-5 | 6.471264E-4 | 7.8602805E-4 | 8.0801075E-4 | 1.0279669 | 2.2E-5 | 0.007850339 | 0.009528425 | 0.009575968 | 1.0049895 | 4.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.5047993E-4 | 1.8230695E-4 | 2.023033E-4 | 1.1096851 | 2.0E-5 | 6.4475456E-4 | 7.8108406E-4 | 8.030669E-4 | 1.028144 | 2.2E-5 | 0.007821669 | 0.009468756 | 0.009516302 | 1.0050213 | 4.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.2760791E-4 | 1.4974325E-4 | 1.6574086E-4 | 1.1068336 | 1.6E-5 | 5.467764E-4 | 6.4160064E-4 | 6.595891E-4 | 1.0280368 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0066367025 | 0.007783836 | 0.007823525 | 1.0050988 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.1063525E-4 | 1.2625798E-4 | 1.402562E-4 | 1.1108701 | 1.4E-5 | 4.740649E-4 | 5.4099463E-4 | 5.5498705E-4 | 1.0258642 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0057564764 | 0.0065669594 | 0.006602723 | 1.005446 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.0391049E-4 | 1.1651443E-4 | 1.305128E-4 | 1.1201428 | 1.4E-5 | 4.4525467E-4 | 4.9925316E-4 | 5.1324617E-4 | 1.0280279 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0054075094 | 0.006061692 | 0.0060954858 | 1.005575 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.0096706E-4 | 1.11349E-4 | 1.2534745E-4 | 1.1257168 | 1.4E-5 | 4.3264418E-4 | 4.7712386E-4 | 4.911172E-4 | 1.0293285 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0052547283 | 0.005793724 | 0.0058275275 | 1.0058345 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 9.800265E-5 | 1.0540329E-4 | 1.1940182E-4 | 1.1328092 | 1.4E-5 | 4.1994374E-4 | 4.5165129E-4 | 4.6564496E-4 | 1.0309833 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0051008356 | 0.0054851943 | 0.005517019 | 1.0058019 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 9.4642375E-5 | 9.922815E-5 | 1.1322676E-4 | 1.141075 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0554712E-4 | 4.2519523E-4 | 4.391893E-4 | 1.032912 | 1.4E-5 | 0.004926363 | 0.0051646614 | 0.0051945066 | 1.0057787 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 9.0996844E-5 | 9.240939E-5 | 1.064081E-4 | 1.1514858 | 1.4E-5 | 3.8992817E-4 | 3.959812E-4 | 4.0997565E-4 | 1.0353413 | 1.4E-5 | 0.004737046 | 0.0048106043 | 0.00484046 | 1.0062063 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 8.848287E-5 | 8.84046E-5 | 1.0240336E-4 | 1.1583488 | 1.4E-5 | 3.791572E-4 | 3.7882288E-4 | 3.9281757E-4 | 1.0369426 | 1.4E-5 | 0.004606472 | 0.0046026027 | 0.0046324646 | 1.0064881 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 7.9280784E-5 | 6.807998E-5 | 8.207902E-5 | 1.2056265 | 1.4E-5 | 3.3973053E-4 | 2.9173942E-4 | 3.0573533E-4 | 1.047974 | 1.4E-5 | 0.004128377 | 0.0035462691 | 0.0035761627 | 1.0084296 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 6.468038E-5 | 4.1982366E-5 | 5.5981778E-5 | 1.3334594 | 1.4E-5 | 2.771722E-4 | 1.7991243E-4 | 1.939099E-4 | 1.0778016 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0033693502 | 0.0021883056 | 0.00221824 | 1.0136793 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 4.930574E-5 | 1.3825026E-5 | 2.7824834E-5 | 2.0126424 | 1.4E-5 | 2.1129321E-4 | 5.9248778E-5 | 7.324795E-5 | 1.2362778 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0025694598 | 7.211172E-4 | 7.510956E-4 | 1.0415721 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 4.612566E-5 | 1.1079853E-5 | 2.5079698E-5 | 2.2635407 | 1.4E-5 | 1.9766642E-4 | 4.7484227E-5 | 6.1483566E-5 | 1.2948208 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0024039324 | 5.779689E-4 | 6.0795154E-4 | 1.051876 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 3.9435414E-5 | 5.584779E-6 | 1.95847E-5 | 3.5067997 | 1.4E-5 | 1.6899795E-4 | 2.3934548E-5 | 3.7934213E-5 | 1.5849146 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0020556084 | 2.913644E-4 | 3.2135568E-4 | 1.1029339 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 2.7787428E-5 | 2.976849E-6 | 1.6976808E-5 | 5.7029457 | 1.4E-5 | 1.1908354E-4 | 1.2757861E-5 | 2.6757683E-5 | 2.0973487 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0014488777 | 1.5531592E-4 | 1.8531126E-4 | 1.1931247 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.590671E-5 | 1.7951446E-6 | 1.579512E-5 | 8.7988 | 1.4E-5 | 6.816983E-5 | 7.693454E-6 | 2.1693346E-5 | 2.8197148 | 1.4E-5 | 8.2965166E-4 | 9.366379E-5 | 1.2366098E-4 | 1.3202646 | 3.0E-5 |
| 8.0 | 9.193638E-6 | 1.1023884E-6 | 1.5102373E-5 | 13.699684 | 1.4E-5 | 3.940071E-5 | 4.724513E-6 | 1.8724446E-5 | 3.9632545 | 1.4E-5 | 4.7959806E-4 | 5.751943E-5 | 8.751771E-5 | 1.5215329 | 3.0E-5 |
| 8.1 | 5.601576E-6 | 6.4293465E-7 | 1.4642926E-5 | 22.775139 | 1.4E-5 | 2.4006533E-5 | 2.7554313E-6 | 1.6755394E-5 | 6.08086 | 1.4E-5 | 2.9224035E-4 | 3.354686E-5 | 6.354586E-5 | 1.8942415 | 3.0E-5 |
| 8.2 | 4.3508785E-6 | 2.3452306E-7 | 1.0234521E-5 | 43.63972 | 1.0E-5 | 1.864649E-5 | 1.0050984E-6 | 1.1005089E-5 | 10.949265 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2699735E-4 | 1.2237005E-5 | 3.623671E-5 | 2.9612403 | 2.4E-5 |
| 8.3 | 1.9573292E-6 | 6.362966E-8 | 6.0636294E-6 | 95.29563 | 6.0E-6 | 8.388526E-6 | 2.7269854E-7 | 6.2726967E-6 | 23.002312 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0212552E-4 | 3.3200997E-6 | 2.132004E-5 | 6.421506 | 1.8E-5 |
Rinconada 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4563478E-5 | 1.5032443E-5 | 3.5032142E-5 | 2.3304358 | 2.0E-5 | 6.241341E-5 | 6.442318E-5 | 8.842163E-5 | 1.3725127 | 2.4E-5 | 7.5961836E-4 | 7.840719E-4 | 8.360311E-4 | 1.0662684 | 5.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1315766E-5 | 2.331563E-5 | 2.0604553 | 1.2E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.849524E-5 | 6.249456E-5 | 1.2886741 | 1.4E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.902703E-4 | 6.2624906E-4 | 1.060953 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.0966133E-5 | 1.1315766E-5 | 2.331563E-5 | 2.0604553 | 1.2E-5 | 4.6996865E-5 | 4.849524E-5 | 6.249456E-5 | 1.2886741 | 1.4E-5 | 5.720366E-4 | 5.902703E-4 | 6.2624906E-4 | 1.060953 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 8.926149E-6 | 9.20774E-6 | 2.1207628E-5 | 2.3032393 | 1.2E-5 | 3.8254362E-5 | 3.9461145E-5 | 5.3460593E-5 | 1.3547654 | 1.4E-5 | 4.6564735E-4 | 4.8033387E-4 | 5.123185E-4 | 1.0665883 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 7.676955E-6 | 7.916415E-6 | 1.5916352E-5 | 2.0105505 | 8.0E-6 | 3.290082E-5 | 3.3927052E-5 | 4.392671E-5 | 1.2947401 | 1.0E-5 | 4.0049385E-4 | 4.1298373E-4 | 4.4097216E-4 | 1.0677713 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 6.1671026E-6 | 6.3563994E-6 | 1.4356348E-5 | 2.2585661 | 8.0E-6 | 2.6430173E-5 | 2.7241427E-5 | 3.524121E-5 | 1.2936624 | 8.0E-6 | 3.2173982E-4 | 3.3161396E-4 | 3.5160733E-4 | 1.060291 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 5.553456E-6 | 5.7227376E-6 | 1.3722692E-5 | 2.3979244 | 8.0E-6 | 2.3800309E-5 | 2.4525789E-5 | 3.2525593E-5 | 1.3261793 | 8.0E-6 | 2.897302E-4 | 2.9856063E-4 | 3.1655523E-4 | 1.0602713 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 4.787857E-6 | 4.9317973E-6 | 1.0931768E-5 | 2.216589 | 6.0E-6 | 2.0519226E-5 | 2.1136104E-5 | 2.7135977E-5 | 1.2838684 | 6.0E-6 | 2.4979294E-4 | 2.5730173E-4 | 2.712981E-4 | 1.0543969 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.9955166E-6 | 4.1126605E-6 | 1.0112636E-5 | 2.4589036 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7123532E-5 | 1.7625569E-5 | 2.3625464E-5 | 1.3404086 | 6.0E-6 | 2.0845905E-4 | 2.145702E-4 | 2.285672E-4 | 1.0652328 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 3.4250072E-6 | 3.522278E-6 | 9.522257E-6 | 2.703437 | 6.0E-6 | 1.46785205E-5 | 1.5095389E-5 | 2.1095299E-5 | 1.3974663 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7869633E-4 | 1.8377088E-4 | 1.9776831E-4 | 1.0761678 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.7712713E-6 | 2.8470174E-6 | 6.8470063E-6 | 2.4049752 | 4.0E-6 | 1.1876823E-5 | 1.2201446E-5 | 1.6201397E-5 | 1.327826 | 4.0E-6 | 1.4459073E-4 | 1.4854249E-4 | 1.58541E-4 | 1.0673108 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.227358E-6 | 2.2862366E-6 | 2.2862366E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.545785E-6 | 9.79812E-6 | 9.79812E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16213734E-4 | 1.1928559E-4 | 1.2528487E-4 | 1.0502934 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.581796E-6 | 1.6216296E-6 | 1.6216296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779108E-6 | 6.9498224E-6 | 6.9498224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.253252E-5 | 8.461081E-5 | 8.461081E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.0306567E-6 | 1.0554047E-6 | 1.0554047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4170924E-6 | 4.523155E-6 | 4.523155E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3776774E-5 | 5.5068023E-5 | 5.5068023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 6.535541E-7 | 6.688427E-7 | 6.688427E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.800943E-6 | 2.8664654E-6 | 2.8664654E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4100947E-5 | 3.4898658E-5 | 3.4898658E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 3.2656962E-7 | 3.3349346E-7 | 3.3349346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3995833E-6 | 1.4292569E-6 | 1.4292569E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7039794E-5 | 1.7401064E-5 | 1.7401064E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 9.754343E-8 | 9.835321E-8 | 9.835321E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.180432E-7 | 4.2151368E-7 | 4.2151368E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.089664E-6 | 5.131917E-6 | 5.131917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 6.0001453E-9 | 5.8697918E-9 | 5.8697918E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5714908E-8 | 2.515625E-8 | 2.515625E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1307894E-7 | 3.062773E-7 | 3.062773E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.468437E-11 | 7.468437E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.2007563E-10 | 3.2007563E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.896921E-9 | 3.896921E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Lake Isabella (Seismicity)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.757818E-6 | 2.7757642E-5 | 2.844657 | 1.8E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.181862E-5 | 7.381728E-5 | 1.7651774 | 3.2E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.090359E-4 | 5.590104E-4 | 1.0981749 | 5.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.757818E-6 | 2.7757642E-5 | 2.844657 | 1.8E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.181862E-5 | 7.381728E-5 | 1.7651774 | 3.2E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.090359E-4 | 5.590104E-4 | 1.0981749 | 5.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.757818E-6 | 2.7757642E-5 | 2.844657 | 1.8E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.181862E-5 | 7.381728E-5 | 1.7651774 | 3.2E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.090359E-4 | 5.590104E-4 | 1.0981749 | 5.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 9.431637E-6 | 9.757818E-6 | 2.7757642E-5 | 2.844657 | 1.8E-5 | 4.0420677E-5 | 4.181862E-5 | 7.381728E-5 | 1.7651774 | 3.2E-5 | 4.920106E-4 | 5.090359E-4 | 5.590104E-4 | 1.0981749 | 5.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.30819E-6 | 1.3308148E-5 | 2.507097 | 8.0E-6 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2749206E-5 | 3.6748886E-5 | 1.6153921 | 1.4E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7693986E-4 | 2.9893377E-4 | 1.0794176 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 5.144063E-6 | 5.30819E-6 | 1.3308148E-5 | 2.507097 | 8.0E-6 | 2.2045799E-5 | 2.2749206E-5 | 3.6748886E-5 | 1.6153921 | 1.4E-5 | 2.6837454E-4 | 2.7693986E-4 | 2.9893377E-4 | 1.0794176 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 3.4009804E-6 | 3.5038647E-6 | 9.503844E-6 | 2.7123888 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4575549E-5 | 1.5016486E-5 | 2.7016305E-5 | 1.7991097 | 1.2E-5 | 1.7744285E-4 | 1.8281199E-4 | 2.008087E-4 | 1.0984439 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.3880428E-6 | 3.4907214E-6 | 9.4907E-6 | 2.7188363 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4520103E-5 | 1.4960157E-5 | 2.6959979E-5 | 1.8021185 | 1.2E-5 | 1.767679E-4 | 1.821263E-4 | 2.0012303E-4 | 1.0988145 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.6582E-6 | 2.7376193E-6 | 8.737603E-6 | 3.1916792 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1392236E-5 | 1.1732609E-5 | 2.1732492E-5 | 1.8523153 | 1.0E-5 | 1.3869164E-4 | 1.428365E-4 | 1.5483478E-4 | 1.0840001 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.406011E-6 | 2.4778751E-6 | 8.47786E-6 | 3.4214234 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0311434E-5 | 1.0619429E-5 | 1.8619345E-5 | 1.7533282 | 8.0E-6 | 1.2553448E-4 | 1.2928521E-4 | 1.3928392E-4 | 1.0773383 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.6953097E-6 | 1.7454092E-6 | 5.745402E-6 | 3.2917223 | 4.0E-6 | 7.265593E-6 | 7.4803097E-6 | 1.3480265E-5 | 1.8020998 | 6.0E-6 | 8.8455E-5 | 9.107001E-5 | 9.706947E-5 | 1.0658773 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.5013824E-7 | 3.575088E-7 | 3.575088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5005916E-6 | 1.5321797E-6 | 1.5321797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.826955E-5 | 1.8654131E-5 | 1.8654131E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.2321095E-7 | 2.2772645E-7 | 2.2772645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.56618E-7 | 9.759701E-7 | 9.759701E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1646762E-5 | 1.1882373E-5 | 1.1882373E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.5760406E-7 | 1.6076363E-7 | 1.6076363E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7544585E-7 | 6.889868E-7 | 6.889868E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.223522E-6 | 8.388382E-6 | 8.388382E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.1216497E-7 | 1.1442766E-7 | 1.1442766E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8070694E-7 | 4.9040415E-7 | 4.9040415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.852591E-6 | 5.9706545E-6 | 5.9706545E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 4.885185E-8 | 4.983583E-8 | 4.983583E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0936506E-7 | 2.1358211E-7 | 2.1358211E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5490165E-6 | 2.6003593E-6 | 2.6003593E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.504641E-9 | 1.5331837E-9 | 1.5331837E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4484613E-9 | 6.5707875E-9 | 6.5707875E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851001E-8 | 7.999934E-8 | 7.999934E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Green Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.938062E-5 | 1.7426813E-4 | 1.962643E-4 | 1.1262202 | 2.2E-5 | 4.2584742E-4 | 7.466296E-4 | 7.7660725E-4 | 1.0401505 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0051723733 | 0.00905086 | 0.009096444 | 1.0050364 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 9.862786E-5 | 1.7282816E-4 | 1.9482437E-4 | 1.127272 | 2.2E-5 | 4.2262237E-4 | 7.4046187E-4 | 7.704396E-4 | 1.0404853 | 3.0E-5 | 0.005133294 | 0.008976393 | 0.00902198 | 1.0050786 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 9.695835E-5 | 1.696687E-4 | 1.9166496E-4 | 1.1296425 | 2.2E-5 | 4.154696E-4 | 7.269303E-4 | 7.5690844E-4 | 1.0412394 | 3.0E-5 | 0.0050466163 | 0.00881308 | 0.008858675 | 1.0051736 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 9.274664E-5 | 1.6136354E-4 | 1.8336E-4 | 1.1363161 | 2.2E-5 | 3.9742506E-4 | 6.913559E-4 | 7.1933656E-4 | 1.0404721 | 2.8E-5 | 0.00482792 | 0.008383343 | 0.0084269745 | 1.0052046 | 4.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 8.391499E-5 | 1.4506497E-4 | 1.6306236E-4 | 1.1240643 | 1.8E-5 | 3.595861E-4 | 6.215417E-4 | 6.43528E-4 | 1.0353738 | 2.2E-5 | 0.004369175 | 0.007539891 | 0.007573635 | 1.0044754 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 5.9519385E-5 | 1.0003727E-4 | 1.18035474E-4 | 1.179915 | 1.8E-5 | 2.5505814E-4 | 4.2864308E-4 | 4.486345E-4 | 1.0466388 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0031009112 | 0.005205172 | 0.0052350163 | 1.0057335 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.5361558E-5 | 7.431801E-5 | 9.0316826E-5 | 1.215275 | 1.6E-5 | 1.9439218E-4 | 3.184572E-4 | 3.3645146E-4 | 1.0565045 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0023641558 | 0.0038694504 | 0.0038913654 | 1.0056635 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.8808106E-5 | 6.2745676E-5 | 7.874468E-5 | 1.2549816 | 1.6E-5 | 1.6630985E-4 | 2.6887236E-4 | 2.8686752E-4 | 1.0669283 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0020229418 | 0.0032681217 | 0.00329005 | 1.0067097 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.2284667E-5 | 3.158248E-5 | 3.758229E-5 | 1.1899728 | 6.0E-6 | 9.550222E-5 | 1.353464E-4 | 1.4334531E-4 | 1.0590996 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0011621192 | 0.0016465962 | 0.0016565798 | 1.0060631 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.8050168E-5 | 2.4664061E-5 | 3.0663912E-5 | 1.2432629 | 6.0E-6 | 7.735557E-5 | 1.0569883E-4 | 1.1369799E-4 | 1.0756787 | 8.0E-6 | 9.4139716E-4 | 0.0012861264 | 0.0012961136 | 1.0077653 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.4763166E-5 | 1.975809E-5 | 1.975809E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.326917E-5 | 8.467479E-5 | 8.667463E-5 | 1.0236177 | 2.0E-6 | 7.7002996E-4 | 0.0010304294 | 0.0010324274 | 1.0019389 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.2399713E-5 | 1.6435612E-5 | 1.6435612E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3140546E-5 | 7.043644E-5 | 7.24363E-5 | 1.0283924 | 2.0E-6 | 6.467941E-4 | 8.572283E-4 | 8.5922657E-4 | 1.0023311 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.0584195E-5 | 1.4024187E-5 | 1.4024187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5360044E-5 | 6.0102288E-5 | 6.210217E-5 | 1.0332747 | 2.0E-6 | 5.521186E-4 | 7.315013E-4 | 7.334998E-4 | 1.0027322 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 7.998173E-6 | 1.0607869E-5 | 1.0607869E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4277433E-5 | 4.5461507E-5 | 4.5461507E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1724785E-4 | 5.533544E-4 | 5.533544E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 6.7571127E-6 | 8.9802215E-6 | 8.9802215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8958733E-5 | 3.84861E-5 | 3.84861E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5251552E-4 | 4.6846853E-4 | 4.6846853E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 5.69878E-6 | 7.55217E-6 | 7.55217E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4423114E-5 | 3.2366046E-5 | 3.2366046E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9731085E-4 | 3.9398624E-4 | 3.9398624E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 4.503664E-6 | 5.9616077E-6 | 5.9616077E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9301275E-5 | 2.5549502E-5 | 2.5549502E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3496768E-4 | 3.110216E-4 | 3.110216E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.0873546E-6 | 1.4200918E-6 | 1.4200918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6600826E-6 | 6.086094E-6 | 6.086094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6735033E-5 | 7.4095704E-5 | 7.4095704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 4.9373917E-8 | 6.248644E-8 | 6.248644E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1160248E-7 | 2.6779904E-7 | 2.6779904E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5762572E-6 | 3.2604496E-6 | 3.2604496E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
La Panza 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.719785E-6 | 3.2719654E-5 | 6.932446 | 2.8E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0227504E-5 | 5.0226896E-5 | 2.4830992 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.46244E-4 | 2.9223267E-4 | 1.1867605 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.719785E-6 | 3.2719654E-5 | 6.932446 | 2.8E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0227504E-5 | 5.0226896E-5 | 2.4830992 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.46244E-4 | 2.9223267E-4 | 1.1867605 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.719785E-6 | 3.2719654E-5 | 6.932446 | 2.8E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0227504E-5 | 5.0226896E-5 | 2.4830992 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.46244E-4 | 2.9223267E-4 | 1.1867605 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.719785E-6 | 3.2719654E-5 | 6.932446 | 2.8E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0227504E-5 | 5.0226896E-5 | 2.4830992 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.46244E-4 | 2.9223267E-4 | 1.1867605 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.6754544E-6 | 4.719785E-6 | 3.2719654E-5 | 6.932446 | 2.8E-5 | 2.0037509E-5 | 2.0227504E-5 | 5.0226896E-5 | 2.4830992 | 3.0E-5 | 2.4392935E-4 | 2.46244E-4 | 2.9223267E-4 | 1.1867605 | 4.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5014253E-6 | 1.25014E-5 | 4.9977107 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0720353E-5 | 2.0720247E-5 | 1.9327952 | 1.0E-5 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3051287E-4 | 1.4651078E-4 | 1.1225773 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.485343E-6 | 2.5014253E-6 | 1.25014E-5 | 4.9977107 | 1.0E-5 | 1.0651426E-5 | 1.0720353E-5 | 2.0720247E-5 | 1.9327952 | 1.0E-5 | 1.296734E-4 | 1.3051287E-4 | 1.4651078E-4 | 1.1225773 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.5108508E-6 | 1.5148792E-6 | 9.514867E-6 | 6.2809415 | 8.0E-6 | 6.4750584E-6 | 6.4923233E-6 | 1.44922715E-5 | 2.2322166 | 8.0E-6 | 7.8830984E-5 | 7.904128E-5 | 8.904049E-5 | 1.1265062 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.3865837E-6 | 1.3886566E-6 | 5.388651E-6 | 3.8804777 | 4.0E-6 | 5.942488E-6 | 5.9513727E-6 | 9.951349E-6 | 1.6721098 | 4.0E-6 | 7.234739E-5 | 7.245565E-5 | 7.845522E-5 | 1.0828032 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 9.826583E-7 | 9.795222E-7 | 2.9795203E-6 | 3.0418098 | 2.0E-6 | 4.2113857E-6 | 4.197946E-6 | 6.1979376E-6 | 1.4764215 | 2.0E-6 | 5.1272415E-5 | 5.1108847E-5 | 5.3108743E-5 | 1.0391302 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 6.7797646E-7 | 6.7071454E-7 | 2.6707132E-6 | 3.9818926 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9056102E-6 | 2.8744878E-6 | 4.874482E-6 | 1.6957741 | 2.0E-6 | 3.537523E-5 | 3.499636E-5 | 3.6996287E-5 | 1.0571468 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.4979826E-7 | 3.3822232E-7 | 3.3822232E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4991346E-6 | 1.4495234E-6 | 1.4495234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.825181E-5 | 1.7647817E-5 | 1.7647817E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.5088332E-7 | 2.3772539E-7 | 2.3772539E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0752137E-6 | 1.0188228E-6 | 1.0188228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3090649E-5 | 1.2404105E-5 | 1.2404105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.0159086E-7 | 8.57201E-8 | 8.57201E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3538932E-7 | 3.673718E-7 | 3.673718E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.300852E-6 | 4.472743E-6 | 4.472743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 3.5006252E-8 | 1.9766942E-8 | 1.9766942E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5002678E-7 | 8.471546E-8 | 8.471546E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8265745E-6 | 1.0314103E-6 | 1.0314103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 2.592274E-8 | 1.0723179E-8 | 1.0723179E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1109746E-7 | 4.595648E-8 | 4.595648E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3526106E-6 | 5.5952E-7 | 5.5952E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.9016717E-8 | 5.6180403E-9 | 5.6180403E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.150022E-8 | 2.4077314E-8 | 2.4077314E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.922647E-7 | 2.9314128E-7 | 2.9314128E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.17738495E-8 | 1.4380844E-9 | 1.4380844E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0459356E-8 | 6.1632197E-9 | 6.1632197E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1434247E-7 | 7.50372E-8 | 7.50372E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 5.489079E-9 | 2.685394E-10 | 2.685394E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3524624E-8 | 1.1508837E-9 | 1.1508837E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8641225E-7 | 1.401201E-8 | 1.401201E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 2.5081048E-9 | 9.474854E-11 | 9.474854E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749021E-8 | 4.0606518E-10 | 4.0606518E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3086932E-7 | 4.9438476E-9 | 4.9438476E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hosgri (Extension)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.918016E-6 | 1.0437451E-5 | 2.6437285E-5 | 2.5329254 | 1.6E-5 | 4.2505093E-5 | 4.4731234E-5 | 7.272998E-5 | 1.6259328 | 2.8E-5 | 5.1737664E-4 | 5.4447836E-4 | 5.884544E-4 | 1.0807673 | 4.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.290402E-6 | 1.5290345E-5 | 2.097325 | 8.0E-6 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.124423E-5 | 4.724373E-5 | 1.5120785 | 1.6E-5 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.8033613E-4 | 4.1032472E-4 | 1.0788476 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 6.934979E-6 | 7.290402E-6 | 1.5290345E-5 | 2.097325 | 8.0E-6 | 2.9721E-5 | 3.124423E-5 | 4.724373E-5 | 1.5120785 | 1.6E-5 | 3.617931E-4 | 3.8033613E-4 | 4.1032472E-4 | 1.0788476 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.5484676E-6 | 4.7728727E-6 | 8.772853E-6 | 1.8380657 | 4.0E-6 | 1.9493287E-5 | 2.045501E-5 | 2.8454846E-5 | 1.3910942 | 8.0E-6 | 2.3730492E-4 | 2.490117E-4 | 2.610087E-4 | 1.0481786 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.218095E-6 | 4.422972E-6 | 6.422963E-6 | 1.4521827 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8077424E-5 | 1.8955458E-5 | 2.4955345E-5 | 1.3165256 | 6.0E-6 | 2.2007042E-4 | 2.3075858E-4 | 2.4075627E-4 | 1.0433253 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 3.717374E-6 | 3.892322E-6 | 5.8923147E-6 | 1.5138301 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5931506E-5 | 1.6681275E-5 | 2.068121E-5 | 1.2397858 | 4.0E-6 | 1.9394881E-4 | 2.0307579E-4 | 2.0907457E-4 | 1.0295396 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.4605036E-6 | 3.6169977E-6 | 5.61699E-6 | 1.5529428 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4830645E-5 | 1.5501328E-5 | 1.9501265E-5 | 1.2580384 | 4.0E-6 | 1.8054814E-4 | 1.8871245E-4 | 1.9471132E-4 | 1.0317883 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.123439E-6 | 3.2562425E-6 | 5.256236E-6 | 1.6142029 | 2.0E-6 | 1.33860985E-5 | 1.395525E-5 | 1.7955195E-5 | 1.2866265 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6296357E-4 | 1.6989204E-4 | 1.7589102E-4 | 1.0353105 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 2.8290783E-6 | 2.94056E-6 | 4.9405544E-6 | 1.6801405 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2124565E-5 | 1.260234E-5 | 1.660229E-5 | 1.3173974 | 4.0E-6 | 1.4760658E-4 | 1.5342276E-4 | 1.5942185E-4 | 1.0391016 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.454112E-6 | 2.5385127E-6 | 4.5385077E-6 | 1.7878609 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0517581E-5 | 1.0879295E-5 | 1.48792515E-5 | 1.3676668 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2804402E-4 | 1.3244743E-4 | 1.3844663E-4 | 1.045295 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.1008145E-6 | 2.159824E-6 | 2.159824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.003459E-6 | 9.256356E-6 | 1.12563375E-5 | 1.2160658 | 2.0E-6 | 1.096116E-4 | 1.1269034E-4 | 1.1668989E-4 | 1.0354915 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.744384E-6 | 1.7782974E-6 | 1.7782974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.47591E-6 | 7.6212523E-6 | 7.6212523E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1015405E-5 | 9.278481E-5 | 9.278481E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.5456587E-6 | 1.5657629E-6 | 1.5657629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6242346E-6 | 6.710395E-6 | 6.710395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.064707E-5 | 8.169601E-5 | 8.169601E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.3775123E-6 | 1.3857659E-6 | 1.3857659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9036106E-6 | 5.9389836E-6 | 5.9389836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.187409E-5 | 7.2304734E-5 | 7.2304734E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.214491E-6 | 1.2111408E-6 | 1.2111408E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2049513E-6 | 5.1905927E-6 | 5.1905927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.336844E-5 | 6.319364E-5 | 6.319364E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.0101123E-6 | 9.925283E-7 | 9.925283E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3290456E-6 | 4.253686E-6 | 4.253686E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2704854E-5 | 5.17874E-5 | 5.17874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 8.1558215E-7 | 7.8435284E-7 | 7.8435284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4953473E-6 | 3.3615079E-6 | 3.3615079E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.255502E-5 | 4.092559E-5 | 4.092559E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 4.757816E-7 | 4.1982315E-7 | 4.1982315E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0390623E-6 | 1.7992407E-6 | 1.7992407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4825302E-5 | 2.1905538E-5 | 2.1905538E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 2.782787E-7 | 2.0654075E-7 | 2.0654075E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1926223E-6 | 8.851743E-7 | 8.851743E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.452008E-5 | 1.0776944E-5 | 1.0776944E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 1.6948086E-7 | 9.771707E-8 | 9.771707E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2634634E-7 | 4.1878735E-7 | 4.1878735E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.843231E-6 | 5.098724E-6 | 5.098724E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.0225492E-7 | 4.860664E-8 | 4.860664E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.382353E-7 | 2.0831415E-7 | 2.0831415E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.335502E-6 | 2.536222E-6 | 2.536222E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 1.43711345E-8 | 6.4471073E-9 | 6.4471073E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1590576E-8 | 2.763046E-8 | 2.763046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4986497E-7 | 3.364008E-7 | 3.364008E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (So) extension 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.0263006E-4 | 2.0300891E-4 | 2.2100525E-4 | 1.0886481 | 1.8E-5 | 4.3976895E-4 | 8.696548E-4 | 8.896374E-4 | 1.0229776 | 2.0E-5 | 0.00534105 | 0.010525065 | 0.010562665 | 1.0035725 | 3.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3791725E-4 | 1.4591614E-4 | 1.0579978 | 8.0E-6 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.9087033E-4 | 6.008644E-4 | 1.0169141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036416445 | 0.007165622 | 0.0071874643 | 1.0030482 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 6.99169E-5 | 1.3791725E-4 | 1.4591614E-4 | 1.0579978 | 8.0E-6 | 2.9960944E-4 | 5.9087033E-4 | 6.008644E-4 | 1.0169141 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036416445 | 0.007165622 | 0.0071874643 | 1.0030482 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.970908E-5 | 1.3759987E-4 | 1.4559877E-4 | 1.0581316 | 8.0E-6 | 2.9871898E-4 | 5.895109E-4 | 5.99505E-4 | 1.0169532 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036308395 | 0.007149215 | 0.0071710576 | 1.0030552 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.9517155E-5 | 1.372739E-4 | 1.452728E-4 | 1.0582696 | 8.0E-6 | 2.9789665E-4 | 5.8811484E-4 | 5.98109E-4 | 1.0169935 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0036208609 | 0.007132371 | 0.007154214 | 1.0030625 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 4.786248E-5 | 9.4871604E-5 | 1.0087103E-4 | 1.0632374 | 6.0E-6 | 2.0510878E-4 | 4.0653176E-4 | 4.145285E-4 | 1.0196706 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0024943394 | 0.004938743 | 0.004956654 | 1.0036267 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.4662214E-5 | 8.95974E-5 | 9.5596864E-5 | 1.0669602 | 6.0E-6 | 1.9139545E-4 | 3.8393494E-4 | 3.9193188E-4 | 1.0208288 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0023277493 | 0.0046648555 | 0.0046807807 | 1.0034139 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.884542E-5 | 7.9449914E-5 | 8.3449595E-5 | 1.0503422 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6646975E-4 | 3.404577E-4 | 3.4645566E-4 | 1.0176173 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002024885 | 0.004137639 | 0.0041515813 | 1.0033696 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.4221863E-5 | 6.931567E-5 | 7.3315394E-5 | 1.057703 | 4.0E-6 | 1.4665688E-4 | 2.970357E-4 | 3.010345E-4 | 1.0134624 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0017840851 | 0.0036108342 | 0.0036188052 | 1.0022075 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.6927712E-5 | 3.0661195E-5 | 3.0661195E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2545314E-5 | 1.3139882E-4 | 1.3139882E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.828813E-4 | 0.0015986644 | 0.0016006613 | 1.0012491 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.2509653E-5 | 2.2993916E-5 | 2.2993916E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611697E-5 | 9.854188E-5 | 9.854188E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.525269E-4 | 0.001199132 | 0.001199132 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 8.751583E-6 | 1.5408197E-5 | 1.5408197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.750624E-5 | 6.603349E-5 | 6.603349E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5654282E-4 | 8.0366747E-4 | 8.0366747E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 6.354379E-6 | 1.1939049E-5 | 1.1939049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7232769E-5 | 5.116638E-5 | 5.116638E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3150852E-4 | 6.2277785E-4 | 6.2277785E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 4.645554E-6 | 9.192716E-6 | 9.192716E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9909365E-5 | 3.9396782E-5 | 3.9396782E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4236954E-4 | 4.7955452E-4 | 4.7955452E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 4.23437E-6 | 8.336284E-6 | 8.336284E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8147173E-5 | 3.572646E-5 | 3.572646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2091944E-4 | 4.3488707E-4 | 4.3488707E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 2.2187417E-6 | 4.1333E-6 | 4.1333E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.508858E-6 | 1.771404E-5 | 1.771404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.157642E-4 | 2.1564994E-4 | 2.1564994E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.7952495E-8 | 4.010493E-8 | 4.010493E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1979641E-7 | 1.7187826E-7 | 1.7187826E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4585203E-6 | 2.0926157E-6 | 2.0926157E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.7192724E-8 | 2.427386E-8 | 2.427386E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.36831E-8 | 1.0403082E-7 | 1.0403082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.9709135E-7 | 1.2665746E-6 | 1.2665746E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monterey Bay-Tularcitos
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2948203E-5 | 5.4947475E-5 | 1.6676928 | 2.2E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4119953E-4 | 1.7119531E-4 | 1.2124352 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017178555 | 0.0017577867 | 1.0232449 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2948203E-5 | 5.4947475E-5 | 1.6676928 | 2.2E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4119953E-4 | 1.7119531E-4 | 1.2124352 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017178555 | 0.0017577867 | 1.0232449 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.0131365E-5 | 3.2948203E-5 | 5.4947475E-5 | 1.6676928 | 2.2E-5 | 1.2912804E-4 | 1.4119953E-4 | 1.7119531E-4 | 1.2124352 | 3.0E-5 | 0.001571 | 0.0017178555 | 0.0017577867 | 1.0232449 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.840562E-5 | 3.04054E-5 | 1.6519628 | 1.2E-5 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.887895E-5 | 9.2877846E-5 | 1.1774732 | 1.4E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5994695E-4 | 9.819259E-4 | 1.0228959 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.6998249E-5 | 1.840562E-5 | 3.04054E-5 | 1.6519628 | 1.2E-5 | 7.28476E-5 | 7.887895E-5 | 9.2877846E-5 | 1.1774732 | 1.4E-5 | 8.865586E-4 | 9.5994695E-4 | 9.819259E-4 | 1.0228959 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.27470785E-5 | 1.3746779E-5 | 2.1746668E-5 | 1.5819465 | 8.0E-6 | 5.4629192E-5 | 5.8913494E-5 | 6.89129E-5 | 1.1697304 | 1.0E-5 | 6.649074E-4 | 7.1704615E-4 | 7.3503325E-4 | 1.025085 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.2739422E-5 | 1.3738852E-5 | 2.1738742E-5 | 1.5822823 | 8.0E-6 | 5.4596385E-5 | 5.8879526E-5 | 6.887894E-5 | 1.1698283 | 1.0E-5 | 6.645082E-4 | 7.166329E-4 | 7.3462E-4 | 1.0250995 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.0160109E-5 | 1.09270995E-5 | 1.6927033E-5 | 1.5490875 | 6.0E-6 | 4.35426E-5 | 4.6829624E-5 | 5.482925E-5 | 1.170824 | 8.0E-6 | 5.300022E-4 | 5.7000865E-4 | 5.8400066E-4 | 1.024547 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 8.349859E-6 | 8.966125E-6 | 1.4966071E-5 | 1.6691794 | 6.0E-6 | 3.578462E-5 | 3.8425715E-5 | 4.6425408E-5 | 1.2081859 | 8.0E-6 | 4.3559066E-4 | 4.6773837E-4 | 4.817318E-4 | 1.0299172 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 5.193639E-6 | 5.5569067E-6 | 7.5568955E-6 | 1.3599105 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2258262E-5 | 2.3815115E-5 | 2.781502E-5 | 1.1679566 | 4.0E-6 | 2.7096065E-4 | 2.8991373E-4 | 2.9991084E-4 | 1.0344831 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 4.359381E-6 | 4.660654E-6 | 6.660645E-6 | 1.4291223 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8682927E-5 | 1.9974097E-5 | 2.3974017E-5 | 1.2002554 | 4.0E-6 | 2.274409E-4 | 2.431605E-4 | 2.5115855E-4 | 1.0328921 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.0398533E-6 | 3.243303E-6 | 3.243303E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3027877E-5 | 1.3899811E-5 | 1.3899811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5860285E-4 | 1.692197E-4 | 1.7121936E-4 | 1.011817 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.642335E-6 | 1.7401362E-6 | 1.7401362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0385595E-6 | 7.457717E-6 | 7.457717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.569109E-5 | 9.0796006E-5 | 9.279582E-5 | 1.0220253 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.356842E-7 | 3.310572E-7 | 3.310572E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4386458E-6 | 1.4188158E-6 | 1.4188158E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7515373E-5 | 1.7273946E-5 | 1.9273912E-5 | 1.1157793 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.1973483E-7 | 2.1142276E-7 | 2.1142276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.417204E-7 | 9.060972E-7 | 9.060972E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1465385E-5 | 1.1031678E-5 | 1.1031678E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.1944135E-7 | 1.0814089E-7 | 1.0814089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.118914E-7 | 4.6346088E-7 | 4.6346088E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.23226E-6 | 5.6426215E-6 | 5.6426215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 4.636058E-8 | 3.4383874E-8 | 3.4383874E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9868818E-7 | 1.4735944E-7 | 1.4735944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.419026E-6 | 1.7940998E-6 | 1.7940998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.8588572E-8 | 8.615111E-9 | 8.615111E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.9665305E-8 | 3.6921907E-8 | 3.6921907E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.699246E-7 | 4.4952412E-7 | 4.4952412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 2.7960154E-9 | 8.6208196E-10 | 8.6208196E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1982923E-8 | 3.6946368E-9 | 3.6946368E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4589209E-7 | 4.49822E-8 | 4.49822E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Ozena
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4520663E-6 | 2.1452037E-5 | 14.773456 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.223128E-6 | 3.822293E-5 | 6.1420765 | 3.2E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.576422E-5 | 1.1576119E-4 | 1.5279137 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4520663E-6 | 2.1452037E-5 | 14.773456 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.223128E-6 | 3.822293E-5 | 6.1420765 | 3.2E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.576422E-5 | 1.1576119E-4 | 1.5279137 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4520663E-6 | 2.1452037E-5 | 14.773456 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.223128E-6 | 3.822293E-5 | 6.1420765 | 3.2E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.576422E-5 | 1.1576119E-4 | 1.5279137 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4520663E-6 | 2.1452037E-5 | 14.773456 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.223128E-6 | 3.822293E-5 | 6.1420765 | 3.2E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.576422E-5 | 1.1576119E-4 | 1.5279137 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4520663E-6 | 2.1452037E-5 | 14.773456 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.223128E-6 | 3.822293E-5 | 6.1420765 | 3.2E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.576422E-5 | 1.1576119E-4 | 1.5279137 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4520663E-6 | 2.1452037E-5 | 14.773456 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.223128E-6 | 3.822293E-5 | 6.1420765 | 3.2E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.576422E-5 | 1.1576119E-4 | 1.5279137 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4520663E-6 | 2.1452037E-5 | 14.773456 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.223128E-6 | 3.822293E-5 | 6.1420765 | 3.2E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.576422E-5 | 1.1576119E-4 | 1.5279137 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.4377547E-6 | 1.4520663E-6 | 2.1452037E-5 | 14.773456 | 2.0E-5 | 6.161791E-6 | 6.223128E-6 | 3.822293E-5 | 6.1420765 | 3.2E-5 | 7.5017226E-5 | 7.576422E-5 | 1.1576119E-4 | 1.5279137 | 4.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 9.223257E-7 | 9.3223764E-7 | 1.6932223E-5 | 18.162989 | 1.6E-5 | 3.9528186E-6 | 3.9952984E-6 | 3.1995187E-5 | 8.008209 | 2.8E-5 | 4.81245E-5 | 4.8641712E-5 | 8.264006E-5 | 1.6989546 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 9.141515E-7 | 9.240098E-7 | 1.6923996E-5 | 18.315817 | 1.6E-5 | 3.917786E-6 | 3.9600363E-6 | 3.1959924E-5 | 8.070615 | 2.8E-5 | 4.7698002E-5 | 4.8212416E-5 | 8.2210776E-5 | 1.7051785 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 8.767648E-7 | 8.8631555E-7 | 1.4886303E-5 | 16.795715 | 1.4E-5 | 3.757558E-6 | 3.7984898E-6 | 2.9798392E-5 | 7.844799 | 2.6E-5 | 4.5747307E-5 | 4.6245674E-5 | 7.824419E-5 | 1.6919246 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.1 | 8.199402E-7 | 8.2897265E-7 | 1.4828961E-5 | 17.888361 | 1.4E-5 | 3.5140247E-6 | 3.5527353E-6 | 2.9552642E-5 | 8.318279 | 2.6E-5 | 4.2782412E-5 | 4.325373E-5 | 7.525235E-5 | 1.7397885 | 3.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 7.38705E-7 | 7.4681867E-7 | 1.2746809E-5 | 17.068146 | 1.2E-5 | 3.1658747E-6 | 3.2006476E-6 | 2.7200571E-5 | 8.498459 | 2.4E-5 | 3.8543843E-5 | 3.8967224E-5 | 6.896605E-5 | 1.7698478 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 6.490017E-7 | 6.561252E-7 | 1.2656117E-5 | 19.289179 | 1.2E-5 | 2.7814328E-6 | 2.8119625E-6 | 2.6811895E-5 | 9.534941 | 2.4E-5 | 3.386342E-5 | 3.423514E-5 | 6.423411E-5 | 1.8762627 | 3.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 5.346736E-7 | 5.4050906E-7 | 1.0540503E-5 | 19.501068 | 1.0E-5 | 2.291456E-6 | 2.3164655E-6 | 1.8316428E-5 | 7.9070587 | 1.6E-5 | 2.789812E-5 | 2.8202632E-5 | 4.820207E-5 | 1.7091336 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 2.939325E-7 | 2.9679947E-7 | 4.296798E-6 | 14.477109 | 4.0E-6 | 1.25971E-6 | 1.2719972E-6 | 7.2719895E-6 | 5.7169857 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5336862E-5 | 1.5486472E-5 | 2.148638E-5 | 1.3874289 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 1.4151905E-7 | 1.425841E-7 | 2.1425838E-6 | 15.026807 | 2.0E-6 | 6.065101E-7 | 6.110746E-7 | 4.611072E-6 | 7.5458417 | 4.0E-6 | 7.3842357E-6 | 7.4398085E-6 | 1.1439779E-5 | 1.5376443 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 4.4957577E-8 | 4.526719E-8 | 2.0452671E-6 | 45.18211 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9267533E-7 | 1.9400223E-7 | 4.1940016E-6 | 21.618317 | 4.0E-6 | 2.3458194E-6 | 2.3619746E-6 | 6.361965E-6 | 2.6934943 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 5.9993255E-9 | 6.0434266E-9 | 6.0434266E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5711394E-8 | 2.5900402E-8 | 2.5900402E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1303617E-7 | 3.1533736E-7 | 3.1533736E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Calaveras (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.698747E-5 | 6.588404E-5 | 8.5882726E-5 | 1.3035437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.8233032E-4 | 3.0632352E-4 | 1.0849829 | 2.4E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0034319754 | 0.003467852 | 1.0104536 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.698747E-5 | 6.588404E-5 | 8.5882726E-5 | 1.3035437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.8233032E-4 | 3.0632352E-4 | 1.0849829 | 2.4E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0034319754 | 0.003467852 | 1.0104536 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.698747E-5 | 6.588404E-5 | 8.5882726E-5 | 1.3035437 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0135932E-4 | 2.8233032E-4 | 3.0632352E-4 | 1.0849829 | 2.4E-5 | 0.0024487933 | 0.0034319754 | 0.003467852 | 1.0104536 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.6717287E-5 | 6.5508495E-5 | 8.5507185E-5 | 1.3052839 | 2.0E-5 | 2.0020158E-4 | 2.8072117E-4 | 3.0471443E-4 | 1.0854701 | 2.4E-5 | 0.0024347296 | 0.0034124455 | 0.0034483226 | 1.0105137 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.6276386E-5 | 6.486318E-5 | 8.486189E-5 | 1.3083214 | 2.0E-5 | 1.983123E-4 | 2.7795634E-4 | 3.0194965E-4 | 1.0863205 | 2.4E-5 | 0.0024117786 | 0.0033788972 | 0.0034147757 | 1.0106183 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 4.5720994E-5 | 6.40547E-5 | 8.405342E-5 | 1.3122132 | 2.0E-5 | 1.9593239E-4 | 2.7449237E-4 | 2.9848577E-4 | 1.0874101 | 2.4E-5 | 0.002382867 | 0.0033368627 | 0.0033727426 | 1.0107526 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.549134E-5 | 6.370129E-5 | 8.370002E-5 | 1.3139454 | 2.0E-5 | 1.949483E-4 | 2.7297807E-4 | 2.969715E-4 | 1.0878952 | 2.4E-5 | 0.0023709119 | 0.0033184823 | 0.003354363 | 1.0108123 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.701047E-5 | 5.1062394E-5 | 6.9061476E-5 | 1.352492 | 1.8E-5 | 1.5860666E-4 | 2.1882073E-4 | 2.4081592E-4 | 1.1005169 | 2.2E-5 | 0.0019293258 | 0.0026609336 | 0.0026908538 | 1.0112443 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.5523568E-5 | 4.9015176E-5 | 6.701429E-5 | 1.3672152 | 1.8E-5 | 1.5223498E-4 | 2.1004838E-4 | 2.3204376E-4 | 1.1047158 | 2.2E-5 | 0.0018518851 | 0.0025543855 | 0.0025843089 | 1.0117145 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 3.2946147E-5 | 4.5258173E-5 | 6.125745E-5 | 1.3535113 | 1.6E-5 | 1.4119013E-4 | 1.9394943E-4 | 2.1394555E-4 | 1.1030997 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0017176344 | 0.002358822 | 0.0023867558 | 1.0118424 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.7682381E-5 | 3.7535738E-5 | 5.353514E-5 | 1.4262444 | 1.6E-5 | 1.1863338E-4 | 1.6085771E-4 | 1.8085449E-4 | 1.1243135 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014434044 | 0.0019567162 | 0.0019846614 | 1.0142816 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.471967E-5 | 3.3690074E-5 | 4.9689534E-5 | 1.4749013 | 1.6E-5 | 1.05937135E-4 | 1.4437821E-4 | 1.6437532E-4 | 1.1385051 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0012890215 | 0.0017564188 | 0.0017843697 | 1.0159135 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.9748062E-5 | 2.7007316E-5 | 4.3006883E-5 | 1.592416 | 1.6E-5 | 8.463181E-5 | 1.1574065E-4 | 1.3573834E-4 | 1.1727802 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0010299052 | 0.001408257 | 0.0014362177 | 1.0198548 | 2.8E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.1603734E-5 | 1.5582873E-5 | 2.9582656E-5 | 1.8984083 | 1.4E-5 | 4.9729337E-5 | 6.678212E-5 | 8.478092E-5 | 1.2695153 | 1.8E-5 | 6.052865E-4 | 8.127844E-4 | 8.367649E-4 | 1.0295042 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 4.885381E-6 | 5.4337315E-6 | 1.9433655E-5 | 3.5764842 | 1.4E-5 | 2.0937177E-5 | 2.3287213E-5 | 4.1286796E-5 | 1.7729384 | 1.8E-5 | 2.5488032E-4 | 2.8348513E-4 | 3.0747833E-4 | 1.0846366 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 3.0571264E-6 | 3.5010398E-6 | 1.750099E-5 | 4.998798 | 1.4E-5 | 1.3101904E-5 | 1.5004371E-5 | 3.30041E-5 | 2.1996324 | 1.8E-5 | 1.5950401E-4 | 1.82663E-4 | 2.0665862E-4 | 1.1313655 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 1.764948E-6 | 2.1097053E-6 | 1.6109676E-5 | 7.6359844 | 1.4E-5 | 7.564041E-6 | 9.041562E-6 | 2.70414E-5 | 2.9907882 | 1.8E-5 | 9.208831E-5 | 1.1007554E-4 | 1.3407289E-4 | 1.218008 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 1.3173734E-6 | 1.3353508E-6 | 1.5335332E-5 | 11.484122 | 1.4E-5 | 5.645874E-6 | 5.7229195E-6 | 2.3722816E-5 | 4.14523 | 1.8E-5 | 6.873634E-5 | 6.967434E-5 | 9.3672665E-5 | 1.3444357 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.8 | 9.4429885E-7 | 7.541289E-7 | 1.4754119E-5 | 19.564451 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0469886E-6 | 3.231977E-6 | 2.123192E-5 | 6.569329 | 1.8E-5 | 4.9270973E-5 | 3.9348615E-5 | 6.1347746E-5 | 1.5590829 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.9 | 6.388233E-7 | 2.82903E-7 | 1.02829E-5 | 36.347797 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7378112E-6 | 1.2124408E-6 | 1.5212424E-5 | 12.546942 | 1.4E-5 | 3.3332344E-5 | 1.4761368E-5 | 3.0761134E-5 | 2.0838943 | 1.6E-5 |
| 8.0 | 3.087986E-7 | 4.8977427E-8 | 1.0048977E-5 | 205.17569 | 1.0E-5 | 1.323422E-6 | 2.0990325E-7 | 1.2209901E-5 | 58.169186 | 1.2E-5 | 1.6112543E-5 | 2.555569E-6 | 1.4555539E-5 | 5.695616 | 1.2E-5 |
| 8.1 | 1.6725647E-7 | 3.057408E-8 | 1.0030573E-5 | 328.07443 | 1.0E-5 | 7.168133E-7 | 1.3103177E-7 | 1.213103E-5 | 92.58083 | 1.2E-5 | 8.7271665E-6 | 1.5953106E-6 | 1.3595291E-5 | 8.522035 | 1.2E-5 |
San Pedro Escarpment
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.1740281E-6 | 1.0387332E-6 | 2.5038707E-5 | 24.105043 | 2.4E-5 | 5.031539E-6 | 4.4517064E-6 | 2.8451599E-5 | 6.391167 | 2.4E-5 | 6.125726E-5 | 5.419824E-5 | 9.019629E-5 | 1.6641922 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.1722314E-6 | 1.0369196E-6 | 2.5036894E-5 | 24.145454 | 2.4E-5 | 5.023839E-6 | 4.443934E-6 | 2.8443827E-5 | 6.400596 | 2.4E-5 | 6.116352E-5 | 5.4103617E-5 | 9.010167E-5 | 1.6653539 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.1515234E-6 | 1.0159825E-6 | 2.5015957E-5 | 24.622429 | 2.4E-5 | 4.935091E-6 | 4.354204E-6 | 2.83541E-5 | 6.5118904 | 2.4E-5 | 6.008308E-5 | 5.3011212E-5 | 8.90093E-5 | 1.6790656 | 3.6E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.1103637E-6 | 9.743172E-7 | 2.2974296E-5 | 23.579893 | 2.2E-5 | 4.7586927E-6 | 4.175639E-6 | 2.6175547E-5 | 6.268633 | 2.2E-5 | 5.793554E-5 | 5.0837283E-5 | 8.4835556E-5 | 1.6687665 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.0425391E-6 | 9.124719E-7 | 2.2912453E-5 | 25.11031 | 2.2E-5 | 4.4680173E-6 | 3.910588E-6 | 2.5910502E-5 | 6.62573 | 2.2E-5 | 5.439675E-5 | 4.7610436E-5 | 8.1608814E-5 | 1.7140951 | 3.4E-5 |
| 7.6 | 7.0184194E-7 | 5.8887974E-7 | 1.858887E-5 | 31.566496 | 1.8E-5 | 3.0078907E-6 | 2.523768E-6 | 2.0523723E-5 | 8.1321745 | 1.8E-5 | 3.6620455E-5 | 3.0726493E-5 | 5.4725755E-5 | 1.7810609 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.7 | 3.0871365E-7 | 2.2434115E-7 | 2.2243407E-6 | 9.914991 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3230577E-6 | 9.614618E-7 | 2.9614598E-6 | 3.080164 | 2.0E-6 | 1.610811E-5 | 1.1705735E-5 | 1.5705687E-5 | 1.3417089 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 5.7512665E-8 | 4.1224432E-8 | 4.1224432E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.464828E-7 | 1.7667612E-7 | 1.7667612E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0009242E-6 | 2.15103E-6 | 2.15103E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 6.040053E-9 | 3.5026066E-9 | 3.5026066E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5885942E-8 | 1.5011171E-8 | 1.5011171E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.151613E-7 | 1.82761E-7 | 1.82761E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Monte Vista - Shannon 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7515001E-5 | 3.951467E-5 | 1.4361137 | 1.2E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791681E-4 | 1.3191516E-4 | 1.1187137 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014348167 | 0.0014647737 | 1.0208786 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7515001E-5 | 3.951467E-5 | 1.4361137 | 1.2E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791681E-4 | 1.3191516E-4 | 1.1187137 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014348167 | 0.0014647737 | 1.0208786 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7515001E-5 | 3.951467E-5 | 1.4361137 | 1.2E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791681E-4 | 1.3191516E-4 | 1.1187137 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014348167 | 0.0014647737 | 1.0208786 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7515001E-5 | 3.951467E-5 | 1.4361137 | 1.2E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791681E-4 | 1.3191516E-4 | 1.1187137 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014348167 | 0.0014647737 | 1.0208786 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.7907707E-5 | 2.7515001E-5 | 3.951467E-5 | 1.4361137 | 1.2E-5 | 1.19598975E-4 | 1.1791681E-4 | 1.3191516E-4 | 1.1187137 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0014551448 | 0.0014348167 | 0.0014647737 | 1.0208786 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.7990213E-5 | 1.6513222E-5 | 2.8513025E-5 | 1.7266784 | 1.2E-5 | 7.709863E-5 | 7.076941E-5 | 8.476842E-5 | 1.1978116 | 1.4E-5 | 9.382716E-4 | 8.6134404E-4 | 8.8332506E-4 | 1.0255195 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 9.650407E-6 | 7.283479E-6 | 1.3283436E-5 | 1.8237761 | 6.0E-6 | 4.135823E-5 | 3.1214582E-5 | 3.7214395E-5 | 1.1922119 | 6.0E-6 | 5.0342013E-4 | 3.7997917E-4 | 3.8797612E-4 | 1.0210458 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.62828E-6 | 7.261102E-6 | 1.32610585E-5 | 1.8263148 | 6.0E-6 | 4.1263404E-5 | 3.111868E-5 | 3.7118494E-5 | 1.1928042 | 6.0E-6 | 5.022661E-4 | 3.78812E-4 | 3.8680894E-4 | 1.0211107 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 6.887523E-6 | 4.2743195E-6 | 1.0274293E-5 | 2.4037263 | 6.0E-6 | 2.9517621E-5 | 1.8318395E-5 | 2.4318286E-5 | 1.3275336 | 6.0E-6 | 3.5931775E-4 | 2.2300589E-4 | 2.2900455E-4 | 1.0268991 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 6.2722347E-6 | 3.6131391E-6 | 7.6131246E-6 | 2.1070666 | 4.0E-6 | 2.6880729E-5 | 1.5484802E-5 | 1.948474E-5 | 1.2583138 | 4.0E-6 | 3.2722374E-4 | 1.885132E-4 | 1.9251245E-4 | 1.0212147 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 5.5320347E-6 | 2.8355923E-6 | 6.835581E-6 | 2.410636 | 4.0E-6 | 2.3708504E-5 | 1.2152493E-5 | 1.6152444E-5 | 1.3291466 | 4.0E-6 | 2.8861282E-4 | 1.479484E-4 | 1.5194781E-4 | 1.0270325 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.8794055E-6 | 1.0785365E-6 | 3.0785343E-6 | 2.8543627 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6625918E-5 | 4.622291E-6 | 6.6222815E-6 | 1.432684 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0240174E-4 | 5.6274952E-5 | 5.827484E-5 | 1.0355378 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 3.4813652E-6 | 7.5300585E-7 | 2.7530043E-6 | 3.65602 | 2.0E-6 | 1.49200505E-5 | 3.227164E-6 | 5.2271575E-6 | 1.6197373 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8163648E-4 | 3.9290022E-5 | 4.1289943E-5 | 1.0509015 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.1682148E-6 | 5.5157807E-7 | 2.551577E-6 | 4.625958 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3577992E-5 | 2.3639038E-6 | 4.3638993E-6 | 1.8460561 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6529951E-4 | 2.8780152E-5 | 3.0780095E-5 | 1.0694903 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.9707667E-6 | 5.0852003E-7 | 2.508519E-6 | 4.9329796 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2731795E-5 | 2.1793699E-6 | 4.1793655E-6 | 1.9176944 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5499859E-4 | 2.6533507E-5 | 2.8533454E-5 | 1.0753744 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 2.3462758E-6 | 3.4811967E-7 | 2.3481189E-6 | 6.745149 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0055429E-5 | 1.4919406E-6 | 3.4919376E-6 | 2.340534 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2241797E-4 | 1.8164226E-5 | 2.0164189E-5 | 1.1101046 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 2.112783E-6 | 2.6266216E-7 | 2.2626616E-6 | 8.614342 | 2.0E-6 | 9.054753E-6 | 1.1256944E-6 | 3.1256923E-6 | 2.776679 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1023604E-4 | 1.3705245E-5 | 1.5705218E-5 | 1.1459275 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 1.7022471E-6 | 1.4108711E-7 | 2.1410867E-6 | 15.175637 | 2.0E-6 | 7.2953244E-6 | 6.046589E-7 | 2.6046578E-6 | 4.307648 | 2.0E-6 | 8.881695E-5 | 7.3616975E-6 | 9.361683E-6 | 1.2716745 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 7.230914E-7 | 7.7791285E-8 | 2.0777911E-6 | 26.70982 | 2.0E-6 | 3.0989595E-6 | 3.333912E-7 | 2.3333905E-6 | 6.9989567 | 2.0E-6 | 3.772918E-5 | 4.0590303E-6 | 6.059022E-6 | 1.4927266 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 4.3588446E-7 | 3.6271334E-8 | 2.0362713E-6 | 56.13996 | 2.0E-6 | 1.868075E-6 | 1.5544857E-7 | 2.1554483E-6 | 13.865989 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2743576E-5 | 1.8925848E-6 | 3.892581E-6 | 2.0567539 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 2.3317523E-7 | 9.583417E-9 | 9.583417E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.99322E-7 | 4.1071797E-8 | 4.1071797E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2166677E-5 | 5.00049E-7 | 5.00049E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 1.4662456E-7 | 6.531905E-9 | 6.531905E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.283908E-7 | 2.7993888E-8 | 2.7993888E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.650631E-6 | 3.4082555E-7 | 3.4082555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.2 | 5.4931775E-9 | 6.03225E-10 | 6.03225E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3542189E-8 | 2.5852493E-9 | 2.5852493E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8662612E-7 | 3.1475412E-8 | 3.1475412E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Surprise Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.510253E-5 | 6.510162E-5 | 1.4434141 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9328343E-4 | 2.192784E-4 | 1.1344914 | 2.6E-5 | 0.002105641 | 0.002350899 | 0.0023828235 | 1.0135798 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.0396248E-5 | 4.510253E-5 | 6.510162E-5 | 1.4434141 | 2.0E-5 | 1.7311527E-4 | 1.9328343E-4 | 2.192784E-4 | 1.1344914 | 2.6E-5 | 0.002105641 | 0.002350899 | 0.0023828235 | 1.0135798 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.2295266E-5 | 2.4517414E-5 | 3.451717E-5 | 1.4078634 | 1.0E-5 | 9.554764E-5 | 1.05070576E-4 | 1.1906911E-4 | 1.1332297 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0011626717 | 0.0012785147 | 0.0012964917 | 1.0140609 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.572643E-5 | 1.7171418E-5 | 2.3171317E-5 | 1.3494118 | 6.0E-6 | 6.7397246E-5 | 7.358978E-5 | 8.3589046E-5 | 1.1358784 | 1.0E-5 | 8.202525E-4 | 8.9559786E-4 | 9.075871E-4 | 1.0133868 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.5714395E-5 | 1.715924E-5 | 2.3159137E-5 | 1.3496598 | 6.0E-6 | 6.734567E-5 | 7.353759E-5 | 8.353685E-5 | 1.1359749 | 1.0E-5 | 8.1962504E-4 | 8.949629E-4 | 9.069522E-4 | 1.0133964 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.2733495E-5 | 1.3859335E-5 | 1.785928E-5 | 1.2886101 | 4.0E-6 | 5.457098E-5 | 5.9395836E-5 | 6.539548E-5 | 1.1010112 | 6.0E-6 | 6.641992E-4 | 7.229111E-4 | 7.289068E-4 | 1.0082937 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.0983784E-5 | 1.1935137E-5 | 1.593509E-5 | 1.3351408 | 4.0E-6 | 4.7072506E-5 | 5.1149615E-5 | 5.7149307E-5 | 1.1172969 | 6.0E-6 | 5.7295704E-4 | 6.22574E-4 | 6.2857027E-4 | 1.0096314 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.104806E-6 | 9.878833E-6 | 1.1878814E-5 | 1.2024511 | 2.0E-6 | 3.902001E-5 | 4.2337193E-5 | 4.6337023E-5 | 1.0944756 | 4.0E-6 | 4.7496508E-4 | 5.1533733E-4 | 5.1933527E-4 | 1.0077579 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 6.2162403E-6 | 6.729976E-6 | 8.729963E-6 | 1.2971759 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6640759E-5 | 2.8842449E-5 | 3.2842334E-5 | 1.1386805 | 4.0E-6 | 3.2430296E-4 | 3.511025E-4 | 3.5510107E-4 | 1.0113887 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 4.1792696E-6 | 4.5201873E-6 | 6.520178E-6 | 1.4424576 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7911032E-5 | 1.9372095E-5 | 2.3372018E-5 | 1.2064786 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1804498E-4 | 2.358313E-4 | 2.3983036E-4 | 1.0169573 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.7478413E-6 | 2.9733992E-6 | 4.9733935E-6 | 1.6726289 | 2.0E-6 | 1.177641E-5 | 1.2743085E-5 | 1.4743059E-5 | 1.1569458 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4336836E-4 | 1.5513727E-4 | 1.5713695E-4 | 1.0128899 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 8.128648E-7 | 8.75392E-7 | 2.8753902E-6 | 3.2846887 | 2.0E-6 | 3.4837017E-6 | 3.7516782E-6 | 5.7516704E-6 | 1.5330927 | 2.0E-6 | 4.2413245E-5 | 4.567633E-5 | 4.7676236E-5 | 1.0437844 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 4.8641045E-8 | 4.9329003E-8 | 4.9329003E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.084616E-7 | 2.1141E-7 | 2.1141E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538017E-6 | 2.573914E-6 | 2.573914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 5.3911844E-9 | 5.4643507E-9 | 5.4643507E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105075E-8 | 2.3418647E-8 | 2.3418647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130427E-7 | 2.85122E-7 | 2.85122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Morales (East)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4942771E-6 | 2.2205807E-6 | 4.220576E-6 | 1.9006633 | 2.0E-6 | 6.404029E-6 | 9.516743E-6 | 2.151663E-5 | 2.2609236 | 1.2E-5 | 7.7966266E-5 | 1.1586078E-4 | 1.4985685E-4 | 1.2934216 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.4942771E-6 | 2.2205807E-6 | 4.220576E-6 | 1.9006633 | 2.0E-6 | 6.404029E-6 | 9.516743E-6 | 2.151663E-5 | 2.2609236 | 1.2E-5 | 7.7966266E-5 | 1.1586078E-4 | 1.4985685E-4 | 1.2934216 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.4942771E-6 | 2.2205807E-6 | 4.220576E-6 | 1.9006633 | 2.0E-6 | 6.404029E-6 | 9.516743E-6 | 2.151663E-5 | 2.2609236 | 1.2E-5 | 7.7966266E-5 | 1.1586078E-4 | 1.4985685E-4 | 1.2934216 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.4942771E-6 | 2.2205807E-6 | 4.220576E-6 | 1.9006633 | 2.0E-6 | 6.404029E-6 | 9.516743E-6 | 2.151663E-5 | 2.2609236 | 1.2E-5 | 7.7966266E-5 | 1.1586078E-4 | 1.4985685E-4 | 1.2934216 | 3.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 8.798845E-7 | 1.5990277E-6 | 3.5990245E-6 | 2.2507582 | 2.0E-6 | 3.7709283E-6 | 6.8529584E-6 | 1.0852931E-5 | 1.5836855 | 4.0E-6 | 4.5910085E-5 | 8.3431696E-5 | 9.143103E-5 | 1.0958788 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 7.1751725E-7 | 1.435102E-6 | 3.4350992E-6 | 2.3936272 | 2.0E-6 | 3.0750705E-6 | 6.1504234E-6 | 1.0150398E-5 | 1.6503577 | 4.0E-6 | 3.7438338E-5 | 7.487892E-5 | 7.887862E-5 | 1.0534155 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 7.1751725E-7 | 1.435102E-6 | 3.4350992E-6 | 2.3936272 | 2.0E-6 | 3.0750705E-6 | 6.1504234E-6 | 1.0150398E-5 | 1.6503577 | 4.0E-6 | 3.7438338E-5 | 7.487892E-5 | 7.887862E-5 | 1.0534155 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 7.159057E-7 | 1.4324979E-6 | 3.432495E-6 | 2.3961606 | 2.0E-6 | 3.0681638E-6 | 6.139263E-6 | 1.0139239E-5 | 1.65154 | 4.0E-6 | 3.7354253E-5 | 7.474305E-5 | 7.874275E-5 | 1.0535127 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 7.032203E-7 | 1.4132569E-6 | 3.413254E-6 | 2.415169 | 2.0E-6 | 3.0137978E-6 | 6.0568013E-6 | 1.0056777E-5 | 1.6604106 | 4.0E-6 | 3.669237E-5 | 7.3739146E-5 | 7.7738856E-5 | 1.0542413 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 6.941549E-7 | 1.3976236E-6 | 3.3976207E-6 | 2.4309986 | 2.0E-6 | 2.974946E-6 | 5.989802E-6 | 9.989778E-6 | 1.6677977 | 4.0E-6 | 3.6219368E-5 | 7.292348E-5 | 7.692319E-5 | 1.054848 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 6.2932247E-7 | 1.2775479E-6 | 3.2775454E-6 | 2.5654972 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6970936E-6 | 5.475194E-6 | 9.475172E-6 | 1.7305638 | 4.0E-6 | 3.283662E-5 | 6.665852E-5 | 7.065826E-5 | 1.0600033 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 5.6200963E-7 | 1.1481678E-6 | 3.1481657E-6 | 2.7419035 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4086105E-6 | 4.9207106E-6 | 8.920691E-6 | 1.8128867 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9324437E-5 | 5.9908056E-5 | 6.390782E-5 | 1.066765 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 4.91044E-7 | 1.0065442E-6 | 3.006542E-6 | 2.9869947 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1044725E-6 | 4.313754E-6 | 8.3137365E-6 | 1.9272627 | 4.0E-6 | 2.5621652E-5 | 5.251873E-5 | 5.6518522E-5 | 1.0761594 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 4.2978448E-7 | 8.644878E-7 | 8.644878E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8419321E-6 | 3.7049426E-6 | 5.704935E-6 | 1.5398175 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2425293E-5 | 4.510678E-5 | 4.710669E-5 | 1.0443373 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 3.774317E-7 | 7.3822866E-7 | 7.3822866E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6175634E-6 | 3.1638335E-6 | 3.1638335E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9693656E-5 | 3.8519025E-5 | 3.8519025E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.0603232E-7 | 1.10990555E-7 | 1.10990555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5442414E-7 | 4.7567372E-7 | 4.7567372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5326E-6 | 5.791312E-6 | 5.791312E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 9.960384E-8 | 9.9210695E-8 | 9.9210695E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2687353E-7 | 4.2518863E-7 | 4.2518863E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.197173E-6 | 5.176659E-6 | 5.176659E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 6.499468E-8 | 4.801761E-8 | 4.801761E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.785486E-7 | 2.0578975E-7 | 2.0578975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3913238E-6 | 2.5054874E-6 | 2.5054874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 2.2517119E-8 | 8.658916E-9 | 8.658916E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6501935E-8 | 3.710964E-8 | 3.710964E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1749105E-6 | 4.5180977E-7 | 4.5180977E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 8.493023E-9 | 1.3950615E-9 | 1.3950615E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.639867E-8 | 5.978835E-9 | 5.978835E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4315374E-7 | 7.2792325E-8 | 7.2792325E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.4971842E-9 | 1.0571677E-10 | 1.0571677E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4165038E-9 | 4.5307247E-10 | 4.5307247E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.812093E-8 | 5.516156E-9 | 5.516156E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Vicente
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.8581527E-7 | 1.638581E-5 | 42.470608 | 1.6E-5 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.653493E-6 | 2.765345E-5 | 16.724262 | 2.6E-5 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0131098E-5 | 5.2130454E-5 | 2.5895486 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.0851268E-7 | 3.8581527E-7 | 1.638581E-5 | 42.470608 | 1.6E-5 | 1.7507675E-6 | 1.653493E-6 | 2.765345E-5 | 16.724262 | 2.6E-5 | 2.1315385E-5 | 2.0131098E-5 | 5.2130454E-5 | 2.5895486 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.692579E-7 | 1.6369251E-5 | 44.330135 | 1.6E-5 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5825328E-6 | 2.7582491E-5 | 17.429333 | 2.6E-5 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9267174E-5 | 5.1266557E-5 | 2.660824 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 3.9200887E-7 | 3.692579E-7 | 1.6369251E-5 | 44.330135 | 1.6E-5 | 1.680037E-6 | 1.5825328E-6 | 2.7582491E-5 | 17.429333 | 2.6E-5 | 2.0454258E-5 | 1.9267174E-5 | 5.1266557E-5 | 2.660824 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.9975374E-7 | 1.229975E-5 | 41.032852 | 1.2E-5 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2846582E-6 | 2.1284632E-5 | 16.568323 | 2.0E-5 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5640602E-5 | 4.1640196E-5 | 2.6623142 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 3.2280067E-7 | 2.9975374E-7 | 1.229975E-5 | 41.032852 | 1.2E-5 | 1.3834307E-6 | 1.2846582E-6 | 2.1284632E-5 | 16.568323 | 2.0E-5 | 1.684314E-5 | 1.5640602E-5 | 4.1640196E-5 | 2.6623142 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 3.1973437E-7 | 2.966768E-7 | 1.2296673E-5 | 41.448044 | 1.2E-5 | 1.3702895E-6 | 1.2714713E-6 | 2.1271446E-5 | 16.729788 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6683147E-5 | 1.5480053E-5 | 4.1479652E-5 | 2.6795547 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.0841164E-7 | 2.8527313E-7 | 1.228527E-5 | 43.064938 | 1.2E-5 | 1.3217634E-6 | 1.2225986E-6 | 2.1222575E-5 | 17.35858 | 2.0E-5 | 1.6092352E-5 | 1.4885036E-5 | 4.088465E-5 | 2.7466946 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.883202E-7 | 2.6499654E-7 | 1.22649935E-5 | 46.2836 | 1.2E-5 | 1.2356575E-6 | 1.1356989E-6 | 2.1135676E-5 | 18.610281 | 2.0E-5 | 1.50440255E-5 | 1.3827046E-5 | 3.9826686E-5 | 2.8803468 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.66663E-7 | 2.4311427E-7 | 1.0243112E-5 | 42.13291 | 1.0E-5 | 1.1428409E-6 | 1.0419178E-6 | 1.90419E-5 | 18.275816 | 1.8E-5 | 1.3914E-5 | 1.2685276E-5 | 3.668497E-5 | 2.8919332 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.3733546E-7 | 2.1364565E-7 | 6.213644E-6 | 29.083881 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0171515E-6 | 9.1562384E-7 | 1.4915611E-5 | 16.290108 | 1.4E-5 | 1.238375E-5 | 1.1147663E-5 | 2.9147463E-5 | 2.6146703 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.1 | 2.123689E-7 | 1.8858915E-7 | 6.188588E-6 | 32.815186 | 6.0E-6 | 9.1015215E-7 | 8.0823895E-7 | 1.4808227E-5 | 18.321596 | 1.4E-5 | 1.1081046E-5 | 9.840265E-6 | 2.7840088E-5 | 2.829201 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.2 | 1.8244859E-7 | 1.5860472E-7 | 4.158604E-6 | 26.219925 | 4.0E-6 | 7.8192227E-7 | 6.7973434E-7 | 1.0679728E-5 | 15.71162 | 1.0E-5 | 9.519862E-6 | 8.275734E-6 | 2.2275619E-5 | 2.6916788 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 1.611936E-7 | 1.3914607E-7 | 4.1391454E-6 | 29.746767 | 4.0E-6 | 6.9082955E-7 | 5.963401E-7 | 1.05963345E-5 | 17.768944 | 1.0E-5 | 8.410817E-6 | 7.2604166E-6 | 2.1260315E-5 | 2.92825 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.414892E-7 | 1.2195336E-7 | 4.1219528E-6 | 33.79942 | 4.0E-6 | 6.063821E-7 | 5.2265716E-7 | 1.0522652E-5 | 20.132992 | 1.0E-5 | 7.3826773E-6 | 6.363332E-6 | 2.0363243E-5 | 3.2000911 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.0709291E-7 | 9.174214E-8 | 4.0917416E-6 | 44.600464 | 4.0E-6 | 4.5896954E-7 | 3.9318053E-7 | 1.0393177E-5 | 26.4336 | 1.0E-5 | 5.5879395E-6 | 4.7869626E-6 | 1.6786906E-5 | 3.5067968 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.6 | 6.746737E-8 | 5.5175825E-8 | 5.5175825E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8914585E-7 | 2.3646781E-7 | 4.236467E-6 | 17.915617 | 4.0E-6 | 3.5203448E-6 | 2.8789916E-6 | 8.878975E-6 | 3.084057 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 2.8940264E-8 | 1.9478026E-8 | 1.9478026E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.240297E-7 | 8.347726E-8 | 4.083477E-6 | 48.917236 | 4.0E-6 | 1.5100605E-6 | 1.0163351E-6 | 5.016331E-6 | 4.9357057 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.0151455E-8 | 6.4664425E-9 | 6.4664425E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3506233E-8 | 2.7713329E-8 | 2.0277132E-6 | 73.16744 | 2.0E-6 | 5.296883E-7 | 3.3740972E-7 | 2.3374091E-6 | 6.92751 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.8324232E-11 | 2.163858E-11 | 2.163858E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2138957E-10 | 9.273671E-11 | 9.273671E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4779177E-9 | 1.129069E-9 | 1.129069E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hayward (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.0370086E-5 | 1.73467E-4 | 1.8746455E-4 | 1.080693 | 1.4E-5 | 3.8724288E-4 | 7.4321823E-4 | 7.612048E-4 | 1.024201 | 1.8E-5 | 0.004704494 | 0.009011236 | 0.009040966 | 1.0032992 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 9.0370086E-5 | 1.73467E-4 | 1.8746455E-4 | 1.080693 | 1.4E-5 | 3.8724288E-4 | 7.4321823E-4 | 7.612048E-4 | 1.024201 | 1.8E-5 | 0.004704494 | 0.009011236 | 0.009040966 | 1.0032992 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 9.006742E-5 | 1.730702E-4 | 1.8706778E-4 | 1.080878 | 1.4E-5 | 3.859461E-4 | 7.415187E-4 | 7.595053E-4 | 1.0242565 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0046887742 | 0.008990733 | 0.009020464 | 1.0033067 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 8.8336754E-5 | 1.6983191E-4 | 1.8382953E-4 | 1.0824205 | 1.4E-5 | 3.7853114E-4 | 7.276485E-4 | 7.456354E-4 | 1.0247192 | 1.8E-5 | 0.004598882 | 0.008823301 | 0.008853036 | 1.00337 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 8.526157E-5 | 1.6404688E-4 | 1.7804459E-4 | 1.0853275 | 1.4E-5 | 3.6535555E-4 | 7.0286944E-4 | 7.2085677E-4 | 1.0255913 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0044391346 | 0.008524026 | 0.00855377 | 1.0034895 | 3.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 8.152396E-5 | 1.5728324E-4 | 1.6928135E-4 | 1.0762835 | 1.2E-5 | 3.493416E-4 | 6.738976E-4 | 6.8988686E-4 | 1.0237265 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0042449418 | 0.0081739975 | 0.008201769 | 1.0033975 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 7.987405E-5 | 1.5428879E-4 | 1.6628693E-4 | 1.0777643 | 1.2E-5 | 3.4227243E-4 | 6.610708E-4 | 6.770602E-4 | 1.0241872 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0041592065 | 0.008019002 | 0.008046778 | 1.0034637 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 7.777665E-5 | 1.5062744E-4 | 1.6262563E-4 | 1.0796548 | 1.2E-5 | 3.332859E-4 | 6.4538716E-4 | 6.6137686E-4 | 1.0247753 | 1.6E-5 | 0.004050208 | 0.0078294445 | 0.007857225 | 1.0035483 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 7.3284005E-5 | 1.4192115E-4 | 1.5391943E-4 | 1.084542 | 1.2E-5 | 3.140365E-4 | 6.0809235E-4 | 6.2408263E-4 | 1.0262958 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0038166929 | 0.0073785377 | 0.007404346 | 1.0034977 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 6.458263E-5 | 1.2485593E-4 | 1.3485468E-4 | 1.0800823 | 1.0E-5 | 2.7675333E-4 | 5.349876E-4 | 5.489801E-4 | 1.0261549 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0033642664 | 0.0064941286 | 0.006517973 | 1.0036716 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 5.3853604E-5 | 1.0334057E-4 | 1.1333954E-4 | 1.0967574 | 1.0E-5 | 2.3078074E-4 | 4.4281333E-4 | 4.5680712E-4 | 1.031602 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0028061352 | 0.005377994 | 0.005401865 | 1.0044386 | 2.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 4.4308683E-5 | 8.439905E-5 | 9.439821E-5 | 1.1184747 | 1.0E-5 | 1.8988053E-4 | 3.616603E-4 | 3.7365596E-4 | 1.0331683 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0023093442 | 0.0043943683 | 0.0044162716 | 1.0049844 | 2.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.295973E-5 | 6.301624E-5 | 7.101573E-5 | 1.1269433 | 8.0E-6 | 1.4124835E-4 | 2.7004175E-4 | 2.8003906E-4 | 1.0370213 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0017183421 | 0.0032828266 | 0.0032987741 | 1.0048579 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.452256E-5 | 4.6901016E-5 | 5.490064E-5 | 1.170564 | 8.0E-6 | 1.05092455E-4 | 2.0098894E-4 | 2.1098694E-4 | 1.049744 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0012787496 | 0.0024443092 | 0.002458275 | 1.0057136 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.8829967E-5 | 3.595778E-5 | 4.1957563E-5 | 1.1668564 | 6.0E-6 | 8.069736E-5 | 1.5409572E-4 | 1.6209448E-4 | 1.0519078 | 8.0E-6 | 9.820475E-4 | 0.0018745117 | 0.0018864892 | 1.0063896 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.26374125E-5 | 2.3826518E-5 | 2.9826377E-5 | 1.2518142 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4159216E-5 | 1.0210969E-4 | 1.1010888E-4 | 1.0783391 | 8.0E-6 | 6.5918895E-4 | 0.0012424829 | 0.0012524704 | 1.0080384 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 4.666429E-6 | 8.651379E-6 | 1.2651344E-5 | 1.46235 | 4.0E-6 | 1.9998828E-5 | 3.707682E-5 | 4.107667E-5 | 1.1078801 | 4.0E-6 | 2.4345852E-4 | 4.5131813E-4 | 4.5731541E-4 | 1.0132884 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 3.8399318E-7 | 4.9231903E-7 | 2.4923181E-6 | 5.062404 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6456839E-6 | 2.109937E-6 | 4.109933E-6 | 1.9478936 | 2.0E-6 | 2.003602E-5 | 2.5688181E-5 | 2.9688079E-5 | 1.1557096 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 2.5637698E-7 | 3.0490423E-7 | 2.3049035E-6 | 7.559435 | 2.0E-6 | 1.098758E-6 | 1.3067317E-6 | 3.306729E-6 | 2.530534 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3377297E-5 | 1.5909343E-5 | 1.990928E-5 | 1.2514206 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 1.7141245E-7 | 1.2039978E-7 | 2.1203996E-6 | 17.611324 | 2.0E-6 | 7.3462456E-7 | 5.159989E-7 | 2.515998E-6 | 4.875975 | 2.0E-6 | 8.944017E-6 | 6.2822687E-6 | 1.0282243E-5 | 1.6367086 | 4.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 1.1808895E-7 | 3.3071483E-8 | 2.0330715E-6 | 61.475056 | 2.0E-6 | 5.060954E-7 | 1.4173493E-7 | 2.1417347E-6 | 15.110846 | 2.0E-6 | 6.161694E-6 | 1.7256214E-6 | 5.7256143E-6 | 3.3180015 | 4.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 5.138535E-8 | 8.084424E-9 | 2.0080845E-6 | 248.3893 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2022292E-7 | 3.4647535E-8 | 2.0346474E-6 | 58.724163 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6812106E-6 | 4.2183362E-7 | 2.4218327E-6 | 5.741204 | 2.0E-6 |
Mono Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.4035538E-5 | 3.603525E-5 | 1.4992487 | 1.2E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0300843E-4 | 1.19006785E-4 | 1.1553111 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012539459 | 0.0012859058 | 1.0254874 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.4035538E-5 | 3.603525E-5 | 1.4992487 | 1.2E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0300843E-4 | 1.19006785E-4 | 1.1553111 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012539459 | 0.0012859058 | 1.0254874 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.4035538E-5 | 3.603525E-5 | 1.4992487 | 1.2E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0300843E-4 | 1.19006785E-4 | 1.1553111 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012539459 | 0.0012859058 | 1.0254874 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.0341662E-5 | 2.4035538E-5 | 3.603525E-5 | 1.4992487 | 1.2E-5 | 8.717564E-5 | 1.0300843E-4 | 1.19006785E-4 | 1.1553111 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0010608466 | 0.0012539459 | 0.0012859058 | 1.0254874 | 3.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0668938E-5 | 3.266869E-5 | 1.5805694 | 1.2E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.858116E-5 | 1.0457975E-4 | 1.1806093 | 1.6E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010784748 | 0.0011064446 | 1.0259346 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.749821E-5 | 2.0668938E-5 | 3.266869E-5 | 1.5805694 | 1.2E-5 | 7.499018E-5 | 8.858116E-5 | 1.0457975E-4 | 1.1806093 | 1.6E-5 | 9.1262296E-4 | 0.0010784748 | 0.0011064446 | 1.0259346 | 2.8E-5 |
Los Osos 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.9891105E-6 | 1.29890705E-5 | 2.6034844 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1381742E-5 | 3.5381443E-5 | 1.6547502 | 1.4E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.602944E-4 | 2.8828712E-4 | 1.1075425 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.9891105E-6 | 1.29890705E-5 | 2.6034844 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1381742E-5 | 3.5381443E-5 | 1.6547502 | 1.4E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.602944E-4 | 2.8828712E-4 | 1.1075425 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.9891105E-6 | 1.29890705E-5 | 2.6034844 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1381742E-5 | 3.5381443E-5 | 1.6547502 | 1.4E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.602944E-4 | 2.8828712E-4 | 1.1075425 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.9891105E-6 | 1.29890705E-5 | 2.6034844 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1381742E-5 | 3.5381443E-5 | 1.6547502 | 1.4E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.602944E-4 | 2.8828712E-4 | 1.1075425 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.8871775E-6 | 4.9891105E-6 | 1.29890705E-5 | 2.6034844 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0944879E-5 | 2.1381742E-5 | 3.5381443E-5 | 1.6547502 | 1.4E-5 | 2.5497406E-4 | 2.602944E-4 | 2.8828712E-4 | 1.1075425 | 2.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 3.1724062E-6 | 3.2287805E-6 | 5.228774E-6 | 1.619427 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3595956E-5 | 1.3837558E-5 | 2.1837448E-5 | 1.5781287 | 8.0E-6 | 1.6551818E-4 | 1.6845937E-4 | 1.8245702E-4 | 1.0830921 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.6 | 3.1022591E-6 | 3.156393E-6 | 5.1563866E-6 | 1.6336327 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3295328E-5 | 1.35273285E-5 | 2.1527221E-5 | 1.5913874 | 8.0E-6 | 1.618586E-4 | 1.646829E-4 | 1.786806E-4 | 1.0849979 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.7 | 2.611518E-6 | 2.6539274E-6 | 4.653922E-6 | 1.7535981 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1192172E-5 | 1.1373925E-5 | 1.9373834E-5 | 1.7033552 | 8.0E-6 | 1.3625617E-4 | 1.3846878E-4 | 1.5046712E-4 | 1.0866501 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.4780884E-6 | 2.5167708E-6 | 4.516766E-6 | 1.7946671 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0620336E-5 | 1.0786116E-5 | 1.878603E-5 | 1.7416862 | 8.0E-6 | 1.2929492E-4 | 1.3131309E-4 | 1.4331151E-4 | 1.0913726 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 2.1376322E-6 | 2.1678152E-6 | 2.1678152E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.161248E-6 | 9.290603E-6 | 1.5290547E-5 | 1.6458079 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1153249E-4 | 1.1310724E-4 | 1.231061E-4 | 1.0884017 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.9282882E-6 | 1.9535591E-6 | 1.9535591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.264066E-6 | 8.372369E-6 | 1.4372319E-5 | 1.716637 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0061036E-4 | 1.0192884E-4 | 1.11927824E-4 | 1.0980977 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.6353226E-6 | 1.6539161E-6 | 1.6539161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0085066E-6 | 7.088193E-6 | 1.308815E-5 | 1.8464721 | 6.0E-6 | 8.532523E-5 | 8.629534E-5 | 9.429464E-5 | 1.0926969 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.4446276E-6 | 1.4589392E-6 | 1.4589392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.191247E-6 | 6.252582E-6 | 1.0252556E-5 | 1.6397318 | 4.0E-6 | 7.537582E-5 | 7.612253E-5 | 8.2122075E-5 | 1.0788143 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.2014582E-6 | 1.2102555E-6 | 1.2102555E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.149096E-6 | 5.186799E-6 | 9.186779E-6 | 1.7711846 | 4.0E-6 | 6.268844E-5 | 6.3147454E-5 | 6.914708E-5 | 1.0950097 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 9.707733E-7 | 9.740655E-7 | 9.740655E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16045E-6 | 4.1745598E-6 | 8.174543E-6 | 1.9581809 | 4.0E-6 | 5.0652303E-5 | 5.082408E-5 | 5.6823777E-5 | 1.1180483 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 7.174908E-7 | 7.142728E-7 | 7.142728E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.074957E-6 | 3.0611654E-6 | 7.061153E-6 | 2.3066878 | 4.0E-6 | 3.743696E-5 | 3.7269056E-5 | 4.1268904E-5 | 1.1073236 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 4.5535776E-7 | 4.444994E-7 | 4.444994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9515319E-6 | 1.904996E-6 | 5.9049885E-6 | 3.099738 | 4.0E-6 | 2.3759641E-5 | 2.319308E-5 | 2.7192988E-5 | 1.1724613 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 2.1173553E-7 | 1.9263217E-7 | 1.9263217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0743765E-7 | 8.255662E-7 | 2.8255645E-6 | 3.4225779 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1047998E-5 | 1.00512225E-5 | 1.2051202E-5 | 1.1989788 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 9.873608E-8 | 7.547423E-8 | 7.547423E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2315455E-7 | 3.2346094E-7 | 3.2346094E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1518946E-6 | 3.93813E-6 | 3.93813E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 5.4399106E-8 | 3.341534E-8 | 3.341534E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.33139E-7 | 1.4320858E-7 | 1.4320858E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8384638E-6 | 1.7435632E-6 | 1.7435632E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.817203E-8 | 9.044341E-9 | 9.044341E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.7880124E-8 | 3.8761463E-8 | 3.8761463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.481901E-7 | 4.719207E-7 | 4.719207E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Honey Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.9883204E-5 | 9.588192E-5 | 1.2002764 | 1.6E-5 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4231492E-4 | 3.5830945E-4 | 1.0467246 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041601663 | 0.004184067 | 1.005745 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 6.155506E-5 | 7.9883204E-5 | 9.588192E-5 | 1.2002764 | 1.6E-5 | 2.6378073E-4 | 3.4231492E-4 | 3.5830945E-4 | 1.0467246 | 1.6E-5 | 0.0032068014 | 0.0041601663 | 0.004184067 | 1.005745 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.29276E-5 | 6.0927177E-5 | 1.1511419 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2681395E-4 | 2.3481215E-4 | 1.0352632 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027581146 | 0.0027740705 | 1.0057851 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.1335024E-5 | 5.29276E-5 | 6.0927177E-5 | 1.1511419 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7713808E-4 | 2.2681395E-4 | 2.3481215E-4 | 1.0352632 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0021545228 | 0.0027581146 | 0.0027740705 | 1.0057851 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 3.2393702E-5 | 4.1197676E-5 | 4.719743E-5 | 1.1456333 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3882275E-4 | 1.7655024E-4 | 1.8254918E-4 | 1.0339787 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0016888566 | 0.0021474853 | 0.002161455 | 1.0065053 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.7205504E-5 | 3.4485223E-5 | 4.0485014E-5 | 1.1739815 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1658981E-4 | 1.4778602E-4 | 1.5378513E-4 | 1.0405933 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0014185566 | 0.0017979023 | 0.0018098806 | 1.0066625 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.069265E-5 | 2.61705E-5 | 3.0170397E-5 | 1.1528399 | 4.0E-6 | 8.867977E-5 | 1.1215496E-4 | 1.1615451E-4 | 1.035661 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0010791414 | 0.0013647155 | 0.0013727046 | 1.005854 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.8060919E-5 | 2.2845397E-5 | 2.6845306E-5 | 1.175086 | 4.0E-6 | 7.7401644E-5 | 9.7905635E-5 | 1.0190524E-4 | 1.0408517 | 4.0E-6 | 9.419576E-4 | 0.0011914312 | 0.0011994217 | 1.0067066 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.4474663E-5 | 1.8331537E-5 | 2.2331464E-5 | 1.2181993 | 4.0E-6 | 6.203279E-5 | 7.85618E-5 | 8.2561484E-5 | 1.0509113 | 4.0E-6 | 7.5498753E-4 | 9.561476E-4 | 9.6414E-4 | 1.008359 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 8.564552E-6 | 1.0887146E-5 | 1.2887125E-5 | 1.1837009 | 2.0E-6 | 3.6704707E-5 | 4.6658748E-5 | 4.8658654E-5 | 1.0428624 | 2.0E-6 | 4.4678818E-4 | 5.679895E-4 | 5.739861E-4 | 1.0105575 | 6.0E-6 |
Ortigalita (South)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.08484E-5 | 3.11915E-5 | 4.7191003E-5 | 1.5129442 | 1.6E-5 | 1.3220073E-4 | 1.3367132E-4 | 1.5366863E-4 | 1.1496007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0016083556 | 0.0016262865 | 0.0016522442 | 1.0159613 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.11915E-5 | 4.7191003E-5 | 1.5129442 | 1.6E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3367132E-4 | 1.5366863E-4 | 1.1496007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016262865 | 0.0016522442 | 1.0159613 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.7299884E-5 | 3.11915E-5 | 4.7191003E-5 | 1.5129442 | 1.6E-5 | 1.16994255E-4 | 1.3367132E-4 | 1.5366863E-4 | 1.1496007 | 2.0E-5 | 0.0014234743 | 0.0016262865 | 0.0016522442 | 1.0159613 | 2.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3516272E-5 | 3.7515943E-5 | 1.5953184 | 1.4E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0078023E-4 | 1.18778415E-4 | 1.1785885 | 1.8E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012263273 | 0.0012463027 | 1.0162889 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.0546433E-5 | 2.3516272E-5 | 3.7515943E-5 | 1.5953184 | 1.4E-5 | 8.805317E-5 | 1.0078023E-4 | 1.18778415E-4 | 1.1785885 | 1.8E-5 | 0.00107152 | 0.0012263273 | 0.0012463027 | 1.0162889 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.7779594E-5 | 2.0377185E-5 | 3.237694E-5 | 1.5888819 | 1.2E-5 | 7.619603E-5 | 8.732795E-5 | 1.0332655E-4 | 1.1832014 | 1.6E-5 | 9.272918E-4 | 0.0010627126 | 0.0010806934 | 1.0169197 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.6272212E-5 | 1.8661727E-5 | 3.0661504E-5 | 1.6430153 | 1.2E-5 | 6.973618E-5 | 7.9976446E-5 | 9.597516E-5 | 1.200043 | 1.6E-5 | 8.487073E-4 | 9.7329036E-4 | 9.912729E-4 | 1.018476 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.3051484E-5 | 1.5005468E-5 | 2.7005288E-5 | 1.7996964 | 1.2E-5 | 5.593373E-5 | 6.430761E-5 | 8.0306585E-5 | 1.2487881 | 1.6E-5 | 6.807804E-4 | 7.826734E-4 | 8.006593E-4 | 1.0229801 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.04277415E-5 | 1.1962832E-5 | 2.1962713E-5 | 1.8359125 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4689557E-5 | 5.1268315E-5 | 6.5267595E-5 | 1.2730591 | 1.4E-5 | 5.439595E-4 | 6.240203E-4 | 6.4001034E-4 | 1.0256242 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.9 | 7.639968E-6 | 8.772829E-6 | 1.877274E-5 | 2.1398733 | 1.0E-5 | 3.274231E-5 | 3.7597325E-5 | 5.15968E-5 | 1.372353 | 1.4E-5 | 3.9856473E-4 | 4.5765715E-4 | 4.7364982E-4 | 1.0349447 | 1.6E-5 |
| 7.0 | 3.919831E-6 | 4.5220972E-6 | 8.522079E-6 | 1.8845413 | 4.0E-6 | 1.679917E-5 | 1.9380284E-5 | 2.7380129E-5 | 1.4127827 | 8.0E-6 | 2.045107E-4 | 2.3593151E-4 | 2.4592917E-4 | 1.0423752 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 1.6017933E-6 | 1.8487041E-6 | 3.8487005E-6 | 2.081837 | 2.0E-6 | 6.8648105E-6 | 7.922999E-6 | 1.3922951E-5 | 1.757283 | 6.0E-6 | 8.357586E-5 | 9.6459305E-5 | 1.0445853E-4 | 1.0829285 | 8.0E-6 |
Kern Canyon (North Kern) 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7654787E-6 | 1.4765425E-5 | 2.1824656 | 8.0E-6 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8994631E-5 | 4.499417E-5 | 1.5518103 | 1.6E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.529605E-4 | 3.7695203E-4 | 1.0679723 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7654787E-6 | 1.4765425E-5 | 2.1824656 | 8.0E-6 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8994631E-5 | 4.499417E-5 | 1.5518103 | 1.6E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.529605E-4 | 3.7695203E-4 | 1.0679723 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7654787E-6 | 1.4765425E-5 | 2.1824656 | 8.0E-6 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8994631E-5 | 4.499417E-5 | 1.5518103 | 1.6E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.529605E-4 | 3.7695203E-4 | 1.0679723 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7654787E-6 | 1.4765425E-5 | 2.1824656 | 8.0E-6 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8994631E-5 | 4.499417E-5 | 1.5518103 | 1.6E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.529605E-4 | 3.7695203E-4 | 1.0679723 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.6264497E-6 | 6.7654787E-6 | 1.4765425E-5 | 2.1824656 | 8.0E-6 | 2.8398761E-5 | 2.8994631E-5 | 4.499417E-5 | 1.5518103 | 1.6E-5 | 3.4570007E-4 | 3.529605E-4 | 3.7695203E-4 | 1.0679723 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2605762E-6 | 5.2605697E-6 | 1.6133865 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3973829E-5 | 1.9973744E-5 | 1.4293681 | 6.0E-6 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.7011889E-4 | 1.8211684E-4 | 1.070527 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 3.2162225E-6 | 3.2605762E-6 | 5.2605697E-6 | 1.6133865 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3783738E-5 | 1.3973829E-5 | 1.9973744E-5 | 1.4293681 | 6.0E-6 | 1.6780409E-4 | 1.7011889E-4 | 1.8211684E-4 | 1.070527 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 2.1908265E-6 | 2.2093373E-6 | 4.209333E-6 | 1.9052469 | 2.0E-6 | 9.389223E-6 | 9.468555E-6 | 1.3468517E-5 | 1.422447 | 4.0E-6 | 1.1430779E-4 | 1.1527375E-4 | 1.21273064E-4 | 1.052044 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.7303895E-6 | 1.7382455E-6 | 3.738242E-6 | 2.1505835 | 2.0E-6 | 7.415934E-6 | 7.449603E-6 | 1.1449573E-5 | 1.5369374 | 4.0E-6 | 9.028525E-5 | 9.069524E-5 | 9.66947E-5 | 1.0661496 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.3700314E-6 | 1.3701775E-6 | 1.3701775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.87155E-6 | 5.872176E-6 | 7.872164E-6 | 1.3405873 | 2.0E-6 | 7.148377E-5 | 7.149145E-5 | 7.549116E-5 | 1.0559467 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.1467797E-6 | 1.1424784E-6 | 1.1424784E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9147607E-6 | 4.8963266E-6 | 6.896317E-6 | 1.4084675 | 2.0E-6 | 5.983557E-5 | 5.961118E-5 | 6.361094E-5 | 1.0670975 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 9.3952065E-7 | 9.311691E-7 | 9.311691E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.026511E-6 | 3.9907186E-6 | 3.9907186E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021666E-5 | 4.8585935E-5 | 5.0585837E-5 | 1.0411621 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 6.858055E-7 | 6.725927E-7 | 6.725927E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.939163E-6 | 2.882537E-6 | 2.882537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5783723E-5 | 3.5094334E-5 | 3.709426E-5 | 1.0569873 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 5.1101983E-7 | 4.944276E-7 | 4.944276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1900833E-6 | 2.1189737E-6 | 2.1189737E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6663936E-5 | 2.5798205E-5 | 2.7798153E-5 | 1.0775228 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 3.4999414E-7 | 3.3030548E-7 | 3.3030548E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499974E-6 | 1.4155942E-6 | 1.4155942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8262032E-5 | 1.7234725E-5 | 1.923469E-5 | 1.1160427 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.7021522E-7 | 1.4767656E-7 | 1.4767656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2949354E-7 | 6.328994E-7 | 6.328994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.881548E-6 | 7.705524E-6 | 7.705524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7383709E-8 | 1.7383709E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.450161E-8 | 7.450161E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0705674E-7 | 9.0705674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Point Reyes 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.8644965E-6 | 8.970775E-6 | 1.8970684E-5 | 2.114721 | 1.0E-5 | 3.7990147E-5 | 3.8445643E-5 | 5.0445182E-5 | 1.312117 | 1.2E-5 | 4.624319E-4 | 4.6798147E-4 | 4.899712E-4 | 1.0469884 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.526405E-6 | 4.5382026E-6 | 6.5381932E-6 | 1.4407011 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9398734E-5 | 1.94493E-5 | 2.3449222E-5 | 1.2056589 | 4.0E-6 | 2.36154E-4 | 2.3677055E-4 | 2.4676818E-4 | 1.042225 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.526405E-6 | 4.5382026E-6 | 6.5381932E-6 | 1.4407011 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9398734E-5 | 1.94493E-5 | 2.3449222E-5 | 1.2056589 | 4.0E-6 | 2.36154E-4 | 2.3677055E-4 | 2.4676818E-4 | 1.042225 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.6842322E-6 | 2.6577895E-6 | 2.6577895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1503801E-5 | 1.1390478E-5 | 1.3390455E-5 | 1.1755832 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4004979E-4 | 1.3867044E-4 | 1.4266989E-4 | 1.0288414 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 2.6842322E-6 | 2.6577895E-6 | 2.6577895E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1503801E-5 | 1.1390478E-5 | 1.3390455E-5 | 1.1755832 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4004979E-4 | 1.3867044E-4 | 1.4266989E-4 | 1.0288414 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.9281833E-6 | 1.887573E-6 | 1.887573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.263617E-6 | 8.089574E-6 | 1.0089558E-5 | 1.2472298 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0060489E-4 | 9.84862E-5 | 1.0248581E-4 | 1.0406108 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.4726726E-6 | 1.4238329E-6 | 1.4238329E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3114385E-6 | 6.102127E-6 | 8.102114E-6 | 1.3277526 | 2.0E-6 | 7.683905E-5 | 7.429091E-5 | 7.829061E-5 | 1.0538384 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 8.572307E-7 | 7.974608E-7 | 7.974608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6738406E-6 | 3.4176849E-6 | 3.4176849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.472809E-5 | 4.1609535E-5 | 4.1609535E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 6.6745434E-7 | 6.0448343E-7 | 6.0448343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8605155E-6 | 2.5906409E-6 | 2.5906409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.482622E-5 | 3.1540607E-5 | 3.1540607E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 4.291521E-7 | 3.6211608E-7 | 3.6211608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.839222E-6 | 1.5519252E-6 | 1.5519252E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2392298E-5 | 1.8894529E-5 | 1.8894529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.6812808E-7 | 1.9873508E-7 | 1.9873508E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1491198E-6 | 8.517215E-7 | 8.517215E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3990444E-5 | 1.036966E-5 | 1.036966E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.9451231E-7 | 1.2421161E-7 | 1.2421161E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.336239E-7 | 5.323354E-7 | 5.323354E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0149324E-5 | 6.481164E-6 | 6.481164E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.6715143E-7 | 9.7371164E-8 | 9.7371164E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1636305E-7 | 4.1730496E-7 | 4.1730496E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.721685E-6 | 5.0806757E-6 | 5.0806757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.5503173E-7 | 8.700812E-8 | 8.700812E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.644215E-7 | 3.7289192E-7 | 3.7289192E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.089301E-6 | 4.5399493E-6 | 4.5399493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.4251614E-7 | 7.773857E-8 | 7.773857E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1078333E-7 | 3.331653E-7 | 3.331653E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4362615E-6 | 4.05628E-6 | 4.05628E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.2710186E-7 | 6.6895225E-8 | 6.6895225E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.447221E-7 | 2.8669385E-7 | 2.8669385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6319717E-6 | 3.4904917E-6 | 3.4904917E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.0144708E-7 | 5.1153993E-8 | 5.1153993E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.347731E-7 | 2.1923141E-7 | 2.1923141E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2933497E-6 | 2.6691391E-6 | 2.6691391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 7.090527E-8 | 3.534463E-8 | 3.534463E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.038797E-7 | 1.51477E-7 | 1.51477E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.699729E-6 | 1.8442308E-6 | 1.8442308E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 3.8712045E-8 | 2.2584791E-8 | 2.2584791E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6590876E-7 | 9.679197E-8 | 9.679197E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0199373E-6 | 1.1784416E-6 | 1.1784416E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 1.7068782E-8 | 6.668169E-9 | 6.668169E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.315192E-8 | 2.8577874E-8 | 2.8577874E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.906242E-7 | 3.4793555E-7 | 3.4793555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.0172592E-8 | 1.5441016E-9 | 1.5441016E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.359682E-8 | 6.6175887E-9 | 6.6175887E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3079117E-7 | 8.056913E-8 | 8.056913E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 3.7861243E-9 | 1.6413138E-10 | 1.6413138E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6226247E-8 | 7.034233E-10 | 7.034233E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9755454E-7 | 8.564177E-9 | 8.564177E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Mountains
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.393408E-5 | 4.5933673E-5 | 1.3536148 | 1.2E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4542435E-4 | 1.574226E-4 | 1.0825051 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017692256 | 0.001793183 | 1.0135412 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.393408E-5 | 4.5933673E-5 | 1.3536148 | 1.2E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4542435E-4 | 1.574226E-4 | 1.0825051 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017692256 | 0.001793183 | 1.0135412 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.503579E-5 | 3.393408E-5 | 4.5933673E-5 | 1.3536148 | 1.2E-5 | 1.5014476E-4 | 1.4542435E-4 | 1.574226E-4 | 1.0825051 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0018264796 | 0.0017692256 | 0.001793183 | 1.0135412 | 2.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5984848E-5 | 2.398472E-5 | 1.500466 | 8.0E-6 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.850477E-5 | 7.650422E-5 | 1.1167722 | 8.0E-6 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.337408E-4 | 8.5372414E-4 | 1.0239682 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.7818425E-5 | 1.5984848E-5 | 2.398472E-5 | 1.500466 | 8.0E-6 | 7.636245E-5 | 6.850477E-5 | 7.650422E-5 | 1.1167722 | 8.0E-6 | 9.293162E-4 | 8.337408E-4 | 8.5372414E-4 | 1.0239682 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.3397557E-5 | 1.1385525E-5 | 1.538548E-5 | 1.3513193 | 4.0E-6 | 5.741684E-5 | 4.8794234E-5 | 5.279404E-5 | 1.081973 | 4.0E-6 | 6.988258E-4 | 5.939149E-4 | 6.0590776E-4 | 1.0201929 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.0818695E-5 | 8.6638565E-6 | 1.066384E-5 | 1.2308421 | 2.0E-6 | 4.6365014E-5 | 3.713031E-5 | 3.913024E-5 | 1.0538623 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6434784E-4 | 4.5197216E-4 | 4.5796944E-4 | 1.0132692 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.067908E-6 | 6.8343134E-6 | 8.8342995E-6 | 1.292639 | 2.0E-6 | 3.8861883E-5 | 2.9289604E-5 | 3.1289546E-5 | 1.0682817 | 2.0E-6 | 4.7304068E-4 | 3.565458E-4 | 3.6254365E-4 | 1.0168221 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 7.295947E-6 | 4.9613695E-6 | 6.9613598E-6 | 1.4031125 | 2.0E-6 | 3.126797E-5 | 2.1262846E-5 | 2.3262803E-5 | 1.0940588 | 2.0E-6 | 3.8062103E-4 | 2.5884554E-4 | 2.628445E-4 | 1.0154493 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 6.2243444E-6 | 3.8536164E-6 | 5.853609E-6 | 1.518991 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6675489E-5 | 1.6515398E-5 | 1.8515364E-5 | 1.1210971 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2472567E-4 | 2.0105694E-4 | 2.0505615E-4 | 1.0198909 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 4.9878413E-6 | 2.6975263E-6 | 2.6975263E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1376287E-5 | 1.1560777E-5 | 1.1560777E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.602252E-4 | 1.4074364E-4 | 1.4074364E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 4.0252844E-6 | 1.900981E-6 | 1.900981E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7251105E-5 | 8.147037E-6 | 8.147037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1001195E-4 | 9.918579E-5 | 9.918579E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 3.3284066E-6 | 1.2952647E-6 | 1.2952647E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4264522E-5 | 5.551123E-6 | 5.551123E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.736567E-4 | 6.7582936E-5 | 6.7582936E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 2.458226E-6 | 6.178279E-7 | 6.178279E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535211E-5 | 2.6478313E-6 | 2.6478313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2825865E-4 | 3.223691E-5 | 3.223691E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.965953E-6 | 3.211467E-7 | 3.211467E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.425486E-6 | 1.3763423E-6 | 1.3763423E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0257547E-4 | 1.675684E-5 | 1.675684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.2014192E-6 | 1.8940432E-7 | 1.8940432E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.148929E-6 | 8.1173255E-7 | 8.1173255E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2686406E-5 | 9.8828E-6 | 9.8828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.5612175E-7 | 5.0819988E-8 | 5.0819988E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976642E-6 | 2.1779994E-7 | 2.1779994E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3363979E-5 | 2.6517114E-6 | 2.6517114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (North) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.8002043E-5 | 4.1130388E-5 | 4.913006E-5 | 1.1944954 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0570682E-4 | 1.7626127E-4 | 1.8625951E-4 | 1.056724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002501604 | 0.0021438813 | 0.0021658342 | 1.0102397 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.8002043E-5 | 4.1130388E-5 | 4.913006E-5 | 1.1944954 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0570682E-4 | 1.7626127E-4 | 1.8625951E-4 | 1.056724 | 1.0E-5 | 0.002501604 | 0.0021438813 | 0.0021658342 | 1.0102397 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.531631E-5 | 4.3316024E-5 | 1.2265162 | 8.0E-6 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.513469E-4 | 1.6134538E-4 | 1.0660634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0018411026 | 0.0018590695 | 1.0097587 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.2998647E-5 | 3.531631E-5 | 4.3316024E-5 | 1.2265162 | 8.0E-6 | 1.842669E-4 | 1.513469E-4 | 1.6134538E-4 | 1.0660634 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0022411412 | 0.0018411026 | 0.0018590695 | 1.0097587 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.1101295E-5 | 3.3172448E-5 | 4.1172185E-5 | 1.241156 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7613651E-4 | 1.4215997E-4 | 1.5215855E-4 | 1.0703332 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021423528 | 0.0017294365 | 0.0017474053 | 1.01039 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 4.1032585E-5 | 3.309027E-5 | 4.1090003E-5 | 1.2417549 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7584208E-4 | 1.4180782E-4 | 1.518064E-4 | 1.070508 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021387753 | 0.0017251557 | 0.0017431247 | 1.0104158 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.011629E-5 | 3.2096563E-5 | 4.0096307E-5 | 1.2492399 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7191563E-4 | 1.3754953E-4 | 1.4754815E-4 | 1.0726911 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020910634 | 0.0016733926 | 0.0016913625 | 1.0107386 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.8583938E-5 | 3.025936E-5 | 3.8259117E-5 | 1.2643731 | 8.0E-6 | 1.6534925E-4 | 1.296766E-4 | 1.396753E-4 | 1.0771049 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0020112682 | 0.0015776836 | 0.0015936584 | 1.0101254 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.44341E-5 | 2.519996E-5 | 3.3199758E-5 | 1.3174528 | 8.0E-6 | 1.4756636E-4 | 1.07995416E-4 | 1.1599455E-4 | 1.0740693 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0017951399 | 0.0013140618 | 0.0013280434 | 1.01064 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 3.221199E-5 | 2.2496231E-5 | 2.8496097E-5 | 1.2667053 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3804408E-4 | 9.6408905E-5 | 1.02408325E-4 | 1.0622289 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0016793909 | 0.0011731548 | 0.0011851407 | 1.0102168 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.0 | 2.9186718E-5 | 1.882672E-5 | 2.2826644E-5 | 1.21246 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2507994E-4 | 8.068347E-5 | 8.4683146E-5 | 1.0495725 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0015217843 | 9.81883E-4 | 9.898752E-4 | 1.0081396 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.6840138E-5 | 1.5935184E-5 | 1.993512E-5 | 1.2510129 | 4.0E-6 | 1.1502409E-4 | 6.829187E-5 | 7.2291594E-5 | 1.0585681 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0013995186 | 8.3113834E-4 | 8.391317E-4 | 1.0096173 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.453002E-5 | 1.3221482E-5 | 1.722143E-5 | 1.302534 | 4.0E-6 | 1.05124425E-4 | 5.6662266E-5 | 6.0662038E-5 | 1.0705897 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0012791384 | 6.8964536E-4 | 6.976398E-4 | 1.0115921 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.3330727E-5 | 1.2085115E-5 | 1.6085067E-5 | 1.3309817 | 4.0E-6 | 9.9985E-5 | 5.1792325E-5 | 5.5792116E-5 | 1.0772275 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0012166376 | 6.303896E-4 | 6.3838455E-4 | 1.0126826 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.2136466E-5 | 1.0946842E-5 | 1.4946798E-5 | 1.3653982 | 4.0E-6 | 9.486712E-5 | 4.6914196E-5 | 5.0914008E-5 | 1.085258 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0011543952 | 5.7103095E-4 | 5.770275E-4 | 1.0105013 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 2.0994974E-5 | 9.979992E-6 | 1.3979951E-5 | 1.400798 | 4.0E-6 | 8.997535E-5 | 4.277069E-5 | 4.677052E-5 | 1.093518 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0010948994 | 5.20609E-4 | 5.246069E-4 | 1.0076793 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 1.7091823E-5 | 7.309299E-6 | 1.1309269E-5 | 1.5472441 | 4.0E-6 | 7.3248615E-5 | 3.132519E-5 | 3.5325065E-5 | 1.1276888 | 4.0E-6 | 8.9143694E-4 | 3.8131757E-4 | 3.8531606E-4 | 1.0104859 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 1.2772179E-5 | 4.2628626E-6 | 8.262846E-6 | 1.9383327 | 4.0E-6 | 5.473676E-5 | 1.8269282E-5 | 2.2269209E-5 | 1.2189428 | 4.0E-6 | 6.6621625E-4 | 2.2240584E-4 | 2.2640495E-4 | 1.0179812 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 7.041923E-6 | 2.028298E-6 | 4.028294E-6 | 1.9860464 | 2.0E-6 | 3.017932E-5 | 8.692677E-6 | 1.0692659E-5 | 1.2300768 | 2.0E-6 | 3.6737128E-4 | 1.058282E-4 | 1.0782798E-4 | 1.0188966 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.946768E-6 | 9.680089E-7 | 9.680089E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2628945E-5 | 4.148603E-6 | 4.148603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5374656E-4 | 5.050807E-5 | 5.050807E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.1433375E-6 | 4.1176227E-7 | 4.1176227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9000087E-6 | 1.7646943E-6 | 1.7646943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.965597E-5 | 2.148494E-5 | 2.148494E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 2.6675295E-7 | 8.4812065E-8 | 8.4812065E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1432264E-6 | 3.6348024E-7 | 3.6348024E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3918692E-5 | 4.4253634E-6 | 4.4253634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.2 | 1.2704569E-8 | 6.4401706E-10 | 6.4401706E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.444815E-8 | 2.7600766E-9 | 2.7600766E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.629061E-7 | 3.360392E-8 | 3.360392E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Rodgers Creek - Healdsburg 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 7.0775226E-5 | 1.2941686E-4 | 1.3941557E-4 | 1.0772597 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0328715E-4 | 5.545256E-4 | 5.6851783E-4 | 1.0252328 | 1.4E-5 | 0.00368627 | 0.006730452 | 0.006752304 | 1.0032468 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 7.062078E-5 | 1.2941686E-4 | 1.3941557E-4 | 1.0772597 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0262535E-4 | 5.545256E-4 | 5.6851783E-4 | 1.0252328 | 1.4E-5 | 0.00367824 | 0.006730452 | 0.006752304 | 1.0032468 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 7.035022E-5 | 1.2941686E-4 | 1.3941557E-4 | 1.0772597 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0146612E-4 | 5.545256E-4 | 5.6851783E-4 | 1.0252328 | 1.4E-5 | 0.003664174 | 0.006730452 | 0.006752304 | 1.0032468 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.894245E-5 | 1.2700053E-4 | 1.3699927E-4 | 1.0787299 | 1.0E-5 | 2.9543418E-4 | 5.441742E-4 | 5.5816665E-4 | 1.0257131 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0035909796 | 0.0066052466 | 0.006627101 | 1.0033087 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.662423E-5 | 1.2295655E-4 | 1.3295532E-4 | 1.0813196 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8550113E-4 | 5.268506E-4 | 5.4084323E-4 | 1.026559 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0034704367 | 0.006395617 | 0.0064174766 | 1.0034178 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 6.569133E-5 | 1.2154404E-4 | 1.3154282E-4 | 1.0822647 | 1.0E-5 | 2.8150392E-4 | 5.207994E-4 | 5.3479214E-4 | 1.0268677 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0034219243 | 0.006322387 | 0.006344248 | 1.0034577 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 6.289601E-5 | 1.1691007E-4 | 1.2490913E-4 | 1.0684206 | 8.0E-6 | 2.6952647E-4 | 5.0094735E-4 | 5.1294133E-4 | 1.0239426 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0032765474 | 0.006082063 | 0.006101941 | 1.0032684 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 6.115274E-5 | 1.1404918E-4 | 1.22048266E-4 | 1.0701371 | 8.0E-6 | 2.6205686E-4 | 4.8869103E-4 | 5.006852E-4 | 1.0245434 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0031858748 | 0.0059336657 | 0.005953547 | 1.0033506 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 5.9232367E-5 | 1.1065996E-4 | 1.18659074E-4 | 1.0722855 | 8.0E-6 | 2.538283E-4 | 4.7417116E-4 | 4.8616546E-4 | 1.0252954 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0030859804 | 0.005757834 | 0.005777719 | 1.0034535 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 5.4030377E-5 | 1.0140993E-4 | 1.0940912E-4 | 1.0788797 | 8.0E-6 | 2.315382E-4 | 4.3454196E-4 | 4.4653675E-4 | 1.0276033 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0028153337 | 0.005277785 | 0.0052976795 | 1.0037695 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 4.8260714E-5 | 9.036688E-5 | 9.836615E-5 | 1.08852 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0681522E-4 | 3.872294E-4 | 3.9922478E-4 | 1.0309774 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0025150678 | 0.0047043846 | 0.0047242907 | 1.0042313 | 2.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 4.0294493E-5 | 7.657047E-5 | 8.456986E-5 | 1.104471 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7267925E-4 | 3.281181E-4 | 3.3811483E-4 | 1.0304668 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0021003427 | 0.003987561 | 0.0040054894 | 1.004496 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.2 | 3.096388E-5 | 5.9289203E-5 | 6.528885E-5 | 1.1011928 | 6.0E-6 | 1.326956E-4 | 2.5407196E-4 | 2.6206995E-4 | 1.0314791 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0016143717 | 0.0030889623 | 0.003102919 | 1.0045183 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.3 | 2.3615226E-5 | 4.5503344E-5 | 5.1503073E-5 | 1.1318524 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0120418E-4 | 1.9499984E-4 | 2.0299829E-4 | 1.0410177 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0012314644 | 0.002371553 | 0.0023835246 | 1.0050479 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 1.8251132E-5 | 3.506626E-5 | 3.906612E-5 | 1.1140658 | 4.0E-6 | 7.821679E-5 | 1.5027537E-4 | 1.5627447E-4 | 1.0399207 | 6.0E-6 | 9.518733E-4 | 0.001828078 | 0.0018380597 | 1.0054603 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 1.2411432E-5 | 2.3552568E-5 | 2.7552473E-5 | 1.1698289 | 4.0E-6 | 5.3190768E-5 | 1.0093571E-4 | 1.069351E-4 | 1.0594378 | 6.0E-6 | 6.4740516E-4 | 0.0012282057 | 0.0012361959 | 1.0065056 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 4.4771446E-6 | 8.445906E-6 | 1.0445889E-5 | 1.2367991 | 2.0E-6 | 1.918762E-5 | 3.6196245E-5 | 3.8196173E-5 | 1.0552523 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3358424E-4 | 4.4060152E-4 | 4.4459975E-4 | 1.0090744 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 2.157941E-7 | 3.236221E-7 | 3.236221E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.248315E-7 | 1.386951E-6 | 1.386951E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1259765E-5 | 1.6885997E-5 | 1.8885963E-5 | 1.1184393 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 9.9623286E-8 | 1.612753E-7 | 1.612753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.269569E-7 | 6.9117965E-7 | 6.9117965E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1981874E-6 | 8.41508E-6 | 1.0415063E-5 | 1.2376666 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 5.6745257E-8 | 7.021235E-8 | 7.021235E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4319394E-7 | 3.0091005E-7 | 3.0091005E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.960882E-6 | 3.6635736E-6 | 5.6635663E-6 | 1.5459131 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 2.8614323E-8 | 1.5331834E-8 | 1.5331834E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2263281E-7 | 6.570786E-8 | 6.570786E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4930534E-6 | 7.9999285E-7 | 2.7999913E-6 | 3.5000203 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 3.5045191E-9 | 6.20773E-10 | 6.20773E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5019367E-8 | 2.6604554E-9 | 2.6604554E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8286079E-7 | 3.239104E-8 | 3.239104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf (Extension)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0743137E-6 | 2.2074217E-5 | 3.6340263 | 1.6E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.603255E-5 | 4.603203E-5 | 1.7682489 | 2.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1690687E-4 | 3.3889987E-4 | 1.069399 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0743137E-6 | 2.2074217E-5 | 3.6340263 | 1.6E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.603255E-5 | 4.603203E-5 | 1.7682489 | 2.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1690687E-4 | 3.3889987E-4 | 1.069399 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0743137E-6 | 2.2074217E-5 | 3.6340263 | 1.6E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.603255E-5 | 4.603203E-5 | 1.7682489 | 2.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1690687E-4 | 3.3889987E-4 | 1.069399 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 8.222555E-6 | 6.0743137E-6 | 2.2074217E-5 | 3.6340263 | 1.6E-5 | 3.5239045E-5 | 2.603255E-5 | 4.603203E-5 | 1.7682489 | 2.0E-5 | 4.289509E-4 | 3.1690687E-4 | 3.3889987E-4 | 1.069399 | 2.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 5.821773E-6 | 3.5590838E-6 | 1.3559048E-5 | 3.809702 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4950215E-5 | 1.5253134E-5 | 2.725295E-5 | 1.7867116 | 1.2E-5 | 3.0372653E-4 | 1.8569217E-4 | 1.9768994E-4 | 1.0646111 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 5.766023E-6 | 3.5012977E-6 | 1.150127E-5 | 3.2848592 | 8.0E-6 | 2.4711293E-5 | 1.5005481E-5 | 2.500533E-5 | 1.6664132 | 1.0E-5 | 3.0081844E-4 | 1.8267751E-4 | 1.9267568E-4 | 1.0547312 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.643576E-6 | 2.338072E-6 | 4.3380674E-6 | 1.8554037 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9900888E-5 | 1.0020272E-5 | 1.2020252E-5 | 1.1995934 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4226638E-4 | 1.2199042E-4 | 1.2399018E-4 | 1.0163927 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.9529173E-6 | 1.6533486E-6 | 3.6533452E-6 | 2.2096643 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6940963E-5 | 7.0857614E-6 | 9.0857475E-6 | 1.2822542 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0623671E-4 | 8.6265914E-5 | 8.826575E-5 | 1.0231822 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 3.4377522E-6 | 1.2290911E-6 | 3.2290886E-6 | 2.6272166 | 2.0E-6 | 1.473314E-5 | 5.2675236E-6 | 7.267513E-6 | 1.379683 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7936122E-4 | 6.4130305E-5 | 6.6130175E-5 | 1.0311846 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 3.1367306E-6 | 1.0076849E-6 | 3.0076828E-6 | 2.9847455 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3443062E-5 | 4.318643E-6 | 6.318634E-6 | 1.4631065 | 2.0E-6 | 1.63657E-4 | 5.257828E-5 | 5.4578177E-5 | 1.0380365 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.8298145E-6 | 7.4700057E-7 | 2.7469991E-6 | 3.6773722 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2127721E-5 | 3.2014273E-6 | 5.2014207E-6 | 1.6247194 | 2.0E-6 | 1.47645E-4 | 3.897673E-5 | 4.0976654E-5 | 1.0513107 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.4091064E-6 | 5.453224E-7 | 2.5453214E-6 | 4.667553 | 2.0E-6 | 1.03247E-5 | 2.3370942E-6 | 4.3370896E-6 | 1.8557615 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2569598E-4 | 2.8453791E-5 | 3.0453735E-5 | 1.0702873 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.3875518E-6 | 1.0890991E-7 | 1.0890991E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9466374E-6 | 4.6675666E-7 | 4.6675666E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.23979E-5 | 5.682749E-6 | 5.682749E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 7.056077E-7 | 5.0846396E-8 | 5.0846396E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0240296E-6 | 2.179131E-7 | 2.179131E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.681694E-5 | 2.6530893E-6 | 2.6530893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.9485886E-9 | 4.9485886E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.1208237E-8 | 2.1208237E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5821026E-7 | 2.5821026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Davis Creek
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4540828E-5 | 1.097856E-5 | 2.2978427E-5 | 2.0930276 | 1.2E-5 | 6.231634E-5 | 4.7050264E-5 | 5.90497E-5 | 1.2550344 | 1.2E-5 | 7.584374E-4 | 5.7271187E-4 | 5.9070153E-4 | 1.0314114 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.0407654E-5 | 1.097856E-5 | 2.2978427E-5 | 2.0930276 | 1.2E-5 | 4.4603472E-5 | 4.7050264E-5 | 5.90497E-5 | 1.2550344 | 1.2E-5 | 5.4291193E-4 | 5.7271187E-4 | 5.9070153E-4 | 1.0314114 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.0407654E-5 | 1.097856E-5 | 2.2978427E-5 | 2.0930276 | 1.2E-5 | 4.4603472E-5 | 4.7050264E-5 | 5.90497E-5 | 1.2550344 | 1.2E-5 | 5.4291193E-4 | 5.7271187E-4 | 5.9070153E-4 | 1.0314114 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 5.1323277E-6 | 5.4114844E-6 | 1.3411441E-5 | 2.4783294 | 8.0E-6 | 2.1995505E-5 | 2.3191915E-5 | 3.119173E-5 | 1.3449398 | 8.0E-6 | 2.6776237E-4 | 2.8233312E-4 | 2.9432971E-4 | 1.042491 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.4985154E-6 | 2.6268733E-6 | 4.626868E-6 | 1.7613595 | 2.0E-6 | 1.07078795E-5 | 1.1257998E-5 | 1.3257976E-5 | 1.1776495 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3036063E-4 | 1.370609E-4 | 1.3906063E-4 | 1.01459 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 2.4846438E-6 | 2.6128246E-6 | 4.6128193E-6 | 1.7654531 | 2.0E-6 | 1.064843E-5 | 1.1197791E-5 | 1.3197769E-5 | 1.1786046 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2963692E-4 | 1.3632796E-4 | 1.383277E-4 | 1.0146685 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 2.072566E-7 | 2.0978757E-7 | 2.0978757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.882423E-7 | 8.990893E-7 | 8.990893E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0814296E-5 | 1.0946359E-5 | 1.0946359E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 1.7544528E-7 | 1.7756298E-7 | 1.7756298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5190815E-7 | 7.60984E-7 | 7.60984E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.154443E-6 | 9.2649425E-6 | 9.2649425E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 1.2320395E-7 | 1.2456685E-7 | 1.2456685E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.280168E-7 | 5.338578E-7 | 5.338578E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.428586E-6 | 6.499701E-6 | 6.499701E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 6.399997E-8 | 6.472157E-8 | 6.472157E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7428555E-7 | 2.7737812E-7 | 2.7737812E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3394215E-6 | 3.377074E-6 | 3.377074E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 6.4455685E-9 | 6.5167174E-9 | 6.5167174E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7623864E-8 | 2.7928788E-8 | 2.7928788E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3632048E-7 | 3.40033E-7 | 3.40033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Greenville (So) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.767414E-5 | 4.261418E-5 | 4.8613925E-5 | 1.1407923 | 6.0E-6 | 1.6145062E-4 | 1.8262038E-4 | 1.9661782E-4 | 1.0766478 | 1.4E-5 | 0.001963889 | 0.0022213147 | 0.0022412704 | 1.0089837 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.4037297E-5 | 4.261418E-5 | 4.8613925E-5 | 1.1407923 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4586597E-4 | 1.8262038E-4 | 1.9661782E-4 | 1.0766478 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0017744715 | 0.0022213147 | 0.0022412704 | 1.0089837 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.4037297E-5 | 4.261418E-5 | 4.8613925E-5 | 1.1407923 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4586597E-4 | 1.8262038E-4 | 1.9661782E-4 | 1.0766478 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0017744715 | 0.0022213147 | 0.0022412704 | 1.0089837 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.5956324E-5 | 3.2247517E-5 | 3.6247387E-5 | 1.1240366 | 4.0E-6 | 1.11236644E-4 | 1.3819657E-4 | 1.4819519E-4 | 1.0723507 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013534647 | 0.0016813134 | 0.0016952899 | 1.0083128 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.1145053E-5 | 2.6145566E-5 | 3.0145462E-5 | 1.1529856 | 4.0E-6 | 9.061851E-5 | 1.12047775E-4 | 1.2204665E-4 | 1.0892377 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011027219 | 0.0013633599 | 0.0013753434 | 1.0087898 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.0030959E-5 | 2.4756528E-5 | 2.8756429E-5 | 1.1615696 | 4.0E-6 | 8.584414E-5 | 1.0609527E-4 | 1.16094205E-4 | 1.094245 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010446513 | 0.0012909756 | 0.0013029601 | 1.0092833 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.8395405E-5 | 2.2727447E-5 | 2.6727355E-5 | 1.1759946 | 4.0E-6 | 7.8835066E-5 | 9.739987E-5 | 1.0739889E-4 | 1.1026596 | 1.0E-5 | 9.5939427E-4 | 0.0011852265 | 0.0011972123 | 1.0101126 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.7883482E-5 | 2.2097121E-5 | 2.6097034E-5 | 1.181015 | 4.0E-6 | 7.664124E-5 | 9.469868E-5 | 1.0469773E-4 | 1.1055881 | 1.0E-5 | 9.3270757E-4 | 0.0011523749 | 0.001164361 | 1.0104012 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.3373564E-5 | 1.651186E-5 | 2.0511794E-5 | 1.2422462 | 4.0E-6 | 5.7314013E-5 | 7.076327E-5 | 7.876271E-5 | 1.113045 | 8.0E-6 | 6.975747E-4 | 8.61217E-4 | 8.712084E-4 | 1.0116014 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.06692905E-5 | 1.3170227E-5 | 1.7170174E-5 | 1.3037113 | 4.0E-6 | 4.5724726E-5 | 5.6442674E-5 | 6.4442225E-5 | 1.1417288 | 8.0E-6 | 5.5655633E-4 | 6.8698404E-4 | 6.969772E-4 | 1.0145464 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 8.157512E-6 | 1.009911E-5 | 1.409907E-5 | 1.3960705 | 4.0E-6 | 3.4960296E-5 | 4.3281205E-5 | 5.128086E-5 | 1.1848297 | 8.0E-6 | 4.2555845E-4 | 5.2682497E-4 | 5.348207E-4 | 1.0151772 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 6.1467113E-6 | 7.664849E-6 | 7.664849E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6342783E-5 | 3.2848944E-5 | 3.484888E-5 | 1.0608828 | 2.0E-6 | 3.206762E-4 | 3.9986338E-4 | 4.0186258E-4 | 1.0049998 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 4.713467E-6 | 5.9476542E-6 | 5.9476542E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0200418E-5 | 2.5489702E-5 | 2.748965E-5 | 1.078461 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4591232E-4 | 3.1029354E-4 | 3.1229292E-4 | 1.0064435 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.3266216E-6 | 2.9698454E-6 | 2.9698454E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.971197E-6 | 1.2727848E-5 | 1.2727848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2139256E-4 | 1.5495069E-4 | 1.5495069E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.3314E-6 | 1.7253825E-6 | 1.7253825E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7059874E-6 | 7.3944757E-6 | 7.3944757E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.946818E-5 | 9.002408E-5 | 9.002408E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.0362941E-6 | 1.3523096E-6 | 1.3523096E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4412527E-6 | 5.7956E-6 | 5.7956E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.407091E-5 | 7.055919E-5 | 7.055919E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 7.764784E-7 | 1.0130153E-6 | 1.0130153E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3277602E-6 | 4.341487E-6 | 4.341487E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0514726E-5 | 5.2856365E-5 | 5.2856365E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.6927763E-7 | 2.2201006E-7 | 2.2201006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2547533E-7 | 9.5147135E-7 | 9.5147135E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.832627E-6 | 1.1584106E-5 | 1.1584106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Gregorio (South) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.655494E-5 | 2.8554741E-5 | 1.7248472 | 1.2E-5 | 8.044219E-5 | 7.094783E-5 | 8.6946704E-5 | 1.2255018 | 1.6E-5 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.6345145E-4 | 8.8343414E-4 | 1.0231428 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.8770423E-5 | 1.655494E-5 | 2.8554741E-5 | 1.7248472 | 1.2E-5 | 8.044219E-5 | 7.094783E-5 | 8.6946704E-5 | 1.2255018 | 1.6E-5 | 9.789435E-4 | 8.6345145E-4 | 8.8343414E-4 | 1.0231428 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.5167866E-5 | 2.7167684E-5 | 1.7911342 | 1.2E-5 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.5003536E-5 | 8.10025E-5 | 1.2461245 | 1.6E-5 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.911338E-4 | 8.1111793E-4 | 1.0252602 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.7508692E-5 | 1.5167866E-5 | 2.7167684E-5 | 1.7911342 | 1.2E-5 | 7.5035096E-5 | 6.5003536E-5 | 8.10025E-5 | 1.2461245 | 1.6E-5 | 9.1316935E-4 | 7.911338E-4 | 8.1111793E-4 | 1.0252602 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.350959E-5 | 1.9509509E-5 | 1.4441229 | 6.0E-6 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.7896963E-5 | 6.7896384E-5 | 1.1727107 | 1.0E-5 | 8.347548E-4 | 7.046686E-4 | 7.1865873E-4 | 1.0198535 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.6004591E-5 | 1.350959E-5 | 1.9509509E-5 | 1.4441229 | 6.0E-6 | 6.85893E-5 | 5.7896963E-5 | 6.7896384E-5 | 1.1727107 | 1.0E-5 | 8.347548E-4 | 7.046686E-4 | 7.1865873E-4 | 1.0198535 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.5442201E-5 | 1.2891285E-5 | 1.8891209E-5 | 1.4654247 | 6.0E-6 | 6.617918E-5 | 5.52472E-5 | 6.524665E-5 | 1.1809946 | 1.0E-5 | 8.0543366E-4 | 6.7242794E-4 | 6.8641856E-4 | 1.0208061 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.489921E-5 | 1.2297114E-5 | 1.829704E-5 | 1.4879134 | 6.0E-6 | 6.3852196E-5 | 5.2700856E-5 | 6.270033E-5 | 1.1897402 | 1.0E-5 | 7.7712315E-4 | 6.4144476E-4 | 6.554358E-4 | 1.0218117 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.3876024E-5 | 1.1170671E-5 | 1.3170649E-5 | 1.1790383 | 2.0E-6 | 5.9467322E-5 | 4.787343E-5 | 5.1873238E-5 | 1.0835496 | 4.0E-6 | 7.237741E-4 | 5.827035E-4 | 5.9069885E-4 | 1.0137211 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.33922495E-5 | 1.0639744E-5 | 1.2639723E-5 | 1.1879724 | 2.0E-6 | 5.7394092E-5 | 4.559811E-5 | 4.9597926E-5 | 1.087719 | 4.0E-6 | 6.9854903E-4 | 5.550158E-4 | 5.630114E-4 | 1.014406 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.2807324E-5 | 9.996728E-6 | 1.1996708E-5 | 1.2000635 | 2.0E-6 | 5.4887376E-5 | 4.2842417E-5 | 4.484233E-5 | 1.0466807 | 2.0E-6 | 6.680489E-4 | 5.214818E-4 | 5.2747864E-4 | 1.0114996 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.2191438E-5 | 9.301741E-6 | 1.1301722E-5 | 1.2150115 | 2.0E-6 | 5.224797E-5 | 3.9863993E-5 | 4.1863914E-5 | 1.0501686 | 2.0E-6 | 6.3593336E-4 | 4.8523615E-4 | 4.892342E-4 | 1.0082394 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.1769438E-5 | 8.819011E-6 | 1.0818993E-5 | 1.2267808 | 2.0E-6 | 5.0439474E-5 | 3.7795213E-5 | 3.9795137E-5 | 1.0529147 | 2.0E-6 | 6.1392755E-4 | 4.6005964E-4 | 4.640578E-4 | 1.0086905 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.150374E-5 | 8.533088E-6 | 1.0533071E-5 | 1.2343798 | 2.0E-6 | 4.9300812E-5 | 3.6569865E-5 | 3.8569793E-5 | 1.0546879 | 2.0E-6 | 6.0007203E-4 | 4.4514722E-4 | 4.4914542E-4 | 1.0089818 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.12514E-5 | 8.277686E-6 | 1.0277669E-5 | 1.2416114 | 2.0E-6 | 4.8219394E-5 | 3.5475317E-5 | 3.7475245E-5 | 1.0563753 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8691297E-4 | 4.3182645E-4 | 4.358247E-4 | 1.009259 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.059696E-5 | 7.624496E-6 | 9.624481E-6 | 1.2623104 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5414752E-5 | 3.2676002E-5 | 3.4675937E-5 | 1.061205 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5278436E-4 | 3.9775777E-4 | 4.0175617E-4 | 1.0100523 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 9.018592E-6 | 6.0547295E-6 | 8.054717E-6 | 1.3303183 | 2.0E-6 | 3.8650534E-5 | 2.5948582E-5 | 2.794853E-5 | 1.0770735 | 2.0E-6 | 4.7046866E-4 | 3.1587822E-4 | 3.178776E-4 | 1.0063295 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 6.243489E-6 | 3.415551E-6 | 5.4155444E-6 | 1.5855551 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6757538E-5 | 1.4637993E-5 | 1.6637965E-5 | 1.1366287 | 2.0E-6 | 3.257243E-4 | 1.7820302E-4 | 1.8020265E-4 | 1.0112212 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 3.1941963E-6 | 1.4895668E-6 | 3.4895638E-6 | 2.3426702 | 2.0E-6 | 1.368934E-5 | 6.383842E-6 | 8.3838295E-6 | 1.3132889 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6665498E-4 | 7.7720506E-5 | 7.9720354E-5 | 1.0257312 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.0098398E-6 | 7.722025E-7 | 7.722025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6135715E-6 | 3.309435E-6 | 3.309435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0486518E-4 | 4.0291627E-5 | 4.0291627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 8.353119E-7 | 3.5271412E-7 | 3.5271412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.579903E-6 | 1.511631E-6 | 1.511631E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.358445E-5 | 1.8403953E-5 | 1.8403953E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 1.5033264E-7 | 7.182471E-8 | 7.182471E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442826E-7 | 3.0782016E-7 | 3.0782016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.844113E-6 | 3.747704E-6 | 3.747704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Cuyama
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.2747308E-6 | 1.2822316E-6 | 1.1282219E-5 | 8.798893 | 1.0E-5 | 5.4631205E-6 | 5.495267E-6 | 1.949519E-5 | 3.547633 | 1.4E-5 | 6.6511464E-5 | 6.690289E-5 | 8.690156E-5 | 1.2989208 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 8.4566324E-7 | 8.510482E-7 | 8.8510415E-6 | 10.400165 | 8.0E-6 | 3.624266E-6 | 3.6473443E-6 | 1.56473E-5 | 4.290053 | 1.2E-5 | 4.4124543E-5 | 4.4405522E-5 | 5.84049E-5 | 1.3152621 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 8.2277904E-7 | 8.280357E-7 | 6.8280306E-6 | 8.246058 | 6.0E-6 | 3.526191E-6 | 3.5487196E-6 | 1.3548684E-5 | 3.8179076 | 1.0E-5 | 4.293053E-5 | 4.3204815E-5 | 5.52043E-5 | 1.2777349 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.1 | 6.7661887E-7 | 6.811308E-7 | 4.6811283E-6 | 6.872583 | 4.0E-6 | 2.899792E-6 | 2.919129E-6 | 1.0919106E-5 | 3.7405355 | 8.0E-6 | 3.5304394E-5 | 3.553982E-5 | 4.5539462E-5 | 1.2813646 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 5.783336E-7 | 5.8231115E-7 | 4.582309E-6 | 7.869176 | 4.0E-6 | 2.4785702E-6 | 2.4956169E-6 | 1.0495597E-5 | 4.205612 | 8.0E-6 | 3.0176174E-5 | 3.0383713E-5 | 4.038341E-5 | 1.3291137 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 5.136759E-7 | 5.172672E-7 | 4.517265E-6 | 8.732943 | 4.0E-6 | 2.2014663E-6 | 2.2168576E-6 | 1.021684E-5 | 4.6087036 | 8.0E-6 | 2.6802521E-5 | 2.698991E-5 | 3.698964E-5 | 1.3704988 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 4.3370295E-7 | 4.368034E-7 | 2.4368026E-6 | 5.578717 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8587256E-6 | 1.8720132E-6 | 7.872002E-6 | 4.2050996 | 6.0E-6 | 2.2629749E-5 | 2.2791524E-5 | 3.079134E-5 | 1.3509997 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 3.3242574E-7 | 3.348834E-7 | 2.3348828E-6 | 6.972226 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4246809E-6 | 1.4352138E-6 | 7.435205E-6 | 5.180556 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7345352E-5 | 1.7473589E-5 | 2.3473483E-5 | 1.3433694 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 2.0627535E-7 | 2.0786587E-7 | 2.2078655E-6 | 10.621587 | 2.0E-6 | 8.840369E-7 | 8.908534E-7 | 6.890848E-6 | 7.735109 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0763096E-5 | 1.0846087E-5 | 1.6846023E-5 | 1.5531889 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 6.15236E-8 | 6.2006386E-8 | 2.0620062E-6 | 33.254738 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6367252E-7 | 2.6574165E-7 | 4.2657407E-6 | 16.05221 | 4.0E-6 | 3.2102084E-6 | 3.2353996E-6 | 7.235387E-6 | 2.2363193 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.1765573E-8 | 1.1878903E-8 | 1.1878903E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0423886E-8 | 5.0909588E-8 | 5.0909588E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1391063E-7 | 6.1982405E-7 | 6.1982405E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 6.0381755E-10 | 6.1037564E-10 | 6.1037564E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5877895E-9 | 2.615896E-9 | 2.615896E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1506335E-8 | 3.1848533E-8 | 3.1848533E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 07 (Orestimba)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.718083E-5 | 2.9672363E-5 | 4.3671946E-5 | 1.4718056 | 1.4E-5 | 1.1648407E-4 | 1.2716134E-4 | 1.4515905E-4 | 1.1415344 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0014172709 | 0.0015471372 | 0.0015671061 | 1.0129071 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.718083E-5 | 2.9672363E-5 | 4.3671946E-5 | 1.4718056 | 1.4E-5 | 1.1648407E-4 | 1.2716134E-4 | 1.4515905E-4 | 1.1415344 | 1.8E-5 | 0.0014172709 | 0.0015471372 | 0.0015671061 | 1.0129071 | 2.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.9231524E-5 | 2.0984173E-5 | 3.0983963E-5 | 1.4765396 | 1.0E-5 | 8.2418206E-5 | 8.99292E-5 | 1.0392794E-4 | 1.155664 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0010029797 | 0.0010943606 | 0.0011103431 | 1.0146044 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.324766E-5 | 1.444537E-5 | 2.0445283E-5 | 1.415352 | 6.0E-6 | 5.6774446E-5 | 6.190731E-5 | 7.190669E-5 | 1.1615218 | 1.0E-5 | 6.910097E-4 | 7.534698E-4 | 7.654608E-4 | 1.0159143 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 7.818645E-6 | 8.520574E-6 | 1.4520523E-5 | 1.7041719 | 6.0E-6 | 3.3508048E-5 | 3.6516252E-5 | 4.451596E-5 | 1.2190726 | 8.0E-6 | 4.078841E-4 | 4.44498E-4 | 4.5449357E-4 | 1.0224873 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 5.3076565E-6 | 5.783665E-6 | 5.783665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.27469E-5 | 2.4786912E-5 | 2.6786862E-5 | 1.0806857 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7690834E-4 | 3.0174095E-4 | 3.0374035E-4 | 1.0066262 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.6003578E-6 | 3.924267E-6 | 3.924267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5430012E-5 | 1.6818187E-5 | 1.8818153E-5 | 1.1189169 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8784421E-4 | 2.0474373E-4 | 2.0674332E-4 | 1.0097663 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.5361826E-6 | 2.7652845E-6 | 2.7652845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0869308E-5 | 1.18511725E-5 | 1.385115E-5 | 1.1687577 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3232579E-4 | 1.4427978E-4 | 1.4627949E-4 | 1.01386 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.2115831E-6 | 1.3213516E-6 | 1.3213516E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1924885E-6 | 5.6629287E-6 | 5.6629287E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3216714E-5 | 6.894493E-5 | 6.894493E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Sierra Nevada (No Extension)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 7.7690465E-6 | 7.000317E-6 | 1.1000288E-5 | 1.5713987 | 4.0E-6 | 3.329549E-5 | 3.0001216E-5 | 4.4000797E-5 | 1.4666338 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.652396E-4 | 3.8323304E-4 | 1.0492647 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 7.7690465E-6 | 7.000317E-6 | 1.1000288E-5 | 1.5713987 | 4.0E-6 | 3.329549E-5 | 3.0001216E-5 | 4.4000797E-5 | 1.4666338 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.652396E-4 | 3.8323304E-4 | 1.0492647 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 7.7690465E-6 | 7.000317E-6 | 1.1000288E-5 | 1.5713987 | 4.0E-6 | 3.329549E-5 | 3.0001216E-5 | 4.4000797E-5 | 1.4666338 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.652396E-4 | 3.8323304E-4 | 1.0492647 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 7.7690465E-6 | 7.000317E-6 | 1.1000288E-5 | 1.5713987 | 4.0E-6 | 3.329549E-5 | 3.0001216E-5 | 4.4000797E-5 | 1.4666338 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.652396E-4 | 3.8323304E-4 | 1.0492647 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 7.7690465E-6 | 7.000317E-6 | 1.1000288E-5 | 1.5713987 | 4.0E-6 | 3.329549E-5 | 3.0001216E-5 | 4.4000797E-5 | 1.4666338 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.652396E-4 | 3.8323304E-4 | 1.0492647 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 7.7690465E-6 | 7.000317E-6 | 1.1000288E-5 | 1.5713987 | 4.0E-6 | 3.329549E-5 | 3.0001216E-5 | 4.4000797E-5 | 1.4666338 | 1.4E-5 | 4.0529718E-4 | 3.652396E-4 | 3.8323304E-4 | 1.0492647 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.653E-6 | 1.6258639E-6 | 1.6258639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.136995E-5 | 6.96797E-6 | 6.96797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3842035E-4 | 8.4831765E-5 | 8.4831765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 2.5902466E-6 | 1.561098E-6 | 1.561098E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11010095E-5 | 6.690403E-6 | 6.690403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351464E-4 | 8.145264E-5 | 8.145264E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 2.5853892E-6 | 1.5578506E-6 | 1.5578506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1080193E-5 | 6.6764856E-6 | 6.6764856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.34893E-4 | 8.128321E-5 | 8.128321E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 2.458257E-6 | 1.4326955E-6 | 1.4326955E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0535345E-5 | 6.1401092E-6 | 6.1401092E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2826028E-4 | 7.475328E-5 | 7.475328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.4341468E-6 | 1.4096019E-6 | 1.4096019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0432016E-5 | 6.041137E-6 | 6.041137E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.270024E-4 | 7.354838E-5 | 7.354838E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 2.3652476E-6 | 1.3443904E-6 | 1.3443904E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0136736E-5 | 5.7616603E-6 | 5.7616603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2340778E-4 | 7.014597E-5 | 7.014597E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.272158E-6 | 1.260446E-6 | 1.260446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.737784E-6 | 5.4019E-6 | 5.4019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1855107E-4 | 6.5766166E-5 | 6.5766166E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 2.1382127E-6 | 1.1518216E-6 | 1.1518216E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.163737E-6 | 4.9363694E-6 | 4.9363694E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1156279E-4 | 6.009865E-5 | 6.009865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.9048055E-6 | 9.668516E-7 | 9.668516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.163426E-6 | 4.1436433E-6 | 4.1436433E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9385186E-5 | 5.0447696E-5 | 5.0447696E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.5373403E-6 | 7.639308E-7 | 7.639308E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5885843E-6 | 3.2739852E-6 | 3.2739852E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.021306E-5 | 3.9860042E-5 | 3.9860042E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.0680322E-6 | 4.7164912E-7 | 4.7164912E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.577273E-6 | 2.0213517E-6 | 2.0213517E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5726876E-5 | 2.4609684E-5 | 2.4609684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 5.509146E-7 | 1.5879442E-7 | 1.5879442E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3610605E-6 | 6.805474E-7 | 6.805474E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8745531E-5 | 8.285634E-6 | 8.285634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Concord 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.765594E-5 | 9.8536395E-5 | 1.0853541E-4 | 1.1014754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4707348E-4 | 4.2223444E-4 | 4.3622853E-4 | 1.0331429 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0030039703 | 0.005129091 | 0.005146999 | 1.0034914 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 5.765594E-5 | 9.8536395E-5 | 1.0853541E-4 | 1.1014754 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4707348E-4 | 4.2223444E-4 | 4.3622853E-4 | 1.0331429 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0030039703 | 0.005129091 | 0.005146999 | 1.0034914 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 5.678553E-5 | 9.717336E-5 | 1.0717239E-4 | 1.1028988 | 1.0E-5 | 2.4334386E-4 | 4.163957E-4 | 4.3038986E-4 | 1.0336078 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0029586866 | 0.005058394 | 0.0050763027 | 1.0035404 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 5.20309E-5 | 8.927336E-5 | 9.927247E-5 | 1.1120055 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2297051E-4 | 3.8254855E-4 | 3.965432E-4 | 1.0365827 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0027112865 | 0.004648389 | 0.004666305 | 1.0038543 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.7120942E-5 | 8.008858E-5 | 9.0087786E-5 | 1.1248517 | 1.0E-5 | 2.0193127E-4 | 3.4319595E-4 | 3.5719117E-4 | 1.040779 | 1.4E-5 | 0.0024557412 | 0.004171172 | 0.004189097 | 1.0042974 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.9598437E-5 | 4.733776E-5 | 5.7337285E-5 | 1.2112379 | 1.0E-5 | 1.2684427E-4 | 2.0286156E-4 | 2.1485912E-4 | 1.0591416 | 1.2E-5 | 0.001543235 | 0.0024672586 | 0.0024812242 | 1.0056603 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.0443718E-5 | 3.04036E-5 | 3.8403356E-5 | 1.2631187 | 8.0E-6 | 8.7613E-5 | 1.3029485E-4 | 1.4029354E-4 | 1.076739 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010661662 | 0.001585223 | 0.001597204 | 1.0075579 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.798539E-5 | 2.5903613E-5 | 3.3903405E-5 | 1.3088292 | 8.0E-6 | 7.7077966E-5 | 1.11010886E-4 | 1.21009776E-4 | 1.0900712 | 1.0E-5 | 9.380202E-4 | 0.0013507421 | 0.0013627259 | 1.008872 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.613555E-5 | 2.2179856E-5 | 2.8179724E-5 | 1.2705097 | 6.0E-6 | 6.915052E-5 | 9.505315E-5 | 1.03052385E-4 | 1.0841554 | 8.0E-6 | 8.4158237E-4 | 0.0011566719 | 0.0011666603 | 1.0086355 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.2916435E-5 | 1.722425E-5 | 2.3224147E-5 | 1.34834 | 6.0E-6 | 5.5354973E-5 | 7.381616E-5 | 8.1815575E-5 | 1.1083694 | 8.0E-6 | 6.7373837E-4 | 8.983472E-4 | 9.083382E-4 | 1.0111215 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 9.81129E-6 | 1.2739943E-5 | 1.2739943E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2047708E-5 | 5.4598622E-5 | 5.659851E-5 | 1.036629 | 2.0E-6 | 5.118106E-4 | 6.6453713E-4 | 6.665358E-4 | 1.0030077 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 8.0889195E-6 | 1.0499837E-5 | 1.0499837E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4666336E-5 | 4.499853E-5 | 4.699844E-5 | 1.0444438 | 2.0E-6 | 4.219809E-4 | 5.4772047E-4 | 5.497194E-4 | 1.0036495 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 6.267438E-6 | 8.17573E-6 | 8.17573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6860173E-5 | 3.5038374E-5 | 3.7038306E-5 | 1.0570782 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2697353E-4 | 4.2650948E-4 | 4.2850862E-4 | 1.0046872 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.6761196E-6 | 4.874568E-6 | 4.874568E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5754704E-5 | 2.0890839E-5 | 2.0890839E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9179663E-4 | 2.543165E-4 | 2.543165E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.8044356E-6 | 3.7345324E-6 | 3.7345324E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2018954E-5 | 1.600504E-5 | 1.600504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4632095E-4 | 1.9484406E-4 | 1.9484406E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 2.4578699E-6 | 3.2659468E-6 | 3.2659468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0533685E-5 | 1.399684E-5 | 1.399684E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2824008E-4 | 1.7039831E-4 | 1.7039831E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.7713267E-6 | 2.3492046E-6 | 2.3492046E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.591378E-6 | 1.0067982E-5 | 1.0067982E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2421105E-5 | 1.2257087E-4 | 1.2257087E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 5.1912366E-7 | 6.8706413E-7 | 6.8706413E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2248137E-6 | 2.9445573E-6 | 2.9445573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.708677E-5 | 3.584941E-5 | 3.584941E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Gillem - Big Crack 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.3671493E-5 | 1.0463002E-5 | 1.8462919E-5 | 1.764591 | 8.0E-6 | 5.85908E-5 | 4.4840763E-5 | 5.6840225E-5 | 1.2676016 | 1.2E-5 | 7.1310945E-4 | 5.4581696E-4 | 5.6180824E-4 | 1.0292978 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0463002E-5 | 1.8462919E-5 | 1.764591 | 8.0E-6 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.4840763E-5 | 5.6840225E-5 | 1.2676016 | 1.2E-5 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.4581696E-4 | 5.6180824E-4 | 1.0292978 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 9.992795E-6 | 1.0463002E-5 | 1.8462919E-5 | 1.764591 | 8.0E-6 | 4.2825563E-5 | 4.4840763E-5 | 5.6840225E-5 | 1.2676016 | 1.2E-5 | 5.2127644E-4 | 5.4581696E-4 | 5.6180824E-4 | 1.0292978 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.829061E-6 | 4.829061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.0695834E-5 | 2.2695793E-5 | 1.0966358 | 2.0E-6 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5194688E-4 | 2.579454E-4 | 1.0238086 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 4.6127884E-6 | 4.829061E-6 | 4.829061E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9768944E-5 | 2.0695834E-5 | 2.2695793E-5 | 1.0966358 | 2.0E-6 | 2.406603E-4 | 2.5194688E-4 | 2.579454E-4 | 1.0238086 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 2.716712E-6 | 2.8446466E-6 | 2.8446466E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1643E-5 | 1.2191299E-5 | 1.4191274E-5 | 1.1640494 | 2.0E-6 | 1.417443E-4 | 1.4842127E-4 | 1.5442038E-4 | 1.0404195 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.3818255E-6 | 1.4455775E-6 | 1.4455775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.922096E-6 | 6.195324E-6 | 8.195312E-6 | 1.3228221 | 2.0E-6 | 7.209913E-5 | 7.542663E-5 | 7.942633E-5 | 1.0530276 | 4.0E-6 |
San Luis Range - Oceano 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.621014E-6 | 1.1620998E-5 | 7.168968 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.9471866E-6 | 2.2947075E-5 | 3.3030746 | 1.6E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.457913E-5 | 1.0257761E-4 | 1.2128005 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.621014E-6 | 1.1620998E-5 | 7.168968 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.9471866E-6 | 2.2947075E-5 | 3.3030746 | 1.6E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.457913E-5 | 1.0257761E-4 | 1.2128005 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.621014E-6 | 1.1620998E-5 | 7.168968 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.9471866E-6 | 2.2947075E-5 | 3.3030746 | 1.6E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.457913E-5 | 1.0257761E-4 | 1.2128005 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.6025788E-6 | 1.621014E-6 | 1.1620998E-5 | 7.168968 | 1.0E-5 | 6.8681766E-6 | 6.9471866E-6 | 2.2947075E-5 | 3.3030746 | 1.6E-5 | 8.361684E-5 | 8.457913E-5 | 1.0257761E-4 | 1.2128005 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.1621186E-6 | 1.1756466E-6 | 5.175642E-6 | 4.402379 | 4.0E-6 | 4.980499E-6 | 5.0384774E-6 | 1.5038427E-5 | 2.9847167 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0635884E-5 | 6.1342005E-5 | 7.334127E-5 | 1.1956125 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.1621186E-6 | 1.1756466E-6 | 5.175642E-6 | 4.402379 | 4.0E-6 | 4.980499E-6 | 5.0384774E-6 | 1.5038427E-5 | 2.9847167 | 1.0E-5 | 6.0635884E-5 | 6.1342005E-5 | 7.334127E-5 | 1.1956125 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 7.164729E-7 | 7.2528667E-7 | 4.725284E-6 | 6.5150566 | 4.0E-6 | 3.0705946E-6 | 3.1083678E-6 | 1.1108343E-5 | 3.57369 | 8.0E-6 | 3.738385E-5 | 3.784374E-5 | 4.784336E-5 | 1.2642345 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 7.164729E-7 | 7.2528667E-7 | 4.725284E-6 | 6.5150566 | 4.0E-6 | 3.0705946E-6 | 3.1083678E-6 | 1.1108343E-5 | 3.57369 | 8.0E-6 | 3.738385E-5 | 3.784374E-5 | 4.784336E-5 | 1.2642345 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 6.700177E-7 | 6.7813914E-7 | 4.6781365E-6 | 6.8984904 | 4.0E-6 | 2.8715012E-6 | 2.9063076E-6 | 1.0906284E-5 | 3.7526257 | 8.0E-6 | 3.495997E-5 | 3.5383735E-5 | 4.538338E-5 | 1.2826058 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 5.657865E-7 | 5.725057E-7 | 4.5725033E-6 | 7.986826 | 4.0E-6 | 2.424797E-6 | 2.4535937E-6 | 1.0453574E-5 | 4.2605157 | 8.0E-6 | 2.9521503E-5 | 2.9872104E-5 | 3.9871804E-5 | 1.3347505 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 4.608413E-7 | 4.662819E-7 | 2.4662809E-6 | 5.289249 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9750328E-6 | 1.9983495E-6 | 7.998337E-6 | 4.002472 | 6.0E-6 | 2.4045758E-5 | 2.4329636E-5 | 3.232944E-5 | 1.3288091 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.9177846E-7 | 3.9644337E-7 | 2.3964426E-6 | 6.0448546 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6790494E-6 | 1.6990418E-6 | 7.699032E-6 | 4.531396 | 6.0E-6 | 2.0442236E-5 | 2.068564E-5 | 2.8685474E-5 | 1.3867338 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 3.3974752E-7 | 3.438661E-7 | 2.3438654E-6 | 6.816215 | 2.0E-6 | 1.45606E-6 | 1.4737111E-6 | 7.473702E-6 | 5.071348 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7727387E-5 | 1.7942286E-5 | 2.5942143E-5 | 1.4458661 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.8900928E-7 | 2.92511E-7 | 2.2925103E-6 | 7.8373475 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2386106E-6 | 1.253618E-6 | 7.2536104E-6 | 5.786141 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5079979E-5 | 1.5262693E-5 | 2.3262572E-5 | 1.5241458 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.1881527E-7 | 2.2152841E-7 | 2.2152841E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3777936E-7 | 9.4940714E-7 | 4.9494033E-6 | 5.2131515 | 4.0E-6 | 1.14174045E-5 | 1.1558971E-5 | 1.7558901E-5 | 1.5190713 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.356398E-7 | 1.3726586E-7 | 1.3726586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.813133E-7 | 5.8828215E-7 | 4.58828E-6 | 7.7994547 | 4.0E-6 | 7.0774663E-6 | 7.1623117E-6 | 1.1162283E-5 | 1.5584749 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 5.9269272E-8 | 6.0051995E-8 | 6.0051995E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5401116E-7 | 2.5736566E-7 | 4.2573647E-6 | 16.542084 | 4.0E-6 | 3.0925814E-6 | 3.1334228E-6 | 7.1334102E-6 | 2.2765553 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 5.946232E-9 | 6.0416276E-9 | 6.0416276E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5483851E-8 | 2.5892689E-8 | 2.0258926E-6 | 78.241875 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1026585E-7 | 3.1524345E-7 | 2.315243E-6 | 7.3443007 | 2.0E-6 |
Santa Monica Bay
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.6 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.7 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.8 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.9 | 6.493459E-7 | 6.57485E-7 | 6.657481E-6 | 10.125678 | 6.0E-6 | 2.782908E-6 | 2.81779E-6 | 1.0817767E-5 | 3.8390965 | 8.0E-6 | 3.388138E-5 | 3.430607E-5 | 5.230545E-5 | 1.5246705 | 1.8E-5 |
| 7.0 | 6.3621707E-7 | 6.4428826E-7 | 4.6442856E-6 | 7.208397 | 4.0E-6 | 2.726642E-6 | 2.7612327E-6 | 8.761216E-6 | 3.1729364 | 6.0E-6 | 3.319636E-5 | 3.3617507E-5 | 4.7617035E-5 | 1.4164357 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.1 | 5.796316E-7 | 5.8732275E-7 | 2.5873214E-6 | 4.405281 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4841331E-6 | 2.517095E-6 | 6.517085E-6 | 2.5891294 | 4.0E-6 | 3.0243902E-5 | 3.0645217E-5 | 4.264485E-5 | 1.3915663 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.2 | 5.2654514E-7 | 5.338256E-7 | 2.5338245E-6 | 4.74654 | 2.0E-6 | 2.25662E-6 | 2.287822E-6 | 6.287813E-6 | 2.7483838 | 4.0E-6 | 2.7474003E-5 | 2.7853892E-5 | 3.9853556E-5 | 1.4308075 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.3 | 4.582996E-7 | 4.6495475E-7 | 2.464954E-6 | 5.3014917 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9641398E-6 | 1.9926617E-6 | 5.9926538E-6 | 3.0073612 | 4.0E-6 | 2.3913139E-5 | 2.42604E-5 | 3.626011E-5 | 1.4946213 | 1.2E-5 |
| 7.4 | 3.9690556E-7 | 4.0290274E-7 | 2.402902E-6 | 5.963975 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7010227E-6 | 1.726725E-6 | 3.7267216E-6 | 2.15826 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0709755E-5 | 2.1022686E-5 | 3.1022475E-5 | 1.4756666 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 2.514765E-7 | 2.5560917E-7 | 2.2556087E-6 | 8.824444 | 2.0E-6 | 1.077756E-6 | 1.0954674E-6 | 3.0954652E-6 | 2.8257027 | 2.0E-6 | 1.31216E-5 | 1.333724E-5 | 2.1337133E-5 | 1.5998162 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 1.6412821E-7 | 1.670428E-7 | 1.670428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0340644E-7 | 7.158975E-7 | 7.158975E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.563939E-6 | 8.716018E-6 | 1.2715983E-5 | 1.4589212 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 1.2030355E-7 | 1.2254158E-7 | 1.2254158E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.155865E-7 | 5.2517805E-7 | 5.2517805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.277248E-6 | 6.3940247E-6 | 1.0393999E-5 | 1.6255801 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 3.0539674E-8 | 3.115384E-8 | 3.115384E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308843E-7 | 1.3351645E-7 | 1.3351645E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5935152E-6 | 1.6255618E-6 | 1.6255618E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (Lake Isabella) 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0062014E-6 | 1.0006177E-5 | 2.497672 | 6.0E-6 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7169332E-5 | 2.716916E-5 | 1.5824238 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0901843E-4 | 2.2701468E-4 | 1.0860988 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0062014E-6 | 1.0006177E-5 | 2.497672 | 6.0E-6 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7169332E-5 | 2.716916E-5 | 1.5824238 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0901843E-4 | 2.2701468E-4 | 1.0860988 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0062014E-6 | 1.0006177E-5 | 2.497672 | 6.0E-6 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7169332E-5 | 2.716916E-5 | 1.5824238 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0901843E-4 | 2.2701468E-4 | 1.0860988 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0062014E-6 | 1.0006177E-5 | 2.497672 | 6.0E-6 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7169332E-5 | 2.716916E-5 | 1.5824238 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0901843E-4 | 2.2701468E-4 | 1.0860988 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.2387383E-6 | 4.0062014E-6 | 1.0006177E-5 | 2.497672 | 6.0E-6 | 1.8165894E-5 | 1.7169332E-5 | 2.716916E-5 | 1.5824238 | 1.0E-5 | 2.2114732E-4 | 2.0901843E-4 | 2.2701468E-4 | 1.0860988 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.7857532E-6 | 2.520844E-6 | 4.520839E-6 | 1.7933831 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1938888E-5 | 1.0803575E-5 | 1.2803553E-5 | 1.1851219 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4534626E-4 | 1.3152591E-4 | 1.3952485E-4 | 1.0608165 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 2.2233348E-6 | 1.946518E-6 | 3.9465144E-6 | 2.0274737 | 2.0E-6 | 9.528543E-6 | 8.342195E-6 | 1.0342178E-5 | 1.2397431 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1600384E-4 | 1.0156157E-4 | 1.0956076E-4 | 1.0787619 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.1635126E-6 | 1.8858574E-6 | 1.8858574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.272164E-6 | 8.082221E-6 | 8.082221E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1288274E-4 | 9.839668E-5 | 1.04396095E-4 | 1.0609716 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.8685711E-6 | 1.585218E-6 | 1.585218E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.008137E-6 | 6.793774E-6 | 6.793774E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.74947E-5 | 8.271111E-5 | 8.671078E-5 | 1.0483571 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.5815071E-6 | 1.3082671E-6 | 1.3082671E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.77787E-6 | 5.606847E-6 | 5.606847E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.251744E-5 | 6.826125E-5 | 7.0261114E-5 | 1.0292972 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.3772564E-6 | 1.1226109E-6 | 1.1226109E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9025137E-6 | 4.811181E-6 | 4.811181E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.186073E-5 | 5.8574577E-5 | 6.0574457E-5 | 1.0341425 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.0916998E-6 | 8.7755114E-7 | 8.7755114E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.678705E-6 | 3.760928E-6 | 3.760928E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6961744E-5 | 4.578835E-5 | 4.778826E-5 | 1.0436772 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 7.6277024E-7 | 5.909378E-7 | 5.909378E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2690114E-6 | 2.5325883E-6 | 2.5325883E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9799485E-5 | 3.083383E-5 | 3.283377E-5 | 1.0648618 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 5.3265916E-7 | 4.388059E-7 | 4.388059E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.282823E-6 | 1.8805954E-6 | 1.8805954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7793016E-5 | 2.289601E-5 | 2.4895966E-5 | 1.0873494 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 3.4946007E-7 | 3.0103558E-7 | 3.0103558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.497685E-6 | 1.2901519E-6 | 1.2901519E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8234163E-5 | 1.5707488E-5 | 1.7707456E-5 | 1.1273258 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.8317026E-7 | 1.4266146E-7 | 1.4266146E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.850152E-7 | 6.1140616E-7 | 6.1140616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.557518E-6 | 7.4438453E-6 | 7.4438453E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7383709E-8 | 1.7383709E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.450161E-8 | 7.450161E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0705674E-7 | 9.0705674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Shoreline
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.054166E-6 | 1.6054117E-5 | 3.9599063 | 1.2E-5 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7374912E-5 | 3.3374636E-5 | 1.920852 | 1.6E-5 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1152463E-4 | 2.2952083E-4 | 1.0850785 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.9888673E-6 | 4.054166E-6 | 1.6054117E-5 | 3.9599063 | 1.2E-5 | 1.7095033E-5 | 1.7374912E-5 | 3.3374636E-5 | 1.920852 | 1.6E-5 | 2.0811215E-4 | 2.1152463E-4 | 2.2952083E-4 | 1.0850785 | 1.8E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4136004E-6 | 3.4135976E-6 | 2.414825 | 2.0E-6 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.058274E-6 | 1.005825E-5 | 1.6602501 | 4.0E-6 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.375705E-5 | 7.975661E-5 | 1.0813421 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.4039653E-6 | 1.4136004E-6 | 3.4135976E-6 | 2.414825 | 2.0E-6 | 6.0169805E-6 | 6.058274E-6 | 1.005825E-5 | 1.6602501 | 4.0E-6 | 7.325427E-5 | 7.375705E-5 | 7.975661E-5 | 1.0813421 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.3314152E-6 | 1.339601E-6 | 3.3395984E-6 | 2.4929798 | 2.0E-6 | 5.7060524E-6 | 5.741135E-6 | 9.741112E-6 | 1.6967224 | 4.0E-6 | 6.946897E-5 | 6.989613E-5 | 7.589571E-5 | 1.0858357 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.1187026E-6 | 1.1236467E-6 | 1.1236467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.794431E-6 | 4.8156203E-6 | 4.8156203E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8370628E-5 | 5.8628622E-5 | 5.8628622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 9.793089E-7 | 9.816473E-7 | 9.816473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1970316E-6 | 4.2070533E-6 | 4.2070533E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1097657E-5 | 5.1219682E-5 | 5.1219682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 8.995986E-7 | 9.0035803E-7 | 9.0035803E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8554167E-6 | 3.858672E-6 | 3.858672E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.693869E-5 | 4.6978323E-5 | 4.6978323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 7.931612E-7 | 7.9097316E-7 | 7.9097316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3992578E-6 | 3.3898807E-6 | 3.3898807E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1385178E-5 | 4.127102E-5 | 4.127102E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 7.1465956E-7 | 7.106437E-7 | 7.106437E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.062823E-6 | 3.0456124E-6 | 3.0456124E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7289232E-5 | 3.7079702E-5 | 3.7079702E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 6.389046E-7 | 6.3267987E-7 | 6.3267987E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7381598E-6 | 2.7114822E-6 | 2.7114822E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3336586E-5 | 3.30118E-5 | 3.30118E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 5.4300875E-7 | 5.33694E-7 | 5.33694E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3271782E-6 | 2.287258E-6 | 2.287258E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8333026E-5 | 2.784701E-5 | 2.784701E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 4.6768855E-7 | 4.5595118E-7 | 4.5595118E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0043778E-6 | 1.9540748E-6 | 1.9540748E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4403027E-5 | 2.3790602E-5 | 2.3790602E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 4.0966103E-7 | 3.9623473E-7 | 3.9623473E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7556889E-6 | 1.6981477E-6 | 1.6981477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1375303E-5 | 2.0674752E-5 | 2.0674752E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 3.5105785E-7 | 3.3593366E-7 | 3.3593366E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5045327E-6 | 1.4397149E-6 | 1.4397149E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8317533E-5 | 1.7528388E-5 | 1.7528388E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 2.8737534E-7 | 2.7040258E-7 | 2.7040258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2316079E-6 | 1.1588676E-6 | 1.1588676E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4994724E-5 | 1.4109122E-5 | 1.4109122E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.0924051E-7 | 1.8987261E-7 | 1.8987261E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.967448E-7 | 8.1373946E-7 | 8.1373946E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0917813E-5 | 9.907232E-6 | 9.907232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.392265E-7 | 1.17393164E-7 | 1.17393164E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9668486E-7 | 5.031134E-7 | 5.031134E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2646135E-6 | 6.1253886E-6 | 6.1253886E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 8.1080074E-8 | 5.7674225E-8 | 5.7674225E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4748598E-7 | 2.4717522E-7 | 2.4717522E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2306337E-6 | 3.009354E-6 | 3.009354E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 5.0859036E-8 | 2.8899061E-8 | 2.8899061E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1796728E-7 | 1.2385311E-7 | 1.2385311E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6537484E-6 | 1.5079105E-6 | 1.5079105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 3.1760536E-8 | 1.4852985E-8 | 1.4852985E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3611657E-7 | 6.365564E-8 | 6.365564E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6572179E-6 | 7.750072E-7 | 7.750072E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 1.2947896E-8 | 6.2266583E-9 | 6.2266583E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5490982E-8 | 2.6685676E-8 | 2.6685676E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.756025E-7 | 3.2489805E-7 | 3.2489805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Greenville (No) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.2611348E-5 | 3.861993E-5 | 4.4619697E-5 | 1.1553541 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3975543E-4 | 1.6550369E-4 | 1.775017E-4 | 1.0724939 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0017001943 | 0.0020131818 | 0.0020291496 | 1.0079316 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.2611348E-5 | 3.861993E-5 | 4.4619697E-5 | 1.1553541 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3975543E-4 | 1.6550369E-4 | 1.775017E-4 | 1.0724939 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0017001943 | 0.0020131818 | 0.0020291496 | 1.0079316 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.144285E-5 | 3.861993E-5 | 4.4619697E-5 | 1.1553541 | 6.0E-6 | 1.347481E-4 | 1.6550369E-4 | 1.775017E-4 | 1.0724939 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0016393235 | 0.0020131818 | 0.0020291496 | 1.0079316 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 3.1108408E-5 | 3.821186E-5 | 4.4211632E-5 | 1.1570133 | 6.0E-6 | 1.3331493E-4 | 1.6375504E-4 | 1.7575307E-4 | 1.0732682 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0016219008 | 0.001991931 | 0.002007899 | 1.0080163 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 3.0225197E-5 | 3.713497E-5 | 4.3134747E-5 | 1.1615667 | 6.0E-6 | 1.2953013E-4 | 1.5914037E-4 | 1.7113847E-4 | 1.0753931 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0015758885 | 0.0019358484 | 0.0019518174 | 1.0082492 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.9534416E-5 | 3.629446E-5 | 4.229424E-5 | 1.1653085 | 6.0E-6 | 1.2656992E-4 | 1.5553861E-4 | 1.6753674E-4 | 1.0771393 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0015398995 | 0.0018920738 | 0.0019080434 | 1.0084404 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.7345395E-5 | 3.362673E-5 | 3.9626528E-5 | 1.1784235 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1718928E-4 | 1.4410677E-4 | 1.5610504E-4 | 1.0832596 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0014258457 | 0.0017531188 | 0.0017690908 | 1.0091106 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 2.5615784E-5 | 3.1600888E-5 | 3.76007E-5 | 1.1898621 | 6.0E-6 | 1.09777306E-4 | 1.3542552E-4 | 1.474239E-4 | 1.0885975 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0013357193 | 0.001647589 | 0.0016635627 | 1.0096952 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.0059057E-5 | 2.4779298E-5 | 3.077915E-5 | 1.2421316 | 6.0E-6 | 8.596455E-5 | 1.0619276E-4 | 1.161917E-4 | 1.0941584 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010461159 | 0.0012921463 | 0.0013061281 | 1.0108207 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.6321746E-5 | 2.0261752E-5 | 2.626163E-5 | 1.2961185 | 6.0E-6 | 6.9948466E-5 | 8.683326E-5 | 9.683239E-5 | 1.1151532 | 1.0E-5 | 8.5128983E-4 | 0.0010566944 | 0.0010706796 | 1.0132349 | 1.4E-5 |
| 7.0 | 1.22527645E-5 | 1.5215431E-5 | 1.921537E-5 | 1.262887 | 4.0E-6 | 5.2510793E-5 | 6.520739E-5 | 7.320686E-5 | 1.1226774 | 8.0E-6 | 6.3913135E-4 | 7.93615E-4 | 8.0160866E-4 | 1.0100725 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 8.996482E-6 | 1.123444E-5 | 1.123444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8555783E-5 | 4.8146718E-5 | 5.014662E-5 | 1.0415376 | 2.0E-6 | 4.6931554E-4 | 5.8602984E-4 | 5.880287E-4 | 1.0034108 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 6.0273087E-6 | 7.617119E-6 | 7.617119E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5831067E-5 | 3.264439E-5 | 3.4644327E-5 | 1.0612643 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1444785E-4 | 3.973737E-4 | 3.993729E-4 | 1.005031 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.1209995E-6 | 3.9887323E-6 | 3.9887323E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3375643E-5 | 1.7094457E-5 | 1.7094457E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6283628E-4 | 2.0810528E-4 | 2.0810528E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.0254208E-6 | 2.6226003E-6 | 2.6226003E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.680347E-6 | 1.1239667E-5 | 1.1239667E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0567809E-4 | 1.3683442E-4 | 1.3683442E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.6763418E-6 | 2.183743E-6 | 2.183743E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.184302E-6 | 9.358865E-6 | 9.358865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.746537E-5 | 1.1393828E-4 | 1.1393828E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.1935462E-6 | 1.5525766E-6 | 1.5525766E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.115188E-6 | 6.6538832E-6 | 6.6538832E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2275634E-5 | 8.100806E-5 | 8.100806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 3.0464201E-7 | 4.0070597E-7 | 4.0070597E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3056081E-6 | 1.7173102E-6 | 1.7173102E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.589566E-5 | 2.0908055E-5 | 2.0908055E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Likely 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.7096221E-5 | 3.5096004E-5 | 1.2952361 | 8.0E-6 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.1612174E-4 | 1.2812034E-4 | 1.1033279 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0014129096 | 0.001428887 | 1.0113082 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.5315949E-5 | 2.7096221E-5 | 3.5096004E-5 | 1.2952361 | 8.0E-6 | 1.0849241E-4 | 1.1612174E-4 | 1.2812034E-4 | 1.1033279 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0013200947 | 0.0014129096 | 0.001428887 | 1.0113082 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.6375941E-5 | 1.747436E-5 | 2.547422E-5 | 1.4578056 | 8.0E-6 | 7.0180715E-5 | 7.4888034E-5 | 8.6887136E-5 | 1.1602272 | 1.2E-5 | 8.5411523E-4 | 9.113927E-4 | 9.2737813E-4 | 1.0175395 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.1945543E-5 | 1.2723307E-5 | 2.0723206E-5 | 1.6287594 | 8.0E-6 | 5.119418E-5 | 5.452735E-5 | 6.452681E-5 | 1.1833842 | 1.0E-5 | 6.2311086E-4 | 6.636736E-4 | 6.776643E-4 | 1.0210807 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 9.192729E-6 | 9.778674E-6 | 1.5778614E-5 | 1.6135741 | 6.0E-6 | 3.939681E-5 | 4.1907944E-5 | 4.790769E-5 | 1.143165 | 6.0E-6 | 4.7955062E-4 | 5.101125E-4 | 5.201074E-4 | 1.0195935 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 7.67906E-6 | 8.1620055E-6 | 1.4161957E-5 | 1.7351074 | 6.0E-6 | 3.2909844E-5 | 3.4979563E-5 | 4.0979354E-5 | 1.1715227 | 6.0E-6 | 4.006037E-4 | 4.2579486E-4 | 4.3379146E-4 | 1.0187804 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 6.4884057E-6 | 6.8931004E-6 | 1.2893059E-5 | 1.8704296 | 6.0E-6 | 2.7807157E-5 | 2.9541532E-5 | 3.5541354E-5 | 1.2030979 | 6.0E-6 | 3.3849955E-4 | 3.5961022E-4 | 3.6760734E-4 | 1.0222383 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 4.6060636E-6 | 4.8903185E-6 | 1.089029E-5 | 2.226908 | 6.0E-6 | 1.9740122E-5 | 2.0958345E-5 | 2.695822E-5 | 1.2862761 | 6.0E-6 | 2.403095E-4 | 2.551388E-4 | 2.6313675E-4 | 1.0313475 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 3.2795615E-6 | 3.4819225E-6 | 9.4819015E-6 | 2.72318 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4055187E-5 | 1.49224425E-5 | 2.0922353E-5 | 1.4020729 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7110848E-4 | 1.8166615E-4 | 1.896647E-4 | 1.0440289 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.3289967E-6 | 2.4737383E-6 | 8.473723E-6 | 3.425473 | 6.0E-6 | 9.981376E-6 | 1.0601695E-5 | 1.660163E-5 | 1.5659412 | 6.0E-6 | 1.2151648E-4 | 1.2906843E-4 | 1.370674E-4 | 1.0619746 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.211292E-6 | 1.2879184E-6 | 5.287913E-6 | 4.105783 | 4.0E-6 | 5.1912407E-6 | 5.5196406E-6 | 9.519618E-6 | 1.7246809 | 4.0E-6 | 6.320152E-5 | 6.719986E-5 | 7.119959E-5 | 1.0595199 | 4.0E-6 |
Garberville - Briceland 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.560695E-5 | 7.360643E-5 | 1.1219302 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.8114536E-4 | 2.9514142E-4 | 1.0497823 | 1.4E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.003418241 | 0.003434186 | 1.0046648 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.560695E-5 | 7.360643E-5 | 1.1219302 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.8114536E-4 | 2.9514142E-4 | 1.0497823 | 1.4E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.003418241 | 0.003434186 | 1.0046648 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.560695E-5 | 7.360643E-5 | 1.1219302 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.8114536E-4 | 2.9514142E-4 | 1.0497823 | 1.4E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.003418241 | 0.003434186 | 1.0046648 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.560695E-5 | 7.360643E-5 | 1.1219302 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.8114536E-4 | 2.9514142E-4 | 1.0497823 | 1.4E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.003418241 | 0.003434186 | 1.0046648 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.560695E-5 | 7.360643E-5 | 1.1219302 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.8114536E-4 | 2.9514142E-4 | 1.0497823 | 1.4E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.003418241 | 0.003434186 | 1.0046648 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.560695E-5 | 7.360643E-5 | 1.1219302 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.8114536E-4 | 2.9514142E-4 | 1.0497823 | 1.4E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.003418241 | 0.003434186 | 1.0046648 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.6 | 4.8399295E-5 | 6.560695E-5 | 7.360643E-5 | 1.1219302 | 8.0E-6 | 2.0740906E-4 | 2.8114536E-4 | 2.9514142E-4 | 1.0497823 | 1.4E-5 | 0.002522281 | 0.003418241 | 0.003434186 | 1.0046648 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.7 | 3.495179E-5 | 4.708198E-5 | 5.3081694E-5 | 1.1274313 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4978478E-4 | 2.0176735E-4 | 2.1176533E-4 | 1.0495521 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0018221042 | 0.0024542916 | 0.002464267 | 1.0040644 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.7517597E-5 | 3.6833448E-5 | 4.2833228E-5 | 1.1628894 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1792722E-4 | 1.5785094E-4 | 1.6584968E-4 | 1.0506728 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0014348183 | 0.0019206249 | 0.0019286094 | 1.0041573 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.74461E-5 | 3.6750545E-5 | 4.2750326E-5 | 1.1632569 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1762084E-4 | 1.5749568E-4 | 1.6549442E-4 | 1.0507871 | 8.0E-6 | 0.001431093 | 0.0019163071 | 0.0019242918 | 1.0041667 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.9023773E-5 | 2.5089781E-5 | 2.708973E-5 | 1.0797117 | 2.0E-6 | 8.152791E-5 | 1.07525586E-4 | 1.1152516E-4 | 1.0371964 | 4.0E-6 | 9.921503E-4 | 0.0013087487 | 0.0013127434 | 1.0030524 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.5685717E-6 | 8.568559E-6 | 1.3044782 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.8150742E-5 | 3.0150686E-5 | 1.0710441 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.426857E-4 | 3.4468502E-4 | 1.0058342 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.7139174E-6 | 6.713908E-6 | 1.4242736 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7191402E-5 | 2.0202368E-5 | 2.2202326E-5 | 1.0989963 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4593956E-4 | 2.4793905E-4 | 1.0081301 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.4598003E-6 | 4.4597955E-6 | 1.8130721 | 2.0E-6 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0541973E-5 | 1.2541952E-5 | 1.1897157 | 2.0E-6 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2834351E-4 | 1.3034325E-4 | 1.0155811 | 2.0E-6 |
Great Valley 11
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.6349473E-5 | 2.5909876E-5 | 3.390967E-5 | 1.3087546 | 8.0E-6 | 1.1292143E-4 | 1.1103795E-4 | 1.2303662E-4 | 1.1080592 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0013739512 | 0.0013511119 | 0.0013670903 | 1.0118262 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.483194E-5 | 2.5909876E-5 | 3.390967E-5 | 1.3087546 | 8.0E-6 | 1.0641825E-4 | 1.1103795E-4 | 1.2303662E-4 | 1.1080592 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0012948721 | 0.0013511119 | 0.0013670903 | 1.0118262 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.483194E-5 | 2.5909876E-5 | 3.390967E-5 | 1.3087546 | 8.0E-6 | 1.0641825E-4 | 1.1103795E-4 | 1.2303662E-4 | 1.1080592 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0012948721 | 0.0013511119 | 0.0013670903 | 1.0118262 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.0257901E-5 | 2.0415491E-5 | 2.8415327E-5 | 1.3918513 | 8.0E-6 | 8.681669E-5 | 8.7492255E-5 | 9.9491204E-5 | 1.137143 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0010564806 | 0.0010647391 | 0.0010807221 | 1.0150112 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.8054898E-5 | 1.7802518E-5 | 2.3802411E-5 | 1.3370249 | 6.0E-6 | 7.737584E-5 | 7.629448E-5 | 8.6293716E-5 | 1.1310611 | 1.0E-5 | 9.416436E-4 | 9.285268E-4 | 9.425138E-4 | 1.0150636 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.34804895E-5 | 1.2354799E-5 | 1.8354725E-5 | 1.4856353 | 6.0E-6 | 5.777225E-5 | 5.2948086E-5 | 6.2947554E-5 | 1.1888542 | 1.0E-5 | 7.031501E-4 | 6.444564E-4 | 6.564487E-4 | 1.0186083 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.294883E-5 | 1.1764908E-5 | 1.7764838E-5 | 1.5099852 | 6.0E-6 | 5.5493805E-5 | 5.0420083E-5 | 6.0419577E-5 | 1.1983237 | 1.0E-5 | 6.754276E-4 | 6.136957E-4 | 6.2568835E-4 | 1.0195416 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.1272237E-5 | 9.84159E-6 | 1.5841531E-5 | 1.6096516 | 6.0E-6 | 4.8308695E-5 | 4.2177577E-5 | 5.2177154E-5 | 1.2370828 | 1.0E-5 | 5.879996E-4 | 5.133938E-4 | 5.253876E-4 | 1.0233619 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 9.8337505E-6 | 8.219677E-6 | 1.4219627E-5 | 1.7299497 | 6.0E-6 | 4.2143965E-5 | 3.522672E-5 | 4.5226367E-5 | 1.2838655 | 1.0E-5 | 5.1298196E-4 | 4.2880297E-4 | 4.3879868E-4 | 1.0233108 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 7.4224813E-6 | 5.4321076E-6 | 1.1432075E-5 | 2.1045377 | 6.0E-6 | 3.1810247E-5 | 2.3280261E-5 | 3.1280077E-5 | 1.3436308 | 8.0E-6 | 3.872209E-4 | 2.8340172E-4 | 2.9139945E-4 | 1.0282205 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 4.4628923E-6 | 2.0243417E-6 | 4.0243376E-6 | 1.9879736 | 2.0E-6 | 1.912654E-5 | 8.675722E-6 | 1.0675704E-5 | 1.2305263 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3284076E-4 | 1.0562191E-4 | 1.076217E-4 | 1.0189334 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.5546527E-6 | 1.1965843E-6 | 3.196582E-6 | 2.6714222 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5234136E-5 | 5.1282086E-6 | 7.1281984E-6 | 1.3899977 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8545982E-4 | 6.243422E-5 | 6.44341E-5 | 1.0320317 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 3.2039936E-6 | 1.1354427E-6 | 3.1354405E-6 | 2.7614255 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3731329E-5 | 4.8661745E-6 | 6.8661648E-6 | 1.4109985 | 2.0E-6 | 1.671661E-4 | 5.9244132E-5 | 6.124401E-5 | 1.0337566 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.8120473E-6 | 1.0392843E-6 | 1.0392843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2051575E-5 | 4.4540684E-6 | 4.4540684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4671806E-4 | 5.4227003E-5 | 5.4227003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.4837766E-6 | 9.878614E-7 | 9.878614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0644713E-5 | 4.233685E-6 | 4.233685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959167E-4 | 5.1543964E-5 | 5.1543964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.5927463E-7 | 6.5927463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.82546E-6 | 2.82546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.4399472E-5 | 3.4399472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03a Dunnigan Hills
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.6893855E-6 | 1.0193546E-5 | 1.8193465E-5 | 1.7848023 | 8.0E-6 | 4.1525276E-5 | 4.3686006E-5 | 5.5685483E-5 | 1.2746755 | 1.2E-5 | 5.05453E-4 | 5.317676E-4 | 5.4775906E-4 | 1.0300723 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 8.041125E-6 | 8.462054E-6 | 1.44620035E-5 | 1.7090417 | 6.0E-6 | 3.4461507E-5 | 3.626555E-5 | 4.2265332E-5 | 1.1654403 | 6.0E-6 | 4.194881E-4 | 4.4146256E-4 | 4.5145812E-4 | 1.022642 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.2807004E-6 | 3.4511597E-6 | 7.451146E-6 | 2.1590266 | 4.0E-6 | 1.4060069E-5 | 1.4790623E-5 | 1.8790564E-5 | 1.2704376 | 4.0E-6 | 1.7116789E-4 | 1.8006482E-4 | 1.8406409E-4 | 1.0222102 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.9339366E-6 | 2.0327814E-6 | 4.0327773E-6 | 1.9838716 | 2.0E-6 | 8.288273E-6 | 8.711906E-6 | 1.07118885E-5 | 1.2295688 | 2.0E-6 | 1.00905054E-4 | 1.06064945E-4 | 1.0806473E-4 | 1.0188544 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.3142635E-6 | 1.3808549E-6 | 3.3808521E-6 | 2.4483762 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6325457E-6 | 5.9179492E-6 | 7.917937E-6 | 1.3379529 | 2.0E-6 | 6.857408E-5 | 7.2051036E-5 | 7.405089E-5 | 1.0277561 | 2.0E-6 |
Sargent 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.3699627E-5 | 1.6367496E-5 | 2.2367398E-5 | 1.3665742 | 6.0E-6 | 1.4441897E-4 | 7.014494E-5 | 7.614452E-5 | 1.0855311 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0017568829 | 8.537541E-4 | 8.6974044E-4 | 1.0187248 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.303065E-5 | 1.6367496E-5 | 2.2367398E-5 | 1.3665742 | 6.0E-6 | 9.8699056E-5 | 7.014494E-5 | 7.614452E-5 | 1.0855311 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0012009986 | 8.537541E-4 | 8.6974044E-4 | 1.0187248 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.24246E-5 | 1.6338627E-5 | 2.2338529E-5 | 1.367222 | 6.0E-6 | 9.610189E-5 | 7.0021226E-5 | 7.6020806E-5 | 1.0856823 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0011694124 | 8.5224904E-4 | 8.682354E-4 | 1.0187578 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.6621638E-5 | 9.5371015E-6 | 1.5537045E-5 | 1.6291159 | 6.0E-6 | 7.123365E-5 | 4.087288E-5 | 4.6872636E-5 | 1.1467906 | 6.0E-6 | 8.669246E-4 | 4.975538E-4 | 5.055498E-4 | 1.0160706 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.48395575E-5 | 7.4487825E-6 | 1.1448753E-5 | 1.5369965 | 4.0E-6 | 6.3596555E-5 | 3.1923166E-5 | 3.592304E-5 | 1.1252968 | 4.0E-6 | 7.7401294E-4 | 3.8863107E-4 | 3.9462873E-4 | 1.0154328 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.4358964E-5 | 6.8969744E-6 | 1.0896947E-5 | 1.5799605 | 4.0E-6 | 6.1536964E-5 | 2.9558329E-5 | 3.3558208E-5 | 1.1353216 | 4.0E-6 | 7.48955E-4 | 3.598489E-4 | 3.6584673E-4 | 1.0166677 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 9.772591E-6 | 1.5474972E-6 | 1.5474972E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.188186E-5 | 6.632114E-6 | 6.632114E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.097923E-4 | 8.074303E-5 | 8.274287E-5 | 1.024768 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.752745E-6 | 1.5261948E-6 | 1.5261948E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.179681E-5 | 6.5408185E-6 | 6.5408185E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0875737E-4 | 7.963159E-5 | 8.163143E-5 | 1.0251137 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 9.608213E-6 | 1.4090047E-6 | 1.4090047E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1177405E-5 | 6.038578E-6 | 6.038578E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.012196E-4 | 7.351723E-5 | 7.5517084E-5 | 1.0272025 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 9.427164E-6 | 1.2901E-6 | 1.2901E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.04015E-5 | 5.5289884E-6 | 5.5289884E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9177726E-4 | 6.7313376E-5 | 6.9313246E-5 | 1.0297098 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 9.247601E-6 | 1.1528431E-6 | 1.1528431E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9631974E-5 | 4.9407467E-6 | 4.9407467E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8241246E-4 | 6.015195E-5 | 6.215183E-5 | 1.0332471 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 8.995454E-6 | 9.848485E-7 | 9.848485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8551374E-5 | 4.2207726E-6 | 4.2207726E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6926187E-4 | 5.138671E-5 | 5.3386608E-5 | 1.0389186 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 8.520861E-6 | 6.702165E-7 | 6.702165E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6517464E-5 | 2.8723532E-6 | 2.8723532E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.445094E-4 | 3.4970348E-5 | 3.697028E-5 | 1.0571893 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 8.043592E-6 | 4.7581077E-7 | 4.7581077E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4472083E-5 | 2.0391874E-6 | 2.0391874E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.196168E-4 | 2.4826826E-5 | 2.6826776E-5 | 1.080556 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 7.662316E-6 | 4.1324503E-7 | 4.1324503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2838085E-5 | 1.7710489E-6 | 1.7710489E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9973034E-4 | 2.156231E-5 | 2.3562267E-5 | 1.0927525 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 6.961638E-6 | 3.3868398E-7 | 3.3868398E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9835252E-5 | 1.4515019E-6 | 1.4515019E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6318362E-4 | 1.7671895E-5 | 1.7671895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 6.282332E-6 | 2.501424E-7 | 2.501424E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6924003E-5 | 1.0720383E-6 | 1.0720383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2775043E-4 | 1.3051991E-5 | 1.3051991E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 4.934408E-6 | 7.9613415E-8 | 7.9613415E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.114729E-5 | 3.4120026E-7 | 3.4120026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5743784E-4 | 4.154105E-6 | 4.154105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 2.373212E-6 | 5.851055E-8 | 5.851055E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0170869E-5 | 2.5075948E-7 | 2.5075948E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.238233E-4 | 3.0529923E-6 | 3.0529923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 1.8227792E-6 | 5.1077052E-8 | 5.1077052E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.811887E-6 | 2.1890163E-7 | 2.1890163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.510558E-5 | 2.6651242E-6 | 2.6651242E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.9095137E-7 | 1.8605093E-8 | 1.8605093E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.1836276E-7 | 7.9736104E-8 | 7.9736104E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.963521E-6 | 9.707867E-7 | 9.707867E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 03 Mysterious Ridge
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6319583E-5 | 4.631922E-5 | 1.2753235 | 1.0E-5 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5564715E-4 | 1.6764528E-4 | 1.0770855 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018935457 | 0.0019095155 | 1.0084337 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6319583E-5 | 4.631922E-5 | 1.2753235 | 1.0E-5 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5564715E-4 | 1.6764528E-4 | 1.0770855 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018935457 | 0.0019095155 | 1.0084337 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 3.1182444E-5 | 3.6319583E-5 | 4.631922E-5 | 1.2753235 | 1.0E-5 | 1.336322E-4 | 1.5564715E-4 | 1.6764528E-4 | 1.0770855 | 1.2E-5 | 0.0016257578 | 0.0018935457 | 0.0019095155 | 1.0084337 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.4009036E-5 | 3.0008892E-5 | 1.2498999 | 6.0E-6 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.0289199E-4 | 1.1089117E-4 | 1.0777434 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012520216 | 0.0012640066 | 1.0095725 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.106934E-5 | 2.4009036E-5 | 3.0008892E-5 | 1.2498999 | 6.0E-6 | 9.0294045E-5 | 1.0289199E-4 | 1.1089117E-4 | 1.0777434 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0010987755 | 0.0012520216 | 0.0012640066 | 1.0095725 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.9389783E-5 | 2.2026705E-5 | 2.8026572E-5 | 1.2723906 | 6.0E-6 | 8.309642E-5 | 9.4396906E-5 | 1.0239615E-4 | 1.0847405 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0010112294 | 0.0011487046 | 0.0011606907 | 1.0104345 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.9370193E-5 | 2.2006618E-5 | 2.8006487E-5 | 1.2726393 | 6.0E-6 | 8.301247E-5 | 9.4310824E-5 | 1.0231007E-4 | 1.0848179 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0010102082 | 0.0011476576 | 0.0011596439 | 1.010444 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.6723505E-5 | 1.8916366E-5 | 2.4916253E-5 | 1.3171797 | 6.0E-6 | 7.16702E-5 | 8.106773E-5 | 8.9067085E-5 | 1.0986749 | 8.0E-6 | 8.722353E-4 | 9.865725E-4 | 9.965627E-4 | 1.0101261 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.426937E-5 | 1.6094158E-5 | 2.2094062E-5 | 1.3728001 | 6.0E-6 | 6.115301E-5 | 6.897322E-5 | 7.697267E-5 | 1.1159791 | 8.0E-6 | 7.4428355E-4 | 8.394401E-4 | 8.494317E-4 | 1.0119027 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 1.2469891E-5 | 1.4040098E-5 | 1.8040042E-5 | 1.2848943 | 4.0E-6 | 5.3441294E-5 | 6.017053E-5 | 6.617017E-5 | 1.0997106 | 6.0E-6 | 6.504535E-4 | 7.323422E-4 | 7.4033637E-4 | 1.0109159 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 8.7746275E-6 | 9.848183E-6 | 1.3848144E-5 | 1.4061623 | 4.0E-6 | 3.7605005E-5 | 4.220586E-5 | 4.620569E-5 | 1.0947696 | 4.0E-6 | 4.5774475E-4 | 5.137426E-4 | 5.1774055E-4 | 1.007782 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 6.1067153E-6 | 6.8528643E-6 | 8.85285E-6 | 1.2918468 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6171374E-5 | 2.936912E-5 | 3.136906E-5 | 1.0680968 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1858988E-4 | 3.5751602E-4 | 3.5951528E-4 | 1.0055921 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.939283E-6 | 3.292386E-6 | 5.2923797E-6 | 1.6074601 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2596866E-5 | 1.411016E-5 | 1.6110132E-5 | 1.1417398 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5335606E-4 | 1.7177942E-4 | 1.7377909E-4 | 1.0116408 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 7.2387763E-7 | 8.047603E-7 | 8.047603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.102329E-6 | 3.4489706E-6 | 3.4489706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.77702E-5 | 4.1990872E-5 | 4.1990872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.200023E-8 | 3.200023E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3714384E-7 | 1.3714384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.669725E-6 | 1.669725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Tin Mountain
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7942473E-5 | 2.1942402E-5 | 1.2229307 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1843145E-4 | 2.3442796E-4 | 1.0732335 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7942473E-5 | 2.1942402E-5 | 1.2229307 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1843145E-4 | 2.3442796E-4 | 1.0732335 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7942473E-5 | 2.1942402E-5 | 1.2229307 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1843145E-4 | 2.3442796E-4 | 1.0732335 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7942473E-5 | 2.1942402E-5 | 1.2229307 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1843145E-4 | 2.3442796E-4 | 1.0732335 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.083776E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 4.186601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.750178E-5 | 1.7942473E-5 | 2.1942402E-5 | 1.2229307 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1306332E-4 | 2.1843145E-4 | 2.3442796E-4 | 1.0732335 | 1.6E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.376214E-6 | 2.376214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0183739E-5 | 1.4183698E-5 | 1.392779 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2398075E-4 | 1.3597925E-4 | 1.0967772 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.3143427E-6 | 2.376214E-6 | 2.376214E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9185745E-6 | 1.0183739E-5 | 1.4183698E-5 | 1.392779 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2075195E-4 | 1.2398075E-4 | 1.3597925E-4 | 1.0967772 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.7029532E-6 | 1.7522325E-6 | 1.7522325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2983503E-6 | 7.509549E-6 | 1.1509519E-5 | 1.5326512 | 4.0E-6 | 8.885379E-5 | 9.142546E-5 | 1.0142455E-4 | 1.1093687 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.2914646E-6 | 1.3319484E-6 | 1.3319484E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.534837E-6 | 5.7083403E-6 | 7.708329E-6 | 1.3503625 | 2.0E-6 | 6.738455E-5 | 6.949727E-5 | 7.549685E-5 | 1.0863283 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 5.8708974E-7 | 6.1299687E-7 | 6.1299687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5160964E-6 | 2.6271268E-6 | 2.6271268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0633044E-5 | 3.1984844E-5 | 3.1984844E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 4.6248786E-7 | 4.8429615E-7 | 4.8429615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9820893E-6 | 2.0755535E-6 | 2.0755535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.413167E-5 | 2.5269608E-5 | 2.5269608E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 3.804606E-7 | 3.9968148E-7 | 3.9968148E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6305444E-6 | 1.7129197E-6 | 1.7129197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9851697E-5 | 2.0854633E-5 | 2.0854633E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 3.5864858E-7 | 3.770971E-7 | 3.770971E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370645E-6 | 1.6161296E-6 | 1.6161296E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.87136E-5 | 1.9676234E-5 | 1.9676234E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 3.342063E-7 | 3.5150558E-7 | 3.5150558E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4323119E-6 | 1.5064518E-6 | 1.5064518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7438259E-5 | 1.834093E-5 | 1.834093E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.971242E-7 | 3.1242834E-7 | 3.1242834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2733886E-6 | 1.3389781E-6 | 1.3389781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5503398E-5 | 1.630197E-5 | 1.630197E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.4326713E-7 | 1.5048809E-7 | 1.5048809E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.140018E-7 | 6.4494895E-7 | 6.4494895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4754466E-6 | 7.8522535E-6 | 7.8522535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Eaton Roughs 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.965709E-5 | 9.365674E-5 | 1.0446104 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.841949E-4 | 3.8819338E-4 | 1.0104073 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0046681054 | 0.004680049 | 1.0025586 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.965709E-5 | 9.365674E-5 | 1.0446104 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.841949E-4 | 3.8819338E-4 | 1.0104073 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0046681054 | 0.004680049 | 1.0025586 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.965709E-5 | 9.365674E-5 | 1.0446104 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.841949E-4 | 3.8819338E-4 | 1.0104073 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0046681054 | 0.004680049 | 1.0025586 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.8044945E-5 | 8.965709E-5 | 9.365674E-5 | 1.0446104 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9158857E-4 | 3.841949E-4 | 3.8819338E-4 | 1.0104073 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0035443127 | 0.0046681054 | 0.004680049 | 1.0025586 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.780944E-5 | 6.180921E-5 | 1.0691888 | 4.0E-6 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4773437E-4 | 2.5173338E-4 | 1.0161424 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0023885423 | 0.0030123545 | 0.0030223243 | 1.0033096 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 4.5830013E-5 | 5.780944E-5 | 6.180921E-5 | 1.0691888 | 4.0E-6 | 1.9639956E-4 | 2.4773437E-4 | 2.5173338E-4 | 1.0161424 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0023885423 | 0.0030123545 | 0.0030223243 | 1.0033096 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 3.222194E-5 | 3.8580387E-5 | 4.0580308E-5 | 1.0518378 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3808672E-4 | 1.6533468E-4 | 1.6733436E-4 | 1.0120946 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0016799092 | 0.002011178 | 0.0020151702 | 1.0019848 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.4155654E-5 | 2.794991E-5 | 2.9949855E-5 | 1.0715545 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0352012E-4 | 1.19779885E-4 | 1.21779645E-4 | 1.0166953 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0012596287 | 0.0014573528 | 0.0014593499 | 1.0013703 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 2.1814667E-5 | 2.5073026E-5 | 2.7072976E-5 | 1.079765 | 2.0E-6 | 9.348808E-5 | 1.0745142E-4 | 1.09451204E-4 | 1.0186111 | 2.0E-6 | 0.001137623 | 0.0013074398 | 0.0013094371 | 1.0015277 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.0700467E-5 | 2.3749308E-5 | 2.5749261E-5 | 1.084211 | 2.0E-6 | 8.871327E-5 | 1.01778794E-4 | 1.0377859E-4 | 1.0196484 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0010795488 | 0.0012384556 | 0.0012404532 | 1.0016129 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.0104066E-5 | 2.3051272E-5 | 2.5051228E-5 | 1.0867611 | 2.0E-6 | 8.615744E-5 | 9.8787445E-5 | 1.0078725E-4 | 1.0202435 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0010484619 | 0.0012020767 | 0.0012040742 | 1.0016618 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.8225232E-5 | 2.0871172E-5 | 2.2871129E-5 | 1.095824 | 2.0E-6 | 7.81058E-5 | 8.944482E-5 | 9.1444635E-5 | 1.0223582 | 2.0E-6 | 9.5052324E-4 | 0.0010884482 | 0.001090446 | 1.0018355 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.7526572E-5 | 2.0087115E-5 | 2.2087075E-5 | 1.0995643 | 2.0E-6 | 7.511172E-5 | 8.60848E-5 | 8.8084635E-5 | 1.0232309 | 2.0E-6 | 9.141015E-4 | 0.00104758 | 0.001049578 | 1.0019071 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.5727232E-5 | 1.8105973E-5 | 2.0105937E-5 | 1.1104587 | 2.0E-6 | 6.740067E-5 | 7.759473E-5 | 7.9594574E-5 | 1.0257729 | 2.0E-6 | 8.2029426E-4 | 9.4430766E-4 | 9.4630575E-4 | 1.002116 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.4457361E-5 | 1.667477E-5 | 1.8674738E-5 | 1.1199397 | 2.0E-6 | 6.195865E-5 | 7.146135E-5 | 7.346121E-5 | 1.0279852 | 2.0E-6 | 7.540854E-4 | 8.6969556E-4 | 8.7169383E-4 | 1.0022976 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.33280955E-5 | 1.5416468E-5 | 1.7416436E-5 | 1.1297294 | 2.0E-6 | 5.711916E-5 | 6.6068904E-5 | 6.806877E-5 | 1.0302694 | 2.0E-6 | 6.9520384E-4 | 8.040929E-4 | 8.0609135E-4 | 1.0024853 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 1.0699478E-5 | 1.2445438E-5 | 1.4445413E-5 | 1.1606995 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5854096E-5 | 5.3336502E-5 | 5.5336397E-5 | 1.0374957 | 2.0E-6 | 5.581306E-4 | 6.49179E-4 | 6.511777E-4 | 1.0030788 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 5.9390236E-6 | 6.885852E-6 | 8.885839E-6 | 1.2904487 | 2.0E-6 | 2.545271E-5 | 2.9510464E-5 | 3.1510404E-5 | 1.0677706 | 2.0E-6 | 3.0984267E-4 | 3.592309E-4 | 3.612302E-4 | 1.0055654 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 2.1622036E-6 | 2.3379844E-6 | 2.3379844E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.266554E-6 | 1.0019895E-5 | 1.0019895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1281446E-4 | 1.2198547E-4 | 1.2198547E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2327584E-7 | 5.2327584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.2426088E-6 | 2.2426088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.7303442E-5 | 2.7303442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Dry Mountain
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4506894E-6 | 1.24506505E-5 | 1.9301271 | 6.0E-6 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7645608E-5 | 3.3645443E-5 | 1.2170267 | 6.0E-6 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3654927E-4 | 3.5054458E-4 | 1.0415846 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4506894E-6 | 1.24506505E-5 | 1.9301271 | 6.0E-6 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7645608E-5 | 3.3645443E-5 | 1.2170267 | 6.0E-6 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3654927E-4 | 3.5054458E-4 | 1.0415846 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4506894E-6 | 1.24506505E-5 | 1.9301271 | 6.0E-6 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7645608E-5 | 3.3645443E-5 | 1.2170267 | 6.0E-6 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3654927E-4 | 3.5054458E-4 | 1.0415846 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4506894E-6 | 1.24506505E-5 | 1.9301271 | 6.0E-6 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7645608E-5 | 3.3645443E-5 | 1.2170267 | 6.0E-6 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3654927E-4 | 3.5054458E-4 | 1.0415846 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.222801E-6 | 6.4506894E-6 | 1.24506505E-5 | 1.9301271 | 6.0E-6 | 2.6668875E-5 | 2.7645608E-5 | 3.3645443E-5 | 1.2170267 | 6.0E-6 | 3.2464517E-4 | 3.3654927E-4 | 3.5054458E-4 | 1.0415846 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9573534E-6 | 4.9573473E-6 | 1.6762784 | 2.0E-6 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2674359E-5 | 1.4674334E-5 | 1.1577969 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5430813E-4 | 1.5830752E-4 | 1.0259181 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 2.8528623E-6 | 2.9573534E-6 | 4.9573473E-6 | 1.6762784 | 2.0E-6 | 1.22264955E-5 | 1.2674359E-5 | 1.4674334E-5 | 1.1577969 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4884741E-4 | 1.5430813E-4 | 1.5830752E-4 | 1.0259181 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.541E-6 | 2.633971E-6 | 4.633966E-6 | 1.7593077 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0889954E-5 | 1.1288447E-5 | 1.3288425E-5 | 1.1771703 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3257713E-4 | 1.3743684E-4 | 1.4143629E-4 | 1.0291003 | 4.0E-6 |
Great Valley 10 (Panoche)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6014626E-5 | 1.6614476E-5 | 2.4614343E-5 | 1.4814998 | 8.0E-6 | 6.863231E-5 | 7.120299E-5 | 8.320213E-5 | 1.1685202 | 1.2E-5 | 8.35278E-4 | 8.665571E-4 | 8.80545E-4 | 1.0161419 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.6014626E-5 | 1.6614476E-5 | 2.4614343E-5 | 1.4814998 | 8.0E-6 | 6.863231E-5 | 7.120299E-5 | 8.320213E-5 | 1.1685202 | 1.2E-5 | 8.35278E-4 | 8.665571E-4 | 8.80545E-4 | 1.0161419 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.56782E-5 | 1.6235912E-5 | 2.4235782E-5 | 1.4927269 | 8.0E-6 | 6.719056E-5 | 6.958066E-5 | 8.157982E-5 | 1.1724497 | 1.2E-5 | 8.17738E-4 | 8.4682077E-4 | 8.608089E-4 | 1.0165185 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.5263338E-5 | 1.5759217E-5 | 2.375909E-5 | 1.5076314 | 8.0E-6 | 6.541267E-5 | 6.753778E-5 | 7.953697E-5 | 1.1776663 | 1.2E-5 | 7.961082E-4 | 8.219677E-4 | 8.359562E-4 | 1.0170183 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.4720723E-5 | 1.5133016E-5 | 2.3132894E-5 | 1.5286374 | 8.0E-6 | 6.308728E-5 | 6.48542E-5 | 7.685342E-5 | 1.1850184 | 1.2E-5 | 7.67817E-4 | 7.8931917E-4 | 8.033081E-4 | 1.0177228 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.408264E-5 | 1.4387159E-5 | 2.2387045E-5 | 1.5560434 | 8.0E-6 | 6.0352773E-5 | 6.1657825E-5 | 7.365709E-5 | 1.1946105 | 1.2E-5 | 7.3454727E-4 | 7.504307E-4 | 7.644202E-4 | 1.018642 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.3197086E-5 | 1.3349938E-5 | 2.1349832E-5 | 1.5992457 | 8.0E-6 | 5.6557717E-5 | 5.7212797E-5 | 6.921211E-5 | 1.2097313 | 1.2E-5 | 6.8837265E-4 | 6.9634826E-4 | 7.103385E-4 | 1.0200909 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.017583E-5 | 9.772335E-6 | 1.7772256E-5 | 1.8186295 | 8.0E-6 | 4.360997E-5 | 4.1880776E-5 | 5.3880274E-5 | 1.2865156 | 1.2E-5 | 5.30822E-4 | 5.097816E-4 | 5.237744E-4 | 1.0274488 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.8 | 8.557912E-6 | 7.894959E-6 | 1.3894911E-5 | 1.7599727 | 6.0E-6 | 3.667625E-5 | 3.383511E-5 | 4.383477E-5 | 1.295541 | 1.0E-5 | 4.4644187E-4 | 4.118666E-4 | 4.218625E-4 | 1.0242697 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.9 | 6.14664E-6 | 5.107389E-6 | 1.1107359E-5 | 2.1747625 | 6.0E-6 | 2.6342475E-5 | 2.1888634E-5 | 2.9888459E-5 | 1.3654785 | 8.0E-6 | 3.2067244E-4 | 2.664629E-4 | 2.744608E-4 | 1.030015 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 3.2310581E-6 | 1.7048513E-6 | 3.704848E-6 | 2.1731207 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3847319E-5 | 7.3064857E-6 | 9.306471E-6 | 1.2737274 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6857806E-4 | 8.895293E-5 | 9.095275E-5 | 1.0224818 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.544492E-6 | 9.271495E-7 | 2.9271475E-6 | 3.1571476 | 2.0E-6 | 1.090492E-5 | 3.973492E-6 | 5.973484E-6 | 1.5033336 | 2.0E-6 | 1.327593E-4 | 4.8376238E-5 | 5.037614E-5 | 1.0413406 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.4479045E-6 | 8.9201876E-7 | 2.892017E-6 | 3.2421033 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0490977E-5 | 3.8229323E-6 | 5.822925E-6 | 1.5231566 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2772017E-4 | 4.6543257E-5 | 4.8543163E-5 | 1.0429688 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.0559578E-6 | 7.9586033E-7 | 7.9586033E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.811218E-6 | 3.410826E-6 | 3.410826E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.072713E-4 | 4.1526062E-5 | 4.1526062E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.727687E-6 | 7.444374E-7 | 7.444374E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.404352E-6 | 3.1904424E-6 | 3.1904424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0144255E-5 | 3.884299E-5 | 3.884299E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.5927463E-7 | 6.5927463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.82546E-6 | 2.82546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.4399472E-5 | 3.4399472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Kern Canyon (South Kern) 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1176295E-6 | 1.0117605E-5 | 2.457143 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7646867E-5 | 2.5646726E-5 | 1.4533303 | 8.0E-6 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1483007E-4 | 2.2882706E-4 | 1.0651538 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1176295E-6 | 1.0117605E-5 | 2.457143 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7646867E-5 | 2.5646726E-5 | 1.4533303 | 8.0E-6 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1483007E-4 | 2.2882706E-4 | 1.0651538 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1176295E-6 | 1.0117605E-5 | 2.457143 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7646867E-5 | 2.5646726E-5 | 1.4533303 | 8.0E-6 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1483007E-4 | 2.2882706E-4 | 1.0651538 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1176295E-6 | 1.0117605E-5 | 2.457143 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7646867E-5 | 2.5646726E-5 | 1.4533303 | 8.0E-6 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1483007E-4 | 2.2882706E-4 | 1.0651538 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.105075E-6 | 4.1176295E-6 | 1.0117605E-5 | 2.457143 | 6.0E-6 | 1.7593058E-5 | 1.7646867E-5 | 2.5646726E-5 | 1.4533303 | 8.0E-6 | 2.1417443E-4 | 2.1483007E-4 | 2.2882706E-4 | 1.0651538 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9760065E-6 | 6.9759944E-6 | 2.344079 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2754252E-5 | 1.8754175E-5 | 1.4704254 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.552721E-4 | 1.6727023E-4 | 1.0772717 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.9849807E-6 | 2.9760065E-6 | 6.9759944E-6 | 2.344079 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2792712E-5 | 1.2754252E-5 | 1.8754175E-5 | 1.4704254 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5574014E-4 | 1.552721E-4 | 1.6727023E-4 | 1.0772717 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 2.6756725E-6 | 2.6607836E-6 | 4.6607784E-6 | 1.7516563 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1467117E-5 | 1.1403309E-5 | 1.5403264E-5 | 1.3507713 | 4.0E-6 | 1.396032E-4 | 1.3882655E-4 | 1.4882517E-4 | 1.0720223 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 2.3283721E-6 | 2.3070265E-6 | 4.307022E-6 | 1.8669147 | 2.0E-6 | 9.9787E-6 | 9.88722E-6 | 1.388718E-5 | 1.4045587 | 4.0E-6 | 1.214839E-4 | 1.2037033E-4 | 1.2836937E-4 | 1.0664536 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.0972677E-6 | 2.071682E-6 | 2.071682E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.988259E-6 | 8.878607E-6 | 1.087859E-5 | 1.2252586 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0942656E-4 | 1.0809174E-4 | 1.1209131E-4 | 1.0370016 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.7132242E-6 | 1.6803907E-6 | 1.6803907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3423685E-6 | 7.2016546E-6 | 9.20164E-6 | 1.277712 | 2.0E-6 | 8.938967E-5 | 8.767666E-5 | 9.16763E-5 | 1.0456182 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.4215541E-6 | 1.382982E-6 | 1.382982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0923603E-6 | 5.927052E-6 | 5.927052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.417196E-5 | 7.21595E-5 | 7.4159354E-5 | 1.0277144 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 9.097853E-7 | 8.6130007E-7 | 8.6130007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.899074E-6 | 3.6912809E-6 | 3.6912809E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7470192E-5 | 4.494043E-5 | 4.694034E-5 | 1.0445013 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 6.144169E-7 | 5.634581E-7 | 5.634581E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6332125E-6 | 2.4148183E-6 | 2.4148183E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.205889E-5 | 2.940002E-5 | 3.1399963E-5 | 1.0680251 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 4.049844E-7 | 3.5771828E-7 | 3.5771828E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7356463E-6 | 1.5330775E-6 | 1.5330775E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1131287E-5 | 1.8665061E-5 | 2.0665024E-5 | 1.1071501 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.9871162E-7 | 1.5853395E-7 | 1.5853395E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5162094E-7 | 6.79431E-7 | 6.79431E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368436E-5 | 8.272043E-6 | 8.272043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7383709E-8 | 1.7383709E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.450161E-8 | 7.450161E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0705674E-7 | 9.0705674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mendocino
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.7364764E-4 | 8.180355E-4 | 8.2003383E-4 | 1.0024428 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0020283395 | 0.0034995915 | 0.0035015843 | 1.0005695 | 2.0E-6 | 0.024417073 | 0.041532457 | 0.041545875 | 1.000323 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.180355E-4 | 8.2003383E-4 | 1.0024428 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0034995915 | 0.0035015843 | 1.0005695 | 2.0E-6 | 0.021944538 | 0.041532457 | 0.041545875 | 1.000323 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.2515888E-4 | 8.180355E-4 | 8.2003383E-4 | 1.0024428 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0018208373 | 0.0034995915 | 0.0035015843 | 1.0005695 | 2.0E-6 | 0.021944538 | 0.041532457 | 0.041545875 | 1.000323 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 3.2773745E-4 | 6.206158E-4 | 6.226146E-4 | 1.0032206 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0014038329 | 0.0026558423 | 0.002657837 | 1.000751 | 2.0E-6 | 0.016958237 | 0.031669535 | 0.031683095 | 1.0004281 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.7417165E-4 | 5.0782354E-4 | 5.0982257E-4 | 1.0039364 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011744922 | 0.0021736484 | 0.002175644 | 1.0009181 | 2.0E-6 | 0.014205975 | 0.026002374 | 0.02601601 | 1.0005244 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.3984899E-4 | 4.367639E-4 | 4.38763E-4 | 1.0045772 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0010275192 | 0.0018697578 | 0.0018717541 | 1.0010676 | 2.0E-6 | 0.012438473 | 0.022412999 | 0.02242473 | 1.0005234 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 2.1023539E-4 | 3.746994E-4 | 3.7669862E-4 | 1.0053356 | 2.0E-6 | 9.0069766E-4 | 0.0016043128 | 0.0016063097 | 1.0012447 | 2.0E-6 | 0.010910975 | 0.019269615 | 0.019281384 | 1.0006107 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 1.2592976E-4 | 1.9052991E-4 | 1.9252954E-4 | 1.0104951 | 2.0E-6 | 5.395873E-4 | 8.162526E-4 | 8.18251E-4 | 1.0024482 | 2.0E-6 | 0.006549705 | 0.009882888 | 0.009894769 | 1.0012022 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.8 | 1.13663555E-4 | 1.6094578E-4 | 1.6294546E-4 | 1.0124246 | 2.0E-6 | 4.8703855E-4 | 6.895682E-4 | 6.915668E-4 | 1.0028983 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0059135845 | 0.008360271 | 0.008372171 | 1.0014234 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.9 | 9.926894E-5 | 1.3100807E-4 | 1.3300781E-4 | 1.0152643 | 2.0E-6 | 4.2536893E-4 | 5.61338E-4 | 5.633368E-4 | 1.0035609 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0051665753 | 0.0068123774 | 0.0068223095 | 1.0014579 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.0 | 9.168125E-5 | 1.16225776E-4 | 1.18225544E-4 | 1.0172058 | 2.0E-6 | 3.9286047E-4 | 4.9801276E-4 | 5.000117E-4 | 1.004014 | 2.0E-6 | 0.004772591 | 0.0060463124 | 0.006056252 | 1.0016439 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.1 | 8.2854116E-5 | 9.96721E-5 | 1.016719E-4 | 1.0200638 | 2.0E-6 | 3.5504074E-4 | 4.2709682E-4 | 4.29096E-4 | 1.0046808 | 2.0E-6 | 0.004314056 | 0.005187631 | 0.005197579 | 1.0019177 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.2 | 7.8255274E-5 | 9.160054E-5 | 9.360035E-5 | 1.021832 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3533663E-4 | 3.9251565E-4 | 3.9451485E-4 | 1.0050933 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0040750825 | 0.004768588 | 0.0047785407 | 1.0020871 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.3 | 6.887904E-5 | 6.959289E-5 | 7.159275E-5 | 1.0287366 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9516246E-4 | 2.9822183E-4 | 3.0022123E-4 | 1.0067044 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0035876823 | 0.0036249273 | 0.003634891 | 1.0027487 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.4 | 5.4898497E-5 | 4.1955664E-5 | 4.395558E-5 | 1.0476674 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3525805E-4 | 1.7979801E-4 | 1.8179764E-4 | 1.0111216 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0028605047 | 0.002186914 | 0.0021968922 | 1.0045626 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.5 | 3.9103943E-5 | 1.2957682E-5 | 1.4957656E-5 | 1.1543466 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6757756E-4 | 5.5531753E-5 | 5.753164E-5 | 1.0360135 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0020383475 | 6.758914E-4 | 6.858846E-4 | 1.0147853 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.6 | 3.641042E-5 | 1.0302689E-5 | 1.2302668E-5 | 1.1941221 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5603533E-4 | 4.4153643E-5 | 4.6153553E-5 | 1.0452944 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0018980748 | 5.374397E-4 | 5.474344E-4 | 1.0185968 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.7 | 3.1318774E-5 | 5.1648326E-6 | 7.1648224E-6 | 1.3872322 | 2.0E-6 | 1.342164E-4 | 2.2134811E-5 | 2.4134766E-5 | 1.0903534 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0016328598 | 2.6945825E-4 | 2.7945556E-4 | 1.0371015 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.8 | 2.209241E-5 | 2.625103E-6 | 4.625098E-6 | 1.7618729 | 2.0E-6 | 9.467832E-5 | 1.1250393E-5 | 1.3250371E-5 | 1.1777695 | 2.0E-6 | 0.001152099 | 1.3696495E-4 | 1.4696359E-4 | 1.0730014 | 1.0E-5 |
| 7.9 | 1.2640477E-5 | 1.5496155E-6 | 3.5496125E-6 | 2.2906408 | 2.0E-6 | 5.4172346E-5 | 6.6411926E-6 | 8.641179E-6 | 1.3011488 | 2.0E-6 | 6.593487E-4 | 8.085353E-5 | 9.085272E-5 | 1.1236705 | 1.0E-5 |
| 8.0 | 6.5548907E-6 | 9.15049E-7 | 2.9150472E-6 | 3.1856735 | 2.0E-6 | 2.8092087E-5 | 3.9216325E-6 | 5.9216245E-6 | 1.5099897 | 2.0E-6 | 3.4196748E-4 | 4.7744834E-5 | 5.7744357E-5 | 1.2094368 | 1.0E-5 |
| 8.1 | 3.1916707E-6 | 5.4252104E-7 | 2.54252E-6 | 4.686491 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3678517E-5 | 2.3250882E-6 | 4.3250834E-6 | 1.8601805 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6652321E-4 | 2.8307584E-5 | 3.8307302E-5 | 1.3532522 | 1.0E-5 |
| 8.2 | 2.1193785E-6 | 1.547458E-7 | 1.547458E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.083019E-6 | 6.631961E-7 | 6.631961E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1058014E-4 | 8.074383E-6 | 1.4074334E-5 | 1.7430848 | 6.0E-6 |
| 8.3 | 7.536878E-7 | 1.7429246E-8 | 1.7429246E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2300866E-6 | 7.4696764E-8 | 7.4696764E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9325594E-5 | 9.0943274E-7 | 6.909427E-6 | 7.597513 | 6.0E-6 |
Lions Head 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.895584E-7 | 6.889553E-6 | 7.7449136 | 6.0E-6 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8123878E-6 | 1.1812357E-5 | 3.0984144 | 8.0E-6 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6414898E-5 | 6.0414248E-5 | 1.3016133 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 8.889363E-7 | 8.895584E-7 | 6.889553E-6 | 7.7449136 | 6.0E-6 | 3.8097214E-6 | 3.8123878E-6 | 1.1812357E-5 | 3.0984144 | 8.0E-6 | 4.638237E-5 | 4.6414898E-5 | 6.0414248E-5 | 1.3016133 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7397483E-7 | 4.5739725E-6 | 7.9689426 | 4.0E-6 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4598899E-6 | 6.45988E-6 | 2.626085 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9948762E-5 | 3.5948582E-5 | 1.2003362 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 5.7435483E-7 | 5.7397483E-7 | 4.5739725E-6 | 7.9689426 | 4.0E-6 | 2.4615185E-6 | 2.4598899E-6 | 6.45988E-6 | 2.626085 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9968574E-5 | 2.9948762E-5 | 3.5948582E-5 | 1.2003362 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1749877E-7 | 2.4174979E-6 | 5.790431 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7892792E-6 | 3.7892758E-6 | 2.1177666 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1784259E-5 | 2.5784171E-5 | 1.1836149 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 4.1835764E-7 | 4.1749877E-7 | 2.4174979E-6 | 5.790431 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7929601E-6 | 1.7892792E-6 | 3.7892758E-6 | 2.1177666 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1829072E-5 | 2.1784259E-5 | 2.5784171E-5 | 1.1836149 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.6896213E-7 | 3.6795646E-7 | 2.3679556E-6 | 6.4354234 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5812653E-6 | 1.5769554E-6 | 3.5769522E-6 | 2.2682648 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9251736E-5 | 1.9199264E-5 | 2.3199187E-5 | 1.2083373 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.3283942E-7 | 3.3173092E-7 | 2.3317302E-6 | 7.0289807 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4264539E-6 | 1.4217031E-6 | 3.4217003E-6 | 2.4067614 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7366938E-5 | 1.7309098E-5 | 2.130903E-5 | 1.2310884 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 2.9684807E-7 | 2.956425E-7 | 2.295642E-6 | 7.764925 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2722054E-6 | 1.2670387E-6 | 3.2670362E-6 | 2.578482 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5488991E-5 | 1.5426087E-5 | 1.9426025E-5 | 1.259297 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.8254823E-7 | 2.8129207E-7 | 2.2812915E-6 | 8.110045 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2109203E-6 | 1.2055368E-6 | 3.2055343E-6 | 2.65901 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4742856E-5 | 1.4677312E-5 | 1.8677254E-5 | 1.2725254 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.5794475E-7 | 2.5659241E-7 | 2.2565919E-6 | 8.79446 | 2.0E-6 | 1.105477E-6 | 1.0996813E-6 | 3.0996791E-6 | 2.8187068 | 2.0E-6 | 1.34591E-5 | 1.3388538E-5 | 1.7388484E-5 | 1.298759 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.2678832E-7 | 2.2527446E-7 | 2.225274E-6 | 9.878057 | 2.0E-6 | 9.719496E-7 | 9.654616E-7 | 2.9654598E-6 | 3.0715458 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1833421E-5 | 1.1754431E-5 | 1.5754385E-5 | 1.3402932 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.968546E-7 | 1.9518501E-7 | 2.1951846E-6 | 11.246686 | 2.0E-6 | 8.436623E-7 | 8.365069E-7 | 2.8365052E-6 | 3.3908927 | 2.0E-6 | 1.027154E-5 | 1.0184424E-5 | 1.4184383E-5 | 1.3927526 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.6101195E-7 | 1.5909843E-7 | 2.1590981E-6 | 13.570831 | 2.0E-6 | 6.90051E-7 | 6.818502E-7 | 2.6818489E-6 | 3.9331934 | 2.0E-6 | 8.401339E-6 | 8.301495E-6 | 1.0301478E-5 | 1.2409185 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.304744E-7 | 1.2831589E-7 | 2.1283156E-6 | 16.586533 | 2.0E-6 | 5.591759E-7 | 5.4992506E-7 | 2.549924E-6 | 4.636857 | 2.0E-6 | 6.807945E-6 | 6.6953176E-6 | 8.695304E-6 | 1.2987143 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 9.410614E-8 | 9.159069E-8 | 2.0915904E-6 | 22.836277 | 2.0E-6 | 4.0331196E-7 | 3.9253146E-7 | 2.3925306E-6 | 6.095131 | 2.0E-6 | 4.910312E-6 | 4.77906E-6 | 6.7790506E-6 | 1.4184903 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 6.6360826E-8 | 6.3519444E-8 | 6.3519444E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.844035E-7 | 2.7222615E-7 | 2.7222615E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.462607E-6 | 3.3143483E-6 | 3.3143483E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 3.9100893E-8 | 3.5846668E-8 | 3.5846668E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6757524E-7 | 1.5362856E-7 | 1.5362856E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0402267E-6 | 1.8704261E-6 | 1.8704261E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.9858547E-8 | 1.627164E-8 | 1.627164E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.5108056E-8 | 6.973559E-8 | 6.973559E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0361902E-6 | 8.490305E-7 | 8.490305E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 9.717722E-9 | 6.635037E-9 | 6.635037E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1647375E-8 | 2.8435872E-8 | 2.8435872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.070567E-7 | 3.462067E-7 | 3.462067E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 3.8397716E-9 | 2.0209328E-9 | 2.0209328E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6456164E-8 | 8.661141E-9 | 8.661141E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0035378E-7 | 1.0544941E-7 | 1.0544941E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Swain Ravine - Spenceville
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.667245E-6 | 7.667234E-6 | 1.3529031 | 2.0E-6 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4287983E-5 | 2.8287886E-5 | 1.1646864 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9566878E-4 | 3.0966464E-4 | 1.0473362 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.1 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.667245E-6 | 7.667234E-6 | 1.3529031 | 2.0E-6 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4287983E-5 | 2.8287886E-5 | 1.1646864 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9566878E-4 | 3.0966464E-4 | 1.0473362 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.2 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.667245E-6 | 7.667234E-6 | 1.3529031 | 2.0E-6 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4287983E-5 | 2.8287886E-5 | 1.1646864 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9566878E-4 | 3.0966464E-4 | 1.0473362 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.3 | 5.596169E-6 | 5.667245E-6 | 7.667234E-6 | 1.3529031 | 2.0E-6 | 2.398336E-5 | 2.4287983E-5 | 2.8287886E-5 | 1.1646864 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9195828E-4 | 2.9566878E-4 | 3.0966464E-4 | 1.0473362 | 1.4E-5 |
| 6.4 | 2.8426775E-6 | 2.8757477E-6 | 2.8757477E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2182847E-5 | 1.2324576E-5 | 1.43245525E-5 | 1.1622754 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4831607E-4 | 1.5004179E-4 | 1.5604089E-4 | 1.0399829 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.9424506E-6 | 1.9424506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.324762E-6 | 8.324762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.013494E-4 | 1.0334919E-4 | 1.0197318 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.9210793E-6 | 1.9424506E-6 | 1.9424506E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.233172E-6 | 8.324762E-6 | 8.324762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0023425E-4 | 1.013494E-4 | 1.0334919E-4 | 1.0197318 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.4667394E-6 | 1.482665E-6 | 1.482665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.286011E-6 | 6.3542634E-6 | 6.3542634E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.65295E-5 | 7.736049E-5 | 7.936033E-5 | 1.025851 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.1076943E-6 | 1.1195267E-6 | 1.1195267E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.747252E-6 | 4.797963E-6 | 4.797963E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7796264E-5 | 5.8413676E-5 | 6.041356E-5 | 1.0342366 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 8.514296E-7 | 8.604462E-7 | 8.604462E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.648979E-6 | 3.6876215E-6 | 3.6876215E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.442541E-5 | 4.4895896E-5 | 4.6895806E-5 | 1.0445455 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 4.8544706E-7 | 4.905786E-7 | 4.905786E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0804857E-6 | 2.102478E-6 | 2.102478E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.532962E-5 | 2.5597383E-5 | 2.5597383E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 3.829186E-7 | 3.869848E-7 | 3.869848E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6410787E-6 | 1.6585052E-6 | 1.6585052E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.997995E-5 | 2.0192125E-5 | 2.0192125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.4726595E-7 | 1.488722E-7 | 1.488722E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3113964E-7 | 6.380236E-7 | 6.380236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.684098E-6 | 7.767915E-6 | 7.767915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 4.1880604E-8 | 4.2346905E-8 | 4.2346905E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7948828E-7 | 1.8148673E-7 | 1.8148673E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1852677E-6 | 2.209601E-6 | 2.209601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Airport Lake
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3141449E-5 | 1.914137E-5 | 1.4565647 | 6.0E-6 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.631944E-5 | 6.631888E-5 | 1.1775485 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.85502E-4 | 6.9749384E-4 | 1.0174934 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3141449E-5 | 1.914137E-5 | 1.4565647 | 6.0E-6 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.631944E-5 | 6.631888E-5 | 1.1775485 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.85502E-4 | 6.9749384E-4 | 1.0174934 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3141449E-5 | 1.914137E-5 | 1.4565647 | 6.0E-6 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.631944E-5 | 6.631888E-5 | 1.1775485 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.85502E-4 | 6.9749384E-4 | 1.0174934 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3141449E-5 | 1.914137E-5 | 1.4565647 | 6.0E-6 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.631944E-5 | 6.631888E-5 | 1.1775485 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.85502E-4 | 6.9749384E-4 | 1.0174934 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.2387061E-5 | 1.3141449E-5 | 1.914137E-5 | 1.4565647 | 6.0E-6 | 5.3086325E-5 | 5.631944E-5 | 6.631888E-5 | 1.1775485 | 1.0E-5 | 6.461343E-4 | 6.85502E-4 | 6.9749384E-4 | 1.0174934 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.4058803E-6 | 1.140585E-5 | 1.5401074 | 4.0E-6 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.173913E-5 | 3.9738876E-5 | 1.2520468 | 8.0E-6 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8636086E-4 | 3.96357E-4 | 1.0258726 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.6 | 6.9922594E-6 | 7.4058803E-6 | 1.140585E-5 | 1.5401074 | 4.0E-6 | 2.996648E-5 | 3.173913E-5 | 3.9738876E-5 | 1.2520468 | 8.0E-6 | 3.6478083E-4 | 3.8636086E-4 | 3.96357E-4 | 1.0258726 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.7 | 5.477277E-6 | 5.8025503E-6 | 9.8025275E-6 | 1.689348 | 4.0E-6 | 2.3473833E-5 | 2.4867859E-5 | 3.2867658E-5 | 1.3216923 | 8.0E-6 | 2.8575645E-4 | 3.0272803E-4 | 3.12725E-4 | 1.033023 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 3.9950432E-6 | 4.2310407E-6 | 6.231032E-6 | 1.472695 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7121502E-5 | 1.813292E-5 | 2.2132848E-5 | 1.2205893 | 4.0E-6 | 2.0843433E-4 | 2.2074871E-4 | 2.2674739E-4 | 1.0271742 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.95695E-6 | 3.1318855E-6 | 3.1318855E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2672582E-5 | 1.342231E-5 | 1.5422283E-5 | 1.1490036 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5427776E-4 | 1.6340664E-4 | 1.6740599E-4 | 1.0244749 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.456072E-6 | 1.545342E-6 | 1.545342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2402937E-6 | 6.6228836E-6 | 6.6228836E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.597293E-5 | 8.063164E-5 | 8.263147E-5 | 1.0248022 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 6.995192E-7 | 7.431115E-7 | 7.431115E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.997936E-6 | 3.1847635E-6 | 3.1847635E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.649926E-5 | 3.8774495E-5 | 3.8774495E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hat Creek-McArthur-Mayfield
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.967457E-5 | 4.335097E-5 | 5.1350624E-5 | 1.1845323 | 8.0E-6 | 1.7002279E-4 | 1.8577729E-4 | 1.9777507E-4 | 1.0645815 | 1.2E-5 | 0.002068062 | 0.0022596077 | 0.0022715807 | 1.0052986 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.718235E-5 | 3.3182187E-5 | 1.2207254 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.16490766E-4 | 1.264896E-4 | 1.0858337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0014173845 | 0.0014273702 | 1.0070453 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.5044013E-5 | 2.718235E-5 | 3.3182187E-5 | 1.2207254 | 6.0E-6 | 1.0732707E-4 | 1.16490766E-4 | 1.264896E-4 | 1.0858337 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0013059238 | 0.0014173845 | 0.0014273702 | 1.0070453 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.7960156E-5 | 2.1960082E-5 | 1.2227112 | 4.0E-6 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.696987E-5 | 8.296941E-5 | 1.0779465 | 6.0E-6 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.3671394E-4 | 9.4270834E-4 | 1.0063994 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.6624012E-5 | 1.7960156E-5 | 2.1960082E-5 | 1.2227112 | 4.0E-6 | 7.124382E-5 | 7.696987E-5 | 8.296941E-5 | 1.0779465 | 6.0E-6 | 8.670483E-4 | 9.3671394E-4 | 9.4270834E-4 | 1.0063994 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.3394842E-5 | 1.4446388E-5 | 1.8446332E-5 | 1.2768818 | 4.0E-6 | 5.7405203E-5 | 6.1911654E-5 | 6.7911285E-5 | 1.0969063 | 6.0E-6 | 6.986842E-4 | 7.5351936E-4 | 7.595148E-4 | 1.0079566 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.1137514E-5 | 1.1998931E-5 | 1.5998883E-5 | 1.333359 | 4.0E-6 | 4.7731326E-5 | 5.1422998E-5 | 5.542279E-5 | 1.0777822 | 4.0E-6 | 5.809739E-4 | 6.258992E-4 | 6.298967E-4 | 1.0063868 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 7.0200663E-6 | 7.5516273E-6 | 7.5516273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.008565E-5 | 3.2363725E-5 | 3.2363725E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6623122E-4 | 3.939587E-4 | 3.939587E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 5.940172E-6 | 6.3885277E-6 | 6.3885277E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.545763E-5 | 2.7379125E-5 | 2.7379125E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0990256E-4 | 3.3329113E-4 | 3.3329113E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 4.129831E-6 | 4.439456E-6 | 4.439456E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7699154E-5 | 1.9026107E-5 | 1.9026107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.154659E-4 | 2.3161902E-4 | 2.3161902E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.6512955E-6 | 2.8474692E-6 | 2.8474692E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1362646E-5 | 1.2203385E-5 | 1.2203385E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3833142E-4 | 1.4856651E-4 | 1.4856651E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.2992575E-6 | 1.395893E-6 | 1.395893E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.568235E-6 | 5.982386E-6 | 5.982386E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.779115E-5 | 7.283334E-5 | 7.283334E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 4.968191E-7 | 5.3466056E-7 | 5.3466056E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1292228E-6 | 2.291401E-6 | 2.291401E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.592298E-5 | 2.7897577E-5 | 2.7897577E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Almanor 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.1235038E-5 | 5.800468E-5 | 6.80041E-5 | 1.1723899 | 1.0E-5 | 2.1956026E-4 | 2.4857046E-4 | 2.5856798E-4 | 1.04022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0026698692 | 0.0030227397 | 0.0030347034 | 1.0039579 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.800468E-5 | 6.80041E-5 | 1.1723899 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.4857046E-4 | 2.5856798E-4 | 1.04022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0030227397 | 0.0030347034 | 1.0039579 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.4387216E-5 | 5.800468E-5 | 6.80041E-5 | 1.1723899 | 1.0E-5 | 1.9021705E-4 | 2.4857046E-4 | 2.5856798E-4 | 1.04022 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0023134327 | 0.0030227397 | 0.0030347034 | 1.0039579 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.9523822E-5 | 3.8495662E-5 | 4.449543E-5 | 1.1558558 | 6.0E-6 | 1.2652454E-4 | 1.6497284E-4 | 1.7097185E-4 | 1.0363636 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0015393476 | 0.002007111 | 0.002015095 | 1.0039778 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 2.0512744E-5 | 2.6691107E-5 | 3.2690947E-5 | 1.224788 | 6.0E-6 | 8.79088E-5 | 1.14386836E-4 | 1.2038615E-4 | 1.0524476 | 6.0E-6 | 0.001069764 | 0.0013921283 | 0.00139812 | 1.0043039 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.6750226E-5 | 2.1746999E-5 | 2.7746868E-5 | 1.2758942 | 6.0E-6 | 7.178471E-5 | 9.3199465E-5 | 9.919891E-5 | 1.0643721 | 6.0E-6 | 8.7362836E-4 | 0.0011344675 | 0.0011404607 | 1.0052829 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.4745303E-5 | 1.9130546E-5 | 2.313047E-5 | 1.2090857 | 4.0E-6 | 6.319262E-5 | 8.198683E-5 | 8.5986496E-5 | 1.0487844 | 4.0E-6 | 7.690986E-4 | 9.980892E-4 | 0.0010020852 | 1.0040036 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.951145E-7 | 1.1513231E-6 | 1.1513231E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.26477E-6 | 4.9342334E-6 | 4.9342334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1922336E-5 | 6.007281E-5 | 6.007281E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 5.866312E-7 | 6.791764E-7 | 6.791764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5141312E-6 | 2.9107537E-6 | 2.9107537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0609117E-5 | 3.5437977E-5 | 3.5437977E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mission (connected) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.8170693E-5 | 2.5281855E-5 | 2.7281805E-5 | 1.0791061 | 2.0E-6 | 7.787207E-5 | 1.0834568E-4 | 1.1034546E-4 | 1.0184574 | 2.0E-6 | 9.476801E-4 | 0.0013182454 | 0.0013302296 | 1.009091 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.7048891E-5 | 2.4052939E-5 | 2.605289E-5 | 1.0831479 | 2.0E-6 | 7.306463E-5 | 1.0307932E-4 | 1.0507911E-4 | 1.0194005 | 2.0E-6 | 8.8919874E-4 | 0.0012542028 | 0.0012661876 | 1.0095558 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.6137668E-5 | 2.304546E-5 | 2.5045416E-5 | 1.0867829 | 2.0E-6 | 6.91596E-5 | 9.876189E-5 | 1.00761696E-4 | 1.0202488 | 2.0E-6 | 8.416928E-4 | 0.0012016974 | 0.001213683 | 1.0099739 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.5083093E-5 | 2.1893089E-5 | 2.3893044E-5 | 1.091351 | 2.0E-6 | 6.4640226E-5 | 9.382351E-5 | 9.582333E-5 | 1.0213146 | 2.0E-6 | 7.8671053E-4 | 0.0011416376 | 0.0011536238 | 1.0104992 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.4435828E-5 | 2.1086651E-5 | 2.308661E-5 | 1.0948447 | 2.0E-6 | 6.186637E-5 | 9.036761E-5 | 9.236743E-5 | 1.0221298 | 2.0E-6 | 7.529627E-4 | 0.0010996062 | 0.001111593 | 1.010901 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.30127955E-5 | 1.8743305E-5 | 2.0743268E-5 | 1.1067028 | 2.0E-6 | 5.576793E-5 | 8.032588E-5 | 8.232572E-5 | 1.0248966 | 2.0E-6 | 6.78763E-4 | 9.775097E-4 | 9.894979E-4 | 1.0122641 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.6 | 1.1220718E-5 | 1.616063E-5 | 1.8160597E-5 | 1.1237556 | 2.0E-6 | 4.8087906E-5 | 6.925799E-5 | 7.1257855E-5 | 1.0288756 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8531296E-4 | 8.428912E-4 | 8.548811E-4 | 1.0142248 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.7 | 8.086152E-6 | 1.15251E-5 | 1.3525077E-5 | 1.1735322 | 2.0E-6 | 3.4654473E-5 | 4.9392354E-5 | 5.1392257E-5 | 1.0404902 | 2.0E-6 | 4.2183654E-4 | 6.0118677E-4 | 6.111808E-4 | 1.0166237 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.8 | 6.8361655E-6 | 9.94137E-6 | 1.194135E-5 | 1.2011775 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9297524E-5 | 4.2605177E-5 | 4.4605094E-5 | 1.0469407 | 2.0E-6 | 3.5663895E-4 | 5.185952E-4 | 5.265911E-4 | 1.0154183 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 5.2517353E-6 | 7.595919E-6 | 9.595904E-6 | 1.2632973 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2507242E-5 | 3.2553533E-5 | 3.4553468E-5 | 1.0614352 | 2.0E-6 | 2.739912E-4 | 3.9626745E-4 | 4.0426428E-4 | 1.0201803 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 4.4602784E-6 | 6.420471E-6 | 8.4204585E-6 | 1.3115016 | 2.0E-6 | 1.911534E-5 | 2.7516015E-5 | 2.9515959E-5 | 1.072683 | 2.0E-6 | 2.327044E-4 | 3.3495613E-4 | 3.4295346E-4 | 1.0238757 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 4.1492594E-6 | 5.9652434E-6 | 7.965232E-6 | 1.3352735 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7782419E-5 | 2.556508E-5 | 2.7565027E-5 | 1.0782297 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1647944E-4 | 3.1121052E-4 | 3.1920805E-4 | 1.0256981 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.213247E-6 | 3.0872975E-6 | 5.0872914E-6 | 1.6478138 | 2.0E-6 | 9.485309E-6 | 1.3231208E-5 | 1.5231181E-5 | 1.1511558 | 2.0E-6 | 1.15477524E-4 | 1.6107807E-4 | 1.690768E-4 | 1.0496573 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.7362703E-6 | 2.4599562E-6 | 4.4599515E-6 | 1.8130206 | 2.0E-6 | 7.4411373E-6 | 1.0542627E-5 | 1.2542606E-5 | 1.1897041 | 2.0E-6 | 9.0592075E-5 | 1.2834894E-4 | 1.3634791E-4 | 1.0623221 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.1628409E-6 | 1.563625E-6 | 3.563622E-6 | 2.279077 | 2.0E-6 | 4.9835944E-6 | 6.701233E-6 | 8.7012195E-6 | 1.2984506 | 2.0E-6 | 6.0673574E-5 | 8.158447E-5 | 8.958382E-5 | 1.0980499 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 5.5610667E-7 | 6.3690715E-7 | 2.636906E-6 | 4.1401734 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3833122E-6 | 2.7295991E-6 | 4.7295935E-6 | 1.7327063 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9016439E-5 | 3.3232365E-5 | 4.12321E-5 | 1.2407212 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 4.4307663E-7 | 4.7698074E-7 | 2.4769797E-6 | 5.1930394 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8988985E-6 | 2.0442014E-6 | 4.0441973E-6 | 1.9783751 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3118844E-5 | 2.4887871E-5 | 3.288767E-5 | 1.3214337 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 3.639119E-7 | 3.2561704E-7 | 2.3256164E-6 | 7.142183 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5596215E-6 | 1.3955008E-6 | 3.395498E-6 | 2.433175 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8988227E-5 | 1.6990092E-5 | 2.4989955E-5 | 1.4708546 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 3.1152942E-7 | 2.2498406E-7 | 2.2249835E-6 | 9.889516 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3351254E-6 | 9.642171E-7 | 2.9642151E-6 | 3.0742197 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6255031E-5 | 1.173928E-5 | 1.9739186E-5 | 1.6814648 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 1.8035962E-7 | 4.3235126E-8 | 2.043235E-6 | 47.258682 | 2.0E-6 | 7.729696E-7 | 1.8529337E-7 | 2.185293E-6 | 11.793692 | 2.0E-6 | 9.410865E-6 | 2.2559445E-6 | 4.25594E-6 | 1.8865447 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 9.279334E-8 | 1.1131607E-8 | 1.1131607E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.976857E-7 | 4.770688E-8 | 4.770688E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.841813E-6 | 5.808311E-7 | 5.808311E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 5.9253985E-8 | 8.760613E-9 | 8.760613E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5394561E-7 | 3.754548E-8 | 3.754548E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0917836E-6 | 4.5711613E-7 | 4.5711613E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
East Huasna 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.47198E-6 | 1.3471962E-5 | 9.152272 | 1.2E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.308471E-6 | 1.8308396E-5 | 2.9021924 | 1.2E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.680299E-5 | 8.880207E-5 | 1.1562319 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.47198E-6 | 1.3471962E-5 | 9.152272 | 1.2E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.308471E-6 | 1.8308396E-5 | 2.9021924 | 1.2E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.680299E-5 | 8.880207E-5 | 1.1562319 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.47198E-6 | 1.3471962E-5 | 9.152272 | 1.2E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.308471E-6 | 1.8308396E-5 | 2.9021924 | 1.2E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.680299E-5 | 8.880207E-5 | 1.1562319 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.4658423E-6 | 1.47198E-6 | 1.3471962E-5 | 9.152272 | 1.2E-5 | 6.282166E-6 | 6.308471E-6 | 1.8308396E-5 | 2.9021924 | 1.2E-5 | 7.6482684E-5 | 7.680299E-5 | 8.880207E-5 | 1.1562319 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0530745E-6 | 5.0530703E-6 | 4.7983975 | 4.0E-6 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.5131687E-6 | 8.5131505E-6 | 1.8862913 | 4.0E-6 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.4946464E-5 | 5.8946243E-5 | 1.0727941 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.0488257E-6 | 1.0530745E-6 | 5.0530703E-6 | 4.7983975 | 4.0E-6 | 4.4949593E-6 | 4.5131687E-6 | 8.5131505E-6 | 1.8862913 | 4.0E-6 | 5.472476E-5 | 5.4946464E-5 | 5.8946243E-5 | 1.0727941 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 8.463064E-7 | 8.4964284E-7 | 4.8496395E-6 | 5.7078567 | 4.0E-6 | 3.6270226E-6 | 3.6413214E-6 | 7.641307E-6 | 2.0984983 | 4.0E-6 | 4.4158103E-5 | 4.4332195E-5 | 4.833202E-5 | 1.0902239 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 7.876149E-7 | 7.905123E-7 | 4.790509E-6 | 6.0600057 | 4.0E-6 | 3.375488E-6 | 3.3879055E-6 | 7.387892E-6 | 2.1806664 | 4.0E-6 | 4.109579E-5 | 4.1246974E-5 | 4.524681E-5 | 1.0969728 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 6.9940785E-7 | 7.018979E-7 | 4.7018953E-6 | 6.6988306 | 4.0E-6 | 2.9974588E-6 | 3.0081303E-6 | 7.0081182E-6 | 2.3297257 | 4.0E-6 | 3.649345E-5 | 3.6623376E-5 | 4.062323E-5 | 1.1092159 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 5.899658E-7 | 5.91768E-7 | 4.5917654E-6 | 7.7594013 | 4.0E-6 | 2.5284223E-6 | 2.5361462E-6 | 6.536136E-6 | 2.577192 | 4.0E-6 | 3.0783107E-5 | 3.0877145E-5 | 3.4877023E-5 | 1.1295416 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 4.793814E-7 | 4.805048E-7 | 2.4805038E-6 | 5.162287 | 2.0E-6 | 2.05449E-6 | 2.0593047E-6 | 4.0593004E-6 | 1.9711996 | 2.0E-6 | 2.501313E-5 | 2.5071748E-5 | 2.7071697E-5 | 1.079769 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 4.1256908E-7 | 4.1314854E-7 | 2.4131477E-6 | 5.840872 | 2.0E-6 | 1.768152E-6 | 1.7706354E-6 | 3.7706318E-6 | 2.129536 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1527037E-5 | 2.1557275E-5 | 2.3557232E-5 | 1.0927742 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.822599E-7 | 2.8172258E-7 | 2.8172258E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2096847E-6 | 1.2073818E-6 | 1.2073818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47278115E-5 | 1.4699775E-5 | 1.4699775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.5261652E-7 | 1.5081E-7 | 1.5081E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.540707E-7 | 6.4632843E-7 | 6.4632843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.963281E-6 | 7.86902E-6 | 7.86902E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 7.976414E-8 | 8.0612445E-8 | 8.0612445E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.418463E-7 | 3.4548185E-7 | 3.4548185E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1619705E-6 | 4.2062334E-6 | 4.2062334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 4.2715055E-8 | 4.3222663E-8 | 4.3222663E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.830645E-7 | 1.8523995E-7 | 1.8523995E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.228808E-6 | 2.2552942E-6 | 2.2552942E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.1807532E-8 | 2.206802E-8 | 2.206802E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.346085E-8 | 9.4577224E-8 | 9.4577224E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1378852E-6 | 1.1514771E-6 | 1.1514771E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 4.7196043E-9 | 4.7693716E-9 | 4.7693716E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0226874E-8 | 2.0440162E-8 | 2.0440162E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4626218E-7 | 2.4885895E-7 | 2.4885895E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 7.400003E-11 | 7.468437E-11 | 7.468437E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.171432E-10 | 3.2007563E-10 | 3.2007563E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.861218E-9 | 3.896921E-9 | 3.896921E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
San Luis Range - Pecho 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.687423E-6 | 1.6941575E-6 | 3.6941542E-6 | 2.1805258 | 2.0E-6 | 7.231793E-6 | 7.2606563E-6 | 9.2606415E-6 | 1.2754552 | 2.0E-6 | 8.804352E-5 | 8.839515E-5 | 9.839427E-5 | 1.1131184 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.687423E-6 | 1.6941575E-6 | 3.6941542E-6 | 2.1805258 | 2.0E-6 | 7.231793E-6 | 7.2606563E-6 | 9.2606415E-6 | 1.2754552 | 2.0E-6 | 8.804352E-5 | 8.839515E-5 | 9.839427E-5 | 1.1131184 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.0765672E-6 | 1.0787999E-6 | 1.0787999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.613851E-6 | 4.62342E-6 | 4.62342E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.617219E-5 | 5.6288747E-5 | 6.0288523E-5 | 1.0710582 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 8.523104E-7 | 8.5297205E-7 | 8.5297205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6527538E-6 | 3.6555896E-6 | 3.6555896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.447137E-5 | 4.4505927E-5 | 4.6505837E-5 | 1.0449358 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 8.523104E-7 | 8.5297205E-7 | 8.5297205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6527538E-6 | 3.6555896E-6 | 3.6555896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.447137E-5 | 4.4505927E-5 | 4.6505837E-5 | 1.0449358 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 7.0029404E-7 | 6.9923004E-7 | 6.9923004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0012568E-6 | 2.9966968E-6 | 2.9966968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6539688E-5 | 3.648419E-5 | 3.848412E-5 | 1.0548162 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 5.583906E-7 | 5.5579494E-7 | 5.5579494E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3931002E-6 | 2.3819762E-6 | 2.3819762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9135606E-5 | 2.900018E-5 | 3.1000123E-5 | 1.068963 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 4.73441E-7 | 4.697662E-7 | 4.697662E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0290313E-6 | 2.0132823E-6 | 2.0132823E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4703175E-5 | 2.4511439E-5 | 2.4511439E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 4.1466086E-7 | 4.1020095E-7 | 4.1020095E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7771167E-6 | 1.7580029E-6 | 1.7580029E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1636182E-5 | 2.1403479E-5 | 2.1403479E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 3.2056641E-7 | 3.1464322E-7 | 3.1464322E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3738553E-6 | 1.3484703E-6 | 1.3484703E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6726559E-5 | 1.6417504E-5 | 1.6417504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.6315942E-7 | 2.561962E-7 | 2.561962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1278256E-6 | 1.0979833E-6 | 1.0979833E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3731191E-5 | 1.3367865E-5 | 1.3367865E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 2.1832436E-7 | 2.1042688E-7 | 2.1042688E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.356755E-7 | 9.0182914E-7 | 9.0182914E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.13917895E-5 | 1.0979715E-5 | 1.0979715E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.7393015E-7 | 1.6496739E-7 | 1.6496739E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.454147E-7 | 7.070029E-7 | 7.070029E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.075386E-6 | 8.607727E-6 | 8.607727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.3744894E-7 | 1.2754121E-7 | 1.2754121E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.890667E-7 | 5.466051E-7 | 5.466051E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1718637E-6 | 6.654897E-6 | 6.654897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.0915278E-7 | 9.8388064E-8 | 9.8388064E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6779755E-7 | 4.2166306E-7 | 4.2166306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6954204E-6 | 5.1337356E-6 | 5.1337356E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 9.490291E-8 | 8.366038E-8 | 8.366038E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0672668E-7 | 3.5854444E-7 | 3.5854444E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9518862E-6 | 4.36527E-6 | 4.36527E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 7.256678E-8 | 6.047198E-8 | 6.047198E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1100043E-7 | 2.5916563E-7 | 2.5916563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7864236E-6 | 3.1553368E-6 | 3.1553368E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 5.446273E-8 | 4.1587075E-8 | 4.1587075E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3341168E-7 | 1.7823031E-7 | 1.7823031E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8417835E-6 | 2.1699518E-6 | 2.1699518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 3.5850867E-8 | 2.2471268E-8 | 2.2471268E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5364655E-7 | 9.630543E-8 | 9.630543E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8706452E-6 | 1.172518E-6 | 1.172518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 2.45879E-8 | 1.22756845E-8 | 1.22756845E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0537671E-7 | 5.2610073E-8 | 5.2610073E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2829606E-6 | 6.4052745E-7 | 6.4052745E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.8151761E-8 | 8.165052E-9 | 8.165052E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.779326E-8 | 3.4993075E-8 | 3.4993075E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4713255E-7 | 4.260406E-7 | 4.260406E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 9.559205E-9 | 4.492461E-9 | 4.492461E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.096802E-8 | 1.9253402E-8 | 1.9253402E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9878554E-7 | 2.3441014E-7 | 2.3441014E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
West Tahoe
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1274402E-5 | 3.127419E-5 | 1.4700384 | 1.0E-5 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.117313E-5 | 1.0117222E-4 | 1.1096715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011095229 | 0.0011215096 | 1.0108035 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1274402E-5 | 3.127419E-5 | 1.4700384 | 1.0E-5 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.117313E-5 | 1.0117222E-4 | 1.1096715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011095229 | 0.0011215096 | 1.0108035 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1274402E-5 | 3.127419E-5 | 1.4700384 | 1.0E-5 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.117313E-5 | 1.0117222E-4 | 1.1096715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011095229 | 0.0011215096 | 1.0108035 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1274402E-5 | 3.127419E-5 | 1.4700384 | 1.0E-5 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.117313E-5 | 1.0117222E-4 | 1.1096715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011095229 | 0.0011215096 | 1.0108035 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.952444E-5 | 2.1274402E-5 | 3.127419E-5 | 1.4700384 | 1.0E-5 | 8.367348E-5 | 9.117313E-5 | 1.0117222E-4 | 1.1096715 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0010182485 | 0.0011095229 | 0.0011215096 | 1.0108035 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.2685271E-5 | 1.3745563E-5 | 2.1745453E-5 | 1.581998 | 8.0E-6 | 5.4364315E-5 | 5.890832E-5 | 6.690785E-5 | 1.1357962 | 8.0E-6 | 6.616845E-4 | 7.169894E-4 | 7.2498363E-4 | 1.0111498 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.2685271E-5 | 1.3745563E-5 | 2.1745453E-5 | 1.581998 | 8.0E-6 | 5.4364315E-5 | 5.890832E-5 | 6.690785E-5 | 1.1357962 | 8.0E-6 | 6.616845E-4 | 7.169894E-4 | 7.2498363E-4 | 1.0111498 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.117886E-6 | 9.847514E-6 | 1.1847494E-5 | 1.203095 | 2.0E-6 | 3.9076072E-5 | 4.2202988E-5 | 4.42029E-5 | 1.047388 | 2.0E-6 | 4.756473E-4 | 5.1370746E-4 | 5.1570643E-4 | 1.0038912 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 8.786828E-6 | 9.494406E-6 | 1.1494387E-5 | 1.2106484 | 2.0E-6 | 3.7657293E-5 | 4.0689716E-5 | 4.2689633E-5 | 1.0491505 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5838108E-4 | 4.952918E-4 | 4.972908E-4 | 1.0040361 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 6.7562123E-6 | 7.2914113E-6 | 7.2914113E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8954875E-5 | 3.1248557E-5 | 3.1248557E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5246857E-4 | 3.8038957E-4 | 3.8038957E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 5.1792854E-6 | 5.5884334E-6 | 5.5884334E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2196748E-5 | 2.3950231E-5 | 2.3950231E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.702119E-4 | 2.9155888E-4 | 2.9155888E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 4.090765E-6 | 4.4140925E-6 | 4.4140925E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7531731E-5 | 1.891742E-5 | 1.891742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.134279E-4 | 2.3029868E-4 | 2.3029868E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.2356758E-6 | 2.4114245E-6 | 2.4114245E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.581432E-6 | 1.03346465E-5 | 1.03346465E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1664769E-4 | 1.2581896E-4 | 1.2581896E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 04b Gordon Valley
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.4142846E-5 | 3.2142652E-5 | 1.3313531 | 8.0E-6 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.0346619E-4 | 1.1346516E-4 | 1.0966399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012591422 | 0.001271127 | 1.0095183 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.4142846E-5 | 3.2142652E-5 | 1.3313531 | 8.0E-6 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.0346619E-4 | 1.1346516E-4 | 1.0966399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012591422 | 0.001271127 | 1.0095183 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.4142846E-5 | 3.2142652E-5 | 1.3313531 | 8.0E-6 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.0346619E-4 | 1.1346516E-4 | 1.0966399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012591422 | 0.001271127 | 1.0095183 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.1181217E-5 | 2.4142846E-5 | 3.2142652E-5 | 1.3313531 | 8.0E-6 | 9.077348E-5 | 1.0346619E-4 | 1.1346516E-4 | 1.0966399 | 1.0E-5 | 0.0011046068 | 0.0012591422 | 0.001271127 | 1.0095183 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.232569E-5 | 1.632564E-5 | 1.3245214 | 4.0E-6 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.2823405E-5 | 5.682319E-5 | 1.07572 | 4.0E-6 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.429513E-4 | 6.4894743E-4 | 1.009326 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.0988268E-5 | 1.232569E-5 | 1.632564E-5 | 1.3245214 | 4.0E-6 | 4.7091726E-5 | 5.2823405E-5 | 5.682319E-5 | 1.07572 | 4.0E-6 | 5.731909E-4 | 6.429513E-4 | 6.4894743E-4 | 1.009326 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.0517822E-5 | 1.1791823E-5 | 1.5791777E-5 | 1.3392141 | 4.0E-6 | 4.5075605E-5 | 5.0535495E-5 | 5.4535292E-5 | 1.0791483 | 4.0E-6 | 5.4865726E-4 | 6.151118E-4 | 6.211081E-4 | 1.0097483 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 7.789219E-6 | 8.727427E-6 | 1.2727392E-5 | 1.4583212 | 4.0E-6 | 3.3381937E-5 | 3.740275E-5 | 4.14026E-5 | 1.10694 | 4.0E-6 | 4.063493E-4 | 4.5528857E-4 | 4.6128585E-4 | 1.0131725 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 7.5850853E-6 | 8.500991E-6 | 1.25009565E-5 | 1.4705294 | 4.0E-6 | 3.2507105E-5 | 3.643234E-5 | 4.043219E-5 | 1.1097885 | 4.0E-6 | 3.957021E-4 | 4.4347864E-4 | 4.4747686E-4 | 1.0090156 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 6.604105E-6 | 7.4007753E-6 | 1.1400745E-5 | 1.5404799 | 4.0E-6 | 2.8303E-5 | 3.1717245E-5 | 3.571712E-5 | 1.1261103 | 4.0E-6 | 3.4453452E-4 | 3.8609296E-4 | 3.9009142E-4 | 1.0103562 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 5.3701115E-6 | 6.0229872E-6 | 1.0022964E-5 | 1.6641183 | 4.0E-6 | 2.301456E-5 | 2.5812564E-5 | 2.9812461E-5 | 1.1549593 | 4.0E-6 | 2.8016625E-4 | 3.142256E-4 | 3.1822434E-4 | 1.0127257 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 4.4685607E-6 | 5.015396E-6 | 7.0153856E-6 | 1.3987701 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9150835E-5 | 2.149439E-5 | 2.3494347E-5 | 1.0930456 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3313647E-4 | 2.616653E-4 | 2.6366476E-4 | 1.0076413 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.833378E-6 | 3.1827872E-6 | 5.182781E-6 | 1.628378 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2142991E-5 | 1.3640455E-5 | 1.5640428E-5 | 1.1466206 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4783088E-4 | 1.6606165E-4 | 1.6806133E-4 | 1.0120417 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 7.0087293E-7 | 7.8124134E-7 | 7.8124134E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037377E-6 | 3.3481754E-6 | 3.3481754E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.656989E-5 | 4.0763738E-5 | 4.0763738E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.200023E-8 | 3.200023E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3714384E-7 | 1.3714384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.669725E-6 | 1.669725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Morales (West)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4027072E-6 | 1.4974767E-6 | 7.497468E-6 | 5.0067344 | 6.0E-6 | 6.0115885E-6 | 6.417745E-6 | 1.2417707E-5 | 1.9349018 | 6.0E-6 | 7.318863E-5 | 7.813395E-5 | 9.0133006E-5 | 1.1535704 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.4027072E-6 | 1.4974767E-6 | 7.497468E-6 | 5.0067344 | 6.0E-6 | 6.0115885E-6 | 6.417745E-6 | 1.2417707E-5 | 1.9349018 | 6.0E-6 | 7.318863E-5 | 7.813395E-5 | 9.0133006E-5 | 1.1535704 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.4027072E-6 | 1.4974767E-6 | 7.497468E-6 | 5.0067344 | 6.0E-6 | 6.0115885E-6 | 6.417745E-6 | 1.2417707E-5 | 1.9349018 | 6.0E-6 | 7.318863E-5 | 7.813395E-5 | 9.0133006E-5 | 1.1535704 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.4027072E-6 | 1.4974767E-6 | 7.497468E-6 | 5.0067344 | 6.0E-6 | 6.0115885E-6 | 6.417745E-6 | 1.2417707E-5 | 1.9349018 | 6.0E-6 | 7.318863E-5 | 7.813395E-5 | 9.0133006E-5 | 1.1535704 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 6.504502E-7 | 7.3837623E-7 | 2.7383749E-6 | 3.7086442 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7876408E-6 | 3.1644659E-6 | 5.1644597E-6 | 1.6320162 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3939E-5 | 3.85267E-5 | 4.452647E-5 | 1.1557301 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 6.504502E-7 | 7.3837623E-7 | 2.7383749E-6 | 3.7086442 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7876408E-6 | 3.1644659E-6 | 5.1644597E-6 | 1.6320162 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3939E-5 | 3.85267E-5 | 4.452647E-5 | 1.1557301 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 5.8056526E-7 | 6.679774E-7 | 6.679774E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4881344E-6 | 2.8627574E-6 | 2.8627574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0292615E-5 | 3.4853518E-5 | 3.885338E-5 | 1.1147621 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 5.741448E-7 | 6.615061E-7 | 6.615061E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4606184E-6 | 2.835023E-6 | 2.835023E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9957617E-5 | 3.4515866E-5 | 3.851573E-5 | 1.1158848 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 5.299428E-7 | 6.0589343E-7 | 6.0589343E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2711813E-6 | 2.5966838E-6 | 2.5966838E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7651282E-5 | 3.161417E-5 | 3.5614044E-5 | 1.1265216 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 4.82394E-7 | 5.501985E-7 | 5.501985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0674013E-6 | 2.3579914E-6 | 2.3579914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.517032E-5 | 2.8708171E-5 | 3.0708114E-5 | 1.0696646 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 4.3264512E-7 | 4.9104284E-7 | 4.9104284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8541921E-6 | 2.1044677E-6 | 2.1044677E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2574555E-5 | 2.5621595E-5 | 2.7621545E-5 | 1.0780572 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.7388565E-7 | 4.1316883E-7 | 4.1316883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6023661E-6 | 1.7707224E-6 | 1.7707224E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9508632E-5 | 2.1558333E-5 | 2.355829E-5 | 1.0927695 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 3.1592543E-7 | 3.4411065E-7 | 3.4411065E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3539654E-6 | 1.4747591E-6 | 1.4747591E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6484404E-5 | 1.7955046E-5 | 1.995501E-5 | 1.1113873 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.2677783E-7 | 2.2600285E-7 | 2.2600285E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.719047E-7 | 9.685832E-7 | 9.685832E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1832874E-5 | 1.1792437E-5 | 1.1792437E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.2295531E-7 | 8.7629246E-8 | 8.7629246E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.269512E-7 | 3.7555384E-7 | 3.7555384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4156125E-6 | 4.5723586E-6 | 4.5723586E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 9.9632544E-8 | 5.7826753E-8 | 5.7826753E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2699656E-7 | 2.4782892E-7 | 2.4782892E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.198671E-6 | 3.017313E-6 | 3.017313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 8.125894E-8 | 3.8707878E-8 | 3.8707878E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4825257E-7 | 1.658909E-7 | 1.658909E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2399665E-6 | 2.0197197E-6 | 2.0197197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 5.1810765E-8 | 1.3352466E-8 | 1.3352466E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2204613E-7 | 5.722485E-8 | 5.722485E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7034082E-6 | 6.9671233E-7 | 6.9671233E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 2.6315043E-8 | 3.0214982E-9 | 3.0214982E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1277875E-7 | 1.2949275E-8 | 1.2949275E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3730804E-6 | 1.5765741E-7 | 1.5765741E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 1.24281545E-8 | 6.323795E-10 | 6.323795E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3263516E-8 | 2.710193E-9 | 2.710193E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4848314E-7 | 3.2996603E-8 | 3.2996603E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 5.954214E-9 | 2.931091E-10 | 2.931091E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.551806E-8 | 1.2561814E-9 | 1.2561814E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1068234E-7 | 1.5294015E-8 | 1.5294015E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 1.2586262E-9 | 1.2590307E-10 | 1.2590307E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3941123E-9 | 5.3958427E-10 | 5.3958427E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.567332E-8 | 6.56944E-9 | 6.56944E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mount Diablo Thrust South
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.7165579E-5 | 3.3165416E-5 | 1.2208618 | 6.0E-6 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1641986E-4 | 1.2441893E-4 | 1.0687088 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014166911 | 0.0014286741 | 1.0084585 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.7165579E-5 | 3.3165416E-5 | 1.2208618 | 6.0E-6 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1641986E-4 | 1.2441893E-4 | 1.0687088 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014166911 | 0.0014286741 | 1.0084585 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.7165579E-5 | 3.3165416E-5 | 1.2208618 | 6.0E-6 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1641986E-4 | 1.2441893E-4 | 1.0687088 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014166911 | 0.0014286741 | 1.0084585 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.3 | 2.2377444E-5 | 2.7165579E-5 | 3.3165416E-5 | 1.2208618 | 6.0E-6 | 9.5899806E-5 | 1.1641986E-4 | 1.2441893E-4 | 1.0687088 | 8.0E-6 | 0.0011669548 | 0.0014166911 | 0.0014286741 | 1.0084585 | 1.2E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.2228463E-5 | 1.4831368E-5 | 1.883131E-5 | 1.2696947 | 4.0E-6 | 5.2406645E-5 | 6.3561536E-5 | 6.956115E-5 | 1.0943907 | 6.0E-6 | 6.378641E-4 | 7.7359984E-4 | 7.8159367E-4 | 1.0103333 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.2228463E-5 | 1.4831368E-5 | 1.883131E-5 | 1.2696947 | 4.0E-6 | 5.2406645E-5 | 6.3561536E-5 | 6.956115E-5 | 1.0943907 | 6.0E-6 | 6.378641E-4 | 7.7359984E-4 | 7.8159367E-4 | 1.0103333 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.2068118E-5 | 1.463554E-5 | 1.8635481E-5 | 1.2733033 | 4.0E-6 | 5.1719482E-5 | 6.2722305E-5 | 6.872193E-5 | 1.0956538 | 6.0E-6 | 6.2950276E-4 | 7.6338946E-4 | 7.7138335E-4 | 1.0104716 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.1499428E-5 | 1.3955204E-5 | 1.7955148E-5 | 1.2866274 | 4.0E-6 | 4.9282335E-5 | 5.980672E-5 | 6.580636E-5 | 1.1003171 | 6.0E-6 | 5.9984723E-4 | 7.2791637E-4 | 7.3591055E-4 | 1.0109823 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 8.82118E-6 | 1.0895799E-5 | 1.4895755E-5 | 1.36711 | 4.0E-6 | 3.780451E-5 | 4.6695477E-5 | 5.26952E-5 | 1.1284862 | 6.0E-6 | 4.601727E-4 | 5.6837476E-4 | 5.7437137E-4 | 1.0105504 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 8.047112E-6 | 1.0001787E-5 | 1.4001747E-5 | 1.3999245 | 4.0E-6 | 3.4487166E-5 | 4.286413E-5 | 4.886387E-5 | 1.1399711 | 6.0E-6 | 4.1980037E-4 | 5.217511E-4 | 5.2774796E-4 | 1.0114937 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 6.2574763E-6 | 7.802347E-6 | 1.1802315E-5 | 1.5126623 | 4.0E-6 | 2.681748E-5 | 3.3438224E-5 | 3.9438022E-5 | 1.1794294 | 6.0E-6 | 3.264539E-4 | 4.0703802E-4 | 4.130356E-4 | 1.0147346 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.6485903E-6 | 4.5477577E-6 | 4.5477577E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5636722E-5 | 1.9490246E-5 | 1.9490246E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9036046E-4 | 2.3726832E-4 | 2.3726832E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.3034274E-6 | 2.9300772E-6 | 2.9300772E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.871795E-6 | 1.2557415E-5 | 1.2557415E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2018247E-4 | 1.5287605E-4 | 1.5287605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.224035E-6 | 1.5796802E-6 | 1.5796802E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.245854E-6 | 6.770041E-6 | 6.770041E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.38664E-5 | 8.2422244E-5 | 8.2422244E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 5.1601154E-7 | 6.7709226E-7 | 6.7709226E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2114762E-6 | 2.901821E-6 | 2.901821E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6924388E-5 | 3.5329114E-5 | 3.5329114E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 3.552894E-7 | 4.6980193E-7 | 4.6980193E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5226678E-6 | 2.0134353E-6 | 2.0134353E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8538323E-5 | 2.4513314E-5 | 2.4513314E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.3124082E-7 | 1.7290485E-7 | 1.7290485E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6246057E-7 | 7.4102064E-7 | 7.4102064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.8479358E-6 | 9.021897E-6 | 9.021897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 3.6193022E-8 | 4.801331E-8 | 4.801331E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5511293E-7 | 2.0577131E-7 | 2.0577131E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8884983E-6 | 2.5052639E-6 | 2.5052639E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake East
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.512846E-5 | 2.912836E-5 | 1.159178 | 4.0E-6 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.07689426E-4 | 1.1168899E-4 | 1.0371399 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013104139 | 0.0013204009 | 1.0076212 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.512846E-5 | 2.912836E-5 | 1.159178 | 4.0E-6 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.07689426E-4 | 1.1168899E-4 | 1.0371399 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013104139 | 0.0013204009 | 1.0076212 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 2.3539369E-5 | 2.512846E-5 | 2.912836E-5 | 1.159178 | 4.0E-6 | 1.0087911E-4 | 1.07689426E-4 | 1.1168899E-4 | 1.0371399 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0012275111 | 0.0013104139 | 0.0013204009 | 1.0076212 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0427559E-5 | 1.24275375E-5 | 1.1917975 | 2.0E-6 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.468882E-5 | 4.668873E-5 | 1.0447519 | 2.0E-6 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.43959E-4 | 5.479568E-4 | 1.0073495 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 9.807823E-6 | 1.0427559E-5 | 1.24275375E-5 | 1.1917975 | 2.0E-6 | 4.2032847E-5 | 4.468882E-5 | 4.668873E-5 | 1.0447519 | 2.0E-6 | 5.1162974E-4 | 5.43959E-4 | 5.479568E-4 | 1.0073495 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 6.191981E-6 | 6.5700237E-6 | 8.57001E-6 | 1.3044109 | 2.0E-6 | 2.653679E-5 | 2.8156956E-5 | 3.01569E-5 | 1.0710284 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2303753E-4 | 3.4275983E-4 | 3.4675846E-4 | 1.0116659 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 4.3693776E-6 | 4.6297514E-6 | 4.6297514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8725768E-5 | 1.9841647E-5 | 1.9841647E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2796239E-4 | 2.4154641E-4 | 2.4354593E-4 | 1.008278 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.360834E-6 | 3.5614044E-6 | 3.5614044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4403494E-5 | 1.5263076E-5 | 1.5263076E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7534842E-4 | 1.8581293E-4 | 1.8581293E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 2.57873E-6 | 2.732989E-6 | 2.732989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1051653E-5 | 1.1712761E-5 | 1.1712761E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3454557E-4 | 1.4259414E-4 | 1.4259414E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 9.987825E-7 | 1.0597125E-6 | 1.0597125E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2804895E-6 | 4.541619E-6 | 4.541619E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.211371E-5 | 5.5293138E-5 | 5.5293138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Carson Range (Genoa)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.1268457E-5 | 5.0694493E-5 | 5.469429E-5 | 1.0789 | 4.0E-6 | 1.7685282E-4 | 2.172463E-4 | 2.2324499E-4 | 1.0276124 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0021510567 | 0.0026421633 | 0.0026521368 | 1.0037748 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 4.1268457E-5 | 5.0694493E-5 | 5.469429E-5 | 1.0789 | 4.0E-6 | 1.7685282E-4 | 2.172463E-4 | 2.2324499E-4 | 1.0276124 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0021510567 | 0.0026421633 | 0.0026521368 | 1.0037748 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 4.1268457E-5 | 5.0694493E-5 | 5.469429E-5 | 1.0789 | 4.0E-6 | 1.7685282E-4 | 2.172463E-4 | 2.2324499E-4 | 1.0276124 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0021510567 | 0.0026421633 | 0.0026521368 | 1.0037748 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 4.1268457E-5 | 5.0694493E-5 | 5.469429E-5 | 1.0789 | 4.0E-6 | 1.7685282E-4 | 2.172463E-4 | 2.2324499E-4 | 1.0276124 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0021510567 | 0.0026421633 | 0.0026521368 | 1.0037748 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 4.1268457E-5 | 5.0694493E-5 | 5.469429E-5 | 1.0789 | 4.0E-6 | 1.7685282E-4 | 2.172463E-4 | 2.2324499E-4 | 1.0276124 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0021510567 | 0.0026421633 | 0.0026521368 | 1.0037748 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 2.5677185E-5 | 3.1303513E-5 | 3.3303448E-5 | 1.0638885 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1004044E-4 | 1.3415203E-4 | 1.3615176E-4 | 1.0149064 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0013389189 | 0.0016322603 | 0.0016362538 | 1.0024465 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 2.5677185E-5 | 3.1303513E-5 | 3.3303448E-5 | 1.0638885 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1004044E-4 | 1.3415203E-4 | 1.3615176E-4 | 1.0149064 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0013389189 | 0.0016322603 | 0.0016362538 | 1.0024465 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.9969408E-5 | 2.4314551E-5 | 2.6314503E-5 | 1.0822532 | 2.0E-6 | 8.558037E-5 | 1.04201936E-4 | 1.0620173E-4 | 1.0191915 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0010414429 | 0.001268077 | 0.0012720719 | 1.0031503 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.4783156E-5 | 1.8003702E-5 | 2.0003667E-5 | 1.1110862 | 2.0E-6 | 6.335485E-5 | 7.7157194E-5 | 7.915704E-5 | 1.0259191 | 2.0E-6 | 7.710722E-4 | 9.391169E-4 | 9.431131E-4 | 1.0042553 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.06660555E-5 | 1.3012885E-5 | 1.5012859E-5 | 1.1536918 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5710865E-5 | 5.576898E-5 | 5.7768866E-5 | 1.0358602 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5638765E-4 | 6.788934E-4 | 6.808921E-4 | 1.002944 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 7.664838E-6 | 9.356271E-6 | 1.1356253E-5 | 1.2137583 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2848893E-5 | 4.0098308E-5 | 4.2098225E-5 | 1.0498754 | 2.0E-6 | 3.998619E-4 | 4.8819685E-4 | 4.901959E-4 | 1.0040947 | 2.0E-6 |
Robinson Creek
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5374264E-5 | 1.7374232E-5 | 1.1300856 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5889704E-5 | 7.1889306E-5 | 1.0910553 | 6.0E-6 | 7.1487366E-4 | 8.022071E-4 | 8.121991E-4 | 1.0124556 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5374264E-5 | 1.7374232E-5 | 1.1300856 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5889704E-5 | 7.1889306E-5 | 1.0910553 | 6.0E-6 | 7.1487366E-4 | 8.022071E-4 | 8.121991E-4 | 1.0124556 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5374264E-5 | 1.7374232E-5 | 1.1300856 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5889704E-5 | 7.1889306E-5 | 1.0910553 | 6.0E-6 | 7.1487366E-4 | 8.022071E-4 | 8.121991E-4 | 1.0124556 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5374264E-5 | 1.7374232E-5 | 1.1300856 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5889704E-5 | 7.1889306E-5 | 1.0910553 | 6.0E-6 | 7.1487366E-4 | 8.022071E-4 | 8.121991E-4 | 1.0124556 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.3705327E-5 | 1.5374264E-5 | 1.7374232E-5 | 1.1300856 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8735794E-5 | 6.5889704E-5 | 7.1889306E-5 | 1.0910553 | 6.0E-6 | 7.1487366E-4 | 8.022071E-4 | 8.121991E-4 | 1.0124556 | 1.0E-5 |
Reliz 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6317665E-5 | 2.0317599E-5 | 1.2451291 | 4.0E-6 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9931084E-5 | 7.5930664E-5 | 1.0857928 | 6.0E-6 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.510983E-4 | 8.6108973E-4 | 1.0117395 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6317665E-5 | 2.0317599E-5 | 1.2451291 | 4.0E-6 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9931084E-5 | 7.5930664E-5 | 1.0857928 | 6.0E-6 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.510983E-4 | 8.6108973E-4 | 1.0117395 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.6002472E-5 | 1.6317665E-5 | 2.0317599E-5 | 1.2451291 | 4.0E-6 | 6.8580215E-5 | 6.9931084E-5 | 7.5930664E-5 | 1.0857928 | 6.0E-6 | 8.3464425E-4 | 8.510983E-4 | 8.6108973E-4 | 1.0117395 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.824616E-6 | 9.8246E-6 | 1.2556016 | 2.0E-6 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.353364E-5 | 3.7533504E-5 | 1.1192793 | 4.0E-6 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.0819636E-4 | 4.1619307E-4 | 1.0195904 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 7.792404E-6 | 7.824616E-6 | 9.8246E-6 | 1.2556016 | 2.0E-6 | 3.339559E-5 | 3.353364E-5 | 3.7533504E-5 | 1.1192793 | 4.0E-6 | 4.0651546E-4 | 4.0819636E-4 | 4.1619307E-4 | 1.0195904 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 5.9659374E-6 | 5.9470713E-6 | 7.947059E-6 | 1.336298 | 2.0E-6 | 2.5568053E-5 | 2.54872E-5 | 2.9487099E-5 | 1.1569375 | 4.0E-6 | 3.1124658E-4 | 3.102627E-4 | 3.182602E-4 | 1.0257766 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 5.2350692E-6 | 5.196398E-6 | 7.1963877E-6 | 1.38488 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2435817E-5 | 2.2270087E-5 | 2.6269998E-5 | 1.1796092 | 4.0E-6 | 2.7312184E-4 | 2.7110474E-4 | 2.7910256E-4 | 1.0295008 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 4.580206E-6 | 4.5226607E-6 | 6.522652E-6 | 1.4422156 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9629308E-5 | 1.9382687E-5 | 2.138265E-5 | 1.1031829 | 2.0E-6 | 2.389606E-4 | 2.3595874E-4 | 2.4195733E-4 | 1.0254222 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 4.0765017E-6 | 4.004106E-6 | 6.0040975E-6 | 1.4994854 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7470604E-5 | 1.716034E-5 | 1.9160307E-5 | 1.1165458 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1268385E-4 | 2.0890715E-4 | 2.149059E-4 | 1.0287149 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 3.5752896E-6 | 3.4877037E-6 | 5.487697E-6 | 1.5734411 | 2.0E-6 | 1.532258E-5 | 1.4947216E-5 | 1.6947186E-5 | 1.1338022 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8653645E-4 | 1.8196719E-4 | 1.8796608E-4 | 1.032967 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 3.0259848E-6 | 2.9224232E-6 | 4.9224172E-6 | 1.6843616 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2968442E-5 | 1.252461E-5 | 1.4524585E-5 | 1.1596836 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5787935E-4 | 1.5247647E-4 | 1.5847555E-4 | 1.0393443 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.5861116E-6 | 2.4690623E-6 | 2.4690623E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1083288E-5 | 1.05816525E-5 | 1.05816525E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3493067E-4 | 1.2882402E-4 | 1.328235E-4 | 1.0310462 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.1482588E-6 | 2.016518E-6 | 2.016518E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.20679E-6 | 8.6421915E-6 | 8.6421915E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.12086906E-4 | 1.0521361E-4 | 1.072134E-4 | 1.019007 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.7194744E-6 | 1.5738706E-6 | 1.5738706E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.3691554E-6 | 6.7451424E-6 | 6.7451424E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.971577E-5 | 8.211902E-5 | 8.411885E-5 | 1.0243529 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.2755178E-6 | 1.1178452E-6 | 1.1178452E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4664933E-6 | 4.790756E-6 | 4.790756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.655252E-5 | 5.8325895E-5 | 5.8325895E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 8.8463224E-7 | 7.1744506E-7 | 7.1744506E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7912755E-6 | 3.0747608E-6 | 3.0747608E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6157802E-5 | 3.7434573E-5 | 3.7434573E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 5.291355E-7 | 3.607567E-7 | 3.607567E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2677216E-6 | 1.5460992E-6 | 1.5460992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.760916E-5 | 1.8823595E-5 | 1.8823595E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 2.9663357E-7 | 1.4339025E-7 | 1.4339025E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2712861E-6 | 6.145295E-7 | 6.145295E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5477797E-5 | 7.4818713E-6 | 7.4818713E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.2509386E-7 | 3.185194E-8 | 3.185194E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3611643E-7 | 1.365083E-7 | 1.365083E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.527198E-6 | 1.6619873E-6 | 1.6619873E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 6.213493E-8 | 1.4039515E-8 | 1.4039515E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6629255E-7 | 6.016935E-8 | 6.016935E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.242107E-6 | 7.325616E-7 | 7.325616E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 5.92383E-9 | 1.9623718E-9 | 1.9623718E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5387841E-8 | 8.410165E-9 | 8.410165E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0909692E-7 | 1.02393756E-7 | 1.02393756E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Round Valley
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.37549605E-5 | 1.7754905E-5 | 1.2908002 | 4.0E-6 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.894872E-5 | 6.2948486E-5 | 1.0678515 | 4.0E-6 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.175041E-4 | 7.27497E-4 | 1.0139272 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.37549605E-5 | 1.7754905E-5 | 1.2908002 | 4.0E-6 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.894872E-5 | 6.2948486E-5 | 1.0678515 | 4.0E-6 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.175041E-4 | 7.27497E-4 | 1.0139272 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.37549605E-5 | 1.7754905E-5 | 1.2908002 | 4.0E-6 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.894872E-5 | 6.2948486E-5 | 1.0678515 | 4.0E-6 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.175041E-4 | 7.27497E-4 | 1.0139272 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.37549605E-5 | 1.7754905E-5 | 1.2908002 | 4.0E-6 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.894872E-5 | 6.2948486E-5 | 1.0678515 | 4.0E-6 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.175041E-4 | 7.27497E-4 | 1.0139272 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.4 | 1.588152E-5 | 1.37549605E-5 | 1.7754905E-5 | 1.2908002 | 4.0E-6 | 6.806188E-5 | 5.894872E-5 | 6.2948486E-5 | 1.0678515 | 4.0E-6 | 8.283384E-4 | 7.175041E-4 | 7.27497E-4 | 1.0139272 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.5 | 1.0646776E-5 | 8.010563E-6 | 8.010563E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5628243E-5 | 3.4330576E-5 | 3.4330576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.553823E-4 | 4.179031E-4 | 4.1990227E-4 | 1.0047837 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 8.632956E-6 | 5.8169085E-6 | 5.8169085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6997862E-5 | 2.4929392E-5 | 2.4929392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5035584E-4 | 3.0347696E-4 | 3.0547634E-4 | 1.0065883 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 8.632956E-6 | 5.8169085E-6 | 5.8169085E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6997862E-5 | 2.4929392E-5 | 2.4929392E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5035584E-4 | 3.0347696E-4 | 3.0547634E-4 | 1.0065883 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 7.143895E-6 | 4.2434876E-6 | 4.2434876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0616335E-5 | 1.8186258E-5 | 1.8186258E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.726901E-4 | 2.213969E-4 | 2.213969E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 6.5120694E-6 | 3.702999E-6 | 3.702999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.790857E-5 | 1.5869908E-5 | 1.5869908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3973387E-4 | 1.9320054E-4 | 1.9320054E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 5.0614435E-6 | 2.714435E-6 | 2.714435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.169172E-5 | 1.1633247E-5 | 1.1633247E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6406467E-4 | 1.4162663E-4 | 1.4162663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 4.41728E-6 | 2.3842551E-6 | 2.3842551E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8931061E-5 | 1.0218201E-5 | 1.0218201E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.304613E-4 | 1.2440051E-4 | 1.2440051E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.535495E-6 | 1.1377999E-6 | 1.1377999E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0866362E-5 | 4.876279E-6 | 4.876279E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3228992E-4 | 5.9367616E-5 | 5.9367616E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 7.900015E-7 | 4.132013E-7 | 4.132013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3857161E-6 | 1.7708627E-6 | 1.7708627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1220315E-5 | 2.1560252E-5 | 2.1560252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 08 (Quinto)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.27488E-6 | 1.2274847E-5 | 1.4833866 | 4.0E-6 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5463396E-5 | 4.1463183E-5 | 1.1691825 | 6.0E-6 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3170026E-4 | 4.4169594E-4 | 1.0231543 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.27488E-6 | 1.2274847E-5 | 1.4833866 | 4.0E-6 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5463396E-5 | 4.1463183E-5 | 1.1691825 | 6.0E-6 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3170026E-4 | 4.4169594E-4 | 1.0231543 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 7.737697E-6 | 8.27488E-6 | 1.2274847E-5 | 1.4833866 | 4.0E-6 | 3.3161137E-5 | 3.5463396E-5 | 4.1463183E-5 | 1.1691825 | 6.0E-6 | 4.0366207E-4 | 4.3170026E-4 | 4.4169594E-4 | 1.0231543 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.764993E-6 | 7.764982E-6 | 1.3469195 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4706942E-5 | 2.6706894E-5 | 1.0809469 | 2.0E-6 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.007767E-4 | 3.047755E-4 | 1.0132949 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 5.374012E-6 | 5.764993E-6 | 7.764982E-6 | 1.3469195 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3031276E-5 | 2.4706942E-5 | 2.6706894E-5 | 1.0809469 | 2.0E-6 | 2.803697E-4 | 3.007767E-4 | 3.047755E-4 | 1.0132949 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 3.65427E-6 | 3.950988E-6 | 5.9509803E-6 | 1.5062006 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5661062E-5 | 1.6932736E-5 | 1.8932702E-5 | 1.1181124 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9065675E-4 | 2.0614364E-4 | 2.1014281E-4 | 1.0194 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.6143538E-6 | 3.9080574E-6 | 5.9080494E-6 | 1.5117612 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5489995E-5 | 1.674875E-5 | 1.8748717E-5 | 1.1194099 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8857437E-4 | 2.0390403E-4 | 2.0790321E-4 | 1.019613 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.4821015E-6 | 2.6918478E-6 | 4.6918426E-6 | 1.742982 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0637535E-5 | 1.1536472E-5 | 1.3536449E-5 | 1.1733612 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2950429E-4 | 1.4045318E-4 | 1.4445261E-4 | 1.0284753 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 4.7110538E-7 | 5.2000684E-7 | 5.2000684E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0190216E-6 | 2.228599E-6 | 2.228599E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.458131E-5 | 2.7132874E-5 | 2.7132874E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 3.958685E-7 | 4.3755944E-7 | 4.3755944E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6965782E-6 | 1.8752535E-6 | 1.8752535E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0655643E-5 | 2.2830987E-5 | 2.2830987E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.70294E-7 | 2.9939307E-7 | 2.9939307E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1584025E-6 | 1.2831126E-6 | 1.2831126E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4103458E-5 | 1.5621798E-5 | 1.5621798E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.4828602E-7 | 1.6469107E-7 | 1.6469107E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3551136E-7 | 7.058187E-7 | 7.058187E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.737323E-6 | 8.593317E-6 | 8.593317E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Cedar Mtn-Mahogany Mtn
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.0167738E-5 | 1.696066E-5 | 1.696066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.643029E-5 | 7.268661E-5 | 7.468647E-5 | 1.0275134 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0010517809 | 8.846173E-4 | 8.9460844E-4 | 1.0112944 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.1 | 1.6162443E-5 | 1.696066E-5 | 1.696066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.926578E-5 | 7.268661E-5 | 7.468647E-5 | 1.0275134 | 2.0E-6 | 8.4298453E-4 | 8.846173E-4 | 8.9460844E-4 | 1.0112944 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.2 | 1.6162443E-5 | 1.696066E-5 | 1.696066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.926578E-5 | 7.268661E-5 | 7.468647E-5 | 1.0275134 | 2.0E-6 | 8.4298453E-4 | 8.846173E-4 | 8.9460844E-4 | 1.0112944 | 1.0E-5 |
| 6.3 | 9.746053E-6 | 1.0222929E-5 | 1.0222929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1768133E-5 | 4.381184E-5 | 4.5811754E-5 | 1.0456477 | 2.0E-6 | 5.0840835E-4 | 5.332826E-4 | 5.4127834E-4 | 1.0149934 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 9.746053E-6 | 1.0222929E-5 | 1.0222929E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1768133E-5 | 4.381184E-5 | 4.5811754E-5 | 1.0456477 | 2.0E-6 | 5.0840835E-4 | 5.332826E-4 | 5.4127834E-4 | 1.0149934 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 7.290083E-6 | 7.644834E-6 | 7.644834E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.124284E-5 | 3.2763175E-5 | 3.4763107E-5 | 1.0610422 | 2.0E-6 | 3.8031515E-4 | 3.9882076E-4 | 4.0481836E-4 | 1.0150384 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 5.67907E-6 | 5.9541953E-6 | 5.9541953E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4338644E-5 | 2.5517738E-5 | 2.7517688E-5 | 1.0783749 | 2.0E-6 | 2.962827E-4 | 3.106355E-4 | 3.1663364E-4 | 1.0193093 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.4853963E-6 | 3.6535753E-6 | 3.6535753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4937327E-5 | 1.5658088E-5 | 1.7658058E-5 | 1.1277275 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8184677E-4 | 1.9062117E-4 | 1.9462041E-4 | 1.02098 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 2.7535168E-6 | 2.8865406E-6 | 2.8865406E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1800733E-5 | 1.2370832E-5 | 1.4370808E-5 | 1.1616687 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4366445E-4 | 1.5060494E-4 | 1.5460435E-4 | 1.0265555 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.6594106E-6 | 1.7399475E-6 | 1.7399475E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1117406E-6 | 7.4568984E-6 | 9.456883E-6 | 1.268206 | 2.0E-6 | 8.6582E-5 | 9.078426E-5 | 9.47839E-5 | 1.0440565 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 5.10215E-7 | 5.350779E-7 | 5.350779E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.186634E-6 | 2.2931897E-6 | 2.2931897E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6621943E-5 | 2.7919354E-5 | 2.9919298E-5 | 1.0716329 | 2.0E-6 |
Big Pine (West)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.884337E-7 | 2.6884325E-6 | 3.9051433 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.9504274E-6 | 8.95041E-6 | 3.0335977 | 6.0E-6 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.592096E-5 | 4.392067E-5 | 1.2227032 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.884337E-7 | 2.6884325E-6 | 3.9051433 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.9504274E-6 | 8.95041E-6 | 3.0335977 | 6.0E-6 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.592096E-5 | 4.392067E-5 | 1.2227032 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 6.8306974E-7 | 6.884337E-7 | 2.6884325E-6 | 3.9051433 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9274386E-6 | 2.9504274E-6 | 8.95041E-6 | 3.0335977 | 6.0E-6 | 3.564098E-5 | 3.592096E-5 | 4.392067E-5 | 1.2227032 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 4.227652E-7 | 4.2684488E-7 | 2.426844E-6 | 5.685541 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8118495E-6 | 1.829334E-6 | 7.829323E-6 | 4.279876 | 6.0E-6 | 2.2059045E-5 | 2.2271932E-5 | 3.0271754E-5 | 1.3591884 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 4.227652E-7 | 4.2684488E-7 | 2.426844E-6 | 5.685541 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8118495E-6 | 1.829334E-6 | 7.829323E-6 | 4.279876 | 6.0E-6 | 2.2059045E-5 | 2.2271932E-5 | 3.0271754E-5 | 1.3591884 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.1901237E-7 | 3.1901237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3671952E-6 | 5.3671897E-6 | 3.9256938 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.664548E-5 | 2.264538E-5 | 1.3604523 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.1901237E-7 | 3.1901237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3671952E-6 | 5.3671897E-6 | 3.9256938 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.664548E-5 | 2.264538E-5 | 1.3604523 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.1901237E-7 | 3.1901237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3671952E-6 | 5.3671897E-6 | 3.9256938 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.664548E-5 | 2.264538E-5 | 1.3604523 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 3.1538403E-7 | 3.1901237E-7 | 3.1901237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3516451E-6 | 1.3671952E-6 | 5.3671897E-6 | 3.9256938 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6456155E-5 | 1.664548E-5 | 2.264538E-5 | 1.3604523 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 3.0402092E-7 | 3.075608E-7 | 3.075608E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3029462E-6 | 1.318117E-6 | 5.318112E-6 | 4.034628 | 4.0E-6 | 1.5863254E-5 | 1.6047961E-5 | 2.2047865E-5 | 1.3738732 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.3673063E-7 | 2.3957418E-7 | 2.3957418E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0145594E-6 | 1.0267462E-6 | 5.026742E-6 | 4.895798 | 4.0E-6 | 1.235219E-5 | 1.2500565E-5 | 1.850049E-5 | 1.4799722 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.632138E-7 | 1.6524073E-7 | 1.6524073E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9948754E-7 | 7.081744E-7 | 4.7081717E-6 | 6.648322 | 4.0E-6 | 8.516227E-6 | 8.621991E-6 | 1.2621957E-5 | 1.463926 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.1523723E-7 | 1.1663909E-7 | 1.1663909E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9387376E-7 | 4.998817E-7 | 2.4998808E-6 | 5.000944 | 2.0E-6 | 6.0128964E-6 | 6.0860443E-6 | 8.086032E-6 | 1.3286186 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 7.777805E-8 | 7.866763E-8 | 7.866763E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3333444E-7 | 3.3714696E-7 | 2.3371463E-6 | 6.9321294 | 2.0E-6 | 4.0583395E-6 | 4.104757E-6 | 6.1047485E-6 | 1.4872376 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 4.609946E-8 | 4.6543647E-8 | 4.6543647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.975691E-7 | 1.9947277E-7 | 2.1994724E-6 | 11.026429 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4054011E-6 | 2.4285785E-6 | 4.4285734E-6 | 1.8235251 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 2.3439137E-8 | 2.3616872E-8 | 2.3616872E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.00453434E-7 | 1.0121516E-7 | 1.0121516E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2230199E-6 | 1.2322939E-6 | 1.2322939E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.6699769E-8 | 1.6823027E-8 | 1.6823027E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.157044E-8 | 7.209868E-8 | 7.209868E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.713697E-7 | 8.778011E-7 | 8.778011E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 7.4061512E-9 | 7.456599E-9 | 7.456599E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1740647E-8 | 3.195685E-8 | 3.195685E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.864423E-7 | 3.890746E-7 | 3.890746E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.2189427E-9 | 1.2274889E-9 | 1.2274889E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2240403E-9 | 5.2606666E-9 | 5.2606666E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3602684E-8 | 6.404861E-8 | 6.404861E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bennett Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.8388207E-5 | 3.038815E-5 | 1.0704498 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.2165912E-4 | 1.2565863E-4 | 1.0328747 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0012459893 | 0.0014803796 | 0.0014883677 | 1.005396 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.3893934E-5 | 2.8388207E-5 | 3.038815E-5 | 1.0704498 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0239855E-4 | 1.2165912E-4 | 1.2565863E-4 | 1.0328747 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0012459893 | 0.0014803796 | 0.0014883677 | 1.005396 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9977775E-5 | 2.1977736E-5 | 1.1001092 | 2.0E-6 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.561703E-5 | 8.761686E-5 | 1.0233579 | 2.0E-6 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.0010420315 | 0.0010480252 | 1.005752 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.6657146E-5 | 1.9977775E-5 | 2.1977736E-5 | 1.1001092 | 2.0E-6 | 7.138582E-5 | 8.561703E-5 | 8.761686E-5 | 1.0233579 | 2.0E-6 | 8.6877577E-4 | 0.0010420315 | 0.0010480252 | 1.005752 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.29418495E-5 | 1.5674505E-5 | 1.7674474E-5 | 1.1275938 | 2.0E-6 | 5.546389E-5 | 6.717546E-5 | 6.917532E-5 | 1.0297707 | 2.0E-6 | 6.7506364E-4 | 8.1768556E-4 | 8.2368066E-4 | 1.0073317 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.2582504E-5 | 1.5239688E-5 | 1.7239658E-5 | 1.1312343 | 2.0E-6 | 5.39239E-5 | 6.531205E-5 | 6.731192E-5 | 1.0306202 | 2.0E-6 | 6.563257E-4 | 7.9501525E-4 | 8.010105E-4 | 1.0075411 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.0846706E-5 | 1.3129283E-5 | 1.5129256E-5 | 1.1523292 | 2.0E-6 | 4.6485053E-5 | 5.626787E-5 | 5.8267757E-5 | 1.0355422 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6580856E-4 | 6.849753E-4 | 6.9097115E-4 | 1.0087534 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.6803231E-6 | 2.426403E-6 | 2.426403E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2013645E-6 | 1.0398829E-5 | 1.0398829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.7673085E-5 | 1.2659852E-4 | 1.2659852E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 1.4609833E-6 | 2.1415392E-6 | 2.1415392E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.261342E-6 | 9.177993E-6 | 9.177993E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6229175E-5 | 1.1173641E-4 | 1.1173641E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 1.3492396E-6 | 1.9914553E-6 | 1.9914553E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7824427E-6 | 8.534781E-6 | 8.534781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0398964E-5 | 1.03906066E-4 | 1.03906066E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 1.2347921E-6 | 1.8333681E-6 | 1.8333681E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.291955E-6 | 7.857268E-6 | 7.857268E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.442765E-5 | 9.56581E-5 | 9.56581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.1262973E-6 | 1.6782735E-6 | 1.6782735E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8269794E-6 | 7.1925815E-6 | 7.1925815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.876689E-5 | 8.7566215E-5 | 8.7566215E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 9.351744E-7 | 1.4002958E-6 | 1.4002958E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.007884E-6 | 6.001254E-6 | 6.001254E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8794896E-5 | 7.3062845E-5 | 7.3062845E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 8.5039534E-7 | 1.2754954E-6 | 1.2754954E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6445463E-6 | 5.4663974E-6 | 5.4663974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.437145E-5 | 6.655138E-5 | 6.655138E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 6.7875015E-7 | 9.89225E-7 | 9.89225E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.908926E-6 | 4.2395286E-6 | 4.2395286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.54156E-5 | 5.161505E-5 | 5.161505E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 5.826867E-7 | 8.432999E-7 | 8.432999E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4972264E-6 | 3.6141373E-6 | 3.6141373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0403306E-5 | 4.4001245E-5 | 4.4001245E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.7734902E-7 | 3.75428E-7 | 3.75428E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1886381E-6 | 1.6089762E-6 | 1.6089762E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4471572E-5 | 1.958911E-5 | 1.958911E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.0530888E-7 | 1.4005394E-7 | 1.4005394E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.513237E-7 | 6.0023103E-7 | 6.0023103E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4948523E-6 | 7.307788E-6 | 7.307788E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.2714258E-8 | 1.7492455E-8 | 1.7492455E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.448968E-8 | 7.4967666E-8 | 7.4967666E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6341164E-7 | 9.127309E-7 | 9.127309E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 4.075888E-9 | 4.4075974E-9 | 4.4075974E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7468091E-8 | 1.8889704E-8 | 1.8889704E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.12674E-7 | 2.2998212E-7 | 2.2998212E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.9126138E-9 | 1.010156E-9 | 1.010156E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.196917E-9 | 4.329239E-9 | 4.329239E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.9797454E-8 | 5.270849E-8 | 5.270849E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 06 (Midland) 2011 CFM alt1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3236706E-5 | 1.9236626E-5 | 1.453279 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.672765E-5 | 6.272731E-5 | 1.1057625 | 6.0E-6 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.904658E-4 | 6.9846027E-4 | 1.0115784 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3236706E-5 | 1.9236626E-5 | 1.453279 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.672765E-5 | 6.272731E-5 | 1.1057625 | 6.0E-6 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.904658E-4 | 6.9846027E-4 | 1.0115784 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3236706E-5 | 1.9236626E-5 | 1.453279 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.672765E-5 | 6.272731E-5 | 1.1057625 | 6.0E-6 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.904658E-4 | 6.9846027E-4 | 1.0115784 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3236706E-5 | 1.9236626E-5 | 1.453279 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.672765E-5 | 6.272731E-5 | 1.1057625 | 6.0E-6 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.904658E-4 | 6.9846027E-4 | 1.0115784 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3236706E-5 | 1.9236626E-5 | 1.453279 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.672765E-5 | 6.272731E-5 | 1.1057625 | 6.0E-6 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.904658E-4 | 6.9846027E-4 | 1.0115784 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.2712525E-5 | 1.3236706E-5 | 1.9236626E-5 | 1.453279 | 6.0E-6 | 5.4481112E-5 | 5.672765E-5 | 6.272731E-5 | 1.1057625 | 6.0E-6 | 6.6310563E-4 | 6.904658E-4 | 6.9846027E-4 | 1.0115784 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 5.7574384E-6 | 5.981805E-6 | 5.981805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4674504E-5 | 2.5636078E-5 | 2.5636078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037065E-4 | 3.1207848E-4 | 3.1207848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 5.7574384E-6 | 5.981805E-6 | 5.981805E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4674504E-5 | 2.5636078E-5 | 2.5636078E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0037065E-4 | 3.1207848E-4 | 3.1207848E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 3.3474828E-6 | 3.4757604E-6 | 3.4757604E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4346277E-5 | 1.4896039E-5 | 1.4896039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7465191E-4 | 1.8134568E-4 | 1.8134568E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 2.035106E-6 | 2.1129017E-6 | 2.1129017E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.721853E-6 | 9.055266E-6 | 9.055266E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0618339E-4 | 1.10243025E-4 | 1.10243025E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 1.2424716E-6 | 1.2902511E-6 | 1.2902511E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3248673E-6 | 5.5296387E-6 | 5.5296387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.482833E-5 | 6.732172E-5 | 6.732172E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 6.6904556E-7 | 6.952045E-7 | 6.952045E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.867335E-6 | 2.9794458E-6 | 2.9794458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4909244E-5 | 3.627441E-5 | 3.627441E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 3.948168E-7 | 4.1034284E-7 | 4.1034284E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6920709E-6 | 1.7586121E-6 | 1.7586121E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0600768E-5 | 2.1411104E-5 | 2.1411104E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 12
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.757157E-6 | 5.5765527E-6 | 1.1576519E-5 | 2.0759275 | 6.0E-6 | 3.7530135E-5 | 2.38993E-5 | 3.1899108E-5 | 1.3347299 | 8.0E-6 | 4.5683357E-4 | 2.9093632E-4 | 2.98934E-4 | 1.0274894 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 8.757157E-6 | 5.5765527E-6 | 1.1576519E-5 | 2.0759275 | 6.0E-6 | 3.7530135E-5 | 2.38993E-5 | 3.1899108E-5 | 1.3347299 | 8.0E-6 | 4.5683357E-4 | 2.9093632E-4 | 2.98934E-4 | 1.0274894 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 8.499136E-6 | 5.3018202E-6 | 1.1301789E-5 | 2.1316807 | 6.0E-6 | 3.642436E-5 | 2.2721895E-5 | 3.0721712E-5 | 1.3520753 | 8.0E-6 | 4.4337637E-4 | 2.766051E-4 | 2.846029E-4 | 1.0289141 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 8.186883E-6 | 4.9694504E-6 | 8.96943E-6 | 1.804914 | 4.0E-6 | 3.508617E-5 | 2.1297477E-5 | 2.729735E-5 | 1.2817175 | 6.0E-6 | 4.270904E-4 | 2.5926693E-4 | 2.6526538E-4 | 1.0231361 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 7.979878E-6 | 4.741312E-6 | 8.741293E-6 | 1.8436444 | 4.0E-6 | 3.419903E-5 | 2.0319754E-5 | 2.6319633E-5 | 1.2952732 | 6.0E-6 | 4.1629362E-4 | 2.4736588E-4 | 2.533644E-4 | 1.0242496 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 7.871003E-6 | 4.6211617E-6 | 8.621143E-6 | 1.8655792 | 4.0E-6 | 3.373243E-5 | 1.9804833E-5 | 2.5804715E-5 | 1.3029504 | 6.0E-6 | 4.1061494E-4 | 2.4109811E-4 | 2.4709667E-4 | 1.0248802 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 7.508221E-6 | 4.2241E-6 | 8.224083E-6 | 1.9469433 | 4.0E-6 | 3.2177693E-5 | 1.8103165E-5 | 2.4103056E-5 | 1.3314278 | 6.0E-6 | 3.91693E-4 | 2.2038461E-4 | 2.2638329E-4 | 1.0272192 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 7.1297914E-6 | 3.8013247E-6 | 7.80131E-6 | 2.0522606 | 4.0E-6 | 3.055589E-5 | 1.6291295E-5 | 2.2291197E-5 | 1.3682889 | 6.0E-6 | 3.7195446E-4 | 1.9832926E-4 | 2.0432807E-4 | 1.0302467 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 6.376581E-6 | 2.9667635E-6 | 6.9667517E-6 | 2.3482666 | 4.0E-6 | 2.7327918E-5 | 1.271464E-5 | 1.8714563E-5 | 1.4718909 | 6.0E-6 | 3.326666E-4 | 1.5478992E-4 | 1.6078899E-4 | 1.0387563 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 5.9095E-6 | 2.7040433E-6 | 6.7040323E-6 | 2.4792624 | 4.0E-6 | 2.5326184E-5 | 1.1588706E-5 | 1.7588636E-5 | 1.5177394 | 6.0E-6 | 3.0830267E-4 | 1.4108352E-4 | 1.4708267E-4 | 1.042522 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 5.3239864E-6 | 2.212908E-6 | 4.2129036E-6 | 1.9037862 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2816885E-5 | 9.483858E-6 | 1.14838385E-5 | 1.2108827 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7776015E-4 | 1.1545999E-4 | 1.1745976E-4 | 1.01732 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 4.329147E-6 | 1.3846884E-6 | 3.3846857E-6 | 2.4443662 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8553355E-5 | 5.9343656E-6 | 7.934354E-6 | 1.337018 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2586368E-4 | 7.22486E-5 | 7.4248455E-5 | 1.0276802 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 3.978488E-6 | 1.3235468E-6 | 3.3235442E-6 | 2.5110893 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7050552E-5 | 5.6723316E-6 | 7.67232E-6 | 1.3525866 | 2.0E-6 | 2.075707E-4 | 6.905854E-5 | 7.10584E-5 | 1.0289589 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.586542E-6 | 1.2273885E-6 | 1.2273885E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5370804E-5 | 5.260226E-6 | 5.260226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8712347E-4 | 6.404146E-5 | 6.404146E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.4837766E-6 | 9.878614E-7 | 9.878614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0644713E-5 | 4.233685E-6 | 4.233685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959167E-4 | 5.1543964E-5 | 5.1543964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.5927463E-7 | 6.5927463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.82546E-6 | 2.82546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.4399472E-5 | 3.4399472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hunting Creek - Bartlett Springs connector 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.4793655E-5 | 6.138985E-5 | 6.738948E-5 | 1.09773 | 6.0E-6 | 1.9195868E-4 | 2.6307296E-4 | 2.6907137E-4 | 1.0228014 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002334592 | 0.0031981387 | 0.0032061131 | 1.0024935 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 4.4793655E-5 | 6.138985E-5 | 6.738948E-5 | 1.09773 | 6.0E-6 | 1.9195868E-4 | 2.6307296E-4 | 2.6907137E-4 | 1.0228014 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002334592 | 0.0031981387 | 0.0032061131 | 1.0024935 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.129612E-5 | 6.7295754E-5 | 1.0978795 | 6.0E-6 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.6267132E-4 | 2.6866974E-4 | 1.0228362 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031932637 | 0.003201238 | 1.0024973 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 4.472471E-5 | 6.129612E-5 | 6.7295754E-5 | 1.0978795 | 6.0E-6 | 1.9166325E-4 | 2.6267132E-4 | 2.6866974E-4 | 1.0228362 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0023310026 | 0.0031932637 | 0.003201238 | 1.0024973 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 4.0001003E-5 | 5.4450415E-5 | 6.045009E-5 | 1.110186 | 6.0E-6 | 1.714216E-4 | 2.3333788E-4 | 2.3933647E-4 | 1.0257078 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0020850603 | 0.0028371443 | 0.0028451215 | 1.0028118 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 3.8033053E-5 | 5.1615007E-5 | 5.56148E-5 | 1.0774928 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6298861E-4 | 2.2118821E-4 | 2.2518732E-4 | 1.0180801 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0019825802 | 0.0026896216 | 0.002693611 | 1.0014832 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.653754E-5 | 4.9472146E-5 | 5.147205E-5 | 1.0404248 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5658008E-4 | 2.120064E-4 | 2.1400598E-4 | 1.0094317 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0019046954 | 0.0025781186 | 0.0025801135 | 1.0007738 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.372024E-5 | 4.5460998E-5 | 4.7460908E-5 | 1.0439918 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4450731E-4 | 1.9481838E-4 | 1.9681799E-4 | 1.0102639 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0017579567 | 0.0023693508 | 0.0023713459 | 1.0008421 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 2.9650024E-5 | 3.9685503E-5 | 4.1685424E-5 | 1.0503942 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2706534E-4 | 1.7006951E-4 | 1.7206917E-4 | 1.0117579 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015459227 | 0.00206862 | 0.0020706158 | 1.0009649 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.860775E-5 | 3.8075115E-5 | 4.007504E-5 | 1.0525258 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2259888E-4 | 1.6316888E-4 | 1.6516855E-4 | 1.0122552 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0014916194 | 0.0019847772 | 0.001986773 | 1.0010056 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.6696067E-5 | 3.5300658E-5 | 3.730059E-5 | 1.0566542 | 2.0E-6 | 1.144067E-4 | 1.512798E-4 | 1.5327951E-4 | 1.0132185 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0013920115 | 0.001840284 | 0.0018422804 | 1.0010848 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.456087E-5 | 3.2210894E-5 | 3.421083E-5 | 1.0620888 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0525662E-4 | 1.3803942E-4 | 1.4003915E-4 | 1.0144867 | 2.0E-6 | 0.001280746 | 0.0016793434 | 0.00168134 | 1.001189 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.295761E-5 | 2.9994288E-5 | 3.1994226E-5 | 1.0666773 | 2.0E-6 | 9.8386045E-5 | 1.2854066E-4 | 1.3054041E-4 | 1.0155573 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011971919 | 0.0015638685 | 0.0015658654 | 1.0012769 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.1256936E-5 | 2.7683753E-5 | 2.9683697E-5 | 1.0722425 | 2.0E-6 | 9.109797E-5 | 1.1863931E-4 | 1.2063907E-4 | 1.0168558 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011085535 | 0.0014434855 | 0.0014454826 | 1.0013835 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 1.8784336E-5 | 2.4419613E-5 | 2.6419564E-5 | 1.0818994 | 2.0E-6 | 8.050181E-5 | 1.0465133E-4 | 1.0665112E-4 | 1.0191091 | 2.0E-6 | 9.796688E-4 | 0.0012733928 | 0.0012753903 | 1.0015686 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.7248298E-5 | 2.2367472E-5 | 2.4367428E-5 | 1.0894135 | 2.0E-6 | 7.391918E-5 | 9.585712E-5 | 9.785693E-5 | 1.0208623 | 2.0E-6 | 8.9959445E-4 | 0.0011664431 | 0.0011684408 | 1.0017126 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 1.0653709E-5 | 1.378055E-5 | 1.5780523E-5 | 1.14513 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5657955E-5 | 5.905818E-5 | 6.105806E-5 | 1.033863 | 2.0E-6 | 5.557438E-4 | 7.1879884E-4 | 7.207974E-4 | 1.0027804 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 3.286316E-6 | 4.115193E-6 | 6.1151845E-6 | 1.486002 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4084137E-5 | 1.7636423E-5 | 1.9636387E-5 | 1.1133997 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7146087E-4 | 2.1470244E-4 | 2.1670201E-4 | 1.0093132 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 5.1855085E-7 | 6.008372E-7 | 6.008372E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.222359E-6 | 2.5750142E-6 | 2.5750142E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7056883E-5 | 3.1350355E-5 | 3.1350355E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
West Napa 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.716238E-5 | 4.4240907E-5 | 5.024064E-5 | 1.1356151 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5925762E-4 | 1.8959193E-4 | 1.955908E-4 | 1.0316409 | 6.0E-6 | 0.001937237 | 0.0023061596 | 0.002314141 | 1.003461 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 3.716238E-5 | 4.4240907E-5 | 5.024064E-5 | 1.1356151 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5925762E-4 | 1.8959193E-4 | 1.955908E-4 | 1.0316409 | 6.0E-6 | 0.001937237 | 0.0023061596 | 0.002314141 | 1.003461 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 3.716238E-5 | 4.4240907E-5 | 5.024064E-5 | 1.1356151 | 6.0E-6 | 1.5925762E-4 | 1.8959193E-4 | 1.955908E-4 | 1.0316409 | 6.0E-6 | 0.001937237 | 0.0023061596 | 0.002314141 | 1.003461 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.5170217E-5 | 3.1170064E-5 | 1.238371 | 6.0E-6 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0786842E-4 | 1.13867776E-4 | 1.0556173 | 6.0E-6 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013125996 | 0.0013185918 | 1.0045651 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 2.147964E-5 | 2.5170217E-5 | 3.1170064E-5 | 1.238371 | 6.0E-6 | 9.2052345E-5 | 1.0786842E-4 | 1.13867776E-4 | 1.0556173 | 6.0E-6 | 0.001120161 | 0.0013125996 | 0.0013185918 | 1.0045651 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.688201E-5 | 1.968852E-5 | 2.368844E-5 | 1.20316 | 4.0E-6 | 7.234947E-5 | 8.437706E-5 | 8.837672E-5 | 1.0474023 | 4.0E-6 | 8.804988E-4 | 0.0010268802 | 0.0010308762 | 1.0038913 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.6846381E-5 | 1.964795E-5 | 2.3647872E-5 | 1.2035795 | 4.0E-6 | 7.219678E-5 | 8.42032E-5 | 8.820286E-5 | 1.0475001 | 4.0E-6 | 8.7864127E-4 | 0.0010247655 | 0.0010287614 | 1.0038993 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.3396501E-5 | 1.5582276E-5 | 1.7582246E-5 | 1.128349 | 2.0E-6 | 5.7412315E-5 | 6.677984E-5 | 6.877971E-5 | 1.0299472 | 2.0E-6 | 6.9877075E-4 | 8.128056E-4 | 8.14804E-4 | 1.0024586 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.0139058E-5 | 1.1763261E-5 | 1.3763238E-5 | 1.1700189 | 2.0E-6 | 4.3452383E-5 | 5.041332E-5 | 5.241322E-5 | 1.0396701 | 2.0E-6 | 5.289043E-4 | 6.136656E-4 | 6.1566435E-4 | 1.0032572 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 7.761281E-6 | 8.963504E-6 | 8.963504E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.326221E-5 | 3.8414746E-5 | 3.8414746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0489217E-4 | 4.6765126E-4 | 4.6765126E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.2109202E-6 | 2.3935481E-6 | 2.3935481E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.475338E-6 | 1.0258023E-5 | 1.0258023E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1535613E-4 | 1.2488436E-4 | 1.2488436E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.9008926E-6 | 2.03808E-6 | 2.03808E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.146657E-6 | 8.7346E-6 | 8.7346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.918104E-5 | 1.0633859E-4 | 1.0633859E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.8495944E-6 | 1.9805943E-6 | 1.9805943E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.926808E-6 | 8.488234E-6 | 8.488234E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.650462E-5 | 1.0333937E-4 | 1.0333937E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.7883189E-6 | 1.9121514E-6 | 1.9121514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.664201E-6 | 8.194909E-6 | 8.194909E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.330765E-5 | 9.976848E-5 | 9.976848E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.6520572E-6 | 1.7640574E-6 | 1.7640574E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0802257E-6 | 7.5602243E-6 | 7.5602243E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6198335E-5 | 9.204187E-5 | 9.204187E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.4040345E-6 | 1.498547E-6 | 1.498547E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0172765E-6 | 6.4223286E-6 | 6.4223286E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.325788E-5 | 7.818908E-5 | 7.818908E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.3013842E-7 | 1.3210709E-7 | 1.3210709E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.57736E-7 | 5.661731E-7 | 5.661731E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.790414E-6 | 6.893136E-6 | 6.893136E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 8.541512E-8 | 8.4264485E-8 | 8.4264485E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6606474E-7 | 3.6113346E-7 | 3.6113346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.456829E-6 | 4.3967907E-6 | 4.3967907E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 5.6074793E-8 | 5.4724218E-8 | 5.4724218E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.403205E-7 | 2.3453235E-7 | 2.3453235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9258983E-6 | 2.8554275E-6 | 2.8554275E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 2.9475839E-8 | 2.052225E-8 | 2.052225E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2632502E-7 | 8.795251E-8 | 8.795251E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.538006E-6 | 1.0708212E-6 | 1.0708212E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 1.3337122E-8 | 3.4965288E-9 | 3.4965288E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7159088E-8 | 1.4985128E-8 | 1.4985128E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.959117E-7 | 1.8244391E-7 | 1.8244391E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 2.6589986E-10 | 2.6975644E-11 | 2.6975644E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1395708E-9 | 1.1560952E-10 | 1.1560952E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3874274E-8 | 1.4075421E-9 | 1.4075421E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Butano 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 9.561135E-6 | 5.919806E-6 | 7.919794E-6 | 1.3378469 | 2.0E-6 | 4.097565E-5 | 2.5370362E-5 | 2.7370312E-5 | 1.0788301 | 2.0E-6 | 4.9876433E-4 | 3.088426E-4 | 3.1684013E-4 | 1.0258951 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 9.561135E-6 | 5.919806E-6 | 7.919794E-6 | 1.3378469 | 2.0E-6 | 4.097565E-5 | 2.5370362E-5 | 2.7370312E-5 | 1.0788301 | 2.0E-6 | 4.9876433E-4 | 3.088426E-4 | 3.1684013E-4 | 1.0258951 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 8.364741E-6 | 4.6702326E-6 | 6.6702232E-6 | 1.4282422 | 2.0E-6 | 3.5848396E-5 | 2.0015139E-5 | 2.2015098E-5 | 1.0999224 | 2.0E-6 | 4.3636683E-4 | 2.4365865E-4 | 2.516567E-4 | 1.0328249 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 8.364741E-6 | 4.6702326E-6 | 6.6702232E-6 | 1.4282422 | 2.0E-6 | 3.5848396E-5 | 2.0015139E-5 | 2.2015098E-5 | 1.0999224 | 2.0E-6 | 4.3636683E-4 | 2.4365865E-4 | 2.516567E-4 | 1.0328249 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 7.768282E-6 | 4.046833E-6 | 6.046825E-6 | 1.4942116 | 2.0E-6 | 3.329221E-5 | 1.7343462E-5 | 1.9343428E-5 | 1.1153152 | 2.0E-6 | 4.0525728E-4 | 2.1113758E-4 | 2.1913588E-4 | 1.037882 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 7.673437E-6 | 3.946278E-6 | 5.9462704E-6 | 1.5068047 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2885746E-5 | 1.6912518E-5 | 1.8912484E-5 | 1.1182536 | 2.0E-6 | 4.0031038E-4 | 2.0589182E-4 | 2.1389018E-4 | 1.0388473 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 7.5244197E-6 | 3.7907573E-6 | 5.7907496E-6 | 1.5275971 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2247113E-5 | 1.624601E-5 | 1.8245977E-5 | 1.1231052 | 2.0E-6 | 3.9253788E-4 | 1.9777856E-4 | 2.0577697E-4 | 1.0404413 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 6.4921405E-6 | 2.7271133E-6 | 4.727108E-6 | 1.7333742 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7823162E-5 | 1.1687576E-5 | 1.3687553E-5 | 1.1711199 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3869434E-4 | 1.4228704E-4 | 1.5028591E-4 | 1.0562164 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 6.2890294E-6 | 2.5134736E-6 | 4.513469E-6 | 1.7957095 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6952705E-5 | 1.0771986E-5 | 1.2771965E-5 | 1.1856648 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2809976E-4 | 1.3114112E-4 | 1.3914007E-4 | 1.060995 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 6.0965517E-6 | 2.3191228E-6 | 4.319118E-6 | 1.862393 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6127816E-5 | 9.93906E-6 | 1.193904E-5 | 1.2012243 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1805973E-4 | 1.2100141E-4 | 1.2900044E-4 | 1.0661069 | 8.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 5.566252E-6 | 1.8322763E-6 | 3.832273E-6 | 2.0915365 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3855147E-5 | 7.852589E-6 | 9.852573E-6 | 1.254691 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9039773E-4 | 9.560112E-5 | 1.0160055E-4 | 1.0627548 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.878588E-6 | 1.226419E-6 | 3.2264165E-6 | 2.6307619 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6622414E-5 | 5.256071E-6 | 7.2560606E-6 | 1.3805103 | 2.0E-6 | 2.023591E-4 | 6.399079E-5 | 6.9990405E-5 | 1.0937575 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 3.7038085E-6 | 1.1032932E-6 | 3.103291E-6 | 2.8127527 | 2.0E-6 | 1.587337E-5 | 4.728391E-6 | 6.728382E-6 | 1.4229748 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9324113E-4 | 5.756664E-5 | 6.3566295E-5 | 1.104221 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.5277278E-6 | 1.0074166E-6 | 3.0074145E-6 | 2.9852738 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5118746E-5 | 4.3174928E-6 | 6.317484E-6 | 1.4632298 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8405518E-4 | 5.2564206E-5 | 5.856389E-5 | 1.1141402 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 3.3711294E-6 | 9.3981373E-7 | 2.9398118E-6 | 3.1280792 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4447617E-5 | 4.027767E-6 | 6.027759E-6 | 1.496551 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7588554E-4 | 4.903696E-5 | 5.5036668E-5 | 1.1223507 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 3.0496426E-6 | 8.163755E-7 | 2.8163738E-6 | 3.449851 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3069831E-5 | 3.4987477E-6 | 5.498741E-6 | 1.5716311 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5911358E-4 | 4.259642E-5 | 4.659625E-5 | 1.0939006 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 2.2179781E-6 | 4.5079565E-7 | 2.4507947E-6 | 5.436598 | 2.0E-6 | 9.505586E-6 | 1.93198E-6 | 3.931976E-6 | 2.0352054 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1572436E-4 | 2.3521601E-5 | 2.7521508E-5 | 1.1700524 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 1.7519328E-6 | 2.3398123E-7 | 2.2339807E-6 | 9.547692 | 2.0E-6 | 7.508262E-6 | 1.0027763E-6 | 3.0027743E-6 | 2.9944608 | 2.0E-6 | 9.140925E-5 | 1.2208733E-5 | 1.6208684E-5 | 1.3276303 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.1478974E-6 | 1.4161529E-7 | 2.141615E-6 | 15.122767 | 2.0E-6 | 4.9195505E-6 | 6.069225E-7 | 2.6069213E-6 | 4.2953115 | 2.0E-6 | 5.9893882E-5 | 7.3892566E-6 | 1.1389227E-5 | 1.5413225 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 6.1154634E-7 | 6.297414E-8 | 2.062974E-6 | 32.759068 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6209104E-6 | 2.6988917E-7 | 2.2698887E-6 | 8.410447 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1909116E-5 | 3.285896E-6 | 7.285883E-6 | 2.21732 | 4.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 4.6520046E-7 | 2.8869142E-8 | 2.0288692E-6 | 70.27812 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9937147E-6 | 1.2372493E-7 | 2.1237247E-6 | 17.164888 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4273206E-5 | 1.5063501E-6 | 5.506344E-6 | 3.6554213 | 4.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 2.8425194E-7 | 1.7199273E-8 | 2.0171992E-6 | 117.28398 | 2.0E-6 | 1.218222E-6 | 7.371121E-8 | 2.0737111E-6 | 28.132914 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4831752E-5 | 8.974336E-7 | 4.8974302E-6 | 5.45715 | 4.0E-6 |
| 8.2 | 5.585778E-8 | 1.296337E-9 | 1.296337E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3939046E-7 | 5.55573E-9 | 5.55573E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.914575E-6 | 6.7641004E-8 | 6.7641004E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.3 | 1.0371215E-10 | 3.0255798E-12 | 3.0255798E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4448079E-10 | 1.2966961E-11 | 1.2966961E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4115543E-9 | 1.5787205E-10 | 1.5787205E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Franklin 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.845602E-5 | 2.0335216E-5 | 2.4335135E-5 | 1.1966991 | 4.0E-6 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.7148175E-5 | 9.314765E-5 | 1.0688423 | 6.0E-6 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.0010605418 | 0.0010685334 | 1.0075353 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.845602E-5 | 2.0335216E-5 | 2.4335135E-5 | 1.1966991 | 4.0E-6 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.7148175E-5 | 9.314765E-5 | 1.0688423 | 6.0E-6 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.0010605418 | 0.0010685334 | 1.0075353 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.845602E-5 | 2.0335216E-5 | 2.4335135E-5 | 1.1966991 | 4.0E-6 | 7.9094825E-5 | 8.7148175E-5 | 9.314765E-5 | 1.0688423 | 6.0E-6 | 9.6255407E-4 | 0.0010605418 | 0.0010685334 | 1.0075353 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.3813506E-5 | 1.5254526E-5 | 1.7254495E-5 | 1.1311066 | 2.0E-6 | 5.9199396E-5 | 6.5374945E-5 | 6.9374684E-5 | 1.0611815 | 4.0E-6 | 7.205143E-4 | 7.956571E-4 | 8.016523E-4 | 1.007535 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.3813506E-5 | 1.5254526E-5 | 1.7254495E-5 | 1.1311066 | 2.0E-6 | 5.9199396E-5 | 6.5374945E-5 | 6.9374684E-5 | 1.0611815 | 4.0E-6 | 7.205143E-4 | 7.956571E-4 | 8.016523E-4 | 1.007535 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.1308949E-5 | 1.2504642E-5 | 1.4504617E-5 | 1.1599386 | 2.0E-6 | 4.8466023E-5 | 5.3590233E-5 | 5.759002E-5 | 1.0746365 | 4.0E-6 | 5.899141E-4 | 6.522679E-4 | 6.58264E-4 | 1.0091927 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.0813164E-5 | 1.19603565E-5 | 1.3960333E-5 | 1.1672171 | 2.0E-6 | 4.6341313E-5 | 5.1257673E-5 | 5.5257467E-5 | 1.0780331 | 4.0E-6 | 5.640594E-4 | 6.238854E-4 | 6.298817E-4 | 1.0096111 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.0706348E-5 | 1.1841567E-5 | 1.38415435E-5 | 1.1688945 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5883542E-5 | 5.0748597E-5 | 5.4748394E-5 | 1.0788159 | 4.0E-6 | 5.5848894E-4 | 6.1769097E-4 | 6.236872E-4 | 1.0097076 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 9.443655E-6 | 1.042624E-5 | 1.2426219E-5 | 1.1918217 | 2.0E-6 | 4.0472176E-5 | 4.468313E-5 | 4.868295E-5 | 1.0895152 | 4.0E-6 | 4.9263734E-4 | 5.4388266E-4 | 5.498794E-4 | 1.0110258 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 8.7001645E-6 | 9.595616E-6 | 1.1595596E-5 | 1.2084265 | 2.0E-6 | 3.728589E-5 | 4.1123425E-5 | 4.512326E-5 | 1.0972642 | 4.0E-6 | 4.538611E-4 | 5.0056394E-4 | 5.0656096E-4 | 1.0119805 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 8.074731E-6 | 8.885671E-6 | 1.0885654E-5 | 1.2250795 | 2.0E-6 | 3.460553E-5 | 3.80809E-5 | 4.2080745E-5 | 1.1050355 | 4.0E-6 | 4.212409E-4 | 4.6353744E-4 | 4.6953463E-4 | 1.0129379 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 7.3370957E-6 | 8.022809E-6 | 1.0022793E-5 | 1.2492872 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1444317E-5 | 3.4383018E-5 | 3.838288E-5 | 1.1163325 | 4.0E-6 | 3.8276732E-4 | 4.185339E-4 | 4.2453138E-4 | 1.0143298 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 5.1750103E-6 | 5.4990646E-6 | 7.4990535E-6 | 1.3636962 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2178427E-5 | 2.3567209E-5 | 2.7567114E-5 | 1.1697234 | 4.0E-6 | 2.699889E-4 | 2.868933E-4 | 2.9289158E-4 | 1.0209076 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.5221371E-6 | 3.80539E-6 | 3.80539E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5094786E-5 | 1.6308713E-5 | 1.830868E-5 | 1.1226318 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8376352E-4 | 1.985406E-4 | 2.025398E-4 | 1.020143 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.5749775E-6 | 2.8011339E-6 | 2.8011339E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1035571E-5 | 1.2004804E-5 | 1.40047805E-5 | 1.166598 | 2.0E-6 | 1.343498E-4 | 1.4614877E-4 | 1.5014819E-4 | 1.0273653 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.3642131E-6 | 1.4974601E-6 | 1.4974601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8466144E-6 | 6.41767E-6 | 8.417657E-6 | 1.3116375 | 2.0E-6 | 7.1180206E-5 | 7.8132354E-5 | 8.213204E-5 | 1.0511912 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 5.329124E-7 | 5.9851203E-7 | 5.9851203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2839083E-6 | 2.565049E-6 | 4.565044E-6 | 1.7797102 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7806227E-5 | 3.122903E-5 | 3.5228906E-5 | 1.1280819 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 4.199127E-7 | 4.7419834E-7 | 4.7419834E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7996247E-6 | 2.032277E-6 | 4.032273E-6 | 1.9841158 | 2.0E-6 | 2.191021E-5 | 2.4742696E-5 | 2.8742596E-5 | 1.1616598 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 2.2586491E-7 | 1.9814782E-7 | 1.9814782E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.67992E-7 | 8.492047E-7 | 2.849203E-6 | 3.3551428 | 2.0E-6 | 1.178524E-5 | 1.0339018E-5 | 1.2338997E-5 | 1.19344 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 1.4568845E-7 | 8.93924E-8 | 8.93924E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.243789E-7 | 3.8311023E-7 | 2.3831094E-6 | 6.2204275 | 2.0E-6 | 7.601787E-6 | 4.664357E-6 | 6.664348E-6 | 1.4287816 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 5.2868224E-8 | 8.810019E-9 | 8.810019E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2657808E-7 | 3.7757236E-8 | 3.7757236E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7585847E-6 | 4.5969423E-7 | 4.5969423E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 2.654434E-9 | 3.364956E-10 | 3.364956E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1376145E-8 | 1.4421248E-9 | 1.4421248E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3850456E-7 | 1.7557864E-8 | 1.7557864E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.9631027E-6 | 5.9630947E-6 | 1.5046531 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.6984623E-5 | 2.2984521E-5 | 1.3532547 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002521386 | 2.067694E-4 | 2.1476776E-4 | 1.0386825 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.9631027E-6 | 5.9630947E-6 | 1.5046531 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.6984623E-5 | 2.2984521E-5 | 1.3532547 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002521386 | 2.067694E-4 | 2.1476776E-4 | 1.0386825 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 4.83821E-5 | 3.9631027E-6 | 5.9630947E-6 | 1.5046531 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0733538E-4 | 1.6984623E-5 | 2.2984521E-5 | 1.3532547 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002521386 | 2.067694E-4 | 2.1476776E-4 | 1.0386825 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.3395477E-6 | 5.339541E-6 | 1.5988815 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.43122725E-5 | 2.0312187E-5 | 1.4192146 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002060538 | 1.7423878E-4 | 1.8223739E-4 | 1.045906 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 3.953008E-5 | 3.3395477E-6 | 5.339541E-6 | 1.5988815 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6940363E-4 | 1.43122725E-5 | 2.0312187E-5 | 1.4192146 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002060538 | 1.7423878E-4 | 1.8223739E-4 | 1.045906 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 3.457342E-5 | 3.091833E-6 | 5.091827E-6 | 1.6468635 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4816338E-4 | 1.3250649E-5 | 1.925057E-5 | 1.452802 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0018023965 | 1.6131545E-4 | 1.6731447E-4 | 1.0371882 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.1127765E-5 | 2.9579996E-6 | 4.957994E-6 | 1.6761307 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3339789E-4 | 1.2677084E-5 | 1.8677008E-5 | 1.473289 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0016229092 | 1.5433328E-4 | 1.6033235E-4 | 1.0388709 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.806885E-5 | 2.8720135E-6 | 4.872008E-6 | 1.6963736 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2028952E-4 | 1.2308576E-5 | 1.8308501E-5 | 1.4874591 | 6.0E-6 | 0.001463541 | 1.4984731E-4 | 1.5584641E-4 | 1.0400348 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 2.524524E-5 | 2.2889562E-6 | 4.2889515E-6 | 1.8737588 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0818939E-4 | 9.809777E-6 | 1.5809717E-5 | 1.6116287 | 6.0E-6 | 0.0013164099 | 1.194278E-4 | 1.2542709E-4 | 1.0502336 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.2704568E-5 | 1.6484043E-6 | 1.6484043E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.730166E-5 | 7.064571E-6 | 1.1064543E-5 | 1.5662017 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0011840039 | 8.600778E-5 | 9.000744E-5 | 1.0465034 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.0871712E-5 | 1.5775989E-6 | 1.5775989E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.944713E-5 | 6.7611213E-6 | 1.0761094E-5 | 1.5916139 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0010884746 | 8.2313556E-5 | 8.631323E-5 | 1.0485907 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.944928E-5 | 1.4192068E-6 | 1.4192068E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.335139E-5 | 6.0823004E-6 | 1.0082276E-5 | 1.6576419 | 4.0E-6 | 0.0010143308 | 7.40495E-5 | 7.8049205E-5 | 1.054014 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.7876306E-5 | 1.2779105E-6 | 1.2779105E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6610486E-5 | 5.476748E-6 | 7.4767368E-6 | 1.3651782 | 2.0E-6 | 9.3233347E-4 | 6.667737E-5 | 6.867724E-5 | 1.0299932 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 1.2618672E-5 | 1.1385791E-6 | 1.1385791E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.40789E-5 | 4.879616E-6 | 4.879616E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.582117E-4 | 5.9407714E-5 | 5.9407714E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 7.4874442E-6 | 8.7742586E-7 | 8.7742586E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.208865E-5 | 3.760391E-6 | 3.760391E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.906093E-4 | 4.5781806E-5 | 4.5781806E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 2.4734156E-6 | 6.217051E-7 | 6.217051E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.060031E-5 | 2.664448E-6 | 2.664448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2905113E-4 | 3.2439173E-5 | 3.2439173E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.1328841E-6 | 3.2700484E-7 | 3.2700484E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8552088E-6 | 1.4014486E-6 | 1.4014486E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9110564E-5 | 1.7062504E-5 | 1.7062504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 4.8613185E-7 | 9.256564E-8 | 9.256564E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0834207E-6 | 3.9670985E-7 | 3.9670985E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.536535E-5 | 4.8299325E-6 | 4.8299325E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Scodie Lineament
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.2635813E-6 | 1.9477322E-6 | 5.9477243E-6 | 3.0536664 | 4.0E-6 | 9.701026E-6 | 8.347401E-6 | 1.4347351E-5 | 1.7187806 | 6.0E-6 | 1.1810359E-4 | 1.01625556E-4 | 1.0962474E-4 | 1.0787123 | 8.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5439839E-6 | 3.5439807E-6 | 2.2953484 | 2.0E-6 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6170596E-6 | 1.0617033E-5 | 1.6044941 | 4.0E-6 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.056022E-5 | 8.455989E-5 | 1.0496483 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5439839E-6 | 3.5439807E-6 | 2.2953484 | 2.0E-6 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6170596E-6 | 1.0617033E-5 | 1.6044941 | 4.0E-6 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.056022E-5 | 8.455989E-5 | 1.0496483 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5439839E-6 | 3.5439807E-6 | 2.2953484 | 2.0E-6 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6170596E-6 | 1.0617033E-5 | 1.6044941 | 4.0E-6 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.056022E-5 | 8.455989E-5 | 1.0496483 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.8663811E-6 | 1.5439839E-6 | 3.5439807E-6 | 2.2953484 | 2.0E-6 | 7.998751E-6 | 6.6170596E-6 | 1.0617033E-5 | 1.6044941 | 4.0E-6 | 9.738045E-5 | 8.056022E-5 | 8.455989E-5 | 1.0496483 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.8106311E-6 | 1.4861974E-6 | 1.4861974E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.759824E-6 | 6.369405E-6 | 8.369392E-6 | 1.313999 | 2.0E-6 | 9.447177E-5 | 7.7545235E-5 | 7.9545076E-5 | 1.0257894 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.2414679E-6 | 8.9938385E-7 | 8.9938385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.320566E-6 | 3.8544968E-6 | 3.8544968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.477596E-5 | 4.6927576E-5 | 4.6927576E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 1.1062215E-6 | 7.597464E-7 | 7.597464E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7409408E-6 | 3.2560524E-6 | 3.2560524E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7719422E-5 | 3.964179E-5 | 3.964179E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 1.0006736E-6 | 6.50705E-7 | 6.50705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.288594E-6 | 2.788733E-6 | 2.788733E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.221238E-5 | 3.3952358E-5 | 3.3952358E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 9.167364E-7 | 5.6398727E-7 | 5.6398727E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9288643E-6 | 2.4170863E-6 | 2.4170863E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7832873E-5 | 2.9427687E-5 | 2.9427687E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 7.6987664E-7 | 4.1241717E-7 | 4.1241717E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2994672E-6 | 1.7675012E-6 | 1.7675012E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0170275E-5 | 2.1519154E-5 | 2.1519154E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 7.1038727E-7 | 3.5326016E-7 | 3.5326016E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0445133E-6 | 1.5139715E-6 | 1.5139715E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.706632E-5 | 1.8432482E-5 | 1.8432482E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.0799602E-7 | 3.1503404E-8 | 3.1503404E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.914113E-7 | 1.3501459E-7 | 1.3501459E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0852878E-5 | 1.6438014E-6 | 1.6438014E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.5048182E-7 | 1.6160739E-8 | 1.6160739E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.449219E-7 | 6.92603E-8 | 6.92603E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.851896E-6 | 8.432439E-7 | 8.432439E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 5.9334678E-8 | 4.9485886E-9 | 4.9485886E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5429145E-7 | 2.1208237E-8 | 2.1208237E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.095994E-6 | 2.5821026E-7 | 2.5821026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 05 Pittsburg - Kirby Hills alt1
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.4179298E-5 | 6.0178972E-5 | 1.1107374 | 6.0E-6 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.3218183E-4 | 2.3818044E-4 | 1.0258359 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002182488 | 0.002824118 | 0.002830101 | 1.0021186 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 4.187212E-5 | 5.4179298E-5 | 6.0178972E-5 | 1.1107374 | 6.0E-6 | 1.794396E-4 | 2.3218183E-4 | 2.3818044E-4 | 1.0258359 | 6.0E-6 | 0.002182488 | 0.002824118 | 0.002830101 | 1.0021186 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2460206E-5 | 2.8460072E-5 | 1.2671331 | 6.0E-6 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.625686E-5 | 1.0225628E-4 | 1.0623273 | 6.0E-6 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011716848 | 0.0011776778 | 1.0051148 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.7353306E-5 | 2.2460206E-5 | 2.8460072E-5 | 1.2671331 | 6.0E-6 | 7.436919E-5 | 9.625686E-5 | 1.0225628E-4 | 1.0623273 | 6.0E-6 | 9.050688E-4 | 0.0011716848 | 0.0011776778 | 1.0051148 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.4028824E-5 | 1.8147399E-5 | 2.414729E-5 | 1.3306199 | 6.0E-6 | 6.0122147E-5 | 7.7774566E-5 | 8.37741E-5 | 1.0771401 | 6.0E-6 | 7.3174125E-4 | 9.4687747E-4 | 9.5287175E-4 | 1.0063306 | 6.0E-6 |
Great Valley 04a Trout Creek
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4088538E-5 | 1.5811172E-5 | 1.9811108E-5 | 1.2529817 | 4.0E-6 | 6.037805E-5 | 6.776048E-5 | 7.176021E-5 | 1.0590274 | 4.0E-6 | 7.3485484E-4 | 8.246842E-4 | 8.3067926E-4 | 1.0072695 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.4088538E-5 | 1.5811172E-5 | 1.9811108E-5 | 1.2529817 | 4.0E-6 | 6.037805E-5 | 6.776048E-5 | 7.176021E-5 | 1.0590274 | 4.0E-6 | 7.3485484E-4 | 8.246842E-4 | 8.3067926E-4 | 1.0072695 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.4088538E-5 | 1.5811172E-5 | 1.9811108E-5 | 1.2529817 | 4.0E-6 | 6.037805E-5 | 6.776048E-5 | 7.176021E-5 | 1.0590274 | 4.0E-6 | 7.3485484E-4 | 8.246842E-4 | 8.3067926E-4 | 1.0072695 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.2882862E-5 | 1.44626E-5 | 1.8462542E-5 | 1.2765714 | 4.0E-6 | 5.5211098E-5 | 6.198116E-5 | 6.598091E-5 | 1.0645317 | 4.0E-6 | 6.7198783E-4 | 7.5436983E-4 | 7.6036534E-4 | 1.0079477 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.2882862E-5 | 1.44626E-5 | 1.8462542E-5 | 1.2765714 | 4.0E-6 | 5.5211098E-5 | 6.198116E-5 | 6.598091E-5 | 1.0645317 | 4.0E-6 | 6.7198783E-4 | 7.5436983E-4 | 7.6036534E-4 | 1.0079477 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.2762329E-5 | 1.4328433E-5 | 1.8328376E-5 | 1.2791612 | 4.0E-6 | 5.469455E-5 | 6.140619E-5 | 6.540594E-5 | 1.0651361 | 4.0E-6 | 6.657027E-4 | 7.473744E-4 | 7.533699E-4 | 1.0080221 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.2762329E-5 | 1.4328433E-5 | 1.8328376E-5 | 1.2791612 | 4.0E-6 | 5.469455E-5 | 6.140619E-5 | 6.540594E-5 | 1.0651361 | 4.0E-6 | 6.657027E-4 | 7.473744E-4 | 7.533699E-4 | 1.0080221 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.2557959E-5 | 1.4101472E-5 | 1.8101415E-5 | 1.2836543 | 4.0E-6 | 5.3818712E-5 | 6.043354E-5 | 6.44333E-5 | 1.0661844 | 4.0E-6 | 6.5504585E-4 | 7.355404E-4 | 7.41536E-4 | 1.0081513 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.1871544E-5 | 1.3336738E-5 | 1.7336684E-5 | 1.2999194 | 4.0E-6 | 5.0877054E-5 | 5.7156252E-5 | 6.1156024E-5 | 1.0699795 | 4.0E-6 | 6.1925204E-4 | 6.9566537E-4 | 6.996626E-4 | 1.0057459 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.0500373E-5 | 1.1800349E-5 | 1.5800302E-5 | 1.338969 | 4.0E-6 | 4.5000823E-5 | 5.0571995E-5 | 5.4571792E-5 | 1.0790912 | 4.0E-6 | 5.4774724E-4 | 6.155488E-4 | 6.1954634E-4 | 1.0064943 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 8.524332E-6 | 9.590078E-6 | 1.3590039E-5 | 1.4170938 | 4.0E-6 | 3.653234E-5 | 4.1099727E-5 | 4.509956E-5 | 1.0973202 | 4.0E-6 | 4.4469046E-4 | 5.002817E-4 | 5.042797E-4 | 1.0079916 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 6.006849E-6 | 6.7508495E-6 | 8.750836E-6 | 1.296257 | 2.0E-6 | 2.5743384E-5 | 2.8931921E-5 | 3.0931864E-5 | 1.0691258 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1338062E-4 | 3.5219485E-4 | 3.5419417E-4 | 1.0056766 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.9122193E-6 | 3.264872E-6 | 5.2648656E-6 | 1.6125795 | 2.0E-6 | 1.248088E-5 | 1.3992243E-5 | 1.5992215E-5 | 1.1429343 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5194413E-4 | 1.7034402E-4 | 1.7234367E-4 | 1.0117389 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 7.2194007E-7 | 8.0279216E-7 | 8.0279216E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0940253E-6 | 3.440536E-6 | 3.440536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.7669106E-5 | 4.1888186E-5 | 4.1888186E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 3.112171E-8 | 3.200023E-8 | 3.200023E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3337875E-7 | 1.3714384E-7 | 1.3714384E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6238852E-6 | 1.669725E-6 | 1.669725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Goose Lake 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.7323938E-6 | 2.2259078E-6 | 4.2259035E-6 | 1.8985078 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1710206E-5 | 9.539572E-6 | 1.1539552E-5 | 1.209651 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4256244E-4 | 1.16138275E-4 | 1.2213757E-4 | 1.0516566 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.2035124E-6 | 2.2259078E-6 | 4.2259035E-6 | 1.8985078 | 2.0E-6 | 9.443591E-6 | 9.539572E-6 | 1.1539552E-5 | 1.209651 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1496965E-4 | 1.16138275E-4 | 1.2213757E-4 | 1.0516566 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.5624689E-6 | 1.5804815E-6 | 1.5804815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6962784E-6 | 6.7734745E-6 | 6.7734745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152414E-5 | 8.246398E-5 | 8.446381E-5 | 1.024251 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.5624689E-6 | 1.5804815E-6 | 1.5804815E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.6962784E-6 | 6.7734745E-6 | 6.7734745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.152414E-5 | 8.246398E-5 | 8.446381E-5 | 1.024251 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.256464E-6 | 1.2722662E-6 | 1.2722662E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3848344E-6 | 5.4525585E-6 | 5.4525585E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5558386E-5 | 6.63829E-5 | 6.63829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.5 | 1.0910911E-6 | 1.1056421E-6 | 1.1056421E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6760965E-6 | 4.738458E-6 | 4.738458E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.692999E-5 | 5.768921E-5 | 5.768921E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 9.546601E-7 | 9.680236E-7 | 9.680236E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.091394E-6 | 4.1486664E-6 | 4.1486664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9811584E-5 | 5.050885E-5 | 5.050885E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 7.790316E-7 | 7.9071276E-7 | 7.9071276E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3387028E-6 | 3.3887648E-6 | 3.3887648E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0647945E-5 | 4.1257434E-5 | 4.1257434E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 6.3714384E-7 | 6.471787E-7 | 6.471787E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7306137E-6 | 2.77362E-6 | 2.77362E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3244716E-5 | 3.3768305E-5 | 3.3768305E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 4.92586E-7 | 5.008636E-7 | 5.008636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1110811E-6 | 2.1465567E-6 | 2.1465567E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5702111E-5 | 2.6134017E-5 | 2.6134017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 3.130245E-7 | 3.1872605E-7 | 3.1872605E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3415328E-6 | 1.365968E-6 | 1.365968E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6333039E-5 | 1.6630536E-5 | 1.6630536E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.7680084E-7 | 1.8004512E-7 | 1.8004512E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5771766E-7 | 7.716217E-7 | 7.716217E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.225173E-6 | 9.394455E-6 | 9.394455E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 4.8641045E-8 | 4.9329003E-8 | 4.9329003E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.084616E-7 | 2.1141E-7 | 2.1141E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.538017E-6 | 2.573914E-6 | 2.573914E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 5.3911844E-9 | 5.4643507E-9 | 5.4643507E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3105075E-8 | 2.3418647E-8 | 2.3418647E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8130427E-7 | 2.85122E-7 | 2.85122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
South Klamath Lake West
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.311178E-5 | 2.311178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.9047094E-5 | 1.010469E-4 | 1.0201904 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012052975 | 0.0012112902 | 1.004972 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.174025E-5 | 2.311178E-5 | 2.311178E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3169176E-5 | 9.9047094E-5 | 1.010469E-4 | 1.0201904 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011337444 | 0.0012052975 | 0.0012112902 | 1.004972 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.0423689E-5 | 1.0423689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.467224E-5 | 4.467224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.4375787E-4 | 5.4375787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.3 | 9.834929E-6 | 1.0423689E-5 | 1.0423689E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2149015E-5 | 4.467224E-5 | 4.467224E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1304343E-4 | 5.4375787E-4 | 5.4375787E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.4 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.4182373E-6 | 6.4182373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7506458E-5 | 2.7506458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.348424E-4 | 3.348424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.5 | 6.066321E-6 | 6.4182373E-6 | 6.4182373E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5998259E-5 | 2.7506458E-5 | 2.7506458E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1648282E-4 | 3.348424E-4 | 3.348424E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 4.2321803E-6 | 4.47349E-6 | 4.47349E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8137789E-5 | 1.9171965E-5 | 1.9171965E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.208052E-4 | 2.333947E-4 | 2.333947E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 3.186646E-6 | 3.3695546E-6 | 3.3695546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3656982E-5 | 1.4440872E-5 | 1.4440872E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6626107E-4 | 1.7580412E-4 | 1.7580412E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 2.380121E-6 | 2.517876E-6 | 2.517876E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0200479E-5 | 1.0790855E-5 | 1.0790855E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2418375E-4 | 1.3137121E-4 | 1.3137121E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 8.928287E-7 | 9.457031E-7 | 9.457031E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.826403E-6 | 4.053008E-6 | 4.053008E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.658546E-5 | 4.934448E-5 | 4.934448E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mount Diablo Thrust North CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.479628E-5 | 1.8944367E-5 | 2.0944328E-5 | 1.1055703 | 2.0E-6 | 6.341109E-5 | 8.118767E-5 | 8.518735E-5 | 1.0492646 | 4.0E-6 | 7.717565E-4 | 9.880215E-4 | 9.940156E-4 | 1.0060668 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.479628E-5 | 1.8944367E-5 | 2.0944328E-5 | 1.1055703 | 2.0E-6 | 6.341109E-5 | 8.118767E-5 | 8.518735E-5 | 1.0492646 | 4.0E-6 | 7.717565E-4 | 9.880215E-4 | 9.940156E-4 | 1.0060668 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.479628E-5 | 1.8944367E-5 | 2.0944328E-5 | 1.1055703 | 2.0E-6 | 6.341109E-5 | 8.118767E-5 | 8.518735E-5 | 1.0492646 | 4.0E-6 | 7.717565E-4 | 9.880215E-4 | 9.940156E-4 | 1.0060668 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.479628E-5 | 1.8944367E-5 | 2.0944328E-5 | 1.1055703 | 2.0E-6 | 6.341109E-5 | 8.118767E-5 | 8.518735E-5 | 1.0492646 | 4.0E-6 | 7.717565E-4 | 9.880215E-4 | 9.940156E-4 | 1.0060668 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.479628E-5 | 1.8944367E-5 | 2.0944328E-5 | 1.1055703 | 2.0E-6 | 6.341109E-5 | 8.118767E-5 | 8.518735E-5 | 1.0492646 | 4.0E-6 | 7.717565E-4 | 9.880215E-4 | 9.940156E-4 | 1.0060668 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.479628E-5 | 1.8944367E-5 | 2.0944328E-5 | 1.1055703 | 2.0E-6 | 6.341109E-5 | 8.118767E-5 | 8.518735E-5 | 1.0492646 | 4.0E-6 | 7.717565E-4 | 9.880215E-4 | 9.940156E-4 | 1.0060668 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.479016E-5 | 1.8937433E-5 | 2.0937396E-5 | 1.1056089 | 2.0E-6 | 6.338486E-5 | 8.115796E-5 | 8.515764E-5 | 1.0492826 | 4.0E-6 | 7.714374E-4 | 9.876601E-4 | 9.936541E-4 | 1.006069 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.479016E-5 | 1.8937433E-5 | 2.0937396E-5 | 1.1056089 | 2.0E-6 | 6.338486E-5 | 8.115796E-5 | 8.515764E-5 | 1.0492826 | 4.0E-6 | 7.714374E-4 | 9.876601E-4 | 9.936541E-4 | 1.006069 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.4771667E-5 | 1.8916107E-5 | 2.091607E-5 | 1.105728 | 2.0E-6 | 6.330561E-5 | 8.1066566E-5 | 8.506624E-5 | 1.0493382 | 4.0E-6 | 7.704732E-4 | 9.865484E-4 | 9.925425E-4 | 1.0060759 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.2548234E-5 | 1.5942616E-5 | 1.7942584E-5 | 1.1254479 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3777036E-5 | 6.832373E-5 | 7.2323455E-5 | 1.0585408 | 4.0E-6 | 6.545387E-4 | 8.315276E-4 | 8.375226E-4 | 1.0072097 | 6.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.01754185E-5 | 1.2907922E-5 | 1.2907922E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.360821E-5 | 5.5318502E-5 | 5.731839E-5 | 1.0361522 | 2.0E-6 | 5.308006E-4 | 6.7329634E-4 | 6.7529496E-4 | 1.0029684 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 8.398341E-6 | 1.0626542E-5 | 1.0626542E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5992394E-5 | 4.5541532E-5 | 4.754144E-5 | 1.043914 | 2.0E-6 | 4.3811928E-4 | 5.543282E-4 | 5.563271E-4 | 1.003606 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 6.024759E-6 | 7.6981505E-6 | 7.6981505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.582014E-5 | 3.299166E-5 | 3.4991594E-5 | 1.0606194 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1431485E-4 | 4.0160015E-4 | 4.0359935E-4 | 1.0049781 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 3.2099704E-6 | 4.160436E-6 | 4.160436E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3756943E-5 | 1.783032E-5 | 1.783032E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.674779E-4 | 2.170627E-4 | 2.170627E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.2041513E-6 | 2.8894865E-6 | 2.8894865E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4463285E-6 | 1.2383455E-5 | 1.2383455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1500298E-4 | 1.5075822E-4 | 1.5075822E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.8869501E-6 | 2.4832066E-6 | 2.4832066E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.086904E-6 | 1.064227E-5 | 1.064227E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.845361E-5 | 1.2956202E-4 | 1.2956202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.3012458E-6 | 1.7083582E-6 | 1.7083582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.576756E-6 | 7.321515E-6 | 7.321515E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.7894885E-5 | 8.913585E-5 | 8.913585E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 3.603383E-7 | 4.7463814E-7 | 4.7463814E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5443061E-6 | 2.034162E-6 | 2.034162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8801764E-5 | 2.4765646E-5 | 2.4765646E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Hartley Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.4523855E-5 | 1.6523825E-5 | 1.1377025 | 2.0E-6 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.2244544E-5 | 6.424442E-5 | 1.0321293 | 2.0E-6 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.5773E-4 | 7.6372543E-4 | 1.0079124 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.4523855E-5 | 1.6523825E-5 | 1.1377025 | 2.0E-6 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.2244544E-5 | 6.424442E-5 | 1.0321293 | 2.0E-6 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.5773E-4 | 7.6372543E-4 | 1.0079124 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.4523855E-5 | 1.6523825E-5 | 1.1377025 | 2.0E-6 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.2244544E-5 | 6.424442E-5 | 1.0321293 | 2.0E-6 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.5773E-4 | 7.6372543E-4 | 1.0079124 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.4523855E-5 | 1.6523825E-5 | 1.1377025 | 2.0E-6 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.2244544E-5 | 6.424442E-5 | 1.0321293 | 2.0E-6 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.5773E-4 | 7.6372543E-4 | 1.0079124 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.4352418E-5 | 1.4523855E-5 | 1.6523825E-5 | 1.1377025 | 2.0E-6 | 6.1508916E-5 | 6.2244544E-5 | 6.424442E-5 | 1.0321293 | 2.0E-6 | 7.486137E-4 | 7.5773E-4 | 7.6372543E-4 | 1.0079124 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.2279858E-5 | 1.2209928E-5 | 1.4209904E-5 | 1.1637992 | 2.0E-6 | 5.26269E-5 | 5.2328116E-5 | 5.432801E-5 | 1.0382184 | 2.0E-6 | 6.4054417E-4 | 6.370685E-4 | 6.430647E-4 | 1.0094122 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.2279858E-5 | 1.2209928E-5 | 1.4209904E-5 | 1.1637992 | 2.0E-6 | 5.26269E-5 | 5.2328116E-5 | 5.432801E-5 | 1.0382184 | 2.0E-6 | 6.4054417E-4 | 6.370685E-4 | 6.430647E-4 | 1.0094122 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.1282601E-6 | 9.0505665E-7 | 9.0505665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.121083E-6 | 3.87881E-6 | 3.87881E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.11043526E-4 | 4.722375E-5 | 4.722375E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 2.00516E-6 | 8.664287E-7 | 8.664287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.593515E-6 | 3.713262E-6 | 3.713262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04621024E-4 | 4.520829E-5 | 4.520829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 2.00516E-6 | 8.664287E-7 | 8.664287E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.593515E-6 | 3.713262E-6 | 3.713262E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.04621024E-4 | 4.520829E-5 | 4.520829E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 1.8366732E-6 | 8.3732425E-7 | 8.3732425E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.871433E-6 | 3.588529E-6 | 3.588529E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.583048E-5 | 4.3689724E-5 | 4.3689724E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.5097997E-6 | 7.3017304E-7 | 7.3017304E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.470554E-6 | 3.1293107E-6 | 3.1293107E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.877615E-5 | 3.8098937E-5 | 3.8098937E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.3490993E-6 | 6.505816E-7 | 6.505816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7818415E-6 | 2.7882054E-6 | 2.7882054E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0391645E-5 | 3.394611E-5 | 3.394611E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 7.900015E-7 | 4.132013E-7 | 4.132013E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3857161E-6 | 1.7708627E-6 | 1.7708627E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1220315E-5 | 2.1560252E-5 | 2.1560252E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Clayton
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1413061E-5 | 1.2708259E-5 | 1.4708234E-5 | 1.1573759 | 2.0E-6 | 4.89122E-5 | 5.446296E-5 | 5.846274E-5 | 1.0734404 | 4.0E-6 | 5.953433E-4 | 6.629072E-4 | 6.6890323E-4 | 1.009045 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.1413061E-5 | 1.2708259E-5 | 1.4708234E-5 | 1.1573759 | 2.0E-6 | 4.89122E-5 | 5.446296E-5 | 5.846274E-5 | 1.0734404 | 4.0E-6 | 5.953433E-4 | 6.629072E-4 | 6.6890323E-4 | 1.009045 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.1413061E-5 | 1.2708259E-5 | 1.4708234E-5 | 1.1573759 | 2.0E-6 | 4.89122E-5 | 5.446296E-5 | 5.846274E-5 | 1.0734404 | 4.0E-6 | 5.953433E-4 | 6.629072E-4 | 6.6890323E-4 | 1.009045 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 8.538689E-6 | 9.559611E-6 | 1.1559591E-5 | 1.2092116 | 2.0E-6 | 3.659387E-5 | 4.096918E-5 | 4.4969016E-5 | 1.0976304 | 4.0E-6 | 4.4543925E-4 | 4.9869646E-4 | 5.046935E-4 | 1.0120254 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 8.538689E-6 | 9.559611E-6 | 1.1559591E-5 | 1.2092116 | 2.0E-6 | 3.659387E-5 | 4.096918E-5 | 4.4969016E-5 | 1.0976304 | 4.0E-6 | 4.4543925E-4 | 4.9869646E-4 | 5.046935E-4 | 1.0120254 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 7.197462E-6 | 8.101935E-6 | 1.01019195E-5 | 1.2468526 | 2.0E-6 | 3.08459E-5 | 3.4722165E-5 | 3.8722024E-5 | 1.1151962 | 4.0E-6 | 3.7548412E-4 | 4.2266864E-4 | 4.286661E-4 | 1.0141895 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 7.1760483E-6 | 8.078011E-6 | 1.0077994E-5 | 1.2475837 | 2.0E-6 | 3.075413E-5 | 3.4619632E-5 | 3.8619495E-5 | 1.1155374 | 4.0E-6 | 3.743672E-4 | 4.2142082E-4 | 4.2741827E-4 | 1.0142316 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 6.202582E-6 | 6.997147E-6 | 8.997133E-6 | 1.2858288 | 2.0E-6 | 2.6582224E-5 | 2.9987472E-5 | 3.398735E-5 | 1.1333851 | 4.0E-6 | 3.235905E-4 | 3.6504405E-4 | 3.7104185E-4 | 1.0164304 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 3.6417277E-6 | 4.1289804E-6 | 6.1289725E-6 | 1.484379 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5607311E-5 | 1.7695516E-5 | 2.1695445E-5 | 1.2260419 | 4.0E-6 | 1.9000245E-4 | 2.1542238E-4 | 2.1942152E-4 | 1.0185642 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.6498485E-6 | 3.005568E-6 | 5.005562E-6 | 1.6654296 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1356444E-5 | 1.2880944E-5 | 1.6880893E-5 | 1.3105322 | 4.0E-6 | 1.3825593E-4 | 1.5681461E-4 | 1.6081399E-4 | 1.0255039 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.070442E-6 | 2.34529E-6 | 4.3452856E-6 | 1.8527709 | 2.0E-6 | 8.873292E-6 | 1.0051206E-5 | 1.40511665E-5 | 1.3979582 | 4.0E-6 | 1.0802698E-4 | 1.2236687E-4 | 1.2636637E-4 | 1.0326846 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.2111691E-6 | 1.3624665E-6 | 1.3624665E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.190714E-6 | 5.83913E-6 | 5.83913E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.319511E-5 | 7.108926E-5 | 7.108926E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 3.9541607E-7 | 4.244487E-7 | 4.244487E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6946392E-6 | 1.8190646E-6 | 1.8190646E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0632036E-5 | 2.2146887E-5 | 2.2146887E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 2.5685637E-7 | 2.7595888E-7 | 2.7595888E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1008126E-6 | 1.1826804E-6 | 1.1826804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3402311E-5 | 1.4399039E-5 | 1.4399039E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.482299E-7 | 1.5871346E-7 | 1.5871346E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3527085E-7 | 6.802004E-7 | 6.802004E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.734395E-6 | 8.281409E-6 | 8.281409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 9.7969505E-8 | 1.0475843E-7 | 1.0475843E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1986925E-7 | 4.489646E-7 | 4.489646E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.111896E-6 | 5.4661305E-6 | 5.4661305E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 6.125415E-8 | 6.540766E-8 | 6.540766E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6251774E-7 | 2.8031852E-7 | 2.8031852E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.196149E-6 | 3.4128727E-6 | 3.4128727E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Pittville 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.6934118E-5 | 1.3231675E-5 | 1.7231623E-5 | 1.3023009 | 4.0E-6 | 7.257277E-5 | 5.670607E-5 | 6.270573E-5 | 1.1058028 | 6.0E-6 | 8.832153E-4 | 6.9019914E-4 | 6.96195E-4 | 1.0086871 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.2540113E-5 | 1.3231675E-5 | 1.7231623E-5 | 1.3023009 | 4.0E-6 | 5.3742235E-5 | 5.670607E-5 | 6.270573E-5 | 1.1058028 | 6.0E-6 | 6.541153E-4 | 6.9019914E-4 | 6.96195E-4 | 1.0086871 | 6.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 6.603218E-6 | 6.970365E-6 | 1.0970337E-5 | 1.5738541 | 4.0E-6 | 2.8299199E-5 | 2.9872686E-5 | 3.3872566E-5 | 1.1338975 | 4.0E-6 | 3.4448825E-4 | 3.636455E-4 | 3.6764404E-4 | 1.0109957 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 6.603218E-6 | 6.970365E-6 | 1.0970337E-5 | 1.5738541 | 4.0E-6 | 2.8299199E-5 | 2.9872686E-5 | 3.3872566E-5 | 1.1338975 | 4.0E-6 | 3.4448825E-4 | 3.636455E-4 | 3.6764404E-4 | 1.0109957 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 3.9389015E-6 | 4.157671E-6 | 8.1576545E-6 | 1.9620732 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6880897E-5 | 1.7818484E-5 | 2.1818412E-5 | 1.2244819 | 4.0E-6 | 2.0550552E-4 | 2.1692143E-4 | 2.2092056E-4 | 1.0184358 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 2.4533072E-6 | 2.5894967E-6 | 6.5894865E-6 | 2.5446978 | 4.0E-6 | 1.0514132E-5 | 1.1097806E-5 | 1.5097762E-5 | 1.3604276 | 4.0E-6 | 1.2800204E-4 | 1.3510928E-4 | 1.3910873E-4 | 1.0296017 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.3482367E-6 | 1.4219394E-6 | 3.4219365E-6 | 2.4065278 | 2.0E-6 | 5.778144E-6 | 6.094018E-6 | 8.094005E-6 | 1.3281887 | 2.0E-6 | 7.0346636E-5 | 7.419322E-5 | 7.619308E-5 | 1.0269547 | 2.0E-6 |
Pilarcitos 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.9150476E-6 | 2.8390302E-6 | 6.8390186E-6 | 2.408928 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1064321E-5 | 1.21672165E-5 | 1.6167169E-5 | 1.3287482 | 4.0E-6 | 2.564279E-4 | 1.481261E-4 | 1.5212552E-4 | 1.0270001 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 4.9150476E-6 | 2.8390302E-6 | 6.8390186E-6 | 2.408928 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1064321E-5 | 1.21672165E-5 | 1.6167169E-5 | 1.3287482 | 4.0E-6 | 2.564279E-4 | 1.481261E-4 | 1.5212552E-4 | 1.0270001 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 4.162343E-6 | 2.0667185E-6 | 6.0667103E-6 | 2.9354312 | 4.0E-6 | 1.783849E-5 | 8.857335E-6 | 1.28573E-5 | 1.4515991 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1716199E-4 | 1.078328E-4 | 1.1183236E-4 | 1.0370904 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 4.162343E-6 | 2.0667185E-6 | 6.0667103E-6 | 2.9354312 | 4.0E-6 | 1.783849E-5 | 8.857335E-6 | 1.28573E-5 | 1.4515991 | 4.0E-6 | 2.1716199E-4 | 1.078328E-4 | 1.1183236E-4 | 1.0370904 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 3.8768926E-6 | 1.7738723E-6 | 5.7738653E-6 | 3.2549498 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6615148E-5 | 7.602288E-6 | 1.16022575E-5 | 1.5261534 | 4.0E-6 | 2.0227065E-4 | 9.2553964E-5 | 9.6553595E-5 | 1.0432141 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 3.7137002E-6 | 1.6069235E-6 | 5.606917E-6 | 3.4892247 | 4.0E-6 | 1.591576E-5 | 6.886797E-6 | 1.088677E-5 | 1.5808176 | 4.0E-6 | 1.9375715E-4 | 8.384356E-5 | 8.784322E-5 | 1.0477039 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.5048733E-6 | 1.3915726E-6 | 5.391567E-6 | 3.8744419 | 4.0E-6 | 1.5020799E-5 | 5.963869E-6 | 9.9638455E-6 | 1.6707015 | 4.0E-6 | 1.8286289E-4 | 7.2607705E-5 | 7.6607415E-5 | 1.0550866 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.3908584E-6 | 1.2749233E-6 | 5.2749183E-6 | 4.1374397 | 4.0E-6 | 1.453217E-5 | 5.463946E-6 | 9.463924E-6 | 1.7320677 | 4.0E-6 | 1.7691481E-4 | 6.652153E-5 | 7.052126E-5 | 1.0601269 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 3.2451449E-6 | 1.1276683E-6 | 5.127664E-6 | 4.547138 | 4.0E-6 | 1.3907689E-5 | 4.832855E-6 | 8.832836E-6 | 1.8276641 | 4.0E-6 | 1.6931296E-4 | 5.8838432E-5 | 6.28382E-5 | 1.0679787 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 3.1239128E-6 | 1.0037857E-6 | 3.0037836E-6 | 2.9924552 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3388129E-5 | 4.3019313E-6 | 6.301923E-6 | 1.4649055 | 2.0E-6 | 1.6298829E-4 | 5.2374762E-5 | 5.4374657E-5 | 1.0381843 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 2.9940109E-6 | 8.744251E-7 | 2.8744234E-6 | 3.287215 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2831412E-5 | 3.7475306E-6 | 5.747523E-6 | 1.5336827 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5621124E-4 | 4.562523E-5 | 4.762514E-5 | 1.0438334 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.7471217E-6 | 7.7968264E-7 | 2.7796812E-6 | 3.5651443 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1773326E-5 | 3.3414926E-6 | 5.341486E-6 | 1.5985329 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4333082E-4 | 4.0681913E-5 | 4.2681833E-5 | 1.0491599 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.592675E-6 | 6.43115E-7 | 2.6431137E-6 | 4.1098614 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1111417E-5 | 2.7562041E-6 | 4.756199E-6 | 1.7256336 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3527309E-4 | 3.355627E-5 | 3.5556204E-5 | 1.0595994 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.4518663E-6 | 5.3188603E-7 | 2.531885E-6 | 4.760202 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0507956E-5 | 2.2795095E-6 | 4.279505E-6 | 1.8773797 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2792686E-4 | 2.7752674E-5 | 2.975262E-5 | 1.0720631 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.3349535E-6 | 4.9112447E-7 | 2.4911235E-6 | 5.072285 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0006905E-5 | 2.1048174E-6 | 4.1048133E-6 | 1.9501991 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2182725E-4 | 2.562585E-5 | 2.76258E-5 | 1.0780442 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 2.1358665E-6 | 4.3575616E-7 | 2.4357553E-6 | 5.5897207 | 2.0E-6 | 9.15368E-6 | 1.867525E-6 | 3.867521E-6 | 2.070934 | 2.0E-6 | 1.11440364E-4 | 2.273688E-5 | 2.4736833E-5 | 1.0879608 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 1.6445446E-6 | 2.6774643E-7 | 2.267746E-6 | 8.469752 | 2.0E-6 | 7.048029E-6 | 1.1474841E-6 | 3.147482E-6 | 2.7429414 | 2.0E-6 | 8.580638E-5 | 1.3970529E-5 | 1.5970501E-5 | 1.1431565 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 1.3650961E-6 | 1.5206501E-7 | 2.1520648E-6 | 14.1522665 | 2.0E-6 | 5.850399E-6 | 6.5170707E-7 | 2.6517057E-6 | 4.0688615 | 2.0E-6 | 7.122628E-5 | 7.9345045E-6 | 9.934488E-6 | 1.2520616 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 1.0500993E-6 | 1.1457615E-7 | 2.1145759E-6 | 18.455637 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5004176E-6 | 4.9104057E-7 | 2.4910396E-6 | 5.0729814 | 2.0E-6 | 5.4791206E-5 | 5.9784024E-6 | 7.97839E-6 | 1.3345356 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 5.856431E-7 | 6.384935E-8 | 2.0638493E-6 | 32.32373 | 2.0E-6 | 2.5098966E-6 | 2.7364007E-7 | 2.2736394E-6 | 8.308869 | 2.0E-6 | 3.0557563E-5 | 3.3315628E-6 | 5.331556E-6 | 1.6003169 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 4.4768265E-7 | 3.0859262E-8 | 2.0308592E-6 | 65.81036 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9186384E-6 | 1.3225399E-7 | 2.1322537E-6 | 16.122416 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3359173E-5 | 1.6101911E-6 | 3.6101878E-6 | 2.2420866 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 2.6692538E-7 | 1.1478594E-8 | 2.0114785E-6 | 175.23737 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1439654E-6 | 4.919399E-8 | 2.0491939E-6 | 41.65537 | 2.0E-6 | 1.392769E-5 | 5.9893665E-7 | 2.5989355E-6 | 4.339249 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.2 | 1.3198862E-8 | 7.3985484E-10 | 7.3985484E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.656655E-8 | 3.1708063E-9 | 3.1708063E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.886975E-7 | 3.860457E-8 | 3.860457E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fish Slough 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5811542E-5 | 1.781151E-5 | 1.1264879 | 2.0E-6 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9249065E-4 | 1.9648988E-4 | 1.0207763 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5811542E-5 | 1.781151E-5 | 1.1264879 | 2.0E-6 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9249065E-4 | 1.9648988E-4 | 1.0207763 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5811542E-5 | 1.781151E-5 | 1.1264879 | 2.0E-6 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9249065E-4 | 1.9648988E-4 | 1.0207763 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5811542E-5 | 1.781151E-5 | 1.1264879 | 2.0E-6 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9249065E-4 | 1.9648988E-4 | 1.0207763 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 4.3629925E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 3.6893794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8698405E-5 | 1.5811542E-5 | 1.781151E-5 | 1.1264879 | 2.0E-6 | 2.276293E-4 | 1.9249065E-4 | 1.9648988E-4 | 1.0207763 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 2.991715E-6 | 2.280657E-6 | 2.280657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2821573E-5 | 9.774214E-6 | 1.1774194E-5 | 1.2046181 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5609147E-4 | 1.1899547E-4 | 1.22995E-4 | 1.0336107 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 2.991715E-6 | 2.280657E-6 | 2.280657E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2821573E-5 | 9.774214E-6 | 1.1774194E-5 | 1.2046181 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5609147E-4 | 1.1899547E-4 | 1.22995E-4 | 1.0336107 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.7890346E-6 | 2.0721664E-6 | 2.0721664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1952951E-5 | 8.880688E-6 | 1.0880671E-5 | 1.2252058 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4551746E-4 | 1.08117914E-4 | 1.1211749E-4 | 1.0369927 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.9416723E-6 | 1.2013835E-6 | 1.2013835E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.321425E-6 | 5.148777E-6 | 7.1487666E-6 | 1.3884398 | 2.0E-6 | 1.01308644E-4 | 6.2684594E-5 | 6.468447E-5 | 1.0319037 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.8567416E-6 | 1.1133722E-6 | 1.1133722E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.957439E-6 | 4.7715866E-6 | 6.771577E-6 | 1.4191458 | 2.0E-6 | 9.687752E-5 | 5.8092555E-5 | 6.009244E-5 | 1.0344259 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.6634067E-6 | 9.1572656E-7 | 9.1572656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1288664E-6 | 3.9245365E-6 | 5.9245285E-6 | 1.5096123 | 2.0E-6 | 8.679049E-5 | 4.7780213E-5 | 4.978012E-5 | 1.0418563 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.4281054E-6 | 6.814169E-7 | 6.814169E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1204373E-6 | 2.920355E-6 | 4.920349E-6 | 1.6848463 | 2.0E-6 | 7.451377E-5 | 3.555476E-5 | 3.7554688E-5 | 1.0562493 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.1810387E-6 | 4.478636E-7 | 4.478636E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0615845E-6 | 1.919414E-6 | 1.919414E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.1623046E-5 | 2.3368626E-5 | 2.3368626E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 9.918052E-7 | 2.9370563E-7 | 2.9370563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2505867E-6 | 1.2587378E-6 | 1.2587378E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1749663E-5 | 1.5325026E-5 | 1.5325026E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 8.25252E-7 | 2.1235348E-7 | 2.1235348E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5367896E-6 | 9.1008604E-7 | 9.1008604E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3059565E-5 | 1.1080242E-5 | 1.1080242E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 5.3248567E-7 | 1.2441808E-7 | 1.2441808E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2820795E-6 | 5.3322026E-7 | 5.3322026E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7783964E-5 | 6.4919377E-6 | 6.4919377E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.037542E-7 | 4.8646513E-8 | 4.8646513E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.73232E-7 | 2.0848503E-7 | 2.0848503E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0631547E-5 | 2.5383026E-6 | 2.5383026E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 2.2501226E-8 | 3.2645673E-9 | 3.2645673E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6433816E-8 | 1.3991003E-8 | 1.3991003E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1740811E-6 | 1.7034044E-7 | 1.7034044E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Owens Valley Keough Hot Springs
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.5708529E-5 | 5.0177355E-6 | 7.0177252E-6 | 1.3985841 | 2.0E-6 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1504433E-5 | 2.5504347E-5 | 1.1860042 | 4.0E-6 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.617902E-4 | 2.6578916E-4 | 1.0152754 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.5708529E-5 | 5.0177355E-6 | 7.0177252E-6 | 1.3985841 | 2.0E-6 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1504433E-5 | 2.5504347E-5 | 1.1860042 | 4.0E-6 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.617902E-4 | 2.6578916E-4 | 1.0152754 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.5708529E-5 | 5.0177355E-6 | 7.0177252E-6 | 1.3985841 | 2.0E-6 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1504433E-5 | 2.5504347E-5 | 1.1860042 | 4.0E-6 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.617902E-4 | 2.6578916E-4 | 1.0152754 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.5708529E-5 | 5.0177355E-6 | 7.0177252E-6 | 1.3985841 | 2.0E-6 | 6.7320536E-5 | 2.1504433E-5 | 2.5504347E-5 | 1.1860042 | 4.0E-6 | 8.193192E-4 | 2.617902E-4 | 2.6578916E-4 | 1.0152754 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.4622509E-5 | 3.785709E-6 | 5.7857014E-6 | 1.5283006 | 2.0E-6 | 6.266639E-5 | 1.6224385E-5 | 2.022432E-5 | 1.2465385 | 4.0E-6 | 7.626962E-4 | 1.9751734E-4 | 2.0151655E-4 | 1.0202473 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.3335527E-5 | 2.3276727E-6 | 4.327668E-6 | 1.8592253 | 2.0E-6 | 5.7151006E-5 | 9.975706E-6 | 1.3975666E-5 | 1.4009701 | 4.0E-6 | 6.955913E-4 | 1.2144815E-4 | 1.2544767E-4 | 1.0329319 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.3332855E-5 | 2.3248122E-6 | 4.3248074E-6 | 1.8602825 | 2.0E-6 | 5.7139558E-5 | 9.963447E-6 | 1.3963408E-5 | 1.4014635 | 4.0E-6 | 6.9545204E-4 | 1.21298915E-4 | 1.2529844E-4 | 1.0329723 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.3318214E-5 | 2.3139153E-6 | 4.3139107E-6 | 1.8643339 | 2.0E-6 | 5.707681E-5 | 9.9167455E-6 | 1.3916706E-5 | 1.4033542 | 4.0E-6 | 6.946886E-4 | 1.20730394E-4 | 1.2472991E-4 | 1.0331277 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.2441338E-5 | 1.7206373E-6 | 3.720634E-6 | 2.162358 | 2.0E-6 | 5.331893E-5 | 7.3741408E-6 | 1.1374112E-5 | 1.5424321 | 4.0E-6 | 6.489646E-4 | 8.9776775E-5 | 9.377642E-5 | 1.0445509 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.1130476E-5 | 1.0604422E-6 | 1.0604422E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7701167E-5 | 4.544744E-6 | 6.5447352E-6 | 1.4400668 | 2.0E-6 | 5.806069E-4 | 5.533087E-5 | 5.7330763E-5 | 1.0361441 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.0986073E-5 | 9.868203E-7 | 9.868203E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7082318E-5 | 4.2292227E-6 | 6.2292143E-6 | 1.4728981 | 2.0E-6 | 5.730765E-4 | 5.1489584E-5 | 5.3489483E-5 | 1.0388408 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.0451338E-5 | 8.241433E-7 | 8.241433E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4790682E-5 | 3.532038E-6 | 5.5320306E-6 | 1.5662434 | 2.0E-6 | 5.451901E-4 | 4.3001717E-5 | 4.500163E-5 | 1.0465077 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 9.989061E-6 | 6.7534154E-7 | 6.7534154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.280956E-5 | 2.8943175E-6 | 2.8943175E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2108173E-4 | 3.523775E-5 | 3.523775E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 9.465365E-6 | 5.654773E-7 | 5.654773E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.056522E-5 | 2.4234719E-6 | 2.4234719E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.937696E-4 | 2.9505374E-5 | 2.9505374E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 6.3824805E-6 | 4.1755555E-7 | 4.1755555E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.73532E-5 | 1.7895226E-6 | 1.7895226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3297433E-4 | 2.1787222E-5 | 2.1787222E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.6192645E-6 | 2.6120154E-7 | 2.6120154E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.9396865E-6 | 1.1194346E-6 | 1.1194346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.448741E-5 | 1.3629033E-5 | 1.3629033E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 5.7062545E-7 | 1.118699E-7 | 1.118699E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4455355E-6 | 4.7944235E-7 | 4.7944235E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9773988E-5 | 5.8371957E-6 | 5.8371957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 2.5988817E-7 | 4.713046E-8 | 4.713046E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.113806E-6 | 2.0198767E-7 | 2.0198767E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3560503E-5 | 2.4591977E-6 | 2.4591977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Fitzhugh Creek
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.0164323E-6 | 3.0079166E-6 | 5.0079107E-6 | 1.6649101 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7213168E-5 | 1.2891012E-5 | 1.6890961E-5 | 1.3102897 | 4.0E-6 | 2.0955017E-4 | 1.569377E-4 | 1.6093708E-4 | 1.0254838 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.9741811E-6 | 3.0079166E-6 | 5.0079107E-6 | 1.6649101 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2746428E-5 | 1.2891012E-5 | 1.6890961E-5 | 1.3102897 | 4.0E-6 | 1.5517672E-4 | 1.569377E-4 | 1.6093708E-4 | 1.0254838 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 2.9741811E-6 | 3.0079166E-6 | 5.0079107E-6 | 1.6649101 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2746428E-5 | 1.2891012E-5 | 1.6890961E-5 | 1.3102897 | 4.0E-6 | 1.5517672E-4 | 1.569377E-4 | 1.6093708E-4 | 1.0254838 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.4781198E-6 | 1.4950399E-6 | 3.495037E-6 | 2.337755 | 2.0E-6 | 6.3347834E-6 | 6.407299E-6 | 1.0407273E-5 | 1.624284 | 4.0E-6 | 7.712326E-5 | 7.800628E-5 | 8.2005965E-5 | 1.051274 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.4781198E-6 | 1.4950399E-6 | 3.495037E-6 | 2.337755 | 2.0E-6 | 6.3347834E-6 | 6.407299E-6 | 1.0407273E-5 | 1.624284 | 4.0E-6 | 7.712326E-5 | 7.800628E-5 | 8.2005965E-5 | 1.051274 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 9.5176676E-7 | 9.627031E-7 | 2.962701E-6 | 3.0774817 | 2.0E-6 | 4.078994E-6 | 4.1258645E-6 | 6.125856E-6 | 1.4847449 | 2.0E-6 | 4.9660623E-5 | 5.0231345E-5 | 5.2231248E-5 | 1.0398138 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 6.21145E-7 | 6.2826007E-7 | 6.2826007E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.662047E-6 | 2.6925409E-6 | 2.6925409E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2409942E-5 | 3.278126E-5 | 3.278126E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 2.2377962E-7 | 2.2629034E-7 | 2.2629034E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.590551E-7 | 9.698156E-7 | 9.698156E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1676434E-5 | 1.1807472E-5 | 1.1807472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 1.4785022E-7 | 1.4949319E-7 | 1.4949319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.3364365E-7 | 6.406851E-7 | 6.406851E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.714584E-6 | 7.800341E-6 | 7.800341E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Las Positas
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1642375E-5 | 1.3642352E-5 | 1.1717843 | 2.0E-6 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9895894E-5 | 5.1895793E-5 | 1.0400815 | 2.0E-6 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.074825E-4 | 6.114801E-4 | 1.0065806 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1642375E-5 | 1.3642352E-5 | 1.1717843 | 2.0E-6 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9895894E-5 | 5.1895793E-5 | 1.0400815 | 2.0E-6 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.074825E-4 | 6.114801E-4 | 1.0065806 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1642375E-5 | 1.3642352E-5 | 1.1717843 | 2.0E-6 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9895894E-5 | 5.1895793E-5 | 1.0400815 | 2.0E-6 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.074825E-4 | 6.114801E-4 | 1.0065806 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.0659424E-5 | 1.1642375E-5 | 1.3642352E-5 | 1.1717843 | 2.0E-6 | 4.568245E-5 | 4.9895894E-5 | 5.1895793E-5 | 1.0400815 | 2.0E-6 | 5.560419E-4 | 6.074825E-4 | 6.114801E-4 | 1.0065806 | 4.0E-6 |
North Tahoe 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.150391E-5 | 2.228977E-5 | 2.4289726E-5 | 1.0897253 | 2.0E-6 | 9.215636E-5 | 9.55252E-5 | 9.7525015E-5 | 1.0209349 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011214261 | 0.0011625971 | 0.0011665924 | 1.0034366 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.150391E-5 | 2.228977E-5 | 2.4289726E-5 | 1.0897253 | 2.0E-6 | 9.215636E-5 | 9.55252E-5 | 9.7525015E-5 | 1.0209349 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011214261 | 0.0011625971 | 0.0011665924 | 1.0034366 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 2.150391E-5 | 2.228977E-5 | 2.4289726E-5 | 1.0897253 | 2.0E-6 | 9.215636E-5 | 9.55252E-5 | 9.7525015E-5 | 1.0209349 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011214261 | 0.0011625971 | 0.0011665924 | 1.0034366 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 2.150391E-5 | 2.228977E-5 | 2.4289726E-5 | 1.0897253 | 2.0E-6 | 9.215636E-5 | 9.55252E-5 | 9.7525015E-5 | 1.0209349 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011214261 | 0.0011625971 | 0.0011665924 | 1.0034366 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 7.3563056E-6 | 6.4811034E-6 | 6.4811034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1526644E-5 | 2.7776035E-5 | 2.7776035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8376928E-4 | 3.3815164E-4 | 3.3815164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.5 | 7.3563056E-6 | 6.4811034E-6 | 6.4811034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1526644E-5 | 2.7776035E-5 | 2.7776035E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8376928E-4 | 3.3815164E-4 | 3.3815164E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 6.8508816E-6 | 5.9171603E-6 | 5.9171603E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.936059E-5 | 2.5359184E-5 | 2.5359184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5740656E-4 | 3.0873503E-4 | 3.0873503E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 1.8511148E-6 | 6.1466267E-7 | 6.1466267E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.933325E-6 | 2.6342684E-6 | 2.6342684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.658395E-5 | 3.2072217E-5 | 3.2072217E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Maacama 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.6273826E-4 | 2.6473773E-4 | 1.0076101 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8010535E-4 | 0.0011253819 | 0.0011273797 | 1.0017751 | 2.0E-6 | 0.007039935 | 0.013596182 | 0.013600128 | 1.0002902 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.6273826E-4 | 2.6473773E-4 | 1.0076101 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8010535E-4 | 0.0011253819 | 0.0011273797 | 1.0017751 | 2.0E-6 | 0.007039935 | 0.013596182 | 0.013600128 | 1.0002902 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.3538804E-4 | 2.6273826E-4 | 2.6473773E-4 | 1.0076101 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8010535E-4 | 0.0011253819 | 0.0011273797 | 1.0017751 | 2.0E-6 | 0.007039935 | 0.013596182 | 0.013600128 | 1.0002902 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.1917239E-4 | 2.3041807E-4 | 2.324176E-4 | 1.0086778 | 2.0E-6 | 5.1063887E-4 | 9.870491E-4 | 9.890471E-4 | 1.0020243 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0061993203 | 0.01193662 | 0.011938596 | 1.0001656 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.1859289E-4 | 2.2943561E-4 | 2.3143514E-4 | 1.008715 | 2.0E-6 | 5.0815626E-4 | 9.82842E-4 | 9.8484E-4 | 1.0020329 | 2.0E-6 | 0.006169266 | 0.011886016 | 0.011887992 | 1.0001663 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.09512424E-4 | 2.1171311E-4 | 2.1371269E-4 | 1.0094447 | 2.0E-6 | 4.6925453E-4 | 9.069581E-4 | 9.089563E-4 | 1.0022032 | 2.0E-6 | 0.005698218 | 0.010974582 | 0.0109765595 | 1.0001802 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.0502928E-4 | 2.031557E-4 | 2.0515529E-4 | 1.0098426 | 2.0E-6 | 4.500478E-4 | 8.703162E-4 | 8.7231444E-4 | 1.002296 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0054655746 | 0.010534127 | 0.010536106 | 1.0001879 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.739358E-5 | 1.8876622E-4 | 1.9076584E-4 | 1.010593 | 2.0E-6 | 4.173343E-4 | 8.086875E-4 | 8.1068586E-4 | 1.0024711 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0050692135 | 0.009792612 | 0.009794593 | 1.0002022 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 8.969524E-5 | 1.7229396E-4 | 1.7429361E-4 | 1.0116061 | 2.0E-6 | 3.8435153E-4 | 7.381577E-4 | 7.401562E-4 | 1.0027075 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0046694432 | 0.008943114 | 0.008945097 | 1.0002216 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 7.838291E-5 | 1.492541E-4 | 1.512538E-4 | 1.0133979 | 2.0E-6 | 3.358835E-4 | 6.3948426E-4 | 6.4148294E-4 | 1.0031255 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0040817154 | 0.007753002 | 0.0077549866 | 1.000256 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 6.961957E-5 | 1.3165348E-4 | 1.3365322E-4 | 1.0151894 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9833548E-4 | 5.640946E-4 | 5.660935E-4 | 1.0035435 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0036261857 | 0.0068428367 | 0.006844823 | 1.0002903 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 5.999398E-5 | 1.1310462E-4 | 1.151044E-4 | 1.0176808 | 2.0E-6 | 2.570917E-4 | 4.846323E-4 | 4.8663132E-4 | 1.0041249 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0031255994 | 0.0058822925 | 0.005884281 | 1.000338 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 5.116532E-5 | 9.6645315E-5 | 9.864513E-5 | 1.0206922 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1926152E-4 | 4.1412175E-4 | 4.1612092E-4 | 1.0048275 | 2.0E-6 | 0.002666241 | 0.005029063 | 0.005031053 | 1.0003957 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 4.2087835E-5 | 7.909049E-5 | 7.909049E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8036396E-4 | 3.3891032E-4 | 3.3891032E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021937196 | 0.0041175922 | 0.0041175922 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.8991652E-5 | 5.3045755E-5 | 5.3045755E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2424402E-4 | 2.2731892E-4 | 2.2731892E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0015116213 | 0.002763863 | 0.002763863 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.1292299E-6 | 1.5231232E-6 | 1.5231232E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8395473E-6 | 6.5276613E-6 | 6.5276613E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8919897E-5 | 7.9472666E-5 | 7.9472666E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.6535366E-7 | 3.5634883E-7 | 3.5634883E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1372296E-6 | 1.5272084E-6 | 1.5272084E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3845682E-5 | 1.8593606E-5 | 1.8593606E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 9.727789E-8 | 1.278155E-7 | 1.278155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1690518E-7 | 5.477806E-7 | 5.477806E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0758085E-6 | 6.6692082E-6 | 6.6692082E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 6.1939325E-9 | 8.100689E-9 | 8.100689E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6545425E-8 | 3.471724E-8 | 3.471724E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.231905E-7 | 4.226823E-7 | 4.226823E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Quien Sabe 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.657199E-5 | 2.5189644E-5 | 2.5189644E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.1020884E-5 | 1.0794903E-4 | 1.119486E-4 | 1.0370505 | 4.0E-6 | 8.643362E-4 | 0.0013129197 | 0.0013169145 | 1.0030427 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.0223351E-5 | 1.5412192E-5 | 1.5412192E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3813627E-5 | 6.604923E-5 | 6.80491E-5 | 1.0302784 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3330034E-4 | 8.0347003E-4 | 8.054685E-4 | 1.0024872 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 4.880893E-6 | 6.8155896E-6 | 6.8155896E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0917943E-5 | 2.9207742E-5 | 2.9207742E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.546462E-4 | 3.5546318E-4 | 3.5546318E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.3 | 3.858491E-6 | 5.108184E-6 | 5.108184E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6536285E-5 | 2.1892052E-5 | 2.1892052E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0131067E-4 | 2.6650654E-4 | 2.6650654E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.4 | 3.0771805E-6 | 3.9221923E-6 | 3.9221923E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.318785E-5 | 1.6809297E-5 | 1.6809297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6055023E-4 | 2.0463577E-4 | 2.0463577E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.5 | 2.5081235E-6 | 3.149575E-6 | 3.149575E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0749056E-5 | 1.3498115E-5 | 1.3498115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.308619E-4 | 1.6432829E-4 | 1.6432829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 1.7505364E-6 | 2.2590116E-6 | 2.2590116E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.502277E-6 | 9.681446E-6 | 9.681446E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.13364E-5 | 1.1786583E-4 | 1.1786583E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 1.505737E-6 | 1.957497E-6 | 1.957497E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4531428E-6 | 8.389249E-6 | 8.389249E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8564175E-5 | 1.02134836E-4 | 1.02134836E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 1.2924105E-6 | 1.6824241E-6 | 1.6824241E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5388905E-6 | 7.2103717E-6 | 7.2103717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.74339E-5 | 8.778322E-5 | 8.778322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 8.9075286E-7 | 1.116906E-6 | 1.116906E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8175067E-6 | 4.786732E-6 | 4.786732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6477155E-5 | 5.8277124E-5 | 5.8277124E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 6.6891175E-7 | 8.5253816E-7 | 8.5253816E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8667614E-6 | 3.653731E-6 | 3.653731E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4902263E-5 | 4.4483462E-5 | 4.4483462E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 4.4205015E-7 | 5.4344446E-7 | 5.4344446E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8944993E-6 | 2.3290465E-6 | 2.3290465E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3065284E-5 | 2.8355942E-5 | 2.8355942E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.6620965E-7 | 1.6478356E-7 | 1.6478356E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.123269E-7 | 7.062151E-7 | 7.062151E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.672545E-6 | 8.598139E-6 | 8.598139E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 1.2142488E-7 | 1.2063757E-7 | 1.2063757E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.2039223E-7 | 5.17018E-7 | 5.17018E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335757E-6 | 6.29468E-6 | 6.29468E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.4192937E-8 | 2.523231E-8 | 2.523231E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0368401E-7 | 1.08138465E-7 | 1.08138465E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2623522E-6 | 1.3165851E-6 | 1.3165851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.4432802E-8 | 1.491243E-8 | 1.491243E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.185486E-8 | 6.391041E-8 | 6.391041E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.530827E-7 | 7.7810915E-7 | 7.7810915E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Contra Costa Shear Zone (connector) 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.3187427E-5 | 1.4117697E-5 | 1.6117669E-5 | 1.1416641 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6516317E-5 | 6.0503142E-5 | 6.250302E-5 | 1.0330541 | 2.0E-6 | 6.878689E-4 | 7.363998E-4 | 7.4039685E-4 | 1.0054278 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.3187427E-5 | 1.4117697E-5 | 1.6117669E-5 | 1.1416641 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6516317E-5 | 6.0503142E-5 | 6.250302E-5 | 1.0330541 | 2.0E-6 | 6.878689E-4 | 7.363998E-4 | 7.4039685E-4 | 1.0054278 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.3187427E-5 | 1.4117697E-5 | 1.6117669E-5 | 1.1416641 | 2.0E-6 | 5.6516317E-5 | 6.0503142E-5 | 6.250302E-5 | 1.0330541 | 2.0E-6 | 6.878689E-4 | 7.363998E-4 | 7.4039685E-4 | 1.0054278 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 9.315374E-6 | 9.881601E-6 | 9.881601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.992242E-5 | 4.2349053E-5 | 4.2349053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8594706E-4 | 5.154819E-4 | 5.154819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.4 | 9.315374E-6 | 9.881601E-6 | 9.881601E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.992242E-5 | 4.2349053E-5 | 4.2349053E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8594706E-4 | 5.154819E-4 | 5.154819E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.5 | 8.492638E-6 | 8.991818E-6 | 8.991818E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.639651E-5 | 3.853581E-5 | 3.853581E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.430374E-4 | 4.6907592E-4 | 4.6907592E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 8.402072E-6 | 8.8921415E-6 | 8.8921415E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6008387E-5 | 3.810864E-5 | 3.810864E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.383139E-4 | 4.638773E-4 | 4.638773E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 7.383587E-6 | 7.795751E-6 | 7.795751E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.164356E-5 | 3.3409946E-5 | 3.3409946E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8519225E-4 | 4.0669227E-4 | 4.0669227E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 6.004921E-6 | 6.3078824E-6 | 6.3078824E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5735122E-5 | 2.7033504E-5 | 2.7033504E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1328006E-4 | 3.2908373E-4 | 3.2908373E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 5.505255E-6 | 5.7579205E-6 | 5.7579205E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3593739E-5 | 2.467657E-5 | 2.467657E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.872159E-4 | 3.0039626E-4 | 3.0039626E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 4.891922E-6 | 5.0860363E-6 | 5.0860363E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.096521E-5 | 2.1797117E-5 | 2.1797117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5522153E-4 | 2.6534795E-4 | 2.6534795E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 4.3599E-6 | 4.4869753E-6 | 4.4869753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.868515E-5 | 1.9229754E-5 | 1.9229754E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2746796E-4 | 2.3409739E-4 | 2.3409739E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 3.7647926E-6 | 3.832851E-6 | 3.832851E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6134725E-5 | 1.6426402E-5 | 1.6426402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9642258E-4 | 1.9997334E-4 | 1.9997334E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 2.3179882E-6 | 2.4005747E-6 | 2.4005747E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.934198E-6 | 1.0288137E-5 | 1.0288137E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.20942146E-4 | 1.2525092E-4 | 1.2525092E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.8378355E-6 | 1.918829E-6 | 1.918829E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.876414E-6 | 8.2235265E-6 | 8.2235265E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.5891126E-5 | 1.0011688E-4 | 1.0011688E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 9.840493E-7 | 1.0411848E-6 | 1.0411848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2173474E-6 | 4.462213E-6 | 4.462213E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.1344992E-5 | 5.43261E-5 | 5.43261E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 3.1602997E-7 | 3.3220886E-7 | 3.3220886E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3544135E-6 | 1.4237514E-6 | 1.4237514E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.648986E-5 | 1.7334038E-5 | 1.7334038E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 2.2125788E-7 | 2.3637054E-7 | 2.3637054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.482477E-7 | 1.0130162E-6 | 1.0130162E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1544855E-5 | 1.2333404E-5 | 1.2333404E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.0509553E-7 | 8.770723E-8 | 8.770723E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5040935E-7 | 3.7588805E-7 | 3.7588805E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.48372E-6 | 4.5764273E-6 | 4.5764273E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 6.029319E-8 | 2.897946E-8 | 2.897946E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5839938E-7 | 1.2419768E-7 | 1.2419768E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1460077E-6 | 1.5121058E-6 | 1.5121058E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 3.531068E-8 | 5.7726206E-9 | 5.7726206E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5133148E-7 | 2.4739803E-8 | 2.4739803E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8424593E-6 | 3.0120705E-7 | 3.0120705E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 3.5238246E-10 | 3.9390935E-11 | 3.9390935E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5102107E-9 | 1.6881774E-10 | 1.6881774E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8386816E-8 | 2.0553523E-9 | 2.0553523E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Jess Valley
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.3861274E-6 | 3.4365094E-6 | 5.4365023E-6 | 1.5819839 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4511894E-5 | 1.472783E-5 | 1.6727801E-5 | 1.1357954 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7666799E-4 | 1.792994E-4 | 1.8329867E-4 | 1.022305 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 3.3861274E-6 | 3.4365094E-6 | 5.4365023E-6 | 1.5819839 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4511894E-5 | 1.472783E-5 | 1.6727801E-5 | 1.1357954 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7666799E-4 | 1.792994E-4 | 1.8329867E-4 | 1.022305 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 3.3861274E-6 | 3.4365094E-6 | 5.4365023E-6 | 1.5819839 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4511894E-5 | 1.472783E-5 | 1.6727801E-5 | 1.1357954 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7666799E-4 | 1.792994E-4 | 1.8329867E-4 | 1.022305 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 3.3861274E-6 | 3.4365094E-6 | 5.4365023E-6 | 1.5819839 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4511894E-5 | 1.472783E-5 | 1.6727801E-5 | 1.1357954 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7666799E-4 | 1.792994E-4 | 1.8329867E-4 | 1.022305 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.5291708E-6 | 1.551357E-6 | 3.551354E-6 | 2.289192 | 2.0E-6 | 6.553573E-6 | 6.6486605E-6 | 8.648647E-6 | 1.3008105 | 2.0E-6 | 7.978683E-5 | 8.094523E-5 | 8.294507E-5 | 1.024706 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.5291708E-6 | 1.551357E-6 | 3.551354E-6 | 2.289192 | 2.0E-6 | 6.553573E-6 | 6.6486605E-6 | 8.648647E-6 | 1.3008105 | 2.0E-6 | 7.978683E-5 | 8.094523E-5 | 8.294507E-5 | 1.024706 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 5.396423E-7 | 5.475858E-7 | 2.5475847E-6 | 4.652394 | 2.0E-6 | 2.312751E-6 | 2.3467953E-6 | 4.3467903E-6 | 1.852224 | 2.0E-6 | 2.8157378E-5 | 2.8572045E-5 | 3.0571988E-5 | 1.0699965 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 5.396423E-7 | 5.475858E-7 | 2.5475847E-6 | 4.652394 | 2.0E-6 | 2.312751E-6 | 2.3467953E-6 | 4.3467903E-6 | 1.852224 | 2.0E-6 | 2.8157378E-5 | 2.8572045E-5 | 3.0571988E-5 | 1.0699965 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 3.6058395E-7 | 3.658886E-7 | 2.365888E-6 | 6.4661427 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5453588E-6 | 1.568094E-6 | 3.568091E-6 | 2.2754316 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8814582E-5 | 1.9091545E-5 | 2.1091506E-5 | 1.1047565 | 2.0E-6 |
Big Lagoon - Bald Mtn 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9912177E-5 | 2.1912138E-5 | 1.1004391 | 2.0E-6 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.533533E-5 | 8.733516E-5 | 1.023435 | 2.0E-6 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010385006 | 0.0010424964 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9912177E-5 | 2.1912138E-5 | 1.1004391 | 2.0E-6 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.533533E-5 | 8.733516E-5 | 1.023435 | 2.0E-6 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010385006 | 0.0010424964 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9912177E-5 | 2.1912138E-5 | 1.1004391 | 2.0E-6 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.533533E-5 | 8.733516E-5 | 1.023435 | 2.0E-6 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010385006 | 0.0010424964 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9912177E-5 | 2.1912138E-5 | 1.1004391 | 2.0E-6 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.533533E-5 | 8.733516E-5 | 1.023435 | 2.0E-6 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010385006 | 0.0010424964 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9912177E-5 | 2.1912138E-5 | 1.1004391 | 2.0E-6 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.533533E-5 | 8.733516E-5 | 1.023435 | 2.0E-6 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010385006 | 0.0010424964 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9912177E-5 | 2.1912138E-5 | 1.1004391 | 2.0E-6 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.533533E-5 | 8.733516E-5 | 1.023435 | 2.0E-6 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010385006 | 0.0010424964 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9912177E-5 | 2.1912138E-5 | 1.1004391 | 2.0E-6 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.533533E-5 | 8.733516E-5 | 1.023435 | 2.0E-6 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010385006 | 0.0010424964 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.8699735E-5 | 1.9912177E-5 | 2.1912138E-5 | 1.1004391 | 2.0E-6 | 8.013926E-5 | 8.533533E-5 | 8.733516E-5 | 1.023435 | 2.0E-6 | 9.752587E-4 | 0.0010385006 | 0.0010424964 | 1.0038477 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2534497E-5 | 1.4534472E-5 | 1.1595577 | 2.0E-6 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.371819E-5 | 5.5718087E-5 | 1.0372293 | 2.0E-6 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.538276E-4 | 6.57825E-4 | 1.0061138 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.18505095E-5 | 1.2534497E-5 | 1.4534472E-5 | 1.1595577 | 2.0E-6 | 5.078691E-5 | 5.371819E-5 | 5.5718087E-5 | 1.0372293 | 2.0E-6 | 6.181552E-4 | 6.538276E-4 | 6.57825E-4 | 1.0061138 | 4.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 9.719786E-6 | 1.0262985E-5 | 1.22629635E-5 | 1.1948731 | 2.0E-6 | 4.1655563E-5 | 4.398349E-5 | 4.59834E-5 | 1.0454696 | 2.0E-6 | 5.0703844E-4 | 5.3536973E-4 | 5.373687E-4 | 1.0037338 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 8.523418E-6 | 8.993228E-6 | 8.993228E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.652842E-5 | 3.8541846E-5 | 3.8541846E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4464276E-4 | 4.6914752E-4 | 4.6914752E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 7.378894E-6 | 7.7814675E-6 | 7.7814675E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.162345E-5 | 3.3348726E-5 | 3.3348726E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8494746E-4 | 4.05946E-4 | 4.05946E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 6.4640294E-6 | 6.8099093E-6 | 6.8099093E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7702688E-5 | 2.9185003E-5 | 2.9185003E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3722803E-4 | 3.5527014E-4 | 3.5527014E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 5.9959093E-6 | 6.3149027E-6 | 6.3149027E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5696501E-5 | 2.7063592E-5 | 2.7063592E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.1280998E-4 | 3.2945E-4 | 3.2945E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 4.929265E-6 | 5.189522E-6 | 5.189522E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.112525E-5 | 2.2240622E-5 | 2.2240622E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5716957E-4 | 2.7074633E-4 | 2.7074633E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 3.8982403E-6 | 4.0990344E-6 | 4.0990344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6706637E-5 | 1.7567174E-5 | 1.7567174E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0338432E-4 | 2.1385962E-4 | 2.1385962E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 2.820968E-6 | 2.9644257E-6 | 2.9644257E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2089806E-5 | 1.27046205E-5 | 1.27046205E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4718344E-4 | 1.5466796E-4 | 1.5466796E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.9314455E-6 | 2.0310288E-6 | 2.0310288E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.277597E-6 | 8.704381E-6 | 8.704381E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0077508E-4 | 1.05970816E-4 | 1.05970816E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 4.9586197E-7 | 5.2327584E-7 | 5.2327584E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.125121E-6 | 2.2426088E-6 | 2.2426088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5873042E-5 | 2.7303442E-5 | 2.7303442E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Trinidad (alt1)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4679825E-4 | 1.4879796E-4 | 1.0136222 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017859744 | 0.0017899672 | 1.0022357 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4679825E-4 | 1.4879796E-4 | 1.0136222 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017859744 | 0.0017899672 | 1.0022357 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4679825E-4 | 1.4879796E-4 | 1.0136222 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017859744 | 0.0017899672 | 1.0022357 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4679825E-4 | 1.4879796E-4 | 1.0136222 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017859744 | 0.0017899672 | 1.0022357 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4679825E-4 | 1.4879796E-4 | 1.0136222 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017859744 | 0.0017899672 | 1.0022357 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4679825E-4 | 1.4879796E-4 | 1.0136222 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017859744 | 0.0017899672 | 1.0022357 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4679825E-4 | 1.4879796E-4 | 1.0136222 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017859744 | 0.0017899672 | 1.0022357 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.0167168E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 3.425463E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928146E-4 | 1.4679825E-4 | 1.4879796E-4 | 1.0136222 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0015728653 | 0.0017859744 | 0.0017899672 | 1.0022357 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.9310444E-5 | 1.9310444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.275668E-5 | 8.475651E-5 | 1.0241653 | 2.0E-6 | 8.9555274E-4 | 0.0010071419 | 0.0010091398 | 1.0019838 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.717077E-5 | 1.9310444E-5 | 1.9310444E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.358694E-5 | 8.275668E-5 | 8.475651E-5 | 1.0241653 | 2.0E-6 | 8.9555274E-4 | 0.0010071419 | 0.0010091398 | 1.0019838 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.2858572E-5 | 1.4420931E-5 | 1.4420931E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5107E-5 | 6.1802704E-5 | 6.1802704E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.707212E-4 | 7.522207E-4 | 7.522207E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.0588431E-5 | 1.1869756E-5 | 1.1869756E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.53782E-5 | 5.0869556E-5 | 5.0869556E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5233954E-4 | 6.191901E-4 | 6.191901E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 8.138061E-6 | 9.1196625E-6 | 9.1196625E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.487694E-5 | 3.9083825E-5 | 3.9083825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2454398E-4 | 4.757668E-4 | 4.757668E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 5.787542E-6 | 6.4983346E-6 | 6.4983346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4803514E-5 | 2.7849832E-5 | 2.7849832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0194095E-4 | 3.390407E-4 | 3.390407E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 4.303563E-6 | 4.8289207E-6 | 4.8289207E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.844371E-5 | 2.0695323E-5 | 2.0695323E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2452902E-4 | 2.5195643E-4 | 2.5195643E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 5.6063425E-7 | 6.172082E-7 | 6.172082E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.402716E-6 | 2.6451753E-6 | 2.6451753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9252675E-5 | 3.220455E-5 | 3.220455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 4.6699128E-7 | 5.1504753E-7 | 5.1504753E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0013897E-6 | 2.2073448E-6 | 2.2073448E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4366647E-5 | 2.6874106E-5 | 2.6874106E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 2.2080937E-7 | 2.4468176E-7 | 2.4468176E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.4632554E-7 | 1.0486358E-6 | 1.0486358E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.15214525E-5 | 1.2767072E-5 | 1.2767072E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.1438307E-8 | 1.2747183E-8 | 1.2747183E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9021317E-8 | 5.4630785E-8 | 5.4630785E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.9683435E-7 | 6.651298E-7 | 6.651298E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bartlett Springs 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 5.2219133E-5 | 6.74522E-5 | 6.945207E-5 | 1.0296487 | 2.0E-6 | 2.237771E-4 | 2.8904915E-4 | 2.9104855E-4 | 1.0069172 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0027210822 | 0.003513544 | 0.0035175302 | 1.0011344 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 5.2212024E-5 | 6.74522E-5 | 6.945207E-5 | 1.0296487 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2374663E-4 | 2.8904915E-4 | 2.9104855E-4 | 1.0069172 | 2.0E-6 | 0.002720712 | 0.003513544 | 0.0035175302 | 1.0011344 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 5.2204425E-5 | 6.74522E-5 | 6.945207E-5 | 1.0296487 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2371406E-4 | 2.8904915E-4 | 2.9104855E-4 | 1.0069172 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0027203166 | 0.003513544 | 0.0035175302 | 1.0011344 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 5.219004E-5 | 6.74522E-5 | 6.945207E-5 | 1.0296487 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2365242E-4 | 2.8904915E-4 | 2.9104855E-4 | 1.0069172 | 2.0E-6 | 0.002719568 | 0.003513544 | 0.0035175302 | 1.0011344 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 5.211827E-5 | 6.738693E-5 | 6.93868E-5 | 1.0296774 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2334489E-4 | 2.8876946E-4 | 2.907689E-4 | 1.0069239 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0027158333 | 0.0035101501 | 0.003514136 | 1.0011356 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 5.204509E-5 | 6.729463E-5 | 6.92945E-5 | 1.029718 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2303131E-4 | 2.88374E-4 | 2.9037343E-4 | 1.0069335 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0027120248 | 0.003505351 | 0.003509337 | 1.0011371 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 5.0085426E-5 | 6.47376E-5 | 6.673747E-5 | 1.0308919 | 2.0E-6 | 2.1463417E-4 | 2.7741762E-4 | 2.794171E-4 | 1.0072074 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0026100394 | 0.0033723777 | 0.0033763642 | 1.0011821 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 4.8930866E-5 | 6.3260144E-5 | 6.526002E-5 | 1.0316135 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0968684E-4 | 2.7108702E-4 | 2.7308648E-4 | 1.0073757 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0025499484 | 0.0032955385 | 0.0032995255 | 1.0012097 | 4.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 4.5679535E-5 | 5.9016318E-5 | 6.10162E-5 | 1.0338869 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9575475E-4 | 2.5290277E-4 | 2.5490226E-4 | 1.0079062 | 2.0E-6 | 0.002380709 | 0.0030747806 | 0.0030767745 | 1.0006485 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 4.1439176E-5 | 5.349754E-5 | 5.5497436E-5 | 1.0373828 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7758438E-4 | 2.2925517E-4 | 2.312547E-4 | 1.008722 | 2.0E-6 | 0.002159946 | 0.0027876338 | 0.0027896282 | 1.0007155 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 3.5920104E-5 | 4.625796E-5 | 4.8257865E-5 | 1.0432338 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5393422E-4 | 1.9823339E-4 | 2.00233E-4 | 1.0100871 | 2.0E-6 | 0.001872538 | 0.002410836 | 0.0024128312 | 1.0008276 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.338812E-5 | 4.291275E-5 | 4.4912667E-5 | 1.0466042 | 2.0E-6 | 1.430841E-4 | 1.838989E-4 | 1.8589853E-4 | 1.0108736 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0017406568 | 0.0022366846 | 0.0022386801 | 1.0008922 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 2.8619615E-5 | 3.6598307E-5 | 3.8598235E-5 | 1.0546453 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2264973E-4 | 1.5684051E-4 | 1.5884021E-4 | 1.0127498 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0014922376 | 0.0019078706 | 0.0019098669 | 1.0010463 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.6376783E-5 | 3.3591412E-5 | 3.5591343E-5 | 1.059537 | 2.0E-6 | 1.13038455E-4 | 1.439553E-4 | 1.4595501E-4 | 1.0138912 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0013753743 | 0.0017512561 | 0.0017532526 | 1.00114 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.3738676E-5 | 3.0118585E-5 | 3.2118525E-5 | 1.0664022 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0173322E-4 | 1.290733E-4 | 1.3107304E-4 | 1.015493 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0012378981 | 0.0015703428 | 0.0015723397 | 1.0012716 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 2.1789481E-5 | 2.7563241E-5 | 2.9563187E-5 | 1.0725584 | 2.0E-6 | 9.338015E-5 | 1.1812287E-4 | 1.2012264E-4 | 1.0169295 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0011363103 | 0.0014372052 | 0.0014392023 | 1.0013896 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 1.3895281E-5 | 1.7444478E-5 | 1.9444444E-5 | 1.1146475 | 2.0E-6 | 5.9549846E-5 | 7.4759926E-5 | 7.6759774E-5 | 1.0267503 | 2.0E-6 | 7.2477816E-4 | 9.0982486E-4 | 9.1182307E-4 | 1.0021962 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 4.245981E-6 | 5.1925585E-6 | 7.1925483E-6 | 1.3851646 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8196934E-5 | 2.2253633E-5 | 2.425359E-5 | 1.0898709 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2152514E-4 | 2.7090448E-4 | 2.7290394E-4 | 1.0073807 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 6.145192E-7 | 7.088857E-7 | 7.088857E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.633651E-6 | 3.0380781E-6 | 3.0380781E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.206423E-5 | 3.6987985E-5 | 3.6987985E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Zayante-Vergeles 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.11522E-6 | 9.43519E-7 | 9.43519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7795056E-6 | 4.0436466E-6 | 6.0436387E-6 | 1.494601 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8188925E-5 | 4.9230297E-5 | 5.12302E-5 | 1.0406234 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.11522E-6 | 9.43519E-7 | 9.43519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7795056E-6 | 4.0436466E-6 | 6.0436387E-6 | 1.494601 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8188925E-5 | 4.9230297E-5 | 5.12302E-5 | 1.0406234 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.11522E-6 | 9.43519E-7 | 9.43519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7795056E-6 | 4.0436466E-6 | 6.0436387E-6 | 1.494601 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8188925E-5 | 4.9230297E-5 | 5.12302E-5 | 1.0406234 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.11522E-6 | 9.43519E-7 | 9.43519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7795056E-6 | 4.0436466E-6 | 6.0436387E-6 | 1.494601 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8188925E-5 | 4.9230297E-5 | 5.12302E-5 | 1.0406234 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.11522E-6 | 9.43519E-7 | 9.43519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7795056E-6 | 4.0436466E-6 | 6.0436387E-6 | 1.494601 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8188925E-5 | 4.9230297E-5 | 5.12302E-5 | 1.0406234 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.11522E-6 | 9.43519E-7 | 9.43519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7795056E-6 | 4.0436466E-6 | 6.0436387E-6 | 1.494601 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8188925E-5 | 4.9230297E-5 | 5.12302E-5 | 1.0406234 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.11522E-6 | 9.43519E-7 | 9.43519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7795056E-6 | 4.0436466E-6 | 6.0436387E-6 | 1.494601 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8188925E-5 | 4.9230297E-5 | 5.12302E-5 | 1.0406234 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.11522E-6 | 9.43519E-7 | 9.43519E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7795056E-6 | 4.0436466E-6 | 6.0436387E-6 | 1.494601 | 2.0E-6 | 5.8188925E-5 | 4.9230297E-5 | 5.12302E-5 | 1.0406234 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 9.608091E-7 | 7.883563E-7 | 7.883563E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1177464E-6 | 3.3786655E-6 | 5.3786584E-6 | 1.5919477 | 2.0E-6 | 5.013241E-5 | 4.1134477E-5 | 4.3134394E-5 | 1.048619 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 9.126062E-7 | 7.3985603E-7 | 7.3985603E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.9111637E-6 | 3.1708075E-6 | 5.170801E-6 | 1.6307521 | 2.0E-6 | 4.7617377E-5 | 3.86039E-5 | 4.0603823E-5 | 1.0518062 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 8.3412164E-7 | 6.609174E-7 | 6.609174E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5748021E-6 | 2.8325E-6 | 4.832494E-6 | 1.7060881 | 2.0E-6 | 4.3522345E-5 | 3.4485143E-5 | 3.648507E-5 | 1.057994 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 7.5248664E-7 | 5.787451E-7 | 5.787451E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2249386E-6 | 2.4803335E-6 | 4.4803287E-6 | 1.8063412 | 2.0E-6 | 3.9262923E-5 | 3.0197643E-5 | 3.2197582E-5 | 1.0662284 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 7.0037134E-7 | 5.26319E-7 | 5.26319E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.001588E-6 | 2.2556508E-6 | 4.255646E-6 | 1.8866601 | 2.0E-6 | 3.6543723E-5 | 2.7462203E-5 | 2.9462148E-5 | 1.0728253 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 6.45065E-7 | 4.712064E-7 | 4.712064E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.764561E-6 | 2.0194543E-6 | 4.0194504E-6 | 1.9903646 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3658012E-5 | 2.458658E-5 | 2.658653E-5 | 1.0813432 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 5.8052325E-7 | 4.0657306E-7 | 4.0657306E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4879546E-6 | 1.7424547E-6 | 3.7424513E-6 | 2.147804 | 2.0E-6 | 3.0290425E-5 | 2.121418E-5 | 2.3214137E-5 | 1.0942745 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 5.3032613E-7 | 3.5653568E-7 | 3.5653568E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2728243E-6 | 1.528009E-6 | 3.528006E-6 | 2.3088908 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7671285E-5 | 1.860335E-5 | 2.0603313E-5 | 1.1075056 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.6 | 4.7034268E-7 | 2.9800196E-7 | 2.9800196E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.015753E-6 | 1.2771505E-6 | 3.277148E-6 | 2.565984 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4541514E-5 | 1.5549196E-5 | 1.7549166E-5 | 1.128622 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.7 | 3.7871462E-7 | 2.0565521E-7 | 2.0565521E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6230616E-6 | 8.8137915E-7 | 2.8813774E-6 | 3.2691689 | 2.0E-6 | 1.9760595E-5 | 1.0730738E-5 | 1.2730717E-5 | 1.1863785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.8 | 2.9379848E-7 | 1.3531887E-7 | 1.3531887E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2591357E-6 | 5.799379E-7 | 2.5799368E-6 | 4.448643 | 2.0E-6 | 1.532987E-5 | 7.0607202E-6 | 9.060706E-6 | 1.2832552 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.9 | 2.125013E-7 | 7.60099E-8 | 7.60099E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.1071956E-7 | 3.2575664E-7 | 2.325756E-6 | 7.13955 | 2.0E-6 | 1.1087954E-5 | 3.96608E-6 | 5.966072E-6 | 1.5042742 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.0 | 1.4631894E-7 | 4.247069E-8 | 4.247069E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2708096E-7 | 1.8201723E-7 | 2.182017E-6 | 11.987968 | 2.0E-6 | 7.634684E-6 | 2.2160575E-6 | 4.216053E-6 | 1.9025017 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.1 | 7.624931E-8 | 1.5120523E-8 | 1.5120523E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.2678273E-7 | 6.480224E-8 | 2.0648022E-6 | 31.86313 | 2.0E-6 | 3.9785723E-6 | 7.8896693E-7 | 2.7889653E-6 | 3.5349584 | 2.0E-6 |
| 8.2 | 5.5641607E-9 | 9.736021E-10 | 9.736021E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3846402E-8 | 4.172582E-9 | 4.172582E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9032992E-7 | 5.0801184E-8 | 5.0801184E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
King Range 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3138857E-5 | 1.3138857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.6308367E-5 | 5.6308367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.853739E-4 | 6.873726E-4 | 1.0029161 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3138857E-5 | 1.3138857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.6308367E-5 | 5.6308367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.853739E-4 | 6.873726E-4 | 1.0029161 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.2462566E-5 | 1.3138857E-5 | 1.3138857E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.34099E-5 | 5.6308367E-5 | 5.6308367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.5007154E-4 | 6.853739E-4 | 6.873726E-4 | 1.0029161 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.311769E-6 | 8.311769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5621455E-5 | 3.5621455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.3361794E-4 | 4.3561708E-4 | 1.0046103 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 7.988484E-6 | 8.311769E-6 | 8.311769E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.423591E-5 | 3.5621455E-5 | 3.5621455E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1674246E-4 | 4.3361794E-4 | 4.3561708E-4 | 1.0046103 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 5.0522513E-6 | 5.169708E-6 | 5.169708E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1652326E-5 | 2.215571E-5 | 2.215571E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6358519E-4 | 2.6971332E-4 | 2.6971332E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 4.53682E-6 | 4.6245445E-6 | 4.6245445E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.944337E-5 | 1.9819328E-5 | 1.9819328E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3669732E-4 | 2.4127422E-4 | 2.4127422E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 4.1144335E-6 | 4.1813837E-6 | 4.1813837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7633167E-5 | 1.7920096E-5 | 1.7920096E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1466266E-4 | 2.1815572E-4 | 2.1815572E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 3.8321214E-6 | 3.8895387E-6 | 3.8895387E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6423275E-5 | 1.6669348E-5 | 1.6669348E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9993502E-4 | 2.0293074E-4 | 2.0293074E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 3.4999944E-6 | 3.5436128E-6 | 3.5436128E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.499989E-5 | 1.5186825E-5 | 1.5186825E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8260835E-4 | 1.8488416E-4 | 1.8488416E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.9470837E-6 | 2.9625867E-6 | 2.9625867E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.26302975E-5 | 1.2696739E-5 | 1.2696739E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5376302E-4 | 1.5457202E-4 | 1.5457202E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 2.4850247E-6 | 2.4685664E-6 | 2.4685664E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0650062E-5 | 1.0579529E-5 | 1.0579529E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.296568E-4 | 1.2879829E-4 | 1.2879829E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 2.1800304E-6 | 2.143196E-6 | 2.143196E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.342954E-6 | 9.185094E-6 | 9.185094E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1374453E-4 | 1.11822876E-4 | 1.11822876E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 2.0378504E-6 | 2.0099344E-6 | 2.0099344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.733615E-6 | 8.613977E-6 | 8.613977E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0632657E-4 | 1.0487022E-4 | 1.0487022E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.4577047E-6 | 1.4430402E-6 | 1.4430402E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.247291E-6 | 6.1844435E-6 | 6.1844435E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.605811E-5 | 7.529308E-5 | 7.529308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 8.0685743E-7 | 6.790122E-7 | 6.790122E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.457956E-6 | 2.9100493E-6 | 2.9100493E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.20998E-5 | 3.5429322E-5 | 3.5429322E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 3.1239435E-7 | 1.5051606E-7 | 1.5051606E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3388321E-6 | 6.450687E-7 | 6.450687E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.630016E-5 | 7.853684E-6 | 7.853684E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.7747207E-7 | 5.5802264E-8 | 5.5802264E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.605944E-7 | 2.3915254E-7 | 2.3915254E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.260198E-6 | 2.9116786E-6 | 2.9116786E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 2.1035538E-8 | 2.7004552E-9 | 2.7004552E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0152305E-8 | 1.1573381E-8 | 1.1573381E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0976038E-6 | 1.4090591E-7 | 1.4090591E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 1.4782963E-9 | 3.0653258E-12 | 3.0653258E-12 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.335555E-9 | 1.3137935E-11 | 1.3137935E-11 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.713538E-8 | 1.5995638E-10 | 1.5995638E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Russ 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013761763 | 0.0013781735 | 1.0014513 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013761763 | 0.0013781735 | 1.0014513 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013761763 | 0.0013781735 | 1.0014513 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013761763 | 0.0013781735 | 1.0014513 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013761763 | 0.0013781735 | 1.0014513 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013761763 | 0.0013781735 | 1.0014513 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 2.3806366E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 2.6390851E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0202329E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.1309911E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0012414258 | 0.0013761763 | 0.0013781735 | 1.0014513 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.6515693E-5 | 1.8281184E-5 | 1.8281184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077962E-5 | 7.8345765E-5 | 7.8345765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6140115E-4 | 9.5347647E-4 | 9.5547456E-4 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.6515693E-5 | 1.8281184E-5 | 1.8281184E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077962E-5 | 7.8345765E-5 | 7.8345765E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.6140115E-4 | 9.5347647E-4 | 9.5547456E-4 | 1.0020956 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.2971182E-5 | 1.4346402E-5 | 1.4346402E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5589593E-5 | 6.1483275E-5 | 6.1483275E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.765931E-4 | 7.48328E-4 | 7.503265E-4 | 1.0026706 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.0201805E-5 | 1.12787175E-5 | 1.12787175E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.3721288E-5 | 4.8336584E-5 | 4.8336584E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.3217664E-4 | 5.8836E-4 | 5.903588E-4 | 1.0033972 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 8.3744935E-6 | 9.259346E-6 | 9.259346E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5890193E-5 | 3.9682414E-5 | 3.9682414E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.368755E-4 | 4.8304503E-4 | 4.8504406E-4 | 1.0041384 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 6.649391E-6 | 7.354201E-6 | 7.354201E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8497077E-5 | 3.1517717E-5 | 3.1517717E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4689668E-4 | 3.8367743E-4 | 3.8567666E-4 | 1.0052108 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 4.9549312E-6 | 5.4824395E-6 | 5.4824395E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1235246E-5 | 2.3496043E-5 | 2.3496043E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5850846E-4 | 2.8604164E-4 | 2.8804105E-4 | 1.00699 | 2.0E-6 |
Independence rev 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8570865E-5 | 2.0570827E-5 | 1.1076936 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.260798E-4 | 2.2807936E-4 | 1.0088444 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8570865E-5 | 2.0570827E-5 | 1.1076936 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.260798E-4 | 2.2807936E-4 | 1.0088444 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8570865E-5 | 2.0570827E-5 | 1.1076936 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.260798E-4 | 2.2807936E-4 | 1.0088444 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8570865E-5 | 2.0570827E-5 | 1.1076936 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.260798E-4 | 2.2807936E-4 | 1.0088444 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8570865E-5 | 2.0570827E-5 | 1.1076936 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.260798E-4 | 2.2807936E-4 | 1.0088444 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 4.422171E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 4.333229E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8952025E-5 | 1.8570865E-5 | 2.0570827E-5 | 1.1076936 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3071647E-4 | 2.260798E-4 | 2.2807936E-4 | 1.0088444 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5371444E-6 | 2.5371444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0873433E-5 | 1.2873412E-5 | 1.1839325 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.323765E-4 | 1.3437624E-4 | 1.0151064 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 2.663744E-6 | 2.5371444E-6 | 2.5371444E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1415996E-5 | 1.0873433E-5 | 1.2873412E-5 | 1.1839325 | 2.0E-6 | 1.3898089E-4 | 1.323765E-4 | 1.3437624E-4 | 1.0151064 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.9716529E-6 | 1.8366794E-6 | 1.8366794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.449913E-6 | 7.87146E-6 | 9.8714445E-6 | 1.2540804 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0287284E-4 | 9.583095E-5 | 9.783076E-5 | 1.0208681 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.8788617E-6 | 1.7472505E-6 | 1.7472505E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0522395E-6 | 7.488196E-6 | 9.488181E-6 | 1.2670851 | 2.0E-6 | 9.80316E-5 | 9.116509E-5 | 9.316491E-5 | 1.0219362 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 1.5045488E-6 | 1.388472E-6 | 1.388472E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.44805E-6 | 5.950581E-6 | 7.950569E-6 | 1.3360996 | 2.0E-6 | 7.8502184E-5 | 7.244597E-5 | 7.444582E-5 | 1.0276048 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 1.272341E-6 | 1.1655843E-6 | 1.1655843E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.4528787E-6 | 4.995352E-6 | 6.9953417E-6 | 1.4003702 | 2.0E-6 | 6.6386776E-5 | 6.0816743E-5 | 6.281662E-5 | 1.0328836 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.0416892E-6 | 9.4364316E-7 | 9.4364316E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464375E-6 | 4.0441787E-6 | 6.0441707E-6 | 1.4945359 | 2.0E-6 | 5.4352407E-5 | 4.9236784E-5 | 5.1236686E-5 | 1.0406181 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 7.9450155E-7 | 7.2549824E-7 | 7.2549824E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.4050022E-6 | 3.1092745E-6 | 3.1092745E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.1455114E-5 | 3.785477E-5 | 3.785477E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 5.3893444E-7 | 5.0320665E-7 | 5.0320665E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.309717E-6 | 2.1565982E-6 | 2.1565982E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.8120441E-5 | 2.625627E-5 | 2.625627E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 3.8852085E-7 | 3.6908764E-7 | 3.6908764E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6650882E-6 | 1.5818032E-6 | 1.5818032E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.027226E-5 | 1.9258287E-5 | 1.9258287E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.414929E-7 | 2.3501006E-7 | 2.3501006E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0349692E-6 | 1.0071856E-6 | 1.0071856E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2600677E-5 | 1.2262417E-5 | 1.2262417E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 6.8298014E-8 | 6.867719E-8 | 6.867719E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9270575E-7 | 2.9433076E-7 | 2.9433076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5636867E-6 | 3.5834717E-6 | 3.5834717E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Breckenridge 2011
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.751778E-7 | 2.6751763E-6 | 3.9621809 | 2.0E-6 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.893616E-6 | 4.8936104E-6 | 1.6911747 | 2.0E-6 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5229226E-5 | 3.7229154E-5 | 1.056769 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.751778E-7 | 2.6751763E-6 | 3.9621809 | 2.0E-6 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.893616E-6 | 4.8936104E-6 | 1.6911747 | 2.0E-6 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5229226E-5 | 3.7229154E-5 | 1.056769 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.1490393E-6 | 6.751778E-7 | 2.6751763E-6 | 3.9621809 | 2.0E-6 | 4.924445E-6 | 2.893616E-6 | 4.8936104E-6 | 1.6911747 | 2.0E-6 | 5.995347E-5 | 3.5229226E-5 | 3.7229154E-5 | 1.056769 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.8998006E-7 | 2.589979E-6 | 4.389943 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5284837E-6 | 4.5284787E-6 | 1.790986 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0783864E-5 | 3.2783802E-5 | 1.0649672 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.8998006E-7 | 2.589979E-6 | 4.389943 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5284837E-6 | 4.5284787E-6 | 1.790986 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0783864E-5 | 3.2783802E-5 | 1.0649672 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.8998006E-7 | 2.589979E-6 | 4.389943 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5284837E-6 | 4.5284787E-6 | 1.790986 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0783864E-5 | 3.2783802E-5 | 1.0649672 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.064617E-6 | 5.8998006E-7 | 2.589979E-6 | 4.389943 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5626366E-6 | 2.5284837E-6 | 4.5284787E-6 | 1.790986 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5548684E-5 | 3.0783864E-5 | 3.2783802E-5 | 1.0649672 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 9.4219524E-7 | 4.9655205E-7 | 4.9655205E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.037973E-6 | 2.1280787E-6 | 2.1280787E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.916122E-5 | 2.5909056E-5 | 2.5909056E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 8.556422E-7 | 4.3224992E-7 | 4.3224992E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.667033E-6 | 1.8524984E-6 | 1.8524984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.464521E-5 | 2.2553939E-5 | 2.2553939E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 7.7357794E-7 | 3.851445E-7 | 3.851445E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3153299E-6 | 1.6506182E-6 | 1.6506182E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0363393E-5 | 2.0096095E-5 | 2.0096095E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 6.8172454E-7 | 3.3553076E-7 | 3.3553076E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9216735E-6 | 1.4379882E-6 | 1.4379882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5570793E-5 | 1.7507367E-5 | 1.7507367E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 5.5936397E-7 | 2.897347E-7 | 2.897347E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.397272E-6 | 1.2417195E-6 | 1.2417195E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9186394E-5 | 1.5117832E-5 | 1.5117832E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 3.8420822E-7 | 2.0512155E-7 | 2.0512155E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6466057E-6 | 8.7909206E-7 | 8.7909206E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.004724E-5 | 1.0702894E-5 | 1.0702894E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 2.6405158E-7 | 1.6504227E-7 | 1.6504227E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1316491E-6 | 7.073238E-7 | 7.073238E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.37777415E-5 | 8.611633E-6 | 8.611633E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.792114E-7 | 1.2746962E-7 | 1.2746962E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.6804866E-7 | 5.462982E-7 | 5.462982E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.3509525E-6 | 6.651161E-6 | 6.651161E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.3548703E-7 | 9.402058E-8 | 9.402058E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8065854E-7 | 4.029453E-7 | 4.029453E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0694946E-6 | 4.905848E-6 | 4.905848E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.572245E-8 | 1.7383709E-8 | 1.7383709E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.10239064E-7 | 7.450161E-8 | 7.450161E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3421597E-6 | 9.0705674E-7 | 9.0705674E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
McKinleyville (alt1)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.136872E-4 | 6.15686E-4 | 1.003257 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.136872E-4 | 6.15686E-4 | 1.003257 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.136872E-4 | 6.15686E-4 | 1.003257 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.136872E-4 | 6.15686E-4 | 1.003257 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.136872E-4 | 6.15686E-4 | 1.003257 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.136872E-4 | 6.15686E-4 | 1.003257 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.1028524E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.1764306E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7264242E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 5.041762E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7529024E-4 | 6.136872E-4 | 6.15686E-4 | 1.003257 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.9394127E-6 | 6.9394127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.9740037E-5 | 2.9740037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.6203105E-4 | 3.640303E-4 | 1.0055224 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 6.483374E-6 | 6.9394127E-6 | 6.9394127E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7785592E-5 | 2.9740037E-5 | 2.9740037E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.3823706E-4 | 3.6203105E-4 | 3.640303E-4 | 1.0055224 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 4.0394048E-6 | 4.3608793E-6 | 4.3608793E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.731162E-5 | 1.8689352E-5 | 1.8689352E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1074859E-4 | 2.2751965E-4 | 2.295192E-4 | 1.0087885 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 3.7791233E-6 | 4.0870536E-6 | 4.0870536E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6196142E-5 | 1.7515831E-5 | 1.7515831E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9717019E-4 | 2.1323486E-4 | 2.1523444E-4 | 1.0093774 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 3.675443E-6 | 3.978088E-6 | 3.978088E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5751802E-5 | 1.704884E-5 | 1.704884E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9176133E-4 | 2.0755036E-4 | 2.0954994E-4 | 1.0096343 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 3.0165843E-6 | 3.2849637E-6 | 3.2849637E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2928153E-5 | 1.4078341E-5 | 1.4078341E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.573889E-4 | 1.7139051E-4 | 1.7339017E-4 | 1.0116673 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.307633E-6 | 2.5293973E-6 | 2.5293973E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.889818E-6 | 1.0840229E-5 | 1.0840229E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2040188E-4 | 1.3197189E-4 | 1.3397163E-4 | 1.0151527 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.4 | 2.0568484E-6 | 2.261322E-6 | 2.261322E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.8150355E-6 | 9.691344E-6 | 9.691344E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0731777E-4 | 1.179858E-4 | 1.1998556E-4 | 1.0169492 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.5 | 1.7674889E-6 | 1.9498927E-6 | 1.9498927E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.5749304E-6 | 8.3566565E-6 | 8.3566565E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.222087E-5 | 1.01737605E-4 | 1.01737605E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.2944297E-6 | 1.4360725E-6 | 1.4360725E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.547544E-6 | 6.154582E-6 | 6.154582E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.753925E-5 | 7.492951E-5 | 7.492951E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 5.806243E-7 | 6.49168E-7 | 6.49168E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4883875E-6 | 2.7821457E-6 | 2.7821457E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0295698E-5 | 3.3872115E-5 | 3.3872115E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 1.6121008E-7 | 1.8278989E-7 | 1.8278989E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.909002E-7 | 7.83385E-7 | 7.83385E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.411677E-6 | 9.537674E-6 | 9.537674E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Little Salmon (Onshore)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0028039361 | 0.0028059306 | 1.0007113 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0028039361 | 0.0028059306 | 1.0007113 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0028039361 | 0.0028059306 | 1.0007113 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0028039361 | 0.0028059306 | 1.0007113 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0028039361 | 0.0028059306 | 1.0007113 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0028039361 | 0.0028059306 | 1.0007113 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0028039361 | 0.0028059306 | 1.0007113 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 4.1582247E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 5.3793094E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7819746E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 2.3052648E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0021673953 | 0.0028039361 | 0.0028059306 | 1.0007113 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 3.4607925E-5 | 4.255682E-5 | 4.255682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4831126E-4 | 1.8237818E-4 | 1.8237818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001804194 | 0.0022190018 | 0.0022190018 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 3.4607925E-5 | 4.255682E-5 | 4.255682E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4831126E-4 | 1.8237818E-4 | 1.8237818E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.001804194 | 0.0022190018 | 0.0022190018 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 1.8411014E-5 | 1.8035105E-5 | 1.8035105E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.8901954E-5 | 7.729135E-5 | 7.729135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.6020795E-4 | 9.4067433E-4 | 9.4067433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.6183103E-5 | 1.48703875E-5 | 1.48703875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.935431E-5 | 6.372897E-5 | 6.372897E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.440616E-4 | 7.756761E-4 | 7.756761E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.4868988E-5 | 1.3200066E-5 | 1.3200066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.372268E-5 | 5.6570763E-5 | 5.6570763E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.755474E-4 | 6.8858097E-4 | 6.8858097E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 9.3599865E-6 | 8.063669E-6 | 8.063669E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.011361E-5 | 3.4558347E-5 | 3.4558347E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.8827377E-4 | 4.2070576E-4 | 4.2070576E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 5.941556E-6 | 5.1898655E-6 | 5.1898655E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5463563E-5 | 2.224228E-5 | 2.224228E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0997477E-4 | 2.7079976E-4 | 2.7079976E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Walker Spring 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 8.791276E-6 | 9.246546E-6 | 1.1246528E-5 | 1.216295 | 2.0E-6 | 3.767635E-5 | 3.9627517E-5 | 4.1627438E-5 | 1.050468 | 2.0E-6 | 4.58613E-4 | 4.82369E-4 | 4.8436804E-4 | 1.0041442 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 8.791276E-6 | 9.246546E-6 | 1.1246528E-5 | 1.216295 | 2.0E-6 | 3.767635E-5 | 3.9627517E-5 | 4.1627438E-5 | 1.050468 | 2.0E-6 | 4.58613E-4 | 4.82369E-4 | 4.8436804E-4 | 1.0041442 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 5.654515E-6 | 5.988905E-6 | 5.988905E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4233412E-5 | 2.5666512E-5 | 2.5666512E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9500184E-4 | 3.1244996E-4 | 3.1244996E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.3 | 4.591685E-6 | 4.8869383E-6 | 4.8869383E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.96785E-5 | 2.0943879E-5 | 2.0943879E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.395594E-4 | 2.5496623E-4 | 2.5496623E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.4 | 4.243283E-6 | 4.5152033E-6 | 4.5152033E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8185372E-5 | 1.9350751E-5 | 1.9350751E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.2138441E-4 | 2.3557415E-4 | 2.3557415E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.5 | 3.4445666E-6 | 3.6801773E-6 | 3.6801773E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4762345E-5 | 1.5772117E-5 | 1.5772117E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7971672E-4 | 1.9201261E-4 | 1.9201261E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 2.68766E-6 | 2.874629E-6 | 2.874629E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1518492E-5 | 1.23198015E-5 | 1.23198015E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4022861E-4 | 1.4998706E-4 | 1.4998706E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 5.880964E-7 | 6.1855434E-7 | 6.1855434E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5204106E-6 | 2.6509451E-6 | 2.6509451E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0685565E-5 | 3.2274875E-5 | 3.2274875E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 1.6514163E-7 | 1.7360647E-7 | 1.7360647E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.077497E-7 | 7.440277E-7 | 7.440277E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.616818E-6 | 9.058537E-6 | 9.058537E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Mohawk Valley 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.5425423E-5 | 2.7767002E-5 | 2.7767002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0896155E-4 | 1.1899663E-4 | 1.1899663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013257994 | 0.0014479307 | 0.0014499278 | 1.0013793 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.5425423E-5 | 2.7767002E-5 | 2.7767002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0896155E-4 | 1.1899663E-4 | 1.1899663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013257994 | 0.0014479307 | 0.0014499278 | 1.0013793 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 2.5425423E-5 | 2.7767002E-5 | 2.7767002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0896155E-4 | 1.1899663E-4 | 1.1899663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013257994 | 0.0014479307 | 0.0014499278 | 1.0013793 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 2.5425423E-5 | 2.7767002E-5 | 2.7767002E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0896155E-4 | 1.1899663E-4 | 1.1899663E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0013257994 | 0.0014479307 | 0.0014499278 | 1.0013793 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.1812642E-5 | 1.28155625E-5 | 1.28155625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0624625E-5 | 5.492277E-5 | 5.492277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161805E-4 | 6.684944E-4 | 6.684944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.5 | 1.1812642E-5 | 1.28155625E-5 | 1.28155625E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0624625E-5 | 5.492277E-5 | 5.492277E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.161805E-4 | 6.684944E-4 | 6.684944E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 9.34204E-6 | 1.01257665E-5 | 1.01257665E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0036703E-5 | 4.3395485E-5 | 4.3395485E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.873378E-4 | 5.282238E-4 | 5.282238E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 7.0661854E-6 | 7.654649E-6 | 7.654649E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.02833E-5 | 3.280528E-5 | 3.280528E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.686368E-4 | 3.9934024E-4 | 3.9934024E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 4.806676E-6 | 5.2079845E-6 | 5.2079845E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0599877E-5 | 2.231978E-5 | 2.231978E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.507746E-4 | 2.7171586E-4 | 2.7171586E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 3.4163209E-6 | 3.7037828E-6 | 3.7037828E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4641293E-5 | 1.587329E-5 | 1.587329E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7824316E-4 | 1.9324562E-4 | 1.9324562E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.5271734E-6 | 2.7421534E-6 | 2.7421534E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0830699E-5 | 1.175206E-5 | 1.175206E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3185578E-4 | 1.4307692E-4 | 1.4307692E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Bear River fault zone
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.3773342E-5 | 2.7166749E-5 | 2.9166693E-5 | 1.0736175 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0188177E-4 | 1.1642426E-4 | 1.18424025E-4 | 1.0171765 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0012397047 | 0.0014166386 | 0.0014186357 | 1.0014098 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.3773342E-5 | 2.7166749E-5 | 2.9166693E-5 | 1.0736175 | 2.0E-6 | 1.0188177E-4 | 1.1642426E-4 | 1.18424025E-4 | 1.0171765 | 2.0E-6 | 0.0012397047 | 0.0014166386 | 0.0014186357 | 1.0014098 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.5973403E-5 | 1.8183058E-5 | 2.018302E-5 | 1.1099905 | 2.0E-6 | 6.845564E-5 | 7.79252E-5 | 7.992504E-5 | 1.0256636 | 2.0E-6 | 8.3312875E-4 | 9.483502E-4 | 9.5034833E-4 | 1.0021069 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.5973403E-5 | 1.8183058E-5 | 2.018302E-5 | 1.1099905 | 2.0E-6 | 6.845564E-5 | 7.79252E-5 | 7.992504E-5 | 1.0256636 | 2.0E-6 | 8.3312875E-4 | 9.483502E-4 | 9.5034833E-4 | 1.0021069 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.3027338E-5 | 1.484047E-5 | 1.684044E-5 | 1.1347647 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5830256E-5 | 6.360054E-5 | 6.560041E-5 | 1.0314443 | 2.0E-6 | 6.7952136E-4 | 7.740755E-4 | 7.7607395E-4 | 1.0025817 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.2489152E-5 | 1.4239816E-5 | 1.6239788E-5 | 1.1404493 | 2.0E-6 | 5.352384E-5 | 6.1026432E-5 | 6.302631E-5 | 1.0327706 | 2.0E-6 | 6.514579E-4 | 7.4275734E-4 | 7.4475585E-4 | 1.0026907 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.1662849E-5 | 1.331925E-5 | 1.5319223E-5 | 1.1501566 | 2.0E-6 | 4.9982682E-5 | 5.7081324E-5 | 5.9081212E-5 | 1.0350357 | 2.0E-6 | 6.083692E-4 | 6.947566E-4 | 6.9675525E-4 | 1.0028768 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.0667623E-5 | 1.2213292E-5 | 1.42132685E-5 | 1.163754 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5717585E-5 | 5.23417E-5 | 5.4341595E-5 | 1.0382085 | 2.0E-6 | 5.5646943E-4 | 6.370858E-4 | 6.3908455E-4 | 1.0031374 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 9.154534E-6 | 1.0535847E-5 | 1.2535826E-5 | 1.1898261 | 2.0E-6 | 3.923313E-5 | 4.5152905E-5 | 4.7152815E-5 | 1.044292 | 2.0E-6 | 4.7755867E-4 | 5.496086E-4 | 5.516075E-4 | 1.003637 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 7.68501E-6 | 8.914446E-6 | 1.09144285E-5 | 1.224353 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2935342E-5 | 3.8204264E-5 | 4.0204188E-5 | 1.0523481 | 2.0E-6 | 4.0091402E-4 | 4.6504705E-4 | 4.6704613E-4 | 1.0042987 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 5.7315733E-6 | 6.761704E-6 | 8.76169E-6 | 1.2957815 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4563653E-5 | 2.8978433E-5 | 3.0978375E-5 | 1.0690148 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9902143E-4 | 3.527596E-4 | 3.5475893E-4 | 1.0056676 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 5.566844E-6 | 6.5685717E-6 | 8.568559E-6 | 1.3044782 | 2.0E-6 | 2.3857683E-5 | 2.8150742E-5 | 3.0150686E-5 | 1.0710441 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9042858E-4 | 3.426857E-4 | 3.4468502E-4 | 1.0058342 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 4.011353E-6 | 4.7139174E-6 | 6.713908E-6 | 1.4242736 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7191402E-5 | 2.0202368E-5 | 2.2202326E-5 | 1.0989963 | 2.0E-6 | 2.0928521E-4 | 2.4593956E-4 | 2.4793905E-4 | 1.0081301 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 2.0974871E-6 | 2.4598003E-6 | 4.4597955E-6 | 1.8130721 | 2.0E-6 | 8.989199E-6 | 1.0541973E-5 | 1.2541952E-5 | 1.1897157 | 2.0E-6 | 1.09438006E-4 | 1.2834351E-4 | 1.3034325E-4 | 1.0155811 | 2.0E-6 |
Silver Creek 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.5229125E-6 | 3.9855913E-6 | 5.9855834E-6 | 1.5018055 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5098109E-5 | 1.7080996E-5 | 1.9080962E-5 | 1.1170872 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8380396E-4 | 2.0794166E-4 | 2.0994124E-4 | 1.0096161 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 3.5229125E-6 | 3.9855913E-6 | 5.9855834E-6 | 1.5018055 | 2.0E-6 | 1.5098109E-5 | 1.7080996E-5 | 1.9080962E-5 | 1.1170872 | 2.0E-6 | 1.8380396E-4 | 2.0794166E-4 | 2.0994124E-4 | 1.0096161 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 2.6363234E-6 | 3.0874148E-6 | 3.0874148E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.129848E-5 | 1.3231711E-5 | 1.3231711E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.375503E-4 | 1.6108423E-4 | 1.6108423E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.3 | 2.5275126E-6 | 2.9769776E-6 | 2.9769776E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0832152E-5 | 1.27584135E-5 | 1.27584135E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3187347E-4 | 1.5532266E-4 | 1.5532266E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.4 | 2.178732E-6 | 2.6427488E-6 | 2.6427488E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.337389E-6 | 1.1326017E-5 | 1.1326017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1367678E-4 | 1.3788557E-4 | 1.3788557E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.5 | 2.0341574E-6 | 2.5005918E-6 | 2.5005918E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.717788E-6 | 1.0716778E-5 | 1.0716778E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.061339E-4 | 1.3046898E-4 | 1.3046898E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.6 | 1.8856827E-6 | 2.3299783E-6 | 2.3299783E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0814725E-6 | 9.985583E-6 | 9.985583E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.838748E-5 | 1.2156772E-4 | 1.2156772E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.7 | 1.6844668E-6 | 2.0848797E-6 | 2.0848797E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2191233E-6 | 8.935168E-6 | 8.935168E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.788928E-5 | 1.0878026E-4 | 1.0878026E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 1.5177161E-6 | 1.855882E-6 | 1.855882E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.504481E-6 | 7.953756E-6 | 7.953756E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.918918E-5 | 9.6832686E-5 | 9.6832686E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 1.3437394E-6 | 1.6110237E-6 | 1.6110237E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.7588704E-6 | 6.904369E-6 | 6.904369E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.011199E-5 | 8.405746E-5 | 8.405746E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 1.1563575E-6 | 1.3805129E-6 | 1.3805129E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.9558084E-6 | 5.9164704E-6 | 5.9164704E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.03353E-5 | 7.203065E-5 | 7.203065E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 8.602183E-7 | 1.0302025E-6 | 1.0302025E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.6866445E-6 | 4.415146E-6 | 4.415146E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.4883975E-5 | 5.375308E-5 | 5.375308E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 6.788407E-7 | 7.981237E-7 | 7.981237E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.9093142E-6 | 3.420526E-6 | 3.420526E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.5420322E-5 | 4.1644107E-5 | 4.1644107E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 5.1292045E-7 | 5.986054E-7 | 5.986054E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.1982287E-6 | 2.5654492E-6 | 2.5654492E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.6763106E-5 | 3.12339E-5 | 3.12339E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 3.820994E-7 | 4.298412E-7 | 4.298412E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6375678E-6 | 1.8421753E-6 | 1.8421753E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.9937206E-5 | 2.2428254E-5 | 2.2428254E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 2.2292595E-7 | 2.246011E-7 | 2.246011E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.553966E-7 | 9.625758E-7 | 9.625758E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.16318915E-5 | 1.1719297E-5 | 1.1719297E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 1.420587E-7 | 1.2387738E-7 | 1.2387738E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.088228E-7 | 5.30903E-7 | 5.30903E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.4123927E-6 | 6.4637247E-6 | 6.4637247E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.7 | 1.1250075E-7 | 8.124419E-8 | 8.124419E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.82146E-7 | 3.4818933E-7 | 3.4818933E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.8701116E-6 | 4.239197E-6 | 4.239197E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.8 | 8.592761E-8 | 4.562045E-8 | 4.562045E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.682611E-7 | 1.9551621E-7 | 1.9551621E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.48357E-6 | 2.380407E-6 | 2.380407E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.9 | 6.156529E-8 | 1.6540161E-8 | 1.6540161E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.638512E-7 | 7.08864E-8 | 7.08864E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.212384E-6 | 8.6304163E-7 | 8.6304163E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.0 | 2.9230547E-8 | 3.3568723E-9 | 3.3568723E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2527377E-7 | 1.4386593E-8 | 1.4386593E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.525207E-6 | 1.7515677E-7 | 1.7515677E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 8.1 | 5.6062213E-9 | 7.0709083E-10 | 7.0709083E-10 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4026663E-8 | 3.0303875E-9 | 3.0303875E-9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.925246E-7 | 3.689497E-8 | 3.689497E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Canada David (Detachment)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 3.2736298E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 2.9670352E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4029766E-5 | 1.2715811E-5 | 1.4715785E-5 | 1.1572825 | 2.0E-6 | 1.7079902E-4 | 1.5480528E-4 | 1.5680498E-4 | 1.0129174 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 2.4914223E-6 | 2.1648732E-6 | 2.1648732E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.067748E-5 | 9.277998E-6 | 9.277998E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2999057E-4 | 1.1295433E-4 | 1.1295433E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.4482404E-6 | 2.1226929E-6 | 2.1226929E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0492417E-5 | 9.097226E-6 | 9.097226E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2773767E-4 | 1.1075366E-4 | 1.1075366E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 1.7887576E-6 | 1.4614034E-6 | 1.4614034E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.666081E-6 | 6.2631443E-6 | 6.2631443E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.333054E-5 | 7.6251425E-5 | 7.6251425E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 9.723109E-7 | 7.2132633E-7 | 7.2132633E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.16704E-6 | 3.0913957E-6 | 3.0913957E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.073253E-5 | 3.7637263E-5 | 3.7637263E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Great Valley 13 (Coalinga)
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 1.25701345E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3870892E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 6.556807E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 1.25701345E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3870892E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 6.556807E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 1.25701345E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3870892E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 6.556807E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 1.25701345E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3870892E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 6.556807E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.25701345E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3870892E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 6.556807E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.25701345E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3870892E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 6.556807E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 1.25701345E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3870892E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 6.556807E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 1.25701345E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 5.3870892E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 6.556807E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 1.0720415E-5 | 1.8445978E-6 | 3.844594E-6 | 2.0842452 | 2.0E-6 | 4.5943823E-5 | 7.905396E-6 | 9.9053805E-6 | 1.2529898 | 2.0E-6 | 5.592225E-4 | 9.624415E-5 | 9.824396E-5 | 1.0207785 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 1.0485409E-5 | 1.8402841E-6 | 3.8402804E-6 | 2.0867867 | 2.0E-6 | 4.4936693E-5 | 7.886909E-6 | 9.886893E-6 | 1.2535827 | 2.0E-6 | 5.469669E-4 | 9.601909E-5 | 9.801889E-5 | 1.0208272 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 6.3302773E-6 | 1.8350304E-6 | 3.8350267E-6 | 2.089898 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7129478E-5 | 7.864393E-6 | 9.864378E-6 | 1.2543088 | 2.0E-6 | 3.3025132E-4 | 9.574498E-5 | 9.774479E-5 | 1.0208868 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 6.022003E-6 | 1.7845124E-6 | 3.7845089E-6 | 2.1207523 | 2.0E-6 | 2.5808331E-5 | 7.647889E-6 | 9.647873E-6 | 1.2615081 | 2.0E-6 | 3.141711E-4 | 9.3109265E-5 | 9.510908E-5 | 1.0214782 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 5.671345E-6 | 1.7233708E-6 | 3.7233674E-6 | 2.1605144 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4305538E-5 | 7.385855E-6 | 9.385841E-6 | 1.2707859 | 2.0E-6 | 2.9587973E-4 | 8.9919275E-5 | 9.191909E-5 | 1.0222402 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.3 | 4.8831785E-6 | 1.4881037E-6 | 1.4881037E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.092774E-5 | 6.377573E-6 | 6.377573E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5476544E-4 | 7.7644356E-5 | 7.7644356E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 2.4837766E-6 | 9.878614E-7 | 9.878614E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0644713E-5 | 4.233685E-6 | 4.233685E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2959167E-4 | 5.1543964E-5 | 5.1543964E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.5002679E-6 | 6.5927463E-7 | 6.5927463E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4297037E-6 | 2.82546E-6 | 2.82546E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.827883E-5 | 3.4399472E-5 | 3.4399472E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
Battle Creek 2011 CFM
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 6.0215425E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5806356E-5 | 2.6561742E-5 | 2.8561688E-5 | 1.0752943 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1414707E-4 | 3.2334783E-4 | 3.2534718E-4 | 1.0061833 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 6.0215425E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5806356E-5 | 2.6561742E-5 | 2.8561688E-5 | 1.0752943 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1414707E-4 | 3.2334783E-4 | 3.2534718E-4 | 1.0061833 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 6.0215425E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5806356E-5 | 2.6561742E-5 | 2.8561688E-5 | 1.0752943 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1414707E-4 | 3.2334783E-4 | 3.2534718E-4 | 1.0061833 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 6.0215425E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5806356E-5 | 2.6561742E-5 | 2.8561688E-5 | 1.0752943 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1414707E-4 | 3.2334783E-4 | 3.2534718E-4 | 1.0061833 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 6.0215425E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5806356E-5 | 2.6561742E-5 | 2.8561688E-5 | 1.0752943 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1414707E-4 | 3.2334783E-4 | 3.2534718E-4 | 1.0061833 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 6.0215425E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5806356E-5 | 2.6561742E-5 | 2.8561688E-5 | 1.0752943 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1414707E-4 | 3.2334783E-4 | 3.2534718E-4 | 1.0061833 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 6.0215425E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 6.197794E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5806356E-5 | 2.6561742E-5 | 2.8561688E-5 | 1.0752943 | 2.0E-6 | 3.1414707E-4 | 3.2334783E-4 | 3.2534718E-4 | 1.0061833 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 3.5769701E-6 | 3.6803992E-6 | 3.6803992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5329782E-5 | 1.5773066E-5 | 1.5773066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8662411E-4 | 1.9202405E-4 | 1.9202405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.8 | 3.5769701E-6 | 3.6803992E-6 | 3.6803992E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5329782E-5 | 1.5773066E-5 | 1.5773066E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.8662411E-4 | 1.9202405E-4 | 1.9202405E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 6.9 | 2.7928356E-6 | 2.8732313E-6 | 2.8732313E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1969241E-5 | 1.2313811E-5 | 1.2313811E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4571576E-4 | 1.499139E-4 | 1.499139E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.0 | 2.590302E-6 | 2.6648984E-6 | 2.6648984E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.1101247E-5 | 1.1420962E-5 | 1.1420962E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.351493E-4 | 1.390449E-4 | 1.390449E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.1 | 2.3885443E-6 | 2.4574056E-6 | 2.4574056E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0236578E-5 | 1.0531716E-5 | 1.0531716E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2462321E-4 | 1.2821963E-4 | 1.2821963E-4 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.2 | 1.5140604E-6 | 1.5576044E-6 | 1.5576044E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.4888145E-6 | 6.6754474E-6 | 6.6754474E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.899845E-5 | 8.1273574E-5 | 8.1273574E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
White Wolf
(top)
| Magnitude | 1 wk TI Prob | 1 wk TD Prob | 1 wk ETAS Prob | 1 wk ETAS/TD Gain | 1 wk ETAS Triggered Only | 1 mo TI Prob | 1 mo TD Prob | 1 mo ETAS Prob | 1 mo ETAS/TD Gain | 1 mo ETAS Triggered Only | 1 yr TI Prob | 1 yr TD Prob | 1 yr ETAS Prob | 1 yr ETAS/TD Gain | 1 yr ETAS Triggered Only |
| 6.0 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0531226E-6 | 3.0531205E-6 | 2.8991122 | 2.0E-6 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.5133747E-6 | 6.513366E-6 | 1.4431254 | 2.0E-6 | 0.001045009 | 5.4949003E-5 | 5.6948895E-5 | 1.0363954 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.1 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0531226E-6 | 3.0531205E-6 | 2.8991122 | 2.0E-6 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.5133747E-6 | 6.513366E-6 | 1.4431254 | 2.0E-6 | 0.001045009 | 5.4949003E-5 | 5.6948895E-5 | 1.0363954 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.2 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0531226E-6 | 3.0531205E-6 | 2.8991122 | 2.0E-6 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.5133747E-6 | 6.513366E-6 | 1.4431254 | 2.0E-6 | 0.001045009 | 5.4949003E-5 | 5.6948895E-5 | 1.0363954 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.3 | 2.0037822E-5 | 1.0531226E-6 | 3.0531205E-6 | 2.8991122 | 2.0E-6 | 8.587355E-5 | 4.5133747E-6 | 6.513366E-6 | 1.4431254 | 2.0E-6 | 0.001045009 | 5.4949003E-5 | 5.6948895E-5 | 1.0363954 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.4 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0531226E-6 | 3.0531205E-6 | 2.8991122 | 2.0E-6 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.5133747E-6 | 6.513366E-6 | 1.4431254 | 2.0E-6 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.4949003E-5 | 5.6948895E-5 | 1.0363954 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.5 | 1.132487E-5 | 1.0531226E-6 | 3.0531205E-6 | 2.8991122 | 2.0E-6 | 4.8534253E-5 | 4.5133747E-6 | 6.513366E-6 | 1.4431254 | 2.0E-6 | 5.907443E-4 | 5.4949003E-5 | 5.6948895E-5 | 1.0363954 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.6 | 9.347473E-6 | 1.0531226E-6 | 3.0531205E-6 | 2.8991122 | 2.0E-6 | 4.0059982E-5 | 4.5133747E-6 | 6.513366E-6 | 1.4431254 | 2.0E-6 | 4.8762115E-4 | 5.4949003E-5 | 5.6948895E-5 | 1.0363954 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.7 | 7.842647E-6 | 1.0107568E-6 | 3.0107549E-6 | 2.9787133 | 2.0E-6 | 3.361091E-5 | 4.331808E-6 | 6.3317993E-6 | 1.461699 | 2.0E-6 | 4.0913603E-4 | 5.273854E-5 | 5.4738433E-5 | 1.037921 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.8 | 6.26597E-6 | 9.790995E-7 | 2.9790976E-6 | 3.0426912 | 2.0E-6 | 2.685388E-5 | 4.1961343E-6 | 6.196126E-6 | 1.4766271 | 2.0E-6 | 3.2689696E-4 | 5.1086787E-5 | 5.3086686E-5 | 1.039147 | 2.0E-6 |
| 6.9 | 5.258436E-6 | 9.236055E-7 | 2.9236037E-6 | 3.1654246 | 2.0E-6 | 2.2535958E-5 | 3.9583038E-6 | 5.958296E-6 | 1.505265 | 2.0E-6 | 2.7434074E-4 | 4.819133E-5 | 5.0191233E-5 | 1.0414993 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.0 | 4.675028E-6 | 8.7100375E-7 | 2.871002E-6 | 3.2961993 | 2.0E-6 | 2.003568E-5 | 3.7328682E-6 | 5.7328607E-6 | 1.535779 | 2.0E-6 | 2.4390711E-4 | 4.544677E-5 | 4.744668E-5 | 1.0440055 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.1 | 2.8270078E-6 | 6.909743E-7 | 2.690973E-6 | 3.8944616 | 2.0E-6 | 1.2115692E-5 | 2.9613152E-6 | 4.9613095E-6 | 1.6753736 | 2.0E-6 | 1.4749856E-4 | 3.6053458E-5 | 3.8053386E-5 | 1.0554712 | 2.0E-6 |
| 7.2 | 1.6881406E-6 | 2.2890788E-7 | 2.2890788E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.2348685E-6 | 9.810334E-7 | 9.810334E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.808096E-5 | 1.1944017E-5 | 1.1944017E-5 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.3 | 9.086107E-7 | 1.5374656E-7 | 1.5374656E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.8940398E-6 | 6.589136E-7 | 6.589136E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.7408903E-5 | 8.022244E-6 | 8.022244E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.4 | 1.9717383E-7 | 9.0299416E-8 | 9.0299416E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.450304E-7 | 3.8699744E-7 | 3.8699744E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0288197E-5 | 4.7116837E-6 | 4.7116837E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.5 | 1.086975E-7 | 6.673977E-8 | 6.673977E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.6584634E-7 | 2.8602759E-7 | 2.8602759E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.6716644E-6 | 3.4823804E-6 | 3.4823804E-6 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| 7.6 | 2.4217808E-8 | 1.5850524E-8 | 1.5850524E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.03790605E-7 | 6.793082E-8 | 6.793082E-8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2636499E-6 | 8.270575E-7 | 8.270575E-7 | 1.0 | 0.0 |